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Example:- A factory produces 3 machines, A, B and C producing 1000, 2000 and

3000 bolts per day respectively. It is found that A produces 1% defective, B


produces 2 % defective and C produces 3% defectives.
(a) If a bolt is chosen at the end of the day and found defective what is the
probability that it came from machine B.
(b) If a bolt is chosen at the end of the day and found defective what is the
probability that it came from machine C.
Example- An insurance company insured 2000 scooter drivers, 4000 car drivers
and 6000 truck drivers. The probability of an accident involving a scooter driver,
a car driver and truck driver is 0.01, 0.03 and 0.15 respectively. One of the
insured person met with an accident. What is the probability that
(a) he is a scooter driver.
(b) he is a car driver.
(c) he is a truck driver.

Example - Page No 169, problem No 32, 33 from Anderson, D.R., D.J. Sweeney,
& Williams T.A. (2014). Statistics for business and economics, Cengage Learning,
eleventh edition

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