Vous êtes sur la page 1sur 85

EvolutionoftheElectricIndustry

StructureintheU.S.and
ResultingIssues

Preparedfor:
ElectricMarketsResearchFoundation

NavigantConsulting,Inc.
120019thStreetNW
Suite700
Washington,DC20036

202.973.2400
www.navigant.com

October8,2013

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.

Copyright
Thisreportisprotectedbycopyright.Anycopying,reproduction,performanceorpublicationin
anyformwithouttheexpresswrittenconsentofNavigantConsulting,Inc.isprohibited.

No Warranties or Representations, Limitation of Liability


Thisreport(TheReport)waspreparedforElectricMarketsResearchFoundationonterms
specificallylimitingtheliabilityofNavigantConsulting,Inc.(Navigant).Navigantsconclusions
aretheresultsoftheexerciseofitsreasonableprofessionaljudgmentbaseduponinformation
believedtobereliable.ThisReportisprovidedforinformationalpurposesonly.Navigantaccepts
nodutyofcareorliabilityofanykindwhatsoevertothereaderoranyotherthirdparty,andall
partieswaiveandreleaseNavigantforallclaims,liabilitiesanddamages,ifany,sufferedasaresult
ofdecisionsmade,ornotmade,oractionstaken,ornottaken,basedonthisreport.Useofthis
Reportbyreaderforwhateverpurposeshouldnot,anddoesnot,absolvereaderfromusingdue
diligenceinverifyingtheReportscontents.

ElectricMarketsResearchFoundation
NavigantconductedthisstudyfortheElectricMarketsResearchFoundation(EMRF).EMRFwas
establishedin2012asamechanismtofundcredibleexpertresearchontheexperienceintheUnited
Stateswithalternativeelectricutilitymarketstructuresthosebroadlycharacterizedasthe
traditionalregulatedmodelwhereutilitieshaveanobligationtoserveallcustomersinadefined
serviceareaandinreturnreceivetheopportunitytoearnafairreturnoninvestments,andthe
centralizedmarketmodelwheregenerationisbidintoacentralmarkettosetpricesandcustomers
generallyhaveachoiceofelectricsupplier.

Duringthefirstfewyearsofrestructuredmarkets,numerousstudiesweredonelookingathow
thesetwotypesofelectricmarketswereoperatingandtheresultsweremixed.Butsincethoseearly
studies,limitedresearchhasbeendoneregardinghowcentralizedmarketsandtraditionally
regulatedutilitieshavefared.TheElectricMarketsResearchFoundationhasbeenformedtofund
studiesbyacademicsandotherexpertsonelectricmarketissuesofcriticalimportance.

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.

TableofContents
1.ExecutiveSummary................................................................................................................i
HistoryandDevelopmentofTraditionalRegulationandCompetitiveMarkets..................................i
TodaysTwoBroadModels.........................................................................................................................iii
SystemReliability.........................................................................................................................................iv
EnvironmentalIssues....................................................................................................................................v
RelativeAllocationofRisksoverTime......................................................................................................vi
ResponsibilitiesforPlanningandtheTypesofPlanningPerformed....................................................vi
InnovationandtheLevelsofResearchandDevelopmentPursued.....................................................vii
StateandFederalGovernment.................................................................................................................viii

2.Introduction............................................................................................................................1
3.HistoryandDevelopmentofTraditionalRegulationandCompetitiveMarkets.....2
3.1DevelopmentofTraditionallyRegulatedMarkets..............................................................................3
3.2PeriodofGrowthandDecliningCosts,19451970..............................................................................6
3.3SlowedGrowthandInflation,SeedsofCompetition,19701990......................................................7
3.4TheAdventofCentralizedMarkets,19901999...................................................................................9
3.5TraditionalRegulationandCentralizedMarketsToday..................................................................13

4.TodaysTwoBroadModels...............................................................................................20
4.1CurrentStatusofCentralizedWholesaleGeneratingMarkets.......................................................20
4.1.1TodaysCentralizedWholesaleGeneratingMarkets..........................................................20
4.1.2EnergyMarkets........................................................................................................................21
4.2 BilateralWholesaleGeneration.............................................................................................................23
4.3TodaysRetailChoiceStatus................................................................................................................23
4.4CostBasedRatesandTraditionalUtilityRegulation.......................................................................24
4.5TheRetailChoiceModel.......................................................................................................................24
4.6DifferencesBetweentheTraditionalandRetailChoiceModels.....................................................26
4.6.1RetailChoiceMarkets..............................................................................................................26
4.6.2PricingforGenerationServices..............................................................................................27

5.SystemReliability................................................................................................................28
5.1DevelopmentoftheMandatoryReliabilityStandards.....................................................................28
5.2TransmissionReliability.......................................................................................................................31
5.2.1TheNERCStandardsandWhoMustComply....................................................................31
5.2.2RoleoftheRegisteredEntitiesandStates.............................................................................33
5.2.3ComplianceMonitoringandEnforcement...........................................................................34
5.3ResourceAdequacy...............................................................................................................................34

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page i

6.EnvironmentalIssues..........................................................................................................39
6.1ImpactsofEnvironmentalRegulation................................................................................................39
6.2DifferingImpactsforDifferentStructures.........................................................................................39
6.2.1GreenhouseGasInitiatives.....................................................................................................40
6.2.2RenewablePortfolioandEnergyEfficiencyResourceStandards.....................................42
6.2.3MercuryandAirToxicsStandards........................................................................................44
6.2.4NationalAmbientAirQualityStandards.............................................................................44
6.2.5CleanAirInterstateRule/CrossStateAirPollutionRule...................................................44
6.2.6RegionalHaze...........................................................................................................................44
6.2.7CoolingWaterIntakeStructures............................................................................................45
6.2.8CoalCombustionResiduals....................................................................................................45

7.RelativeAllocationofRisksoverTime...........................................................................46
7.1TraditionallyRegulatedModel............................................................................................................46
7.2CentralizedMarketModel....................................................................................................................47

8.ResponsibilitiesforPlanningandtheTypesofPlanningPerformed......................51
8.1TheTransmissionPlanningFramework.............................................................................................51
8.1.1RegionalPlanningandtheInclusionofNonIncumbentTransmissionDevelopers.....51
8.1.2InterregionalPlanningCoordination....................................................................................53
8.1.3CostAllocation.........................................................................................................................54
8.1.4PlanningforPublicPolicyRequirements.............................................................................56
8.2TransmissionSitingandTransmissionGridExpansion..................................................................59
8.3AdequacyPlanningandIntegratedResourcePlanning...................................................................60
8.3.1IntegratedResourcePlanningandProcurementPlans......................................................60

9.InnovationandtheLevelsofResearchandDevelopmentPursued..........................63
9.1DecliningCostsandIncreasingFlexibilityofGenerationTechnologies........................................63
9.2EmergenceofDemandSideAlternatives...........................................................................................65
9.3SmartGrid...............................................................................................................................................66
9.4ResearchandDevelopmentInvestment.............................................................................................67

10.StateandFederalGovernment........................................................................................70

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page ii

ListofFiguresandTables
Figures:
Figure1.HistoricalTimeline19201945................................................................................................................3
Figure2.HistoricalTimeline19451970................................................................................................................6
Figure3.HistoricalTimeline19701990................................................................................................................7
Figure4.HistoricalTimeline19901999................................................................................................................9
Figure5.HistoricalTimeline1999Present.........................................................................................................13
Figure6.RegionalTransmissionOrganizations................................................................................................18
Figure7.StatusofElectricityRestructuring(RetailChoice)byState..............................................................19
Figure8.NERCRegions........................................................................................................................................31
Figure9.StateRPSPolicies...................................................................................................................................42
Figure10.StateEERSPolicies...............................................................................................................................43
Figure11.ForecastedEnergySalesfromAlternativeSuppliers......................................................................49
Figure12.StateswithIntegratedResourcePlanning(orsimilarplanningprocess).....................................62

Tables:
Table1.WholesaleandRetailMarketStructurebyState.................................................................................20
Table2.CentralizedMarketsandtheirAttributes.............................................................................................22
Table3.ExamplesofMarketBasedResourceAdequacyMechanisms..........................................................37
Table4.ExamplesofCostAllocationApproachesUsedbyPlanningRegion...............................................55
Table5.EstimatedNationalAverageLevelizedCostofNewGenerationResourcesin2018.....................64
Table6.EPRIPlannedR&DFundingfor2013and2014..................................................................................69

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page iii

1. ExecutiveSummary
Thispaperexploresthekeypolicyquestionssurroundingtwobroadregulatory/marketstructuresthat
currentlyexistintheUnitedStates(U.S.)invaryingdegrees:traditionalutilityregulationwithout
centralizedmarketsontheonehand,andcentralizedelectricitymarkets,ofteninvolvingrestructured
regulation,ontheother.1Thepaperisintendedasaneducationalpiecefornonindustryexpertsonhow
andwhyelectricutilityregulationhasevolvedandonemodelhasdevelopedinsomeareasofthe
countrywhilenotinothers.Thispaperdoesnotprovideacritiqueofthemarketstructuresnora
quantitativecomparisonbetweenthetwomodels.Thispapermayalsoserveasafoundationfor
identifyingtheissuesthatcharacterizethekeydifferencesbetweentheapproachesandhelpguide
decisionsonfutureresearchprojectsfortheElectricMarketsResearchFoundation.

HistoryandDevelopmentofTraditionalRegulationandCompetitiveMarkets
TheevolutionoftheU.S.electricindustryisahistoryofadaptationtochangesintheoperatingand
regulatoryenvironment.Thefirstchaptertracesthehistoryofthetworegulatory/marketstructures.It
beginsfromtheearlystructureoftheelectricutilityindustryasitdevelopedaroundtheconceptofa
centralsourceofpowerwithverticallyintegratedutilitiesandregulationoftheseentitiesbymunicipal
andstategovernmentalentities.

Duringtheearlytwentiethcentury,electricsystemsgrewrapidly.UndertheRuralElectrificationAct
servicewasextendedtounserved,orunderserved,ruralareas,whichalsogaverisetoruralelectric
cooperativesinmanyareasoftheU.S.Disenchantmentwithprivatelyownedpowerspurredthe
developmentofgovernmentownedutilities,particularlyhydroelectricpowerfacilities.Duringthe
presidencyofFranklinD.Roosevelt(1933to1945),anumberofthesefacilitieswerebuilt,usheringinthe
beginningofpubliclyownedpower.

In1920,theFederalWaterPowerActwaspassedtocoordinatethedevelopmentofthesehydroelectric
projects.ThisactcreatedtheFederalPowerCommission(FPC),nowtheFederalEnergyRegulatory
Commission(FERC).In1935thelawwasrenamedtheFederalPowerActandtheFPCsregulatory
jurisdictionwasexpandedtoincludeallinterstateelectricitytransmissionandsalesofpowerforresale

Withinthetwodifferentgeneralmodelstherearefurtherdistinctions.Thetraditionallyregulatedmodelisoften
characterizedatthewholesalelevelbybilateralresourcetransactionswhileattheretaillevelthetraditional
verticallyintegratedutilityprovides/purchasesallfunctionsrequiredtoprovideservicetotheendusers.The
centralizedmarketmodelgenerallyinvolvestheexistenceofaRegionalTransmissionOrganization(RTO)or
IndependentSystemOperator(ISO)thatadministercentralized,bidbasedmarketsatthewholesalelevelwithsome
degreeofretailcompetitionwherethecustomerhastherighttoprocurepowercompetitivelywithtransmissionand
distributionserviceprovidedbyaregulatedutility.Transmissionanddistributionunderbothmodelsremains
governedbyacostofserviceregulatoryapproach.Further,thereadershouldbeawarethattheremaybeinstances
whereregionsorentitiesgenerallycharacterizedasfunctioningunderacertainbroadmodelmaynotexhibitall
featuresofthatmodel.Forexample,thereareregionsthathavecentralizedwholesaleenergymarketsthatmaynot
haveimplementedretailchoiceinallstateswithinthatregion.Similarly,thereareregionsthatremaintraditionally
regulatedbuthaveelementsofcentralizedmarketsandretailchoice.
1

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page i

andformedthebasisforfederaljurisdictionovertheelectricandnaturalgasindustries,andthe
responsibilitiesoftheFERC.Inthatsameyear,afterseverallargeholdingcompanysystemscollapsed,
thePublicUtilityHoldingCompanyActof1935(PUHCA)waspassed,givingtheSecuritiesand
ExchangeCommissionresponsibilityforregulatingutilityholdingcompanies.UnderTitleII,PUHCA
chargedtheFPCwithregulatingutilitiesinvolvedininterstatewholesalemarketingortransmissionof
electricpower.Regulatoryadministrationoftheratecaseestablishedbaseratesbasedontheactual
normalcostsofprovidingservicedeterminedbytheutilitysrevenuerequirement.

Anumberofdamagingeventsoccurredinthe1960sand1970sthatinterruptedthegrowththathad
occurredinthepriorseveraldecades.First,theNortheastBlackoutof1965raisedconcernsabout
reliability;then,thepassageoftheCleanAirActof1970anditsamendmentsin1977increasedutility
coststoreducepollutingemissions.And,mostsignificantly,theOilEmbargoof19731974resultedin
increasesinfossilfuelprices.In1978,Congresspursuedlegislationtoaddressthesepressuresby
reducingU.S.dependenceonforeignoilanddevelopingrenewableandalternativeenergysources.The
PublicUtilityRegulatoryPoliciesActof1978usheredinagreaterrelianceonmarketforcestoset
wholesaleenergyprices,whilerequiringutilitiestobuypowerattheiravoidedcostfromunaffiliated
alternativeenergyresourcesmeetinganumberofqualifications.Throughoutthelate1980s,utility
interestinwholesaletransactionsgrew,promptedbyanumberoffactors.Someutilitiesfound
themselveswithexcessgenerationbecauseexpecteddemandgrowthdidnotmeetprojectedlevels.In
addition,inthewakeofaggressiveutilityconstructionprograms,regulatorsdeterminedthatsomecosts
wereimprudentandrefusedtoallowtheutilitiestorecovertheminrates.Utilitiessoughttosell
electricityinwholesaletransactionsatmarketbasedrates,andFERCwouldgranttheserequestsupona
showingthattheutilitycouldnotexercisemarketpowertosetprices.

Twosignificantpolicydecisionsoccurredinthe1990sthatprovidedafoundationforenergymarket
development.ThefirstwasthepassageofthefederalEnergyPolicyActof1992(EPACT),whichcreated
anumberofincentivesformarketdevelopment.Thesecondwasthecornerstoneinthecreationof
competitivewholesalepowermarkets,FERCsOrderNo.888.OrderNo.888strovetoeliminateanti
competitivepracticesandunduediscriminationintransmissionservicesthroughauniversallyapplied
openaccesstransmissiontariff.Atthesametimethesechangeswereoccurringinthewholesale
electricitymarkets,agrowingnumberofstateswerealsopursuingarelianceoncompetitivemarketsfor
theretailsupplyofelectricpower.Thistypicallyrequiredtheincumbentutilitytodivestsomeorallof
itsgenerationandbecomeawiresonlydistributionutility.

By2000,FERCwascallingforthevoluntaryformationofregionaltransmissionorganizations(RTOs)
throughitsOrderNo.2000.ThebasisofOrderNo.2000wasFERCsbeliefthatRTOswouldfacilitate
thecontinueddevelopmentofcompetitivewholesalepowermarketsandwouldleadtoimprovements
inreliabilityandmanagementofthetransmissionsystem,eliminatinganyremainingdiscriminatory
practices.However,concurrentwithFERCseffortsunderOrderNo.2000,challengeswerearisingin
theCaliforniamarkets.In2001,Californiasufferedfromflawsinitspowermarketstructureleadingto
theinsolvencyofoneofthelargestutilitiesinthestate.FollowingtheCaliforniaenergymarketcrisis
andablackoutthataffectedalargeportionofthenortheasternU.S.andCanadain2003,Congress
enactedtheEnergyPolicyActof2005(EPAct2005)onAugust8,2005.ThislegislationprovidedFERC
greaterauthoritytooverseewholesaleelectricitymarkets.FERCsubsequentlyissuedOrderNo.890in
2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.
October 8, 2013

Page ii

early2007tocorrectflawsinitsproformaOpenAccessTransmissionTariff(OATT)thathadbeen
uncoveredduringthetenyearssinceOrderNo.888wasissued.

Duringtheautumnof2008,largedisruptionsinthefinancialmarketsalsouncoveredvulnerabilitiesin
theelectricitymarkets.Inresponse,FERCissuedOrderNo.741proposingextensiverevisionstoits
policyonRTO/IndependentSystemOperator(ISO)creditpractices.Congresstookadditionalactionsin
responsetothe2008financialcrisis,includingenactingtheDoddFrankAct,whichhadthepotentialto
affectenergytradingcompaniesandwholesaleenergymarkets.

TodaysTwoBroadModels
Atthewholesalelevel,bilateraltransactionsprevailintheSoutheast,mostoftheSouthwest,partsofthe
MidwestandtheWest,excludingCalifornia.Underthisregime,utilitiesengageinwholesalephysical
powertransactionsthroughbilateralarrangementsrangingfromstandardizedcontractpackages,to
customized,complexcontractsknownasstructuredtransactions.Thisischaracterizedasacomponent
ofthetraditionallyregulatedmodel.AcentralizedmarketmodelisthenormintheNortheast,Mid
Atlantic,muchoftheMidwest,theElectricReliabilityCouncilofTexas(ERCOT),andCalifornia.In
thesemarketsparticipantsbid/offerresourcesintoacentralizedmarketandarepaidauniformclearing
price.

Similarly,twomodelsarecurrentlyemployedintheUnitedStatestodeliverelectricpowertoretail
consumers.ThetraditionalmodelistheVerticallyIntegratedUtility,wherevariousservicesare
bundled,meaningthatallenergyandenergydelivery(transmissionanddistribution)services,aswell
asancillaryandretailservices,areprovidedbyoneentity.2Customersdonothavetheoptionof
selectinganotherproviderforanyoftheseservices,andtheutilityschargesaresetentirelybythe
regulatoryauthorityorgoverningbodyinthecaseofpublicpower.Incontrast,undertheretailchoice
model,customerchoicehasbeenpartiallyorfullyimplemented.Inthismodel,customersmayoften
selecttheirenergyprovider,andtheutilitywilldeliverthepower.Nonutilityenergyproviderscanset
theirownpricingforpower,buttheutilityschargesfordeliveryandrelatedservicesaresetbythe
regulatoryauthority.Traditionalbundledpricingmayalsobeavailablefromtheutility,forsomeor
alltypesofcustomers.3

IntheUnitedStates,traditionalutilitypricing(orratemaking)iscostbased,meaningthattheutilityis
allowedtochargepricesthatwillrecoverprudentoperatingcostsandprovideanopportunitytoearna
reasonablerateofreturnonthepropertydevotedtothebusiness.Amongthehistoricalcriticismsof
costbasedratemakingarethatitcreatesanincentivetooverinvestincapitalintensiveprojectsandfails
toprovideutilitiesproperincentivestooperateefficiently.

AlthoughinthecaseofPublicPower,generationandtransmissionmaybeprovidedbyjointauthoritiesand
bundledbythelocaldistributionutility.
3ItisworthnotingthattheRetailChoicemodelencompassesaspectrumoffeaturesthatmayvaryfromstateto
state.Thekeyfeatures,suchastheexistenceofretailchoiceforatleastsomecustomersandtheavailabilityof
organizedwholesaleenergymarketsarethesame,althoughtheremaybedifferencesinthemanneranddegreeto
whichthesefeaturesareimplemented.
2

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page iii

ThecustomerchoiceaspectoftheRetailChoicemodelwasintroducedintheUnitedStatesinthe1990s
inresponsetohighregulatedpricesinsomeregionsrelativetothecostofwholesalemarkets.Many
consumergroupsfoundretailcompetitionattractivebecausethepricesinemergingwholesalemarkets
weresignificantlybelowtheregulatedretailpriceschargedbyutilities.

Incontrasttothetraditionalregulatedmodel,thecustomerchoicefeatureoftheretailchoicemodel
limitstheoperationoftheregulatedutilitytothetransmissionanddistributionfunctions,where
traditionalcostbasedpricingisimplementedandapprovedbyregulators.Generationservicesare
providedeitherbycompetitiveserviceprovidersorthroughadefaultprovideroflastresort.Retail
choicealsohasitscriticisms;amongthemarethatresidentialparticipationinsomeretailmarketshas
beenslowtomaterialize,inpartbecauseretailsuppliershavenotpursuedresidentialcustomersas
aggressivelyascommercialcustomersduetotheirrelativelysmallsize.Otherfactorsmayincludealack
ofincentives(i.e.,lowerprices)orinformation.

SystemReliability
Reliabilitystandardsorcriteriausedforplanningandoperationsareanintegralpartoftheelectric
powerindustryandhavebeensincetheveryfirstsystemsweredevelopedinthelatenineteenth
century.Therearetwoprincipalcomponentstobulkpowersystem(BPS)reliabilityresourceadequacy
andtransmissionsecurity.4TheareaoftransmissionsecurityisgovernedbyFERC,theNorthAmerican
ElectricReliabilityCorporation(NERC),andtheRegionalEntities(REs).Thestatesstillretainarolein
resourceadequacyandinregulatingthereliabilityoflocaldistributionsystems.

Overtheyears,aseriesofblackouts(the1965NortheastBlackout,theblackoutontheEastCoastinJuly
1977,theWestCoastblackoutsinJulyandAugustof1996,andtheblackoutonAugust14,2003affecting
thenortheasternU.S.andCanada)ledtothecreationofNERCanditsREs.Priorto2005,compliance
withreliabilitystandardswasvoluntary.TheenactmentofEPAct2005eliminatedthevoluntarynature
oftheNERCreliabilitystandards.FERCwaschargedwiththeultimateoversightofelectricreliabilityof
theBulkPowerSystem(BPS).NERC,astheindependentElectricReliabilityOrganization(ERO),along
withitsREsdevelopmandatoryreliabilitystandardssubjecttoFERCapproval,monitorindustry
participantscompliancewiththesestandards,andcanlevypenaltiesfornoncomplianceuptoone
milliondollarsperdayperviolationforthemostseriousviolations.

Currently,thereare102standardswithmorethan1,300requirementsapplicableandmandatoryinthe
U.S.WithintheUnitedStates,otherthanAlaskaandHawaii,allusers,owners,andoperatorsoftheBPS
mustcomplywiththereliabilitystandardsdevelopedbytheEROandregionalreliabilitystandards
developedbytheREs.ThisresponsibilityextendsFERCjurisdictionnotonlytothegovernmentowned
andothersocallednonjurisdictionalutilities,butalsotoutilitiesinTexasaswellastoawiderangeof
nonutilityentitiesthatusethetransmissiongrid.

TheEROscomplianceregistryprocessisusedtoidentifythesetofentitiesthatareresponsiblefor
compliancewithaparticularreliabilitystandardandtheapplicabilitysectionofaparticularreliability
standarddeterminestheapplicabilityofeachreliabilitystandard.TheNERCFunctionalModelprovides

Reliabilityisalsodependentatthelocallevelonthereliabilityofthelocaldistributionsystem.

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page iv

guidanceconcerningthetypeoffunctionforwhichanentityisregisteredand,therefore,theirrolein
maintainingreliability.

RegardlessofwhetherentitiesarelocatedinregionsthathavecentralizedmarketsandRTOs/ISOsora
traditionalregulationstructure,theREsandNERCwillidentifywhomustberegisteredandaswhat
typeoffunctionalentity.Theprimarydifferencebetweenfunctionalresponsibilitiesofentitiesthatexist
inRTOs/ISOsandthosethatdonotisthatRTOs/ISOsoftenperformthefunctionalrolesofbalancing
authority,reliabilitycoordinator,transmissionoperator,andtransmissionplanner.Inregionsthatdo
nothaveRTOs/ISOs,theelectricutilityoftenperformsallthefunctionsandisregisteredasmultiple
functionalentitytypes.Thestatesandothergovernmentalentitiesthathaveregulatoryoversight
functionsmayparticipateasnonvotingmembersinNERCandREactivities,underthegovernment
sector,andmayalsoprovidecommentsinFERCproceedings.

Twoapproacheshavebeenappliedtoachievingtheresourceadequacygoalsmarketbasedandan
administrativeapproach.Withacapacitymarket,suppliersreceiveperiodic(i.e.,annualormonthly)
paymentsforprovidingreliablecapacitytoasystemandLoadServingEntities(LSEs)arerequiredby
theregulatorystandardtopurchasethecapacity.ExamplesofcapacitymarketsarePJM,NYISO,and
ISONE.Therearealsoothervariationstothemarketbasedapproach;theseareenergyonlymarkets(in
ERCOT)andmarketswithadministrativeresourceadequacyrequirementsforLSEs(CAISOandMISO).
Onekeyconcernforconsumersispricevolatilityanduncertainty.Questionsalsoremainastohow
currentmarketdesignwillworktoensurecapacityadequacyinthelongtermateconomicallyefficient
levels.Undertheadministrativeapproach,resourceadequacyisachievedthroughtraditionalIntegrated
ResourcePlanning(IRP)andcompetitiveresourcesolicitation.Onekeyconcernwiththeadministrative
approachisincreasedconsumercostduetouneconomiclongterminvestmentdecisions.Examplesof
administrativeapproachesaretheSouthwestPowerPool,mostoftheWesternElectricityCoordinating
CounciloutsidetheCAISO,andthesoutheastU.S.

EnvironmentalIssues
Market/regulatorystructureplaysanimportantroleinwhetherandhowenvironmentalrequirements
andpoliciesaffectelectricentities.Wherethetraditionallyregulatedmodelprevails,theimpacts
whatevertheyarefallontheutilityandtheassociatedcostsflowtoitscustomersthroughcostbased
rates.Incontrast,wheretherehasbeenarestructuringofutilityregulationandthedevelopmentof
centralizedelectricitymarkets,impactsvarywidely.Autilitythatownsnogenerationwouldnotincur
thedirectexpenseofcomplyingwithenvironmentalrulesrelatingtoemissions,althoughgenerators
wouldtrytoraisepricestorecovercosts.Similarly,generationonlyentitieswouldnotnormallybe
subjecttorenewableportfoliostandards(RPS)orpoliciesfavoringtheuseofrenewableenergy
resources.

Independentgeneratorsincentralizedmarketsareparticularlysensitivetothecostsofenvironmental
regulation,sincethesegeneratorsrelyonmarketpricingratherthancostofservicerates.Uneconomic
generationincompetitivemarketsmayberetiredratherthanoperatedatalossforanyextendedperiod
oftime.Underthetraditionalregulatedmodel,verticallyintegratedutilitiesarealsosensitiveto
environmentalregulation,includingpoliciesorregulationsfavoringrenewables,sincecompliance
wouldincreaseordecreaseitscosts.
2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.
October 8, 2013

Page v

Thecostsandrisksfromproposedenvironmentalregulationswilldifferbyregion,largelyaffecting
thoseregionsofthecountrywithsignificantamountsofexistingcoalfiredgeneration.Whether
environmentalcostsendupbeingpassedthroughincostbasedratesorresultinhighermarketbased
rates,theimpactonelectricityconsumersinthoseregionswillbeconsiderable.

RelativeAllocationofRisksoverTime
Underthetraditionalregulatedmodel,theallocationofrisksiswellestablished.Theutilityhasa
monopolyrighttoprovideelectricservicetoretailcustomers,whointurnareentitledtoelectricityata
reasonablecost.Theutilitysriskinthetraditionalmodelisthatitsrateswillnotrecoveritsactual
investmentandoperatingcostsormeettherateofreturnrequiredforitsinvestorstorisktheirmoney.
Theutilityalsorisksthatitscostswillbedeterminedtohavebeenprudentlyincurredandthatitwill
receivetimelyrecoverythroughtheregulatoryprocess.Thecustomersfacemuchoftheriskofutility
overinvestmentorunderinvestment(eitherthroughbaddecisionmakingoroutofconcernthatitwill
notrecoveritscosts),andunreliableserviceandhighcostsasaresultofineffectiveoperationsorbad
decisionmaking;totheextenttheregulatorsallowutilitiestorecovertheircosts.

Inacentralizedmarketmodel,therisksforcustomersandthemechanismsforaddressingthemarethe
samewithrespecttothetransmissionanddistributionsystem.Ratecasesandregulationarethe
principaltoolstoprotectcustomersfrommonopolyabusesandtosettheutilityspricingforthedelivery
ofelectricity.However,withrespecttogeneration,themarketsetswholesaleenergyprices.Inthese
markets,manygeneratorsinaregioncompetewithoneanothertosupplyelectricity.Theseregionsalso
relyonmarketforcestocauseneededgenerationtobeaddedwhenandwhereitisneededbutsome
marketshavefoundthattheseforcesmaynotbeenoughincentive.Afurthercomplexityinsome
centralizedmarketsiscustomerchoicewhereautilitymustbepreparedtoprocurepowerforachanging
customerbase.

ResponsibilitiesforPlanningandtheTypesofPlanningPerformed
Planningfunctionsencompassadequacyandtransmissionsecurityplanning.Stateandfederal
governmentshaveoverlappingresponsibilitiesforthesetwoaspectsofplanning.Theoversightof
resourceadequacyplanninghastraditionallybeenastatefunctionwhiletransmissionsecurityplanning,
withtheimportantexceptionoftransmissionsiting,hasnowbecomegovernedbyfederallawand
regulationoverseenbyFERC.

Inrecentyears,twokeyFERCOrdershaveencompassedthefieldoftransmissionplanning.Theyare
OrderNo.890andOrderNo.1000,whichapplytoentitieswhetherinRTO/ISOregionswithcentralized
marketsornot.OrderNo.890promotedincreasedopen,transparentandcoordinatedtransmission
planningonsubregional(local)andregionallevels.OrderNo.1000builtuponandextendedmanyof
theideasinitiallyintroducedunderOrderNo.890.AmongthechangesintroducedinOrderNo.1000
arerequirementsforregionalandinterregionalplanning,costallocation,considerationofpublicpolicy
requirements,andeliminationoftheRightofFirstRefusalinwholesaletariffstoconstructnewfacilities.
InareaswhereRTO/ISOshaveformed,transmissionplanningoftenencompassesalargerregionthan
previouslyexistedandiscoordinatedaroundacentralizedprocessesadministeredbytheRTO/ISO.In
areaswheretraditionalregulationremains,planningiscoordinatedbytheverticallyintegratedutilities
2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.
October 8, 2013

Page vi

orpublicpowerentitieswithintheirterritory.Theseterritoriesmayalsoencompasslargeareasdueto
mergersandholdingcompanyconsolidation.Bothtraditionallyregulatedandcompetitivemarket
(RTO/ISO)regionshaveinplaceprocessestocoordinateplanningwiththeirneighboringentities.

Theauthorityovertransmissionsitingisapatchworkquiltofoverlappingandsometimesunclear
divisionsofauthority.Whilethemajorityofsitingauthoritycurrentlylieswiththestates,thereare
instanceswherefederalapprovalsarerequired.TheEnergyPolicyActof2005establishedalimitedrole
fortheU.S.DepartmentofEnergy(DOE)andtheFERCintransmissionsiting.TheactdirectedDOEto
createtransmissioncorridorsinlocationswithadequatetransmissioncapacitythathadnational
interestimplications.TheactalsograntedFERCsecondaryauthorityovertransmissionsitinginthese
corridors,whichmaynotbeexercisedbyFERCunlessthestatewherethefacilitywouldbesitedlacks
theauthoritytoissuethepermit,theapplicantdoesnotqualifyforthepermitinthestate,orthestate
haswithheldapprovalofthepermitformorethanoneyear.

Whilesomeregionshavemovedtodevelopcapacitymarkets,discussedearlier,toensuregeneration
adequacy,manystates,particularlyinareaswherethetraditionallyregulatedmodelremains,have
retainedtheIRPapproach,whichbeganinthelate1980s.StepstakeninanIRPincludeforecasting
futureloads,identifyingpotentialsupplysideanddemandsideresourceoptionstomeetthosefuture
loadsandtheirassociatedcosts,determiningtheoptimalmixofresourcestakingintoaccount
transmissionandothercosts,receivingandrespondingtopublicparticipation(whereapplicable),and
creatingandimplementingaresourceplan.

InnovationandtheLevelsofResearchandDevelopmentPursued
Innovationsintheelectricindustry,technicalandeconomic,havecomeaboutthroughtheapplicationof
researchanddevelopment(R&D)ofprojectsbytheelectricsector,governments,andotherindustrial,
communications,andtechnologysectors.

Theexpansionofcombinedheatandpowerandnaturalgasfiredcombinedcycleplantsinthelate1970s
intothe1990swasastrongcontributingfactortogrowthintheclassofnonutilitygeneration.Thecost
effectivenessofsmallerincrementsofgenerationhasreducedtheneedforutilitiestoperiodicallyhave
large,lumpy,capitalintensiveinvestmentsandcorrespondinglargeadditionstotheirratebase.
Moreover,sincegenerationcanbeaddedinsmallerincrementsandwithleadtimesclosertothetimeof
anticipatedneed,theinvestmentcyclehasbecomesmoother.Thisbenefitsbothtraditionaland
competitivemarketentities.

Demandsidemanagement(DSM)inducedreductionsinloadgrowthreduceordefertheneedfornew
generationplantinvestmentandthecostsoftheDSMalternativesmaybelessthanthecostofnew
generation.Centralizedmarketregionsaregraduallyimplementingmarketrulesthatseektoplace
supplyanddemandsideoptionsonequalfootingwithrespecttobiddingintocapacityandenergy
markets.Traditionallyregulatedregionsseektomaintainequalfootingforthesetwotypesofoptions
throughintegratedresourceplansvettedbystateregulators.

Inthelastdecade,orless,theSmartGridhasbecomeahottopicinpoliticalandacademiccirclesaswell
asothergroupsnottraditionallyinvolvedintheregularprocessesoftheelectricsector.Theexpectation
2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.
October 8, 2013

Page vii

isthatSmartGridimplementationwillgeneratepotentialsavingstocustomersbyprovidingthemthe
toolstomanagetheirenergyconsumptionhabitsandcosts,aswellasprovidingpotentialsavingsto
utilitiesandtheircustomersthroughoperatingefficiencies.Utilitiesinbothmodelswouldbenefitfrom
savings.Similarly,customerscanbenefitfromsmartmetersandusageinformationunderbothmodels.

R&Dinvestmentbyelectricutilities(includingtheircontributionstotheElectricPowerResearch
Institute)issmallwhencomparedtootherindustrialsectorsandwhenobservedinthecontextofthe
roleelectricityplaysinournationaleconomyandsociety.However,historically,electricequipment
manufacturershaveprovidedthemajorityoftheR&Dinthesector;thisisprimarilybecauseutilities
cannotnecessarilyinternalizethebenefitsoftheinnovationsdevelopedthroughR&D.Nostudyhas
definitivelyassessedtheimpactofrestructuringeffortsonR&Dinvestmentintheelectricityindustry.
However,severalstudieshavenotedadeclineinR&Dinvestmentinsomeareasandconcludedthat
utilityrestructuringisthelikelycause.However,therearealsostudiesthathaveconcludedthatthe
centralizedmarketmodelencouragesmoreinnovationthanthetraditionallyregulatedmodel.5

StateandFederalGovernment
TheelectricutilityindustryintheUnitedStatesisregulatedatthestateandfederallevels.State
regulationextendstomostareasofutilityoperations,rates,andenduserissues.Federalregulation,
foundedoninterstatecommerceimpacts,generallyrelatestothewholesalesideoftheutilitybusiness,
includinginterstatetransmissionandsalesofelectricityforresale.StateandFederaljurisdictionover
transmissionsiting,resourceadequacyandtransmissionsecurityplanning,andelectricreliabilityhave
beendiscussedabove.

Investorownedutilitiesaresubjecttostateregulationastotheirdutiestocustomers,system
requirements,financingarrangements,andretailrates.Governmentownedutilitiesandruralelectric
cooperativesarenotgenerallysubjecttoregulationunderstateutilitylaws,butmustfollowthe
requirementsoftheordinanceorlawestablishingthemandhavegoverningboardsthatprovide
oversight.

Underboththetraditionallyregulatedmodelandthecentralizedmarketmodel,interstatetransmission
ratesareapprovedbyFERCandFERCregulatestheinterstatetransmissionandgenerationactivitiesof
publicutilities.FERCdoesnotregulategovernmentownedutilitiesormostcooperatives,whichare
oftenreferredtoasnonjurisdictionalentities.Inaddition,becausemostoftheTexastransmission
gridisnotinterconnectedwiththerestoftheinterstatetransmissiongrid,TexasisnotsubjecttoFERC
rateregulation.InTexas,thestateregulatorisresponsibleforapprovingtransmissionrates(because
Texastransmissionisintrastate)aswellasregulatingallotheraspectsoftheelectricutilitybusinessin
Texas.

WhileFERCsregulatoryreachisnotabsolute,FERChaseffectivelyextendedmanyofitsregulationsto
nonjurisdictionalutilitiesthroughreciprocity.Forexample,ifanonjurisdictionalutilitywantstotake
advantageofthetermsofapublicutilitysOpenAccessTransmissionTariff(OATT),thenitmustitself
haveanOATTwherethetermsofserviceotherthanratesmustcomplywithFERCrequirements.

Thesestudiesarediscussedingreaterdetailinsection9.4.

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page viii

Similarly,inordertobepartoftheregionalplanningprocessandtotakeadvantageofproposedcost
allocationmechanisms,FERChassaidthatnonjurisdictionalentitieshavetoagreetoparticipateinthe
FERCregulatedplanningprocessesandbesubjecttotheoutcomeoftheseprocesses.

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page ix

2. Introduction
Thispaperexploresthekeypolicyquestionssurroundingtwobroadregulatory/marketstructuresthat
currentlyexistintheUnitedStatesinvaryingdegrees:traditionalutilityregulationwithoutcentralized
marketsontheonehand,andcentralizedelectricitymarkets,ofteninvolvingrestructuredregulation,on
theother.ThelatterstructurealsogenerallyinvolvestheexistenceofaRegionalTransmission
Organization(RTO)orIndependentSystemOperator(ISO).

Thispaperprovidesabriefhistoryofregulationandcompetitionintheelectricindustryandidentifies
theissuesthatcharacterizethekeydifferencesbetweenthetwomajorregulatory/marketstructures,
whichforeaseofreferencearebeingcalledatraditionallyregulatedmodelandacentralizedmarket
model.6Thepaperisintendedasaneducationalpiecefornonindustryexpertsonhowandwhyelectric
utilityregulationhasevolvedandcentralizedenergymarketshavedevelopedinsomeareasofthe
countryandnotinothers.Itfocusesonconsumerimpactsanddiscusseshowvariousissuesare
addressedunderthetwobroadmodelsaswellasidentifyingongoingissuesandchallenges.Thispaper
doesnotprovideacritiqueofthemodelsnoraquantitativecomparisonbetweenthetwomodels.

Asecondarypurposeofthepaperistoserveasafoundationforidentifyingtheissuesthatcharacterize
thekeydifferencesbetweenthetworegulatory/marketstructuresthatwillhelpguidedecisionson
futureresearchprojectsfortheElectricMarketResearchFoundation(EMRF)tomeetitsgoalof
informingthepublicpolicydebateontheprosandconsofthemajormarketstructures.

Withinthetwodifferentgeneralmodelstherearefurtherdistinctions.Thetraditionallyregulatedmodelisoften
characterizedatthewholesalelevelbybilateralresourcetransactionswhileattheretaillevelthetraditional
verticallyintegratedutilityprovides/purchasesallfunctionsrequiredtoprovideservicetotheendusers.The
centralizedmarketmodelgenerallyinvolvestheexistenceofaRegionalTransmissionOrganization(RTO)or
IndependentSystemOperator(ISO)thatadministercentralized,bidbasedmarketsatthewholesalelevelwithsome
degreeofretailcompetitionwherethecustomerhastherighttoprocurepowercompetitivelywithtransmissionand
distributionserviceprovidedbyaregulatedutility.Transmissionanddistributionunderbothmodelsremains
governedbyacostofserviceregulatoryapproach.Further,thereadershouldbeawarethattheremaybeinstances
whereregionsorentitiesgenerallycharacterizedasfunctioningunderacertainbroadmodelmaynotexhibitall
featuresofthatmodel.Forexample,thereareregionsthathavecentralizedwholesaleenergymarketsthatmaynot
haveimplementedretailchoiceinallstateswithintheregion.Similarly,thereareregionsthatremaintraditionally
regulatedbuthaveelementsofcentralizedmarketsandretailchoice.
6

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 1

3. HistoryandDevelopmentofTraditionalRegulationandCompetitiveMarkets
TheevolutionoftheU.S.electricindustryisahistoryofadaptationtochangesintheoperatingand
regulatoryenvironment.Duringtimesofsignificanteconomicandtechnologicalchange,policymakers
adaptedregulatorypolicytoensurethepublicinterestcontinuedtobeserved,economicprinciplesof
efficiencyandcompetitionwereadvanced,andthereliableandefficientdeliveryofelectricserviceto
consumerswasmaintained.Thedecisionsmadebyregulatorsandpolicymakersshapedthetwo
regulatorypathsthathaveemergedtraditionalratemakingbasedoncostofserviceregulationand
centralizedmarketdevelopment.Today,bothoftheseapproachescoexistandcontinuetoevolveto
meetchangingeconomicandtechnologicalchallenges.

Theallocationofregulatoryauthoritybetweenthefederalgovernmentandthestatesisdistinguishedby
whatconstitutesinterstatecommerceandwhatconstitutesintrastatecommerce.7Furthermore,thereis
thepreemptiveeffectoffederalwholesalerateordersonstateretailrateauthority.8Thisdichotomyhas
resultedinanumberofdistinctionsamongindustryparticipantsastowhethertheyaresubjectto
federal,stateorbothfederalandstateregulationbyvirtueofhowtheyareorganizedandwhetherthey
operatewithinasinglestate.Further,distinctionsastotheapplicabilityoffederalvs.stateregulation
turnonwhichspecificphysicalandfunctionalcomponentsoftheelectricsystem(e.g.,generation,
transmission,distribution,andcustomerservice)areinquestion.

Thesectionsthatfollowdescribe,fromtheearlybeginningtopresentday,thekeyeventsthat
transformedapproachesinelectricregulationpolicyandtheevolvingapproachesdesignedby
regulatorsandpolicymakersonboththefederalandstatelevelstomeetthosechallenges.

Seealso,NewYorkv.FERC, 535U.S.1(2002).ThecourtacknowledgedthatFERCcorrectlycouldchoosenotto
regulatethetransmissioncomponentofbundledretailsales.Bundledsalesaresalesthatcombineenergyand
transmissionserviceasasingleunit.
8UndertheNarragansettlineofcases,NarragansettElec.Co.v.Burke,381A.2d1358(1977),cert.denied,435U.S.972
(1978),comprisingwhatisnowcalledthefiledratedoctrine,stateregulatorsmusttreatautilitysFERCapproved
wholesalepowercostsasreasonableoperatingexpensesinthecompanysretailcostofservice.Inotherwords,the
retailregulatorcannot,initsretailratehearing,questionthereasonablenessofthewholesaleratethattheFERChas
fixed.
7

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 2

3.1 DevelopmentofTraditionallyRegulatedMarkets
Figure1.HistoricalTimeline192019459

Theearlystructureoftheelectricutilityindustrydevelopedaroundtheconceptofacentralsourceof
powersuppliedbyefficient,lowcostutilitygeneration,transmission,anddistribution.Regulationof
utilitiesbeganinthelatenineteenthcentury,withmunicipalitiesissuingfranchises,oftenoverlapping,
asamethodofregulation,promotingcompetitionbetweenutilities.Thisregulatoryoversightderived
fromaseriesofnineteenthcenturycourtdecisionsintheU.S.thatheldindustriessuchasgrain
elevators,warehouses,andcanalsweremonopolyprovidersofserviceaffectedwiththepublic
interest7andthattheirratesandtermsofservicecouldthereforeberegulated.10Municipalregulation
gavewaytostateregulationfollowingthepassageoflawsinNewYorkandWisconsindeveloping
powerfulstatecommissions.11

Intheearlypartofthetwentiethcentury,theelectricindustryevolvedquicklythroughthecreation,
growth,andconsolidationofverticallyintegratedutilities.Arapidincreaseinelectricitygeneration
encouragedgrowthandconsolidationoftheindustrytoachieveeconomiesofscale,whichresultedinan
expansionintomoreandmorecitiesacrosswidergeographicareas.12Duringthisperiod,vertically
integratedelectricutilitiesproducedapproximatelytwofifthsofthenationselectricity.13Overtime,
statesgrantedtheseconsolidatedutilitiesmonopolyfranchiseswithexclusiveserviceterritoriesin
exchangeforanobligationtoservecustomerswithinthatterritoryatratesforservicebasedonstate
regulated,costofserviceratemaking.14Asutilityserviceterritoriesgrewthroughoutthe1900s,state

Source:NavigantConsulting,Inc.
SeeMunnv.Illinois,94U.S.113,126(1877).
11Therearealternativeviewsofwhythemunicipalregulationended.Thenaturalmonopolyviewisthatstate
regulationwasnecessarytodistancetheregulatorfromthelocallevelandtoenforceuniformregulationthroughout
thejurisdiction.Thisviewassumesthatonefirmcanservethemarketmorecheaplythantwoormorefirmsandcan
keepoutrivalfirmsbyexpandingoutputandloweringpricewhenthreatened.Thealternativeviewwasthatthe
movefrommunicipaltostateregulationwasinthepublicinterest. See R.RichardGeddes,AHistoricalPerspective
onElectricUtilityRegulation,CATOREVIEWOFBUSINESS,
http://www.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/serials/files/regulation/1992/1/v15n18.pdf,atpp.7577.
12SeeU.S.ElectricPowerIndustryContextandStructure,AnalysisGroupforAdvancedEnergyEconomy
(November2011)(AEEContextandStructure).
13EnergyInformationAdministration,TheChangingStructureoftheElectricPowerIndustry2000:AnUpdate
(October2000)PartI,Chapter2,pg.5(EIAChangingStructure).
14SeeAEEContextandStructure.
9

10

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 3

regulationofprivatelyownedelectricutilitiesincreased.Amongthefirststatestoregulateelectric
utilitieswereGeorgia,NewYork,andWisconsin,whichestablishedstatepublicservicecommissionsin
1907.15Thesestatesweresoonfollowedbymorethan20otherstates.Partofthejustificationfor
exclusiveserviceterritorieswasthatasingledistributionsysteminanareawasmoreefficientdueto
economiesofscope;competingdistributionfacilitiesonthoroughfaresandincommunitieswould
requireredundantcapitalinvestmentandexpenditures.

Despitethelureofexclusivefranchises,someareaswereinevitablylessattractivethanothers.Thiswas
particularlytruewithrespecttoruralareas,wheretheprogressofelectrificationwasmuchslowerthan
inurbanareas.TheRuralElectrificationActwasenactedtoprovidepowertounserved,orunderserved,
ruralareasandgaverisetotheadventofruralelectriccooperativesinmanyareasoftheU.S.

Duringthe1920sandtheearlyyearsoftheDepression,thepublicbecamedisenchantedwithprivately
ownedpowerandbegantosupporttheideaofgovernmentownershipofutilities,particularly
hydroelectricpowerfacilities.Thisdisenchantmentresultedprimarilyfromabusesimposedbyholding
companiesonutilities,andultimatelyontheircustomers,causingthepriceofelectricitytoincrease.A
fiercedebateatthetimewaswhethergovernmentownedhydroelectricpowerfacilitiescouldproduce
powercheaplyandsellittopubliclyownedutilitiesfordistribution.DuringthepresidencyofFranklin
D.Roosevelt(1933to1945),anumberofthesefacilitieswerebuilt,usheringinthebeginningofpublicly
ownedpower.16
ThedevelopmentofhydroelectricprojectsintheUnitedStateswascoordinatedundertheFederalWater
PowerActin1920.TheactcreatedtheFederalPowerCommission(FPC),nowtheFederalEnergy
RegulatoryCommission(FERC),asthelicensingauthorityfortheseplants.TheFPCalsoregulatedthe
interstateactivitiesoftheelectricpowerandnaturalgasindustries.TheresponsibilityoftheFPCwasto
maintainjust,reasonable,andnondiscriminatoryratestotheconsumer.In1935thelawwasrenamed
theFederalPowerAct(FPA),andtheFPCsregulatoryjurisdictionwasexpandedtoincludeall
interstateelectricitytransmission.TheFPCwasalsogivenauthoritytoregulatenonfederalhydropower
projects.TheFederalPowerActisthecorelegislationprovidingfederaljurisdictionovertheelectricand
naturalgasindustriesanddefiningtheresponsibilitiesoftheFERC.17However,theFPAexempts

EnergyInformationAdministration,AnnualOutlookforU.S.ElectricPower1985,DOE/EIA0474(85)(August1985),
pg.3.
16EIAChangingStructure,PartI,Chapter2,pg.6.Aspartoftheprogram,PresidentRooseveltproposedthatthe
governmentbuildfourhydropowerprojectsand,withinayearafterhisproposal,hisadministrationbeganto
implementtheprojects.

HooverDambegangenerationin1936,followedbyotherlargeprojects.

GrandCoulee,thenationslargesthydroelectricdam,beganoperationin1941.

UndertheTennesseeValleyAuthorityActof1933,thefederalgovernmentsuppliedelectricpowerto
states,counties,municipalities,andnonprofitcooperatives.

TheBonnevilleProjectActof1937pioneeredthefederalpowermarketingadministrations.
15

From1933to1941,onehalfofallnewcapacitywasprovidedbyfederalandotherpublicpowerinstallations.Public
powercontributed12percentoftotalutilitygeneration,withfederalpoweralonecontributingalmost7percent.See
Id.ItshouldbenotedthatthefederalpowergeneratingentitieswerenotsubjecttoregulationbyStates.
17SeeAEEContextandStructure.
2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.
October 8, 2013

Page 4

certainentitiesfrommanyprovisionsoftheAct,includingentitiesinthestateofTexas,whichisa
singlestateInterconnectionwithnointerstatetransactions,aswellascertainnonpublicutilities(i.e.,
MunicipalUtilities,Cooperatives,PowerMarketingAdministrations,andstateauthorities).18

Afterseverallargeholdingcompanysystemscollapsed,aninvestigationbytheFederalTrade
Commissionwasordered,leadingeventuallytothepassageofthePublicUtilityHoldingCompanyAct
of1935(PUHCA).PUHCAwasaimedatbreakinguptheunconstrainedandexcessivelylargetrusts
thatthencontrolledthenationselectricandgasdistributionnetworks.19

PUHCAgavetheSecuritiesandExchangeCommission(SEC)responsibilityforregulatingutility
holdingcompanies.UnderTitleIIofPUHCA,theFPCalsoregulatedutilitiesinvolvedininterstate
wholesalemarketingortransmissionofelectricpower.20OneofthemostimportantfeaturesoftheAct
wasthattheSECwasgiventhepowertobreakupthelargeinterstateholdingcompaniesbyrequiring
themtodivesttheirholdingsuntileachbecameasingleconsolidatedsystemservingacircumscribed
geographicarea.Anotherimportantfeatureofthelawpermittedholdingcompaniestoengageonlyin
businessthatwasessentialandappropriatefortheoperationofasingleintegratedutility.21

IntheSupremeCourtcaseofFPCv.Hope,theCourtstated:[t]heratemakingprocessi.e.,thefixing
ofjustandreasonablerates,involvesabalancingoftheinvestorandtheconsumerinterest.22This
balancingofconsumerandinvestorinterestsevolvedintowhathasbecomeknownastheregulatory
compact.23Inaddition,HopegaverisetoanEndResultsDoctrinerelatingtorates.Underthisdoctrine,
onlytheendresultnotthemethodologymattersindeterminingwhetherratesarejustand
reasonable.24

Theregulatorycompactispremisedontheexistenceofasetofrights,obligations,andbenefitsthatare
sharedbetweenutilitiesandtheircustomers.25Inreturnforthegrantofafranchiseandtherightto
recoveritscostsplusamarketdeterminedprofitequaltothecostofdebtandequitycapital,the

Section201(f)oftheFPAgenerallyexemptstheUnitedStates,astateoranypoliticalsubdivisionofastate,an

18

electriccooperativethatreceivesfinancingundertheRuralElectrificationActof1936(7U.S.C.901etseq.)orthat
sellslessthan4,000,000megawatthoursofelectricityperyearfromPartIIoftheFPA.However,itshouldbenoted
thatthereliabilitysectionoftheFPAaddedunderEPACT2005extendstoentitiesthatweredescribedunder201(f)
oftheFPA.SeeFederalPowerAct215(b),16U.S.C844o(b).
19EIAChangingStructure,PartI,Chapter4,pg.29.
20Ibid.,PartI,Chapter2,pg.5.
21Ibid.,PartI,Chapter4,pg.29.
22FederalPowerCommissionv.HopeNaturalGasCo.,320U.S.591,603(1944).
23Theconceptofaregulatorycompactisnotthatthereisaformalagreementbetweentheutilityandgovernment
butratherthatthelegalobligationsofregulatorsandutilitieshaveevolvedthroughalongseriesofcourtdecisions,
SeeRAPPublications,ElectricityRegulationintheUS:AGuide(March2011),
www.raponline.org/document/download/id/645, pp. 4-5.
24Dr.KarlMcDermott,CostofServiceRegulationIntheInvestorOwnedElectricUtilityIndustry(June2012),pg.3
(CostofServiceRegulation).
25CostofServiceRegulation,pg.vii.
2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.
October 8, 2013

Page 5

investorownedutilitymustsubmittorateregulationandprovideserviceefficiently.26Theregulatory
compacthasatwofoldfocus:(1)establishpricesbasedontheactualprudentcosts(i.e.,avoidmonopoly
pricing);and(2)provideincentivestomaintainareasonablelevelofefficiencyinservingthe
customers.27

Undertraditionalutilityregulation,thisdeterminationoftheappropriatecostofservicethatcanbe
chargedbytheutilityisdeterminedthroughwhatdevelopedastheratecaseprocess,whichexamines
theprudencyofcostsaftertheyareincurred.28Thisformofregulationservesasanadministrative
replacementformarketmechanismsindeterminingwhatcostswereefficient.29

3.2 PeriodofGrowthandDecliningCosts,19451970
Figure2.HistoricalTimeline1945197030

Fromthe1940sthroughthe1960stheindustrysawextensivegrowthandincreasingelectricity
consumption.Economiesofscaleincreasedasnew,largergeneratingunitswerebuiltwhichdrove
downcosts,andstimulatedanincreaseddemandforelectricity.31

Regulatoryadministrationoftheratecaseprocessdescribedabovebecameroutineduringthisperiod
andestablishedthenormalcourseofutilityoperationsandfunding.Utilitieswouldprovideserviceto
allcustomersintheirfranchiseareaandinreturnwereguaranteedareasonablereturnontheir
investmentsdeterminedthroughtheratecaseprocess.Bothutilitiesandcustomershavebenefitedfrom
thisrelationship;utilitiesreceivedaguaranteedserviceterritorywithareturnoninvestment(ROI)and
customersreceivedprotectionfrommonopolypricing.

Theratecasewouldestablishratesbasedonthenormalcostsofprovidingservicedeterminedbythe
revenuerequirement.Theutilityhadtoworkwithinaframeworkofregulatorylag,demandgrowth,
andcostinstabilityinrealtimeoperations.Exposuretorealtimeoperationsprovidedbothariskand

SeeIbid.Theutilitywasobligatedtosupplyserviceefficiently,buthadtherighttorecoveritscosts,includingan
opportunitytoearnareturn/profitequaltoitsmarketdeterminedcostofdebtandequitycapital.Ibid.
27Ibid.,pg.vii.
28Aratecaseisaformaladministrativeprocessinwhichtheutilityprovidessupportforitsproposedcostofservice
andthepublic,includingtheregulatorybody,isprovidedtheopportunitytoscrutinizethedata,policyarguments,
andanyotherrelevantinformation.Ibid.,pg.12.
29Ibid.,pg.viii.
30Source:NavigantConsulting,Inc.
31CostofServiceRegulation,pg.ix.
26

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 6

incentive.Iftheoriginalassumptionsremainedfairlyaccurate,utilitieswouldbeabletooperatefairly
successfully;however,iftheassumptionsprovedtobeincorrect,eithertheutilityortheregulatorwould
seekadjustments.32

Thisworkedwellformostofthisperiod,althoughtheNortheastBlackoutof1965raisedpressing
concernsaboutreliability.

3.3 SlowedGrowthandInflation,SeedsofCompetition,19701990
Figure3.HistoricalTimeline1970199033

Anumberofdamagingeventsoccurredinthe1970sthatinterruptedthegrowththatoccurredinthe
priorseveraldecades.AftertheNortheastBlackoutof1965,stateandregionalpowerpoolswerecreated
ortookonexpandedroles.ManyofthesearethepredecessorstotodaysRegionalTransmission
Organizations.Inaddition,regional,voluntaryreliabilitycouncilswereformedbytheutilitiesinan
efforttoenhancereliabilityandstaveoffregulation.
ThepassageoftheCleanAirActof1970anditsamendmentsin1977requiredutilitiestoreducetheir
emissionofpollutants,raisingtheiroperatingcosts,particularlyforutilitiesoperatingcoalfired
generation.ProbablythemostsignificanteventwastheOilEmbargoof19731974,whichresultedin
burdensomeincreasesinfossilfuelpricesduetotransportationcosts.Althoughtheembargolastedonly
untilMarch1974,itseffectsincreasedpublicawarenessofenergyissues,resultedinhigherenergy
prices,andcontributedtoinflation.
TheaccidentatThreeMileIslandin1979ledtohighercosts,regulatorydelays,andgreateruncertainty
forcompaniespursuingnucleargeneration.Ingeneral,inflationcausedinterestratestomorethan
triple.Theescalatingfuelcosts,reductionindemandgrowth,andaccompanyingunprecedented
inflationinlabor,capitalcosts,andconstructionmaterialsmeantthatutilitieswerenotrealizingthe
incrementalcashflowsthathadhelpedfinancenewconstructioninthepast.34

In1978,CongresspursuedlegislationintendedtoreduceU.S.dependenceonforeignoil,develop
renewableandalternativeenergysources,sustaineconomicgrowth,andencouragetheefficientuseof

Ibid.,pg.16.
Source:NavigantConsulting,Inc.
34CostofServiceRegulation,pg.ix.
32

33

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 7

fossilfuels.35Agreaterrelianceonmarketforcestosetwholesalepowercostswasintroducedthrough
thePublicUtilityRegulatoryPoliciesActof1978(PURPA),whichadoptedavoidedcostpricingfor
energypurchasedbyutilitiesfromcertaintypesofthirdpartysuppliers.36PURPAbecameacatalystfor
competitionintheelectricitysupplyindustry,becauseitallowednonutilityfacilitiesthatmetcertain
ownership,operating,andenergyefficiencycriteriaestablishedbyFERC(referredtoasqualifying
facilitiesorQFs),toenterthewholesalemarket.37Utilitiesdidnotinitiallywelcomethisforced
competition.38TheQFsthemselvesarenotsubjecttocostofserviceregulation,andthepricespaidto
themarenotbasedontheircostofproducingtheelectricity.39Instead,thepricestheyarepaidreflect
theavoidedcostofthepurchasingutility(generallydeterminedbytheutilitysregulatoryauthority),
thatis,thecosttheutilityavoidedbynotproducingtheelectricityreceivedfromtheQForpurchasingit
fromanothersource.40Insomecasesutilityregulatoryauthoritiessetanavoidedcostthatwasveryhigh
leadingtofinancialproblemsforutilitiesthatwereforcedtopaythesehighprices.

Theeconomicchallengesofthe1970sfeddirectlyintothe1980s.Demandgrowthcontinuedtobeslow.
Thebeginningofthedecadesawhighinflationinthecostofconstructionmaterialsandlaboralongwith
doubledigitfinancingrates.Thisledtodramaticcostoverrunsincoalandnuclearplantsunder
construction.InthewakeoftheThreeMileIslandaccidentin1979,thecosttocompletenuclearplants
underconstructionsoaredasnewsafetyrequirementscameintoplay.Someplants(nuclearandnon
nuclear)werecancelledbeforecompletion.Thesefactorsledtoincreasedutilitycostsforplantsthat
wereultimatelycancelledandsubstantialrateshocksforplantsthatwerecompletedandenteredthe
ratebase.Regulatorsrespondedtothechallengeofconstructioncostoverrunsbyexpandingtheir
oversightoftheprudenceofprojectcosts.Thenumberofratecasesexpandeddramaticallyfromthefew
dozenmajorprudencecasesbetween1945and1975toover50duringthe1975through1985period.41

Inaddition,regulators,publicinterestgroups,andutilitiesbegantorecognizeinthelate1970sandearly
1980sthatactionstakentopromoteconservationanddemandsidemanagement(DSM)couldbeless
costlyundersomeconditionsthanconstructionofnewpowerplants.Whiletheeconomicconditions
thatsupportedthepremisethatincrementalcostsofDSMcouldbelessthantheincrementalcostsof
newgenerationwerereversedduringaneraoflowerednaturalgaspriceslater,newstateandfederal

EIAChangingStructure,PartI,Chapter2,pg.8.
CostofServiceRegulation,pg.24.
37EIAChangingStructureatPartI,Chapter2,pg.8.
38Ibid.,PartI,Chapter2,pg.8.PURPAdefinedanewclassofenergyproducerscalledqualifyingfacilities.These
producersareeithersmallscaleproducersofcommercialenergywhonormallyselfgenerateenergyfortheirown
needsbutmayhavesurplusenergy,orincidentalproducerswhohappentogenerateusableelectricenergyasaby
productofotheractivities.Whenafacilityofthistypemeetstherequirementsforownership,sizeandefficiency,
utilitycompaniesareobligedtopurchasetheirenergybasedonapricingstructurereferredtoasavoidedcostrates.
Theseratestendtobehighlyfavorabletotheproducer,andareintendedtoencouragemoreproductionofthistype
ofenergyasameansofreducingemissionsanddependenceonothersourcesofenergy.SeeAEEContextand
Structure.
39EIAChangingStructure,PartI,Chapter4,pg.32.
40Ibid.atPartI,Chapter4,pg.32.
41CostofServiceRegulation,pg.25.
35
36

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 8

regulationsorconservationprogramsintroducedtheretailcustomerclasstomuchgreaterinvolvement
inutilityplanningthanhadexistedbefore.

Animmediateimpactonregulatorsthinkingwasthattherewasaneedtoplantoavoidthesesituations
andtosearchforsmallerincrementsofsupplyordemandreductions.Theleastcostutilityplanningand
IntegratedResourcePlanning(IRP)processeswerepartoftheresponsetothisneed.42

Theseprocessesweredesignedtotakeintoaccountabroadrangeofinformationandalternatives,
producedemandforecastsinapublicprocess,andattempttoevaluatesupplyanddemandoptionson
anequalfooting.Muchofthelate1980ssaweffortstoestablishmoreeffectiveformalplanning
frameworksinanattempttoavoidthemistakesthatoccurredinthe1970s.Regulatorsembracedthis
processtovaryingdegrees,attemptingtointegratetheplanningandratecasesequencestogetherina
waythatreinforcedbothfromaninformationandimplementationperspective.

Anothersignificantdevelopmentinthelate1980swasanincreasedutilityinterestinsellingtheir
generationinwholesaletransactions.Thiswaspromptedbyexcesscapacityintheearly90sthat
occurredbecauseloadgrowthdidnotmeetprojectedlevels.FERCbeganallowingutilitiestosellpower
atmarketbasedrates(ascomparedtocostbased)iftheutilitycouldshowithadnopowertosetprices
inthemarket,wouldcaptheratesatavoidedcost,orwouldprovidenondiscriminatorytransmission
accesstocompetitivegenerators.43Thisformofregulatoryratetreatmentwasviewedbymanyinthe
industryassuperiortotheriskofbuildinganewunitundertraditionalregulationatthestatelevel.44By
1991,FERChadreceived40ofthesemarketbasedpricingrequests.45

3.4 TheAdventofCentralizedMarkets,19901999
Figure4.HistoricalTimeline1990199946

Ibid.,pg.26.
Ibid.,pg.3031.
44CostofServiceRegulation,pg.31.ThemovetogreaterrelianceonmarketswasacceleratedbyFERCs1988pre
constructionrateapprovalinOceanStatesPoweraswellasthenoticeofproposedrulemakingsonmarketbased
pricingofelectricity.Allofthesefactorswerelayeredontopoftheincentiveprovidedfornonutilitygenerationby
PURPA.Ibid.,pg.30.
45Ibid.,pg.31.
46Source:NavigantConsulting,Inc.
42
43

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 9

PassageofthefederalEnergyPolicyActof1992(EPACT)wasasignificantenablerofmarket
development.First,itcreatedanewclassofelectricsuppliers,theexemptwholesalegenerator(EWG),
extendingthetrendstartedbyFERCwiththemarketbasedratepolicyandopenaccesstothe
transmissionsystem.47

LikeQFs,EWGswerewholesaleproducersthatdidnotsellelectricityintheretailmarketanddidnot
owntransmissionfacilities.48UnlikethenonutilitiesthatqualifiedunderPURPA,EWGswerenot
regulatedandcouldchargemarketbasedrates.49ThegrowthofEWGsmarkedanothersteptoward
increasingthelevelofcompetitioninthewholesaleelectricitymarket.

MarketingofEWGpowerwasfacilitatedbytransmissionprovisionsinEPACT1992thatgaveFERCthe
authoritytoorderutilitiestoprovideaccesstotheirtransmissionsystemstoutilitiesandnonutilities.50
Inaddition,EPACT1992requiredstatestoconductanIRPprocessandevaluatetheimpactofpurchased
powercontractsonthelocaldistributioncompany.51Somestatestookthisevenfurther,takingstepsto
breakuptheverticalintegrationofutilitieswithinthosestates,tointroduceretailcompetition.52

Thesecondcornerstoneinthecreationofcompetitivewholesalepowermarketscamein1996through
FERCsOrderNo.888.53Atthattime,OrderNo.888wasconsideredthemostfarreachingand
ambitiousprojectundertakenbyFERCtoeliminateimpedimentstowholesalecompetitionintheelectric
powerindustry.54OrderNo.888hadtwobasicgoals:(1)toeliminateanticompetitivepracticesand
unduediscriminationintransmissionservicesthroughauniversallyapplied,openaccesstransmission

CostofServiceRegulation,pg.32.
EIAChangingStructure,PartI,Chapter2,pg.8.TheCommissionceasedmakingcasebycasedeterminationsof
exemptwholesalegeneratorstatusfollowingtheenactmentofEPACT2005callingfortherepealofPUHCA.See
RepealofthePublicUtilityHoldingCompanyActof1935andEnactmentofthePublicUtilityHoldingCompany
Actof2005,DocketNo.RM0532000,(Sept.2005)atP21.
4949EIAChangingStructureatPartI,Chapter2,pg.8.
50Ibid.,PartI,Chapter4,pg.33.
51CostofServiceRegulation,pg.32.
52SeeAEEContextandStructure.
53TheactionstakenbytheCommissioninOrderNo.888paralleledandinmanyinstanceswereguidedbyGas
Restructuring,OrderNo.636,openaccesstransportingas.
54EIAChangingStructure,PartII,Chapter7,pg.64.
47
48

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 10

tariff,and(2)toensuretherecoveryofstrandedcosts55autilitymightaccrueinthetransitionto
competitivemarkets.56
AnotherequallyimportantcomponentofOrderNo.888wastherequirementfortransmissionownersto
functionallyunbundletheirservices.Functionalunbundlingrequiredthetransmissionownertotake
transmissionserviceunderthesametariffasothertransmissionusersunderacomparabilitystandard.
Theywererequiredtoseparateratesforwholesalegeneration,transmission,andancillaryservicesand
torelyonthesameelectronicinformationnetworkthatitstransmissioncustomersreliedontoobtain
informationaboutpricesandavailablecapacityofthetransmissionsystem.Theconceptofunbundling
wastoprecludetheappearanceofpossiblefavoritismanddiscriminatorypracticeswithinavertically
integratedutilitybyseparatingitstransmissionservicesfunctionsfromotherbusinessactivitiesinthe
companyandbyrequiringutilitiestoprovidetransmissionservicetoothersforwholesaletransactions
inthesamemannerastheyprovideittothemselves.57

Accompanyingtherequirementfornondiscriminatoryaccesstothetransmissionsystem,timelyand
accuratedaytodayinformationabouttransmissionwasalsomadeavailabletoalltransmissionusers.58
OrderNo.889requiredallinvestorownedutilities(IOUs)toparticipateintheOpenAccessSameTime
InformationSystem(OASIS),whichfacilitatedthefunctioningofcompetitivepowermarkets.59

Atthesametimethesechangeswereoccurringinthewholesaleelectricitymarkets,agrowingnumber
ofstateswerealsopursuingarelianceoncompetitivemarketsfortheretailsupplyofelectricpower.
RetailchoicewasintroducedintheUnitedStatesinthe1990sinresponsetohighregulatedpricesin
someregions.Asnoted,excessgenerationcapacitywastriggeredbythegenerationconstructioncycle
thatbeganinthe1960sandcontinuedintothe1970s.Consumergroupsinsomeregionsfoundretail

Strandedcostsrefertoaninvestmentmadeunderregulationwhosevaluewillnotberecoveredunderprices
determinedinaderegulatedenvironment.RecognizingthatFERConlyhadjurisdictionoverapartofthestranded
costsissue,FERCsoughttopermitpublicutilitiestoseekrecoveryatFERCastheprimaryforumforalimitedsetof
existingwholesalerequirementscontracts,thoseexecutedonorbeforeJuly11,1994,termedretailturnedwholesale
transmissioncustomers.Recoveryisonlypermittedwherethereisadirectnexusbetweentheavailabilityanduse
ofaCommissionrequiredtransmissiontariffandthestrandingofthecosts.Furthermore,recoveryatFERCfor
strandedcostscausedbyunbundledretailwheelingwouldonlybeforthosestrandedcostscausedbyretail
wheelingwherethestateregulatoryauthoritydidnothaveauthoritytoaddressretailstrandedcostsatthetimethe
retailwheelingisrequired.OrderNo.888atpg.8.Astheprimaryvehicleforrecovery,FERCconcludedthatdirect
assignmentofstrandedcoststothedepartingwholesalegenerationcustomerthrougheitheranexitfeeora
surchargeontransmissionistheappropriaterecoverymethod.PromotingWholesaleCompetitionThroughOpen
AccessNondiscriminatoryTransmissionServicesbyPublicUtilities;RecoveryofStrandedCostsbyPublicUtilities
andTransmittingUtilities,OrderNo.888,FERCStats.&Regs.31,036(1996),orderonrehg,OrderNo.888A,
FERCStats.&Regs.31,048(1997),orderonrehg,OrderNo.888B,81FERC61,248(1997),orderonrehg,Order
No.888C,82FERC61,046(1998),affdinrelevantpartsubnom.TransmissionAccessPolicyStudyGroupv.FERC,
225F.3d667(D.C.Cir.2000),affdsubnom.NewYorkv.FERC,535U.S.1(2002),pg.477.(OrderNo.888)
56Ibid.
57EIAChangingStructure,PartII,Chapter7,pg.64.
58Ibid.,PartII,Chapter7,pg.66.
59TheOASISisaninteractive,Internetbaseddatabasecontaininginformationonavailabletransmissioncapacity,
capacityreservations,ancillaryservices,andtransmissionprices.
55

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 11

competitionattractivebecausethepricesinemergingwholesalemarketsweresignificantlybelowthe
regulatedretailpriceofutilities,reflectingbothexcessgenerationcapacity(depressingwholesaleenergy
prices)andthelargenumberandcostofnewgeneratingassetsrecentlyplacedinservice(increasing
regulatedretailrates).Inaddition,thesefactorsalsoraisedconcernsthatthegenerationplanningas
implementedbyutilitiesandreviewedbyregulatorsintheseregionswasflawed.

Incontrasttothetraditionallyregulatedmodel,retailchoicelimitstheoperationoftheregulatedutility
tothetransmissionanddistributionfunctions,wheretraditionalcostbasedpricingisimplementedand
approvedbystatelevelregulators.Generationservicesareprovidedeitherbycompetitiveservice
providersorthroughadefaultprovideroflastresort(POLR).

Ultimately,15states,plustheDistrictofColumbia,implementedretailchoice.60Thistypicallyrequired
theincumbentutilitytodivestitsgenerationandbecomeawiresonlytransmissionanddistribution
utility.Somestatesforcedtheirutilitiestodivestutilityownedgenerationtounaffiliatednonregulated
entities;otherstatessimplypermittedthemtocreateaffiliatedgenerationsubsidiaries;stillotherstates
requiredonlyoperationalandmanagementseparation(i.e.,functionalseparation)fromtheutilities
transmissionand/ordistributionfunctions.Intherestructuredstates,policymakerswerepresentedwith
ahostofnewissuesrequiringsignificantpolicyresponses.Challengesincludedstrandedcosts,
developmentofmarketrules,thedesignationofaprovideroflastresortwhereretailchoicewasnot
exercised,andlevelofcostforwiresonlycompanies.61Somestatesthatadoptedcompetitionfaced
marketconditionsthatresultedintheabandonmentofrestructuringandareturntotraditional
regulation.62

Seehttp://www.eia.gov/electricity/policies/restructuring/restructure_elect.html.
CostofServiceRegulation,pg.31.
62Ibid.,pg.34.InDecember1998,23StatepublicutilitycommissionssentCongressaletterexpressingconcernsthat
issuesaffectingthemmaynotbegivenadequateconsiderationinthedebateaboutrestructuring.Kentucky,whose
electricitypricesarethelowesteastoftheRockyMountains,isoneofthesestates.Recently,KentuckysSpecialTask
ForceonElectricityRestructuringconcludedthattherearenocompellingreasonstorestructuretheirelectricpower
industry.EIAChangingStructure,PartII,Chapter8,pg.81.Furthermore,notallcommissionsmaybeendowed
withthenecessarylegalauthoritytomanageanevolvingcompetitivemarketstructure.Accordingly,legislation
maybenecessaryinsomestatestogranttheutilityregulatoryagencytheauthoritytoaddresstherestructuring
issuesortoconsideralternativeratemakingprocesses(incentiveorperformancebasedregulation).Insomecases,
legislativeactionsmaybecomenecessarytoadoptdecisionsrecommendedbythecommission(s)for
implementation.Ibid.,PartII,Chapter8,pg.82.
60
61

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 12

3.5 TraditionalRegulationandCentralizedMarketsToday
Figure5.HistoricalTimeline1999Present63

InDecember1999,FERCreleasedOrderNo.200064callingforthevoluntaryformationofRTOs.FERC
believedthatRTOswouldfacilitatethecontinueddevelopmentofcompetitivewholesalepowermarkets
andwouldleadtoimprovementsinreliabilityandmanagementofthetransmissionsystem,eliminating
anyremainingdiscriminatorypractices.65OrderNo.2000askedalltransmissionowningutilities,
includingnonpublicutilities,tovoluntarilyplacetheirtransmissionfacilitiesunderthecontrolofan
appropriateregionaltransmissionorganization.Sothatutilitiescouldcomplywiththisrequest,the
characteristicsandminimumfunctionsofanappropriateRTOweredefinedintheOrder.

OrderNo.2000envisionedthecreationofindependentRTOsthatwouldoperatethetransmission
systemsofitsmembers,engageinregionaltransmissionplanningandoperatewholesaleenergy
markets.TheRTOswouldprovidetariffedtransmissionserviceandeliminateratepancakingtothe
greatestextentpossible.OrderNo.2000resultedinthecreationofseveralRTOs,aswellasadoptionof
variousRTOcharacteristicsbythethenexistingISOs.
ConcurrentwithFERCseffortsunderOrderNo.2000,challengeswerearisingintheCaliforniamarkets.
In2001,California,whichledthenationtowardcompetitiveretailelectricmarkets,sufferedfrom,
amongotherthings,anoverrelianceonspotmarkets.66Utilitieswererequiredtosellalloftheirpower
into,andbuyalloftheirloadservingpoweroutof,theCaliforniaPowerExchange(PX),whichoperated
adayaheadhourlyspotmarket,holdingauctionsandmatchingbidsforpurchaseandsale.Asaresult,
Californiautilitiesincurredhighcostsofwhichtheywereonlyallowedtopassthroughaportionto

63
64

Source:NavigantConsulting,Inc.

RegionalTransmissionOrganizations,OrderNo.2000,19962000FERCStats.&Regs.,Regs.Preambles31,089

(1999),orderonrehg,OrderNo.2000A,19962000FERCStats.&Regs.,Regs.Preambles31,092(2000),petitionsfor
reviewdismissedsubnom.Pub.Util.Dist.No.1v.FERC,272F.3d607(D.C.Cir.2001).
65EIAChangingStructure,PartII,Chapter6,pg.49.
66Therewereadditionalexacerbatingfactorsidentifiedincludingincreasedpowerproductioncostscombinedwith
increaseddemandduetounusuallyhightemperaturesandascarcityofavailablegenerationresourcesthroughout
theWestandCaliforniainparticularandflawedmarketrules,includingrestrictionsontheabilitytoforward
contract,andretailregulatorypolicies.SeeInvestigationofPracticesoftheCaliforniaIndependentSystemOperator
andtheCaliforniaPowerExchange,93FERC61,121at61,354355(2000).
2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.
October 8, 2013

Page 13

retailcustomers,67leadingtoabankruptcyfilingbyoneoflargestutilitiesinthestate.Thestatewas
forcedtostepinandprocuretheutilitiesresidualpowerrequirementsthatcouldnotbemetbyutility
retainedgeneration.68

Atthewholesalelevel,thedivestitureofratebasedgeneratingassetsmaderestructuredutilitiesmore
dependentonwholesalepurchases.Evenutilitiesthatremainedverticallyintegratedfaceduncertainties
aboutfuturestaterestructuringpolicy.Thisledmanytorelyonwholesalepurchasesratherthan
commitnewcapitaltobuildratebasedfacilities.Atthesametime,thedevelopmentofcompetitive
wholesalemarkets69broughtenergypricevolatility,leadingtouncertaintiesabouttheoptimaltimingof
purchases.70

IntheaftermathoftheCaliforniaenergymarketcrisis,FERCtookstepstoinvestigatethecausesand
introducecorrectivepolicies.FERCsreportontheinvestigationintotheCaliforniaBulkPowermarket
concludedthattheelectricmarketstructureandmarketrulesforwholesalesalesofelectricenergyin
Californiaareseriouslyflawedandthatthesestructuresledtounjustandunreasonablerates.71Among
theremediesorderedbyFERCwastheeliminationoftherequirementthatCaliforniasinvestorowned
utilitiessellalloftheirgenerationinto,andbuyalloftheirenergyneedsfrom,thePX.FERCconcluded
thatthebuy/sellrequirementledtooverrelianceonspotmarketsandoverexposure.TheCommission
alsourgedbuyerstoenterintolongtermcontractsandnotrelyonlyonspotmarkets.Furthermore,
FERCstaffwasdirectedtodevelopamarketmonitoringandmitigationprogramtobeappliedtothe
Californiawholesalemarkets.

FollowingtheCaliforniaenergymarketcrisisandablackoutthataffectedalargeportionofthe
northeasternU.S.andCanadain2003,72CongressenactedtheEnergyPolicyActof2005(EPAct2005)on
August8,2005.73ThislegislationprovidedgreaterauthoritytotheCommissionsoversightof
jurisdictionalwholesaleelectricitymarkets.EPAct2005authorizedtheCommissiontorequire
transmissionowningutilities,exceptforcertainsmallentities,toprovideaccesstotheirtransmission
facilitiesonacomparablebasis.CongressalsodirectedtheCommissiontofacilitatepricetransparency
inmarketsandauthorizedtheCommissiontoprescriberulestoprovideforthedisseminationof
informationabouttheavailabilityandpriceofwholesaleelectricenergyandtransmissionservice.74

RetailpriceschargedbytheCaliforniautilitieswerecappedatadiscountperTheElectricUtilityIndustry
RestructuringActAssemblyBill1890(AB1890).
68CostofServiceRegulation,pg.36.
69Includingopenaccesstransmission,marketpricingauthority,andtheintroductionofspotmarkets.
70CostofServiceRegulation,pg.36.
7193FERC61,121at61,349.Seealso,StaffReporttotheFederalEnergyRegulatoryCommissiononWestern
MarketsandtheCausesoftheSummer2000PriceAbnormalities(November2000).
72OnAugust14,2003,aseriesofeventsleadtoablackoutaffectingmuchofthesysteminthenortheasternU.S.,
Canada,andportionsoftheMidwest.Ateamofindustryexpertsconcludedthattherehadbeenviolationsofthe
NERCvoluntaryreliabilitystandards,whichresultedindramaticchangesinreliabilityenforcement.The2003
blackoutanditseffectonutilityregulationarefurtherexplainedinSection5.
73EnergyPolicyActof2005,Pub.L.No.10958,119Stat.594(2005).
74EPAct2005alsoresultedinthedevelopmentofmandatoryreliabilitystandards,whichisdiscussedinSection5.
67

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 14

Finally,CongressemphasizedcompliancewiththeCommissionsregulations,adoptingandincreasing
thecivilandcriminalpenaltiesforviolationsofCommissionadministeredstatutesandregulations.
Atthesametimethatthewholesaleandretailmarketswereevolving,stateswerepromulgatingnew
mandatestoimproveenergyefficiencyanddemandresponse.Thegrowingcostsofenvironmental
controlsresultingfromtheCleanAirActandotherregulationsplacedgreaterpressureonutilitiesand
statecommissionstoadoptalternativecostrecoveryprogramsforthesetargetedexpenditures.In
addition,theneedtoreplaceaginginfrastructureandthepotentialformodernizationofthenetwork
throughtheuseofdigitalandSmartGridtechnologyincreased.75

Toaddressthesechallenges,regulatorsexperimentedwiththeuseofalternativeratemaking,including
theuseoftrackermechanisms,riders,andothermechanismstoprovidecostrecoveryinamannerthat
wastimelierthantraditionalratecases.Thesemechanismswereusefulincaseswherethecostsofthe
specificactivitywereidentifiedandrecoveredasincurred.Theprudenceoftheassociatedcostswas
reviewedperiodically.Thesetrackersallowedthetimelyrecoveryofcostsandmaintainedtheutilities
financialintegrity,protectingthelevelofserviceprovidedtocustomers.Inaddition,thesemechanisms
ofteninvolvedatrueupprocesssincetheprocessofgrantingrateincreasesaheadofthecompletionofa
projectinvolvesariskthatcustomerscouldoverpayforthefinalproduct.Thetrueupmechanism
representedanappropriateretroactivemethodforprovidingcustomersarebateshouldcostoverruns
occur.76

Similarly,governmentmandatesregardingrenewableportfoliostandards(RPS)haveresultedinnew
costsforwind,solar,andbiofuelsthatmaybeabovemarket.Thesecostshavealsosometimesbeen
treatedasaseparatecostcategoryforrecoverythrougharideroradjustmentclausemechanism.The
trackermechanismsdevelopedwereanattemptbyregulatorstomatchrateswithcosts.Nevertheless,
relianceontraditionalregulatorytoolssuchasprudencereviewsandratecasescontinuestoservea
fundamentalroleinprovidingasubstituteformarketmechanismstoinduceefficientbehaviororto
furtherpublicpolicyobjectives.77

InFebruaryof2007,FERCissuedOrderNo.89078tocorrectflawsinitsproformaOpenAccess
TransmissionTariff(OATT)thathadbeenuncoveredduringthetenyearssinceOrderNo.888was
issued.TheCommissionrecognizedthatalthoughOrderNo.888hadbeensuccessful,theneedfor
additionalreformwasapparenttorealizeitsgoalofremedyingunduediscriminationinthewholesale
marketplace.ThechangesintroducedinOrderNo.890wereintendedto:(1)strengthentheproforma..
.OATTtoensurethatitachievesitsoriginalpurposeofremedyingunduediscrimination;(2)provide
greaterspecificitytoreduceopportunitiesforunduediscriminationandfacilitatetheCommissions

CostofServiceRegulation,pg.39.
Ibid.,pg.39.
77Ibid.,pg.39.
75
76

OrderNo.890alsointroducedreformsintransmissionplanningthatwerefurtherrefinedthrough
OrderNo.1000.BothoftheseordersarediscussedfurtherinSection8.PreventingUndueDiscriminationand

78

PreferenceinTransmissionServ.,OrderNo.890,FERCStats.&Regs.31,241(2007),onrehg,OrderNo.890A,FERC
Stats.&Regs.31,261(2007),onrehg,OrderNo.890B,123FERC61,299(2008),rehgdenied,OrderNo.890C,126
FERC61,228(2009).
2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.
October 8, 2013

Page 15

enforcement;and(3)increasetransparencyintherulesapplicabletoplanninganduseofthe
transmissionsystem.79However,FERCretainedseveralcoreelementsofOrderNo.888suchasthe
existingdivisionoffederalandstatejurisdictionincludingFERCssevenfactorfunctionalunbundling
test,nativeloadprotection,firmnetworkservice,andfirmandnonfirmpointtopointtransmission
service,anddeclinedtorequirecorporateorstructuralunbundling,optinginsteadtoretainfunctional
unbundling.80Themajorreformsincluded:(1)consistencyandtransparencyofmethodologiesand
calculationsforavailabletransfercapability(ATC);(2)open,transparent,andcoordinated
transmissionplanningonsubregional(local)andregionallevels;(3)transmissionpricingreforms;(4)
increasedefficiencyoftransmissiongridutilization;(5)increasedtransparencyandcustomeraccessto
information;(6)enhancedcomplianceandenforcementefforts;and(7)revisionstononratetermsand
conditionsoftransmissionservice.81Complementarytothewholesalemarketreformsintroducedin
OrderNo.890,inJuneof2007,theCommissionissuedOrderNo.697toclarifyandcodifyitsmarket
basedratepolicy.82

Duringtheautumnof2008,largedisruptionsinthefinancialmarketsaffectedthecreditmarketsand
reducedtheavailabilityofcredit.Theelectricitymarketswerevulnerabletotheeffectsofthisbroader
financialcrisis.DefaultsincertainmarketswithinthePJMRTOspurredaneedforcreditreformsasthe
threatofdefaultsformlargermarketparticipantsraisedconcerns.InOrderNo.741,theCommission
proposedextensiverevisionstoitspolicyonRTO/ISOcreditpractices.83

Ibid.,preamblesummary.
Ibid.
81Ibid.
82SeeMarketBasedRatesforWholesaleSalesofElectricEnergy,CapacityandAncillaryServicesbyPublicUtilities,Order
No.697,FERCStats.&Regs.31,252,clarified,121FERC61,260(2007),orderonrehg,OrderNo.697A,FERCStats.
&Regs.31,268,clarified,124FERC61,055,orderonrehg,OrderNo.697B,FERCStats.&Regs.31,285(2008),
orderonrehg,OrderNo.697C,FERCStats.&Regs.31,291(2009)..TheOrderpresentedanupfrontanalysisto
determinewhethermarketbasedratesshouldbegrantedandifamarketbasedrateselleroranyofitsaffiliateshas
marketpoweringenerationortransmission,whetherthatmarketpowerhadbeenmitigated.Theorderalso
establishedtwoclassesofMBRsellers:Category1sellers(anyonebelow500MWinthatmarket)aregenerally
exemptfromsubmittingtriennialmarketpowerstudiesandCategory2sellers(allothers)mustcontinuetofile
triennialstudies.TheCommissionalsotooktheopportunitytoclarifyitsinterpretationofseveraldecisionsbythe
UnitedStatesCourtofAppealsthatmayhavecreateduncertaintyforsellerstransactingpursuanttoitsmarket
basedrateprogram.TheCommissionaffirmeditspositionthatanexantefindingoftheabsenceofmarketpower,
coupledwiththeEQRfilingandeffectiveregulatoryoversight,qualifiesassufficientpriorreviewformarketbased
ratecontractstosatisfythenoticeandfilingrequirementsofFPAsection205.
83TheCommissionproposedthefollowingreformsrelatedtotheadministrationofcreditintheorganizedmarkets:
(1)implementationofabillingperiodofnomorethansevendaysandasettlementperiodofnomorethanseven
days;(2)reductionintheallocationofunsecuredcredittonomorethan$50millionpermarketparticipantanda
furtheraggregatecappercorporatefamily;(3)eliminationofunsecuredcreditforFTRmarkets,(4)clarificationof
theISOs/RTOsstatusasapartytoeachtransactionsoastoeliminateanyambiguityorquestionastotheirability
tonetandmanagedefaultsthroughtheoffsetofmarketobligations;(5)establishmentofminimumcriteriafor
marketparticipation;(6)clarificationofwhentheISOorRTOmayinvokeamaterialadversechangeclausein
requiringadditionalcollateral;and(7)establishmentofastandardgraceperiodtocurecollateralcalls.SeeCredit
ReformsinOrganizedWholesaleElectricMarkets,OrderNo.741,FERCStats.&Regs.31,317(2010),orderonrehg,
OrderNo.741A,FERCStats.&Regs.31,320(2011),orderdenyingrehg,OrderNo.741B,135FERC61,242(2011).
79
80

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 16

InCongress,additionalactionsweretakingplaceinresponsetothe2008financialcrisis.Whileinitially
directedtowardsfinancialinstitutions,theDoddFrankActhadthepotentialtoaffectenergytrading
companiesandwholesaleenergymarkets.Entitiescategorizedasswapdealersormajorswap
participantsfacednewcapital,margin,andreportingrequirements.Whileentitiesthatqualifiedas
endusersofphysicalenergylikeutilitiesandenergyproducers84couldapplyforindividual
exemptions,tradebytrade,theprocesscouldbeextremelybulkyandburdensome.85Oneserious
questionleftopenwaswhetherpowerpurchaseagreementsfordeliverywithinISOregionsthatactas
brokersforalltrades,suchasNYISOorPJM,wouldqualifyasexempttransactions.InFebruaryof2012,
theCommissionapprovedRTO/ISOs86filedapetitionwiththeCommodityFuturesTrading
Commission(CFTC)foranexemptionforcertaintransactionsintheirorganizedmarketsregulatedby
FERCorthePublicUtilityCommissionofTexas(PUCT).TheCFTCissueditsfinalRTO/ISOOrderon
March28,2013,whichwouldexemptfromCFTCregulationSpecificElectricRelatedProduct
transactionsinthefollowingmarkets:FinancialTransmissionRights(FTRs);EnergyTransactionsin
DayAheadandRealTimeMarkets;ForwardCapacityTransactions;andReserveorRegulation
Transactions.87ThisexemptionapplieswhenthepurchaseorsaleoftheabovelistedSpecificElectric
RelatedProductsisexecutedinanRTO/ISOmarketpursuanttoaFERCorPUCTapprovedtariff.88

Acompanythatcanproveitusesswapssolelyforthepurposeofhedgingagainstpricefluctuationsmayqualify
asanenduser,exemptingitfromsomeoftheactsrequirements.
85Qualifyingwilldepend,amongotherthings,onthenumberofswapstraded,whothecounterpartiesare,andthe
aggregateamounttradedinagivenperiod.
86CaliforniaIndependentServiceOperatorCorporation(CAISO),PJMInterconnection(PJM),MidwestIndependent
TransmissionSystemOperator(MISO),ISONewEngland(ISONE),NewYorkIndependentSystemOperator
(NYISO)andERCOT.
87FinalOrderinResponsetoaPetitionFromCertainIndependentSystemOperatorsandRegionalTransmission
OrganizationsToExemptSpecifiedTransactionsAuthorizedbyaTarifforProtocolApprovedbytheFederal
EnergyRegulatoryCommissionorthePublicUtilityCommissionofTexasFromCertainProvisionsofthe
CommodityExchangeActPursuanttotheAuthorityProvidedintheAct,78Fed.Reg.19880(Apr.2,2013)(CFTC
RTO/ISOFinalOrder).
88TheCFTCdeclinedtodelineatespecifictransactionsthatqualifyfortheRTO/ISOexemptionandalsodeclined
requeststoexpandtheexemptiontocovertransactionsthatareoutgrowthsof,oreconomicallycomparableto,
thespecificElectricrelatedProducts.TheCFTCclarifiedthatvirtualandconvergencebidsandoffersinDayAhead
Marketsareexemptenergytransactions,andthatexemptenergytransactionsmaybecashsettled.CFTC
RTO/ISOFinalOrder,19886.
84

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 17

Today,thecentralizedwholesalemarketsthathavebeenapprovedbyFERCareCaliforniaISO,ISO
NewEngland,NewYorkISO,Pennsylvania,NewJersey,Maryland(PJM)(officialnameisPJM
Interconnection),SouthwestPowerPool,andtheMidwestISO.Inaddition,theERCOT(Texas)market
runsundertheauthorityoftheTexasPUC.Thecurrentstateofthecentralizedwholesalemarket
developmentacrosstheU.S.isshowninthediagrambelow.

Figure6.RegionalTransmissionOrganizations

Source:http://www.ferc.gov/industries/electric/indusact/rto.asp

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 18

ThecurrentstateofretailchoiceintheU.S.isshowninthegraphicbelow.

Figure7.StatusofElectricityRestructuring(RetailChoice)byState

Source:http://www.eia.gov/cneaf/electricity/page/restructuring/restructure_elect.html.

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 19

4. TodaysTwoBroadModels
Atthewholesalelevel,therearetwoapproaches,centralizedgenerationmarketsandtraditionalbi
lateralmarkets.Similarly,therearetwoapproachesattheretaillevel;thetraditionalvertically
integratedapproachandretailchoice.Whileregionsadoptingacentralizedmarketmodeloftenalso
providesomeformofretailchoice,thisisnotnecessarilyageneralrule.Thevariationunderthetwo
generalapproachesisshowninTable1.

Table1.WholesaleandRetailMarketStructurebyState

Vertically Integrated Utility

Centralized Wholesale Market

Bilateral Wholesale Market

AR*, CA, IA*, IN, KS, KY*, LA*,


MN, MO, MT*, ND*, NE*, NM*,
OK, SD*, VA, VT, WI, WV

AK, AL, AZ, CO, FL, GA, HI, ID,


MS, NC, NV, SC, TN, UT, WA,
WY

Retail Choice

CT, DE, IL, MA, MD, ME, MI, NH,


NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, RI, TX
Note: Asterisked states are partially in Centralized and Bilateral Markets

4.1 CurrentStatusofCentralizedWholesaleGeneratingMarkets
4.1.1 TodaysCentralizedWholesaleGeneratingMarkets
Consumersenergycostsincludeawholesalecostcomponentconsistingofthecostsoftransmissionand
energy.89Aspreviouslynoted,traditionalverticallyintegratedutilitiescanoperatewithinboth
centralizedwholesaleenergymarketsandtraditionalbilateralmarkets;however,restructuredutilities
withcustomerchoicearecloselylinkedtoorganizedwholesaleenergymarkets.
Energymarketsprimarilyrefertowholesalemarketsforgeneration.Whiletransmissionisnecessary
andbecomesapartofthedeliveredcostoftheenergy,utilitytransmissionisaregulatedservice
providedatcostofservicerates.90AnumberofregionsincludingtheNortheast,MidAtlantic,much
oftheMidwest,theElectricReliabilityCouncilofTexas(ERCOT),andCaliforniaorganizetheirenergy

SeeNantahalaPower&LightCo.v.Thornburg,476U.S.953(1986)(Statecannotdisallowawholesaleratethatthe
FERChassetasjustandreasonable);seealsoMississippiPowerv.MISS.ExRel.Moore,487U.S.354(1988).Butsee,
PikeCountyLight&PowerCo.v.PennsylvaniaPublicServiceCommission,465A.2d735,738(1983)((Statecanreview
prudencyofautilitychoosingbetweentwochoicestopurchasepower).
90FERCrequiresthatpublicutilitiesthatowntransmissionlinesusedininterstatecommerceoffertransmission
serviceonanondiscriminatorybasistoalleligiblecustomers.Thepricefortheserviceiscostbasedandpublished
intheOATT.SeeOfficeofEnforcement,FederalEnergyRegulatoryCommission,EnergyPrimer:AHandbookof
EnergyMarketBasics,AstaffreportoftheDivisionofEnergyMarketOversight,(July2012),pp.57and62(Energy
Primer:AHandbookofEnergyMarketBasics).Merchanttransmissionprovidersmayinsomecasesprovide
serviceatnegotiatedratesthatarenotcostbased.
89

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 20

marketsunderanISOorRTO.Moststatesintheseregionsalsoallowretailcompetition.91Other
regionsoftheUnitedStates,includingtheSoutheastandWest,excludingCalifornia,havechosento
retainthetraditionalregulatorymodel.Underthisregime,verticallyintegratedutilitiesandcertain
publicpowerentitiesretainfunctionalcontroloverboththetransmissionsystemsandgeneration
dispatch.
4.1.2 EnergyMarkets
ThecentralizedwholesaleenergymarketsintheU.S.payauniformclearingpricetoallgenerators
biddinginthemarket,whichisintendedtoencouragegeneratorstooffertheirelectricityatthe
margin,theirbreakevenpointforvariablecosts.92

MostofthecentralizedwholesaleenergymarketsintheU.S.haveimplementedwhatisknownas
locationalmarginalpricing(LMP)ornodalpricing.ExamplesincludethePJMInterconnection,ERCOT,
NewYork,andNewEnglandmarkets.Thetablebelowliststhemarketsandtheirkeyattributes.Inan
LMPmarket,thebids/offerssubmittedbymarketparticipantsareusedtodeterminethepricesof
electricityateachnodeonthenetwork.93Thenodalpriceisthehighestpricedbidthatisdispatchedto
meetloadinanyhourandallsuccessfulbiddersarepaidthisnodalorLMPprice.Whereconstraints
existonatransmissionnetwork,94moreexpensivegenerationmaybedispatchedonthedownstream
sideoftheconstraint,resultinginapriceseparationoneithersideoftheconstraint.Thisresultsinwhat
istermedcongestionpricingorconstraintrents.95Somesystemsalsoaccountformarginallossesinthe
nodalpricecalculation.Dependingonthemarket,pricesettlementsoccurdayahead,hourly,orinreal
time.

Someofthecentralizedwholesaleenergymarketshavealsodevelopedcapacitymarketstoensurethere
issufficientgenerationtomeetreliabilityrequirements.Inaddition,thecentralmarketsalsotypically
includeancillaryservicemarketstomeetotherreliabilityrequirementssuchasvoltagesupport,and
financialhedgingdevicescalledFinancialTransmissionRights(FTRs)orTransmissionCongestion
Contracts(TCCs),whichenablemarketparticipantstomanagetransmissioncongestionrisksandcosts.

ApproximatelytwothirdsofthenationselectricityloadisservedinRTOregions.SeeEnergyPrimer:A
HandbookofEnergyMarketBasics,pg.42.
92Thealternativeapproach(notadoptedinanyU.S.market)isapayasbidmarket,whichencouragesgeneratorsto
offertheirelectricityattheexpectedmarketprice.
93Fromthebids/offers,thetheoreticalpriceofelectricityateachnodeonthenetworkiscalculatedasashadow
price.Theshadowpricereflectsthehypotheticalincrementalcosttothesystemfromanoptimizeddispatchof
availableunitstomeetoneadditionalkilowatthourofdemandatthenodeinquestion.
94Transmissionsystemsareoperatedtoallowforcontinuityofsupplyevenifacontingentevent,likethelossofa
line,weretooccur.Thisisknownasasecurityconstrainedsystem.
95Ifthelowestpricedelectricitycanreachalllocations,pricesarethesameacrosstheentiregrid.
91

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 21

Table2.CentralizedMarketsandtheirAttributes
Market

Key Elements

California ISO (CAISO)


(established 1996)

Midcontinent ISO (MISO)


(established 2002 as Midwest
ISO)

ISO New England (ISO-NE)


(established 1997)

New York ISO (NYISO)


(established 1999)

PJM Interconnection (PJM)

Energy market: three-settlement (day ahead, hour ahead, and real time). Spot market
with locational marginal pricing
Ancillary services, and Financial Transmission Rights market
Administers a two-settlement (day ahead and real-time) energy market known as the
Day-2 market. It produces hourly locational marginal prices that are rolled up into 5
regional hub prices.
Also administers a monthly financial transmission rights (FTR) allocation and auction
MISO bilateral trading is active on the IntercontinentalExchange (ICE) at the Cinergy
Hub and Northern Illinois Hub.
Voluntary annual and monthly capacity auction
Energy market: two-settlement (day ahead and real-time) spot market with locational
marginal pricing (an internal hub, eight load zones, and more than 500 nodes)
Capacity market
Forward reserves market
Regulation market, and financial transmission rights market
Energy market: two-settlement (day ahead and real-time) spot market with locational
marginal pricing
Regional and locational capacity market with deliverability requirement
Financial transmission rights market
Market participants trade electricity bilaterally through brokers, the ICE, and the New
York Mercantile Exchanges (NYMEX) ClearPort, using NYISO zones as pricing points
but bilateral deals that go physical must be scheduled with the ISO.
Energy market: two-settlement (day ahead and real-time) spot market with locational
marginal pricing (prices are calculated at each bus every five minutes)
Capacity markets with deliverability requirement
Ancillary services markets
Financial transmission rights market
Energy and capacity in the region are also traded bilaterally through brokers and the
ICE

Southwest Power Pool (SPP)


(granted RTO status in 2004)

Market participants trade physical electricity bilaterally, either directly or through


brokers, and through the energy imbalance service (EIS) market.

ERCOT

Administers the Texas competitive retail market


Operates wholesale markets for:
o Balancing energy
o Ancillary service markets with zonal congestion management

Source:InformationinthistableobtainedfromtheFederalEnergyRegulatoryCommissionwebsiteavailableat:
http://www.ferc.gov/marketoversight/mktelectric/overview.asp

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 22

4.2 BilateralWholesaleGeneration
UnliketransactionsintheRTO/ISOenergymarkets,inbilateraltransactions,buyersandsellersknow
theidentityofthepartywithwhomtheyaredoingbusiness.96Bilateraltransactionsmayoccurthrough
directcontactandnegotiation,throughabrokerorthroughanelectronicbrokerageplatform,suchasthe
IntercontinentalExchange(ICE).97Bilateraltransactionsrangefromstandardizedcontractpackages,to
customized,complexcontractsknownasstructuredtransactions.98

TraditionalwholesaleelectricmarketsexistprimarilyintheWest(otherthanCalifornia)andSoutheast.
Inthesetraditionalwholesalemarkets,utilitiescontinuetoberesponsibleforsystemoperationsand
management,and,typically,forprovidingpowertoretailconsumers.99Nearlyallthewholesale
transactionsintheSoutheastaredonebilaterally.Longtermenergytransactionsarecommon,and
transactiondurationsforayearormoreoutweighspottransactions.Furthermore,manylongterm
agreementsinvolvefullrequirementscontractsorlongtermpurchasepoweragreements.100Bilateral
transactionsalsopredominateamongentitiesintheWest,otherthanCalifornia.Thoseentitiesalsosella
smallamountofpowerintotheCaliforniaISOsmarket.101

4.3 TodaysRetailChoiceStatus
TwomodelsarecurrentlyemployedintheUnitedStatestodeliverelectricpowertoretailconsumers.
ThetraditionalmodelistheVerticallyIntegratedUtilitywherevariousservicesarebundled,whichis
definedbytheU.S.EnergyInformationAdministration(EIA)asameansofoperationwherebyenergy,
transmission,anddistributionservices,aswellasancillaryandretailservices,areprovidedbyone
entity.102Underthismodel,theenergyprovidedbytheutilitymaybeprovidedbyitsowngeneration
orprocuredfromothers,generallyinbilateralwholesaletransactions.Manynonverticallyintegrated,
governmentownedandcooperativeentitiesalsooperateinaverticallyintegratedmodeusingjointly
ownedtransmissionandgeneration.Incontrast,thereareregionswhereutilityrestructuringhas
occurredandretailchoice103isavailableforalargenumberofcustomers.Thesecondmarketmodel

SeeEnergyPrimer:AHandbookofEnergyMarketBasics,pg.64.Whilebilateraltransactionsbetweentwoparties
donotoccurthroughanRTO,somebilateralactivityoccursinareaswherethereareRTOs/ISOs.
97Ibid.,pg.60.
98Ibid.,pg.60.
99Id.,pg.63.
100Ibid.,,pg.73.
101TheWestincludestheNorthwestPowerPool(NWPP),theRockyMountainPowerArea(RMPA)andthe
Arizona,NewMexico,SouthernNevadaPowerArea(AZ/NM/SNV)withintheWesternElectricityCoordinating
Council(WECC),aregionalentity.
102U.S.DepartmentofEnergyEnergyInformationAdministration,
http://www.eia.gov/tools/glossary/?id=electricity.
103Retailchoiceisaregulatorymandatetoallowretailcustomerstouseautilitystransmissionanddistribution
facilitiestomovebulkpowerfromonepointtoanotheronanondiscriminatorybasisforacostbasedfee.U.S.
DepartmentofEnergyEnergyInformationAdministration,http://www.eia.gov/tools/glossary/?id=electricity.
96

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 23

ofteninvolvescentralized,bidbasedwholesalegenerationmarkets.Thispapergenerallyreferstothe
secondmodelastheretailchoicemodel.104

Asofthewritingofthisreport,15statesandtheDistrictofColumbiahaveadoptedelectricretailchoice
programsthatallowendusecustomerstobuyelectricityfromcompetitiveretailsuppliers.105
Overall,competitiveretailsuppliersprovided16%oftotalU.S.retailsalesbyvolumein2010.106

4.4 CostBasedRatesandTraditionalUtilityRegulation
ThetraditionalmodeofregulationintheUnitedStatesiscostbased,whichpermitstheutilityto
establishpricesthatwillrecoverprudentoperatingcostsandprovideanopportunitytoearna
reasonablerateofreturnonthepropertydevotedtothebusiness.Thegoalsofcostbasedutilitypricing
areasfollows:107
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

Attractinginvestmentcapitalatareasonablecost
Reasonablepricesforelectricservice
Efficiencyincentive
Demandcontrol
Revenuegeneration

Costbasedratemakingisnotwithoutitscriticisms.Themostfrequentcriticismofcostbased
ratemakingisthatanincentiveexiststooverinvestincapitalintensiveprojectsbecausetheutilitys
incomeisderivedbyinvestment(AverchJohnsonBehavior).108Costbasedregulationisalsosometimes
criticizedbecauseitfailstoprovideutilitieswithanincentivetooperateefficiently.

4.5 TheRetailChoiceModel
Inasmuchastheretailchoicemodelisrelativelyimmature(lessthan15yearsoldinmostjurisdictions),a
numberofcriticismshaveemerged.First,participationinretailmarketsinmanyjurisdictionshasbeen
anemicduetoalackofincentives(i.e.,lowerprices)orinformation.Second,insomejurisdictions,
marketdesignissueshaveledtopricespikeswhichhavenegativelyaffectedconsumers.

Thedescriptionsofthetraditionalvs.retailchoicereflectsimplifyingassumptions.Therearevertically
integratedutilitiesthatoperateinareaswithbidbasedmarkets.Similarly,insomeareas,limitedcustomerchoice
hasbeenmadeavailabletolargecommercialorindustrialcustomersandnobidbasedmarketmayexist.The
RetailChoicemodelgenerallyreferstotheutilityandmarketstructurethatexistsasaresultofbroadretailchoice
forthecustomersofanumberofutilitiesinagivenregion.
105http://www.eia.gov/electricity/policies/restructuring/restructure_elect.html
106U.S.EnergyInformationAdministration(EIA),Stateelectricretailchoiceprogramsarepopularwith
commercialandindustrialcustomers(May14,2012),
http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=6250#tabs_RenewablesMaps1.ThiswebsitehasamapofU.S.and
identifiesbyregionSalesforRetailchoicevs.defaultservices.
107JamesBonbright,AlbertDanielsenandDavidKamerschen,PrinciplesofPublicUtilityRates,PublicUtilities
Reports,Incorporated(1988),pg.112.
108HarveyAverchandLelandJohnson,BehavioroftheFirmUnderRegulatoryConstraint,AmericanEconomic
Review(1962).
104

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 24

Attheheightoftheutilityrestructuringmovementinthe1990s,nearlyhalfofthestateswere
consideringretailchoiceinoneformoranother.Californiaandseveralnortheasternstatesledtheway,
inmanycasesrequiringinvestorownedutilitiesdivestsomeoralloftheirgeneration,whichwas
requiredfordifferentreasonsbaseduponthejurisdiction.Commonreasonsfordivestureofgeneration
included:(1)mitigationofperceivedmarketpower;and(2)quantificationofthevalueoftheseassetsfor
thepurposesofdeterminingstrandedinvestment.

AftertheCaliforniaenergycrisisin2001,however,somestates,includingCalifornia,abandonedthese
efforts.Therearecurrentlyonly15statesplustheDistrictofColumbiathatpermitallcustomersto
chooseanenergysupplier.109

Therestructuringeffortswerecontentious,withutilitiesarguingthatthey(andtheirshareholders)
wouldbeleftwithstrandedcosts(i.e.,generationandotherinvestmentsmadeinanticipationof
needingtoservetheloadwithintheirfootprintsthatwouldnotberecoveredwhenexposedtomarket
prices).Theseissueswereresolvedinvariousways,includingbytheadditionoftransitioncostadders
toelectricitydeliverychargeswithorwithoutsecuritizationarrangements.110Residentialratefreezesor
reductionswerealsomandatedinsomecasestoprovideanimmediatebenefittosmallerconsumers.In
somestates,utilitiesandregulatorswrestledoverProviderofLastResort(POLR)111ratesandsupplyto
ensurethatallcustomerswouldcontinuetohaveaccesstoservice,whileatthesametimefostering
competition.

UtilitiesthatnolongerowngenerationandretainanobligationtoserveunderaPOLRrequirement
mustprocurepowerinwholesaletransactions,eitherthroughbilateralarrangementsormarket
purchases.Thecostofpower,likeotherutilitycosts,issubjecttoreviewforreasonableness.FERCrules
requirecarefulscrutinyofsalesofpowerbetweenutilitiesandtheiraffiliates.112Atleastonestate,
Illinois,haspartiallytakenovertheroleofpowerprocurementfortheutilityselectricsupplycustomers.
However,morerecently,municipalaggregation(wherethemunicipalitynegotiatesapurchasepower
agreementonbehalfoftheresidentsofthecommunity)isincreasinglyreplacingthestatesroleasan
electricpowersupplier.

http://www.eia.gov/electricity/policies/restructuring/restructure_elect.html
Securitizationarrangementsallowedtheissuanceofbindsorothersimilarfinancialinstruments,whichwere
securedwithapropertyrighttoanonbypassablerevenue.
111APOLRisadefaultproviderwhoprovidesservicetocustomerswhodonotelecttosecurepowersupply
througharetailelectricsupplier.
112CrossSubsidizationRestrictionsonAffiliateTransaction,OrderNo.707,73FR11013(Feb.29,2008),FERCStats.
&Regs.31,264(Feb.21,2008)(AffiliateTransactionsFinalRule),orderonrehearing,OrderNo.707A,73FR43072
(July24,2008),FERCStats.&Regs.31,272(2008)(AffiliateTransactionsFinalRuleRehearing);OrderNo.697
(MarketBasedRateFinalRule).
109
110

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 25

4.6 DifferencesBetweentheTraditionalandRetailChoiceModels
InboththeVerticallyIntegratedandRetailChoiceregulatorymodelsthedistributionandtransmission
functionsarepriceregulated,generallyusingsomevariantofcostbasedpricing.Nojurisdictioninthe
UnitedStateshasseriouslyentertainedthenotionofretailcompetitionfordistributionfacilities.113

TheprimarydifferenceintheVerticallyIntegratedandRetailChoiceregulatorymodelsliesinisthe
treatmentofthegenerationfunction,asdiscussedbelow.
1.
2.

GenerationPlanningandConstruction
VerticallyIntegratedUtilities

Traditionally,regulatedutilitiesengageingenerationsystemplanningaspartoftheirdaytoday
businessfunctions.Theobjectiveofregulatedgenerationsystemplanningistoprovidecustomerswith
reliableelectricserviceatthelowestlongrunprice.Generationsystemplanninggenerallyconsidersthe
followingvariablesinmakinggenerationdecisions:(1)thecostofnewgenerationtechnologyor
availablewholesalemarketpurchases;(2)whatcostswouldbeincurredtoretainexistinggenerating
unitsinservice;(3)expectationsregardingthefuturecostsofgeneratorfuels(e.g.,coal,naturalgas,and
petroleumproducts);(4)theimpactsofexistingandfutureenvironmentalrules;(5)thedeliverycosts
associatedwithgenerationsitingoptions,and(6)expectationsregardingthedemandfornewload.The
utilitymanagementperformsanalysesthattypicallyrelyuponcomplexsimulationstoascertainwhich
combinationsofnewandexistinggenerationandtransmissionsystemimprovementswillprovidefor
thegoalofsafeandreliablegenerationserviceatthelowestreasonablecost.Thisprocessisreferredto
asintegratedresourceplanning.Oncethedecisionsofthesystemplanningarecompleted,thecosts
associatedwiththosedecisionsarerecoveredfromcustomersthroughregulatedprices.
4.6.1 RetailChoiceMarkets
Incontrasttoverticallyintegratedutilities,theretailchoiceregulatorymodelreliessolelyupon
competitiveenergymarketstoprovidecustomerswithgenerationservices.Generationisconstructed
byindependentpowerproducers(IPPs)whorelyuponthemarkettoproviderevenuestreamsin
exchangefortheirinvestmentsandarethereforesubjectedtomarketrisk.Althoughmarketdesign
variesfromjurisdictiontojurisdiction,customersaregenerallyservedbyretailelectricsuppliers(RESs)
licensedtooperateinthatjurisdictionorthroughaPOLRmechanismforcustomerswhoeitherdonot
electtochoosearetailpowermarketerordonothavetheabilitytochoosearetailpowermarketer.The
lattercaseincludesanumberofjurisdictionsthathaveabandonedtheverticallyintegratedmodelbut
havenotprovidedallcustomerswiththeabilitytocontractdirectlywitharetailpowermarketer.

Retailchoicemarketsdonotrequirethatanyorganizedplanningprocessbeadheredtowhen
introducingnewgenerationintotheelectricpowersystem.Developerspurchaseexistingassetsor
developnewprojectsbaseduponexpectationoffuturemarketprices.

Thereareafewexceptions,includingthecompetitionwhichexistsbetweenFirstEnergyandClevelandPublic
PowerincertainareasofCleveland,Ohio.
113

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 26

Acriticaldifferenceinretailchoicemarketsistheexistenceofretailpowermarketers.Retailpower
marketersprocureelectricpowereitherthroughownedassetsortransactionsonwholesalepower
marketstosupplycustomersonacontractualbasis.
4.6.2 PricingforGenerationServices
Verticallyintegratedutilitiesreceivearegulatedreturnforbundled(generation,transmission,and
distribution)services.Althoughthenuancesofregulatedratemakingdifferfromjurisdictionto
jurisdiction,moststateshaveadoptedsomevariationofrateofreturnratemaking.

Pricinginretailchoicestatesismarketbasedforgenerationorpowersupplyserviceandnotcost
based.Ifthegenerationserviceisprovidedbyaretailelectricserviceprovider,pricesaredetermined
competitivelybaseduponanarmslengthagreement.Inmostcasestheretailelectricsuppliermaynot
beaccessingphysicalgenerationresourcesdirectlyandinsteadwillreplyuponfinancialinstruments
tiedtotheelectricpowermarkettoprovidepricecertainty.

Asignificantproportionoftheloadinmanyretailchoicejurisdictionsisservedbydefaultproviders,
whoprovideservicetocustomerswhodonotelecttosecurepowersupplythrougharetailelectric
supplier.Defaultprovidersaregenerallysecuredthroughacompetitivesolicitationsuchasarequestfor
proposals(RFP)orauction.Furthermore,manystateslistedasretailopenaccessjurisdictionsrestrictthe
competitiveshoppingoptiontocertaincustomers(e.g.,Michigan).

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 27

5. SystemReliability
Reliabilitystandardsorcriteriausedforplanningandoperationsareanintegralpartoftheelectric
powerindustryandhavebeensincetheveryfirstsystemsweredevelopedinthelatenineteenth
century.Aspowersystemsgrewincomplexityandevolvedintothelargesynchronousinterconnections
oftoday,thesestandardshavebecomeincreasinglyimportant.114

TherearetwocomponentstoBulkPowerSystem(BPS)reliabilityresourceadequacyandtransmission
security.Resourceadequacyensuresadequategenerationordemandresponsetomeetexpectedpeak
loadsplusareserve.Transmissionsecurityensuresreliablesystemoperationinthefaceof
contingencies,lossofgenerationortransmission.115Planningauthoritiesmustconstructfacilitiesto
meetbothoftheseidentifiedreliabilityneeds.

FERCregulateswholesalemarketsincentralizedmarketregionswheremarketsarethesourceofthe
newresourcestomeetresourceadequacyneeds.Intheseregions,theRTOs/ISOsandFERCarefacing
challengesofaligningtransmissionplanningwithprocurementofmarketdrivensolutions(generation,
demandresponse)toinducethemostefficientoutcome.Thereisalsothestrugglebetweenthestates,
whichhavehistoricallyhadregulatoryresponsibilityforassuringgenerationresourceadequacyfor
retailelectriccustomers.FERChasprovidedoversightofresourceadequacyunderFERCopenaccess
tariffsandincompetitivemarkets,andinsomecasesFERCoversighthasconflictedwithstateresource
planningobjectives.

FERCalsooverseestheNorthAmericanElectricReliabilityCorporation(NERC)astheElectric
ReliabilityOrganization(ERO)undertheFederalPowerAct.Inturn,NERCdelegatescompliance
monitoringandenforcementoversighttoitseightRegionalEntities.Instateswithverticallyintegrated
companies,statesoverseeautilitysresourceplanningandprocurement,andthesitingofjurisdictional
powerplants.Statesgenerallymustapprovethesitingofjurisdictionaltransmissionlinesand
equipment.

Underthissharedjurisdictionalframework,thestatesandFERCworktoensurethebulkpowersystem
(BPS)isdesignedandoperatedinareliablemanner.116

5.1 DevelopmentoftheMandatoryReliabilityStandards
Throughoutmostofthetwentiethcentury,increasedsysteminterrelationtookplace.Bytheearly1960s,
powersystemsinmostoftheUnitedStatesandCanadahadformedintofourlargesynchronous

SeeKennethLotterhosandCeliaDavid,NERCandMandatoryElectricReliabilityCompliance,Lexis(Apr.2011),
Ch2,pg.3(NERCandMandatoryElectricReliabilityCompliance).
115SeeNERCandMandatoryElectricReliabilityCompliance,Ch2,pg.1.
116SeeAdvancedEnergyEconomy,U.S.ElectricPowerIndustryContextandStructure(Nov.2011),Figure6.
114

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 28

interconnectionsorgrids.117Duringthisperiod,individualpowersystemseachdevelopedand
appliedtheirowncriteriaforreliability.

Withthe1965NortheastBlackout,itwasplaintoseethatamorecoordinatedapproachwasnecessary.
Followingthe1965blackout,theNorthAmericanElectricReliabilityCouncil,whichlaterbecame
NERC,118andRegionalReliabilityCouncils,whichlaterbecametheRegionalEntities,formed.119The
U.S.systemsalsoformedtwonewpowerpools:theNewEnglandPowerPoolandtheNewYorkPower
Pool.120Acrossthenationsystemscametogethertoestablishregionalreliabilitycouncils,until
collectivelytheyencompassedessentiallyallofthecontinentalU.S.andCanada.121

SubsequentblackoutsontheEastCoastinJuly1977andtheWestCoastinJulyandAugustof1996
furtherunderscoredtheneedforgreatercoordinationandadherencetotheexistingreliabilitystandards.
AcommoncauseofthesethreemajorregionalblackoutswasviolationofNERCsvoluntaryOperating
PoliciesandPlanningStandards.122TheNortheastPowerCoordinatingCouncil(NPCC)adopted
criteriathatincorporatedtheNERCstandards,butalsoestablishedstricterrequirementsrecognizingthe
impactonthenationseconomyandfinanceswiththelossofNewYorkCity.Compliancewiththe
NPCCcriteriawasmademandatoryforNPCCmembersbycontract,whiletheNERCstandardswere
stillvoluntary.123

InresponsetotheWestCoastJulyandAugust1996cascadingoutages,theSecretaryofEnergy
convenedataskforcetoadvisetheU.S.DepartmentofEnergy(DOE)onmaintainingthereliabilityof
theBPS.Thetaskforcerecommended,amongotherthings,thatfederallegislationshouldgrantmore
explicitauthorityfortheCommissiontoapproveandoverseeanorganizationhavingresponsibilityfor
bulkpowerreliabilitystandardsandthatFERCbegivenjurisdictionoverreliabilityoftheBPS.124This

SeeNERCandMandatoryElectricReliabilityCompliance,Ch2,pg.3.
ThesystemsthathadbeenaffectedbytheblackoutformedtheNortheastPowerCoordinatingCouncil(NPCC),
theRegionalEntityforthenortheastportionoftheU.SandEasternCanada.SeeNERCandMandatoryElectric
ReliabilityCompliance,Ch2,pg.5.OneofNERCsroleswastoestablishoverallreliabilitycriteria.NERCsoriginal
planningcriteriaweregeneralinnatureguidelinesastowhattopicstheregionalcouncilsshouldaddressintheir
owncriteria.AnotherofNERCspurposeswastoprovideaforumforthediscussionofreliabilityissues.NERC
adoptedNAPSICsbulkpowersystemprotocols,includingthenowfamiliarN1systemcontingencydesign,and
operatingcriteriathatcontinuetobeusedinoperatingthebulkpowersystem.Ibid.,Ch2,pp.56.
119Theprimaryroleoftheregionalreliabilitycouncilswastoestablishandmaintainuniformreliabilitycriteriatobe
appliedintheplanningandoperationoftheirrespectivebulkpowersystems.Eachalsodevelopedproceduresfor
assessingconformance.Ibid.,Ch2,pg.6.
120AsderegulationproceededintheNortheast,theseevolvedintoIndependentSystemOperatorsNewEngland
(ISONE)andtheNewYorkISO.BothbecameconstituentareasofNPCC.
121Individualsystemsandpowerpoolssometimesdevelopedtheirownmoredetailedormorestringentcriteria,but
theywerealwaysresponsibleforadherencetotheregionalcriteriaasaminimum.SeeNERCandMandatoryElectric
ReliabilityCompliance,Ch2,pg.6.
122Ibid.,Ch2,pg.6.Seealso,http://blackout.gmu.edu/archive/a_1977.html.
123SeeNERCandMandatoryElectricReliabilityCompliance,Ch2,pg.7.
124SecretaryofEnergyAdvisoryBoard,U.S.DepartmentofEnergy,MaintainingReliabilityinaCompetitiveU.S.
ElectricityIndustry,FinalReportoftheTaskForceonElectricSystemReliability(September1998),pp.2527,6567.
117
118

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 29

laidthegroundworkfortheeventualadoptionoflegislationthatenactedthemandatoryreliability
enforcementstructurethatexiststoday.125

OnAugust14,2003,aseriesofeventsledtoablackoutaffectingmuchofthesysteminthenortheastern
U.S.,Canada,andportionsoftheMidwest.Ateamofindustryexpertsconcludedthattherehadbeen
violationsoftheNERCvoluntaryreliabilitystandards.Thisconclusionresultedindramaticchangesin
reliabilityenforcement.126OnAugust8,2005,theElectricityModernizationActof2005,whichisTitle
XIIoftheEnergyPolicyActof2005,wasenactedintolaw.127EPACT2005eliminatedthevoluntary
natureoftheNERCreliabilityguidelines,chargedFERCwithultimateoversightofelectricreliabilityof
theBPS,andestablishedanindependentEROtodevelopmandatoryreliabilitystandardssubjectto
FERCapproval,monitorindustryparticipantscompliancetothesestandards,andlevypenaltiesfor
noncomplianceuptoonemilliondollarsperdayperviolationforthemostseriousviolations.128The
EPACT2005languagewasbasedonareportbytheNationalEnergyPolicyDevelopmentGroupthat
recommendedenforceablereliabilitystandardsbyaselfregulatoryorganizationsubjecttoFERC
oversight.129

SeeNERCandMandatoryElectricReliabilityCompliance,Ch2,pg.7.
Ibid.,Ch2,pg.8,citing,U.S.CanadaPowerSystemOutageJointTaskForcesFinalReportontheAugust14,2003
BlackoutintheUnitedStatesandCanada:CausesandRecommendations(April2004).
127SimilaractionshavebeentakenbytheregulatoryauthoritiesintheCanadianProvincesandMexico.
128SeeNERCandMandatoryElectricReliabilityCompliance,Ch2,pg.8.
129NationalEnergyPolicyDevelopmentGroup,NationalEnergyPolicy(May2001),pg.76.
125

126

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 30

Figure8.NERCRegions130

5.2 TransmissionReliability
5.2.1 TheNERCStandardsandWhoMustComply
TheReliabilityStandardsaregroupedinto14broadcategoriesrelatingtobulkpowersystemoperations
andplanning.Eachstandarddescribeswhatmeasuresaretobecompleted,whobyregisteredentity
functionmustcompletethem,andhowcompliancewillbemeasured.131

Currently,thereare102ReliabilityStandardswithover1,300requirementsapplicableandmandatoryin
theU.S.,notincludingthenineregionalstandardsthathavebeenapprovedandthatareonlyapplicable

Source:NorthAmericanElectricReliabilityCorporationwebsiteavailableat
http://www.nerc.com/AboutNERC/keyplayers/Documents/NERC_Regions_BW_072512.jpg.
131SeeNERCandMandatoryElectricReliabilityCompliance,Ch5,pg.51.
130

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 31

inthespecificRegions.132AstandardisnotmandatoryandenforceableintheUnitedStatesunlessithas
receivedapprovalbyFERC.133

WithintheUnitedStates,otherthanAlaskaandHawaii,allusers,owners,andoperatorsoftheBPS134
mustcomplywiththereliabilitystandardsdevelopedbytheERO.135TheEROscomplianceregistry
processisusedtoidentifythesetofentitiesthatareresponsibleforcompliancewithaparticular
ReliabilityStandard.136TheapplicabilitysectionofaparticularReliabilityStandarddeterminesthe
applicabilityofeachReliabilityStandard.137

AcleardefinitionofthetermBulkElectricSystem(BES)138isessentialtodefiningthescopeand
applicabilityofthemandatoryreliabilitystandardsandisapartoftheNERCentityregistrationprocess.
Thedefinitionestablisheswhichparticularfacilitieswillbesubjecttothereliabilitystandardsand,
therefore,hasadirectimpactondeterminingwhichentitiesmustregisterundertheNERCFunctional
Model.ThedefinitionoftheBESdoesnotincludefacilitiesusedinthelocaldistributionofelectric

NERChasbeenworkingtoreducethisnumberofstandardsandinFebruaryNERCfiledapetitiontoretire34
requirementswithin19ReliabilityStandards.FERChasnotyetruledonthisfilingbutNERCissuedaguidance
statementinstructingRegionalEntitiestoceaseactivelymonitoringcompliancetotheserequirements.SeeNERC
GuidanceforComplianceMonitoringandEnforcementPendingRetirementofStandardsandRequirements
PursuanttoParagraph81(Apr.9,2013).NERCisalsopursuingothereffortstoeliminatestandardsthatdonot
improvethelevelofBPSreliabilityandimprovetheoverallstandardsdevelopmentprocess.
13316U.S.C.824o(d)(1);18C.F.R.39.5;MandatoryReliabilityStandardsfortheBulkPowerSystem,OrderNo.693,
FERCStats.&Regs.31,242atP26,orderonrehg,OrderNo.693A,120FERC61,053(2007)(explainingtheERO
mustfileeachofitsReliabilityStandardsandanymodificationtheretowiththeCommission).
134InOrderNo.743,FERCtheCommissionclarifiedthatthetermBulkPowerSystem(BPS),usedintheFPA,was
distinctandmoreexpansivethantheNERCdefinedterm,BES,whichdeterminestheenforcementapplicabilityof
theReliabilityStandards.SeeRevisiontoElectricReliabilityOrganizationDefinitionofBulkElectricSystem,133
FERC61,150(OrderNo.743)(Nov.2010)atP36.
135SeeFederalPowerAct215(b),16U.S.C844o(b);18C.F.R40.1.Noteapplicabilityalsoextendstoentities
describedunder201(f)oftheFPA.Section201(f)oftheFPAgenerallyexemptstheUnitedStates,astateorany
politicalsubdivisionofastate,anelectriccooperativethatreceivesfinancingundertheRuralElectrificationActof
1936(7U.S.C.901etseq.)orthatsellslessthan4,000,000megawatthoursofelectricityperyearfromPartIIofthe
FPA.Seealso18C.F.R39.2,40.1(a).
136OrderNo.693atPP92101.
137Ibid.,P127.
138OnNovember18,2010,theCommissionissuedOrderNo.743directingNERCtorevisethedefinitionofbulk
electricsystemandalsorequiredNERCtoprovideanexemptionprocess.SeeRevisiontoElectricReliability
OrganizationDefinitionofBulkElectricSystem,133FERC61,150atPP112113(OrderNo.743)(Nov.2010).
NERChasfiledandFERChasapprovedthedefinitionwithminimalchanges.SeeRevisiontoElectricReliability
OrganizationDefinitionofBulkElectricSystem,141FERC61,236(OrderNo.773FINALRULE)(Dec.2012);order
onrehg,143FERC61,053(OrderNo.773A)(Apr.2013).TheimplementationdateissetforJuly1,2014.See
RevisiontoElectricReliabilityOrganizationDefinitionofBulkElectricSystem,143FERC61,231(Orderon
Extension)(June13,2013).
132

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 32

energy.139However,whatconstituteslocaldistributionwasneverdefinedbyCongressandithassince
beenlefttotheCommission,asmadeclearinOrderNo.773.140
5.2.2 RoleoftheRegisteredEntitiesandStates
Asdiscussedabove,allusers,owners,andoperatorsoftheBPSmustcomplywiththeNERCstandards
wheretheNERCregistryprocessidentifiestheentitiesthatmustberegistered.TheNERCFunctional
Modelprovidesguidanceconcerningthetypeoffunctionforwhichanentityisregisteredand,
therefore,theirroleinmaintainingreliability.TheFunctionalModelidentifiesvariousroles,or
functionsthatanentitymayperformwithrespecttothegrid.141Asingleutilityororganizationmay
performseveralfunctionsandberegisteredforeachofthosefunctions.

RegardlessofwhetherentitiesarelocatedinregionsthathavecentralizedmarketsandRTOs/ISOsora
traditionallyregulatedstructure,theRegionalEntitiesandNERCwillidentifywhomustberegistered
andaswhattypeoffunctionalentity.Theprimarydifferencebetweenfunctionalresponsibilitiesof
entitiesthatexistinRTOs/ISOsandthosethatdonotisthatRTOs/ISOsoftenperformthefunctional
rolesofBalancingAuthority,ReliabilityCoordinator,TransmissionOperator,andTransmissionPlanner.
Otherentitiesintheregionarethenregisteredtoperformtheremainingfunctions.Thereissometimes
someoverlapinfunctionalroles,suchasTransmissionOperator(TOP).142

InregionsthatdonothaveRTOs/ISOs,theinvestorownedutilityorlocalpublicpowerentitiesoften
performallthefunctionsandareregisteredasmultiplefunctionalentitytypes.Evenhere,however,a
traditionalutilitymaynotperformallfunctions.Wheregenerationhasbeendivested,thegeneration
ownerwillberegisteredastheGenerationOwner(GO)andGenerationOperator(GOP)(andpossiblyas
aTOandTOP,dependingontheinterconnectionfacilitiestheyown).Furthermore,inseveralofthe
nonRTO/ISOregions,anoperatingaffiliateoftheRegionalEntityservesastheRC.Theseregionsare
WECC,FloridaReliabilityCoordinatingCouncil(FRCC),andSPP.

TransmissionreliabilityisgovernedbyFERC,NERC,andtheREs.Thestatesstillretainarolein
resourceadequacy,asdescribedlaterinthissection.Inaddition,thestatesretainoversightforreliability
ofdistributionfacilitiesandmaytakeactiontoensurethesafety,adequacy,andreliabilitywithinthat
stateprovideditisnotinconsistentwithanyNERCreliabilitystandard.143Thestatesandother

FederalPowerAct215(a).
SeeOrderNo.773atP69.
141TheFunctionalModelwasdevelopedtoaddresstheadventofopenaccessandtherestructuringoftheelectric
utilityindustrytofacilitatetheoperationofwholesalepowermarkets.Thisnewindustrystructurereflected
functionaldisaggregationunderopenaccess,thatControlAreasnolongerprovidedasinglereliabilitystructure,
andtheRTOsandISOsdidnotallperformthesamefunctions.ThefunctionsdescribedintheFunctionalModel
includeGenerators,TransmissionServiceProviders,TransmissionOwners,TransmissionOperators,Distribution
Providers,LoadServingEntities,PurchasingSellingEntities,SecurityAuthorities,BalancingAuthorities,
InterchangeAuthorities,andtheComplianceMonitor.AnadvantageoftheFunctionalModelsisthatitdoesnot
dependonhoworganizationsare,orwillbe,structuredoronhowfunctionsareimplementedinthefuture.
142AnexceptiontothisruleisintheWECCregion,wheretheWECCReliabilityCoordinatorperformsthereliability
coordinationfunctionfortheentireregion,includingtheCAISOarea.
143SeeFPA215(h)(3),SavingsClause.
139

140

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 33

governmentalentitiesthathaveregulatoryoversightfunctionsmayparticipateasnonvotingmembers
inNERCandREactivities,underthegovernmentsector,andmayalsoprovidecommentsinFERC
proceedings.OneimportantdistinctionisinthecaseoftheNewYorkStateReliabilityCouncil,which
existsasaseparateentitywithinNPCCandmaydeveloprulesthatresultingreaterreliabilitywithin
NewYorkprovidedtheydonotresultinlesserreliabilityoutsidethatstate.144
5.2.3 ComplianceMonitoringandEnforcement
TheNERCComplianceMonitoringandEnforcementProgram(CMEP)requiresbulkpowersystem
owners,operators,anduserstoregisterwithNERCandcomplywithallapprovedReliabilityStandards.
TheymustalsoreportallviolationsoftheReliabilityStandardstotheirRegionalEntity.TheCMEPuses
variousmonitoringprocessestocollectinformationinordertomakeassessmentsofcompliance,for
example,audits,selfcertifications,spotchecks,andselfreports.145

NERC,astheinternationalERO,hasdelegatedauthoritytomonitorandenforcecompliancewith
reliabilitystandardsofowners,operators,andusersoftheBPStoqualifiedRegionalEntities.Theeight
RegionalEntities,underNERCsoversight,areresponsibleforcarryingouttheCMEPwithintheir
respectiveregionsbasedontheregulatoryauthorityapproveduniformCMEP.146

Section215oftheFPAalsogavetheEROtheauthoritytolevypenaltiesfornoncompliance,withfines
ofuptoonemilliondollarsperdayperviolationforthemostseriousviolations.147FERCalsohas
separateinvestigationandenforcementauthorityundersection215oftheFPA.148WhileNERC,with
FERCapproval,hastheauthoritytoassesspenaltiesaslargeasonemilliondollarsperdayperviolation,
initialpenaltiesweremodest,withmaximumpenaltiesintherangeofseveralhundredthousand
dollars.Thistrend,however,hasbeguntochangeandinlate2011and2012penaltiesuptoand
exceedingonemilliondollarshavebeenassessedtoregisteredentities.149

5.3 ResourceAdequacy
Thedesireforresourceadequacystandardsisdrivenbyabeliefthatelectricitysupplyinterruptions
shouldbeveryrare,orpreferablynonexistent.150Historically,statecommissionshavehadregulatory
responsibilityforassuringgenerationresourceadequacyforretailelectriccustomers.However,when
changesareimplementedthroughFERCjurisdictionaltariffstoachieveresourceadequacyobjectives,

SeeFPA215(h)(3),SavingsClause.
SeeNERCandMandatoryElectricReliabilityCompliance,pg.Ch8.
146Ibid.,Ch8,pg.84.
147ThewayNERCapproachescomplianceandenforcementisalsounderrevisionthroughitsCompliance
EnforcementInitiativeaimedatstreamliningitsenforcementmechanismsandtheReliabilityEnforcementInitiative,
wherethefocuswillbetomovestandardsdevelopmentandcompliancemonitoringtowardstheassessmentof
internalcompliancecontrolsdevelopedbytheregisteredentities.SeeNERCwebsitelinks:
http://www.nerc.com/pa/comp/Pages/ReliabilityAssuranceInitiative.aspx.
148SeeFPA215(e)(3).InvestigationsareperformedunderPart1boftheFERCRulesofProcedure,18 CFR Part 1b.
149Seehttp://www.nerc.com/pa/comp/Pages/EnforcementandMitigation.aspx.
150JamesBushnell,ElectricityResourceAdequacy:MatchingPoliciesandGoals,CenterfortheStudyofEnergy
Markets(CSEM)(August2005),pg.2.
144
145

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 34

forexamplethroughcapacitymarkets,FERChasassertedauthorityoverapprovaloftheresource
adequacydetermination.151Likewise,FERChasassertedauthorityoverresourceadequacystandards
wheretheypotentiallyaffectthereliableoperationoftheBPS.152

Intheelectricpowersector,thetermresourceadequacyreferstothetransmissionproviders
probabilisticabilitytomeetendusedemandforelectricpowerduringsystempeakhours.153
UnderlyingmostresourceadequacystandardsintheU.S.arecriteriasetbytheREsforgeneration
adequacy,typicallya1in10LossofLoadExpectationorLOLE.154FERChasacceptedthisstandard
forresourceadequacydesign,155althoughthereareopponentsassertingthatthe1in10objectiveis
overlyconservativeandmayimpedetransitionfromresourceadequacybasedonadministrative
capacitymechanismstomarketdrivenresourceadequacy.156Regardless,thechoiceofresource
adequacyobjectiveandthemeanschosentoachieveitwillhaveanimpactonconsumerelectricrates.

FERCstatedinPP2932ofitsMarch23,2005,orderinDevonPower,L.L.C.etal.,DocketNo.ER03563030,etal.,
andinP33ofitsMay9,2005,orderinDocketNo.ER05715000etal.thattheISONewEngland(ISONE)hadthe
authoritytoestablishgenerationresourceadequacystandardsonthegroundsthattheISONEsinstalledcapacity
marketisgovernedbyatariffthathadbeenfiledforapprovalbytheFERCandthattheISONEstariffand
ParticipantsAgreementauthorizetheISONEtoseekFERCapprovaloftheISONEsproposedresourceadequacy
determinations.
152InOrderNo.747,FERCapproveduseofthe1in10resourceadequacyobjectivebyRFC;regionalreliability
standard,BAL502RFC02.SeePlanningResourceAdequacyAssessmentReliabilityStandard,134FERC61,212
(2011)(OrderNo.747).However,PUCOchallengedFERCsjurisdictionthatinsufficientresourceadequacyfalls
underitsjurisdictionbysupposedlyimpactingjustandreasonablewholesaleprices.PUCOassertedthatFERC
jurisdictionunderFPA215adoptingreliabilitystandardsislimitedtothoseactionswhichprovideforreliable
operationofthebulkpowersystemandthatalackofadequateresourcestoservefirmloaddoesnotleadto
unreliableoperation(instability,uncontrolledseparationorcascadingfailures)sincemeasuressuchascontrolled
loadsheddingmaybetaken.FERCdismissedthisargument,statingthatthemerepotentialforinstability,
uncontrolledseparationorcascadingfailuresjustifiesitsactions,evenwheresuchsupplydemandimbalancesmay
becuredbyfirmloadshedding.
153SeeChristineTezak,ResourceAdequacyAlphabetSoup!,STANFORDWASHINGTONRESEARCHGROUP,
(June2005),pg.2(ResourceAdequacyAlphabetSoup!).
154SeeResourceAdequacyAlphabetSoup!,pg.2.LossofLoadExpectation(LOLE)meansthenumberoffirm
loadshedeventsanelectricsystemexpectsoveraperiodofoneormoreyears.Theutilityindustry,fordecades,has
usedanLOLEof1dayoffirmloadshedin10years(referredtoasthe1in10reliabilitystandard)astheprimaryif
notsolemeansforsettingtargetreservemarginsandcapacityrequirementsinsuchresourceadequacyanalyses.
Whilethisstandardisaccepted,thereisnottechnicaljustificationsupportingthisrequirement.Forexample,in
NPCC,Theprobability(orrisk)ofdisconnectingfirmloadduetoresourcedeficienciesshallbe,onaverage,not
morethanonedayintenyearsasdeterminedbystudiesconductedforeachResourcePlanningandPlanning
CoordinatorArea.SeeNPCCReliabilityReferenceDirectory#1DesignandOperationoftheBulkPowerSystem
(December2009),section5.1.1.
155InOrderNo.747,FERCapproveduseofthe1in10resourceadequacyobjectivebyRFC;regionalreliability
standard,BAL502RFC02.
156SeeEnergyChoiceMatters,FERCMandatesUseofConservativeResourceAdequacyStandardWhichWillRaise
RetailRates,(March18,2011).
151

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 35

Inretailchoiceregions,resourceplanninghasbecomemorecomplex.Priortotransmissionunbundling
andretailaccess,resourceadequacywaspartofeachutilitysIRP,aprocessdiscussedbrieflyinSection
5andmorethoroughlyinSection8ofthispaper.Whereutilitieshaverestructured,however,itisnot
feasibletoplanforresourceadequacyinthisfashion.157UnderbundledserviceandIRPratemaking,the
FERChadlittlesayoverresourceadequacydecisions,whichtraditionallywerehandledbythestatesin
coordinationwiththeregionalreliabilitycouncil.158Inretailchoiceregions,plannerscannolongerrely
onasingleentitytomeetforecastsystemneeds.Anarrayofmerchantsuppliersbuildinggenerationin
responsetoanticipatedfuturemarketprocessreplacedasingleutilityinfulfillingpowersupplycontract
obligations.159Thisuncertaintyinsupplysourcecouldmeanthataplannercouldoveror
underestimatetheiroptimalsupplytarget.160

TwoapproachesareusedintheCentralizedMarketmodeltoachieveresourceadequacygoalsa
marketbasedandanadministrativeapproach.Withacapacitymarket,suppliersreceiveperiodic(i.e.,
annualormonthly)paymentsforprovidingreliablecapacitytoasystemandLoadServingEntities
(LSEs)arerequiredbytheregulatorystandardtopurchasethecapacity.161Onekeyconcernfor
consumersispricevolatilityanduncertainty.ExamplesofcapacitymarketsarefoundinPJM,NYISO,
andISONE.

Therearealsoothervariationstothemarketbasedapproach;theseareenergyonlymarketsand
marketswithadministrativeresourceadequacyrequirementsforLSEs.Anexampleofanenergyonly
marketisERCOTinTexas;however,decliningreservemarginsareforcingareevaluationofthis
approach.

BothCAISOandMISOareexampleswherethemarketbasedmechanismusesadministrativeresource
adequacyrequirements.Undertheadministrativeapproach,resourceadequacyisachievedthrough
traditionalIRPandcompetitiveresourcesolicitation.Theseprocessesarediscussedingreaterdetailin
Section8,ResponsibilitiesforPlanningandtheTypesofPlanningPerformed.Onekeyconcernis
increasedconsumercostduetouneconomicinvestmentdecisions.Examplesofadministrative
approachesareSPP,mostofWECCoutsidetheCAISO,andthesoutheastU.S.

Table3liststhekeyfeaturesofthemarketbasedresourceadequacyapproachesintheU.S.

SeeResourceAdequacyAlphabetSoup!,pg.2.
Ibid.,pg.4.
159SeeJamesBushnell,ElectricityResourceAdequacy:MatchingPoliciesandGoals,CenterfortheStudyofEnergy
Markets(CSEM)(August2005),pg.3.
160Overinvestmentofresourcescanresultinhighercoststoretailcustomerswhileunderinvestmentcanalsoresult
inhighcosts,e.g.,blackoutsandincapacitymarketspricespikes.SeeBushnell,pg.4.Forexample,in1998and
1999,theMidwestexperiencedsignificantpricespikeswherethepriceofelectricityinthewholesalemarketswent
to$1,000/MWh.
161SeeBushnell,pg.4.
157
158

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 36

Table3.ExamplesofMarketBasedResourceAdequacyMechanisms
Region/
Entity

Market-Based
Method

CAISO

LSE Resource
Adequacy
Requirement

CPUC established resource adequacy obligations applicable to all Load-Serving


Entities (LSEs).
Two distinct requirements: Annual and monthly System resource adequacy Filings
and annual Local resource adequacy Filings
Each LSEs system requirement is 100 percent of its total forecast load plus a 15
percent reserve.

PJM

Capacity Market

Reliability Pricing Model that has a locational (subregional) capacity mechanism


3-year capacity obligation
Market clearing price paid for all resources committed in the auction with
performance-based penalties
Prices determined using an offer-based supply curve and simulated downwardsloping demand curve (Variable Resource Requirement or VRR)
PJM auctions consist of a Base Residual Auctions to meet the 3-year obligation and
Incremental Auctions to meet unfilled commitments.
LSEs can self-supply, but their resources must be offered in the base auctions.
A Fixed Resource Requirement (FRR) allows LSEs to meet fixed capacity obligations.
Minimum Offer Price Rule (MOPR) to discourage efforts to depress market clearing
prices by offering non-competitive bids with a conduct screen to identify noncompetitive bids
PJM has a capacity deliverability requirement.

NYISO

Capacity Market

New York State Reliability Council sets an Installed Reserve Margin, currently 118%
of peak; NYISO determines the Minimum Unforced Capacity Requirement.
The NYISO runs Capacity Period (seasonal), monthly, and spot market UCAP
auctions.
NYISO also has locational capacity requirements for NYC and Long Island (LI).
Market clears along an administratively determined demand curve.
NYISO has a capacity deliverability requirement.

ISO-NE

Capacity Market

Has a forward reserves market


Does not have a deliverability requirement for capacity

MISO

LSE Resource
Adequacy
Requirement

Annual resource adequacy requirements (reserve margin is 11.3% in 2012) and


voluntary planning resource auction
Seven local resource zones with local clearing
Opt-out provision allowing participants to submit a fixed resource adequacy plan,
allowing utilities to opt out of the yearly auction
Deficiency charge for entities that are short on capacity (based on the cost of new
entry)
Relies on state processes for resource planning, load forecasting, demand response,
and energy efficiency investment decisions

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Key Features

Page 37

Region/
Entity

Market-Based
Method

ERCOT

Energy Only

Key Features
Energy-only nodal market with the system-wide offer cap of $3,000
$3,000 offer cap not based on a VOLL (customers value of lost load)
Target reliability standard of 1-in-10 (13.75% reserve margin) but target is not
enforced through specific requirements or market structures
Two out-of-market reliability mechanisms: Emergency Response Service (ERS)
demand curtailment program and reliability-must-run (RMR) contracts for units
needed for local reliability

Source:NavigantConsulting,Inc.

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 38

6. EnvironmentalIssues
6.1 ImpactsofEnvironmentalRegulation
Theelectricindustryissubjecttosignificantenvironmentalregulation,bothdirectlyandthrough
policiesorrequirementsrelatingtorenewableenergyandenergyefficiency.Forthemostpart,newand
proposedregulationsaffectelectricitygeneration,ratherthanthetransmissionordistributionsectors.
Thissectionprovidesanoverviewofrelevantenvironmentalregulations(existingandproposed)facing
electricitygenerationintheUnitedStates.Italsodiscusseshowrenewableenergypoliciesand
requirementsaffectentitiesoperatingunderthetwomarketstructures.

6.2 DifferingImpactsforDifferentStructures
Market/regulatorystructureplayanimportantroleinwhetherandhowenvironmentalrequirements
andpoliciesaffectelectricentities.Wherethetraditionallyregulatedmodelprevails,theimpacts
whatevertheyarefallontheutilityandtheassociatedcostsflowtoitscustomersthroughcostbased
rates.Incontrast,wheretherehasbeenarestructuringofutilityregulationandthedevelopmentof
organizedelectricitymarkets,impactsvarywidely.

Forexample,autilitythatownsnogenerationwouldnotincurthedirectexpenseofcomplyingwith
environmentalrulesrelatingtoemissions.162Instead,generatorcompliancecostswouldbereflectedin
thecostofenergypurchases.Similarly,generationonlyentitieswouldnotnormallybesubjecttoRPSor
policiesfavoringtheuseofrenewableenergyresources.Instead,generatorswouldfeeltheimpactof
theseitemsthroughincreasesordecreasesindemandfortheiroutputand,accordingly,inenergyprices.
Allofthisultimatelyaffectsthepricesendusecustomerspay.However,marketforcesmaydrive
energypriceshigherorlowerthanwouldtakeplaceunderthetraditionallyregulatedmodel.Ifa
verticallyintegratedutilityissupplyingitsenergyprincipallythroughitsowncoalfiredgeneration,
futureenvironmentalcostsarepotentiallyhigh,andmayoutstripanypotentialproductioncost
differentialthatwouldotherwisefavorcoal.Similarly,ifamarketisdominatedbycoalgeneration,
environmentalcostsmaydriveuptheoverallcostsofenergy.

Independentgeneratorsincentralizedmarketsareparticularlysensitivetothecostsofenvironmental
regulation,sincethesegeneratorsrelyonmarketpricingratherthancostofservicerates.Uneconomic
generationincentralizedmarketsmayberetiredratherthanoperatedatalossforanyextendedperiod
oftime.163Environmentalregulationsfacingcoalplantsaswellaschangingeconomicshaveencouraged
thegrowthofnaturalgasgenerationaswellasrenewableresources.Renewableresourcesinthese
marketsparticularlywherethereisahighrenewablesrequirementareusuallynotcompetingwith
nonrenewablesonthebasisofcost,butinsteadarecompetingwithdemandresponseorother

Thisexcludescontractualarrangementsthatwouldsubjectanonownertothosecosts.
WhileanRTOorISOmaybeabletokeeptheseunitsinoperationforalimitedperiodthroughsocalled
ReliabilityMustRunarrangementsthatcovertheownerscosts,thisisnotintendedtobeapermanentorlong
termsolutiontoaretirement.
162
163

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 39

renewables.Similarly,requirementsrelatingtorenewablesmayaffectelectricserviceproviders
differently,dependingonwhethertheyareallsubjecttothesamerequirements.

Underthetraditionallyregulatedmodel,utilitiesarealsosensitivetoenvironmentalregulation,
includingpoliciesorregulationsfavoringrenewables,sincecompliancewouldincreaseordecreasetheir
costs.While,intheory,newratecasescanbefiledtoreflectincreasedcosts,inpracticetheyareoften
expensiveandmaymeetresistanceascoststocustomersincrease.Regulatorylagi.e.,theperiod
duringwhichrecoverablecostsareincurredvs.whentheyareactuallyreflectedinratescanalsobea
majorconcerntoaverticallyintegratedutility.Nonetheless,totheextenttheutilityisabletopassonthe
coststoitscustomers,theimpacttotheutility(thoughnotitscustomers)maybemuted.

Therefore,thedecisiontoretrofittocomplywithenvironmentalregulationsorretireandreplacewith
newgenerationinvolvesdifferentstakeholdersandconsiderationsforregulatedutilitiesand
independentgenerationowners.Forindependentgenerationowners,thesedecisionsaregenerally
madebasedonwhetherornottherevenuesfromaretrofittedplantoutweighthecostsofoperatingthe
retrofittedplant(includingcapitalcostsfortheretrofit).Forregulatedutilities,retireorretrofitdecisions
mustbeapprovedbythestatepublicutilitycommission(PUC)andweightherateimpactoftheretrofit
comparedtotherateimpactofreplacementgenerationordemandsideoptions.PUCsmayalsochoose
toorberequiredtotakeothernonmonetaryissuesintoconsideration,suchasreliability,fueldiversity,
andpublicinterest.164Whileeachcaseisspecific,theoreticallyitiseasierforamerchantgeneration
ownertoretireaplantduetothehighcostsofanenvironmentalregulationthanaregulatedutility.
Alsoofimportanceisthefactthatwhileregulatedentitiesownjustoverhalfofallcurrentlyoperational
generation,theyownnearlythreequartersofallcurrentlyoperationalcoalfiredgeneration,thetype
thatismostaffectedbyenvironmentalregulations.165

Thecostsandrisksfromproposedenvironmentalregulationswilldifferbyregion,largelyaffecting
thoseregionsofthecountrywithsignificantamountsofexistingcoalfiredgeneration.Whether
environmentalcostsendupbeingpassedthroughincostbasedratesorresultinhighermarketbased
rates,theimpactonelectricityconsumersinthoseregionswillbeconsiderable.
6.2.1 GreenhouseGasInitiatives
Theregulationofexistingpowerplantshasthepotentialtosignificantlyaffectthenationsoverall
emissionofcarbondioxide(CO2);approximately40percentofnationalCO2emissionsarefromthe
electricsector.Overall,threepossiblepathsforCO2policyhaveemerged:legislationofacapandtrade
ortaxapproach,regulationbytheU.S.EnvironmentalProtectionAgency(EPA),andnofederal
regulationofCO2.

Intheabsenceoflegislation(whichisunlikelyinthenearterm),theEPAhastheobligationundera2009
settlementagreementtoregulateCO2;however,congressionalRepublicanshavethreatenedtostripthe

ForfurtherdiscussionoftheroleofPUCsinutilitydecisionmakingrelatedtoenvironmentalregulations,see
SectionIIof:MonastandAdair,ATripleBottomLineforElectricUtilityRegulation:AligningStateLevelEnergy,
Environmental,andConsumerProtectionGoals,ColumbiaJournalofEnvironmentalLaw,38(1)(2013).
165StatisticsfromNavigantsanalysisofdatadownloadedfromEnergyVelocityinJulyof2013.
164

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 40

EPAoftheauthority.166OnJune25,2013,PresidentObamaannouncedthathisadministrationplansto
meetthefollowingdeadlinesforregulatingcarbonemissionsfrompowerplants:

September20,2013modifiedproposedrulefornewpowerplants
June1,2014proposedruleforexistingpowerplants
June1,2015finalruleforexistingpowerplants
June30,2016deadlineforstatestosubmitimplementationplans167

Giventhedivisivenessofopiniononthistopicandtheotherprioritiesforthefederalgovernmentover
thenearterm,itisuncertainwhetherafederalgreenhousegas(GHG)programwillcomeintoeffectin
theverynearterm.

TheEPAreproposedNewSourcePerformanceStandards(NSPS)rulesforCO2emissionsfornewfossil
fuelpowerplantsonSeptember20,2013;themodifiedproposallimitscoalfiredandsmallnaturalgas
firedpowerplantstoemitting1,100poundsofCO2perMWh,andlimitslargenaturalgasfiredplantsto
emitting1,000poundsofCO2perMWh.TheoriginalproposalsetoneCO2emissionstandard(1,000lbs.
perMWh)forbothnewcoalandnewnaturalgaspowerplants.TheEPAsanalysisoftheimpactsofthe
regulationshowthatdespitethefactthattherulewouldessentiallybarnewcoalpowerplantsfrom
beingbuiltwithoutcarboncaptureandsequestration(CCS),atechnologythatisnotyetcommercially
operational,theruledoesnotdisruptanyplannedcoalpowerplantconstruction.
6.2.1.1 CaliforniaAB32
CaliforniasAssemblyBill(AB)32,enactedinSeptember2006,establishedacomprehensiveprogramto
achievequantifiable,costeffectivereductionsofGHGsby2020.AB32requiresthereductionof
CaliforniaGHGemissionsby2020downto1990levels,estimatedtobea16percentdecreasefromthe
CaliforniaAirResourcesBoards(CARBs)projectedbusinessasusual2020levels.CARBplansto
obtainasignificantcomponentofGHGreductionsintheenergysector,specificallyviaacapandtrade
regime.CARBscapandtradeprogramhasbeenthesubjectofseverallitigationchallenges,including
oneinwhichCARBsScopingPlanwasupheldinaJune2012decision.

CARBheldtheirfirstGHGauctioninNovemberof2012,andheldtwoauctionsinthefirsthalfof2013;
priceshaveremainednearthefloorof$10/allowance.
6.2.1.2 RegionalGreenhouseGasInitiative
Connecticut,Delaware,Maine,Maryland,Massachusetts,NewHampshire,NewYork,RhodeIsland,
andVermonthavejoinedtheRegionalGreenhouseGasInitiative(RGGI),whichisacapandtrade
programtocurbcarbondioxideemissionsthatbeganin2009.TheoverallCO2capwasreducedin2012,
andwillcontinuetobereducedeachyear.TwentyRGGIauctionshavebeenheldtodate,withclearing
pricesfallingbetween$1.87/tonand$3.51/ton.

SeeSettlementAgreement:http://www.epa.gov/airquality/cps/pdfs/boilerghgsettlement.pdf
SeePresidentialMemorandum:http://www.whitehouse.gov/thepressoffice/2013/06/25/presidential
memorandumpowersectorcarbonpollutionstandards
166
167

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 41

6.2.2 RenewablePortfolioandEnergyEfficiencyResourceStandards
RenewablePortfolioStandards(RPS)arestatepoliciesthatrequireelectricityproviderstoobtaina
minimumpercentageofpowerfromrenewableenergyresourcesbyspecifieddates.Currently,thereare
29statesplustheDistrictofColumbiathathavemandatoryRPSpoliciesinplace;8stateshave
nonbindingrenewablegoals.AnoverviewoftheRPSobjectivesineachstatehasbeenprovidedin
Figure9.
Figure9.StateRPSPolicies

Source:DatabaseofStateIncentivesforRenewables&Efficiency(DSIRE.org)

Thetargetlevelofrenewablepenetration,deadlines,definitionofrenewableoralternativeenergy
sources,andcomplianceoptionsallvaryfromstatetostate.SomestateshaveprovisionswithintheRPS
thatlimitcompliancecoststoregulatedentities,utilities,orendusecustomers.ManystatesRPS
policiesincludespecialcarveouts,incentivesorotherprovisionstoaddresslocalneeds;acommon
exampleisacarveoutthatrequiresasubsetoftherenewabletargetbefromsolarordistributed
generation(DG)sources.Sofar,moststateshavemetorcomeclosetomeetingtheirRPSandcarveout
targets.ManyofthestatesthatdonothaveRPSarelocatedinthesoutheasternU.S.,wherethereislittle
potentialforlowcostwindgeneration.Thesestatestendtohavemoderatesolarpotentialandhigh
biomasspotential,bothofwhichhavehighercoststodevelopthanwind.Conversely,northeastern
statestendtohavemoderatetoaggressiveRPSpoliciesandalsolacksubstantialonshorewind
potential.
TheexistingRPSlandscapeischangingassomestatespassrevisionsthroughlegislation;todate,no
statehasrepealeditsRPS.Astheyrequireutilitiesandregulatedentitiestoobtainpowerfrom
renewablesources,whichtendtohavehighercoststhantraditionalsources,RPStargetstendtoincrease

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 42

thecoststotheentitiesrequiredtomeetthem.168Inregulatedmarkets,thesecostsarepasseddirectlyon
totheenduser,but,asdescribedabove,inderegulatedmarketstheimpactonenduserratesisless
transparent.
TwentystateshavemandatoryEnergyEfficiencyResourceStandards(EERS)orsimilarprovisionsto
ensurethatcosteffectiveenergyefficiencymeasuresareusedtohelpoffsetgrowingelectricitydemand.
Anadditionalsevenstateshavenonbindingenergyefficiencygoals.MostEERSpoliciesrequirea
reductioninannualpeakdemandbyacertainpercentagethroughtheimplementationofenergy
efficiencyinitiatives.AnoverviewoftheEERSobjectivesineachstatehasbeenprovidedinFigure10.

Figure10.StateEERSPolicies

Source:DatabaseofStateIncentivesforRenewables&Efficiency(DSIRE.org)

ThesuccessofEERSprogramsisdifficulttoquantify,astheydependonestimatesfordemandreduction
comparedtoabusinessasusualforecast.StateswithEERSalsotendtohaveloweraveragepower
demandgrowththanstateswithoutEERSthathavecomparableeconomicprofiles.169Energyefficiency
improvementscanbemorecosteffectivethanbuildingnewgenerationtomeetdemandgrowth;thus,
energyefficiencymeasureshavethepotentialtoreduceenduserrates.

SeeU.S.EnergyInformationAdministration,LevelizedCostofNewGenerationResourcesintheAnnualEnergy
Outlook2013(January2013),http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/electricity_generation.cfm.
169U.S.EnergyInformationAssociation,ElectricityDetailedStateData,1990
2011,http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/state/.
168

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 43

6.2.3 MercuryandAirToxicsStandards
OnDecember21,2011,theEPAunveiledthefinalversionoftheMercuryandAirToxicsStandards
(MATS)rule,whichsetsemissionslimitsonmercuryandothertoxicpollutantsfrompowerplants.The
rulewillaffectexistingcoalandoilfiredunitsthatarecapableofatleast25MWofelectricaloutput.
TherulerequiresemissionreductionsbyAprilof2015.Thepolicyallowsforanadditionalyear,and
possiblytwo,forgeneratorstoinstallthenecessaryemissioncontrolequipment;thiswilllikelyreduce
thecostofcomplianceforentitiesthatownmanyaffectedunitsasretrofitscanbespreadamongthe
entirecompliancetimeperiod.Additionally,powerplantshavetheoptiontousefacilitywide
averagingtomeetmercurylimitsandtheemissionsareaveragedover90days.TheMATSruleis
expectedtoaddsignificantretrofitcoststooldercoalpowerplants,resultingintheretirementof
some/many.
6.2.4 NationalAmbientAirQualityStandards
AsrequiredundertheCleanAirAct(CAA),theEPAhassetprimary,andinsomecasessecondary,
NationalAmbientAirQualityStandards(NAAQS)forsixcriteriapollutants:carbonmonoxide,lead,
nitrogendioxide,ozone,particulatematter(PM)(diameter2.5mmand10mm),andsulfurdioxide,which
areupdatedbytheEPAeveryfiveyears.Carbonmonoxideandleadstandardsdonotapplytothe
electricindustry,buttheothercriteriapollutantsareemittedorresultfromthecombustionoffossil
fuels.AftertheEPAfinalizesaNAAQS,statessubmitStateImplementationPlans(SIPs)thatoutline
howthatstateplanstobringareasthatdonotmeettheNAAQSintocompliance.IftheEPAdoesnot
approveastatesSIP,itcanimplementaFederalImplementationPlan(FIP)inthatstate.Therefore,
NAAQSSIPscanhaveverydifferentimpactsongeneratorsstatetostateorevenwithinstates,
dependingonageneratorsproximitytoareasthatareabovetheNAAQS.
6.2.5 CleanAirInterstateRule/CrossStateAirPollutionRule
FromtheEPAsNAAQSforPM,NOx,andSO2,theCAAalsorequiresstatestolimittheiremissionsof
pollutantsthatcancontributesignificantlytoanotherstatesNAAQSnonattainmentproblemwhen
theydriftdownwind.TheEPAhaspromulgatedtworegulationsdesignedtoreducethesepollutants
thatdriftdownwindinlessthanadecade,butbothhavebeensuccessfullychallengedincourt.Most
recently,inAugustof2012,theU.S.CourtofAppealsfortheDistrictofColumbiavacatedtheCross
StateAirPollutionRule(CSAPR);theSupremeCourtrecentlyagreedtoheartheEPAsappealofthat
decision.SeveralcoalpowerplantsannouncedtheirretirementduetotheCSAPR,andhavesince
retractedthatannouncement.CSAPR,andtheCleanAirInterstateRule(CAIR)beforeit,usedacap
andtrademechanismtoallowflexibilityinmeetingemissionreductions.Inthenextfewyears,either
theCSAPRwillbereinstatedbytheSupremeCourt,thoughttobeanunlikelyoutcome,ortheEPAwill
comeupwithareplacementrule.
6.2.6 RegionalHaze
TheEPAsBestAvailableRetrofitTechnology(BART)rulewasfinalizedin1999.Theruleisdesignedto
improvevisibilityinnationalparksandappliestopowerplantsbuiltbetween1962and1977.However,
theruleonlyrequiresNOxandSO2emissionreductionsforthoseplantsforwhichitisdeemed
necessarythroughaunitbyunitstudy.Theregulationrequiresaffectedunitstoconductanalysesto
determinetheimpactofitsemissionsonvisibilityinnationalparks.
2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.
October 8, 2013

Page 44

6.2.7 CoolingWaterIntakeStructures
TheEPAproposedastandardforcoolingwaterintakestructuresatexistingpowerplantsonApril20,
2011,undersection316(b)oftheCleanWaterAct(CWA).TheEPAplannedtoissueitsfinalrulefor
coolingwaterintakestructuresbyJune27,2013;however,theydidnotmeetthisdeadlineandstatethat
theywillfinalizetherulebyNovember4,2013.Theproposedruleofferedseveralcomplianceoptions,
includingintakescreenmodificationforimpingement,andclosedloopcoolingsystemsorasitebysite
determinationofBestTechnologyAvailable(BTA)basedonclosedloopcoolingsystemsfor
entrainment.Thisrulehasthepotentialtointroducehugeretrofitcoststoanumberofplants,
potentiallyraisingenduserratesandcausingreliabilityproblemsintheprocess.
6.2.8 CoalCombustionResiduals
Coalcombustionresiduals(CCRs)areresiduesfromthepowerplantscombustionofcoalthatare
capturedbypollutioncontroltechnologies,likeelectrostaticprecipitatorsorbaghouses.InJune2010,
theEPAissuedaproposaltoregulatecoalashinanattempttoaddresstherisksfromthedisposalofthe
wastesgeneratedbycoalplantsinsurfaceimpoundments(forliquidwaste)andlandfills(forsolid
waste).TheEPAhasnotsetatargetdateforissuingthefinalCCRregulation.

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 45

7. RelativeAllocationofRisksoverTime
7.1 TraditionallyRegulatedModel
Underthetraditionallyregulatedmodel,theallocationofrisksiswellestablished.Theutilityhasa
monopolyrighttoprovideelectricservicetoretailcustomers,whointurnareentitledtoelectricityata
reasonablecost.Utilitiesareallowedtorecovertheirprudentinvestmentsinthesystem,plusa
reasonablereturnoninvestment,plusreasonableoperatingcosts.Inreturn,theutilityhasadutyto
serveallcustomerswithinitsfootprintandmustexpandandmaintaintheelectricsystemasneededto
meettheneedsofitscustomers.

Theutilitysriskinthetraditionalmodelisthatitsrateswillnotrecoveritsactualinvestmentand
operatingcostsormeettherateofreturnrequiredforitsinvestorstorisktheirmoney.Theutilityalso
risksthatitscostswillbedeterminedtohavebeenprudentlyincurredandthatitwillreceivetimely
recoverythroughtheregulatoryprocess.Thecustomersrisksinclude:
1.
2.
3.
4.

Utilityoverinvestmentoroverbuilding(sinceitgetsarateofreturnonitsinvestment)
Utilityunderinvestment(eitherthroughbaddecisionmakingoroutofconcernthatitwillnot
recoveritscosts)
Unreliableserviceasaresultofineffectiveoperations
Highcostsduetoinefficientutilityoperationsorbaddecisionmaking

Thetraditionalmodelusesregulationandregulatoryproceedings170tomitigatetheserisks.Ratecases
areintendedtoprotectthecustomerfromoverinvestment(andinefficientoperationswhileallowingthe
utilityanditsinvestorstorecoveritsprudentlyincurredcostsplusareasonableinvestmentreturn.Rate
casesandotherregulatoryproceedingsalsoaddresstheutilitysreliability,operatingcosts,and
management.Regulationandmandatedsystemrequirementsarealsousedtoprotectcustomersandthe
publicatlargefromunderinvestment,unsafeoperations,andenvironmentalimpacts.However,the
consumerprotectionsaffordedbyratecasesmayaresometimescriticizedbecause:(1)litigationis
expensiveandconsumersmaytobeabletoaffordthecostsofthelitigation;and(2)manyjurisdictions
donothaveconsumeradvocates.

Inthetraditionalmodel,utilitiesaregenerallyverticallyintegrated,owningboththetransmissionand
distributionsystemswithintheirterritory,aswellasthegenerationnecessarytoservecustomers.The
traditionalmodelalsoincludesgovernmentownedandcooperativeutilitiesthatmayjointlyown
transmissionandgenerationfacilitiesortheirownfacilities.Becauseutilitiesmustserveloadatall
hoursoftheyear,theymusthaveenoughgenerationtoservepeakdemand,whichmayexceedwhat
wouldbeneededtoserveloadformostoftheyear.Theymustalsohaveaccesstoadditionalresources
intheeventthatageneratorbecomesunabletooperate.

Overtheyears,utilitieshavedevelopedarrangementstoassistoneanothertomeetemergenciessuchas
thelossofageneratororanunexpectedspikeindemand,suchascapacityreservesharingagreements.

Includingproceedingsbeforethegoverningbodyofautilitythatisnotinvestorowned.

170

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 46

Inaddition,utilitiesmaypurchasepowerfromothercompaniesonalongorshorttermbasis.Where
thereisnocentralizedwholesalemarket,thesearegenerallybilateral,negotiatedtransactions.These
purchasesandsalesallowutilitiestomanagethecostsofprovidingforpeakloadseitherbyselling
excesspowerorbypurchasingsomeoftheutilitysrequirements.Otherwise,eachutilitywouldhaveto
buildandownsufficientgenerationtomeetitspeakload,plusarequiredreliabilityreservemargin.

Independentpowerproducerscanbeadditionalsourcesofpowertoutilitiesinareaswherethe
traditionalutilitystructureprevails.Intheabsenceofancentralizedenergymarket,anindependent
wholesalegeneratorinaregionsubjecttotraditionalutilitystructuremayrequirealongtermpower
purchaseagreementwithautilityinordertoobtainfinancingandtosupportitsoperations.171Forthe
utility,apurchasepowerarrangementmaybealessexpensivealternativetoconstructingandowninga
powerplant,anditprovidescertaintyastopricingoveralongterm.However,thedownsideriskisthat
theutilitymaylockinpricesthatturnouttobetoohigh.

Thus,inatraditionalmodel,onerisktoconsumersisthatprices(rates)willreflecthighergeneration
costseitherthroughoverbuildingorthroughlongtermpowerpurchaseagreements.Ontheplus
side,however,longtermpricingagreementsmayprotectconsumersfromenergypricevolatility.In
fact,FERCfoundthattheunavailabilityoflongtermcontractswasoneofthecausesoftheCalifornia
powersupplycrisis.172Inaddition,inbothtraditionallyregulatedandcentralizedmarketmodels,the
risksoflongtermcontractscanbehedgedthroughfinancialinvestments.

7.2 CentralizedMarketModel
Inacentralizedmarket,therisksforcustomersandthemechanismsforaddressingthemarethesame
withrespecttothetransmissionanddistributionsystem.Ratecasesandregulationaretheprincipal
toolstoprotectcustomersfrommonopolyabusesandtosettheutilityspricingforthedeliveryof
electricity.However,withrespecttogeneration,themarket(oftenwithapricecapasabackstop)sets
wholesaleenergyprices,whichinturnmaydriveinstallationofnewgenerationornewtransmission.
Utilitiesmayormaynotowngeneration.Inmanycases,utilitiesintheseareashavebeenrequiredto
divesttheirgeneration.Inothercases,utilitieshavedivestedsomeoralloftheirgenerationvoluntarily.

Inthesemarkets,manygeneratorsinaregioncompetewithoneanothertosupplyelectricity.The
centralizedmarketsareassociatedwithRTOsorISOsthatareresponsibleforregionaltransmission
planning.InthewakeofFERCsOrderNo.888,requiringinvestorownedutilitiestofileOpenAccess
TransmissionTariffsandrequiringnonjurisdictionalentitiestodosotogainthebenefitofreciprocity,
utilitiesmustmaketheirtransmissioncapacitynotneededtoservetheirowncustomersavailableto
othersonthesameterms.173Theycannotfavortheirownortheiraffiliateswholesaletransactions.

Utilitiesinthesemarketsarenotnecessarilyplanningandbuildinggeneration.Instead,theseregions
relyonmarketforcestocauseneededgenerationtobeaddedwhenandwhereitisneeded.Locational

IPPdevelopmentintheseareasmayalsobeimpactedbytransmissionconstraints,whichmaylimitthe
generatorsabilitytodeliverthepowertoabuyerotherthanthelocalutility.
172InvestigationofPracticesoftheCaliforniaIndependentSystemOperatorandtheCaliforniaPowerExchange,93
FERC61,121at61,354.
173SeeOrderNo.888,pg.370.
171

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 47

MarginalPricingencompassesthedeliveredcostofenergyintoanarea.Inalloftheexistingorganized
markets,allgenerationofferedinanareaispaidthesameclearingpriceforthegivenhourorservice,
withthedifferencebeingthecosttodelivertheenergytotheintendedzone.Thisisintendedtodrive
overallcostsdownandtoensurethatthelowestcostgenerationisdispatchedfirst.Intheory,new
capacitywillbeaddedinareaswherepricesarehigh.However,somemarketshavefoundthattheLMP
differentialsthemselvesmaynotbeenoughincentive.PJMandISONE,forexample,haveadopted
capacityauctionmechanismstoensurethatthereissufficientcapacitywithinthemarket.

Whilethemarketsarephysicaltherearemanypurelyfinancialparticipants.Financialparticipants
provideliquidityanddepththatwouldbedifficulttoachieveiftheonlyplayerswereutilitiesand
generators.Inaddition,thereareanumberoffinancialhedgingmechanismsthattheorganizedmarkets
offerthathelputilitiesandothersreduce(oratleastmanage)risk.Theseincludeitemssuchasthe
FinancialTransmissionRights(FTRs)offeredthroughPJM(andcomparabletoolsavailableinother
markets)thatenableparticipantstomanagetransmissioncongestionrisksandcosts.Credit
requirementsarestringentandmonitoredbythemarketoperators.Eachmarkethasamarketmonitor
whoseroleistodeterminewhetherpricingiscompetitive.Inaddition,variousruleshavebeenadopted
byFERCtoaddressandpreventpotentialmarketabusesandmanipulation,particularlyafterenhanced
civilpenaltyauthorityunderPartIIoftheFederalPowerAct(FPA)174andtheCaliforniaenergycrisisof
2000andresultinglitigation.

Inareaswherethereisretailchoice(whichismostcommonunderthecentralizedmarketsmodel),the
presenceoflightly(ornon)regulatedalternativeretailenergyproviderspresentsarangeofnewrisks
forutilitiesandforcustomers.Theseprovidersmaybethinlycapitalizedoroverextended.Inaddition,
theenergysavingsmaybelessthanexpected(ornonexistent).Customersruntheriskofhigherratesif
thealternativeproviderfailstoperform,althoughinmanyinstanceretailprovidersarerequiredtomeet
financialresponsibilityrequirementswhichtosomeextentmaymitigatethisrisk.Insomecases
particularlywhereindustrialorcommercialcustomersareconcernedtheutilitymaychargeahigher
ratetoreturningcustomers.Inpart,thisistodiscouragetheselargecustomersfromreturningtoutility
supplyifthereareotheroptions.Thisnotonlysupportsthegrowthofcompetition,butalsoprotectsthe
utilityfromlargeswingsinenergyrequirementsduetocustomersarbitragingenergycosts.

Figure11showsNavigantResearchs2011forecastthattherateofcommercialandindustrialcustomer
purchasesfromalternativesuppliersislikelytocontinuetooutpaceoverallindustrygrowthforthenext
severalyears.

EPACT2005expandedFERCsremediestoaddressmarketmanipulation,enhancingFERCthepowertoimpose

174

civilpenaltiesunderPartIIoftheFederalPowerAct(16U.S.C.825o1(2000)(asamendedbyEPAct2005,
1284(e));16U.S.C.823b(2000)).
2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.
October 8, 2013

Page 48

Figure11.ForecastedEnergySalesfromAlternativeSuppliers175
3,000.0
2,500.0
2,000.0
1,500.0
1,000.0
500.0
1998

2003

Total Energy-Only C/I Sales (MWh Millions)

2009

2015 (Projected)

2020 (Projected)

Total Utility C/I Sales (MWh Millions)

Total C/I Sales (MWh Millions)

Onlyrecentlyhavealternativesuppliersbeguntotargettheresidentialmarketinsomestates,aidedin
somecasesbymunicipalaggregation.176

Ascustomersleaveutilities,however,theriskstoutilitiesandremainingcustomersmayincrease.The
utilityinmanycasesmustcontinuetoprocurepowerforthesecontinuingcustomers.Inaddition,the
utilitymustalsobepreparedtoresumesupplyingservicetoreturningcustomers,evenasthisnumber
grows.Howwellutilitiesmanagethisriskmayaffectcoststonotonlyitsremainingelectricsupply
customersbutalsotoitsdeliveryservicecustomers.Asaresult,theexistenceofaliquidmarketis
essentialtoutilitiesinrestructuredstates.

Asnotedearlier,underthecentralizedmarketmodel,independentgeneratorsarenotassuredareturn
oftheirinvestment;rather,theyaresubjecttomarketpricing.Aswithotherinvestments,therateof
returnrequiredtosupportnewgenerationwillreflecttherelativerisksandrewardsinvolved.Where
theriskstorepaymentofdebtorgenerationofaprofitseemhigh,thegenerationmaynotbebuilt.In
addition,generatorsarecompetingagainstothersolutions,suchastransmissioninvestments.Various
techniquescanoftenbeusedtomitigatetheserisks,suchaspowerpurchaseagreementsorother
arrangements.Ultimately,however,thedecisiontoconstructthegenerationwilldependonmarket
forcesi.e.,expectedenergypricesvs.costs.

Source:NavigantResearch(formerlyPikeResearch)reportCorporateandInstitutionalProcurementof
Electricity,2011.
176See,forexample,thediscussionofthistopicinthe2013EnergyProcurementPlanoftheIllinoisPowerAgency,
http://www2.illinois.gov/ipa/Documents/IPAPlan_complying_with_120544Order.pdf,pg.3.Municipal
aggregationisaprocessbywhichamunicipalgovernmentcancombinetheelectricitysupplyneedsofitsresidences
andsmallbusinessesintoapooltoobtainvolumepricingforthem.
175

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 49

Incontrast,underthetraditionallyregulatedmodel,theutilitydetermineswhethertobuildgeneration
(oftenwithitsregulatororaspartofitsIRP)andmaychoosetobuildgenerationbasedonitsvalueand
costscomparedtootheroptionsincludingwholesalepurchases.Theutilityunderthismodeldoesnot
havetoconsidergenerationasastandaloneinvestment,butmayviewitincomparisonwith
transmissionorotherinvestments.Andthefranchiseutilityhasclearresponsibilitytoprocure
adequatesupplytomeetexistingandfuturedemandofcustomers.Regulatoroversight,including
prudencereviews,takestheplaceofmarketforcesunderthetraditionallyregulatedmodel.

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 50

8. ResponsibilitiesforPlanningandtheTypesofPlanningPerformed
BPSplanningfunctionsencompassresourceadequacyandtransmissionsecurityplanning.Resource
adequacyplanninginvolvesassessinganddeterminingthatadequategenerationsupplywillbe
availabletomeetload.Transmissionsecurityplanningaimstoensurethereisadequatetransmission
infrastructuretodelivergenerationtoloadcenters.Thereissomeoverlapoffederalandstateregulation
withrespecttothesetwoareas.Theoversightofresourceadequacyplanninghastraditionallybeena
statefunctionwhiletransmissionsecurityplanning,withtheimportantexceptionoftransmissionsiting,
hasnowbecomegovernedbyfederallawandregulationoverseenbytheFERC.Theplanningofthe
distributionsystemisentirelyundertheoversightofstateandlocalgovernments.Thekeyplanning
challengestoentitiesinboththetraditionallyregulatedandcompetitivemarketregionsarediscussed
below.

8.1 TheTransmissionPlanningFramework
Inrecentyears,FERChasissuedtwokeyOrdersgoverningtransmissionplanning:OrderNo.890and
OrderNo.1000.BothapplyregardlessofanentitysRTO/ISOaffiliation;however,themannerinwhich
entitiesaddresstheirrequirementsdiffersbasedonwhethertheyoperateunderanRTO/ISO.

OrderNo.890requiredthattransmissionprovidersparticipateinopen,coordinated,andtransparent
transmissionplanningonbothlocalandregionallevels.177TheplanningprocesshadtomeetFERCs
nineplanningprinciples,whichinclude:coordination,openness,transparency,informationexchange,
comparability,disputeresolution,regionalcoordination,economicplanningstudies,andcostallocation.
TransmissionplanningprocessesunderOrderNo.890alsohadtobeopentocustomers,andcustomers
mustbegivennecessaryplanninginformation.Futuresystemplanswererequiredtobecoordinated
withcustomers.178

OrderNo.1000builtuponandextendedmanyoftheideasinitiallyintroducedunderOrder890.
AmongthereformsintroducedinOrderNo.1000arerequirementsforaregionaltransmissionplanning
process,costallocation,considerationofpublicpolicyrequirements,eliminationoftheRightofFirst
Refusal(ROFR)inwholesaletariffstoconstructnewfacilities,andimprovementstothecoordination
betweenneighboringtransmissionplanningregionsfornewinterregionaltransmissionfacilities.Order
No.1000A,issuedinMay2012,andOrderNo.1000B,issuedOctober2012,madesomeclarifications.
Eachofthesechangesisdiscussedinthesectionsthatfollow.
8.1.1 RegionalPlanningandtheInclusionofNonIncumbentTransmissionDevelopers
TheCommissioncarriedtheOrderNo.890planningprinciples,designedprincipallytoincrease
transparency,intoOrderNo.1000,requiringthatallregionalplanningprocessescomplywiththose

OrderNo.890atPP3,524.
Ibid.,P3.

177
178

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 51

principles.OrderNo.1000alsomandatedthatstakeholdersbeprovidedwithanopportunityto
participateinthatprocessinatimelyandmeaningfulmanner.179

TheplanningrequirementsinFERCOrderNo.1000requirethateachpublicutilitytransmission
providerparticipateinaregionaltransmissionplanningprocessthatproducesaregionaltransmission
planandthatcomplieswithcertaintransmissionplanningprinciples.Throughtheregional
transmissionplanningprocess,publicutilitytransmissionprovidersmustevaluate,inconsultationwith
stakeholders,alternativetransmissionsolutionsthatmightmeettheneedsofthetransmissionplanning
regionmoreefficientlyorcosteffectivelythansolutionsidentifiedbyindividualpublicutility
transmissionprovidersintheirlocaltransmissionplanningprocess.Publicutilitytransmission
providershavetheflexibilitytodevelop,inconsultationwithstakeholders,proceduresbywhichthe
publicutilitytransmissionprovidersintheregionidentifyandevaluatethesetofpotentialsolutionsthat
maymeettheregionsneedsmoreefficientlyorcosteffectively.180Theproceduresmustresultina
regionaltransmissionplanthatreflectsthedeterminationofthesetoftransmissionfacilitiesthatmore
efficientlyorcosteffectivelymeettheregionsneeds.

InthecentralizedmarketswhereRTO/ISOshaveformed,transmissionplanninggenerallyencompasses
largeregionsandiscoordinatedaroundacentralizedprocessesadministeredbytheRTO/ISO.Interms
ofidentifyingviabletransmissionsolutions,severalregions,includingPJM,181ISONE,andCAISO,
adoptedacompetitivesolicitationprocessintheirtransmissionplanningproceduresasaresultofOrder
No.1000.182

Inareaswhereatraditionallyregulatedmodelremains,planningiscoordinatedbythevertically
integratedutilitieswithintheirterritory.InseveralnonRTOareasplanninggroupswereestablishedto
coordinateplanningactivitiesandmeetOrderNos.890and1000requirementsforregionalplanning
processes.Forexample,theSoutheasternRegionalTransmissionPlanning(SERTP)includes
predominantlyjurisdictionalandnonjurisdictionalsystemsinSERCthathavecometogethertoforma
groupforpreparingaregionalplanningprocessproposalforpurposesofrespondingtoFERCOrder
No.1000.Also,theCaliforniaTransmissionPlanningGroup(CTPG)includesjurisdictionalandnon
jurisdictionalsystems(includingLADWP).TheCTPGwasoriginallyformedin2009tocomplywith
OrderNo.890,andwasreorganizedtoaddressFERCOrderNo.1000.

TransmissionPlanningandCostAllocationbyTransmissionOwningandOperatingPublicUtilities,136FERC61,051
atP150(2011)(OrderNo.1000).
180NotethattheCommissionusesthephrasemoreefficientandcosteffectiveandmoreefficientorcost
effectiveinOrderNo.1000creatinganambiguityastowhetheraprojectshouldbebothefficientandcosteffective.
181SeeWithnoROFRprovisionsatissue,FERCmostlyreachesconsensusonOrder1000Filings,SNLFinancial,
Apr.18,2013.
182TheCAISOcompetitivesolicitationprocessappliestolinesabove200kV.SeeFERCmostlyacceptsCAISO
Order1000filing,butClarkdissentsontwoissues,SNLFinancial,Apr.19,2013.TheISONEprocesswas
introducedconditionally.SeeWithnoROFRprovisionsatissue,FERCmostlyreachesconsensusonOrder1000
Filings,SNLFinancial,Apr.18,2013.Forexample,ISONEusesitsAttachmentKprocess,wheremerchant
transmissionsolutionscanbeproposedinresponsetoaneedasidentifiedintheRegionalSystemPlan.
Additionally,ISONEmay,actingthroughitsBoard,solicittransmissionsolutionsasalternativeproposalsfromthe
marketwhennoviablesolutionshavebeenproposed.Similarly,theNYISO,throughitsComprehensiveReliability
PlanningProcess,mayalsosolicitmarketsolutionstomeetreliabilityneeds.
179

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 52

WhileOrderNo.1000doesnotrequirenonpublicutilitiestoparticipateintheplanningprocesses,it
doesencouragethemtodoso.183Somenonpublicutilitieshavechosentoenroll184intransmission
planningregionsdependingonwhethertheyhaveloadintheregionwheretheyseektosponsora
project.185

FERCalsodoesnotrequireMerchantTransmissioncompaniestoparticipateinOrderNo.1000
processes,recognizingthatthecostsofthoseprojectsarerecoveredthroughnegotiatedratesandthat
MerchantTransmissiondevelopersassumetheentireriskfordevelopmentoftheseprojects.However,
ifaMerchantTransmissiondeveloperwishestotakeadvantageoftheregionalcostallocation
mechanisms,itmustparticipateintheregionalplanningprocess.186

Severalregions,RTOandnonRTO,initiallyelectedtohavetheirstateregulatorybodiesdecidewhich
competingtransmissiondeveloperprojectswouldbeselected;theCommissionrejectedthisoption.187
Whilethestatemayparticipateinthedecisions,itistheplanningregionthatmustmaketheultimate
decision.
8.1.2 InterregionalPlanningCoordination
IntheOrderNo.1000FinalRule,FERCadoptedseveralmeasurestobroadenthegeographicscopeof
transmissionplanningandenableanadequateanalysisofthebenefitsassociatedwithinterregional
transmissionfacilitiesthataddresstransmissionneedsinanefficientorcosteffectivemanner.188FERC
requiredthateachpublicutilitytransmissionprovider,throughitsregionaltransmissionplanning
process,(1)developproceduresforsharinginformationregardingtherespectiveneedsofneighboring
transmissionplanningregions;(2)developandimplementproceduresforneighboringpublicutility
transmissionproviderstoidentifyandevaluatetransmissionfacilitiesthatareproposedtobelocatedin
bothregions;(3)exchangeplanningdataandinformationbetweenneighboringtransmissionplanning
regionsatleastannually;and(4)maintainawebsiteoremaillistforthecommunicationofinformation
relatedtointerregionaltransmissioncoordination.189However,theCommissiondeclinedtorequirea

SeeOrderNo.1000atPP815822andOrderNo.1000AatP774.
Asanenrollee,theentitywillhaveaccesstoregionalcostallocationforitsacceptedprojectsandwillalsohave
votingrightsinthetransmissionplanningprocess;nonenrolleesdonothavetheserights.SeeWithnoROFR
provisionsatissue,FERCmostlyreachesconsensusonOrder1000Filings,SNLFinancial,Apr.18,2013.For
examplenonpublicutilityenrolleesincludeLIPAintheNYISOregionalplanningprocess,TennesseeValley
Authority(TVA),AssociatedElectricCooperativeInc.(AECI),andEastKentuckyPowerCoop(EKPC)alljoined
theSERTPregionalplanningprocessforpurposesoftheFERCOrder1000.Also,LADWPjoinedtheCalifornia
TransmissionPlanningGroupforpurposesofFERCOrderNo.890andforFERCOrderNo.1000regionalplanning
process.
185SeeWithnoROFRprovisionsatissue,FERCmostlyreachesconsensusonOrder1000Filings,SNLFinancial,
Apr.18,2013.
186SeeOrderNo.1000AatP275.
187SeeSCE&G(ER13107000),NYISO(ER13102000),andCAISO(ER13103000)Orders.
188SeeOrderNo.1000atP368.
189Ibid.atP345.
183
184

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 53

formalplanningagreementbetweenpublicutilitytransmissionprovidersofneighboringtransmission
planningregions,asitproposed.190

Bothtraditionallyregulatedandcentralizedmarket(RTO/ISO)regionshaveimplementedprocessesfor
thesharingandexchangeofinterregionalplanningdata.Furthermore,inresponsetotheinterregional
requirementsofFERCOrderNo.890,andthemorespecificrequirementsoftheFERCOrderNo.1000
FinalRule,thereareseveralcoordinatedinterregionalplanninginitiativesunderwayinbothRTOand
nonRTOregionstocomplywiththeserequirements.OneexampleistheNortheasternISO/RTO
PlanningCoordinationProtocol(theProtocol),adocument,describingasetofprocessesand
proceduresthroughwhichcoordinatedplanningactivitieswillbeconductedandimplementedbythe
ISOsandRTOsinthenortheasternUnitedStatesandCanada.191TheProtocolprovidesaprocessfor
conductinginterregionalplanningstudies,andincludes:theresponsibilitiesofthestakeholderprocess,
dataandinformationexchange,thecoordinationofprojectevaluationcriteria,proceduresfor
conductinginterregionalassessments,andproceduresfortheevaluationofprojectsthatcanaddress
regionalneedsconsistentwithFERCOrderNo.1000.TheProtocolwasfirstdevelopedtosupportthe
NortheasternCoordinatedSystemPlan,oneofthefirstcomprehensiveinterregionalplanningstudies.

PublicutilitytransmissionprovidersthatarenotaffiliatedwithanRTO/ISOhaverespondedtothe
requirementsofFERCOrderNo.1000usinganapproachsimilartotheabove,perhapsrelyingonan
existingframeworkthatwasdevelopedinresponsetoFERCOrderNo.890requirementsorearlier.
Thesesystems,whetherverticallyintegratedutilityorothertransmissionserviceprovider,typically
participateinaregionaltransmissionplanningprocessthatprovidesasimilarframeworkforaddressing
therequirementsofFERCOrderNo.1000.Forexample,PugetSoundEnergy,autilityinthePacific
Northwest,participatesintheColumbiaGridregionaltransmissionplanningprocess,whichisgoverned
bytheprovisionsofitsPlanningandExpansionFunctionalAgreement(PEFA).ThePEFAaddresses
memberentitiesdataandanalysesrequirements,andisdesignedtofacilitatemultisystemplanning
throughacoordinated,open,andtransparentprocess.192TheSoutheasternRegionalTransmission
Planning(SERTP)associationisasimilarorganization,whichincludesjurisdictionalandnon
jurisdictionalutilitiesinthesoutheast.
8.1.3 CostAllocation
OrderNo.1000alsomandatedthateachplanningregiondevelopacostallocationmechanismfor
allocatingthecostsofprojectsthatareselectedintheplanningprocessforinclusioninaregionalplan.
Transmissioncostallocationisasubjectofconsiderabledebateamongvariousstakeholdersinthe
electricityindustry.Costallocationraisesanumberofquestionsdependingonthestakeholders
perspective.Fromthestateregulatorandendusecustomerside,issuespertaintoelectricityrates.For
otherstakeholders,itisaquestionofwhoisabeneficiaryofanewtransmissionproject.Forrenewable
energydevelopers,costallocationcanbeasignificantdetrimenttothedevelopmentanddeliveryof

SeeIbid.atP475.

190

ThepartiestotheProtocolarePJM,NYISO,andISONE.OntariosIndependentElectricitySystemOperator,
HydroQuebec,andNewBrunswickPowerarenotpartiestotheProtocolbuthaveagreedtoparticipateinthedata
andinformationexchangeprocessandinregionalplanningstudiesforprojectsthatmayhaveinterregionalimpacts.
192SeeColumbiaGridPEFA,ThirdAmendmentandRestatement.
191

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 54

renewableresources.193Somestakeholdersadvocatesocializing,orspreadingnewtransmissioncosts
aswidelyaspossiblewhileothersarguethatonlythosewhoreceivedirectreliabilityand/oreconomic
benefitsfromnewtransmissionassetsshouldpay.Inaddition,partieshavearguedthatthesocialization
oftransmissioncostsmasksthetruedeliveredcostofpowerfromspecificresourcesandtherefore
distortsthegenerationandconsumptionincentivesofdifferentresourcesorloads.194

OrderNo.1000adoptedsixprinciplesforbothregionalandinterregionalprojectcostallocation,
includingthatallocatedcostsmustberoughlycommensuratewithbenefitsandthecostallocation
processmustbetransparent.195

APJMpaperidentifiedfivegeneralcostallocationapproachesinuseintheU.S.,includingallocation:1)
betweenloadandgeneration,2)byamountofusage,3)bypeakconsumptionorgeneration,4)byflow
basis,and5)byamonetaryimpactbasis.196

Table4.ExamplesofCostAllocationApproachesUsedbyPlanningRegion197
Methodology

Description

RTO/ISO or Planning Region

License Plate

Each utility recovers the costs of its own transmission


investments (usually located within its footprint).

Southeast
CAISO (< 200 kV)
ISO-NE (< 115 kV)198
WECC (outside CAISO)

Beneficiary Pays

Various formulas that allocate costs of transmission


investments to those entities that benefit from a project,
even if the project is not owned by the beneficiaries.
In the case of FRCC, system benefits include avoided
transmission costs.

FRCC (>230kV)199
PJM (<500 kV)
NYISO (reliability and economic)200
MISO (<345 kV)

SeeASurveyofTransmissionCostAllocationIssues,MethodsandPractices,PJM,Mar.10,2010,pg.3(A
SurveyofTransmissionCostAllocationIssues,MethodsandPractices).
194SeeASurveyofTransmissionCostAllocationIssues,MethodsandPractices,atpg.3.
195OrderNo.1000atP622.
196SeeASurveyofTransmissionCostAllocationIssues,MethodsandPractices,pg.1.
197Source:NavigantConsulting,Inc.
198AppliestononPoolTransmissionFacilities(PTF)only.Transmissionlinesthataredeterminedtocontributeto
thereliabilityofthesystem(basedontariffcriterion)thatarelessthan115kVarealsoallocatedusingapostage
stampmethodology.
199TheBeneficiaryPayscostallocationmethodappliestoFRCCsCostEffectiveand/orEfficientRegional
TransmissionSolution(CEERTS)Projects.
200Forreliabilityupgradesspecificlocationalviolationsoccurringinazoneorzonesareallocatedtothezoneor
zonesinwhichthoseviolationsoccur.UpgradessolvingreliabilityviolationsinonlypartoftheNYISOdueto
constrainedinterfacesareallocatedtothezonescausingtheviolationbasedoneachaffectedzonesshareofthe
coincidentpeakloadoftheaffectedzone.UpgradessolvingNYISOwideviolationsareallocatedtoallzonesinthe
NYISObasedontheirshareofthecoincidentpeakloadintheNYISO.Costsforeconomicupgradesareallocated
baseduponthezonalshareoftotalenergyexpendituresavingsacrosszonesthathaveenergysavings.Loadserving
entitiesidentifiedasbeneficiariesareeligibletovoteonwhethertocontinuewiththeproject.
193

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 55

Methodology

Description

RTO/ISO or Planning Region

Postage Stamp

Transmission costs are recovered uniformly from all


loads in a defined market area (e.g., RTO-wide in
ERCOT and CAISO).

ERCOT
PJM (>= 500 kV)
MISO (>=345kV)
CAISO (>= 200kV reliability and
economic)
SPP(reliability201; economic >345 kV)
ISO-NE (>= 115 kV)

Regions using load ratio share either allocate based on


coincident peak demand or energy (MWh) of the
member systems, as described in its tariff.

Merchant Cost
Recovery

Some regions use a combination of methods for


allocating costs. For example, SPP uses a ratio of 33%
postage stamp and 67% Beneficiary Pays for allocating
costs for reliability projects. Similarly, for >=345kV
projects, MISO uses 20% Postage Stamp and 80%
Beneficiary Pays for reliability projects.
Project sponsors recover the cost of the investment
(e.g., via negotiated rates with specific customers);
largely applies to DC lines where transmission use can
be controlled.

CAISO
ERCOT
PJM
NYISO
ISO-NE

Multi-Value Project
(MVP)

100% of the annual revenue requirements for MVP are


allocated on a system-wide basis to Transmission
Customers that withdraw energy from the system,
including export and wheel-through transactions sinking
outside the region, and recovered through an MVP
Usage Charge.

MISO

Tehachapi Location
Constrained Resource
Interconnection (LCRI)
Approach

Upfront postage stamp funding of project, later charged


back to interconnecting generators.

CAISO

8.1.4 PlanningforPublicPolicyRequirements
PriortoOrderNo.1000,someregionsalreadytookintoaccountpublicpolicyrequirementstotheextent
thattheydrovespecificactionssuchasplantretirementstomeetfederalandstateenvironmental
mandates.Somesinglestateregionsalsotookintoaccountstaterenewableresourceintegrationtargets.
However,OrderNo.1000madeitarequirementtoconsiderthesepublicpolicyrequirementsaspartof
aregionsplanningprocess.
8.1.4.1 PlanningforPublicPolicyRequirementsinOrderNo.1000
OrderNo.1000requiresthatregionalplannersconsiderpublicpolicyrequirementswhenconducting
theirstudies.Inthefinalrule,FERCnarrowedthedefinitiontoincludeonlyenactedstatutes(i.e.,
passedbythelegislatureandsignedbytheexecutive)andregulationspromulgatedbyarelevant

Forallupgradesatallvoltagelevelsandwithupgradecostgreaterthan$100,000.

201

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 56

jurisdiction,whetherwithinastateoratthefederallevel.202FERCdidnotdictatehowthiswouldbe
accomplished,permittingstakeholderstoproposedifferentapproachesthatitwouldevaluate.203

Whiletheprovisionsarestilllargelyuntested,severalissueshavearisenrelatingtothepublicpolicy
planningrequirements.TheCommissionrejectedtheNYISOsintentiontoaskonlyincumbent
transmissionownerstoproposesolutionstomeetpublicpolicyrequirements,findingthistobe
discriminatory.ItalsoorderedthattheNYISOmustdetailhownontransmissionalternativescanbe
submittedforconsideration.204Finally,FERCrejectedtheNYISOsplantohavetheNewYorkPUC
decidewhichpublicpolicyprojectsshouldbeadvanced,notingthatthiswasadecisiontheNYISOitself
mustmake.InCalifornia,theCommissionrequiredthattheCAISOhaveauthoritytoorderincumbent
utilitiestobuildeconomicorpolicydrivenlinesthatnootherqualifiedtransmissionownerwaswilling
tobuild.205
8.1.4.2 IntegrationofRenewableResources
Thelocationofrenewableresourcessuchaswind,largescalesolar,andgeothermalgenerationislargely
dictatedbynature,duetothelocationofandtheinabilitytotransportthefuelsourceofrenewables.
Connectingtheselocationconstrainedresourcestothetransmissionnetworkinthemostcosteffective
mannercanpresentspecialchallenges.

IntheNortheast,stateregulatorsandregionalplanningauthoritiesacknowledgethehurdlesof
transmissiondevelopmenttointegraterenewableresources.ThesixNewEnglandstates206andNew
YorkhaveadoptedsomeformofRPS,whichrequireutilitiesandothersuppliersofretailserviceto
obtainspecifiedpercentagesoftheirelectricityfrompowerplantsthatrunonrenewablefuels.An
overviewoftheRPSobjectivesineachstatehasbeenprovidedinFigure9,inSection6.2.2ofthispaper.

TransmissioninfrastructuredevelopmentintheMidAtlanticregionisalmostexclusivelydrivenby
PJMsRegionalTransmissionExpansionPlanningProcess(RTEP).Aspartofthatprocess,PJM
evaluatesalternativesthatintegrateemergingaggregatedpowerresourceareasincludingprojectsthat
addressreliabilityissuesposedbyclustersofdevelopmentbasedonrenewableenergysources.

Texasleadsthenationinwindpower,mostofwhichcomesfromitsremotewesternplains,andithas
madedevelopmentofsupportingtransmissioninfrastructureapriority.Transmissionupgradesto
supportadditionalwindgenerationareplannedbyERCOTwithalltransmissionsystemconstruction
costsbeingbornebytheERCOTgridandultimatelybyloadwithinERCOT.Allcostsforwind
generationinterconnectionsarerolledintotheERCOTsystemwidetransmissioncostsandassignedto
loadinthesamemannerassystemupgrades.

OrderNo.1000atP2.
SeeWithnoROFRprovisionsatissue,FERCmostlyreachesconsensusonOrder1000Filings,SNLFinancial,
Apr.18,2013.
204SeeFERCorderschangestoNYISOOrder1000filing,includingpublicpolicyprovisions,SNLFinancial,Apr.
22,2013.
205SeeFERCmostlyacceptsCAISOOrder1000filing,butClarkdissentsontwoissues,SNLFinancial,Apr.19,2013.
206TheRPSinVermontaregoals,notmandatoryrequirementsatthistime.
202
203

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 57

IntheSouthCentralregion,whilethereareseveraltransmissionprojectsbeingdevelopedby
TransmissionOwners,liketheMidAtlanticregion,transmissionsystemdevelopmentisledprimarily
bytheregionsRTO,theSouthwestPowerPool(SPP).

RenewableresourcedevelopmentintheSoutheasthasbeenlimited.Renewables,likesolarpowerand
windturbines,arefacedwithseveralchallengestotheirconsistentandwidespreaduseintheSoutheast.
Solarenergyrequireslargetractsofopenlandtoinstall,whicharenotreadilyavailable,andcloudcover
limitsitsreliability.Inaddition,onshorelocationswithgoodwindprofilesaregenerallynotavailable
inthisregion.UnlikethestatesinothergeographicregionsoftheUnitedStates,thoseintheSoutheast
generallylackRPSrequirementsthatwouldfurtherencouragethedevelopmentofrenewableresources.

TheMidwesthasseverallargescalestudiesunderway.TheRegionalGenerationOutletStudy
(RGOS)207identifiesmajorareasofrenewableenergydevelopmentzones,wheretransmissioncanbe
builtinabuilditandtheywillcomeapproach.Finally,theJointCoordinatedSystemPlan(JCSP)was
amultiRTO/ISOinitiative208ledbytheMidwestIndependentSystemOperator(MISO)todetermine
transmissioninfrastructurethatcouldbeconstructedtosupportthedeliveryenergyandcapacityfrom
renewableresourcesintheMidwesttoloadcentersintheeast.

TransmissionconstructionintheWesttointegraterenewableresourcesisbesttypifiedbythe
developmentofnumerous,largetransmissionlineprojectsintendedtotapvastrenewableresource
reserves.CaliforniahasinitiatedtheRenewableEnergyTransmissionInitiative(RETI)tohelpidentify
thetransmissionprojectsneededtoaccommodatetheStatesrenewableenergygoals,supportfuture
energypolicy,andfacilitatetransmissioncorridordesignationandtransmissionandgenerationsiting
andpermitting.

TheprocessesusedtoidentifytransmissionsolutionsarestrikinglydifferentbetweensomeRTOand
nonRTOinterregionalplanningregions.SomeinterregionaltransmissionplanningapproachesforRTO
regionshaveproposedasystematicalapproachforidentifyingtransmissionsolutionstomeetapublic
policyorreliabilityneed.Forexample,asmentionedearlierafewRTOswillsolicittransmission
solutionsusingaRFPapproach.Incontrast,somenonRTOplanningregionswillreceiveinputfrom
stakeholdersonapublicpolicyrequirement,andevaluatethecurrentlyproposedtransmissionprojects
todeterminewhichsolutionmaybestmeettherequirement.

207BackgroundinformationontheRGOSislocatedat

https://www.midwestiso.org/Planning/Pages/RegionalGenerationOutletStudy.aspx.
208MembersareMISO,PJM,SPP,andTVA.Thiseffortperformedalongtermplanningstudyincorporatingboth
economicandreliabilityanalysisofsystemperformanceforthecombinedfourJCSPareasincollaborationwiththe
parallelDepartmentofEnergyEasternWindIntegration&TransmissionStudy,whichwillprovideunderlying
inputassumptionsforgenerationscenarios.TherewasasubsequentEasternInterconnectionwidestudyperformed
undertheEasternInterconnectionPlanningCollaborative.Thefinalreportsforthisstudyareavailableat:
http://www.eipconline.com/.
2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.
October 8, 2013

Page 58

8.1.4.3 ROFRandNonIncumbentTransmissionOwners
OrderNo.1000envisionsalevelplayingfieldwherenewtransmissiondeveloperscancompetewith
establishedtransmittingutilitiesfortherighttobuildnewtransmissionlines.TheCommission
determinedthatincumbentutilitiesmustremoveprovisionsfromtheirCommissionjurisdictionaltariffs
andagreementsthatgrantthemarightoffirstrefusal(ROFR)toconstructtransmissionfacilities.209
Theseprovisions,FERCstated,havethepotentialtounderminetheevaluationofmoreefficientorcost
effectivesolutionstoregionaltransmissionneeds.210

InaMay17,2013ISONEComplianceOrder,theFERCstateditwouldeliminatetheROFRrequirement
inmanyinstances.TheCommission,however,didagreethattoavoiddelaysinthedevelopmentof
transmissionfacilitiesneededtoresolveatimesensitivereliabilitycriteriaviolation,certainreliability
relatedtransmissionprojectsshouldbeexemptfromthecompetitivesolicitationincertainlimited
circumstances.211Onesuchcircumstancewouldbewhenaprojectisneededinthreeyearsorlessto
solveareliabilityissue.212Also,whiletheROFRforincumbentTOstobuildandownnewtransmission
facilitieswithcostsallocatedregionallyhasbeeneliminated,theTOsretainROFRtobuildandownlocal
transmissionfacilities(under200kV)locatedwithintheexistingserviceterritoryoftheTO.213

8.2 TransmissionSitingandTransmissionGridExpansion
Theauthorityovertransmissionsitingisapatchworkquiltofoverlappingandsometimesunclear
divisionsofauthoritybetweennumerousgovernmentalbodiesderivingauthorityunderseveralbodies
oflaw.Whilethemajorityofsitingauthoritycurrentlylieswiththestates,thereareanumberof
instanceswherefederalapprovalsarerequired.

Undercurrentlaw,thestatePUCsoftenhavetheprimaryauthoritytoissuecertificatesofpublic
convenienceandnecessity,whichpermitelectricutilitiestoconstructtransmissionlines.Althoughprior
certificationfromFERCisrequiredforpipelinefacilitiesunderSection7oftheNGA,214thereisno
analogouscertificationrequirementundertheFPA.Furthermore,atthefederallevel,thereiscurrently
nocomprehensiveprogramforregulatingtheconstructionofelectricutilityfacilitiesexceptinthe
instanceofnuclearandhydroelectricprojects.215

SeeOrderNo.1000atP226.
Ibid.atP253.
211SeeUPDATE:FERCexplainsreasonsforfindingpublicintereststandardovercomeinISONEROFRdecision,
SNLFinancial.May21,2013.Seealso,ISONewEnglandInc.,143FERC61,150atP236(May17,2013).
212SeeUPDATE:FERCexplainsreasonsforfindingpublicintereststandardovercomeinISONEROFRdecision,
SNLFinancial.May21,2013.ThisdecisionappearstosupportpartofPJMsapproachtoROFR,whichprovidesthat
itsROFRwouldstillapplytoprojectsthatdidnothaveenoughtimetogothroughthecompetitivesolicitation
process.
213BothMISOandCAISObothproposedthisexceptiontotheeliminationtoROFR.SeeWithnoROFRprovisions
atissue,FERCmostlyreachesconsensusonOrder1000Filings,SNLFinancial,Apr.18,2013.
214NaturalGasAct7,15U.S.C.717f(2001).
215Infact,fornonhydroelectricandnuclearprojectstheFPAexpresslyexcludestheregulationofgenerating
facilities.FederalPowerAct201(b),16U.S.C.824(b)(2001).
209
210

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 59

Atthestatelevel,acertificateofpublicconvenienceandnecessityfortheconstructionofhighvoltage
transmissionfacilitiesisrequiredbymanystates.Themajorityofstateshaveatleastoneagency/board
thathasauthoritytoissueordenyconstructionpermits.216Abouttwothirdsofthestatesthatissue
certificationsfocusprimarilyonlinesgreaterthan60kVinsize.217

EPACT2005establishedalimitedroleforDOEandFERCintransmissionsiting.TheactdirectedDOE
tocreatetransmissioncorridorsinlocationswithadequatetransmissioncapacitythathadnational
interestimplications.218TheactalsograntedFERCsecondaryauthorityovertransmissionsitingin
thesecorridors.219ThisauthoritymaynotbeexercisedbyFERCunlessthestatewherethefacilitywould
besitedlackstheauthoritytoissuethepermit,theapplicantdoesnotqualifyforthepermitinthestate,
orthestatehaswithheldapprovalofthepermitformorethanoneyear.220Sincethepassageofthis
lawtherehavebeenproposalstobothexpandFERCsauthorityaswellascontractit.Therehavealso
beenseveralcourtcaseswhichhavefurtherlimitedFERCsbackstopauthority.221

8.3 AdequacyPlanningandIntegratedResourcePlanning
Theoversightofadequacy(resource)planningremainsprimarilyastatefunction;however,FERChas
introducedsomeregulationgoverningtheinterconnectionofgenerationresourcestoestablishanopen
andtransparentprocess.
8.3.1 IntegratedResourcePlanningandProcurementPlans
Manystatesdevelopedandretainedapproachestoaddressincreasesanddecreasesindemandand
changesintheirgenerationfleets,whiledoingsoinacosteffectivemannerthatmaintainsrequired
levelsofreliability.Integratedresourceplanning222beganinthelate1980sasstatesbegantorespondto
theoilembargosofthe1970sandnuclearcostoverrunsthatoccurredduringthesametimeperiodand
intothe1980s.

216Thosestatesthatdonothaveoversightoftransmissionsitingexceptwhereitpertainstospecificlocational

attributes(i.e.,rivercrossings)areGeorgia,Indiana,Louisiana,andOklahoma.Severalstateshavemultipleagency
processes.SeeEdisonElectricInstitute
StateGeneration&TransmissionSitingDIRECTORY(2012)availableat
http://www.eei.org/issuesandpolicy/transmission/Documents/State_Generation_Transmission_Siting_Directory.pdf.
217Ibid.
218EnergyPolicyAct2005,1221.
219Ibid.
220Ibid.
221See,e.g.,PiedmontEnvtl.Councilv.FERC,558F.3d304(4thCir.2009),cert.deniedsubnom,EdisonElectricInstitute
v.PiedmontEnvtlCouncil,130S.Ct.1138(2010);CaliforniaWildernessCoalition,etal.vDept.ofEnergy,631F.3d1072
(9thCir.2011).
222Theintegratedresourceplan(IRP)isacomprehensiveplanningprocessdesignedtoprovideinsightintohowa
utilitymaybestmeetitsresourceneedsoveralongterm(1020year)planninghorizonwhileconsideringall
resourceoptionsandarangeofrisksanduncertaintiesthatareinherentintheutilityindustry.AnIRPistypically
developedwithconsiderablepublicandotherstakeholderinvolvement,andresultsinapreferredimplementation
plan.
2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.
October 8, 2013

Page 60

IRPsaretypicallylongterm,witha20yearperiodbeingthemostcommonplanninghorizonand
periodicupdatestoreflectchangingconditionsevery25years.223StepstakeninanIRPinclude
forecastingfutureloads,identifyingpotentialsupplysideanddemandsideresourceoptionstomeet
thosefutureloadsandtheirassociatedcosts,determiningtheoptimalmixofresourcestakinginto
accounttransmissionandothercosts,receivingandrespondingtopublicparticipation(where
applicable),andcreatingandimplementingaresourceplan.224IRPsconsidersystemoperation,suchas
diversity,reliability,dispatchability,andotherfactorsofrisk.225Commissionsdonotactivelymonitor
utilityactionsthataretakenbasedontheIRP,butratherreviewtheresultsoftheIRPduringratecases,
prudencereviews,fuelcostadjustments,certificatesofpublicconvenienceandnecessity,reviewof
utilitypowerpurchases,andresourceacquisitioncases.226
ManystatesbegantoreconsidertheIRPapproachinthemid1990sastheelectricindustrybeganto
restructure.227Severalstateseitherrepealedthemwithrestructuringlaws,orbegantoignorethem.228
Recently,however,therehasbeeninterestinreturningtointegratedresourceplanninginsomeofthe
statesthathaverestructured.229

ThepresenceandstatusofIRPproceduresvarywithsomestateIRPrulesremainingunchanged,other
stateshaveamendedorrepealedtheirrules,andsomehavereinstatedtheirIRPrules.Figure12shows
thosestatesthatcurrentlyhaveIRPrules,statesthataredevelopingorrevisingIRPrules,andstatesthat
donothaveanIRPrule.

SeeRachelWilsonandPaulPeterson,ABriefSurveyofStateIntegratedResourcePlanningRulesand
RequirementsPreparedfortheAmericanCleanSkiesFoundation,SynapseEnergyEconomics,Inc.(April28,2011),
pp.78(ABriefSurveyofStateIntegratedResourcePlanningRulesandRequirements).
224SeeABriefSurveyofStateIntegratedResourcePlanningRulesandRequirements,pg.3.
225EnergyPolicyActof1992,111(d)(19).Textavailableat:http://www.ferc.gov/legal/majordreg/epa.pdf.
226SeeABriefSurveyofStateIntegratedResourcePlanningRulesandRequirements,pg.4.
227Ibid.atp.13.
228Ibid.atp.13.
229Ibid.atp.16.
223

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 61

Figure12.StateswithIntegratedResourcePlanning(orsimilarplanningprocess)

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 62

9. InnovationandtheLevelsofResearchandDevelopmentPursued
Innovationsintheelectricindustry,technicalandeconomic,havecomeaboutthroughtheapplicationof
researchanddevelopmentofprojectsbytheelectricsector,governments,andotherindustrial,
communications,andtechnologysectors.Thesehaveaffectedtheelectricsectorsregulatorymodelina
numberofways.Thissectionreviewsseveralkeymajorinnovationsandtheirrelativeimpactsonthe
traditionallyregulatedandcentralizedmarketmodels.Inaddition,thissectionreviewstheongoing
impactofthesemarketmodelsoninnovation,includingresearchanddevelopment.

9.1 DecliningCostsandIncreasingFlexibilityofGenerationTechnologies
Expansionofcombinedheatandpower(CHP)andnaturalgasfiredcombinedcycle(CC)plantsinthe
late1970sintothe1990swasastrongcontributingfactortogrowthintheclassofnonutilitygeneration.
MuchoftheearlyimpetusforCHPandCCmightbeattributedtothePURPA(1978)provisionsthat
requiredutilitiestopurchasepoweratavoidedcostfromcogenerators,andtofederallegislativeand
regulatoryactionsthatledtoopenaccesstogassupplies.230

Butjustassignificanthavebeenthetechnicalandeconomicstridesofthesetechnologiesrelativetoother
thermalandnucleargeneration.Inits2013AnnualEnergyOutlook,theU.S.EnergyInformation
Administration(EIA)estimatedthatanew,advancedCCpowerplantwouldcostapproximately
$1,006/kW(2011$)tobuildandwouldgenerallybearound400MWinsize,whereasanewscrubbedcoal
powerplantwouldcostapproximately$2,883/kW(2011$)tobuildandwouldgenerallybearound1,300
MWinsize.231Inadditiontoreducedovernightcosts,thelevelizedcostofmanyofthesesourceshas
droppednearorbelowthatofanewcoalplant,asseeninTable5.Thelevelizedcostisthecostperunit
ofelectricitygenerated,includingcapitalcosts,fixedandvariableoperationsandmaintenance(O&M)
costs,fuelcosts,andtransmissioninvestmentcosts.NotethatthevaluesprovidedinTable5donot
includetaxcredits,nordotheyassumeanypotentialCO2emissionrelatedcosts.

230NaturalGasPolicyActof1978,Pub.L.No.95621,92Stat.3351(codifiedat15U.S.C.33013432(1982)).
RegulationofNaturalGasPipelinesAfterPartialWellheadDecontrol,OrderNo.436,50FR42408(Oct.18,1985),FERC
Stats.&Regs.[RegulationsPreambles19821985]30,665(1985),vacatedandremanded,AssociatedGasDistributorsv.
FERC,824F.2d981(D.C.Cir.1987),cert.denied,485U.S.1006(1988),readoptedonaninterimbasis,OrderNo.500,52
FR30334(Aug.14,1987),FERCStats.&Regs.[RegulationsPreambles,19861990]30,761(1987),remanded,
AmericanGasAssociationv.FERC,888F.2d136(D.C.Cir.1989),readopted,OrderNo.500H,54FR52344(Dec.21,
1989),FERCStats.&Regs.[RegulationsPreambles19861990]30,867(1989),rehggrantedinpartanddeniedinpart,
OrderNo.500I,55FR6605(Feb.26,1990),FERCStats.&Regs.[RegulationsPreambles19861990]30,880(1990),
affdinpartandremandedinpart,AmericanGasAssociationv.FERC,912F.2d1496(D.C.Cir.1990),cert.denied,111S.
Ct.957(1991);PipelineServiceObligationsandRevisionstoRegulationsGoverningSelfImplementingTransportationand
RegulationofNaturalGasPipelinesAfterPartialWellheadDecontrol,OrderNo.636,F.E.R.C.STATS.&REGS.30,939
(1992),orderonrehg,OrderNo.636A,F.E.R.C.STATS.&REGS.30,950(1992),orderonrehg,OrderNo.636B,61
F.E.R.C.61,272(1992),noticeofdenialofrehg,62F.E.R.C.61,007(1993),affdinpartandvacatedandremandedin
part,UnitedDist.Cos.v.FERC,88F.3d1105(D.C.Cir.1996),orderonremand,OrderNo.636C,78F.E.R.C.61,186
(1997)..
231U.S.EnergyInformationAdministration,AssumptionstotheAnnualEnergyOutlook2013:ElectricityMarketModule.
2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.
October 8, 2013

Page 63

Table5.EstimatedNationalAverageLevelizedCostofNewGenerationResourcesin2018
Technology

Total System Levelized Cost (2011 $/MWh)

Conventional Coal

$100.10

Advanced Coal

$123.00

Advanced Nuclear

$108.40

Natural Gas Conventional CC

$67.10

Natural Gas Advanced CC

$65.60

Geothermal

$89.60

Biomass

$111.00

Wind

$86.60

Solar PV

$144.30

Source:U.S.EnergyInformationAdministration,AnnualEnergyOutlook2013,December2012

Thecosteffectivenessofsmallerincrementsofgenerationhasreducedtheneedforutilitiesto
periodicallyhavelargelumpycapitalintensiveinvestmentsandcorrespondinglargeadditionsto
theirratebaseleadingtolargeonetimerateincreases.Sincegenerationcanbeaddedinsmaller
incrementsandwithleadtimesclosertothetimeofanticipatedneed,theinvestmentcyclehasbecome
smoother.Ascomparedwithlargegenerationinstallations,combinedcycletechnologyismore
modular,hasrelativelylowercapitalcoststhanbaseloadcoalandnuclearplants,hasbeenwidely
adoptedacrossthespectrumofregionalmarkets,andhasadecadeslongtrackrecordofperformance.
Thesefactorsreducetherisksrelatingtocapitalandconstruction,makingiteasierformerchant
generationdeveloperstogetfundingandforregulatedutilitiestogothroughtheratecaseprocess.
However,thesamewidespreadadoptionofthistechnology,coupledwithhighlevelsofretirementin
thecoalfleet,maydiminishsupplydiversityovertimeandincreasevolatilityofelectricenergyprices.
Anindicatorofthisdevelopmentmaybeseeninthehighelectricitymarketpricesthatwereexperienced
inconjunctionwithhighnaturalgaspricesduring20032008,followedbylowpowerpricesduringthe
pastfouryearsasgaspricesdroppedbacktopre2000levels.

Overall,competitiveentryinwholesalemarkets,whethercentralizedorbilateral,haslikelybolstered
investmentincombinedcycleplants.232Theconverseargument,thatcontinuedimprovementof
combinedcycletechnologyhasaugmentedthemovementawayfromtheverticallyintegratedutility
modelinderegulatedstates,mightbededucedfromthecoincidenceofthetechnologysexpansionwith
theopeningofmarkets,butthecausalargumentisnotfirm.

PeterKind,DisruptiveChallenges:FinancialImplicationsandStrategicResponsestoaChangingRetailElectric
Business,EdisonElectricInstitute(January2013);PaulL.Joskow,RegulationandDeregulationAfter25Years:
LessonsLearnedforResearchinIndustrialOrganization,ReviewofIndustrialOrganization,26(2)(March2005),P.
169193.JoskowobservesthattheadoptionandrapiddiffusionofefficientCCGT[CombinedCycleGasTurbine]
generatingtechnologywasstimulatedbyallowingcompetitiveentryintoelectricitygeneration.
232

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 64

9.2 EmergenceofDemandSideAlternatives
Activeloadcontrolandapplicationofenergymanagementtechnologiesgainedprominenceasutility
toolsinthe1980s,andcontinuetoseetechnologicalandeconomicimprovementstoday.Therehasalso
beennearcontinualimprovementintheenergyefficiencyofmostclassesofenergyusingequipment,
includingbutnotlimitedtoresidentialandcommerciallighting,residentialandcommercialappliances,
heating,ventilation,andairconditioning(HVAC),electricmotors,electronics,andexternalpower
supplies.233Theseactiveenergymanagementeffortsaswellaseffortsbyutilities,regulators,and
governmentenergyagenciestoincentormandateadoptionbyelectricityendusersofhigherefficiency
equipmentarecollectivelyreferredtoasDSM.234Theactiveprogramsallowforthebalancingofelectric
supplyanddemandonthesystembyadjustingtheload,ratherthanthetraditionalbalancingmethodof
onlyadjustingthesupply,andadoptionofefficientproductshelpstoreducethegrowthrateof
electricitydemand.

Thesetechnologieshaveaffectedutilityoperations,theelectricsectorsregulatorymodel,andcustomers
indistinctwaysonthescaleofscopeofutilityinvestment,onthestructureofretailratetariffs,andon
thenatureofutilityplanningandutilitiesinteractionwithcustomersandotherinterestgroups.

DSMinducedreductionsinloadgrowthreduceordefertheneedfornewgenerationplantinvestment
andthecostsoftheDSMalternativesmaybelessthanthecostofnewgeneration.Byextension,these
alsoreduceadditionstoutilityratebaseandtheratebasedearnings,allotherthingsbeingequal.

Traditionaltariffstructuresforelectricserviceincludemonthlyfixedcharges,perkWdemandcharges,
andperkWhenergycharges,andtheratesunderthesetariffsaretypicallysettobesufficienttoallow
theutilitytorecovertheirongoingoperatingcostsaswellasearnanallowedrateofreturnontheirfixed
investment.However,itisalsorarethatthefixed(monthlyandperkW)andvolumetric(perkWh)
chargesarefullyinalignmentwithactualfixedandvariablecostssincemostratestructuresrecovereda
sizableportionoffixedcostsandreturnonratebasefromvolumetriccharges.Recognitionofthisraised
parallelconcernsamongutilitiesandDSMadvocatesreductionsinkWhsalescouldresultinunder
recoveryofallowedearningsand/orfixedcosts,andtheriskofthisunderrecoverycouldcreate
disincentivesforutilitiestoparticipateinorembraceDSMinitiatives.Insomestates,anearlysolution
forthisincludedimplementationofDSMrateadjustmentmechanismstolevysurchargesonremaining
kWhsalesinordertocorrectforthelostfixedcostrecovery.Whilethisapproachisattractivetosome
utilitiesandtoDSMadvocatesandfairlyeasytoimplement,italsoledtocomplaintsfromvarious
partiesthatthecustomersemployingDSMandreceivingratesavingswerebeingsubsidizedby
customersthatwerenotemployingDSMandhadbeengenerallyabandoned.

U.S.EnergyInformationAdministration,AnnualEnergyOutlook2013(May2013).
Traditionaldemandsidemanagementhasbeenpracticedbyutilitiesformanyyears,withandwithoutload
controltechnology.Utilitieshavelongusedinterruptibleratesthatprovidelargecustomerspricebreaksin
exchangeforallowingtheutilitytointerruptserviceorrequestloadreductionsonalimitedbasis.Theserates
oftenrequiretheutilitytocontactthecustomerinadvanceandseekthecustomerspermissiontocurtailload.
TechnologicaladvanceshavemadeDSMamuchmorereliableandresponsiveresourceforutilitiesandgrid
operators.LargeblocksofDSM,oftenassembledbyacurtailmentserviceprovider,arenowbeingofferedona
largerscaleinseveralenergymarketsasanalternativetocapacityand/orenergy.
233
234

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 65

Centralizedmarketmodelregionsaregraduallyimplementingmarketrulesthatseektoplacesupply
anddemandsideoptionsonequalfootingwithrespecttobiddingintocapacityandenergymarkets.
Forinstance,PJMallowsenergyefficiencyanddemandresponse(atypeofDSM)tobidintoitscapacity
market,thuscompetingwithgenerationtoensurecapacityisavailabletomeetfuturedemandneeds.
Traditionallyregulatedmodelregionsseektomaintainequalfootingforthesetwotypesofoptions
throughintegratedresourceplansvettedbystateregulators.Instateswithtraditionalregulation,
agreementstoprovidedemandresponseotherthaninarrangementsdirectlywiththeutilitymaybe
viewedastheimpermissibleequivalentofexercisingretailelectricsupplierchoice.

Similarly,trendsinenergyefficiencyhavecontributedtopredictionsofmuchlowerelectricitydemand
growthinthefuturethanwerehistoricallyobserved.235Thefederalgovernmenthasmandatedor
incentivizedenergyefficiencyimprovementsinlighting,residentialboilers,clotheswashers,
dishwashers,dehumidifiers,electricmotors,walkinrefrigeratorsandfreezers,andexternalpower
suppliesamongothers,withtheresultthattheseitemsusefarlessenergyascomparedtoearliermodels.
Inaddition,20stateshavesetutilityEnergyEfficiencyResourceStandards(EERS)forelectric(and
sometimesnaturalgas)consumption,mandatingspecificreductionsinfuturedemandordemand
growth,whileanadditional7stateshavenonbindinggoalsforsuchreductions.236Additionally,federal,
state,andlocalgovernmentsareencouragingenergyefficiencythroughappliancestandards,building
codes,andenergyefficiencystandardsforpublicbuildings.Again,thetraditionalparadigminwhich
verticallyintegratedutilitiesobtainearningsthroughthecapitalinvestedtoinstalltheinfrastructureto
supplyelectricityischallengedbythesetrends.Butsomealsoarguethatcurrenttrendstowardlower
growtharemorearesultofcurrenteconomicconditionsratherthanalongtermtrend.

9.3 SmartGrid
Inthelastdecade,orless,SmartGridhasbecomeahottopicinpoliticalandacademiccirclesaswell
asothergroupsnottraditionallyinvolvedintheregularprocessesoftheelectricsector.Theterm
generallyreferstoamoreintegrated,informationbased,andadaptiveelectricsystem,usuallyinvolving
communicationflowsamongusers,operators,devices,andsystems.IntegrationoftheSmartGridis
growing,asSmartGridtechnologiescontinuetobedeveloped,promisingbettergridmanagementand
improvementstoDSM.TheexpectationisthatSmartGridimplementationwillgeneratepotential
savingstocustomersbyprovidingthemthetoolstomanagetheirenergyconsumptionhabitsandcosts,
aswellasprovidingpotentialsavingstoutilitiesandtheircustomersthroughoperatingefficiencies.
Theutilitysavingswouldinuretothebenefitofutilitiesinbothtypesofmarkets.Similarly,customers
canbenefitfromsmartmetersandusageinformationunderbothmodels.TimeofUsepricing,including
peakandoffpeakpricing,wouldenhancethepotentialforsavings.Totheextentthatunbundled
pricingisgenerallyonlyavailableintheretailchoicestructure,customersmayhavegreater
opportunitiestogeneratesavingsbasedonenergypricingoptions.

U.S.EnergyInformationAdministration,AnnualEnergyOutlook2013(May2013).
EERSstates:Arkansas,Connecticut,Delaware,Florida,Hawaii,Illinois,Indiana,Iowa,Maine,Maryland,
Massachusetts,Michigan,Missouri,NewYork,Ohio,Pennsylvania,RhodeIsland,Texas,Vermont,Virginia,
Wisconsin.
235
236

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 66

TheimplementationofSmartGrid,andparticularlyadvancedmeteringinfrastructure(AMI),also
createsthepossibleneedforthesecompaniestooutsourceatleastaportionoftheassociateddata
managementwithnoadditiontoratebaseforexpandedsystemcosts.Theserisksarethesameinboth
marketmodels.SinceSmartGridtechnologiesarestillrelativelynew,thereisarisktocompaniesthat
implementSmartGridthatpressuretoincorporatefullexpectationsofpromisedbenefitswillexpose
utilitiestounrecoverablecostsifbenefitsdonotmaterialize.Finally,butperhapsmostsubstantially,
SmartGridtechnologieshavethepotentialtoopenuptheelectricsystemtogreaterriskofcyberattacks.
Again,theserisksarethesameunderbothmarketmodels,withthedifferencebeingthatawiresonly
company,ascomparedtoaverticallyintegratedutility,mayhaveasmallercushionwithwhichto
absorbtheseriskswithoutseekingraterelief.

Fromatraditionalregulatedversuscentralizedmarketsmodelperspective,themostimportantimpact
ofasmartergridisthepotentialabilityformarketpricesforgenerationtobereflectedatthesmart
meter.Theincreasedpricetransparencyandthepotentialresponsebycustomersmustbemanaged
directlybythetraditionallyregulatedutility,orthroughmarketinteractionsinthecentralizedmarkets.

9.4 ResearchandDevelopmentInvestment
AforecastbyBattelleestimatesthatindustrialR&Dintheenergysectorasawhole(notjusttheelectric
sector)was$6.7billionin2012.237TheBattelledocumentalsostatesthatR&Dinvestmentbyelectric
utilities(includingtheircontributionstotheElectricPowerResearchInstitute[EPRI])issmallwhen
comparedtootherindustrialsectorsandwhenobservedinthecontextoftheroleelectricityplaysinour
nationaleconomyandsociety.Thesefindingsarebasedonestimates,asmanyelectricutilitiesmaynot
berequiredtodisclosethedetailoftheirR&Dactivities.Sinceitsformationin1965,EPRIhasprovideda
vehiclethatallowselectricutilitiestopooltheirresourcesonR&D.Accordingtoitswebsite,EPRIs
membershiprepresentsapproximately90percentofallelectricitygeneratedintheUnitedStates.
However,historically,electricequipmentmanufacturershaveprovidedthemajorityoftheR&Dinthe
sector;thisisprimarilybecauseutilitiescannotnecessarilyinternalizethebenefitsoftheinnovations
developedthroughR&D.238

SeveralstudieshavenotedadeclineinR&Dinvestmentinsomeareasandconcludedthatutility
restructuringisthelikelycause.239Fortheperiodbetween1993and2000,R&Dinvestmentdropped
amongthefourentitiesinvolvedintheelectricsector:R&Dspendingfromutilitiesdroppedbynearly74
percent,R&DspendingbyEPRIdroppedbyapproximately71percent,governmentspendingdropped
by30percent(state)and3percent(federal),andspendingbyelectricequipmentmanufacturersdeclined

Battelle,2012GlobalR&DFundingForecast(December2011).
SanyalandCohen,PoweringProgress:Restructuring,CompetitionandR&DintheU.S.ElectricUtility
Industry,TheEnergyJournal,30(2)(2009).
239SeeBurtrawetal.ElectricityRestructuring:ConsequencesandOpportunitiesfortheEnvironment.Resourcesforthe
Future,DiscussionPaper0039(September2000);JamasbandPollitt,LiberalisationandR&Dinnetwork
industries:Thecaseoftheelectricityindustry,ResearchPolicy,37(67)(July2008);SanyalandCohen,Powering
Progress:Restructuring,CompetitionandR&DintheU.S.ElectricUtilityIndustry,TheEnergyJournal,30(2)(2009);
Kimetal.,R&Dinvestmentofelectricitygeneratingfirmsfollowingindustryrestructuring,EnergyPolicy,48
(September2012);SanyalandGhosh,ProductMarketCompetitionandUpstreamInnovation:Evidencefromthe
U.S.ElectricityMarketDeregulation,TheReviewofEconomicsandStatistics,MITPress,95(1)(March2013).
237
238

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 67

(thoughbyhowmuchisunknown).240OfparticularinterestisthatoverallenergyR&Dspending(public
andprivate,andnotexclusivetotheelectricitysector)decreasedfrom$5.8billionin1994to$4.5billion
in2003.241However,therearealsostudiesthathavecometotheconclusionthatthecentralizedmarket
modelencouragesmoreinnovationthanthetraditionallyregulatedmodel.242

SanyalandCohen,2009.
SeeJanMartinWitte,StateandTrendsofPublicEnergyandElectricityR&D:ATransatlanticPerspective,Global
PublicPolicyInstitute(2009).Additionally,SanyalandCohenfoundthatamongtheaspectsofrestructuring,the
introductionofcompetitiontotheelectricsectorhadthegreatestnegativeeffectonR&Dinvestment.SeeSanyaland
Cohen,2009.Additionally,Burtrawetal.(2000)foundthatmanyanalystsattributeanincreaseintheavailability
factor,ofgeneratorstocompetitionandthatfundinglevelsatmajorresearchinstitutions,particularlytheEPRI,are
down.SeeBurtrawetal.,2000.JamasbandPollitt(2008)agreedthatreformsintheelectricitysectorcoincidedwith
asignificantdeclineinR&Dinvestment,butalsonotesthattheproductivityandinnovationoutputofR&Dinthe
sectorappeartohaveimprovedatthesametime.SeeJamasbandPollitt,2008.Kimetal.(2012)lookedatthe
impactofderegulationat70electriccompaniesin15OrganizationforEconomicCooperationandDevelopment
(OECD)countriesandfoundthatderegulationwasassociatedwithadeclineinR&Dandthattheexistenceof
wholesalemarketsappearstobethebiggestdriverofthatdecline.SeeKimetal.,2012.TheOECDmember
countriesare:Australia,Austria,Belgium,Canada,Chile,CzechRepublic,Denmark,Estonia,Finland,France,
Germany,Greece,Hungary,Iceland,Ireland,Israel,Italy,Japan,Korea,Luxembourg,Mexico,Netherlands,New
Zealand,Norway,Poland,Portugal,SlovakRepublic,Slovenia,Spain,Sweden,Switzerland,Turkey,United
Kingdom,UnitedStates.SanyalandGhosh(2013)lookedcloselyattheimpactsderegulationhaveonupstream
suppliers,andfoundthatderegulationintheelectricitysectorledtoadeclineininnovationinupstreamelectric
equipmentmanufacturers.SeeSanyalandGhosh,2013.
242JoskowandKahn,amongothereconomists,wroteanopenlettertopolicymakersin2006inwhichtheystated
thatamongeconomists,itisalmostuniversallyacceptedthatwellfunctioningcompetitiveelectricitymarketsyield
thegreatestbenefitstoconsumersintermsofprice,investmentandinnovationespeciallywhenregulatedalternatives
arenolongerwarranted.SeeJoskowandKahn,OpenLettertoPolicymakers,June26,2006(emphasisadded).
SchmittandKucseraobservedthatderegulationofEuropeanutilitiesleadtoadeclineinR&D,butthatoncethe
competitivestructureswereestablished,increasedcompetitionhadapositiveimpactonR&D.SeeSchmittand
Kucsera,TheImpactoftheRegulatoryReformProcessonR&DInvestmentofEuropeanElectricityUtilities,
ViennaUniversityofEconomicsandBusiness:ResearchInstituteforRegulatoryEconomicsWorkingPaper:October
2012.OnereportfoundevidenceoftheoppositeinTexas.Regulationofrateofreturndidnotgointoeffectin
Texasuntil1975,andFrank(2003)foundthattechnologicalprogresstodecreasecostswasmoreprevalentpriorto
regulationanddeclinedsignificantlyafterwards.SeeFrank,MarkW.,AnEmpiricalAnalysisofElectricity
RegulationonTechnicalChangeinTexas,ReviewofIndustrialOrganization,22(4):June2003.
240
241

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 68

PublicfundingofenergyR&Dincreasedsignificantlyforthefirsttimeindecadesbetween2006and
2007,andagainsawboostsin2009and2010duetotheAmericanRecoveryandReinvestmentActand
otherpoliciespushedbytheObamaadministration.243EPRIs2014R&Dplanshowsaslightlyhigher
levelofinvestment($297.7million)overthatof2013($288.12million);ageneralbreakdownofthat
spendingbytopicisgiveninTable6.

Table6.EPRIPlannedR&DFundingfor2013and2014
2013 R&D Funding ($million)

2014 R&D Funding ($million)

Environment

$40.87

$45.00

Generation

$49.75

$54.30

Nuclear

$136.00

$135.80

Power Delivery & Utilization

$61.50

$62.60

Source:EPRI2014R&DPortfolio

Witte,JanMartin,StateandTrendsofPublicEnergyandElectricityR&D:ATransatlanticPerspective,GlobalPublic
PolicyInstitute:2009.
243

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 69

10. StateandFederalGovernment
ThetopicofFederalandStategovernmentjurisdictionisdiscussedothertimesinthispaper,for
instance,Sections3and4addressratesettingandmarketsjurisdiction,Section5discussesjurisdiction
overelectricreliabilityandSection8addressesjurisdictionoverresourceadequacyandtransmission
securityplanningaswellastransmissionsiting.Thissectioncoversthoseaspectsofjurisdictionnot
discussedelsewhereinthispaper.Furthermore,therearenumerousarticlesandothertextsthatprovide
detailedhistoriesofthedevelopmentofthecurrentbifurcatedregulatorystructure.244Thefocusofthis
sectionisnotonhowtheindustrygottothispoint,butratherwhatitmeansforthetraditionally
regulatedandcentralizedmarketmodelparticipants.

TheelectricutilityindustryintheUnitedStatesisregulatedatthestateandfederallevel.State
regulationextendstomostareasofutilityoperations,rates,andenduserissues.Federalregulation,
foundedoninterstatecommerceimpacts,generallyrelatestothewholesalesideoftheutilitybusiness,
includinginterstatetransmissionandsalesofelectricityforresale.
Investorownedutilitiesaresubjecttostateregulationastotheirdutiestocustomers,system
requirements,financingarrangements,andretailrates.Statelaworregulationdetermineswhether
retailaccessispermitted(orrequired).Governmentownedutilitiesarenotgenerallysubjectto
regulationunderstateutilitylaws,butmustfollowtherequirementsoftheordinanceorlawestablishing
them.Thestateregulator(forinvestorownedutilities)orthegoverningauthorityforapublicpower
entityisresponsibleforapprovingtheultimaterateschargedtoretailcustomers.

Underboththetraditionallyregulatedmodelandthecentralizedmarketmodel,unbundled
transmissionserviceratesareapprovedbyFERC.FERCregulatestheinterstatetransmissionand
generationactivitiesofpublicutilities.Theterminologycanbeconfusing,sinceutilitiescanbe
publiclyheldinthesenseofhavingaclassofsecuritiesownedbyalargegroupofinvestors,or
publicinthesensethattheyaregovernmentownedorownedbycustomers.ForFERCpurposes,
publicutilityincludesanypersonwhoownsoroperatesfacilitiessubjecttothejurisdictionofthe
Commission,i.e.,facilitiesforthetransmissionofelectricenergyininterstatecommerceorthesale
ofelectricenergyatwholesaleininterstatecommerce.245

Despitethisbroadlanguage,however,therearenumerousexclusions,withtheeffectthatFERCdoesnot
regulategovernmentownedutilitiesormostcooperatives,whichareoftenreferredtoasnon
jurisdictionalentities.Totheextentgovernmentownedutilitiesparticipateinmarkettransactionsthat
areregulatedbyFERC,theyaresubjecttothesamerulesasotherutilities,buttheydonotbecome
subjecttogeneralFERCjurisdiction.246Asaresult,thepublicutilitiesFERCregulatesfortransmission

See,e.g.,AppendixA,HistoryoftheU.S.ElectricPowerIndustry,18821991andAppendixB,Historical
ChronologyofEnergyRelatedMilestones,18001994,TheChangingStructureoftheElectricPowerIndustry:An
Update,U.S.EnergyInformationAdministration(December1996).
24516USC824(e).
246FPA201(f),UnitedStates,State,politicalsubdivisionofaState,oragencyorinstrumentalitythereofexempt,but
see,FPA215(b),JurisdictionandApplicability.
244

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 70

purposesconsistprimarilyofinvestorownedutilitiesandentitiessuchasRTOsandISOs.Inaddition,
becausemostoftheTexastransmissiongridisnotinterconnectedwiththerestoftheinterstate
transmissiongridexceptbylimitedDCinterties,transmissioninmostareasofTexasisnotsubjectto
FERCregulation.

InTexas,thestateregulatorisresponsibleforapprovingtransmissionrates(becausemostofTexas
transmissionisintrastate)aswellasregulatingallotheraspectsoftheelectricutilitybusinessinTexas.
Texashasadoptedfullretailchoiceformostofthestate247andhasseparatedownershipofwiresfrom
generation,withthewirescompaniescontinuingtobesubjecttofullstateregulation.Transmissionfor
mostofthestateisoperatedbyastatecreatedtransmissionorganization,ERCOT,andcostsofnew
transmissionfacilitiesaresocializedacrosstheentireERCOTfootprint.Thisisadifferentapproachfrom
thatusedinotherareasofthecountry,whereeachutilitysshareofcostsisdeterminedaccordingto
variousfactors,whichmayincludeadeterminationofthespecificbenefitstotheutilityscustomersora
combinationofsocializingsomecostswhileallocatingothersspecifically.

Thus,FERCsauthorityoverthetransmissiongridisfarfromcomplete.TheEIAcalculatedin2000that
investorownedutilitiesownapproximately73%ofthetransmissionintheUnitedStates,withthe
remainderdividedbetweenfederalutilities(13%)andotherpublicpowerentities,including
governmentownedutilitiesandcooperativeutilities(14%).248

However,FERChaseffectivelyextendedmanyofitsregulationstononjurisdictionalutilitiesthrough
reciprocitycarrotsandsticks.Thus,forexample,ifanonjurisdictionalutilitywantstotakeadvantage
ofthetermsofapublicutilitysOATT,thenitmustitselfhaveanOATTthedifferencebeingthatthe
transmissionrateswillnotbesetbyFERC.However,theothertermsofservice,includinguseofan
OASIS,mustcomplywithFERCrequirements.Similarly,underOrderNo.1000,FERCdidnotattempt
tocompelnonjurisdictionalutilitiestoparticipateinregionalplanningorcostallocation.However,in
ordertobepartoftheplanningprocessandtotakeadvantageofproposedcostallocationmechanisms,
thesenonjurisdictionalentitieshadtoagreetoparticipate.

247RetailcompetitionhasbeenimplementedforIOUswithintheERCOTzoneofTexas.Municipallyownedutilities
andelectriccooperativesinERCOTweregiventhechoicetooptintoretailcompetitionbutinthepast11yearsonly
onecooperativehaselectedtodoso.TheseentitiesareknownasnonoptinentitiesorNOIEs.Mostofthe
NOIESthatownedgenerationdidnotdivesttheirgenerationassetsandsomehavebuiltadditionalgeneration
duringthistimeframe.Mostoftheseentitiesstilloperateundertheverticallyintegratedutilitiesbusinessmodel.
IOUsinERCOTunbundledtheirbusinessesintogeneratingcompanies(eitherstructurallyorthroughdivestingof
assets),TransmissionandDistributionServiceProviders(TDSPs),andRetailElectricProviders(REPs).Energy
FutureHoldingsandCenterPointaregoodexamplesofthis,withsubsidiariesparticipatingineachofthose
segments.RetailchoicehasnotbeeninstitutedintheTexasareasoutsideofERCOT.
248TheChangingStructureoftheElectricPowerIndustry2000:AnUpdate,EnergyInformationAgency(October
2000),http://www.eia.gov/FTPROOT/electricity/056200.pdf.Therehavebeenmanychangesinthestructureof
theelectricindustryininterveningyears,andthesenumbersmayhavechangedslightlyasnewtransmissionhas
beenadded;however,thefundamentalpropositionthatFERCdoesnotregulatealloftheownersofthe
interconnectedtransmissiongridisthesame.

2013 Navigant Consulting, Inc.


October 8, 2013

Page 71

Vous aimerez peut-être aussi