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Shipping Intelligence Weekly

Issue No. 1,240

23-Sep-2016

ClarkSea Index

This Week's Analysis (see Back Page)

Some Like It HotAnd Some Like It ColdIn Today's


World There's A Cruise For Everyone!

$,000/day

15

Vessel Charter Rates This Week


1 Year VLCC TC Rate $26,500/day

1 Year Capesize TC Rate

$13,000/day

6-12m 2,750 TEU TC Rate $5,900/day

1 Year MR TC Rate

10

$8,750/day

Aug-16

Oct-15

Mar-16

May-15

Jul-14

Dec-14

Feb-14

Apr-13

Sep-13

Jun-12

Nov-12

Jan-12

Aug-11

Oct-10

Mar-11

Sullom Voe

Primorsk
Wilhelmshaven

CONTENTS

Rotterdam

Roberts Bank

Crude Tanker Spot Market


Product Tanker Spot Market

Hampton Roads
New Orleans
LOOP

Houston

p2
p3

Odessa
Novorossiysk
Trieste
Augusta
Agioi Theodoroi

Arzew

Sidi Kerir
Es Sider
Ain Sukhna

Ras Tanura

Bonaire

Lome

p4

Bonny Offshore
Dar es Salaam

& Futures

p5

Gas & Chemical Markets

p6

Liner & Offshore Markets

p7

Secondhand Prices

p8

Sale & Purchase Market

pi

Recent Ship Sales by Vessel Type

pii

Fleet Changes, Bunkers


& Capital Market Activity

piii

Timecharter Fixture Record

piv

The Timecharter Market

p9

The Shipbuilding Market

p10

The Demolition Market

p11

Economic Indicators

p12

World Fleets & Orderbooks


Analysis

Gangavaram

Mumbai

Tripcharter Market, Freight Indices

Ship Demand Trends

Jamnagar

Mundra

St Eustatius
Bolivar

Large Bulk Carrier Market

Lavera

New York

Philadelphia

p13
p14-15
p16

Rio de Janeiro
Tubarao

Richards Bay
Saldanha Bay

Selection of ports covered by the various market sectors in this report

Asset Prices This Week


VLCC N/B

$85.0m

Capesize N/B

$42.0m

2,750 TEU N/B

$28.0m

VLCC 5yo

$62.0m

Capesize 5yo

$24.0m

2,750 TEU 5yo

$11.0m

Roberts Bank
Longkou
Qingdao

Chiba
Oita

Beilun
Mundra
Jamnagar
Pipavav
Gangavaram
Mumbai

New York

Philadelphia

Ulsan

Houston

Ningbo

Hampton Roads
New Orleans
LOOP
St Eustatius
Bolivar

Clarksons Research is respected worldwide


as the most authoritative provider of
intelligence for the global shipping industry.
Clarksons Research is part of the Clarksons
group, the worlds largest provider of
shipbroking and integrated shipping
services. For more detail about the
Clarksons group visit www.clarksons.com.

Bonaire

Singapore

Jakarta
Dampier

Banjarmasin
Hay Point
Rio de Janeiro
Tubarao
Sydney

Selection of ports covered by the various market sectors in this report

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and efficient access to the information you want
industry whose range and depth is unsurpassed
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20

$8,293

ISSN: 1358-8028

Crude Tanker Spot Market


Crude Tanker Spot Earnings ($,000's/day)

Crude Tanker Highlights


VLCCs:

120
110
100

An active week in the Caribbean supported the lumpsum


rate on the route to Singapore rising to $3.25m.
Meanwhile, enquiry in WAF helped to absorb excess
tonnage in the region, although the rate on the route to
China remained steady w-o-w.

VLCC
Suezmax
Aframax

80

Suezmaxes:

70

In WAF, bullish sentiment and increased enquiry, with


vessels placed on subjects to load all four Nigerian crude
streams previously under force majeure, supported the
rate on both featured routes rising w-o-w. This, coupled
with a tight position list in the Med and Black Sea,
supported the rate on the cross-Med route rising to WS
100. Suezmax average earnings surged 78% w-o-w to
$32,051/day, the highest level since mid-April 2016.

60
50
40
30
20

Aframaxes:

10

This week, the rate on the Black Sea-Med route rose to


WS 105, whilst the rate on the Sidi Kerir-Trieste route
increased to WS 105. However, it is expected that rates in
the Black Sea may come under pressure going forwards.

Sep Nov Jan Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug
'14 '14 '15 '15 '15 '15 '15 '15 '16 '16 '16 '16

VLCC Single
Voyage.....
23
23
23
23
23
23
23
23
23
23
23

280,000t Gulf - Europe


280,000t Gulf - US Gulf~ *
265,000t Gulf - Japan *
265,000t Gulf - S.Korea *
270,000t Gulf - Sing
280,000t Gulf - Red Sea
260,000t WAF - China *
260,000t WAF - US Gulf
260,000t WAF - WC India^
275,000t Caribs-Singapore^
VLCC Ave. Earnings *

WS 2016

Average earnings $ per day

VLCC Earnings

Sep 16

Sep 23

2016

2014

2015

2016

Sep 16

Sep 23

25
24
34
34
34
37.5
42.5
50
2.50
3.00

22.5
21.5
32
30
31
37.5
42.5
55
2.60
3.25

36
34
56
54
58
62
60
67
3.62
4.77

21,719
29,977
27,462
26,167
28,008
38,648
27,028
39,442
32,389
52,937
30,015

57,649
68,365
65,865
61,646
67,366
76,407
63,508
76,160
72,151
105,085
64,846

37,958
43,769
39,762
37,064
41,709
47,297
40,715
53,367
50,167
72,498
40,328

18,398
22,322
14,249
14,508
14,212
19,195
20,856
32,918
26,964
36,513
17,984

13,599
16,652
11,188
9,581
10,197
18,153
19,995
36,862
27,758
39,965
14,354

This Week ....


WEAKER!!
WEAKER!!
WEAKER
WEAKER!!
WEAKER!!
SOFTER
SOFTER
FIRMER
STEADY
FIRMER
WEAKER

-26%
-25%
-21%
-34%
-28%
-5%
-4%
12%
3%
9%
-20%

^ Lump sum in million dollars. ~VLCC earnings on the Gulf-US Gulf route are basis ballast to Bonaire from start 2011 onwards.

Suezmax Single
Voyage.....
24
24
24
24
24
24

130,000t WAF - USAC


130,000t WAF - Med*
130,000t Med - Med *
140,000t Black Sea - Med*
130,000t Gulf - WC India*
Suezmax Ave. Earnings *

WS 2016

Voyage.....
100,000t Baltic - UKC *
80,000t
Black Sea - Med *
80,000t
Sidi Kerir - Trieste *
80,000t
Mellitah - Fos^
80,000t
Med - USAC
80,000t
UKC - UKC *
80,000t
UKC - USAC
80,000t
Gulf - East *
80,000t
Indo - Japan *
70,000t
Caribs - US Gulf *
Aframax Ave. Earnings *

Suezmax Earnings

Sep 16

Sep 23

2016

2014

2015

2016

Sep 16

Sep 23

62.5
65
70
67.5
60

97.5
100
100
97.5
60

69
72
77
80
77

24,785
25,583
30,796
31,000
21,612
27,791

40,265
42,840
50,292
53,515
40,205
46,713

22,954
24,473
28,766
31,651
21,900
26,697

17,799
18,932
22,271
20,008
10,836
18,012

35,459
37,022
40,036
40,949
10,199
32,051

Aframax Single
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25

Average earnings $ per day

WS 2016

Average earnings $ per day

This Week ....


FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
SOFTER
FIRMER

99%
96%
80%
105%
-6%
78%

Aframax Earnings

Sep 16

Sep 23

2016

2014

2015

2016

Sep 16

Sep 23

70
95
95
97.5
65
97.5
85
62.5
62.5
90

65
105
105
110
90
90
85
62.5
62.5
92.5

79
96
95
98
86
104
92
102
104
103

28,519
24,679
24,427
21,200
22,059
23,216
22,581
23,075
23,060
25,960
24,705

44,990
37,003
36,530
34,415
32,430
39,729
32,121
34,158
36,904
36,522
37,977

25,942
21,753
21,460
15,008
21,845
24,052
22,835
21,749
23,785
19,992
22,676

19,157
19,522
19,966
13,164
12,171
19,546
18,100
8,004
8,561
14,381
15,591

15,887
23,223
23,379
17,906
21,615
12,725
17,791
7,498
8,118
14,664
15,070

This Week ....


WEAKER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
WEAKER!!
STEADY
SOFTER
SOFTER
STEADY
SOFTER

-17%
19%
17%
36%
78%
-35%
-2%
-6%
-5%
2%
-3%

"Voyage Earnings" are estimated from spot freight rates (see footnote on page 4); */ # Indicates constituent routes of "Average Earnings".
^Earnings and rate based on Es Sider - Fos before 20th February 2015.

Clarksons Research

Page 2

23-Sep-16

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90

Product Tanker Spot Market


Product Tanker Spot Earnings ($,000's/day)

Product Tanker Highlights

MR Clean Tanker Earnings


Handy Clean Earnings
Dirty Panamax Earnings

45
40

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35
30
25
20

Dirty Products:
The European and Mediterranean load regions were
relatively active this week. However, rates declined on
both featured routes out of the region, partly due to some
ballasters entering the region. Meanwhile, there was
limited activity in the Caribbean market and the rate on
the route to the US Gulf remained steady w-o-w at WS
85. Dirty average earnings declined by 12% w-o-w to
$8,694/day.

15
10
5

Sep Nov Jan


'14 '14 '15

Apr
'15

Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr


'15 '15 '15 '15 '16 '16

Clean Product
Single Voyage...
26
27
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
29
29

75,000t Gulf - Japan


55,000t Gulf - Japan
37,000t UKC - USAC *
37/38kt UKC-USAC-USG-UKC
37,000t UKC- W. Africa *
38,000t USG - ECSA *
30,000t Singapore-E Aus *
40,000t Korea-Singapore^
35,000t WC India - Japan *
35,000t Gulf - E.Africa
40,000t Gulf - UKC * ^
30,000t Med - Med #
30,000t Black Sea - Med #
Clean 'MR' Ave. Earnings *
Clean 'Hdy' Ave. Earnings #

^ Lump Sum in $million.

WS 2016

31
31
31
33

55,000t Med - US Gulf *


55,000t UKC - US Gulf *
50,000t Caribs - US Gulf *
30,000t Black Sea - Med
Dirty Ave. Earnings *

Sep 23

2016

2014

2015

2016

Sep 16

Sep 23

65
82.5
80

97
106
105

70/70

80/77.5

105/82

120
107.5
172.5
0.34
92.5
105
0.925
100
110

97.5
130
172
0.34
97.5
115
1.025
95
100

136
134
176
0.35
109
142
1.06
135
144

18,302
15,232
10,330
17,913
15,358
14,111
13,474
23,098
10,737
16,733
11,093
13,079
11,867
12,517
12,473

30,497
24,847
19,276
26,876
25,178
24,416
21,477
29,291
19,604
22,191
18,714
24,462
19,726
21,444
22,094

19,025
14,925
11,281
16,010
14,789
15,886
14,969
19,779
11,568
13,462
10,534
8,535
10,141
13,171
9,338

10,512
9,238
3,714
8,620
10,636
10,344
13,400
17,485
7,414
7,391
6,475
1,114
4,227
8,664
2,670

7,117
7,716
5,185
10,650
6,854
13,563
13,008
17,580
7,947
8,346
8,253
75
2,673
9,135
1,374

Gulf-West
Gulf-East/Japan
Gulf-Red Sea
Others
Total Number of Fixtures

Vessels due to arrive in Gulf ~


VLCCs Spot in Gulf ~ No.
000 Dwt

This Week ....


WEAKER!!
WEAKER
FIRMER
FIRMER
WEAKER!!
FIRMER
STEADY
STEADY
FIRM....
FIRMER
FIRMER
WEAKER!!
WEAKER!!
FIRM....
WEAKER!!

-32%
-16%
40%
24%
-36%
31%
-3%
1%
7%
13%
27%
-93%
-37%
5%
-49%

Earnings for a triangular voyage of UKC-USAC at WS 80, followed by USG-UKC at WS 77.5. See Sources & Methods.

WS 2016

Average earnings $ per day

Dirty Earnings

Sep 16

Sep 23

2016

2014

2015

2016

Sep 16

Sep 23

87.5
87.5
85
100

82.5
82.5
85
100

103
104
111
139

17,418
19,586
19,568
17,630
18,858

25,938
26,852
26,854
20,300
26,548

15,701
16,607
15,826
11,582
16,045

10,452
11,031
8,196
3,869
9,893

9,053
9,306
7,724
3,766
8,694

Average No.
2015

This Week ....


WEAKER
WEAKER
SOFTER
STEADY
WEAKER

-13%
-16%
-6%
-3%
-12%

VLCC Spot Market

Monthly Fixture Record

2014
Fixtures:

Clean Earnings

75
87.5
70

VLCC Spot
Market Activity...

Average earnings $ per day

Sep 16

Dirty Product
Single Voyage...

Jun Aug
'16 '16

Number

Last

This Week ...

Apr '16

May '16

Jun '16

Jul '16

Aug '16

4 Wks

29
102
0
71
202

17
87
4
58
166

29
81
2
58
170

16
54
1
63
134

DOWN BY.....
DOWN BY.....
DOWN BY.....
UP BY....
DOWN BY.....

-45%
-33%
-50%
9%
-21%

100
8
2,450

119
8
2,429

66
7
2,093

129
6
1,816

UP BY....
DOWN BY.
DOWN BY.

95%
-14%
-13%

19
97
1
52
169

19
90
5
58
173

9
71
2
56
138

20
87
4
49
160

92
6
1,865

95
4
1,059

83
2
596

99
6
1,821

~ As at the beginning of the month for historical data; for the next 4 weeks (vessels due) or this week (vessels spot) for current week's data.

Clarksons Research

Page 3

23-Sep-16

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Clean Products:
The LR market in the MEG softened this week, with the
LR2 rate on the route to Japan falling to WS 65.
Meanwhile, the MR market in the Far East has been
relatively steady, with the rate on the Singapore-East
Coast Australia falling marginally w-o-w to WS 172. In the
MR market West of Suez, the rate on the UKC-USAC
route rose w-o-w to WS 80, partly due to the recent
closure of the Colonial Line 1 pipeline in the US.
However, the rate on the UKC-West Africa route fell to
WS 97.5. Clean MR average earnings increased by 5%
w-o-w to stand at $9,135/day.

50

Large Bulk Carrier Market


Bulkcarrier Spot Earnings ($,000's/Day)
35
Capesize Average Spot
Panamax Average Spot
30

Supramax Tripcharter

Panamax:
Activity picked up in the Pacific basin this week, with a
fresh flow of coal cargoes out of Australia helping to
support Panamax spot rates on routes out of the region,
despite long tonnage lists. The healthy flow of cargoes in
the North Pacific also helped support an 18% w-o-w rise
in the Transpacific RV tripcharter rate, to $6,500/day.

20

15

10

Sep Nov Jan Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun Aug
'14 '14 '15 '15 '15 '15 '15 '15 '16 '16 '16 '16

Capesize Single
Voyage
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34

176,000t ore Tubarao/Rotterdam*


173,000t ore Tubarao/El Dekheila
176,000t ore Tub/Qingdao*
166,500t coal Bolivar/Rotterdam*
175,000t ore Dampier/Qingdao*
176,000t ore Saldanha/Qingdao
176,000t ore Dampier/Japan 18m*
168,000t coal Hay Pt./China
168,500t coal R.Bay/Rotterdam
168,500t coal R.Bay/EC India
Capesize Average Earnings *

Panamax Single
Voyage
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36

Capesize:
The positive sentiment seen in the Capesize market late
last week continued throughout this week. A healthy flow
of iron ore cargoes out of Brazil and Western Australia
provided the impetus for a rise in Capesize rates across
both basins. Overall, average Capesize spot earnings
rose 25% w-o-w to a one year high of $16,390/day.

67,000t coal USGulf/ARA*


67,000t coal Bolivar/ARA
65,000t coal Murmansk/ARA*
55,000t grain USGulf/N. China*^
72,000t coal Rob. Bank/N. China*
72,000t coal Dalrymp. B./N. China*
70,000t coal Indonesia/S. China*^
72,000t coal Indonesia/WC India*
72,000t coal Indonesia/EC India
60,000t grain Nopac/N. China*^
66,500t coal R.Bay/Rotterdam
72,000t coal R.Bay/WC India *
Panamax Average Earnings *

Supramax Single
Voyage...
37 50,000t grain USGulf/Jap.(HSS)
37 50,000t coal R.Bay/WC India
37 Supramax Average Earnings

$ Per Ton
Sep 16 Sep 23
5.95
6.15
12.10
6.15
5.85
9.20
5.70
6.25
5.75
8.00

7.15
7.45
12.80
7.80
6.40
9.95
6.25
7.05
6.85
8.50

Average Earnings $ Per Day

8.30
5.90
5.15
29.75
10.50
7.90
3.30
6.00
5.25
16.00
7.00
7.75

8.30
6.10
5.25
30.25
10.51
9.00
3.50
6.25
5.50
16.60
6.00
8.25

2014

2015

2016

Sep 16

Sep 23

4.09
4.40
8.04
4.70
4.00
6.03
3.91
4.59
3.57
5.72

11,321
13,477
27,342
13,601
12,511
18,862
16,800
15,690
499
12,922
16,315

6,170
9,251
14,080
8,431
6,306
10,124
10,315
7,689
79
7,906
9,060

3,129
5,582
9,157
5,488
4,947
7,177
8,172
5,074
-941
5,578
6,179

9,083
10,650
17,691
9,464
12,731
14,424
16,692
10,496
3,328
12,324
13,132

13,431
15,096
18,939
15,273
14,959
16,067
19,346
13,368
5,796
13,593
16,390

Average Earnings $ Per Day


2014

2015

2016

Sep 16

Sep 23

8.34
6.13
5.07
26.06
8.42
7.09
3.40
5.31
4.58
13.86
6.28
6.99

7,192
6,456
4,361
14,600
11,764
10,569
6,035
11,119
12,558
9,384
2,596
9,129
7,801

5,892
6,531
7,079
9,701
8,746
7,456
3,102
9,113
9,649
6,597
1,730
7,160
7,205

4,838
3,009
4,763
7,961
7,513
6,889
3,425
6,526
6,630
5,894
2,156
5,267
5,897

3,774
1,387
3,567
9,665
10,315
7,773
2,645
7,577
7,877
7,372
2,109
5,653
6,482

3,535
1,614
3,704
9,780
10,078
9,746
3,057
7,982
8,370
7,766
324
6,150
6,866

29.50
8.40

30.25
8.80

Average Earnings $ Per Day

This Week ...


FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRM.......
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER

48%
42%
7%
61%
18%
11%
16%
27%
74%
10%
25%

Panamax Market

2016

$ Per Ton
Sep 16 Sep 23

Capesize Market

2016

$ Per Ton
Sep 16 Sep 23

Handy:
Sentiment was fairly flat in the Pacific basin this week,
with volumes of coal cargoes out of Indonesia largely
unchanged and limited fresh enquiry on routes out of
Nopac. It was also a fairly flat week in the Atlantic basin,
with limited fresh enquiry on routes out of ECSA.

This Week ...


SOFTER
FIRMER
FIRM.......
STEADY
STEADY
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRM.......
FIRM.......
FIRM.......
WEAKER!!
FIRMER
FIRM.......

-6%
16%
4%
1%
-2%
25%
16%
5%
6%
5%
-85%
9%
6%

Supramax Market
This Week ...

2016

2014

2015

2016

Sep 16

Sep 23

25.91
7.37

18,950
6,317
10,819

12,586
4,389
7,366

10,737
2,795
5,634

12,162
3,139
6,388

12,519 STEADY
3,285 FIRM.......
6,610 FIRM.......

3%
5%
3%

"Voyage Earnings" are calculated from spot freight rates for standard routes/ships. These assumptions are detailed in the "Sources & Methods" document on the Shipping Intelligence
Network (www.clarksons.net). Standard ships are indicated by the figures on the left e.g. modern Capesize = standard ship no. 34. A wider selection of spot freight rate and earnings
series, including for Kamsarmax vessels, is available on Shipping Intelligence Network. ^2014 averages comprised of July-December data.

Clarksons Research

Page 4

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25

Bulkcarrier Highlights

Tripcharter Market, Freight Indices & Futures


Capesize
Tripcharter*
Cont/Far East
Transpacific R/V
Far East/Cont
Transatlantic R/V
Average Capesize Earnings

2014

2015

2016

Aug 26

Sep 02

Sep 09

Sep 16

Sep 23

29,591
12,723
159
12,257
13,683

16,257
7,353
-236
8,113
7,872

11,969
5,622
-188
5,504
5,727

12,500
7,500
500
4,750
6,313

13,000
8,000
750
4,500
6,563

16,500
11,900
3,900
9,150
10,363

17,000
12,150
4,900
9,950
11,000

21,700
15,700
9,650
15,600
15,663

Panamax
Tripcharter...

2014

2015

2016

Aug 26

Sep 02

Sep 09

Sep 16

Sep 23

15,336
7,988
974
6,837
7,783

10,263
5,063
559
5,925
5,452

8,276
4,479
544
4,632
4,483

10,000
5,400
900
5,500
5,450

10,000
5,150
900
4,900
5,238

9,500
5,500
900
4,600
5,125

10,000
5,500
900
4,750
5,288

10,750
6,500
1,000
5,350
5,900

Supramax
Tripcharter...

^ Does not include Indonesia-China.

This Week ....


FIRM.......
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER

8%
18%
11%
13%
12%

Supramax Market

Average Rate $ Per Day

Cont/Far East
Transpacific R/V
Far East/Cont
Transatlantic R/V
Indonesia - China~
Average Supramax Earnings^

28%
29%
97%
57%
42%

Panamax Market

Average Rate $ Per Day

Cont/Far East
Transpacific R/V
Far East/Cont
Transatlantic R/V
Average Panamax Earnings

This Week ....


FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER
FIRMER

2014

2015

2016

Aug 26

Sep 02

Sep 09

Sep 16

Sep 23

14,918
8,894
6,322
6,351
5,966
9,121

9,986
5,910
4,615
5,803
4,399
6,578

8,744
4,931
2,933
4,342
3,962
5,238

10,250
7,000
4,400
5,000
6,500
6,663

10,000
7,000
4,400
5,000
6,500
6,600

10,000
6,750
4,000
5,000
6,250
6,438

10,500
6,500
4,250
4,500
6,000
6,438

10,500
6,500
4,250
4,500
6,000
6,438

This Week ....


STEADY
STEADY
STEADY
STEADY
STEADY
STEADY

0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%

~ Based on delivery South China, redelivery South China.

Handysize

Handysize Market

Average Rate $ Per Day

Tripcharter...
Cont/ECSA
Cont/USEC-USG
ECSA/Cont
USEC-USG/Cont
SEAsia/Australia R/V
Transpacific R/V
Average Handysize Earnings

2014

2015

2016

Aug 26

Sep 02

Sep 09

Sep 16

Sep 23

5,656
5,319
10,100
10,683
6,920
7,294
7,662

3,779
4,063
8,572
7,236
4,331
4,933
5,485

3,885
4,067
5,910
5,944
3,955
4,294
4,676

6,500
6,400
6,000
6,500
5,500
6,000
6,150

6,250
6,100
5,750
6,300
5,250
5,750
5,900

6,000
5,750
5,500
6,000
5,250
5,750
5,708

6,000
5,700
5,500
6,000
5,500
6,000
5,783

5,750
5,750
5,750
6,000
5,500
6,000
5,792

This Week ....


SOFTER
STEADY
FIRM.......
STEADY
STEADY
STEADY
STEADY

-4%
1%
5%
0%
0%
0%
0%

Note: Vessels based on Baltic standards where appropriate. *Capesize rates based on a 180,000 dwt vessel from start 2015, and a 172,000 dwt vessel previously. Trip rates
for a wider selection of standard vessels, including a 58,000 dwt Supramax and 34,000 dwt Handysize are available on Shipping Intelligence Network at www.clarksons.net.

Baltic Freight Indices


Date

BPI
656
649
645
646
650
657
673
700
700
645
660

BCI
1607
1444
1487
1680
1853
1964
2118
2389
2389
1444
1818

13-Sep
14-Sep
15-Sep
16-Sep
19-Sep
20-Sep
21-Sep
22-Sep
Max Value
Min Value
Avg Value

Baltic Dry Index Trends


BSI
671
665
661
660
661
660
662
669
671
660
664

BHSI
415
415
415
415
416
417
418
420
420
415
416

BDI
796
756
764
800
836
865
903
937
937
756
832

FFA Indications*
$/day

22-Sep

BCI 7 Bolivar-Rott.
BCI 4 R.Bay-Rott.
BPI 2A USG/F.East
BPI 3A T/P R/V
Cape TC Avg.
P'max TC Avg.
S'max TC Avg.

Index
7.83
6.79
10,429
5,914
15,301
5,611
6,982

2,500
2014
2,250
2,000

2016

1,750
1,500
1,250
1,000

Oct-16
7.00
6.10
12,075
6,250
11,475
6,950
7,475

Q4 16
6.80
5.90
11,625
6,250
9,750
6,900
7,350

Cal 17
5.95
4.75

750
500

7,575
6,050
6,150

250
Week No.

0
1 3 6 8 11 13 16 18 21 23 26 28 31 33 36 38 40 43 45 48 50

*FFA Indications basis closing mid-price

Clarksons Research

2015

Page 5

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Capesize Market

Average Rate $ Per Day

Gas & Chemical Markets


Gas Carrier
Markets.

Average

2016

2014

2015

Jul

Aug

91.21

90.14

24.40

20.63

Gas Market
23 Sep

LPG Charter Rates, $'000/month

Trends

4,500
19.00 SOFTER...

-8%

77,070 88,508

14,367 9,600

8,219 WEAKER.. -14% 3,500

3,500m Pressure (West)

51,810
45,839
31,452
27,737
33,361
28,205
17,011
7,179
7,533

19,398
20,121
20,581
19,628
19,924
21,042
16,110
5,425
5,589

15,781
15,946
18,740
17,096
17,261
19,398
15,617
5,425
5,589

LNG Spot Rate, $/day^


160,000m (TFDE)
145,000m (ST)

71,942 36,038
49,317 26,000

17,096
18,370
19,603
18,411
18,699
20,631
16,028
5,425
5,589

33,400 40,000
17,400 26,250

3,000
SOFTER... -8%
WEAKER.. -13% 2,500
SOFTER... -4%
2,000
SOFTER... -7%
SOFTER... -8% 1,500
SOFTER... -6%
1,000
STEADY... -3%
STEADY... 0%
500
STEADY... 0%
0

1 Yr t/c (84,000m3)
Sep-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Sep-16

3,500m Pressure (East)

63,096
62,040
36,418
28,335
31,559
26,609
16,872
5,798
6,108

84,000m3 TCE,
Gulf - Japan

4,000

35,000 WEAKER.. -13%


25,000 SOFTER... -5%

~Based on 82K cbm ship until end 2015. ^Single voyage loading in the next 3 months.

There was finally a slightly more


busy and optimistic tone in the spot
market this week, particularly for
cargoes loading in the US Gulf in
October. Pricing spreads showed some
improvement which gave traders the
confidence to freight rather than cancel
stems. This meant fewer third party
relets and more owner-influence on the
availability of tonnage, which looked a
bit more balanced than of late.

Markets.
Voyage Rates ($/mt)
10,000 Gulf/WC India
15,000 Gulf/Ulsan
15,000 Gulf/Med
15,000 Gulf/Rott.
5,000 Rott/Houston
10,000 Rott/Houston
5,000 Rott/Ulsan
5,000 Singapore/Rott
1,000~ Sing./Houston
10,000 Ulsan/Houston
5,000 Houston/Rott
5,000 Houston/Ulsan
12 mths TC, $/day
13,000 dwt IMO II
19,999 dwt S/S

Average

2016

Chem Market

2014

2015

Jul

Aug

23 Sep

32.79
50.73
60.62
66.48
44.01
39.28
100.14
93.04
164.17
59.10
47.98
65.15

31.98
45.60
58.88
60.88
44.70
40.23
84.93
91.40
161.90
56.19
58.25
63.08

23.00
39.00
48.00
52.00
35.50
33.30
81.30
72.60
137.00
36.00
58.20
67.80

22.00
38.00
47.00
51.00
33.88
30.88
78.50
71.00
137.00
37.00
54.00
55.25

21.50
37.50
46.50
50.50
29.00
26.00
77.00
73.00
139.00
37.00
52.00
53.00

Trends
STEADY... -2%
STEADY... -1%
STEADY... -1%
STEADY... -1%
WEAKER.. -14%
WEAKER.. -16%
STEADY... -2%
STEADY... 3%
STEADY... 1%
STEADY... 0%
SOFTER... -4%
SOFTER... -4%

A small handful of older vessels,


built before or in the early 1990s, are
starting to appear on the market looking
for timecharter business and/or are
available for sale. In the current market,
it is looking difficult for these ships to
find onward employment and the
possibility is that they could eventually
be recycling candidates. Meanwhile, as
anticipated, there have also been signs
of restructuring in ship owning groups.

Chemical Freight Rates, $/mt


100
Rott/Far E.
Houston/Far E.

90

80

70

60
50
basis 5,000mt
Easychems
40

9,167 10,146
14,042 15,200

11,250 10,000
15,750 15,350

9,750 STEADY...
15,000 STEADY...

-3%
-2%

Sep-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Sep-16

Chemicals

Voyage and short timecharter


fixtures were reported, with rates
gradually improving as the week
progressed, and more charterers
entered the market to capture remaining
tonnage. In the East, the rate on the Ras
Tanura-Chiba route also showed a
slightly healthier trend, but not by the
same magnitude as the gains seen in
the West. The spot rate on the route
remained steady w-o-w at $19/tonne.

Easychems except for: ~ Stainless Steel.

It has once again been a relatively


quiet week in the specialised products
market, with only a few w-o-w changes
seen in benchmark voyage rates.

On the eastbound transatlantic


trade lane, parcel rates declined marginally as owners were looking to fill
prompt space. Rates for both 2,000mt
and 3,000mt parcels on the route softened by $1/mt w-o-w to stand at $74/mt
and $71/mt respectively. Meanwhile,
Clarksons Research

rates for 5,000mt parcels on the same


route dropped by $2/mt w-o-w to stand
at $52/mt.

Elsewhere, there was a flurry of


activity in the transpacific market which
supported a marginal increase in voyage rates on the route from Houston to
Ulsan. Rates for both 5,000mt and
10,000mt parcels on this route firmed by
$1/mt w-o-w to stand at $53/mt and
$51/mt respectively. Meanwhile, parcel
Page 6

voyage rates on all other featured routes


remained steady w-o-w.

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LPG Voyage Rates, $/mt

46.2K mt Gulf/Jap
LPG TCE, $/day
84,000m modern~
LPG 12 mths T/C, $/day
84,000m modern~
59,000m modern
35,000m
22,500m modern
20,500m Semi-Ref
17,000m Ethylene
8,250m Ethylene

5,000

Liner & Offshore Markets


Liner Market Rates ($,000's/day)

Liner Market News

20
grdFCC,
FCC, 6-12
mthmth
TC TC
1,7001,700
teuteu
grd
6-12
glsFCC,
FCC, 6-12
mthmth
TC TC
2,7502,750
teuteu
gls
6-12
glsFCC,
FCC, 6-12
mthmth
TC TC
4,4004,400
teuteu
gls
6-12

15

Container / MPP /

Sep-16

Jun-16

Mar-16

Dec-15

Sep-15

Jun-15

Mar-15

Dec-14

Sep-14

Jun-14

Mar-14

Dec-13

Sep-13

Jun-13

Mar-13

Dec-12

Sep-12

Average

Short Sea Markets


Containerships ($/Day, 6-12mth TC)
Feeder, 1,000 teu grd.
Feeder, 1,700 teu grd.
Feeder, 2,000 teu g'less
Feeder, 2,750 teu g'less
Narrow Beam, 4,400 teu g'less
Intermediate, 6,800 teu g'less (3yr TC)
MPP Tonnage ($/Day)^
17,000 dwt, grd. 1 yr. t/c (liner)
12,000 dwt, grd. 1 yr. t/c (liner)
European Short Sea 3,000dwt ($/t)
ECUK/ARAG - N.Spain
French Bay - ECUK
Lower Baltic - ARAG
UK/ARAG - W.Med
3,500dwt g'less. 1 yr. t/c (/day)~

Liner Markets

2016

2012

2013

2014

2015

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Trends*

5,358
6,292
6,408
6,742
9,942
29,857

6,321
7,096
6,483
6,829
8,696
27,542

6,396
7,313
6,933
7,425
8,771
24,667

7,250
8,842
8,483
9,563
11,817
22,750

6,800
7,000
6,200
6,000
5,150
13,000

6,700
6,900
6,150
6,000
5,100
13,000

6,700
6,700
6,100
5,900
4,700
13,000

6,700
6,700
6,100
5,900
4,700
13,000

STEADY...
SOFTER...
STEADY...
STEADY...
SOFTER...
STEADY...

-1%
-4%
-2%
-1%
-7%
0%

8,988

9,780
8,870

9,763
8,508

8,463
7,379

7,500
6,500

7,500
6,500

7,500
6,500

7,500
6,500

SOFTER...
SOFTER...

-4%
-5%

22.73
16.73
20.42
33.22

22.85
17.96
20.98
33.22

25.02
18.64
21.64
35.56
2,594

22.24
15.51
17.62
29.77
2,704

16.13
12.75
16.38
22.19
2,800

15.60
12.65
15.55
22.05
2,750

15.00
12.63
15.19
20.94
2,650

14.25
12.00
14.50
20.00
2,650

SOFTER...
SOFTER...
SOFTER...
SOFTER...
STEADY...

-5%
-5%
-5%
-4%
0%

*3-month trend for Container/MPP; current month shows latest end month data. Change since previous month for Short Sea; see www.hcshipping.co.uk for market report.
~2014 avg basis May-Dec data. ^2012 data based on previous historical vessel specification (see Container Intelligence Monthly), 2013 average basis Aug-Dec data.

Latest

Trends*

13,898
16,000
3,342
6,000

FIRMER... 27%
STEADY... 0%
WEAKER.. -22%
STEADY... 0%

4,400 STEADY... -2%


10,000 WEAKER.. -15%
23,000 STEADY... 0%
60-100 SOFTER... -6%
100-180 WEAKER.. -17%

Clarksons Research

35
20

30
25

15

20

10

15
5

10

This Month
Aug-16

Obk

% Fleet

2,917
2,336
1,022
6,703
12,979

2,977
2,463
1,010
6,903
13,353

3,002
2,520
993
7,005
13,520

185
221
171
408
985

6%
9%
17%
6%
7%

Page 7

0
Aug-16

2015

May-16

2014

Feb-16

Anchor Handling Tug/Supply


PSV/Supply
Mobile Drilling Units
Other Types
All Offshore Vessels

45
40

W.Africa Term, PSV, >900m2, $000/day (RHS)

25

Nov-15

Trends

$000/day

Aug-15

Offshore Fleet

000/day

N.Sea Term, PSV, >900m2, 000/day (LHS)

*3-month trend. ** Annual drilling rig dayrates on end year basis.

No. End

30

May-15

2015

Feb-15

2014

North Sea OSV Market /Day


38,400 16,895
AHTS Spot, 20k+ BHP
35,000 18,000
AHTS Term, 20k+ BHP
12,229
4,871
PSV Spot, >900m2
17,250
7,592
PSV Term, >900m2
Regional OSV Market $/Day
5,908
SE Asia, AHTS Term, 5k BHP 8,500
30,917 16,196
W.Africa PSV Term, >900m2
36,208 29,153
Brazil, PSV Term, >900m2
Drilling Rig Market, $000/Day**
Jack-Up, SE Asia, High-Spec 125-150 80-100
350-410 200-275
Floater, GoM, Ultra Deep

Offshore Vessel Charter Rates

Offshore Market

Nov-14

Market

Average

Aug-14

Offshore

Offshore fleet includes all mobile units; for more detailed coverage of the full
range of offshore sectors see Offshore Intelligence Monthly. See also Offshore
Drilling Rig Monthly and Offshore Support Vessel Monthly.

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10

This week, the Maersk Group announced plans to


restructure its businesses into two entities, Transport &
Logistics and Energy. Within Transport & Logistics,
Maersk Line will be grouped alongside Damco, APM
terminals, Svitzer and Maersk Container Industry. Maersk
Group reportedly expects cost savings of $600m in the
coming years as a result of the reorganisation. Earlier in
2016, Maersk Line reported a loss of $151m in Q2.
As disruption related to the collapse of Hanjin Shipping
continued this week, there are reportedly nine ports where
Hanjin vessels can currently discharge cargo without fear
of arrest by creditors, with negotiations continuing with
others. While some ships have unloaded, others still await
completion of agreements with port operators. Korea
Development Bank has reportedly agreed to contribute
$45m in conditional credit to Hanjin Shipping in order to
facilitate cargo discharge from Hanjin vessels.

Secondhand Prices
Trend
SOFTER...
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
SOFTER...
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
SOFTER...
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
WEAKER..
STEADY...
WEAKER..

-5%
-11%
-17%
-14%
-10%
-13%
-16%
-10%
-13%
-17%
-4%
-10%
-15%
-6%
-12%
-12%
-8%
-14%
-8%
-2%
-12%

Long Term Price Trends


Index, Start 2000 = 100

550
500

Bulkers
Tankers

450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50

Aug '16

86.0
62.0
41.0
26.0
57.0
44.0
31.5
47.0
32.5
21.0
43.0
30.0
20.0
34.0
23.0
16.5
11.0
20.0
15.0
25.5
112
-22%

Aug '15

100.0
80.0
55.0
38.0
70.0
60.0
42.0
55.0
46.0
31.0
48.0
35.0
24.0
38.5
29.0
19.5
12.0
25.0
17.0
27.0
144
10%

Aug '14

105.0
77.0
52.0
29.0
72.0
57.0
37.0
57.0
42.0
27.0
45.0
33.5
23.5
37.0
25.0
16.0
10.0
23.0
15.0
26.8
131
1%

Aug '13

83.0
60.0
41.0
26.0
57.0
42.0
27.0
43.0
32.0
22.0
41.0
31.0
21.0
38.0
29.0
19.0
11.0
25.0
15.0
24.5
129
15%

Aug '12

Sep

Aug '11

2015

Aug '10

2014

Aug '09

Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
15 yrs
Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
15 yrs
5 yrs
10 yrs
19,999 dwt Chem S/S 5 yrs
5-y-o Tanker Index
12 month Change
310,000 dwt
310,000 dwt
300,000 dwt
300,000 dwt
160,000 dwt
160,000 dwt
150,000 dwt
105,000 dwt
105,000 dwt
105,000 dwt
73,000 dwt
73,000 dwt
70,000 dwt
51,000 dwt
47,000 dwt
45,000 dwt
45,000 dwt
37,000 dwt
37,000 dwt ^

2013

Short Term Tanker Trends


25%

% Year on Year

Tanker prices based on double hull vessels. ^Pre Jan-15 (dwt): 35k.

Bulkcarrier

End Year, $m

15%

Three Month

-20%
Aug '16

May '16

Feb '16

-25%

Short Term Bulk Trends


50%

% Year on Year
5-year-old Bulker Price Index
Percentage Change
Year-On-Year

40%

20%

2013

2014

2015

Sep

Trend

20.0
16.3
9.3
37.1
18.0
17.0

19.0
14.5
8.0
24.7
18.0
17.0

16.0
16.0
8.5
35.7
27.0
21.0

10.0
11.0
6.0
28.2
35.0
26.0

WEAKER.. -13%
SOFTER... -4%
SOFTER... -6%
SOFTER... -6%
STEADY...
0%
STEADY...
0%

*Ro-Ro prices in euros. ^Price basis a Narrow Beam ("Old Panamax") vessel.

Three Month

111

102

93

80

SOFTER...

-7%

Aug '16

ALL VESSELS

Trend

May '16

Sep

-40%
Feb '16

2015

-30%
Nov '15

2014

-20%

Aug '15

2013

-10%

May '15

Index

0%

Feb '15

End Year, Index

10%

Nov '14

Clarkson

5-year-old Tanker Price Index


Percentage Change
Year-On-Year

-15%

Aug '14

10 yrs
10 yrs

-10%

Feb '14

5 yrs
5 yrs
10 yrs

-5%

May '14

4,500 teu^
2,750 teu
1,700 teu
Container Index
Ro-Ro 4,000 lm*
Ro-Ro 2,500 lm*

0%

Nov '13

End Year, $m

Ro-Ro Prices

5%

30%

*Pre Jan-14: 58k dwt. Pre Jul-16 (dwt): "52k, ~45-48k.

Container &

10%

Nov '15

3%
0%
0%
0%
1%
2%
0%
0%
7%
5%
25%
10%
0%
0%
7%
0%
7%
4%

Aug '15

FIRM....
STEADY...
STEADY...
STEADY...
STEADY...
STEADY...
STEADY...
STEADY...
FIRM....
FIRM....
FIRMER...
FIRMER...
STEADY...
STEADY...
FIRM....
STEADY...
FIRM....
FIRM....

May '15

36.5
24.0
14.0
8.0
24.5
14.0
8.0
4.5
21.5
13.5
9.0
4.5
2.8
17.5
10.5
6.8
4.0
74
-21%

Feb '15

39.0
25.0
13.5
8.5
25.0
14.0
8.5
5.0
22.5
13.5
8.0
4.5
3.5
19.0
10.0
8.0
4.5
73
-37%

Nov '14

54.0
39.0
27.5
16.0
31.0
20.0
14.5
10.0
30.0
20.5
13.5
9.0
6.0
24.0
17.0
12.5
8.0
116
-14%

Aug '14

54.0
44.0
31.0
18.0
33.0
25.5
18.0
12.0
30.0
24.5
17.5
11.0
6.5
23.5
19.0
14.0
9.5
135
28%

Trend

Feb '14

Sep

May '14

2015

Nov '13

2014

Aug '13

Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
15 yrs
Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
15 yrs
Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
15 yrs
20 yrs
Resale
5 yrs
10 yrs
15 yrs

2013

Aug '13

Prices...
180,000 dwt
180,000 dwt
170,000 dwt
170,000 dwt
82,000 dwt
76,000 dwt
75,000 dwt
73,000 dwt
61,000 dwt *
56,000 dwt
55-56,000 dwt "
52,000 dwt ~
42-45,000 dwt
37,000 dwt
32,000 dwt
32,000 dwt
28,000 dwt
5-y-o Bulker Index
12 month Change

20%

Three Month

Resale prices basis prompt delivery. 3-month trend: avg last 3 months vs avg previous 3 months. See SIN for full details of standard ship size history.

Clarksons Research

Page 8

23-Sep-16

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Prices

Asset Play in Focus

Three Month

Aug '08

End Year, $m

Aug '07

Oil Tanker

Sale & Purchase Market


Sales Volumes & Values
4,000

Value

3,500

160
140

3mma

3,000

120

2,500

100

2,000

80

1,500

60

1,000

40

500

20

Volume

0
Sep-11
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16

Tanker
Sales* ....
Type:

VLCC
Suezmax
Aframax
Handy/Pmax
Total No. Sales
Total DWT (,000)
Total Value ($ m)

Type:

Capesize
Panamax
Handymax
Handysize
Total No. Sales
Total DWT (,000)
Total Value ($ m)

Total No. Sales


Total dwt (,000s)
Total Value ($ m)

2015

2016

2016

38
38
38
186
300
28,383
8,838

15
11
22
97
145
11,699
2,805

2
4
3
9
1,152
135

Y-t-d

Aug

2015

2016

2016

73
120
130
133
456
35,123
6,203

64
112
131
109
416
30,225
3,365

4
12
22
16
54
3,281
407

Y-t-d

Aug

2015

2016

2016

575
13,896
8,320

300
5,036
2,244

24
484
164

Baltic Sale & Purchase Assessments (weekly)

Y-t-d

Aug

(Based on max. 5-year old vessels, as published by the Baltic Exchange)


As of the 19th September 2016.

2015

2016

2016

236
68
56
132
41
41
1,331
77,402
23,362
302

128
17
25
116
25
20
861
46,959
8,415
179

Total
Sales .....
Buyers:

Greece
Norway
Germany
China P.R.
UK
South Korea
Total No. Sales
Total Dwt (,000)
Total Value ($m.)
Average $/Dwt

With the freight markets gaining ground, particularly in the Capesize sector in the
first part of the week, markets are gaining some traction again and the positive
sentiment that we have been seeing in the dry S&P markets is starting to settle. In
the Capesize market, further to last weeks report, German insolvency
administrators have now committed the three sisters E.R. BAYERN, E.R.
BOSTON (both 178,978 dwt, built 2010, Hyundai HI (Gunsan)) and E.R.
BAVARIA (178,838 dwt, built 2010, Hyundai Samho HI) for a price in the region of
$20m each to Greek interests, with the BAVARIA sold with an index linked charter
attached until May-July 2017. We understand that the vessels were sold to two
different buyers, with one taking on two of the three units. It seems that values have
stabilised for the time being as the levels achieved fall in line with the recent sales in
the sector. However, with a number of other candidates currently being inspected
and negotiated we expect further activity in the near future which should give us a
clear picture on whether the current rally of the Capesize indices will translate into
an uptick in secondhand values.

Aug

Other
Sales ....

Dry Cargo:

Y-t-d

Bulker
Sales* ....

With bums back on seats and the summer becoming a distant memory there has
been a real sense of tanker buyers knuckling down and focussing on who is a
genuine seller of tankers and who is not. For sellers, the autumn dawn is not proving
particularly appetising and consequently some ships have been withdrawn. Owners
have preferred to hold onto their assets and take their chances with the winter
markets, which in certain sectors such as Suezmaxes have shown some promising
early form. For those that remain sellers the realisation that the market is not there
to pay the sort of levels that they had hoped for is proving a hard pill to swallow.
However, there are clearly some who are taking the view that it is prudent to sell
now whilst those that continue to sit on the fence may live to regret their
indecisiveness. Consequently, we anticipate reporting more sales over the coming
days although our lack of reported business this week does not necessarily mean
the tanker market is quiet!

16
3
3
87
4,917
705
143

In the Kamsarmax sector, the Norwegian controlled BWTS fitted BAVANG (82,028
dwt, built 2016, Jiangsu New YZJ) has been committed for a price in excess of
$19m to Greek buyers, reaffirming the substantial discount carried by Chinese built
vessels against their Japanese or Korean counterparts, but equally reflecting the
premium for ships from better Chinese yards compared to some of their less well
regarded facilities. This is also particularly apparent with this weeks auction sale of
the Panamax GARV PREM (74,444 dwt, built 2006, Hudong Zhonghua) which has
been sold for a price of $4m to undisclosed buyers. By comparison, the three years
older Japanese built OCEAN LIFE (75,318 dwt, built 2003, Universal SB
(Maizuru)) was sold last month for a price of $5.3m.
In the Supramax segment, clients of Kassian Maritime have sold the VIRGINIA
(50,175 dwt, built 2001, Mitsui SB (Chiba), C4x30T) to Chinese interests for a price
of $4.6m. The price paid is stable and in line with last done NEMTAS-1 (50,077
dwt, built 2001, Mitsui SB (Chiba), C4x30T) which was sold at $4.5m earlier this
month. Offers will be invited on Monday by the Tokyo court appointed trustee for the
Tess 58 OCEAN PARADISE (58,701 dwt, built 2007, Tsuneishi Cebu) which has
attracted substantial interest in Hong Kong recently, with in excess of 15 inspections
taking place. She is another of the vessels from the ex United Ocean fleet which is
in the process of being sold, with four Kamsarmaxes being disposed of to third
parties to date.
Lastly, the overaged Handysize URAWEE NAREE (28,415 dwt, built 1997, Imabari
SB Marugame, C4x30T) has been sold to undisclosed buyers for a price of $2.35m

VLCC (305,000 DWT):


$61.025m
Aframax (105,000 DWT):
$32.310m
MR Product tanker (51,000 DWT):
$22.702m
Capesize (180,000 DWT):
$23.160m
Panamax (74,000 DWT):
$13.684m
Super Handy (56,000 DWT):
$12.697m
Note: Clarksons Platou brokers did not contribute to the above Baltic Sale &
Purchase Assessment rates.

ALL DATA AND INFORMATION IN THIS REPORT ARE AS REPORTED


UP TO NOON ON THE DATE OF PUBLICATION

* Includes vessels over 10,000 dwt only. Sales of bulk vessels under 10,000 dwt and of non-bulk vessels are included in "Other Sales".

Clarksons Research

23-Sep-16

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Tankers:
No.

$m.

Recent Ship Sales by Vessel Type


Vessel Type

Dwt/Unit

Blt.

Yard

Date

Price $m.

Buyers

13,098

2008

Samho Tongyoung

23-Sep

12

South Korean interests

Tankchem IMO II/III

Zircone

8,100

1993

Fincantieri Muggiano

22-Sep

Undisclosed interests

TankChem IMO II

Ardmore Centurion

28,987

2005

STX SB (Jinhae)

13-Sep

15.7

Undisclosed interests

TankChem IMO II/III

Diamond Orchid

19,702

2008

Fukuoka SB

13-Sep

region

20.5

Clients of Tufton Oceanic

TankChem IMO II/III

Princimar Americas

19,707

2004

Usuki Zosensho

09-Sep

18.5

Clients of Tufton Oceanic

TankChem IMO III

Pacific Marchioness*

46,697

2010

Hyundai Mipo

01-Sep

5 yrs BB

43

Clients of PAG

TankChem IMO III

Pacific Duchess*

46,697

2009

Hyundai Mipo

01-Sep

5 yrs BB

Ro-Ro

318 cars

FESCO Ulan-Ude

3,199

1985

Usuki Zosensho

06-Sep

undisclosed

# Clients of PAG
Clients of AMTC

Pass./Car

408 pass.

Avrora Okushiri

510

1999

Naikai Zosen Setoda 21-Sep

undisclosed

Clients of Cokaliong Shipping

Pass./Car

876 pass.

Queen Star

500

2000

Rodriquez

16-Sep

undisclosed

Clients of Seajets Catamaran

Pass./Car

1,500 pass

Povl Anker

1,940

1978

Aalborg Vaerft

06-Sep

undisclosed

Clients of MOLS Linien

Pass

418 pass.

New Imperial Star

1,746

1980

Stocznia Szczecinska 01-Sep

1.46

Undisclosed interests

Offshore

Survey

Hawk Explorer

1,749

1984

Tangen Verft

01-Sep

1.1

Clients of Seabird Exploration

Gas C'rier

126,530 cu.m

Gaea

72,560

1980

Gen. Dynamics

20-Sep

13.3

Undisclosed interests

Dry MPP

210 teu.

Ming Heng 79

10,348

2005

Zhejiang Aotai

05-Sep

at auction

RMB8.04

Chinese interests

Dry MPP

100 teu.

Ming Heng 59

6,129

2006

Nanjing Yonghua

05-Sep

at auction

RMB4.9

Chinese interests

Dry Genl

Gearless

Bao An Cheng 26

5,005

2005

Yueqing Qiligang

19-Sep

at auction

RMB5.39

Chinese interests

Dry Genl

Gearless

Ming Heng 1

8,900

2011

Fujian Southeast SB

05-Sep

at auction

RMB5.45

Container

1,577 teu.

Cala Pinguino

21,150

2007

Imabari SB (Imabari)

21-Sep

undisclosed
undisclosed

Container

1,740 teu.

Anthea

23,579

2000

Jiangyang S.Y.

06-Sep

Container

868 teu.

WEC Velazquez

11,433

2007

J. J. Sietas

06-Sep

Container

1,708 teu.

IS Japan

21,292

2007

Imabari SB (Imabari)

06-Sep

Car C'rier

4,287 cars.

NOCC Puebla*

12,780

1999

Uljanik Brod.

16-Sep

Car C'rier

4,287 cars.

NOCC Pamplona*

12,778

1999

Uljanik Brod.

16-Sep

Bulk

Gearless

Bavang

82,028

2016

Jiangsu New YZJ

Bulk

3x30t cr.

London Spirit

20,427

1999

at auction

Chinese interests
Clients of Tanto Intim Line
Far East interests

German interests

10.5

Clients of Wan Hai Lines

region

25

Clients of COSCOL

23-Sep

excess

19

Wuhu Shipyard

23-Sep

undisclosed

21-Sep

# Clients of COSCOL
Greek interests
Bangladeshi interests

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

Garv Prem

74,444

2006

Hudong Zhonghua

at auction

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

E.R. Bayern*

178,978

2010

Hyundai HI (Gunsan) 20-Sep

region

20

Greek interests

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

E.R. Boston*

178,978

2010

Hyundai HI (Gunsan) 20-Sep

region

20

Greek interests

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Virginia

50,175

2001

Mitsui SB (Chiba)

4.6

Chinese interests

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Urawee Naree

28,415

1997

Imabari SB Marugame 20-Sep

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

E.R. Bavaria

178,838

2010

Hyundai Samho HI

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

C. Blossom

179,185

2009

Hyundai HI (Ulsan)

16-Sep

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

Star Aline

76,429

2004

Tsuneishi Zosen

16-Sep

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

Primrose

74,716

2001

Hudong Zhonghua

16-Sep

Bulk

4x30.5t cr.

Fleet Phoenix

55,903

2006

Mitsui SB (Chiba)

15-Sep

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Karine Bulker

32,271

2008

Kanda Zosensho

15-Sep

7.7

Undisclosed interests

Bulk

4x35t cr.

Steven C*

34,340

2009

SPP Tongyoung SY

13-Sep

19.5

Clients of Tufton Oceanic

Bulk

4x35t cr.

Lisa J*

34,426

2010

SPP Tongyoung SY

13-Sep

Bulk

Gearless

Tana Sea*

93,246

2011

Zhejiang Yangfan

13-Sep

Bulk

Gearless

Tonda Sea*

93,246

2011

Zhejiang Yangfan

13-Sep

# Clients of Oldendorff Carriers

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

Tango Sea*

93,028

2011

Taizhou Catic SB

13-Sep

# Clients of Oldendorff Carriers

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

Tonic Sea*

93,005

2012

Taizhou Catic SB

13-Sep

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

Hanjin Matsuyama

179,166

2011

Sungdong SB

13-Sep

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

Emma Schulte

115,156

2012

Jiangnan Changxing

13-Sep

12.6

Clients of Oldendorff

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Western Singapore

52,433

2003

Tsuneishi Cebu

08-Sep

4.7

Clients of PT Salam Pacific

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Hanjin Liverpool

36,851

2012

Hyundai Vinashin

08-Sep

Greek interests

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Hanjin Isabel

36,798

2012

Hyundai Vinashin

08-Sep

8.3

Greek interests

Bulk

Gearless

Darya Shree

74,823

2004

Hudong Zhonghua

07-Sep

excess

Undisclosed interests

Bulk

3x14t cr.

Crimson Jupiter

48,205

1996

Tsuneishi Zosen

07-Sep

3.33

Clients of United Nav Devl

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Jin Ming*

61,414

2010

Oshima Shipbuilding

06-Sep

region

28.5

Clients of Tufton Oceanic

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Jin Han*

61,414

2011

Oshima Shipbuilding

06-Sep

Bulk

4x25t cr.

You Liang

42,067

1991

Oshima Shipbuilding

03-Sep

at auction

RMB26.5

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Conti Flint*

57,081

2012

COSCO Guangdong

02-Sep

region

Clients of Celsius

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Conti Fuchsit*

57,081

2012

COSCO Guangdong

02-Sep

region

Clients of Celsius

Bulk

4x30t cr.

NOSCO Victory

45,585

1996

Hashihama Zosen

02-Sep

2.1

Undisclosed interests

Bulk

4x30t cr.

Nemtas-1

50,077

2001

Mitsui SB (Chiba)

02-Sep

4.5

Chinese interests

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

N/B RESALE HULL 1181

76,000

2016

Jiangsu Rongsheng

02-Sep

11

Tianjin interests

Bulk

Str. Hvy.

Toro Orient

76,636

2008

Imabari SB Marugame 02-Sep

8.5

Tug

455 gt

Kamabanga Primeiro*

2008

Uzmar

Tug

455 gt

Kamabanga Segundo*

2008

Uzmar

19-Sep

Tug

230 gt

Bhagwan Pride*

2014

Damen Changde SY

07-Sep

Tug

294 gt

Bhagwan Power*

2013

Damen Gorinchem

07-Sep

160

20-Sep
20-Sep

19-Sep

region

2.35

Undisclosed interests

20

Greek interests

18.9

Undisclosed interests
Undisclosed interests

undisclosed
region

Undisclosed interests

3.2

Undisclosed interests

8.8

Bangladeshi interests

# Clients of Tufton Oceanic


region

40

Clients of Oldendorff Carriers

# Clients of Oldendorff Carriers


region

22.75

Clients of Winning Shipping

# Clients of Tufton Oceanic

undisclosed

Clients of COSCO Bulk Carrier

Undisclosed interests
Clients of Boluda Corp.
# Clients of Boluda Corp.

undisclosed

Clients of Svitzer Australasia


# Clients of Svitzer Australasia

* En bloc Sales. #En Bloc price shown under first ship of bloc.

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D/Hull

Vessel name
Lady Cordelia

Tanker

Fleet Changes, Bunkers & Capital Market Activity


Cargo Fleet

Tanker Fleet

Changes

2015
No.
5,885
251
49
3
11
194
6,079
3.3%

2016 to date

000 Dwt
507,713
19,147
2,347
940
1,393
16,347
524,061
3.2%

No.
6,079
247
30
2
0
219
6,298
3.6%

2015

Containership Fleet

2016 to date

000 Dwt
No.
000 Dwt
No.
000 Dwt
524,061 10,479 758,376 10,703 776,438
23,817
659
49,256
439
36,651
1,536
429
30,549
340
24,958
430
0
0
0
0
0
6
646
5
640
22,711
224
18,062
94
11,053
546,771 10,703 776,438 10,797 787,491
4.3%
2.1%
2.4%
0.9%
1.4%

2015
No.
5,111
211
92
0
4
115
5,226
2.3%

2016 to date

000 Teu
No.
18,259 5,226
1,678
95
193
126
0.0
0
4
3
1,481
-34
19,740 5,192
8.1%
-0.7%

000 Teu
19,740
681
422
0
3
256
19,996
1.3%

Tankers and bulkcarriers over 10,000 dwt only are included in the analysis in this table. Great Lakes Only vessels are excluded.

Deliveries to the World Fleet


Type

Date

Vessel Name

Flag

Year

Dwt

Owner

Shipyard & Yard No.

Built
Bulk
Open Hatch
Crew/Fast Supply

AHTS
Crew/Fast Supply

Accom. Unit
Chem & Oil
Chem & Oil
Bulk
Tanker
Chem & Oil
AHTS
AHTS
GCargo
Bulk
Bulk
Chem & Oil
Bulk

Bulk
Container
Products
L.P.G.
Tanker
Bulk

Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16
Sep'16

Berge Shari
Zhong Yang Men
Rashied Behbudov
QMS Poseidon
Famar Intervention
Reforma Pemex
Mahatsangy
Fairchem Victory
Navios Coral
Cherokee
Hafnia Lise
Hai Yang Shi You 678
Hai Yang Shi You 677
Keum Yang 2
Great Comfort
BW Durum
Stena Immortal
Pacific Seagull
MG Mercury
MSC Mirja
Pacific A. Dorodchi
BTC Balyena
Eco Queen
African Heron

Regional
Bunker Prices
Rotterdam
Hamburg
Genoa
Gibraltar
Philadelphia
Houston
Cristobal
Los Angeles
Japan
Singapore
Fujairah

Activity

2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016

Price
34,534
55,444
189
2,300
350
4,835
6,913
21,000
84,904
158,480
49,999
2,300
2,300
3,567
63,498
61,491
49,750
63,463
84,790
200,148
109,999
3,717
299,985
34,387

Berge Bulk Ltd.


NASCO
Caspian Marine Svcs
Quality Marine (QMS)
Damen Marine Service
Pemex
SOCATRA
Meiho Kaiun
Higaki Sangyo Kaisha
Nereus Shipping
Hafnia Tankers
COSL
COSL
Keum Yang Shipping C
Sinotrans Shpg. Ltd.
BW Dry Cargo
Stena Bulk
Keiyo Kisen KK
Chiba Shipping Co.
Minsheng Financial
Sinokor Merchant
SMC Shipping
Awilco AS
MUR Shipping BV

Average MGO Price, $/tonne


2014

2015

2016

818
875
903
890
977
935
988
926
858
961

481
512
549
534
558
546
581
566
499
693

363
382
425
407
398
407
427
452
378
478

Capital Market
Shipping IPOs
Shipping Follow Ons
Shipping Bonds
Total Shipping
Total Offshore^
Total Shipyard^

PA.
PA.
JM.
SV.
SV.
MA.
LU.
PA.
PA.
GR.
MA.
PRC
PRC
KO.
H.K.
I.M.
BR.
PA.
PA.
LI.
M.I.
PAL
NIS
BS.

Hakodate Dock
Taizhou Kouan SB
Austal Phils Ltd

0
0
$m
Guangzhou Hangtong HT132209 0
Damen Gorinchem
547252
0
Astillero Barreras
C1700
0
Dearsan Shipyd.
2060
0
Asakawa Shipbuilding
616
0
Imabari SB Marugame 1650
0
Hyundai Samho HI S796
0
CSSC Offshore Marine 13130064 0
Wuchang SB Group
0
Wuchang SB Group
0
Jiangsu Hongqiang HI HQ166
0
Chengxi Shipyard
CX0660
Dalian COSCO KHI DE031
0
CSSC Offshore Marine 12130008 $m
Iwagi Zosen
388
0
Imabari SB Marugame 1697
0
Daewoo (DSME)
4299
0
Daehan Shipbuilding 5007
0
Kegoya Dock
1171
0
Daewoo (DSME)
5417
0
Namura Shipbuilding 425
0

Average 380 cst Price, $/tonne

Sep 16 Sep 23
394
416
461
443
423
449
460
491
406
503

Contracted

404
431
469
451
433
455
475
498
415
510

2014

2015

2016

533
543
561
557
577
547
561
570
607
561
563

265
273
289
286
303
272
286
289
340
293
293

192
203
210
207
215
187
202
208
240
211
211

Number

Sep 16 Sep 23
235
260
256
248
260
230
246
255
286
250
253

248
261
261
254
264
248
258
265
288
263
269

874
TK1101
392

34.00

38.00

Prices This
Week (380 cst)
UP...
UP...
UP...
UP...
UP...
UP...
UP...
UP...
UP...
UP...
UP...

5.5%
0.4%
2.0%
2.4%
1.5%
7.6%
4.9%
3.9%
0.9%
5.2%
6.3%

Trends

$ Million

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

This Year

5
19
68
92
77
32

15
60
59
134
99
14

15
58
53
126
76
27

10
40
33
83
40
14

1
18
18
37
13
7

614
3,751
13,321
17,687
20,092
11,231

2,969
6,168
11,118
20,255
19,740
2,140

1,637
8,466
9,483
19,587
15,279
6,751

828
4,849
7,398
13,074
19,764
1,820

7
1,598
4,790
6,395
2,858
4,147

DOWN...
DOWN...
DOWN...
DOWN...
DOWN...
UP...

-99%
-56%
-14%
-35%
-81%
204%

Data includes companies whose core activity is owning merchant vessels, offshore units, or shipbuilding. ^Totals for Offshore and Shipyard activity include IPOs, follow ons,
and bonds. Trends this year based on annualised figures for this year against last year. For further information see Shipping Intelligence Network and Capital Market Monthly.

Clarksons Research

iii

23-Sep-16

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(No. Vessels , 000dwt/teu)


Fleet 1st January
Deliveries
Changes:
Sold For Scrap
Misc. Additions
Misc.Removals/Losses
Net Change During Year
Fleet End Yr/ Yr to Date
% Change Since Start Year

Bulk Carrier Fleet

Timecharter Fixture Record


Latest Tanker Timecharter Fixtures...
Reported

Charterer

Vessel Name

D/

Year

Dwt

Ice LR

Ext.

Period

equiv.

Rate
$ per Day

Delivery
Date

Place

20-Sep

CNR

Trex ex Navig8 Spirit

2008

48,754

12 Mths

Low $13,000s

Oct 16

Gibraltar

20-Sep

Petrobras

Olympic Leopard

2010

319,869

1 Yr

$30,250

Oct 16

East

20-Sep

Petrobras

Olympic Lion

2010

319,869

1 Yr

$30,250

Oct 16

East

19-Sep

Solal

Leyla K

2010

115,570

6 Mths

$16,250

Sep 16

West Coast India

12-Sep

PBF

Emerald Spirit

2009

109,060

12-18 Mths

$17,500

Sep 16

US Gulf

08-Sep

Phillips 66

Houston Star

2007

116,093

2 Yrs

RNR

Sep 16

08-Sep

Penfield

Galway Spirit

2007

105,559

18 Mths

$17,000

Sep 16

01-Sep

Handytankers

Chem Helen Or Chem Nicholas

2007

38,396

1 Yr

$12,000 + pshare Sep 16

C. Mediterranean

01-Sep

Navig8

Bareilly

2005

106,053

1 Yr

$15,500

Aug 16

D/C

24-Aug

Norden

Sky

2007

37,879

1A

3-4 Mths

RNR

Sep 16

Mediterranean

24-Aug

Norden

Style

2008

37,900

1A

3-4 Mths

RNR

Sep 16

E. Mediterranean

18-Aug

Scorpio

Jag Pooja Ex Challenge Prospect

2005

48,710

1 Yr

$14,500

Aug 16

WCI

17-Aug

Parakou

Korea Line TBN

2017

50,000

7 Yrs

$14,950

Apr 17

Ex Yard

17-Aug

Parakou

Korea Line TBN

2017

50,000

7 Yrs

$14,950

Jun 17

Ex Yard

12-Aug

Laurin

Nord Valiant

2016

49,973

2 Yrs

$15,100

Aug 16

Cont.

26-Jul

Tullow Oil

Kokkari

2008

298,500

7-9 Mths

$28,000

Aug 16

West Africa

25-Jul

Total

Hellas Aphrodite

2016

49,999

22 Mths

$14,500

Sep 16

Ex Yard

25-Jul

Total

Hellas TBN

2017

50,000

2 Yrs

$14,000 + pshare May 17

Ex Yard

25-Jul

Total

Hellas TBN

2017

50,000

2 Yrs

$14,000 + pshare Jul 17

Ex Hyundai Mipo

22-Jul

Champion Tankers

Lone Star ex Navig8 Stealth

2002

47,465

12 Mths

$13,500

Aug 16

Arg

18-Jul

MTMM

Alpine Stealth

2002

47,465

1 Yr

$13,500

Aug 16

USAC

08-Jul

ST Shipping

Alia

2003

35,669

06-Jul

Frontline

Miss Benedetta

2012

50,400

04-Jul

Shell

Lyric Magnolia

2016

115,000

01-Jul

Reliance

Hafnia Adamello

2004

39,997

28-Jun

Scorpio

Zefyros

2011

50,122

27-Jun

Stena

Densa Whale

2012

27-Jun

Stena

Densa Orca

2012

Ext.

UKC

3 Mths

$12,000

Jul 16

C. Med

Ext.

6 Mths

$14,750

Jul 16

D/C

60-180 Days

$18,000

Jul 16

Ex Yard

Ext.

1 Yr

$15,650

Jul 16

D/C

1 Yr

$14,500

Jul 16

158,322

Ext.

1 Yr

$23,000 + pshare Jul 16

D/C

158,322

Ext.

1 Yr

$23,000 + pshare Jul 16

D/C

West

Latest Dry Bulk Timecharter Fixtures...


Reported

Charterer

Vessel Name

Year

Dwt

Cbm

Gear

Period

Built

Rate
$ per Day

4C x 36T

2-4 Months

$6,000

Delivery
Date

Place

22-Sep

Oldendorff

Arkas

2012

58,471

75,530

Prompt

Fujairah

22-Sep

Oldendorff

Corinthian Phoenix

2009

179,223

200,170

12 Months

22-Sep

Pan Ocean

Cepheus

2012

56,539

71,500

4C x 36T

5-7 Months

$9,250

15Oct-30Oct

China

$6,750

30Sep

21-Sep

WBC

All Star Atlas

2014

63,500

77,492

4C x 36T

4-6 Months

$7,350

Vietnam

30Sep

Koh Sichang

20-Sep

Pacific Bulk

Pacific Success

16-Sep

Jiangsu Steamship Anangel Argonaut

15-Sep

Classic Maritime

Aquabreeze

2003

171,009

190,153

12-15 Months

$9,000

16Sep-17Sep

Zhuhai

15-Sep

DHL

Cavaliere Grazia Bottiglieri

2010

178,132

194,179

4-7 Months

$9,000

18Sep-20Sep

Xiamen

12-Sep

Korea Line

Star Angie

2007

177,932

194,179

10-12 Months

$8,500

11Sep-13Sep

Bayuquan

09-Sep

CNR

Greek Seas

2015

82,043

97,250

5-8 Months

$6,750

10Sep-15Sep

Phu My

09-Sep

Phaethon

Red Sage

2015

182,443

192,235

5-8 Months

$10,500

10Sep

Yantai

2011

180,407

201,953

5-8 Months

$10,000

19Sep

Bayuquan

2009

177,835

194,179

4-8 Months

$10,500

Prompt

Shanghai

08-Sep

Cargill

Trade Will

2012

81,712

97,115

10-14 Mths/10-14 Mths

$6,500/$7,500

25Sep-30Sep

Taichung

08-Sep

Cargill

Trade Resource

2016

82,031

97,529

1 Years/1 Year $7,000/$8,000

15Sep-20Sep

Lanshan

08-Sep

Cobelfret

Anthemis

2011

93,216

110,330

5-7 Months

$7,000

22Sep-23Sep

Singapore

07-Sep

MOL

Bravery

2004

76,606

90,740

4-7 Months

$5,850

Prompt

Chiwan

07-Sep

WBC

Spar Vega

2011

57,981

71,549

4C x 30T

4-6 Months

$7,650

Prompt

Hon Gai

07-Sep

Seatrek

Dalmatia G

2010

57,673

71,850

4C x 36T

3-5 Months

$7,000

Prompt

CJK

05-Sep

Priminds

Athanasia C

2012

80,988

97,091

4-7 Months

$6,500

02Sep-05Sep

Nagoya

01-Sep

CNR

Vivian

2002

75,735

87,693

4-7 Months

$6,000

07Sep-11Sep

Paradip

01-Sep

CNR

Pedhoulas Leader

2007

82,050

97,233

4-7 Months

$6,500

Prompt

Zhanjiang

01-Sep

CNR

Tiger Zhejiang

2015

63,488

78,500

6-8 Months

$7,650

30Sep

N China

31-Aug

ADMI

Ecoan G. O.

2008

75,131

89,939

5-10 Months

$5,500

01Sep-05Sep

Se Asia

31-Aug

Trafigura

Genco Bourgogne

2010

57,981

71,549

4-6 Months

$7,250

30Aug-31Aug

Shanwei

30-Aug

Oldendorff

Deneb

2000

74,078

89,158

4-7 Months

$5,000

06Sep-09Sep

Rizhao

30-Aug

Ultrabulk

Jupiter

2006

77,171

90,150

8-11 Months

$6,250

Prompt

Busan

30-Aug

Oldendorff

Simon LD

2014

179,816

203,687

12-16 Months

$9,000

31Aug

Qingdao

30-Aug

Phaethon

Spring Cosmos

2014

63,273

78,703

5-8 Months

$8,000

Prompt

CJK

Clarksons Research

iv

4C x 30T
4C x 30T

4C x 36T

23-Sep-16

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C Built

The Timecharter Market


Tanker Timecharter Market
VLCC (Modern)

23

34,949
27,510
21,804
18,663
15,644
14,692

27,000
22,875
17,750
15,625
14,125
13,250

27,481 32,154 40,933 33,429


16,856 20,317 23,173 20,205
15,567 16,063 16,091 15,295

27,000
17,750
14,125

Total Fixtures

To Date

120

1 Year t/c

20

100

16

80

12

60

40

20

0
Aug-16

42,707
33,038
24,587
20,510
16,409
15,250

140

Spot $/day
24

Jun-16

30,183
24,413
19,029
16,466
15,399
14,678

$,000/day

Apr-16

23,404
18,096
15,048
15,514
15,063
13,707

28

Feb-16

26,500
21,250
16,000
15,000
13,000
12,000

Dec-15

39,051
29,135
23,042
19,683
16,077
14,779

Oct-15

48,433
35,875
26,712
23,567
17,769
15,880

Aug-15

28,115
22,712
17,538
15,880
14,630
13,774

Jun-15

19,837
16,014
13,288
14,981
14,351
13,063

No. fixtures

Apr-15

2016

Feb-15

2015

Dec-14

2014

T/C Activity
...over 1 year

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

VLCC
200,000 +
Suezmax
120-200,000
Aframax
80-120,000
Panamax
60-80,000
Handy
10-60,000
Total No. Fixtures

26
20
21
21
108
196

12
14
42
27
139
234

30
25
61
28
101
245

71
36
63
31
100
301

17
7
28
20
72
144

Total in m. dwt

19.9

18.9

26.5

41.2

14.2

Tanker timecharter activity this week


This week, Brazilian state oil company Petrobras
chartered two 2010-built VLCCs, OLYMPIC LION and
OLYMPIC LEOPARD, for one year at a rate of
$30,250/day each. Meanwhile, Solal fixed the 2010built 115,570 dwt LEYLA K for six months at
$16,250/day.

Sep

T/C Activity & The Freight Market

Estimated owners' rates prior to start 2016. Modern=no more than 10 years old.

Bulk Carrier Timecharter Market

17,303 21,038 13,270 10,269


10,870 13,935 9,519
7,804
10,928 11,428 8,207
7,115
9,385
9,519
7,293
6,282

10,875
7,825
7,000
6,000

Total Fixtures

To Date

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Capesize
100,000 +
Panamax
65-100,000
Handymax
40-65,000
Handysize
10-40,000
Total No. Fixtures

20
55
18
3
96

33
78
11
1
123

61
70
9
3
143

36
45
4
0
85

25
31
8
0
64

Total in m. dwt

8.9

12.7

16.8

10.3

7.4

Tanker and bulk carrier T/C activity size ranges reflect existing Clarksons Research ship type
definitions. Modern is taken to mean no more than 10 years old. A wider selection of
bulkcarrier T/C rates are available on Shipping Intelligence Network at www.clarksons.net.

Clarksons Research

Page 9

10

25

20

15

10

0
Aug-16

10,750
7,225
6,250
5,500

1 Year t/c
Spot $/day

Jun-16

9,306
6,562
6,256
5,506

$,000/day 30

Apr-16

16,413 20,889 12,104


10,125 13,050 8,373
10,284 11,385 7,966
8,726
9,346
7,077

12

Feb-16

8,750
6,675
7,000
5,250

Dec-15

7,584
5,649
5,676
4,923

No. fixtures

Oct-15

15,760 21,751 11,175


10,099 12,035 7,492
10,034 11,385 7,620
8,106
9,012
6,692

Capesize timecharter rates based on a 180,000 dwt vessel from start 2015 and 172,000 dwt
vessel previously.

T/C Activity
...over 1 year

Capesize (Modern)

23

Aug-15

2016

Jun-15

2015

Apr-15

2014

Feb-15

2013

One Year Timecharter


Capesize
Modern
Panamax
Modern
Supramax
Modern
Handysize
Modern
Three Year Timecharter
Capesize
Modern
Panamax
Modern
Supramax
Modern
Handysize
Modern
Five Year Timecharter
Capesize
Modern
Panamax
Modern
Supramax
Modern
Handysize
Modern

Dec-14

(Average Pac/Atl Delivery)

Oct-14

Average Rate $/day To Date

Aug-14

Timecharter Rates

Bulk carrier timecharter activity this week


This week the 2009-built Capesize CORINTHIAN
PHOENIX was chartered by Oldendorff for 12 months
at a rate of $9,250/day. Meanwhile, short term activity
included the 2012-built Supramax CEPHEUS, which
was chartered by Pan Ocean for 5-7 months, at a rate
of $6,750/day.
23-Sep-16

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2013
One Year Timecharter
310,000 Dwt
Modern
150,000 Dwt
Modern
110,000 Dwt
Modern
74,000 Dwt
Modern
47-48,000 Dwt Modern
37,000 Dwt
Modern
Three Year Timecharter
310,000 Dwt
Modern
150,000 Dwt
Modern
110,000 Dwt
Modern
74,000 Dwt
Modern
47-48,000 Dwt Modern
37,000 Dwt
Modern
Five Year Timecharter
310,000 Dwt
Modern
110,000 Dwt
Modern
47-48,000 Dwt Modern

T/C Activity & The Freight Market

Sep

Oct-14

Average Rate $/day To Date

Aug-14

Timecharter Rates

The Shipbuilding Market


What's Been Ordered...
Type
Hvy Dk Cargo
Hvy Dk Cargo
Chem & Oil
Cruise
Pass/Car F.
Container
Container
Container
Cruise
Cruise
Chem & Oil
Chem & Oil
Products
Products
Products
Products
Cruise
Cruise
Bulk
Bulk
Ro-Ro/Cnt
Ro-Ro/Cnt
Tanker

Date
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16

Dwt/Unit
15,000
15,000
3,500
600
5,600
22,000
22,000
22,000

4,155
210
600
1,900
1,900
1,900
2,500
2,500

28,000
28,000
4,500
4,500
6,000
6,000
240
240
63,000
63,000
50,000
50,000
320,000

Delivery
June 2018
June 2018
Mar 2018
Oct 2017
Jun 2017
Dec 2017
Jan 2018
Feb 2018
2021
2023
2018
2018
Jan 2018
2018
2017
2017
Apr 2019
Oct 2019
2019
2019
Jun 2019
Jun 2020
2018

Builder

Price

VARD Braila
VARD Vung Tau
Dae Sun Shipbuilding
ASENAV
MHI Shimonoseki
Jiangsu New YZJ
Jiangsu New YZJ
Jiangsu New YZJ
Meyer Werft
Meyer Werft
Wuhu Shipyard
Wuhu Shipyard
Kangnam Corporation
Kangnam Corporation
Zhejiang Shenzhou
Zhejiang Shenzhou
VARD Tulcea
VARD Tulcea
Imabari SB (Imabari)
Imabari SB (Imabari)
Gen. Dynamics NASSCO
Gen. Dynamics NASSCO
JMU Ariake Shipyard

$m
$m

20.00
20.00

$m
$m
$m
$m

24.00
24.00
255.50
255.50

Owner/Manager*
Topaz Energy
Topaz Energy
Hana Marine
Nisa Navegacion S.A.
Shin Nihonkai Ferry
Jiangsu Ocean Shpg.
Jiangsu Ocean Shpg.
Jiangsu Ocean Shpg.
Disney Cruise Lines
Disney Cruise Lines
Unknown Chinese
Unknown Chinese
Doora Logistics Co.
Doora Logistics Co.
Sinanju Tankers Pte.
Sinanju Tankers Pte.
Hapag-Lloyd Cruises
Hapag-Lloyd Cruises
Wisdom Marine Group
Wisdom Marine Group
Matson Inc
Matson Inc
JX Ocean

S=Status, where: 5=confirmed order, 16=unconfirmed order, 17=option. Other units are: teu for containerships, cbm for gas vessels, numbers of cars, passengers or berths.
* The Primary Reference Company, as used in the Clarkson Fleet Database i.e. the company with the main commercial responsibility for the ship.

Shipbuilding News

Three Month

WEAKER... -4.6%
WEAKER!! -6.3%
WEAKER!! -6.9%
WEAKER... -1.5%

180,000 dwt
81,000 dwt
62,000 dwt
35,000 dwt

53.5
29.5
26.5
22.3

54.0
30.0
27.0
23.0

46.0
26.5
24.3
20.5

42.0
24.5
22.3
19.5

WEAKER...
WEAKER...
WEAKER...
WEAKER...

-4.0%
-2.7%
-2.9%
-1.7%

82,000m
174,000m

74.5

79.0
205.0

77.0
204.0

72.5 WEAKER...
198.0 WEAKER...

-2.2%
-0.7%

13,000 teu
2,750 teu
Pure Car Carrier 6,000 ceu
Clarkson Index

113.5
31.5
66.5
133

116.0
32.5
64.0
138

116.0
29.5
59.5
131

109.0
28.0
59.0
125

-3.3%
-2.9%
-1.1%
-2.4%

Newbuilding
Activity ....
Oil Tankers
Chemical & Spec. Tankers
LPG Carriers
LNG Carriers
Bulk Carriers
Containerships
General Cargo Vessels
Ro-Ro Vessels
Refrigerated Vessels
Offshore Vessels
FPSO/FSU
Passenger & Cruise Ships
Other Misc. Vessels
TOTAL CONTRACTING

Vessels Contracted

WEAKER...
WEAKER...
WEAKER...
WEAKER....

Newbuilding Price Index

Year-on-Year

2013

2014

2015

2016

394
134
121
45
1246
288
91
56
2
571
5
69
34
3,056

221
161
111
69
780
160
94
35
11
477
7
59
32
2,217

413
116
73
34
354
242
112
53
6
143
4
40
27
1,617

50
24
5
4
37
61
16
18
1
33
51
8
308

Trend ...
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
WEAK.
FIRMER...
WEAK.
WEAK.

-83%
-72%
-91%
-84%
-86%
-66%
-80%
-54%
-77%
-68%
-100%
74%
-59%
-74%

Index, Jan'88 = 100


200
190
180
170
160
150
140
130

Ten year trend in


newbuilding
prices

120
110
100

Aug-16

85.0
55.0
45.0
33.0

Aug-15

93.5
63.0
52.0
35.5

Aug-14

97.0
65.0
54.0
36.8

Aug-13

94.0
59.5
52.3
34.8

Aug-12

320,000 dwt
157,000 dwt
115,000 dwt
51,000 dwt

Tankers
VLCC
Suezmax
Aframax
'MR' Tanker
Bulk Carriers
Capesize
Panamax
Handymax
Handysize
Gas Vessels
LPG
LNG
Dry Cargo
Container
Container

There is a single newbuilding order to report in


the tanker market this week, with Dae Sun receiving
a contract for one firm 3,500 dwt stainless steel
chemical tanker from Hana Marine Co. in Korea. This
vessel is scheduled to be delivered in the first quarter
of 2018 and will be the second tanker unit in the
series.
In other sectors, German builder Meyer Werft has
now confirmed the order for two firm 135,000 GT
cruise ships placed by Disney Cruise Lines. The
vessels are reported to have 2,500 passenger berths
and will be Bahamas flagged. The pair are due to be
delivered in 2021 and 2023 from the Papenburg
yard.
Meanwhile, Topaz Energy have added an order at
VARD by contracting two firm 15,000 dwt module
carriers, both of which are scheduled for delivery in
the second quarter of 2018. The vessels will be
delivered from VARDs facilities in Braila and Vung
Tau, and will be the 16th and 17th units in the series.

Aug-11

Sep

Aug-10

2015

Aug-09

2014

Aug-08

Trend ...

2013

Aug-07

Prices ....

Year End, $m.

Aug-06

Newbuilding

Newbuilding prices vary as to country of build, delivery and ship specification. Prices here are end year/latest and from Jun-08 assume a "European spec", 20/20/20/20/20% payments and "first class competitive
yards" quotations, and relate to market contracts where these have taken place and to brokers' best estimates when no contracts have occurred. 3-month trend basis last 3 vs previous 3 months.

Clarksons Research

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S
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
17
5
17
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5

The Demolition Market


What's Been Scrapped...
Date
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16
Sep '16

Scrap
Prices...

Vessel Name

Flag
M.I.
IT.
GR.
SG.
SG.
PA.
PA.
MA.
MO.
SV.
PA.
PA.
PA.
PA.
PA.
LI.
TV.
MA.
KO.
BR.
BS.
SG.
PRC

Box Emma
Primrose
JPS Debussy
APL Turquoise
APL Tourmaline
The Responder
The Odyssey
HS Mozart
Aquamarine
Fiskela
Green Arrow
Splendour
Aog Explorer
Mekong
The Forgiver
Viktoria Wulff
Deep True
Mitrope
C. Young
Putford Apollo
Belgian Reefer
Medea
Jing Po He

Year End ($/ldt)


2013

2014

2015

Blt
2004
2001
2001
1996
1996
1983
1975
2002
1979
1982
1985
1984
1991
1997
1994
2006
1985
1999
1988
1975
1983
1982
1997

Latest

Tankers

435

450

290

270

-7%

425

420

282

295

5%

Note: The scrap prices ($/ldt) are based on Indian prices for VLCC tankers and a
Handy dry bulk carrier of around 8,000 ldt.

Activity...

Year (m dwt)

This Year
%

2013

2014

2015

2016

China

11.1

8.4

6.6

3.4

-31%

India

11.8

8.7

7.8

9.3

60%

Bangladesh

12.0

6.9

13.5

11.3

11%

Pakistan

9.3

6.9

8.2

7.1

16%

Other

2.8

2.7

2.8

3.9

85%

TOTAL

47.0

33.6

38.8

35.0

20%

Size &
Type...

Year (m dwt)
2013

2014

2015

5.0

2.4

0.5

This Year
2016

-100%

Suezmax

1.0

1.1

0.1

#####

Aframax

2.7

2.4

0.3

0.5

137%

Handy

2.3

1.8

1.5

0.9

-21%

< 10,000 dwt

0.1

0.1

0.0

0.0

-10%

Total Tankers

11.0

7.8

2.4

1.6

-13%

Capesize

7.9

4.2

15.4

12.0

3%

Panamax

5.0

4.8

6.8

7.0

39%

Bulkcarriers

Handymax

3.5

3.1

3.1

3.1

32%

Handysize

6.7

4.2

5.2

2.8

-27%

Total Bulkers

23.1
6.3

16.3
5.3

30.5
2.8

25.0
5.7

9%
172%

Containerships

6,045
5,192
2,909
9,686
11,961
21,191
5,666
6,575

Gas Vessels

0.4

0.3

0.3

0.3

52%

Other Dry

6.2

3.8

2.9

2.5

17%

TOTAL

47.0

33.6

38.8

35.0

20%

Owner
Box Ships Inc.
Gorgonia di Nav.
Samartzis Maritime
APL
APL
Integrated Marine Se
Dulam
Hansa Shipping
Interrybflot
Thalatta Shipping
Strand Shipmgt. SA
Saanguine Shpg
AOG Group
SSG Capital
SNP Shipping Service
Hermann Wulff
Stiga Shipping
Polish Steamship Co.
Hanaro Shipping
Seacor Intl (UK)
Chartworld Shpg.
Wallenius Lines AB
Shanghai Pan Asia

Buyer
Indian Sub cont
As is Shanghai
As is Labuan
As is S'pore
As is S'pore
India
India
As is Hong Kong
Turkey
Pakistan
As is Eleusis
Bangladesh
Turkey
Private terms
Pakistan
As is Shanghai
India
As is Colombo
Old sale
Denmark
India
China P.R.
China P.R.

$/ldt

$ m.

280.0
270.0
317.0
270.0
270.0

5.65
3.18
8.35
5.85
5.85

310.0

5.94

273.0

1.42

304.5
303.0
268.0

3.64
6.42
1.52

Scrapping Price Trends


550

US$ per ldt

500

Tankers - India
Handy Bulk - India
Tankers - Bangladesh

450
400
350
300
250
200

Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul Sep
'14 '14 '15 '15 '15 '15 '15 '15 '16 '16 '16 '16 '16

Demolition Market News

Tankers
VLCC

Ldt
20,180
11,789
26,353
21,672
21,672
1,174
1,637
19,171

This Year

Dry Cargo

Buyer

Dwt
68,120
74,716
80,251
59,780
59,780
1,262
1,036
58,486
3,062
11,243
24,784
23,593
9,256
69,186
70,003
58,241
26,541
15,866
69,347
965
14,786
28,566
44,911

It is amazing what a number does. The $300/ldt figure was


breached last week and, as anticipated, it has attracted
substantial interest from owners who had been keeping a close
eye on scrap prices. On the back of this, several more units
have been circulated to the recycling market, particularly in the
containership sector. This is expected to continue with owners
finding it near impossible even to fix vessels for OPEX, which
is highlighted by the younger and younger units that are
starting to enter the market.
The many units entering recycling yards in such a short
space of time, especially in the containership sector, appear to
have spooked the local vessel recyclers, which saw some
caution re-entering the demolition market at the end of the
week. The question is whether owners may have missed the
chance to sell tonnage during the recent spike in prices and it
remains to be seen whether these high scrap prices will be
upheld over this coming weekend. Current expectations
appear to indicate that next week could see a different
recycling market.

* The % change is based on annualised figures for this year against last year.

Clarksons Research

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Type
Container
Bulk
Container
Container
Container
Maintenance
AHTS
Container
Reefer
MPP
Bulk
Bulk
Products
Bulk
Bulk
Container
Bulk
M. Sulphur
Bulk
ERRV
Reefer
PCC
Container

Economic Indicators
GDP Growth & Forecasts*
Germany Euro Area
0.4%
-0.3%
1.6%
0.9%
1.5%
1.7%
1.3%
1.6%
1.6%
1.7%
1.7%
1.6%
1.6%
1.6%
1.2%
1.4%

World
3.3%
3.4%
3.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
3.1%
3.4%

Industrial Production*: OECD


Europe
-0.8%
0.5%
1.0%
0.6%
0.0%
0.0%

OECD
0.4%
2.0%
0.8%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.0%

Industrial Production*: Asia

25

-10

Atlantic

-15

Pacific

-20

Currency Trends Spot ~ & Forward# ...

Australia
1.13
1.11
1.33
1.35
1.33
1.31
1.31

Jan '16

Jan '15

Jan '14

Jan '13

$/Yen
$/Euro

120
110
100
90
80
70
Sep '16

India
62.07
61.04
64.10
67.18
67.22
66.91
66.72

$/Sterling
130

Aug '16

23-Sep

140

Jun '16

#Forward Rates as of:

Index Jan'00=100

May '16

China
6.07
6.16
6.28
6.58
6.67
6.64
6.67

SDR
1.54
1.49
1.40
1.41
1.39
1.40
1.40

Jan '12

Exchange Rate Trends

Norway
6.15
6.30
8.05
8.28
8.45
8.26
8.10

Apr '16

H.Kong Singapore
7.76
1.27
7.75
1.27
7.75
1.37
7.76
1.36
7.76
1.35
7.76
1.35
7.76
1.35

Switz.
0.90
0.91
0.96
0.97
0.98
0.97
0.97

Feb '16

R.o K.
1,059.3
1,052.3
1,131.7
1,166.1
1,140.8
1,109.2
1,103.3

Japan
104.70
105.77
121.07
106.17
103.98
100.78
100.80
100.56
100.81

Dec '14

end:
2013
2014
2015
Jun
Jul
Aug
23-Sep

U.K.
1.64
1.65
1.53
1.44
1.32
1.31
1.31
1.30
1.31

Nov '14

Euro
1.37
1.33
1.11
1.12
1.11
1.12
1.12
1.12
1.14

Oct '14

end:
2013
2014
2015
Jun
Jul
Aug
23-Sep
3mo.#
12mo.#

Jan '11

-25
Jan '10

Brazil
1.2%
-3.1%
-8.5%
-5.9%
-6.6%
0.0%

Jan '16

Chile
3.1%
0.1%
-0.7%
-3.8%
-1.8%
0.0%

Jan '09

Poland
2.3%
3.5%
4.8%
6.0%
-3.4%
7.4%

Nov '15

Hungary
1.8%
7.1%
7.0%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.0%

0
-5

Oct '15

Czech.
0.6%
5.1%
4.2%
3.8%
-14.0%
0.0%

Jul '15

Russia
-0.2%
1.7%
-3.2%
1.8%
-0.3%
0.7%

10

Sep '15

avg:
2013
2014
2015
Jun '16
Jul '16
Aug '16

15

Jan '08

Ind. Production*: E.Europe & S. America

20

Jan '07

India
0.4%
1.2%
3.3%
2.1%
-2.4%
0.0%

Jan '06

Thailand Malaysia
-3.1%
2.7%
-4.6%
5.1%
-3.4%
4.6%
0.8%
5.2%
-5.1%
4.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Jan '05

Taiwan
0.9%
6.2%
-1.4%
0.9%
-0.4%
0.0%

Jun '15

China
9.7%
8.3%
6.1%
6.2%
6.0%
6.3%

May '15

R.o K.
-0.2%
0.0%
-0.7%
0.8%
1.6%
0.0%

30

Jan '04

avg:
2013
2014
2015
Jun '16
Jul '16
Aug '16

Industrial Production
% change

Mar '15

Japan
-0.7%
2.1%
-0.9%
-1.5%
-4.2%
0.0%

Jan '03

USA
2.6%
4.1%
1.2%
-0.7%
-0.5%
-1.1%

Feb '15

U.K.
-0.1%
1.9%
1.1%
1.6%
2.1%
0.0%

Jan '02

avg:
Germany
0.2%
2013
1.2%
2014
0.5%
2015
0.5%
Jun '16
-1.2%
Jul '16
0.0%
Aug '16

This week, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced that it


had changed its economic stimulus package. The BoJ kept
interest rates steady at -0.1%, but ended its policy of
quantative easing, instead focussing on reducing the yield
of 10-year government bonds to around zero. The BoJs
recent policies, aimed at boosting consumer spending and
inflation to above 2%, have had limited success. It is also
generally expected that the recent changes in policy will
have a muted effect on the Japanese economy.

The Bank for International Settlements (BIS), of which


60 central banks are members, announced this week that
the ratio of Chinas household debt to GDP stood at 30.1%
at the end of March, up from 25.4% at the start of 2016.
However, when including government debt the ratio is
lower than many other economies. A ratio of over 10% is
seen as an indicator of financial insecurity.

Jan '01

USA
1.5%
2.4%
2.4%
2.0%
2.1%
1.2%
2.2%
2.5%

Jan '00

Japan
1.4%
0.0%
0.5%
0.7%
0.1%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%

*% change year-on-year. Source: IMF, OECD, The Economist. ~Currency units per US$ except , Euro and SDR.

Interest Rate Trends ...

Inflation & Prices

Prime Lending Rates:


avg:
2013
2014
2015
Jun
Jul
Aug
23-Sep

Euro

U.K.

China

Japan

U.S.A.

0.54%
0.16%
0.05%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%

1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.50%
1.25%
1.25%

6.00%
5.95%
4.98%
4.35%
4.35%
4.35%
4.35%

1.48%
1.48%
1.48%
1.48%
1.48%
1.48%
1.48%

3.25%
3.25%
3.25%
3.50%
3.50%
3.50%
3.50%

Clarksons Research

Prices in $/bbl or $/t

Consumer Prices
$ Libor
6 mths.
0.41%
0.33%
0.48%
0.95%
0.98%
1.21%
1.26%

Page 12

avg:

2013
2014
2015
Jun
Jul
Aug
Latest

Eur

USA

Japan

OECD

1.9%
1.1%
0.6%
0.7%
0.9%
0.0%
0.0%

1.5%
1.6%
0.1%
1.0%
0.8%
1.1%
0.0%

0.4%
2.7%
0.8%
-0.4%
-0.4%
0.0%
0.0%

1.6%
1.7%
0.6%
0.9%
0.8%
0.0%
0.0%

Crude

Grain

Steel

Oil

Wheat

Ship Plate

Brent

USG

Japan

108.24
98.34
52.98
48.74
41.85
49.16
47.05

322
302
228
187
188
190
187

621
592
494
360
360
360
360

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2013
2014
2015
4Q15
1Q16
2Q16
2016 (f)
2017 (f)

China
7.7%
7.3%
6.9%
6.8%
6.7%
6.7%
6.6%
6.2%

Ship Demand Trends

34

3.0
2.9
2.0
2.5
17.9

3.3
2.7
2.0
2.2
17.4

3.4
2.6
2.2
2.0
18.0

3.7
2.7
2.3
2.2
18.7

6%
2%
4%
11%
4%

5.1
5.8
5.1
36.9

4.5
5.5
5.6
36.3

4.2
5.9
6.1
37.4

4.5
5.7
6.9
38.7

7%
-3%
12%
4%

1.6
2.6
1.7
7.7
20.7

1.4
2.5
1.8
7.8
20.9

1.5
2.6
1.8
8.4
22.1

1.5
2.8
1.8
8.6
23.0

3%
6%
1%
3%
4%

VLCC Demand
AG Exports

to China
to Japan
to Korea
to USA/UKC
Total Gulf Crude Exports

Crude Oil Trade


Imports:

USA (seaborne)
EU-5
China
Total Seaborne Imports

Products Trade
Imports:

USA
EU-5
Latin America
Asia
Total Seaborne Imports

80

32

70
60

31

50

30

40

29

30
20

28

10

27

0
Aug-16

0%
-4%
5%
-15%
-2%
-4%

Feb-16

95.5
12.1
31.7
4.5
7.6
2.9

May-16

95.9
12.6
30.3
5.3
7.8
3.0

90

Aug-15
Nov-15

93.2
11.7
29.2
5.2
7.6
3.0

Nov-12
Feb-13

91.2
10.1
28.5
5.3
7.5
3.5

VLCC Earnings
33

Aug-12

World
USA
Middle East
West Africa
South & Central America
North Africa

100

Major Oil Trades News:


This week, gasoline flows in the 1.3m bpd Colonialoperated Line 1 pipeline resumed following a leak of 68,000 bbls on 9th September. The closure of the pipeline
that connects the US East Coast with the US Gulf led to
gasoline prices rising in several US regions supplied by
the pipeline. Furthermore, gasoline stocks in the US Gulf
have risen sharply, topping 70m bbls by the 16th September. In the first half of 2016, US gasoline imports rose
by 7% y-o-y to stand at 0.6m bpd.

*2016 data are projections. Oil production data shows total supply including crude oil, lease condensates and NGLs; world supply includes refinery gains, other liquids.

Dry Bulk
2013

2014

2015

2016*

2016/15

Steel Production
China
Japan
EU-27
Total Steel Prod. (listed)

China
Japan
South Korea
Total Seaborne Imports
Exports:
Australia

-1%
-2%
-6%
-2%

China
India
Japan
South Korea
Exports: **
Australia
Indonesia
Total Seaborne Coal Trade

794.9 913.8 939.7 993.8


135.9 136.4 131.0 129.7
63.4
73.5
73.3
70.7
1189.3 1339.3 1363.3 1400.9
570.0 717.0 766.9 806.7

264.9 239.0 163.6 171.2


175.3 216.0 214.2 202.8
186.1 183.2 184.8 184.6
118.0 122.7 126.1 120.8
344.9 375.1 378.2 385.0
415.5 408.2 365.7 340.1
1179.8 1214.0 1134.8 1111.2

World Seaborne
Crude Oil
Oil Products
Dry Bulk
Containers
Other
World Seaborne Trade
y-o-y growth

$,000/day
Steel Production Index
Capesize Earnings

60
50

350

40

325
30

6%
-1%
-4%
3%
5%

5%
-5%
0%
-4%
2%
-7%
-2%

*2016 data are projections. ** Steam coal, lignite & coking coal.

Trade

Index

300

Coal Trade
Imports: **

400
375

815.4 822.7 803.8 793.8


110.6 110.7 105.2 103.5
166.0 169.3 166.2 156.6
1091.9 1102.7 1075.2 1053.8

Iron Ore Trade


Imports:

Steel Production and Capesize Earnings

% Chg

million tonnes
2013

2014

2015

% Chg
2016*

1,837 1,806 1,862 1,929


957
964
1,023 1,063
4,584 4,821 4,818 4,857
1,545 1,640 1,687 1,759
1,363 1,408 1,446 1,490
10,286 10,639 10,836 11,099
3.4%
3.4%
1.9%
2.4%

2016/15
4%
4%
1%
4%
3%
2%

20

275
250

10

225

0
Aug-12
Nov-12
Feb-13
May-13
Aug-13
Nov-13
Feb-14
May-14
Aug-14
Nov-14
Feb-15
May-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Feb-16
May-16
Aug-16

Demand ....

million tonnes

Major Bulk Trades News:


Chinese coal mining cuts and a 9% y-o-y rise in the
countrys coal fired power generation in May-July 2016
have contributed to a recent surge in coal prices. This
week, the benchmark Australian 6,300kcal FOB steam
coal spot price hit a two year high of $74/t, up 47% since
the start of the year. Reports indicate that emergency
meetings are taking place in Beijing this week, to discuss
measures to arrest the rapidly rising coal prices.
Steam coal stockpiles at key Indian power plants fell to
an 18 month low of 25mt this week. This was largely due
to easing domestic coal output and a rise in Indian power
generation in August. However, the latest reports have
also indicated a drop in Indian steam coal import
demand, partly due to the recent hike in coal prices.

Data based on latest available information at start Sep-16. For more detail see Seaborne Trade Monitor on Shipping Intelligence Network.

Clarksons Research

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Oil Production

110

OPEC Oil Production

May-15

2016/15

Nov-14
Feb-15

2016*

$,000/day

Aug-14

2015

35

May-14

2014

m. bpd

Nov-13
Feb-14

2013

OPEC Production & VLCC Earnings

% Chg

Aug-13

Demand ....

million barrels per day

May-13

Oil Tanker

World Fleets & Orderbooks


Total Cargo
CRUDE TANKERS
PRODUCTS TANKERS
CHEMICAL TANKERS
OTHER TANKERS
BULKERS
COMBOS
LPG CARRIERS
LNG CARRIERS
CONTAINERSHIPS
MULTI-PURPOSE
GENERAL CARGO
RO-RO
CAR CARRIERS
REEFERS
OFFSHORE (AHTS/PSV)
WORLD CARGO FLEET
TOTAL WORLD FLEET
TOTAL WORLD FLEET ($bn)*

Tanker
Fleet, m. Dwt
VLCC
Suezmax
Aframax
Panamax
Small

200,000+
120-200,000
80-120,000
60-80,000
10-60,000

of which: Specialised >10,000

<10,000
TOTAL FLEET >10,000
of which:
Single Hull
Double Hull
Combos in Oil
Laid-up
Storage
ACTIVE FLT. >10,000

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

335.6
340.2
341.7
348.6 1,893
140.4
144.3
149.5
157.4 8,153
37.4
38.1
38.7
40.4
3,611
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.8
384
687.5
726.8
758.5
776.6 10,779
4.7
4.2
3.9
2.8
18
15.4
16.3
17.0
19.4
1,395
28.9
30.0
32.7
35.1
459
206.5
216.2
228.2
244.3 5,214
29.5
29.8
29.7
29.7
3,250
38.0
37.5
37.6
37.5 15,019
8.1
7.7
7.5
7.7
1,297
11.8
11.9
12.1
12.4
785
5.3
5.2
5.0
5.0
1,406
7.9
8.6
9.5
10.0
5,523
1,557.8 1,617.6 1,672.3 1,727.8 59,186
1,629.4 1,690.4 1,747.7 1,805.5 92,265
891.3
955.5
972.4
936.9 92265

m.Dwt

No.

m.Dwt

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

359.9
163.9
41.8
1.0
785.4
2.7
21.7
36.4
246.5
29.8
37.5
7.6
12.4
5.0
10.3
1,762.0
1,840.5
894.8

312
393
255
5
1,249
0
149
140
432
109
113
34
66
15
406
3,678
4,582
4,582

63.1
20.4
5.4
0.0
108.4
0.0
4.9
11.4
38.5
1.5
1.0
0.6
1.3
0.1
1.1
257.8
263.6
274.7

17.5%
12.5%
13.0%
1.0%
13.8%
0.0%
22.3%
31.2%
15.6%
5.1%
2.6%
7.3%
10.2%
2.8%
10.9%
14.6%
14.3%
30.7%

16.7
5.8
1.9
0.0
48.3
0.0
1.2
2.2
8.0
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.2
0.0
0.5
86.3
87.0
67.2

28.1
10.0
2.0
0.0
34.8
0.0
2.6
3.4
14.7
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.6
0.1
0.6
97.8
99.9
99.8

18.4
4.6
1.6
0.0
25.4
0.0
1.1
5.7
15.9
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.0
0.0
73.7
76.6
107.7

01-Sep-16

Year End

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

m.Dwt

No.

m.Dwt

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

187.2
72.6
97.9
29.8
105.0
29.8
22.0
492.6
12.4
480.2
4.0
2.9
2.3
491.4

190.2
76.2
96.9
29.9
107.7
30.1
22.7
500.8
9.1
491.7
2.4
7.9
2.4
493.0

194.2
75.9
96.0
29.8
111.7
30.5
23.0
507.7
6.0
501.8
2.7
5.8
2.3
502.3

200.3
77.4
98.8
29.4
118.3
32.2
23.2
524.1
3.7
520.4
2.0
3.3
9.9
512.9

678
510
950
416
3,720
3,274
7,767
6,274
133
6,141
8
27
41
6,214

208.5
79.1
102.6
30.2
122.7
42.1
23.4
543.1
3.2
539.8
1.3
2.3
10.7
531.4

123
99
146
61
403
260
133
832

37.9
15.6
16.4
4.5
13.9
5.5
0.7
88.3

18.2%
19.7%
16.0%
14.9%
11.3%
13.0%
3.1%
16.3%

11.0
4.1
3.8
1.2
4.0
1.9
0.4
24.0

13.9
9.9
8.0
2.3
5.8
2.0
0.3
39.8

13.1
1.6
4.6
1.1
4.2
1.6
0.1
24.5

Increase in size of Tanker Fleet:


2015/2014
3.2%
2016*/2015
3.6%
* year to date

Bulk Carrier
Fleet, m. Dwt

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

m.Dwt

No.

Capesize
100,000+
Panamax
65-100,000
Handymax
40-65,000
Handysize
10-40,000
TOTAL FLEET
Combos in Dry
Laid-up
Storage
ACTIVE FLEET

279.9
169.4
147.6
90.6
687.5
0.7
1.2
0.1
686.8

293.8
184.4
158.5
90.0
726.8
0.4
1.0
0.2
726.0

308.1
192.5
166.8
91.1
758.5
0.6
0.7
0.2
758.2

309.3
195.3
179.5
92.5
776.6
0.3
2.7
0.8
773.3

1,631
2,446
3,403
3,299
10,779
7
119
7
10,660

310.7
195.8
185.6
93.2
785.4
0.9
6.9
0.8
778.6

198
261
469
321
1,249

01-Sep-16

Year End

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule


m.Dwt

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

47.1
15.1%
18.2
11.3
17.6
21.4
10.9%
10.0
8.4
3.1
28.4
15.3%
15.2
10.8
2.5
11.5
12.3%
5.0
4.3
2.2
108.4
13.8%
48.3
34.8
25.4
Increase in size of Bulkcarrier Fleet:
2015/2014
2.4%
2016*/2015
1.1%
* year to date

Note: Panamax fleet includes vessels 60-64,999 dwt built prior to 2000. Handymax fleet includes vessels 65-69,999 built from 2000 onwards.

LPG Carrier
Fleet ,000m
<5,000 cbm
5-20,000 cbm
20-45,000 cbm
45-65,000 cbm
>65,000 cbm
TOTAL FLEET
TOTAL M. DWT

01-Sep-16

Year End

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

,000m

No.

,000m

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

1,529
2,428
3,394
1,184
11,411
19,947
15.4

1,518
2,579
3,552
1,184
12,484
21,318
16.3

1,538
2,627
3,797
1,184
13,153
22,299
17.0

1,537
2,794
4,040
1,365
16,088
25,825
19.4

638
349
149
24
235
1,395

1,534
2,859
4,346
1,425
19,191
29,353
21.7

6
23
62
1
57
149

18
245
1,913
60
4,746
6,982
4.85

1.2%
8.6%
44.0%
4.2%
24.7%
23.8%
22.3%

10
39
430
60
1,184
1,723
1.18

4
172
1,249
0
2,233
3,657
2.62

4
34
234
0
1,330
1,602
1.06

"Oil Tankers" includes vessels in the crude oil & oil products sectors, including all IMO 3 tankers and specified IMO 2 tankers (see Oil & Tanker Trades Outlook for detailed
definition). "Chemical" includes IMO 1 tankers and specified IMO 2 tankers. "Specialised" includes chemical tankers and other tankers designed for the carriage of
specialist liquids. "Laid-up" includes vessels reported and confirmed to be in lay-up, remaining out of service for an extended period.

Clarksons Research

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23-Sep-16

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Fleet, m. Dwt

01-Sep-16

Year End

World Fleets & Orderbooks

<40,000 cbm
40-100,000 cbm
100-150,000 cbm
150-180,000 cbm
180-220,000 cbm
>220,000 cbm
TOTAL FLEET
TOTAL M. DWT

Containership
Fleet ,000 Teu

01-Sep-16

Year End

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

,000m

No.

,000m

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

293
1,070
31,620
9,776
6,608
3,727
53,093
28.9

231
982
31,367
12,306
6,608
3,727
55,221
30.0

231
839
31,388
17,473
6,608
3,727
60,266
32.7

345
684
31,136
22,073
6,608
3,727
64,573
35.1

29
9
222
154
31
14
459

372
684
30,880
24,988
6,608
3,727
67,259
36.4

12
1
0
119
8
0
140

220
45
0
20,348
1,442
0
22,055
11.4

59.0%
6.6%
0.0%
81.4%
21.8%
0.0%
32.8%
31.2%

104
0
0
3,880
182
0
4,166
2.2

115
45
0
6,100
360
0
6,620
3.4

0
0
0
10,369
900
0
11,269
5.7

01-Sep-16

Year End
2012

100-2,999 teu (Feeder)


4,188.6
3-5,999 teu
(Intermediate) 5,574.4
6-7,999 teu
(Intermediate) 1,788.2
8-11,999 teu (Neo-P'max)
3,123.3
12-14,999 teu (Neo-P'max)
1,436.6
15,000 &+ teu (Post-P'max)
140.4
16,251.6
TOTAL FLEET
206.5
TOTAL M. DWT

2013

2014

4,084.9
5,562.7
1,881.4
3,554.7
1,812.5
245.5
17,141.6
216.2

4,011.6
5,539.9
1,914.2
4,096.1
2,178.4
516.5
18,256.7
228.2

2015

No.

4,016.1 2,927
5,533.5 1,188
1,934.7 282
4,796.9 559
2,446.8 193
1,010.2
65
19,738.2 5,214
244.3

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

,000teu

No.

,000teu % Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

3,992.9
5,327.1
1,883.7
5,034.9
2,603.5
1,159.7
20,001.7
246.5

205
37
1
57
65
67
432

394.5
143.8
6.9
602.1
909.8
1,318.3
3,375.4
38.5

93.9
21.0
6.9
304.1
128.1
137.0
691.0
8.0

154.9
81.9
0.0
227.2
365.5
464.4
1,293.9
14.7

145.7
40.9
0.0
70.8
416.2
717.0
1,390.6
15.9

9.9%
2.7%
0.4%
12.0%
34.9%
113.7%
16.9%
15.6%

12-14,999 TEU 'Neo-Panamax' includes some ships which are too large to transit the expanded locks of the Panama Canal based on current official dimension restrictions.

Multipurpose
Fleet ,000 Teu
100 - 499 teu
500 - 999 teu
1000 &+ teu
TOTAL FLEET
MPP FLEET M. DWT
GC FLEET M. DWT

01-Sep-16

Year End
2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

561.9
556.1
547.5
539.8 2,133
593.8
575.2
554.7
551.5
797
334.3
398.7
432.6
452.3
320
1,490.0 1,530.1 1,534.7 1,543.7 3,250
29.5
29.8
29.7
29.7
38.0
37.5
37.6
37.5 15,019

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

,000teu

No.

536.7
548.4
458.8
1,543.9
29.8
37.5

19
70
20
109
113

,000teu % Fleet
6.4
51.6
24.1
82.2
1.5
1.0

1.2%
9.4%
5.3%
5.3%
5.1%
2.6%

2016

2017

2018+

5.6
31.1
9.7
46.4
0.9
0.5

0.8
12.4
14.5
27.6
0.5
0.3

0.0
8.1
0.0
8.1
0.1
0.2

Ro-Ro Vessel
Fleet, m. Dwt

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

m.Dwt

No.

m.Dwt

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

<5,000 dwt
5,000-10,000 dwt
10,000 &+ dwt
TOTAL FLEET
CAR CARRIERS

1.1
2.4
4.5
8.1
11.8

1.1
2.3
4.3
7.7
11.9

1.1
2.3
4.1
7.5
12.1

1.1
2.3
4.4
7.7
12.4

751
314
232
1,297
785

1.1
2.3
4.3
7.6
12.4

5
11
18
34
66

0.0
0.1
0.5
0.6
1.3

1.6%
3.3%
10.8%
7.3%
10.2%

0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.2

0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.6

0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.4

01-Sep-16

Year End

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

Reefer Vessel
Fleet m. ft.

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

m.ft

No.

m.ft

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

< 200,000 cu ft
200-449,999 cu ft
> 450,000 cu ft
TOTAL FLEET
TOTAL M. DWT

48.1
76.0
112.9
236.9
5.3

47.2
74.9
109.7
231.8
5.2

46.0
73.9
105.5
225.4
5.0

46.1
74.2
103.8
224.2
5.0

976
244
186
1,406

46.0
72.9
103.3
222.2
5.0

2
9
4
15

0.3
2.5
3.0
5.8
0.1

0.7%
3.4%
2.9%
2.6%
2.8%

0.0
1.3
0.8
2.0
0.0

0.3
0.6
1.5
2.4
0.1

0.0
0.6
0.8
1.4
0.0

01-Sep-16

Year End

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

Owner Fleets by
Nationality, m. GT

2012

2013

2014

2015

No.

m. GT

No.

m. GT

% Fleet

2016

2017

2018+

Greece
Japan
China P.R.
Germany
United States

151.0
158.2
113.0
97.4
51.4

164.1
161.2
119.2
95.4
53.1

180.2
163.4
122.0
95.0
58.5

192.5
163.8
131.5
92.9
59.6

5,266
8,638
6,843
3,772
5,211

200.0
163.1
135.1
90.2
62.1

353
454
572
188
191

21.4
27.1
33.8
5.6
8.9

10.7%
16.6%
25.0%
6.2%
14.3%

7.7
3.7
12.4
2.8
3.1

8.9
7.7
7.8
1.9
2.3

4.7
15.6
13.7
1.0
3.5

01-Sep-16

Year End

Orderbook & Delivery Schedule

Note: All fleet figures are from the Clarksons Research Ship and Orderbook Databases, expressed in the units indicated. All dwt figures are metric. Annual data are as at
year end, monthly data at the beginning of the month. The databases comprise vessels of 100gt and above. For access to more detailed fleet data visit World Fleet Register
at www.clarksons.net/wfr. * Value of the world fleet based on estimates of the value of each vessel based on type, size and age. For specialised and non-cargo vessels,
coverage may not be complete. Value of the orderbook based on reported newbuilding contract prices wherever possible and estimated contract prices adjusted for vessel
type, size and the date of the contract elsewhere. For more detail see World Fleet Monitor.

A "Sources & Methods" document which describes the methodology by which Clarksons Research gathers and processes the data set out in this
report, including the calculation of voyage earnings for tankers and bulk carriers, is available on our website at www.clarksons.net. Further enquiries
may be made to the addresses set out on the back page.

Clarksons Research

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LNG Carrier
Fleet ,000m

Analysis
During the summer, the cruise ship fleet surged past half a million berths of total capacity. The cruise
industry is continuing to expand its horizons, and has seen strong newbuilding investment this year.
Whilst many of the new mega-ships will likely be heading to sunny climes, there have been developments at the small end of the sector too, for ships venturing forth to remote and often chilly destinations.
Given the extremely subdued level of
ordering in other vessel sectors, the
cruise sector has accounted for almost
50% of the total estimated value of newbuilding investment in the year to date,
and provided support to the European
yards who dominate in this sector.

Look Helpful...
Overall, 2016 is a record year for investment in the cruise ship sector, with estimated investment in the year to date at
$8.9 billion, already up nearly 50% on the
previous high reached last year. A large
number of orders are also in the pipeline
and are likely to be confirmed in the coming years, which could add at least another 65,000 berths to the orderbook (nearly
half of the current size of the orderbook).

So, despite weak conditions prevailing in


many of the major volume markets, at
least the sun is still shining on one part of
the shipping industry. Whether youre
looking for a trip to some warmer latitudes or a voyage to a more bracing environment, the next phase for the cruise
sector might not be plain sailing but it
should be an adventure. Have a nice day!

Graph of the Week


700

'000 berths, start year


Global Newbuild Investment
Value 2016 ytd ($m)
Other

Look Big...

Shipping Intelligence Weekly, 23 September 2016


Published by:
Clarkson Research Services Limited
Commodity Quay, St Katharine Docks
London E1W 1BF, England.
Tel: + (44) (0) 20 7334 3134
E-mail: sales.crs@clarksons.co.uk
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Website: www.clarksons.com/services/research
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World Fleet Register: www.clarksons.net/wfr
Shipping Intelligence Weekly is published 50 times a year. It is
available on subscription at a price of 895/960 a year (within
Europe/outside Europe) including postage.

500
Cruise

2006-15
CAGR
4.3% p.a.

Tanker

400
300
4,000+ berths
2,500-3,999 berths
1,000-2,499 berths
<1,000 berths

200
100

2020

2018

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

2006

0
1998

The graph shows cruise ship


fleet development over the past
two decades in terms of lower
berth capacity, split by berth capacity range, and from start 2017
onwards the potential size of the
fleet after adding on the volume
of capacity currently scheduled
for delivery in each year (not
taking into account removal or
non-delivery trends). The pie
chart shows the estimated contract value of global newbuilding
investment in the first eight
months of 2016 by vessel type.

Bulker
Boxship

1996

However, it has been the rapid expansion


in the mega-ship sizes that has recently
pushed the cruise fleet over its new milestone, and underpinned the expansion in
the cruise ship orderbook to a record 60
units of 142,922 berths at the start of
September. Around 70% of berth capacity ordered this year has been accounted
for by ships of 4,000 berths and above,
with many of the major brands confirming
contracts. Having expanded robustly by a
CAGR of 4.3% p.a. in 2006-15, growth in
the cruise fleet is now likely to accelerate
in the next few years, as more megaships are delivered. Cruise operators
retain a positive market outlook, with increased passenger volumes in Asia ex-

2016-21
CAGR
c.6% p.a.?

600

2004

Cruise Capacity:
Half Way There To
Its First Million

2002

Arctic navigation was once the preserve


of intrepid explorers. In 1848, British explorer Sir John Franklin set out on an
ultimately doomed attempt to navigate
the Northwest Passage. His abandoned
ship, HMS Terror, was finally discovered
this month in near-pristine condition in 80
feet of water off Canadas King William
Island. Today, Arctic navigation is potentially less hazardous, and while many
modern cruise passengers are not always seen as the most adventurous of
folk, rising demand for expedition ships
has been an interesting feature of cruise
ship ordering this year. Nine such orders
have been placed in 2016 to date, including some for voyages to the Poles, with
other contracts for small vessels catering
for the high-end, luxury market. Overall,
vessels with less than 1,000 berths have
accounted for half of the 26 cruise ship
orders placed so far this year.

pected to be a key driver of global cruise


passenger growth. Some experts expect
Chinese cruise passenger numbers to
reach 3-4 million by 2020.

2000

Look North...

Source : Clarksons Research

Editorial Board:
Managing Director
Research Director
Market Research
Publisher
Editor
Clarksons Platou Contacts:
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Tankers
Specialised
Gas
Dry Cargo
Containers
Freight Derivatives
Offshore

Stephen Gordon
Trevor Crowe
Sarah Holden
Rob Benson
Ben Trimmel
J. Brynteson
R. Knight
R. Whittet
T. Baggio
M. Goodall
J. Tolstrup-Moller
A. Gray
P. Middleton

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