1 - GSA UMTS900 Market Update Dubai UMTS900 Workshop 171208

UMTS900 Workshop, Dubai
GSM>3G Middle East: December 17,, 2008
UMTS900 Market Overview

Alan Hadden, President
Global mobile Suppliers Association
www.gsacom.com
GSA Secretariat Tel +44 1279 439 667 info@gsacom.com
www.gsacom.com
UMTS900 Market Overview: GSM>3G Middle East, Dubai: December 17, 2008
Global mobile Suppliers Association 2008

Slide no. 1/35
GSA - delivering market intelligence and authoritative information for the

industry globally
www.gsacom.com
RSS newsfeed http://www.gsacom.com/rss/gsanews.php4
Mobile site http://gsacom.mobi
Website targeted to industry, operators, regulators, analysts, media,

government, consultants, suppliers, services/apps developers, content
industry,
industry distribution channels
56,100 people from 199 countries used the GSA website in past year
GSA Surveys include:
GSA Information Papers include:
HSPA Operator Commitments
UMTS 900 Global Status
WCDMA Launches
LTE Long Term Evolution
HSPA Devices
Evolution of Network Speeds
3G Apps
A
and
dS
Services
i
M bil Broadband
Mobile
B
db d Spectrum
S
t
Mobile broadband success stories
EDGE Evolution
EDGE Operators Worldwide
US 700 MHz Spectrum and Auction 73 results
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 2/35
Download this chart at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4
Fast Facts
The GSM technology family embraces GPRS, EDGE, WCDMA-HSPA all open 3GPP standards
O 33.38
Over
38 billi
billion GSM
GSM, WCDMA,
WCDMA HSPA subs
b (Q3 08)
GSM, WCDMA = 88.5% mobile market share (Q3 08)
Over 262 million WCDMA subs incl. HSPA ((Q3 08))
102.6 million growth in year = over 64% growth
239 3G/WCDMA operators launched in 101 countries

= 70% share of commercial 3G networks
1,700 + WCDMA devices launched by 150 + suppliers
260 HSDPA network
t k commitments
it
t in
i 110 countries,
ti
including 232 commercial launches in 102 countries
Over 65 million HSPA subscriptions, 30 June 2008
Over 92% of WCDMA operators also launched HSPA
Over 75% of commercial GSM/GPRS operators

globally have committed to EDGE
116 HSDPA networks launched in Europe; HSDPA

is available in all 27 EU member states
1,095 HSDPA devices launched by 148 suppliers
281 devices support tri-band 850/1900/2100
363 GSM/EDGE network commitments in 165

countries; 313 network launches, 147 countries
2,000 + GSM/EDGE devices launched
163 HSDPA operators launched 3.6 Mbps (peak) or

higher = > 70% of live HSDPA operators.
> 63% off WCDMA

WCDMA-HSPA
HSPA operators
t also
l llaunched
h d
EDGE for service continuity, best user experience
671 HSDPA devices

d i
supportt 3.6
3 6 Mbps
Mb or higher
hi h
Network deployments, devices data source: GSA surveys

M bil subscribers
Mobile
b ib source: Informa
I f
T
Telecoms
l
&M
Media
di
www.gsacom.com
79 operators ( > 34%) launched 7.2 Mbps; 337 devices

65 HSUPA network launches; 14 additional HSUPA
network commitments; 153 HSUPA devices launched
Slide no. 3/35
The global GSM success story: 30.09.08

(data source: Informa Telecoms and Media)
GSM Global subs: 3.381
GSM market share at 30.09.08

= 88.5%
(GSM market share Q1 2007 = 84.63%)
GSM = GSM, GPRS/EDGE, WCDMA-HSPA
BRIC countries combined total exceeds

1.1 BILLION GSM subscriptions
www.gsacom.com
billion
APAC: > 1.421 billion

Western Europe: 560 million
including > 107 million WCDMA
Western Hemisphere: 500 million
Latin America: 378 million
Africa: 340 million including
5.6 million WCDMA
GSM driving the growth in BRIC
Brazil: 122.8 million
Russia: 181.3 million
India + China total: 799.1 million
Slide no. 4/35
3G/WCDMA-HSPA driving
Global Uptake of Mobile Broadband
Mobile Broadband
enabled worldwide by
WCDMA HSPA
WCDMA-HSPA
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 5/35
260 HSPA network commitments

Download map at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4
Over 92% of commercial

WCDMA operators have
launched HSPA
260 HSDPA network
commitments
co
t e ts in 110
0 cou
countries
t es
232 HSDPA commercial
operators in 102 countries
GSA survey: HSPA Operator Commitments

December 12, 2008
www.gsacom.com
65 HSUPA operators launched

in 40 countries

Slide no. 6/35
Commercial HSPA operators globally and by region
Download charts at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4

D
Download
l d chart
h t att www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4
/
/ t ti ti
h 4
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 7/35
WCDMA (including HSPA) has over 70% market

share of global 3G subscriptions
262.4 million WCDMA subs incl.

HSPA (Q3 08)
102.6 million growth in year =
over 64.2% annual growth
Over 65 million
O
illi HSPA
subscriptions (Q2 08 this is the
latest date we have firm information for))
Download charts at www

www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4
gsacom com/news/statistics php4
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 8/35
HSPA network speed evolution
7.2 Mbps
1.8 Mbps
3.6 Mbps
Next step for many operators

is HSPA Evolved (HSPA+)
www.gsacom.com
> 70% of HSDPA

networks support
3.6 Mbps peak or
higher
> 34% of HSDPA

networks support
7.2 Mbps peak or
higher
HSPA Operator Commitments Survey:

GSA December 12, 2008
Slide no. 9/35
HSPA devices
mainstream
HSPA
Devicesare
address
all market segments
Download charts at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 10/35
GAMBOD available now!

New analysis tool for HSPA devices
For Operators and GSA Members
www.gsacom.com/gambod
GSA Analyzer for Mobile Broadband Devices

Search by:
Device manufacturer, model
Form factor
Operating
p
g frequencies
q
EDGE support
HSDPA peak speed and HSUPA peak speed
Features including GPS,
GPS WLAN,
WLAN TV
GAMBOD OUTPUTS:
Lists, spreadsheets, charts
Updates via RSS
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 11/35
HSPA will dominate, as take-up of wireless

broadband flourishes
Wireless broadband
customers worldwide, by
technology, 20082015
Analysys Mason
Insight: 31 July 2008
www.analysysmason.com
Reproduced with kind

permission of Analysys Mason
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 12/35
Evolution in Radio Access Networks

Reducing end-to-end delivery cost/byte/Hz
Download the chart at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4

www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 13/35
Mobile Broadband Frequency Bands
4WCDMA systems
t
iincluding
l di HSPA are ttoday
d d
deployed
l
d iin th
the 850
850,
900, 1700, 1800, 1900, and 2100 MHz bands
4Most
Most operate in IMT-2000
IMT 2000 core band 1920-1980/21102170
1920 1980/2110 2170 MHz
4Lower frequency bands
4850, 900 MHz deliver coverage and cost efficiencies and are increasing in
importance. The eco-system in these bands is rapidly strengthening
4700 MHz is a global band; 62 MHz auctioned in US; soon Canada, Mexico
4790 862 MHz will be available from 2009 (Digital Dividend e.g.
e g Europe)
4New spectrum at 2.6 GHz is becoming available:

4N
4Norway,
S
Sweden
d ((auctions
ti
completed).
l t d) F
Forthcoming
th
i allocations:
ll
ti
42008/9: Hong Kong, Germany, Finland, UK, Austria, Netherlands
42010: France .. others
others.
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 14/35
Multi-band HSPA devices

- global roaming using tri-band devices
281 ttri-band
i b d 850/1900/2100 HSPA d
devices
i
facilitate global roaming
Ch t generated
Charts
t db
by
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 15/35
UMTS/WCDMA-HSPA in lower frequency bands
Growing awareness of benefits of deploying 3G/HSPA in 900 MHz band:

typically referred to as UMTS900 (or WCDMA-HSPA900)
Gaining traction amongst operators and regulators across Europe, Asia,
Oceania, Middle East, Africa
Similar benefits are obtained with HSPA deployments in 850 MHz band,
e.g.
g commercial systems
y
today
y in Australia ((Telstra Next G network),
),
and across the Americas
UMTS900 and UMTS2100 deployments are complementary
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 16/35
UMTS900 benefits
4Same coverage with

4S
ith 2 tto 3 ti
times ffewer sites
it vs. 2100 MHz
MH
4significantly lower cost (CAPEX and OPEX)
4Allows operators to provide mobile broadband more cost-efficiently
4All existing
i ti 3G applications
li ti
can b
be provided
id d and
d used
d cost-efficiently
t ffi i tl over
much larger geographical area
4Ideal for rural and suburban areas as the first step
4Same data rates using 900 MHz as for 2100 MHz
4Same cell radius for packet data services as GSM900 voice
4optimizes coverage and performance
4re-use GSM900 sites/spectrum to fill in areas not covered by 2100 MHz
4Improves Quality of Service and the user experience
4Drives ARPU growth in 3G services
4Indoor coverage also improves using 900 MHz; helps in urban areas
Economic motivation UMTS900 is a business decision
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 17/35
UMTS900 commercialization
4S d di i
4Standardization
4completed by 3GPP in December 2005
4Infrastructure and user devices
4Infrastructure shipping from leading vendors; services commercially launched

4UMTS900 devices availability rapidly improving; 74 devices (GSA: December 9, 2008)
4Regulation
4Use of 900 MHz in Europe covered by the GSM Directive

Approval is required e.g. in Europe, to permit WCDMA-HSPA
WCDMA HSPA 900 deployment
4Approval
4In 2007 the European Commission proposed to EU Council and Parliament repeal of the
GSM Directive and drafted a Decision for more flexible approach, which would permit use for
3G/UMTS
4EU Council
C
il reacted
t d positively,
iti l b
butt P
Parliament
li
t reluctant
l t t tto repeall GSM Di
Directive
ti
4Resolution unlikely before 2009, noting simultaneous discussions on the review of the
Regulatory Framework on Electronic Communications
Several countries are pressing ahead, allowing UMTS900 deployments
4Several
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 18/35
900 MHz band re-farming: regulatory status
With the prospect of ubiquitous mobile

broadband more regulators are
broadband,
appreciating the promise and benefits
of WCDMA-HSPA (UMTS) at 900 MHz
Benefits already proven in other

regions where licensing is not
technology specific: e
e.g.
g in the
Americas, where UMTS850 is today
delivering similar benefits as what is
possible with UMTS900
Source: GSA UMTS900 Global Status

Information Paper
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 19/35
Source: GSA UMTS900 Global Status Information Paper
UMTS900 networks in commercial service

(WCDMA-HSPA)
(WCDMA
HSPA)
Elisa Finland
Elisa,
UMTS900
service launch
November 2007
DNA Finnet,, Finland
October 2008
Elisa, Estonia
December 2007
AIS, Thailand
May 2008
Optus, Australia
May 2008
Vodafone, Australia
July 2008
Siminn, Iceland
December 2008
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 20/35
74 UMTS900-HSPA Devices
UMTS900 is becoming a standard
feature in virtually every new 3G
phone and data modem destined
for European and Asian markets
The 900/2100MHz combination for

WCDMA-HSPA is becoming much more
commonplace
Charts generated by
GSA HSPA Devices Survey: December 9, 2008
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 21/35
UMTS900 Operator Case Study

- Elisa in Finland
GSA operator case study on Elisa in

Finland shows significant cost and
coverage benefits of deploying 3G
services in 900 MHz band
The availability of this first operator-based
operator based
UMTS900 case study is a significant development,
bringing clear business, technical insights and
g which will greatly
g
y assist the extension
learnings
of mobile broadband services to all
GSA press release:
www.gsacom.com/news/gsa 252.php4
www.gsacom.com/news/gsa_252.php4
UMTS900 Operator Case Study on Elisa (September 2008)

http://www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 22/35
Elisa HSPA network
4HSDPA launch in April 2006; the first operator

in Nordic countries
4From the beginning HSDPA launched in the
whole 3G network
475% population coverage for 3G/HSPA
services
4HSUPA available since August 2007; first
operator in Nordic countries
43G/HSPA at 900 MHz (UMTS900) launched
commerciallyy 8th Nov 2007
4First UMTS900 operator in the world
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 23/35
UMTS900 saves CAPEX and OPEX
UMTS900 in
Pertunmaa
There are less sites in

Pertunmaa than in Heinola,
but clearly larger coverage
area
UMTS2100
in Heinola
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 24/35
UMTS900: cost reduction in rural/suburban areas
UMTS2100
Capex
Opex
-50
50 .. -70
70 %
cost reduction
for the same
coverage
UMTS900
UMTS at 2100 MHz
www.gsacom.com
UMTS at 900 MHz

Slide no. 25/35
UMTS900: CAPEX saving
I
Increasing
i d
demand
d tto h
have more 3G/HSPA coverage
should work everywhere outdoors & indoors

Around 4 times less UMTS900 sites needed compared 2100
UMTS900 provides coverage similar to GSM900

Better outdoor coverage means also better indoor coverage when no
dedicated indoors solution not used
Site sharing enabled by similarity to GSM900
No new sites needed: save site hunting & building

usage of existing power supply and transmission possible
Antenna line sharing enables additional savings
less new RF equipment and less man-work needed
Faster to build, less resource hungry, investments faster in use
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 26/35
Site sharing methods
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 27/35
OPEX savings
Less sites means huge OPEX savings

less rents for site locations,, less rents for transmission
less power needed (bigger coverage with the same power)
maintenance is cheaper
Site sharing leads to big OPEX savings as less new space is needed
sharing of existing base station footprint and antenna place
sharing of existing site supply (power, transmission, cooling etc.)
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 28/35
Options to refarm 900 MHz for UMTS900

- while maintaining the GSM quality
Option 1: There are enough channels to be taken out for UMTS900
in the rural areas where GSM is planned based on coverage, i.e. the maximum
number of TRX p
per sector is 2
Option 2: Via GSM investments enough channels can be allocated to deploy UMTS900
typically in suburban areas and traffic routes
Option 3: Via migrating traffic to UMTS2100 enough channels can be allocated to
deploy UMTS900
in small cities and suburban areas and high traffic routes
Option 4: Deployment of UMTS900 is not yet possible
in downtown or other densely populated urban areas
Note 1: EGSM suits well for both GSM900 and UMTS900 usage
Note 2: If GSM900 channel block divided in parts, some expensive resources may be wasted
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 29/35
UMTS900 Operator Case

- Optus, Australia
UMTS900 commercial launch: May 08

870 UMTS900 live sites now in service
National rollout almost completed. 3G/HSPA
network will reach 96% of the Australian
population using 2100MHz and 900MHz. The
majority of coverage is using 900 MHz
Excellent voice services compared to the GSM
network; UMTS900 is providing a much better
service on the fringe of coverage
Source: Optus for GSA UMTS900 Information Paper

www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 30/35

- Optus, Australia
4Excellent feedback from customers, not only for access to HSPA, but also the excellent voice
services compared to the GSM network
4UMTS900 is providing a much better service on the fringe of coverage
4its ability to be used at lower signal levels maintaining good voice quality is a selling point
4coverage is king in regional Australia
The vast majority of regional sites are being activated with cell extension to provide coverage
4The
up to 60km on many sites
4up to 120km on big boomers
4The benefits of in building penetration compared to UMTS2100 is well publicised
4plan to underlay UMTS900 in an area where UMTS2100 is already deployed
4this will allow to push the inter workings of the two frequencies, especially for capacity
planning in areas Optus may only have one carrier,
carrier as well as reducing
reducing, where appropriate
appropriate,
the requirement to acquire greenfield sites
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 31/35
UMTS850 networks in commercial service

(WCDMA-HSPA)
UMTS850 commercial launch: October 06
Worlds largest UMTS 850 network. Telstra's
Next G network covers more than 1.9 million
square kilometres. Network now provides
mobile broadband access to 99 per cent of
Australians, spanning city to country including
many remote coastal and rural communities
(www.telstra.com.au)
Several commercial
UMTS850 networks
throughout the Americas
Significant ecosystem UMTS 850 exists

393 HSPA devices (excl.
(excl notebooks)
operating in 850 MHz band launched in the
market
(Source: GSA HSPA Devices survey December 9
9, 2008)
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 32/35

- Siminn, Iceland
Launched
L
h d UMTS900 services
i
in
i HSDPA
7,2 / HSUPA 1,4.
The main focus is the beginning is the
costal area around Iceland using fairly
high mountain sites for extended range
use. The customer target is data
services
i
for
f the
th fishing
fi hi
fleet
fl t up to
t
+100Km from the coast (ext. antenna).
Q
Plan for full formal service launce Q1
2009; network is already commercial
and open for customers as the sites are
activated. Starting with close to 20 sites
f th
for
the costal
t l project
j t and
d planning
l
i
for
f
land rural UMTS900 in 2010
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 33/35

- TeliaSonera
TeliaSonera has conducted successful trials of both Ericsson

and Nokia Siemens Networks UMTS900 base stations
Source: TeliaSonera for GSA UMTS900 Information Paper

www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 34/35
Free download
UMTS 900 Global Status Information Paper
Free download (to registered site

users))
www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4
www.gsacom.com

Slide no. 35/35

1 - GSA UMTS900 Market Update Dubai UMTS900 Workshop 171208

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Formats disponibles

UMTS900 Workshop, Dubai

GSM>3G Middle East: December 17,, 2008

UMTS900 Market Overview

GSA Secretariat Tel +44 1279 439 667 info@gsacom.com

Global mobile Suppliers Association 2008

GSA - delivering market intelligence and authoritative information for the

Website targeted to industry, operators, regulators, analysts, media,

GSA Information Papers include:

HSPA Operator Commitments

UMTS 900 Global Status

LTE Long Term Evolution

Evolution of Network Speeds

Mobile broadband success stories

EDGE Operators Worldwide

US 700 MHz Spectrum and Auction 73 results

Global mobile Suppliers Association 2008

Download this chart at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4

239 3G/WCDMA operators launched in 101 countries

Over 65 million HSPA subscriptions, 30 June 2008

Over 92% of WCDMA operators also launched HSPA

Over 75% of commercial GSM/GPRS operators

116 HSDPA networks launched in Europe; HSDPA

363 GSM/EDGE network commitments in 165

163 HSDPA operators launched 3.6 Mbps (peak) or

> 63% off WCDMA

671 HSDPA devices

Network deployments, devices data source: GSA surveys

79 operators ( > 34%) launched 7.2 Mbps; 337 devices

The global GSM success story: 30.09.08

GSM Global subs: 3.381

GSM market share at 30.09.08

BRIC countries combined total exceeds

APAC: > 1.421 billion

Global mobile Suppliers Association 2008

260 HSPA network commitments

Over 92% of commercial

GSA survey: HSPA Operator Commitments

65 HSUPA operators launched

Global mobile Suppliers Association 2008

Commercial HSPA operators globally and by region

Download charts at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4

Global mobile Suppliers Association 2008

WCDMA (including HSPA) has over 70% market

262.4 million WCDMA subs incl.

Download charts at www

Global mobile Suppliers Association 2008

HSPA network speed evolution

Next step for many operators

> 70% of HSDPA

> 34% of HSDPA

HSPA Operator Commitments Survey:

Global mobile Suppliers Association 2008

GAMBOD available now!

GSA Analyzer for Mobile Broadband Devices

Global mobile Suppliers Association 2008

HSPA will dominate, as take-up of wireless

Reproduced with kind

Global mobile Suppliers Association 2008

Evolution in Radio Access Networks

Download the chart at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4

Global mobile Suppliers Association 2008

Mobile Broadband Frequency Bands

4New spectrum at 2.6 GHz is becoming available:

Global mobile Suppliers Association 2008