Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Overview
SALLI SCHWARTZ
GLOBAL HEAD OF INVESTOR RELATIONS AND COMMUNICATIONS
Disclaimer
Certain statements contained in this presentation are forward-looking statements and are based on future expectations, plans and
prospects for Moodys business and operations that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Moodys outlook for 2016 and other
forward-looking statements in this presentation are made as of April 29, 2016, and the Company disclaims any duty to supplement,
update or revise such statements on a going-forward basis, whether as a result of subsequent developments, changed expectations or
otherwise. In connection with the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, the Company is
identifying certain factors that could cause actual results to differ, perhaps materially, from those indicated by these forward-looking
statements. Those factors, risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the current world-wide credit market disruptions and
economic slowdown, which is affecting and could continue to affect the volume of debt and other securities issued in domestic and/or
global capital markets; other matters that could affect the volume of debt and other securities issued in domestic and/or global capital
markets, including credit quality concerns, changes in interest rates and other volatility in the financial markets; the level of merger and
acquisition activity in the US and abroad; the uncertain effectiveness and possible collateral consequences of US and foreign government
initiatives to respond to the current world-wide credit disruptions and economic slowdown; concerns in the marketplace affecting our
credibility or otherwise affecting market perceptions of the integrity or utility of independent agency ratings; the introduction of competing
products or technologies by other companies; pricing pressure from competitors and/or customers; the level of success of new product
development and global expansion; the impact of regulation as an NRSRO, the potential for new US, state and local legislation and
regulations, including provisions in the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act and anticipated regulations resulting
from that Act; the potential for increased competition and regulation in the EU and other foreign jurisdictions; exposure to litigation related
to our rating opinions, as well as any other litigation to which the Company may be subject from time to time; provisions in the Dodd-Frank
Act legislation modifying the pleading standards, and EU regulations modifying the liability standards, applicable to credit rating agencies
in a manner adverse to credit rating agencies; provisions of EU regulations imposing additional procedural and substantive requirements
on the pricing of services; the possible loss of key employees; failures or malfunctions of our operations and infrastructure; any
vulnerabilities to cyber threats or other cybersecurity concerns; the outcome of any review by controlling tax authorities of the Companys
global tax planning initiatives; the outcome of those legacy tax matters and legal contingencies that relate to the Company, its
predecessors and their affiliated companies for which Moodys has assumed portions of the financial responsibility; the impact of mergers,
acquisitions or other business combinations and the ability of the Company to successfully integrate acquired businesses; currency and
foreign exchange volatility; the levels of capital investments; a decline in the demand for credit risk management tools by financial
institutions; and other risk factors as discussed in the Companys annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015 and
in other filings made by the Company from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
First Quarter 2016 Earnings Call, April 29, 2016
Agenda
1. First Quarter 2016 Results
Ray McDaniel, President and Chief Executive Officer
4. Q&A
Ray McDaniel, President and Chief Executive Officer
Linda Huber, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Michel Madelain, President and Chief Operating Officer, Moodys Investors Service
Mark Almeida, President, Moodys Analytics
RAY MCDANIEL
PRESIDENT AND CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
6% to $816 million
Operating Expense
4% to $512 million
Operating Income
37.3%
40.9%
EPS
16% to $0.93
LINDA HUBER
EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT AND CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
6% to $816 million
Foreign currency translation unfavorably
impacted revenue by 2%
US
4% to $480 million
Non-US
8% to $336 million
41% of total revenue
Recurring Revenue
7% to $452 million
55% of total revenue
10
US
Non-US
Recurring Revenue
4% to $231 million
44% of total MIS revenue
11
20%
US
10%
Non-US
36%
11%
US
15%
Non-US
flat
12
1%
US
3%
Non-US
4%
9%
US
6%
Non-US
14%
13
Non-US
9% to $147 million
51% of total MA revenue
Recurring Revenue
9% to $222 million
76% of total MA revenue
First Quarter 2016 Earnings Call, April 29, 2016
14
10%
57% of total MA revenue
US
14%
Non-US
5%
15
16%
US
14%
Non-US
17%
1%
16
flat
US
6%
Non-US
3%
17
4% to $512 million
Foreign currency translation favorably
impacted expense by 2%
Operating Margin
37.3%
40.9%
32.3%
18
Capital Allocation
During 1Q16, Moodys returned $334 million to shareholders via share
repurchases and dividends
During 1Q16, Moodys repurchased 2.9 million shares at a total cost of $262
million, or an average cost of $89.83 per share, and issued 1.6 million shares
under its annual employee stock-based compensation plans
During 1Q16, Moodys paid $72.1 million in dividends
On April 11, 2016, Moodys announced a quarterly dividend of 37 cents per
share of Moodys common stock payable June 10, 2016 to stockholders of
record at the close of business on May 20, 2016
As of March 31, 2016, shares outstanding totaled 194.3 million
4% decline from March 31, 2015
As of March 31, 2016, $1.2 billion of share repurchase authority remaining
19
Free cash flow of $211 million for 1Q16, down 13% from 1Q15
20
RAY MCDANIEL
PRESIDENT AND CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
21
$4.55 to $4.65
Inclusive of $0.02 dilution from GGY acquisition
Revenue
low-single-digit % range
Operating Expense
mid-single-digit % range
Operating Margin
Approximately 41%
Approximately 45%
Approximately $1 billion
Capital Expenditures
*Refer to Moodys Corporation Reports Results for First Quarter 2016 press release for a full review of guidance
First Quarter 2016 Earnings Call, April 29, 2016
22
Approximately flat
US
low-single-digit % range
Non-US
low-single-digit % range
Corporate Finance
low-single-digit % range
Structured Finance
mid-single-digit % range
mid-single-digit % range
*Refer to Moodys Corporation Reports Results for First Quarter 2016 press release for a full review of guidance
First Quarter 2016 Earnings Call, April 29, 2016
23
high-single-digit % range
US
low-double-digit % range
Non-US
mid-single-digit % range
high-single-digit % range
high-single-digit % range
*Refer to Moodys Corporation Reports Results for First Quarter 2016 press release for a full review of guidance
First Quarter 2016 Earnings Call, April 29, 2016
24
25
4. Q&A Session
Ray McDaniel
President and Chief Executive Officer, Moodys Corporation
Linda Huber
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Moodys Corporation
Michel Madelain
President and Chief Operating Officer, Moodys Investors Service
Mark Almeida
President, Moodys Analytics
26
1Q 2016
MTD Apr 16
FY 2016E
~$340 billion
~$65 billion
~$1.2 trillion
Robust pipeline
~$40 billion
~$25 billion
~$230 billion
(down 15% YOY)
Improved overall market tone with new issue activity steadily returning alongside the better macro backdrop
Market still bifurcated between haves and have nots (new issue volume skewed toward higher rated credits)
Leveraged Loans
~$40 billion
(down 25% YOY)
~$15 billion
~$260 billion
(down 10% YOY)
Loan market currently weaker than high yield bond market, driven by fund outflows and CLO formation slowdown
27
Investment Grade
Robust pipeline and expected to pick-up further as a result of the ECB's corporate sector purchase program
Uncertainty around Brexit could sideline issuers during already slow summer season
US corporates continue to see value in accessing the Euro market and are expected to remain a heavy
component of supply
Speculative Grade
Market had a muted start to the year with supply down 70% and a volatile first quarter
ECB's move to commence purchases of investment grade bonds has sparked a renewed risk appetite and is
leading to a pick-up in high yield activity
28
Replay Details
Available from 3:30pm (Eastern Time) April 29, 2016 until 3:30pm
(Eastern Time) May 28, 2016
Telephone Details:
US
+1-888-203-1112
Non-US
+1-719-457-0820
Passcode
2495047
Webcast Details:
Go to http://ir.moodys.com
Click on Events & Presentations
Click on the link for 1Q 2016 Earnings Conference Call
29
Appendix
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
Reported revenue
growth
Less: Impact of GGY
Revenue growth
excluding GGY
ERS
Revenue
%
MA
Revenue
%
16%
3%
11%
1%
13%
10%
38
39
40
2016 Outlook
Moodys outlook for 2016 is based on assumptions about many macroeconomic and capital market factors, including interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates,
corporate profitability and business investment spending, merger and acquisition activity, consumer borrowing and securitization, and the amount of debt issued.
These assumptions are subject to uncertainty, and results for the year could differ materially from our current outlook. Moodys guidance assumes foreign currency
translation at end-of-quarter exchange rates. Specifically, our forecast reflects exchange rates for the British pound () of $1.44 to 1 and for the euro () of $1.14 to
1.
41
42
moodys.com
Website:
http://ir.moodys.com
Email:
ir@moodys.com
42
2016 Moodys Corporation, Moodys Investors Service, Inc., Moodys Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors
and affiliates (collectively, MOODYS). All rights reserved.
CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC. AND ITS RATINGS AFFILIATES
(MIS) ARE MOODYS CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES,
CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND
RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS PUBLISHED BY MOODYS (MOODYS PUBLICATIONS) MAY INCLUDE
MOODYS CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT
COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES. MOODYS DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE
RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL, FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY
COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT. CREDIT RATINGS
DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET
VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODYS OPINIONS INCLUDED IN
MOODYS PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. MOODYS
PUBLICATIONS MAY ALSO INCLUDE QUANTITATIVE MODEL-BASED ESTIMATES OF CREDIT RISK
AND RELATED OPINIONS OR COMMENTARY PUBLISHED BY MOODYS ANALYTICS, INC. CREDIT
RATINGS AND MOODYS PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR
FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODYS PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT
PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES.
NEITHER CREDIT RATINGS NOR MOODYS PUBLICATIONS COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN
INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODYS ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS AND
PUBLISHES MOODYS PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH
INVESTOR WILL, WITH DUE CARE, MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY
THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.
MOODYS CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODYS PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT INTENDED FOR USE
BY RETAIL INVESTORS AND IT WOULD BE RECKLESS AND INAPPROPRIATE FOR RETAIL
INVESTORS TO USE MOODYS CREDIT RATINGS OR MOODYS PUBLICATIONS WHEN MAKING AN
INVESTMENT DECISION. IF IN DOUBT YOU SHOULD CONTACT YOUR FINANCIAL OR OTHER
PROFESSIONAL ADVISER.
ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY LAW, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO,
COPYRIGHT LAW, AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR OTHERWISE
REPRODUCED, REPACKAGED, FURTHER TRANSMITTED, TRANSFERRED, DISSEMINATED,
REDISTRIBUTED OR RESOLD, OR STORED FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN
WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY
PERSON WITHOUT MOODYS PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT.
All information contained herein is obtained by MOODYS from sources believed by it to be accurate and
reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all
information contained herein is provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. MOODY'S adopts all necessary
measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources
MOODY'S considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However,
MOODYS is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received
in the rating process or in preparing the Moodys Publications.
To the extent permitted by law, MOODYS and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives,
licensors and suppliers disclaim liability to any person or entity for any indirect, special, consequential, or
incidental losses or damages whatsoever arising from or in connection with the information contained herein
or the use of or inability to use any such information, even if MOODYS or any of its directors, officers,
employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers is advised in advance of the possibility of such
losses or damages, including but not limited to: (a) any loss of present or prospective profits or (b) any loss or
damage arising where the relevant financial instrument is not the subject of a particular credit rating assigned
by MOODYS.
To the extent permitted by law, MOODYS and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives,
licensors and suppliers disclaim liability for any direct or compensatory losses or damages caused to any
person or entity, including but not limited to by any negligence (but excluding fraud, willful misconduct or any
other type of liability that, for the avoidance of doubt, by law cannot be excluded) on the part of, or any
contingency within or beyond the control of, MOODYS or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents,
representatives, licensors or suppliers, arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or
the use of or inability to use any such information.
NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS,
MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH RATING OR
OTHER OPINION OR INFORMATION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY MOODYS IN ANY FORM OR MANNER
WHATSOEVER.
Moodys Investors Service, Inc., a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moodys Corporation
(MCO), hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds,
debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by Moodys Investors Service, Inc. have,
prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to Moodys Investors Service, Inc. for appraisal and rating
services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,500 to approximately $2,500,000. MCO and MIS also maintain
policies and procedures to address the independence of MISs ratings and rating processes. Information
regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities
who hold ratings from MIS and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more
than 5%, is posted annually at www.moodys.com under the heading Investor Relations Corporate
Governance Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy.
Additional terms for Australia only: Any publication into Australia of this document is pursuant to the Australian
Financial Services License of MOODYS affiliate, Moodys Investors Service Pty Limited ABN 61 003 399
657AFSL 336969 and/or Moodys Analytics Australia Pty Ltd ABN 94 105 136 972 AFSL 383569 (as
applicable). This document is intended to be provided only to wholesale clients within the meaning of section
761G of the Corporations Act 2001. By continuing to access this document from within Australia, you
represent to MOODYS that you are, or are accessing the document as a representative of, a wholesale
client and that neither you nor the entity you represent will directly or indirectly disseminate this document or
its contents to retail clients within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001.
MOODYS credit rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a debt obligation of the issuer, not on the
equity securities of the issuer or any form of security that is available to retail investors. It would be reckless
and inappropriate for retail investors to use MOODYS credit ratings or publications when making an
investment decision. If in doubt you should contact your financial or other professional adviser.
Additional terms for Japan only: Moody's Japan K.K. (MJKK) is a wholly-owned credit rating agency
subsidiary of Moody's Group Japan G.K., which is wholly-owned by Moodys Overseas Holdings Inc., a
wholly-owned subsidiary of MCO. Moodys SF Japan K.K. (MSFJ) is a wholly-owned credit rating agency
subsidiary of MJKK. MSFJ is not a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization (NRSRO).
Therefore, credit ratings assigned by MSFJ are Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings. Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings
are assigned by an entity that is not a NRSRO and, consequently, the rated obligation will not qualify for
certain types of treatment under US laws. MJKK and MSFJ are credit rating agencies registered with the
Japan Financial Services Agency and their registration numbers are FSA Commissioner (Ratings) No. 2
and 3 respectively.
MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) hereby disclose that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and
municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MJKK or MSFJ (as
applicable) have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) for
appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from JPY200,000 to approximately JPY350,000,000.
MJKK and MSFJ also maintain policies and procedures to address Japanese regulatory requirements.
43