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An engineer working for a utility company has been assigned to forecast the population of a small community on the outskirts of a city in
order to anticipate the demand for power. Table below shows the population study of the city over a 20-year period.
Time, t (year)
Population, P (people)
10
15
20
100
200
450
950
2000
It is known that the above data can be represented by a general quadratic equation () = 2 + + , where A, B and C constants.
a)
Using the quadratic regression, solve for the constants A, B, and C and forecast the population 5 years into the future.
[14 marks]
t
0
5
10
15
20
P
100
200
450
950
2000
t^2
0
25
100
225
400
t^3
0
125
1000
3375
8000
50
3700
750
12500
5
50
750
50
750
12500
750
12500
221250
a0
a1
a2
t^4
0
625
10000
50625
160000
tP
0
1000
4500
14250
40000
t^2P
0
5000
45000
213750
800000
221250
59750
3700
59750
1063750
a0 = C = 137.1429
a1 = B = -31.8571
a2 = A = 6.1429
0.5 mark each, total 1.5 mark
- t
P(t) =
6.1429 t^2
31.8571 +
137.1429 1 mark
P(25) = 3180.028 1 mark
= 3180
1 mark for rounding number (people cannot be in decimal)
Page 1 of 8
b)
From the quadratic equation obtained in part (a), apply bracketing method to estimate the number of years for the city
population to increase from 100 people at the beginning of the study to 500 people. Use initial guesses of 10 and 15. Perform
iteration until error of approximation, is less than 5.0%
[6 marks]
P(t) =
6.1429 t^2
500 =
P(t) =
6.1429 t^2
6.1429 t^2
t
-31.8571 +
t
-31.8571 +
-31.8571 t
tl
tu
tr
ea
10
15
12.5
10
12.5
11.25
11.11111
10
11.25
10.625
5.882353
10.625
11.25
10.9375 2.857143
P(tl)
67.1381
67.1381
67.1381
137.1429
137.1429
-362.857 1 mark
P(tr)
Condition
198.7573
-13344.2
56.21131
-3773.92
-7.86297
527.9047
0.2 mark each, total 5
marks
Page 2 of 8
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
Velocity, (m/s)
0.00
3.45
7.43
9.12
9.45
8.45
7.35
5.87
3.34
0.00
a)
Using the finite divided difference formulas of (2 ) order, determine the instantaneous acceleration of the balloon rocket at
each time steps.
[10 marks]
t
v
scheme
a=
dv/dt
0
0
F
0.2
3.45
C
0.4
7.43
C
0.6
9.12
C
0.8
9.45
C
15.925
F
18.575
F
14.175
F
5.05
F
1.675
F
15.925
F
25.625
F
11.85
B
4.975
B
-4.75
B
15.925
25.625
21.225
2.725
-1.75
Page 3 of 8
1
8.45
C
-5.25
F
-4.55
B
8.325
1.2
7.35
C
1.4
5.87
C
1.6
3.34
C
-6.45
F
4.775
B
10.025
F
10.625
B
-5.75
-8.35
14.675
B
15.275
B
15.275
1.8
0
B
10
- marks;
18.725 1 ea
B
18.725
B
18.725
b)
Using suitable Simpsons rules, determine the total distance travelled by the balloon rocket when it started to slow down (i.e.
having negative acceleration) until it has finally stopped.
[10 marks]
method 1:
i
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
ti
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
v(ti)
0
3.45
7.43
9.12
9.45
8.45
7.35
5.87
3.34
0
Simpson's 1/3
3.37333
4 marks
Simpson's 3/8
total I =
2.62350
5.99683
5 marks
1 mark
ti
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
v(ti)
0
3.45
7.43
9.12
9.45
8.45
7.35
5.87
3.34
0
Simpson's 3/8
4.70400
5 marks
Simpson's 1/3
1.28200
4 marks
total I =
5.98600
1 mark
method 2:
i
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Page 4 of 8
or 0.028m2/s. The initial temperature of each point is measured in Kelvin (K) and are given in the figure below.
28 m
B
T= 200
K
A
T= 200
K
C
T= 200
K
Heat source
1
T = 500 K
Heat source
2
T
=
750
K
Using the Simple Implicit Method, solve for the temperature distribution along points A, B and C after 20 min with a step size of 10 min.
k=
0.028
delta_t =
10
delta_x =
lambda =
0.0057
(1+2*lambda) =
[0.5
marks]
[0.5
marks]
1.0114
initial
t=
W.m-1.K-1
200
l=0
l=1
0.0
10.0
T1 =
500
TA=
200
TB =
200
TC =
200
500
554.283
7
613.484
1
678.422
4
T2 =
750
750
1st iter
[A]
1.0114
-0.0057
-0.0057
1.0114
0
0.0057
-0.0057
1.0114
2nd iter
[X]
[B]
TA
36230.6
36584.88
200
613.4841
54245.9
54724.32
TB
TC
Page 5 of 8
correct rearrange
equations into matrix
[A][X]=[B] for both
iterations
[B]
Total=2 mark
Use the standard LU decomposition method to solve for the system of equations obtained from the Simple Implicit Method.
[U]' =
[U] =
1.0114
-0.0057
1.0114
[L]' =
-0.0057
1
0.0056
-0.0057
1.0114
f32
1.0114
-0.0057
1.0114
-0.0057
1
0.0056
1.0114
-0.0056
-0.4966
-0.6591
d1=
36230.6000
0.5 marks
d2=
18190.4723
0.5 marks
d3=
66234.4343
0.5 marks
######
-72.0612
109.3401
-72.0612
97.6301
TA (10)
554.2837
1 mark
TB(10)
613.4841
1 mark
TC (10)
678.4224
1 mark
-0.4966
-0.6591
d1=
36584.8837
0.5 marks
d2=
18779.8776
0.5 marks
d3=
67101.3076
0.5 marks
######
-72.0612
109.3401
-72.0612
97.6301
TA (20)
562.3075
1 mark
TB(20)
624.7265
1 mark
TC (20)
687.3015
1 mark
[L] =
[2 marks]
1st iter
[L] x {D} = {B}
d1
X
d2
36230.60
=
200.00
d3
54245.90
TA (10)
36230.6000
TB(10)
18190.4723
TC (10)
66234.4343
d1
36584.8837
2nd iter:
[L] x {D} = {B}
X
d2
613.4841
d3
54724.3224
TA (20)
36584.8837
2nd iter
2nd iter
Page 6 of 8
TB(20)
TC (20)
18779.8776
67101.3076
1
mark
a)
b)
By using SIMPLEX method, determine the amount of t-shirts of each type should MyCare make per day in order to maximize its
profit? Please state or highlight your final answer.
[17 marks]
1 marks
1 marks
1 marks
1 marks
1 marks
0.5 marks
1 marks
Basics
s1
s2
s3
const
ant
-6
-5
-4
s1
180
90
s2
300
300
s3
240
120
Intersection
Intersection
0.5
marks
0.5 marks
Basics
s1
s2
s3
const
ant
-2
-1
540
s1
0.5
0.5
0.5
90
180
s2
2.5
2.5
-0.5
210
84
s3
-1
60
Basics
s1
s2
s3
const
ant
Intersection
0.2
2.6
0.8
708
1 marks
s1
0.2
0.6
-0.2
48
1 marks
s2
0.6
-0.2
0.4
84
1 marks
s3
-1
60
48 t-shirt x, 84 t-shirt y, and 0 t-shirt z, will achieve maximum profit of RM708 per day
s1 = s2 = 0 and s3 = 60
Page 7 of 8
1 marks
1 marks
1 marks
1 marks
1 marks
1 marks
0.5
marks
A spring with a mass of 1kg has natural length, m. A force of 2.5N is required to maintain it
stretched to a length of 50cm. Solution from Hookes Law, the force required to stretch the
spring is
=
By using the value of the spring constant, k thru Hookes Law together with mass of 1kg at
initial velocity 0m/s, the motion of spring-mass system is described in the following ordinary
equation:
2
+
=0
2
Use the Midpoint method with a step size of 0.5 to calculate the total distance moved by the
spring and its velocity at time 2.5seconds. Assume zero initial velocity and distance travelled.
k = f/x = (2.5)/(0.5)
2
k=5
marks
step
size
0.5
Break the equation into 2
parts:
v=
dx/dt
Let
k1x
dv/dt= 2t -5v
1
marks
k1v
xbar
tbar
vbar
k2x
k2v
xi+1
vi+1
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.5
0.25
0.25
-0.25
0.75
0.0625
0.1875
0.1875
0.5625
0.0938
0.5313
0.0938
0.5313
0.5313
-0.6565
1.25
0.2266
0.3672
0.3672
0.664
0.2774
0.8633
1.5
0.2774
0.8633
0.8633
-1.3165
1.75
0.4932
0.5342
0.5342
0.829
0.5445
1.2778
0.5445
1.2778
0.5 marks
each
16marks
1marks
Page 8 of 8