CBE

486/586
Introduction to Statistics and Design of Experiments
Fall 2015


Meeting Time and Location: WF 1:00 to 1:50 PM, Mitchell Hall, Room 202

Instructor:
Dr. Andrew Shreve
Instructor of Record: All questions concerning grades, course policy, special requests or
any other course administrative matters should be directed to Dr. Shreve.
Centennial Engineering Center, Room 2041
Office Hours: Monday, 3:30 to 4:30 PM*; Thursday, 4:00 to 5:00 PM*; or by appointment
shreve@unm.edu
505-277-4939

Course Assistant:
Adan Myers y Gutierrez
Office Hours: By appointment
Email: adanm@uwalumni.com

*Dr. Shreve's regular office hours may occasionally be cancelled or rescheduled due to
unexpected schedule conflicts. In such cases, every effort will be made to notify students ahead of
time, either in-class or through the learn system.

Course Overview: This course will introduce students to statistical methods and computational
tools important for analysis of data and design of experiments in an engineering context. Students
will gain familiarity with fundamental concepts of probability and statistics and with numerical
statistical analysis applications. This course will also introduce statistical methods for the design of
experiments, which underpin how to perform experiments in order to extract the maximum
amount of information from data. Students will learn how variability is intrinsic to all processes,
experiments, and products in the real world, and will learn how to determine what is known and
how well it is known in the presence of variability. The tools of this course are aimed at providing
a framework for drawing conclusions or making decisions based on data, and for understanding
the risks and uncertainties that are involved. Both conceptual understanding and hands-on use of
numerical software will be developed. Topics will include:

Topic 1: Data: types, collection, visualization

Topic 2: Basic concepts of experimental design
Topic 3: Probability and distributions
Topic 4: Properties of the normal distribution
Topic 5: Inference and hypothesis testing
Topic 6: Statistical power
Topic 7: Analysis of Variance (ANOVA)
Topic 8: Regression and least squares modeling
Topic 9: Factorial designs
Topic 10: Response surface methods

Texts: This course will be taught using a combination of open source instructional material and
supplemental information provided by the instructor.

OpenIntro Statistics, 3rd edition, by David M. Diez, Christopher D. Barr, Mine itinkaya-Rundel,
available under a Creative Commons license. This text is available on the learn.unm.edu system
and can also be downloaded free of charge as a pdf version at:
https://www.openintro.org/stat/textbook.php?stat_book=os

If you wish to purchase a hard copy, it is also available (currently priced at about $25) by following
the link to amazon.com on the web site just provided. We will not be covering all of the material
in this text, so you may want to wait to decide if purchasing a hard copy is useful.

Process Improvement Using Data by Kevin G. Dunn, available under a Creative Commons license.
This text is available on the learn.unm.edu system, and text can also be downloaded as a pdf file
(look at the left hand side of page) from:
http://learnche.org/pid/

Again, we will only be using sections of this text, so if you want to generate a printed copy, you
may want to wait to see what material in the text will be used.

Other resources:

JMP Pro Software. Through the Chemical and Biological Engineering department we have
obtained a license for this software for UNM student use. You will be able to load this software
onto your own computer and activate it using a license provided in class. This package is a widely
used resource in industry for a broad range of Statistics and Design of Experiment applications.
Instructions on downloading and activating the software will be provided in class.

JMP Pro Documentation, Design of Experiments Guide. Information on retrieving this manual
will be made available with activation of JMP Pro software.

All students should also be able to access and use Excel and Matlab software packages. Matlab is
available for UNM student use. Please contact the instructor or the course assistant if you are not
able to activate Matlab for use on your computer.

In case you need to access the above software packages in a university computer lab rather than
use your own computer, please contact the course instructor for more information.

Policies and Procedures:

Adherence to the highest standards of academic integrity is expected of all students in this
course. In accordance with UNM policies and the UNM Student Code of Conduct
(https://pathfinder.unm.edu/campus-policies/student-code-of-conduct.html),
academic
dishonesty is subject to disciplinary procedures and sanctions, which could include the student
receiving a failing grade for a specific assignment or the entire course. As per the Student Code of
Conduct, academic dishonesty includes, but is not limited to:

"...dishonesty in quizzes, tests, or assignments; claiming credit for work not done or done by
others; hindering the academic work of other students; misrepresenting academic or
professional qualifications within or without the University; and nondisclosure or
misrepresentation in filling out applications or other University records."

There will be two in-class exams during the semester. There will be no final exam. The exams
will test conceptual topics, while homeworks will be targeted at problem solving and
computations.

In case of very extraordinary circumstances and with appropriate documentation, makeup
opportunities for in-class exams will be considered at the discretion of the course instructor.
Vacations or unexcused absences will normally not be accepted as an excuse for missing a
scheduled in-class exam.

Homework assignments will be provided on a regular basis, and 7 such assignments are
anticipated over the course of the semester. Working in groups on homework assignments is
encouraged, but each student must turn in their own assignment and should fully understand
each answer that they provide.

Assignments for CBE486 students and CBE586 students will differ, with assignments for 586
students involving more applications to research problems.

Opportunities for extra credit points will occur throughout the semester, often associated with
short answer assignments that will provide a measure of class participation.

YOU MUST USE THE UNM LEARN SYSTEM. All homework assignments will be communicated
through this system. You are expected to be able to read and manipulate files posted in Microsoft
Office formats, to be able to generate a pdf file from a Microsoft Office file, and to post a pdf file
to learn.unm.edu.

Grading:

There will be 2 in-class exams, and 7 homework assignments. One homework assignment will be
dropped in calculating the final grade, and the remaining 6 homework assignments and 2 in-class
exams will be equally weighted in the final class grade.

 Late homework submissions will be not be accepted for grading. As one homework assignment
will be dropped, there are no exceptions to this policy.

A total grade will be calculated from the following contributions:
Exams





125 points each
250 points total
Homeworks (top 6 grades of 7 assignments)
125 points each
750 points total










TOTAL:
1000 points

Final grades will be assigned based on total summed points, with minimal grades given by:

Greater than 970 points:
930 to 969 points:
900 to 929 points:
870 to 899 points:
830 to 869 points:
800 to 829 points:
770 to 799 points:
730 to 769 points:
700 to 729 points:
670 to 699 points:
630 to 669 points:
600 to 629 points:
Less than 600 points:

A+
A
A-
B+
B
B-
C+
C
C-
D+
D
D-
F

An upward curve for final grades may be applied at the discretion of the course instructor. Extra
credit points will also be included in the course grade. Other factors such as positive trend in
grades, a strong record of class engagement through extra credit submissions and a record of on-
time homework submissions may result in favorable consideration in case of borderline grades.

Exam Schedule: Scheduled in-class exam dates, not expected to change, are:

Wednesday, October 19
Wednesday, December 7

Desired Course Outcomes

Upon successful completion of this course students will be able to:

1. Demonstrate an understanding of different types of data (e.g., numerical, categorical,
ordinal) and basic methods of data visualization. (Topic 1)
2. Demonstrate an understanding of basic experimental design concepts (e.g., randomization,
controls, blocking, sampling, power analysis, error propagation). (Topics 2,6)
3. Demonstrate an understanding of basic concepts in probability and distributions (e.g.,
random processes, independence, conditional probabilities, sampling). (Topic 3)
4. Demonstrate understanding of the central limit theorem and properties of normal
distributions. (Topic 4)
5. Demonstrate an understanding of practical approaches to inference and hypothesis testing.
(Topics 5)
6. Demonstrate an understanding of Analysis of Variance and applications (Topic 7).
7. Demonstrate a practical understanding of regression and least squares modeling methods.
(Topic 8)
8. Demonstrate understanding and practical application of factorial design methods (Topic 9)
9. Demonstrate a conceptual understanding and practical knowledge of response surface
methods in optimizing outcomes. (Topics 9, 10)

ABET Outcomes
(b) an ability to design and conduct experiments, as well as to analyze and interpret data.
4. Estimates and accounts for error and error propagation, and reports measurements and uncertainties
appropriately.
5. Explains physical meaning and/or significance of data and observations.

(k) an ability to use the techniques, skills, and modern engineering tools necessary for engineering
practice.
1. Use spreadsheet tools in the solution of engineering problems.
2. Familiar with and able to use a computational/programming platform such as Matlab.