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Pakistan,terrorists&China:ReadhowIndia'ssuperspyAjit
Dovalwantstotackleall3
PostaComment
ByDineshNarayanan,ETBureau|Sep27,2016,12.00PMIST
ItiswellknownthatAjitDovalhasprimeministerNarendraModisearand,bymany
accounts,afirmhandinshapingIndiasforeignpolicyandstrategicresponses.Itisnow
commontorefertohisapproachastheDovaldoctrine.Whatexactlyisit?ETpieced
togetherwhatitcouldbefromthepublicspeechesandinteractionsDovalhashadbefore
andafterhebecametheNationalSecurityAdvisor.
TheinitialbonhomieoftheNarendraModigovernmentwithIslamabadhavingblownoffina
spateofcrossborderattacksandanescalatingconflictinKashmir,Indiahasrapidlybegun
aglobaldiplomaticoffensiveagainstPakistanandbeefingupitsmilitarymuscle.
OnFriday,itstruckadealtobuy36RafalefightersfromFrance.Inthepastfewmonthsit
hasbeen,withIsraelihelp,developingandtestingmissilesofdifferentrange.Meanwhile,it
beefedupstrategiccooperationwiththeUSwiththesigningoftheLogisticsExchange
MemorandaofAgreementthatallowsaccesstosuppliesandservicessupporttoeach
othersmilitary.
ManyseenationalsecurityadvisorAjitDovalshandinthe
strategicshiftinIndiasdiplomaticengagementandmilitary
preparedness.
WhilethegunsseemtobetrainedonPakistan,thedevelopmentsindicatethatIndiaisbuildingstrategicdepthagainstChinaaswell,
especiallyintheIndianOcean.
ManyseenationalsecurityadvisorAjitDovalshandinthestrategicshiftinIndiasdiplomaticengagementandmilitarypreparedness.The
NSAbelievesIndiahastobepreparedforatwofrontwar."Indiahastwoneighbours,bothnuclearpowers(which)shareastrategic
relationshipandasharedadversarialviewofIndia,"hesaidattheHindustanTimesLeadershipSummitlastNovember.
ReproducedhereareDovalsstrategyforPakistan,ChinaandKashmirarticulatedinhispublicspeechesandinteractions.Theyhave
beeneditedforclarity.
HowtoTacklePakistan
February21,2014.SASTRAUniversity,Thanjavur,TamilNadu
Weengageanenemyinthreemodes.Oneisadefensivemode.Thatis,allthechowkidars(securityguards)andchaprasis(attendants)
youseeoutside.Ifsomebodycomesherewewillpreventhim(fromhurtingus).Wewilldefend.Oneisdefensiveoffence.Thatis,to
defendourselveswewillgototheplacefromwheretheoffenceiscoming.Thethirdistheoffensivemode,whereyougooutright.
Nuclearthresholdisadifficultyintheoffensivemodebutnotinthedefensiveoffencemode.Weareworkingtodayonlyinthedefensive
mode.IndefensiveoffencewestartworkingonthevulnerabilitiesofPakistanitcanbeeconomic,internalsecurity,political,itsisolation
internationallybyexposingtheirterroristactivities.ItcanbedefeatingtheirpoliciesinAfghanistanmakingitdifficultforthemtomanage
internalpoliticalbalanceorinternalsecurity.
Inthedefensivemodeifyouthrowahundredstonesatme,Imaystop90butstill10wouldhurtme.
HowtoSmotherTerrorists
February21,2014.SASTRAUniversity,Thanjavur,TamilNadu
Denythem(terrorists)weapons,fundsandmanpower.Fundingisdeniedtoterroristsbycounteringitwithfunds.Ifthey(Pakistan)have
gotabudgetofRs1,200croreandwecanmatchitwithRs1,800crore,they(terrorists)areallonourside.Theyaremercenaries.
Indiaisamuchbiggereconomy.Wewillmatchthemmoneyformoney,denythemweaponsandwewilldenythemrecruitment.Thatis
extremelyimportant.(Wehaveto)workamongstMuslimyouth.WehavetoworkamongtheyouththroughMuslimorganisations.Muslim
organisationsarewilling,andarecapableandkeentosavetheirchildrenfromtheir(terrorists)influence.
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politicsandnation/pakistanterroristschinareadhowindiassuperspyajitdovalwantstotackleall3/article
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9/28/2016
Pakistan,terrorists&China:ReadhowIndia'ssuperspyAjitDovalwantstotackleall3TheEconomicTimes
Wenotonlyhavedeterrence(against)Pakistanbuteven(against)theseparatists.Ihavebeenwithanorganisationwherewemaintaina
lotofcontactwiththesegroups.TheHurriyatortheseparatistscannotbepaidbytheISI(PakistanspyagencyInterServicesIntelligence)
orinfluencedbytheISImorethanwhatIndianintelligenceortheIndianstatecando.Wearemuchmorepowerfulthanthem.Whyisit
thattheystillalwaystilttowardsPakistan?WhyisitthatthereisnoonewhoispreparedtospeakonbehalfofIndiaamongtheKashmiri
Muslims?TheycannotasstronglyarticulatetheIndianposition.(Because)theyareafraidofISI.Theyhavebeengiventhehighestformof
security,thecomfort,eventheirmedicaltreatmentisbornebytheIndiangovernment.
ThispolicyofappeasementandnodeterrencehasimpelledpeopletobecomeantinationalandtakealltheadvantagesfromIndia.There
isnocostinvolvedinthat.YoucantakealladvantagesandstillremainantinationalandstillundermineIndiasnationalinterests.Thatis
therootcause.
AndIcanneverwinbecauseeitherIloseorthereisastalemateyoustartwaratyourtime,youthrowstoneswhenyouwant,youhave
peacewhenyouwant,youhavetalkswhenyouwant.Inthedefensiveoffencemode,wewillseewherethebalanceofequilibriumis.
PakistansvulnerabilityismanytimeshigherthanthatofIndia.OncetheyknowthatIndiahasshifteditsgearfromthedefensivemodeto
defensiveoffence,theywillfindthatitisunaffordableforthem.YoucandooneMumbai,youmayloseBalochistan.Thereisnonuclear
warinvolvedinthatandthereisnotroopsengagement.Ifyouknowthetricks,weknowthetricksbetterthanyou.
FacingChina
August21,2010,UniversalBrotherhoodDayatVishwaAdhyayanKendraorCentreforInternationalStudies
ChinascomprehensivenationalpowerisaboutthreetimeshigherthanIndia.Andinthenext50yearswewillnotbeabletoequalit.
Chinaisconvertingitseconomicpowerintoitsmilitaryandstrategicpowerataveryfastrate,fasterthanwhatwehadanticipated.They
haveadvancedtheirstrategicabilitybuildupbyabout10years.TheyhavebecomealmostabluewaterNavy.
IthinkthebeststrategyforIndiawouldbetodevelopitsmissilecapacitytoaveryhighdegree.Chinaisextremelyvulnerabletoday
becauseallitscomprehensivenationalpowerwillbeburstifitseconomicinstallationsarethreatened.AndasChinaisprogressingata
veryfastpaceitseconomicinstallationsarecomingupveryfast.Youknowwesaywhatsortofstrategicweaponscanweuseagainst
Pakistan.Thereisnothing.
Somecottonandwheatfields,apartfromthatwhatisthere?Whodoyouhit?WhereastheycanhitalotofthingsinIndiatodecapacitate
you.IfChinaunderstandsthatIndiasmissilestrikingcapacityissomuchthatwecanreachGuangzhou,Shanghaiandtheportareas,that
is,within24hourstheireconomiccapacitywouldbedecapacitated(itwillbeadeterrence).Indiahasgottomakeupitsmindtodevelop
itsstrategicmissilecapacity.
Fortunately,Ithink,therehasbeenalotofpressureandthegovernmenthasbeengoingaheadandIthinkinthelastthreeyearsthere
hasbeenconsiderableprogress.
Second,westillhaveairsuperiorityoverthem.Wewillprobablyhavetomakeupforthedelaysthathavecomeupin(buying/developing)
thelongrangeandmidairrefuellingplanes.Thereisnopointingoingfortanks.Tankbattlesareover.InChina,inanycase,itwillnotbe
thereandinPakistantheymaynotberequired.SoletusnotgoinforthedevelopmentofMBT(mainbattletank)butprobably[spendtime
andmoneyon]lightcombataircraft.
ButthemostimportantthingiswillyoubeabletooutdoChinainsomeoftheselectedcriticalareasofeconomicactivity.Wehadaserious
edgeinITbutnowtheyarecatchingupfast.Wehadtheedgeinserviceswithourknowledgeofaccountancy,lawandbankingbut
probablywearelosingthatedgealso.Manufacturingtheyarealreadyahead.Wewillhavetothinkofourentrepreneursourbusinessmen,
wehavetothinkthenewparadigmsinwhichgrowthmodelshavetooperate.BecausethegoodwillforIndia,thesupportforIndiainthis
areaofactivitygloballyismuchmorethanforChina.
StayontopofbusinessnewswithTheEconomicTimesApp.DownloaditNow!
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