Emerging Non-Volatile Memory (NVM)

Technologies & Markets 2015

Crossbar

Adesto

Panasonic

Sandisk/
Toshiba

Micron

ST Micro
electronics

TDK

Infineon

2013
Copyrights Yole Dveloppement SA. All rights reserved.

Table of Contents (1/3)

Table of Contents , definitions, glossary, scope of the report

Executive Summary
Standard Memory Market Introduction
p 41

NAND Market Overview

Niche Stand Alone Memory Overview

Stand alone NOR Flash Memory
NVSRAM and BBSRAM

Embedded SoC Memory: Overview

2013 2

p 63

DRAM Applications: Continued Shift to Mobile and Enterprise storage

DRAM Roadmap
ITRS and JEDEC DRAM roadmap
DRAM market drivers
3D DRAM Memory approaches
Samsung 3D DDR4 DRAM
HBM approach
Micron 3D DRAM HMC Approach
DRAM latency challenge

Niche stand alone Memory: Overview

p 53

NAND Applications: Continuing data growth

NAND Applications: Mobile Devices and SSD Drive Growth
SSD Revolution: Much Higher Throughput Compared to HDD
3D Approach to Further Increase NAND Density
NAND Future Roadmap : 3D approach
3D NAND cost issue
3D NAND : Samsung is pioneering
3D NAND players roadmap
Transition to 3D will take longer than 2D nodes transition

DRAM Market Overview

Overall Solid-State Stand Alone

Memory Market Status
Memory market evolution
Memory Business Trends : Data Traffic Explosion
Increasingly Memory-centric Systems
Memory Density: Definitions
Why process scaling matters ?

Traditional Memory Roadmap : Stand alone and embedded memory

Stand alone memory DRAM and NAND chip maximum density roadmap

Embedded Memory for SoC Applications

Embedded Memory for Microcontrollers (MCU) Market

Embedded Flash NOR for the MCU Market

SRAM Embedded Memory Technology for Mobile MPU market
Embedded Memory Market Size

Market Players Overview

Conclusions on NAND and DRAM Main Market Trends

Emerging NVM: Overview

p 85

Stand-Alone Memory Supply Chain: Key Market Players

NAND Memory Main Market Players
DRAM Memory Main Market Players
SoC Embedded Memory Market Players : MCU market
SoC Embedded Memory Market Players : Mobile MPU

p 94

Emerging NVM: Segmentation

Density Evolution of Non-Volatile Memory
Stand Alone Memory Position in 2014 : commercial products
performances
Recent Emerging Memory Products introduction
Emerging NVM Market Forecast by Technology 2014- 2020 (in $M)
Emerging NVM Market Forecast by Technology 2014- 2020 (in M Gbit)
Emerging NVM Market Forecast by Technology From 2014 - 2020 (in #
of wafers 12 eq)
Emerging NVM Strategy Example: Hynix
Emerging NVM Strategy Example: Micron
Emerging NVM Strategy Example:Samsung
Emerging NVM roadmap : stand alone devices
Emerging NVM + DRAM and flash NAND chip maximum density
roadmap (stand alone devices)
Emerging NVM roadmap : embedded SoC devices
Emerging NVM Market: Players Position
Big Three Memory MakersInvolvement in Emerging NVM
Dominant Players in Emerging Non-Volatile Memory: Acquisitions &
Alliances
Emerging NVM startup funding
New emerging NVM players
Dominant Embedded Memory MCU Players and emerging NVM
involvement
Equipment players involved in Emerging NVM
Emerging NVM Supply Chain
Foundries growing influence thanks to emerging NVM
Foundries involved in Emerging NVM and main customers

Table of Contents (2/3)

Emerging NVM Applications

Emerging NVM Applications: Definitions

Memory Specifications
Emerging NVM Applications Positioning
Emerging NVM Applications Positioning : SCM definition
Emerging NVM Positioning by Application and Current Memory Used
Emerging NVM 2014 Average Sales Price (ASP) by Application
Memory Density Requirements by applications
Emerging NVM Time to market by Application
Emerging NVM Application Analysis
Emerging Memories potential applications : density and price
positioning
Emerging NVM Market Forecast by Application
Emerging NVM Key Industrial Players by Application

Industrial & Transportation Applications

Enterprise Storage Applications

MCU Smart Card & other markets

2013

MCU Smart Card & other markets description

MCU Smart Card & other markets
Global Smart Card Market
Smart Card Telecom NFC Market
Government/ID Card Forecast
Smart Card MCU Market and Players

p 154

p 182

Mobile devices Description

Mobile Devices Forecast
SoC cache memory application
Toshibas STT MRAM cache memory development
Qualcomm STTMRAM SoC Embedded solution
Mobile Devices SoC Supply Chain
Mobile Devices Conclusions

Mass Storage NAND Market

p 169

Wearable applications description

Wearable market forecast
Wearable players : ST Microelectronics
Wearable players : Qualcomm
Wearable players : Adesto
Wearable memory architecture and requirements
ARM strategy for IoT and emerging NVM
Wearable applications : Power consumption issue
Wearable applications supply chain
Wearable applications Conclusions

Mobile devices applications

Embedded Flash NOR technology

MCU Supply Chain Smart card focus
Main MCU Smart Card Players: Involvement in Emerging NVM
MCU Embedded Memory Technological Roadmap of Key Players
MCU Smart Card & other markets Conclusions

Wearable Applications

p 135
p 138

Enterprise Storage Application Description

Infrastructure Server Applications are Booming Thanks to Growing
Internet Needs
Cloud Data Centers Market is Booming
Enterprise SSD Market is Booming too !
SSD Market players
Enterprise Storage Applications need SCM to reduce latency
SCM definition : ITRS roadmap
STT MRAM SCM solution
Avalanche MRAM based enterprise storage systems
RRAM SCM solution
Enterprise Storage Supply Chain
Enterprise Storage Conclusions

p 118

p 191

Mass Storage NAND Market description

Mass Storage NAND Market: Mobile Devices and SSD Drive Growth
Mass Storage NAND Market: Sandisks RRAM Development
Big Challenge for Emerging NVM: Develop a 3D Approach like NAND
Crossbar Inc RRAM technology
Mass Storage NAND Applications Conclusions

Table of Contents (3/3)

MRAM Technology, Forecast & Players

p 247

RRAM Technology Description

RRAM time to market and players by application
RRAM players positioning
RRAM chip maximum density roadmap (stand alone devices)
RRAM embedded roadmap
RRAM Market Forecast in Units, Gbit, $/Gbit, $, Wafers
RRAM Material Candidates
3D RRAM challenge : sneak current effect

RRAM Conclusions

p 311

PCM Technology Description

PCM players positioning
PCM Development History
Micron Profile
Microns Future Product
Samsungs PCM Product
SK Hynixs PCM Development
Embedded PCM players

Altis Semiconductor embedded CBRAM

Panasonics RRAM MCU
ST microelectronics : OxRAM development
TSMC RRAM R&D
Infineon MCU RRAM development
Freescale Rambus RRAM
Symetrix CeRAM
Evaderis

PCM Technology, Forecast & Players

MRAM/STT MRAM Conclusions

Crossbar Inc RRAM technology

Micron - Elpida - Sony RRAM R&D
Adestos CBRAM
Rambus & Unity Semiconductor
Samsungs RRAM Developments
HPs RRAM Development
SK Hynix Profile and Roadmap: Emerging NVM Strategy
Hynixs RRAM R&D
IMECs RRAM Roadmap
Sandisks RRAM Development
TSMC RRAM R&D
Embedded RRAM players

Qualcomm/TSMCs STT MRAM Developments

Infineon MCU STT MRAM development
ST Microelectronic / Spintecs Embedded STTMRAM Development
Renesas STTMRAM development

RRAM Technology & Forecast & Players

2013

p 200

MRAM and STT MRAM Technologies description

MRAM/STTMRAM time to market by Application
MRAM/STTMRAM players positioning
MRAM/STTMRAM start ups funding
MRAM/STTMRAM roadmap (stand alone devices)
MRAM/STTMRAM embedded roadmap
MRAM/STT MRAM Market Forecast in Units, Gbit, $/Gbit, $, Wafers
Singapore MRAM cluster
MRAM Market Players: Everspin (US)
Honeywell Aerospace MRAM technology (US)
Aeroflex MRAM technology (US)
Samsungs STT MRAM Developments
Microns STT MRAM Developments
SK Hynixs STT RAM Development
Toshibas STT MRAM latest development
Avalanche technology (US)
Spin Transfer Technologies (US)
Crocus technology (FR)
IMECs STT MRAM Roadmap
TDK headway technologies
Embedded MRAM/STTMRAM players

ST Microelectronics Embedded PCM Development

IBMs Embedded PCM Development

PCM Conclusions

General Conclusions

p 329

Key features of the report

Presents an overview of the semiconductor memory market

NAND, DRAM, embedded MCU and mobile CPU main markets, market forecast, and main trends
Current technological status and roadmap for the coming years
Market landscape

Provides understanding of emerging NVM applications:

For six application fields (industrial & transportation, enterprise storage, wearables, smart cards, mobile
phones, mass storage): total addressable market, market drivers and challenges, technology roadmap,
players, main trends.
Roadmap with time to market by application

Presents market forecasts on emerging NVM business :

2014-2020 market forecast in units, in Gbit, US$/Gbit, and number of wafers

Price evolution by application and technology
Forecast for six applications and two technologies (MRAM/STTMRAM, RRAM)

Describes emerging NVM technologies

Working principle, manufacturing methods, advantages/limitations, status of development, price, time to

market
Roadmap with technological nodes, and chip density evolution with main players
Latest product development status for each key market player

Describes and analyzes the competitive landscape

2013

Recent acquisitions and funding

Latest company news
Who the key players are by technologies and applications
5

Some definitions

An electronic data storage device, often

used as computer memory but also for
many other applications :
consumer
(camera..),
telecom,
industrial
applications

Volatile memories :

Non volatile memories :

Can retain the stored information even
when not powered.
Most dominant NVM technology are based
on electron retention principle : Flash
NAND and NOR

Emerging Non Volatile Technology

2013

Non Volatile
Memories
(NVM)

Standard NVM

Volatile
Memories

Emerging NVM

DRAM

Flash NAND/
NOR

FeRAM

SRAM

NVSRAM

PCM

EEPROM

MRAM

Requires power to maintain the stored

information. Examples : DRAM, SRAM

Solid State
Semiconductor
Memory

Solid State Semiconductor Memory

Emerging NVM are based on another

principle than electron retention and have
emerged since 10 years or are still under
development

RRAM
CBRAM

Emerging Non-Volatile Memory

Technologies summary

Mass storage NAND

Enterprise storage
DRAM
Embedded MCU

Market
forecast in $

Enterprise storage
SCM

Mass storage
NAND substitute

Technological
Choices
By
Application

Enterprise storage
DRAM substitute
Enterprise storage
SCM memory
Embedded MCU :
Smart card, wearable,
other markets

2015
2013

2016

RRAM

STTMRAM

RRAM
Or STTMRAM
Year of
commercial
sample
availability

RRAM
Or STTMRAM

2017

2018

2019

2020

Emerging NVM Time to market by Application

Mass
Storage
Mobile
devices

MRAM

MCU
Smart Card
& other
markets

PCM

RRAM

Wearable

Cache
Memory
Enterprise
storage
Year of
commercial
sample
availability

Industrial &
transport

2014
2013

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Emerging NVM Market Forecast by Application

From 2014 - 2020 (in $M)

CAGR 2014-2020
118%

85%
154%
35%

The emerging NVM market will grow at a CAGR of +118%, with Enterprise Storage as
the largest market by far in 2020 due to fast adoption of both STTMRAM and RRAM.
Wearable is the second market thanks to strong demand for low power memory.
2013

Stand Alone Memory Position in 2014 :

commercial products performances
Emerging Memory

Established Memory

STT MRAM

PCM

RRAM

SRAM

DRAM

Flash
NAND

Non-Volatile

YES

YES

YES

NO

NO

YES

Endurance
(Nb cycles)

High (1012)

Medium (108)

Low (106)

High (1015)

High (1015)

Low (105)

2014 latest
technological
node produced
(nm)

90 nm

45 nm

130 nm

10 nm

30 nm

15 nm

Cell size
(cell size in F2)

Medium
(6-12)

Medium (6-12)

Medium (6-12)

Very large
(150)

Small (6-10)

Very small
(4)

Write speed
(ns)

High (10 ns)

Medium (75 ns)

Very high
(10 ns)

High (5-10 ns)

High (10 ns)

Low
(10,000 ns)

Power
consumption

Medium/low

Medium

Low
(3- 5 pJ/bit)

Very low

Low

Very high

2014 price
($/Gb)

High
($100 - 50/Gb)

Medium
(few $/Gb)

High
($5,000 /Gb)

Low ($1/Gb)

Low ($1/Gb)

Very Low
($0.05/Gb)

Suppliers

Everspin

Micron, Samsung

Adesto

Qualcomm, Intel

Samsung, Micron,
SK Hynix

Samsung,
Micron, Toshiba,
SK Hynix

Emerging memory has distinctive technical features (endurance, speed, non-volatility), but price
and scalability are obstacles to competing with dominant DRAM, NAND or SRAM memory.

2013

10

Emerging NVM Applications

Emerging Non Volatile

Memory applications

Industry &
transportation

Industrial Automation

Enterprise
storage

Journal Memory

MCU Smart Card

& other markets

NFC Sim
Card

Smart Meter

Storage class
Memory

ID Card

Automotive

Volatile DRAM

General purpose

2013

11

Wearable

Mobiles
applications

Smart
phones
& tablets

Mass storage
Memory

NAND
Memory

RRAM players positioning

2014 memory revenues
of the company

Joint
development

$ 10 B

$1B
Embedded
players
$ 100 M

Foundries

$ 10 M

2013

2015

2017

2020

Entrance on the
RRAM market

First players (Panasonic, Adesto) entered on the market on industrial and wearable applications. Then
Micron will enter in 2015 by targeting SCM enterprise storage and SK Hynix will follow after. Main
memory leaders (Samsung, SK Hynix, Toshiba/ Sandisk) are expected to introduce RRAM chips for
mass storage applications for 2020.
2013

12

MRAM/STT MRAM Market Forecast in

Wafers

CAGR 2014-2020
130%

131%
28%

Enterprise Storage will represent the largest MRAM/STTMRAM production in 2020,

thanks to high-density chip introduction (8 to 16 Gb). This is however, still very
small compared to current DRAM production which is more than 10 B wafers in
2014 .

2013

13

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2013

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6.1 A
 ll the IPR attached to the Products are and remain the
property of the Seller and are protected under French and
international copyright law and conventions.
6.2 T
 he Buyer agreed not to disclose, copy, reproduce, redistribute,
resell or publish the Product, or any part of it to any other
party other than employees of its company. The Buyer shall
have the right to use the Products solely for its own internal
information purposes. In particular, the Buyer shall therefore
not use the Product for purposes such as:
Information storage and retrieval systems;
Recordings and re-transmittals over any network (including
any local area network);
Use in any timesharing, service bureau, bulletin board or
similar arrangement or public display;
Posting any Product to any other online service (including
bulletin boards or the Internet);
Licensing, leasing, selling, offering for sale or assigning the
Product.
6.3 T
 he Buyer shall be solely responsible towards the Seller of
all infringements of this obligation, whether this infringement
comes from its employees or any person to whom the Buyer
has sent the Products and shall personally take care of any
related proceedings, and the Buyer shall bear related financial
consequences in their entirety.
6.4 T
 he Buyer shall define within its company point of contact for
the needs of the contract. This person will be the recipient
of each new report in PDF format. This person shall also be
responsible for respect of the copyrights and will guaranty that
the Products are not disseminated out of the company.
6.5 I n the context of annual subscriptions, the person of contact
shall decide who within the Buyer, shall be entitled to access
on line the reports on I-micronews.com. In this respect, the
Seller will give the Buyer a maximum of 10 password, unless
the multiple sites organization of the Buyer requires more
passwords. The Seller reserves the right to check from time to
time the correct use of this password.
6.6 I n the case of a multisite, multi license, only the employee
of the buyer can access the report or the employee of the
companies in which the buyer have 100% shares. As a matter
of fact the investor of a company, the joint venture done with
a third party etc..cannot access the report and should pay a
full license price.
7. TERMINATION
7.1 I f the Buyer cancels the order in whole or in part or postpones
the date of mailing, the Buyer shall indemnify the Seller for
the entire costs that have been incurred as at the date of
notification by the Buyer of such delay or cancellation. This
may also apply for any other direct or indirect consequential
loss that may be borne by the Seller, following this decision.
7.2 I n the event of breach by one Party under these conditions
or the order, the non-breaching Party may send a notification
to the other by recorded delivery letter upon which, after a
period of thirty (30) days without solving the problem, the nonbreaching Party shall be entitled to terminate all the pending
orders, without being liable for any compensation.
8. MISCELLANEOUS
All the provisions of these Terms and Conditions are for the benefit
of the Seller itself, but also for its licensors, employees and agents.
Each of them is entitled to assert and enforce those provisions
against the Buyer.
Any notices under these Terms and Conditions shall be given in
writing. They shall be effective upon receipt by the other Party.
The Seller may, from time to time, update these Terms and
Conditions and the Buyer, is deemed to have accepted the latest
version of these terms and conditions, provided they have been
communicated to him in due time.
9. GOVERNING LAW AND JURISDICTION
9.1 A
 ny dispute arising out or linked to these Terms and Conditions
or to any contract (orders) entered into in application of
these Terms and Conditions shall be settled by the French
Commercial Courts of Lyon, which shall have exclusive
jurisdiction upon such issues.
9.2 F
 rench law shall govern the relation between the Buyer and the
Seller, in accordance with these Terms and Conditions.