National Tracking Poll

Project: 160802
N Size: 2001 Registered Voters
Margin of Error: 2%
August 04-05, 2016

Topline Report
Question
P1

Response

Frequency

Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the
right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten o on the wrong track?
Right Direction
Wrong Track

P2NET

96
965
75

48%
48%
4%

464
497
32
644
75

23%
25%
6%
32%
4%

Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your
mind when you cast your vote for federal oces such as U.S. Senate or Congress?
Economic Issues
Security Issues
Health Care Issues
Seniors Issues
Womens Issues
Education Issues
Energy Issues
Other

ID1_12NET

30%
70%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

Strongly Approve
Somewhat Approve
Somewhat Disapprove
Strongly Disapprove
Dont Know / No Opinion

P3

606
395

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

Approve
Disapprove
Dont Know / No Opinion

P2

Percentage

667
56
204
277
60
30
74
73

33%
26%
0%
4%
3%
7%
4%
4%

Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential
candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list
carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please
indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable,
or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of the person, but
do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. Donald Trump
Total Favorable
Total Not Favorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

74
207
59
2

36%
60%
3%
%

Page | 1

Question
ID1_12

Response

Frequency

Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential
candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list
carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please
indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable,
or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of the person, but
do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. Donald Trump
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable
Very Unfavorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

ID2_1NET

353
362
228
979
59
2

8%
8%
%
49%
3%
%

Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential
candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list
carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please
indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable,
or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of the person, but
do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. Hillary Clinton
Total Favorable
Total Not Favorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

ID2_1

Percentage

843
08
44
6

42%
55%
2%
0%

Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential
candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list
carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please
indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable,
or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of the person, but
do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. Hillary Clinton
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable
Very Unfavorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

425
48
25
857
44
6

2%
2%
3%
43%
2%
0%

Page | 2

Question
ID2_7NET

Response

Frequency

Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential
candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list
carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please
indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable,
or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of the person, but
do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. Bernie Sanders
Total Favorable
Total Not Favorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

ID2_7

055
764
48
34

53%
38%
7%
2%

Next we will look at a list of names that have been talked about as potential
candidates for President. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list
carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please
indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable,
or Very Unfavorable opinion of each individual. If you have heard of the person, but
do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion. Bernie Sanders
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable
Very Unfavorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

ID3_2NET

Percentage

40
645
357
407
48
34

2%
32%
8%
20%
7%
2%

Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Mitch McConnell
Total Favorable
Total Not Favorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

359
742
424
476

8%
37%
2%
24%

Page | 3

Question
ID3_2

Response

Frequency

Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Mitch McConnell
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable
Very Unfavorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

ID3_3NET

65
294
334
408
424
476

3%
5%
7%
20%
2%
24%

Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Paul Ryan
Total Favorable
Total Not Favorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

ID3_3

Percentage

703
739
342
28

35%
37%
7%
%

Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Paul Ryan
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable
Very Unfavorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

72
53
379
360
342
28

9%
27%
9%
8%
7%
%

Page | 4

Question
ID3_4NET

Response

Frequency

Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Bill Clinton
Total Favorable
Total Not Favorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

ID3_4

986
868
24
22

49%
43%
6%
%

Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Bill Clinton
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable
Very Unfavorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

ID3_6NET

Percentage

463
524
305
563
24
22

23%
26%
5%
28%
6%
%

Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Nancy Pelosi
Total Favorable
Total Not Favorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

544
93
335
209

27%
46%
7%
0%

Page | 5

Question
ID3_6

Response

Frequency

Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Nancy Pelosi
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable
Very Unfavorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

ID3_7NET

62
382
37
596
335
209

8%
9%
6%
30%
7%
0%

Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Charles Schumer
Total Favorable
Total Not Favorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

ID3_7

Percentage

373
528
432
668

9%
26%
22%
33%

Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Charles Schumer
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable
Very Unfavorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

97
276
267
26
432
668

5%
4%
3%
3%
22%
33%

Page | 6

Question

Response

Frequency

Percentage

indPresApp_9NET Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Gary Johnson
Total Favorable
Total Not Favorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of
indPresApp_9

393
462
475
67

20%
23%
24%
34%

Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Gary Johnson
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable
Very Unfavorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

94
299
29
7
475
67

5%
5%
5%
9%
24%
34%

indPresApp_10NET Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Mike Pence
Total Favorable
Total Not Favorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

649
602
398
352

32%
30%
20%
8%

Page | 7

Question
indPresApp_10

Response

Frequency

Percentage

Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Mike Pence
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable
Very Unfavorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

238
42
295
307
398
352

2%
2%
5%
5%
20%
8%

indPresApp_11NET Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Tim Kaine
Total Favorable
Total Not Favorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of
indPresApp_11

28%
29%
23%
2%

Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please
take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each
name below.For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat
Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of eachIf you have
heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No Opinion.If
you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. Tim Kaine
Very Favorable
Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable
Very Unfavorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of

v16g5

559
574
45
47

7
388
303
27
45
47

9%
9%
5%
4%
23%
2%

If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Democrat
Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Dont Know / No Opinion

95
733
353

46%
37%
8%

Page | 8

Question
v16g17b

Response

Frequency

If the 2016 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Democrat
Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green
Party candidate Jill Stein, for whom would you vote?
Democrat Hillary Clinton
Republican Donald Trump
Libertarian Gary Johnson
Green Partys Jill Stein
Dont Know / No Opinion

v16g18

4%
33%
9%
5%
3%

875
724
402

44%
36%
20%

98
9

5%
49%

As of today, do you lean more toward the... (N=388)

Democratic candidate
Republican candidate

v16GOPprim

84
652
79
94
262

If the election for for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the
following candidates are you most likely to vote for?
Democratic candidate
Republican candidate
Dont Know / No Opinion

v16g18_ln

Percentage

Which candidate did you support in the 2016 Republican primary for President?
(N=736)
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Ben Carson
Jeb Bush
Someone Else
Dont Know / No Opinion

96
352
42
63
64
26
4
53

3%
48%
6%
9%
9%
4%
6%
7%

Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calculated for registered voters with demographic post-strati cation weights applied.

Page | 9

Morning Consu;t
Respondent Demographics Summary

Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics
Demographic

Frequency

Percentage

Registered Voters

200

00%

Gender: Male
Gender: Female
N

933
068
200

47%
53%

Age: 18-29
Age: 30-44
Age: 45-54
Age: 55-64
Age: 65+
N

34
504
355
400
427
200

6%
25%
8%
20%
2%

PID: Dem (no lean)

PID: Ind (no lean)
PID: Rep (no lean)
N

760
650
59
200

38%
32%
30%

PID/Gender: Dem Men

PID/Gender: Dem Women
PID/Gender: Ind Men
PID/Gender: Ind Women
PID/Gender: Rep Men
PID/Gender: Rep Women
N

340
420
322
328
272
320
200

7%
2%
6%
6%
4%
6%

xdemTea

Tea Party: Supporter

Tea Party: Not Supporter
N

565
42
986

28%
7%

xdemIdeo3

Ideo: Liberal (1-3)

Ideo: Moderate (4)
Ideo: Conservative (5-7)
N

637
474
70
8

32%
24%
35%

Educ: < College

Educ: Bachelors degree
Educ: Post-grad
N

35
444
24
200

66%
22%
2%

Income: Under 50k

Income: 50k-100k
Income: 100k+
N

80
608
23
200

59%
30%
%

xdemAll
xdemGender

Group

age5

xpid3

xpidGender

xeduc3

xdemInc3

Continued on next page

Page | 10

National Tracking Poll #160802, August, 2016

Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics

Demographic

Frequency

Percentage

Ethnicity: White

630

8%

xdemHispBin

Ethnicity: Hispanic

79

9%

demBlackBin

Ethnicity: Afr. Am.

257

3%

Ethnicity: Other

6%

Relig: Protestant
Relig: Roman Catholic
Relig: Ath./Agn./None
Relig: Something Else
N

548
46
529
294
788

27%
2%
26%
5%

xreligion1

Relig: Jewish

36

2%

xreligion2

Relig: Evangelical
Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics
N

60
566
76

30%
28%

xreligion3

Relig: All Christian

Relig: All Non-Christian
N

76
824
999

59%
4%

xdemUsr

Community: Urban
Community: Suburban
Community: Rural
N

555
869
577
200

28%
43%
29%

xdemEmploy

Employ: Private Sector

Employ: Government
Employ: Self-Employed
Employ: Homemaker
Employ: Student
Employ: Retired
Employ: Unemployed
Employ: Other
N

66
36
65
64
76
525
72
48
200

3%
7%
8%
8%
4%
26%
9%
7%

xdemJobStatus

Job Type: White-collar

Job Type: Blue-collar
Job Type: Dont Know
N

704
909
388
200

35%
45%
9%

xdemMilHH1

Military HH: Yes

Military HH: No
N

37
630
200

9%
8%

xdemWhite

demRaceOther
xrelNet

Group

Continued on next page

Page | 11

Morning Consu;t
Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics

Demographic

Frequency

Percentage

RD/WT: Right Direction

RD/WT: Wrong Track
N

606
395
200

30%
70%

Obama Job: Approve

Obama Job: Disapprove
N

96
965
926

48%
48%

#1 Issue: Economy
#1 Issue: Security
#1 Issue: Health Care
#1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security
#1 Issue: Womens Issues
#1 Issue: Education
#1 Issue: Energy
#1 Issue: Other
N

667
56
204
277
60
30
74
73
200

33%
26%
0%
4%
3%
7%
4%
4%

xsubVote14O

2014 Vote: Democrat

2014 Vote: Republican
2014 Vote: Other
2014 Vote: Didnt Vote
N

747
65
75
56
997

37%
3%
4%
28%

xsubVote12O

2012 Vote: Barack Obama

2012 Vote: Mitt Romney
2012 Vote: Other
2012 Vote: Didnt Vote
N

874
626
78
42
999

44%
3%
4%
2%

4-Region: Northeast
4-Region: Midwest
4-Region: South
4-Region: West
N

365
472
743
42
200

8%
24%
37%
2%

xnr1

xnr2Bin

xnr3

xreg4

Group

Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calculated with demographic post-strati cation weights applied.

Page | 12

National Tracking Poll #160802, August, 2016

Page | 13