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2004 report
Table 26 presents average, high and low daily VAR for 2004 and 2003.
Table 26
Trading Activities Market Risk
Twelve Twelve Twelve Twelve Twelve Twelve
Months Months Months Months Months Months
Ended Ended Ended Ended Ended Ended
Decemb Decemb Decemb Decemb Decemb Decemb
er er er er er er
31,2004: 31,2004: 31,2004: 31,2003: 31,2003: 31,2003:
Average High Low Average High Low
VAR VAR(1) VAR(1) VAR VAR(1) VAR(1)
Twelve Months Ended December 31
2004 2003
(1 The high and low for the total portfolio may not equal the sum of the individual components
) as the highs or lows of the individual portfolios may have occurred on different trading days.
(2 Credit includes credit fixed income and credit default swaps used for credit risk management.
) Average VAR for credit default swaps was $23.5 and $20.9 in 2004 and 2003, respectively.
(3 Real estate/mortgage includes capital market real estate and the Certificates. Effective June 1,
) 2004, Real estate/mortgage no longer includes the Certificates. For additional information on
the Certificates, see Note 1 of the Consolidated Financial Statements.
(4 Total market-based trading portfolio excludes credit default swaps used for credit risk
) management, net of the effect of diversification.
Approximately $4 million of the increase in average VAR for 2004 was attributable to the
addition of FleetBoston in the second quarter of 2004. The remaining increase in average VAR
for 2004 was primarily due to increases in the average risk taken in credit and equities. The
increase in equities was mainly due to the increased economic risk from customer-facilitated
transactions that were held in inventory during portions of 2004. The increase in credit was
mainly due to an increase in credit protection purchased to hedge the credit risk in our
commercial credit portfolio.
Stress Testing
Because the very nature of a VAR model suggests results can exceed our estimates, we “stress
test” our portfolio. Stress testing estimates the value change in our trading portfolio due to
abnormal market movements. Various stress scenarios are run regularly against the trading
portfolio to verify that, even under extreme market moves, we will preserve our capital; to
determine the effects of significant historical events; and to determine the effects of specific,
extreme hypothetical, but plausible events. The results of the stress scenarios are calculated daily
and reported to senior management as part of the regular reporting process. The results of certain
specific, extreme hypothetical scenarios are presented to ALCO.