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Regressao Logistica

Funcao de Ligacao: Logito

10:45 Wednesday, May 25, 2016 1

The LOGISTIC Procedure


Model Information
Data Set

WORK.BEETLES

Response Variable

survive

Number of Response Levels

Weight Variable

count

Model

binary logit

Optimization Technique

Fisher's scoring

Number of Observations Read

16

Number of Observations Used

15

Sum of Weights Read

481

Sum of Weights Used

481

Response Profile
Ordered
Total
Value survive Frequency

Total
Weight

1 1

8 291.00000

2 0

7 190.00000

Probability modeled is survive=1.


Note: 1 observation having nonpositive frequency or weight was excluded since it does not contribute to the analysis.

Model Convergence Status


Convergence criterion (GCONV=1E-8) satisfied.

Model Fit Statistics


Intercept
Intercept
and
Criterion
Only Covariates
AIC

647.441

394.832

SC

648.149

396.249

-2 Log L

645.441

390.832

Regressao Logistica
Funcao de Ligacao: Logito

10:45 Wednesday, May 25, 2016 2

The LOGISTIC Procedure


Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0
Test

Chi-Square DF Pr > ChiSq

Likelihood Ratio

254.6085

<.0001

Score

208.5030

<.0001

Wald

114.4597

<.0001

Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimates


Parameter DF Estimate

Standard
Wald
Error Chi-Square Pr > ChiSq

Intercept

-50.1842

4.7332

112.4158

<.0001

logdose

28.3947

2.6541

114.4597

<.0001

Odds Ratio Estimates


Effect

Point
Estimate

logdose >999.999

95% Wald
Confidence Limits
>999.999

>999.999

Association of Predicted Probabilities and


Observed Responses
Percent Concordant

50.0 Somers' D 0.125

Percent Discordant

37.5 Gamma

0.143

Percent Tied

12.5 Tau-a

0.067

Pairs

56 c

0.563

Modelo Probito
Funcao de Ligacao: Probito

10:45 Wednesday, May 25, 2016 3

The LOGISTIC Procedure


Model Information
Data Set

WORK.BEETLES

Response Variable

survive

Number of Response Levels

Weight Variable

count

Model

binary probit

Optimization Technique

Fisher's scoring

Number of Observations Read

16

Number of Observations Used

15

Sum of Weights Read

481

Sum of Weights Used

481

Response Profile
Ordered
Total
Value survive Frequency

Total
Weight

1 1

8 291.00000

2 0

7 190.00000

Probability modeled is survive=1.


Note: 1 observation having nonpositive frequency or weight was excluded since it does not contribute to the analysis.

Model Convergence Status


Convergence criterion (GCONV=1E-8) satisfied.

Model Fit Statistics


Intercept
Intercept
and
Criterion
Only Covariates
AIC

647.441

399.970

SC

648.149

401.386

-2 Log L

645.441

395.970

Modelo Probito
Funcao de Ligacao: Probito

10:45 Wednesday, May 25, 2016 4

The LOGISTIC Procedure


Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0
Test

Chi-Square DF Pr > ChiSq

Likelihood Ratio

249.4707

<.0001

Score

208.5030

<.0001

Wald

137.5570

<.0001

Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimates


Parameter DF Estimate

Standard
Wald
Error Chi-Square Pr > ChiSq

Intercept

-26.6386

2.3022

133.8855

<.0001

logdose

15.1125

1.2885

137.5570

<.0001

Association of Predicted Probabilities and


Observed Responses
Percent Concordant

50.0 Somers' D 0.125

Percent Discordant

37.5 Gamma

0.143

Percent Tied

12.5 Tau-a

0.067

Pairs

56 c

0.563

Modelo Probito
Funcao de Ligacao: Probito

10:45 Wednesday, May 25, 2016 5

The Probit Procedure


Model Information
Data Set

WORK.BEETLES

Dependent Variable

sobrev

Weight Variable

count

Number of Observations

15

Name of Distribution

Normal

Log Likelihood

-197.9851862

Number of Observations Read

16

Number of Observations Used

15

Sum of Weights

481

Missing Values

Class Level
Information
Name

Levels Values

sobrev

2 01

Response Profile
Ordered
Total
Value sobrev Frequency
1 0

291

2 1

190

PROC PROBIT is modeling the probabilities of levels of sobrev having LOWER Ordered Values in the response
profile table.
Algorithm converged.

Type III Analysis of Effects


Effect
logdose

Wald
DF Chi-Square Pr > ChiSq
1

155.3818

<.0001

Modelo Probito
Funcao de Ligacao: Probito

10:45 Wednesday, May 25, 2016 6

The Probit Procedure


Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Parameter Estimates
95%
Confidence
Limits

Standard
Parameter DF Estimate
Error
Intercept

-26.6391

logdose

15.1128

2.1602 -30.8730 -22.4052

152.07

<.0001

1.2124

155.38

<.0001

12.7365

17.4890

Probit Model in
Terms of Tolerance
Distribution
MU

SIGMA

1.76268661

0.06616919

Estimated Covariance
Matrix for Tolerance
Parameters
MU

SIGMA

0.000025

-0.000008

SIGMA -0.000008

0.000028

MU

Chi-Square Pr > ChiSq

Modelo Log-log complementar


Funcao de Ligacao: Log-Log complementar

10:45 Wednesday, May 25, 2016 7

The LOGISTIC Procedure


Model Information
Data Set

WORK.BEETLES

Response Variable

survive

Number of Response Levels

Weight Variable

count

Model

binary cloglog

Optimization Technique

Fisher's scoring

Number of Observations Read

16

Number of Observations Used

15

Sum of Weights Read

481

Sum of Weights Used

481

Response Profile
Ordered
Total
Value survive Frequency

Total
Weight

1 1

8 291.00000

2 0

7 190.00000

Probability modeled is survive=1.


Note: 1 observation having nonpositive frequency or weight was excluded since it does not contribute to the analysis.

Model Convergence Status


Convergence criterion (GCONV=1E-8) satisfied.

Model Fit Statistics


Intercept
Intercept
and
Criterion
Only Covariates
AIC

647.441

376.341

SC

648.149

377.757

-2 Log L

645.441

372.341

Modelo Log-log complementar


Funcao de Ligacao: Log-Log complementar

10:45 Wednesday, May 25, 2016 8

The LOGISTIC Procedure


Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0
Test

Chi-Square DF Pr > ChiSq

Likelihood Ratio

273.1001

<.0001

Score

208.5030

<.0001

Wald

139.0106

<.0001

Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimates


Parameter DF Estimate

Standard
Wald
Error Chi-Square Pr > ChiSq

Intercept

-34.7186

2.9628

137.3133

<.0001

logdose

19.3646

1.6424

139.0106

<.0001

Association of Predicted Probabilities and


Observed Responses
Percent Concordant

50.0 Somers' D 0.125

Percent Discordant

37.5 Gamma

0.143

Percent Tied

12.5 Tau-a

0.067

Pairs

56 c

0.563

Resultados
Obs logdose

10:45 Wednesday, May 25, 2016 9

observ plogito pprobito ploglog

1.619 0.10169 0.01458

0.01495 0.03390

1.724 0.21667 0.22586

0.27940 0.23160

1.755 0.29032 0.41300

0.45377 0.38132

1.784 0.50000 0.61583

0.62632 0.56913

1.811 0.82540 0.77531

0.76735 0.75834

1.837 0.89831 0.87834

0.86930 0.90460

1.861 0.98387 0.93452

0.93133 0.97624

1.884 1.00000 0.96482

0.96663 0.99709

10:45 Wednesday, May 25, 2016 10

Resultados
observ
1.0

0.9

0.8

0.7

0.6

0.5

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0.0
1.60

1.62

1.64

1.66

1.68

1.70

1.72

1.74

1.76

logdose

1.78

1.80

1.82

1.84

1.86

1.88

1.90

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