Periodo

Ao 1

Ao 2

Ao 3

Ao 4

Demanda
1
11
2
20
3
13
4
12
5
18
6
12
7
8
8
5
9
8
10
5
11
5
12
7
13
8
14
19
15
20
16
14
17
15
18
15
19
9
20
5
21
5
22
6
23
5
24
7
25
9
26
20
27
18
28
19
29
14
30
14
31
10
32
5
33
7
34
5
35

36

37

11

38

14

39

12

40

18

41

18

42

17

43

11

44
45

8
8

1.-

46
47
48

7
6
7

2.

Ao 3

3.-

Ao 4

4.-

Ao 5

V1

10.33

V2

10.67

T0

0.03

F0

10.82

S1

1.08

S13

0.76

S2

1.96

S14

1.80

S3

1.27

S15

1.89

S4

1.17

S16

1.32

S5

1.75

S17

1.41

S6

1.16

S18

1.41

S7

0.77

S19

0.84

S8

0.48

S20

0.47

S9

0.77

S21

0.47

S10
S11

0.48
0.48

S22
S23

0.56
0.46

S12

0.67

S24

0.65

0.0000
0.1508
0.2000
t

Tt
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03

St

9
20
18
19
14
14
10
5
7
5
7
6

Ft
10.82
10.85
10.88
10.90
10.93
10.96
10.99
11.01
11.04
11.07
11.10
11.13
11.15

Tt
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03

St

11
14
12
18
18
17
11
8
8
7
6
7

Ft
11.15
11.18
11.21
11.24
11.26
11.29
11.32
11.35
11.38
11.40
11.43
11.46
11.49

0.92
1.74
1.49
1.39
1.53
1.32
0.85
0.52
0.64
0.53
0.51
0.63

10.06
20.93
17.88
15.10
17.11
14.49
9.37
5.33
7.06
5.75
5.74
7.26

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Ft
11.49
11.49
11.49
11.49
11.49
11.49
11.49
11.49
11.49
11.49

Tt
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03

St
0.92
1.74
1.49
1.39
1.53
1.32
0.85
0.52
0.64
0.53

Wt+m
10.56
20.13
17.20
16.14
17.80
15.43
9.98
6.04
7.46
6.18

Dt
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36

Dt
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48

m
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58

0.90
1.87
1.59
1.34
1.52
1.28
0.83
0.47
0.62
0.50
0.50
0.63

Wt+m
9.95
20.39
17.18
13.57
17.26
14.08
8.87
5.22
6.81
5.73
5.22
7.31
Wt+m

59
60

11
12

11.49
11.49

0.03
0.03

0.51
0.63

5.96
7.41

Promedio

Rectificando

S13

0.92

0.92

S14

1.88

1.87

S15

1.58

1.58

S16

1.25

1.24

S17

1.58

1.58

S18

1.29

1.28

S19

0.81

0.81

S20

0.47

0.47

S21

0.62

0.62

S22
S23

0.52
0.47

0.52
0.47

S24

0.66

|et|
0.95
0.39
0.82
5.43
3.26
0.08
1.13
0.22
0.19
0.73
1.78
1.31
|et|
0.94
6.93
5.88
2.90
0.89
2.51
1.63
2.67
0.94
1.25
0.26
0.26

MAD

0.66

1.36

=(_(=1)^
|_ | )/

Xt

Ft
1 Ft 1 Tt 1
St p
Tt Ft Ft 1 1 Tt 1

Xt
St
1 St p
Ft
MAD

2.25

Wt

Tt 1

Wt m Ft mTt St m p

Tt 1

ao

trimestre
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3

demanda
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

a
b
g
p
v1
v2
t0
f0

10
20
26
17
12
23
30
22
16

0.2
0.1
0.1
4
18.25
21.75
0.875
23.0625

factores
0.5904
1.1228
1.3913
0.8690
0.5872
1.0792
1.3521
0.9539

estacionales
0.5888
1.1010
1.3717
0.9115

0.5928
1.1085
1.3810
0.9177

23.0625

0.875