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Unit 6.

4 – Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability


Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

Unit 6.4 - Data Analysis and Probability


Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

How can data be


manipulated to How can I express
communicate a particular probability?
message?

6.1.1- Make conjectures and predictions


based on data. 6.5.1 - Determine the theoretical
probability of simple and compound event
6.5.2 - Identify features of graphs that may in familiar contexts.
be misleading.
6.5.3 - Determine whether or not a sample
is biased.
Unit 6.4 – Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

Daily Learning Objectives


State Performance Topical Essential Vocabulary and Assessment
Month
Week
Day

Indicators Questions Reference Evidence


KIPPsters will be able to…
Define: Statistics, data
6.4.1 - Calculate and evaluate how measures of analysis
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central tendency describe data. How can data be Data, datum


manipulated to Raw data
communicate a Frequency table
particular message? Components of a table
Stem-and-leaf plot
6.4.2 - Select the appropriate measure of center to Line plot
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describe a data set. Categorical vs. numerical


data

Measures of Central
6.4.3 - Match a data set to the correct circle graph. Tendency
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of 10
February 2011

Mean (Average)
Median
Mode
6.4.4 - Interpret circle graphs. Range

Outlier
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Minimum
Maximum

Types of Graphs:
Line
Bar
Benchmark Focus Double Bar
Histogram
Pictograph
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Pie/Circle
(knowing when to use
them)
Unit 6.4 – Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

Daily Learning Objectives


State Performance Topical Essential Vocabulary and Assessment
Month
Week
Day

Indicators Questions Reference Evidence


KIPPsters will be able to…
6.4.5 - Identify the population and sample in a
February 2011

data collection method. 6.5.3 - Determine Key


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whether or not a sample Trends


6.4.6 - Determine whether or not a sample is is biased. How can data be Discrepancy
manipulated to Scale
biased.
communicate a Interval
particular message? Surveys
6.4.7 - Analyze the data on a graph to make a
6.1.5- Make conjectures Polls
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conjecture and/or infer the projected


and predictions based Sample
outcome(s) in a contextual situation.
on data. Bias
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6.4.8 - Analyze the features of a graph to 6.5.2 - Identify features


determine what may be misleading.
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of graphs that may be


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misleading.
March 2011

6.4.8 continued
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Benchmark Focus
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Unit 6.4 – Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

Daily Learning Objectives State Topical


Assessment
Month
Week

*If time allows- Performance Essential Vocabulary and Reference


Day

Evidence
KIPPsters will be able to… Indicators Questions
6.4.9 - Determine the likelihood of everyday events The probability of an event is a
number between zero and one
using the language of probability. How can I express
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that expresses
probability? the likelihood of an occurrence.

The probability of an occurrence


is the ratio of the number of
6.4.10 - Express simple probabilities as actual occurrences to
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the number of possible


percentages, decimals, fractions, or odds.
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occurrences.
(with review of fractions, decimals, P (x) = (Chances for)/(Total
percent conversions) chances)
6.4.10 continued
Understand different ways of
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expressing probabilities--as
6.5.1 - Determine the percentages, decimals, or
March 2011

theoretical odds. Example: If the probability


6.4.11 - Calculate the probability of an occurrence of rain is .6, the weather
probability of simple forecaster could say that there
given the probability it will not occur and and compound event is a 60% chance of rain or that
vice versa. in familiar contexts. the odds of rain are 6:4 (or
3:2). Odds: (Chances for) :
(Chances against)

If p is the probability that an


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event will occur, then 1 – p is


the probability that it will
not occur. Example: If the
probability of rain is 60%, then
the probability that it will not
rain is 100% – 60% = 40%.
(Equivalently, 1 – .60 = .40.)

Sample Space as the set of all


possible outcomes; probability
tree diagram
Unit 6.4 – Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

Daily Learning Objectives State Topical


Assessment
Month
Week

Performance Essential Vocabulary and Reference


Day

Evidence
KIPPsters will be able to… Indicators Questions
Independent event: two events do not affect
6.4.12 - List the possible outcomes for a How can I use each other, such as flipping a coin twice.
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single event. data to make Dependent event: the preceding event affects
good predictions the outcome of the proceeding event, such as
about what pulling colored marbles from a bag.
might happen in
6.4.13 - Create a sample space and Mutually exclusive: when two events cannot
6.5.1 - Determine the future? happen at the same time.
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determine the probability of a


the theoretical
single-event, given a simple Simple event: the probability of one event
probability of
experiment. occurring
simple and
Compound events: the probability of two or more
compound event in independent events occurring  multiply the
6.4.14 - List the possible outcomes for
familiar contexts. probabilities
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compound events. P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B)


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Probability is the chance or likelihood that an event


March 2011

6.4.15 - Estimate the probability of can happen; always has a value between 0 and 1; can
compound events through be represented as a fraction, decimal, or percent.
experimentation or simulation.
A compound event is when two or more events take
place at the same time. When we have a compound
event, we can use a rule to find the total number of
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possible outcomes.

Instead of drawing a tree diagram to show all of the


possible outcomes, we can use the Fundamental
Counting Principle. To use the FCP, you just multiply
together the number of possibilities for each event.

The FCP says that the total number of outcomes is the


total number of choices for each situation or event.
Benchmark Focus
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Unit 6.4 – Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

Daily Learning Objectives State Topical


Assessment
Month
Week

*If time allows- Performance Essential Vocabulary and Reference


Day

Evidence
KIPPsters will be able to… Indicators Questions
The probability of an event is a
number between zero and one
6.4.16 - Calculate the theoretical probability How can I express
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that expresses
of independent and dependent 6.5.1 - Determine the probability? the likelihood of an occurrence.
compound events. theoretical
The probability of an occurrence
probability of simple
is the ratio of the number of
and compound event actual occurrences to
6.4.16 continued
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in familiar contexts. the number of possible


March 2011

occurrences.
P (x) = (Chances for)/(Total
chances)
6.4.17 - Determine the total number of
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Understand different ways of


possible outcomes for a compound
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expressing probabilities--as
event by using the fundamental
percentages, decimals, or
counting principle. odds. Example: If the probability
Benchmark Focus of rain is .6, the weather
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forecaster could say that there


is a 60% chance of rain or that
the odds of rain are 6:4 (or
3:2). Odds: (Chances for) :
Interim Assessment 3 (Chances against)

If p is the probability that an


event will occur, then 1 – p is
the probability that it will
April 2011

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not occur. Example: If the


probability of rain is 60%, then
the probability that it will not
rain is 100% – 60% = 40%.
(Equivalently, 1 – .60 = .40.)

Sample Space as the set of all


possible outcomes; probability
tree diagram
Unit 6.4 – Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

There is time for a performance task, such as a survey or probability project, where students also learn how to construct a circle graph.

Daily Learning Objectives State Topical


Assessment
Month
Week

*If time allows- Performance Essential Vocabulary and Reference


Day

Evidence
KIPPsters will be able to… Indicators Questions
Benchmark Focus
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Benchmark Focus
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6 of 6 (Week of 4/4)

Benchmark Focus
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April 2011

April 2011

Benchmark Focus
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Benchmark Focus
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