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NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll

August 2016
Pennsylvania Questionnaire

Residents: n=1022, MOE +/-3.1%


Registered Voters: n=834, MOE +/- 3.4%
Screener
<Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older?

Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Pennsylvania?


HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY
GENDER GUESS
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as
president?
REGISTERED VOTERS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are:*
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, the Democrats
Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans
Neither
Other
Undecided
Total

August 2016
50
44
6
100

July 2016
48
43
9
100

April 2016
49
47
4
100

August 2016
49
42
8
100

July 2016
49
41
10
100

April 2016
49
46
5
100

August 2016
48

July 2016
45
36
11
2
6
100

April 2016
54

37
8
1
6
100

* Surveys prior to August 2016 did not include Tim Kaine and Mike Pence
If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
Donald Trump, the Republican
Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
Jill Stein, of the Green Party
Other
Undecided
Total

August 2016
45
36
9
3
1
6
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Pennsylvania Poll August 2016; Page 1

July 2016
43
35
8
2
2
9
100

39
n/a
n/a
7
100

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Hillary


Clinton?
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

RESIDENTS

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Donald


Trump?
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total
Favorable
Unfavorable
Unsure/Never heard
Total

RESIDENTS

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Tim Kaine?


REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never heard
Unsure
Total
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never heard
Unsure
Total

Favorable
Unfavorable
Never heard
Unsure
Total

53
4
100

July 2016
39
55
6
100

August 2016
40
53
7
100

July 2016
38
54
8
100

August 2016
31
63
6
100

July 2016
29
62
9
100

August 2016
30
63
7
100

July 2016
29
62
9
100

August 2016
40
24
9
28
100

RESIDENTS

Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Mike


Pence?
REGISTERED VOTERS
Favorable
Unfavorable
Never heard
Unsure
Total

August 2016
43

RESIDENTS

August 2016
36
23
12
29
100

August 2016
39
29
9
24
100
August 2016
34
28
13
25
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Pennsylvania Poll August 2016; Page 2

If November's election for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania were held today,


whom would you support if the candidates are: [including those who are
undecided yet leaning toward a candidate]
REGISTERED VOTERS
Katie McGinty, the Democrat
Pat Toomey, the Republican
Other
Undecided
Total
Are you male or female?
Male
Female
Total
Male
Female
Total

August 2016
48
44
<1
7
100

July 2016
47
44
2
8
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

August 2016
47
53
100

July 2016
48
52
100

RESIDENTS

August 2016
48
52
100

July 2016
48
52
100

Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist Pennsylvania Poll of 1,022 Adults


This survey of 1,022 adults was conducted August 3rd through August 7th, 2016 by The Marist Poll sponsored and funded in partnership with NBC
News and The Wall Street Journal . Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of Pennsylvania were contacted on landline or mobile
numbers and interviewed in English or Spanish by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based
upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state of Pennsylvania from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to
ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Respondents in the household were randomly selected by first asking for
the youngest male. This landline sample was combined with respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers from Survey
Sampling International. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection. After the interviews were completed, the two samples
were combined and balanced to reflect the 2013 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, race and region.
Results are statistically significant within 3.1 percentage points. There are 834 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically
significant within 3.4 percentage points. The error margin was not adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations.

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Pennsylvania Poll August 2016; Page 3