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Bucharest Forum 2016

Fifth Edition
- October 5-7
- JW Marriott Bucharest Grand Hotel A Fulcrum of Strategic Change
Ensuring Stability, Building Resilience, Harnessing Opportunity
For this years edition of the Forum, we see three overarching objectives at a critical moment for the West: strategic
stability, resilience and opportunity.
Three overlapping territorial angles: European, regional and transatlantic with the traditional Bucharest Forums EastWest nexus reading.
Major challenges: a Western societal crisis expressed by both Brexit and the rise of nationalist populism in Europe and the
US; divided societies and a lack of answers to the profound economic, social and cultural changes in our societies including
economic and social justice, territorial development, migration, intercultural and inter-confessional dialogue; a European
institutional crisis showing the limits of the current integration model; external challenges from the east and south
brought about by Russias current engagement strategy and continuous crisis in the Middle East.
Important opportunities: new possible openings created by the Iranian nuclear deal, the need for East-West strategic
cooperation on the Syrian and anti ISIS files, an ambitious new European Global Strategy, the launch of an equally
ambitious NATO-EU cooperation agenda.
Topics for discussion for the fifth edition of the Bucharest Forum:
Keywords: Security, inclusion, climate, energy, technological revolutions, governance, sustainable and just economic
growth, European cohesion, productivity, stability

The perennially shifting target in the south-eastern and eastern European region:

Black Sea maritime security for transatlantic resilience

E-W economic potential and the need for smarter industrial policies, investment and targeted European projects

Good governance as a prerequisite to stability and resilience

Moving from reassurance to deterrence on the Eastern flank:

Romania - Turkey

Romania - Poland

East and South flanks converging

Dialogue with Russia, framework, objectives and the realm of possibilities

How do we get to more and better Europe:

more (inclusive) Europe as the solution

EU ambitions in unclear times

European citizenship: political dynamics in member states and the issue of justice and social and territorial
inclusiveness in an intergovernmental Europe

European cities, urban development and referential identities: the challenge of regionalism, separatism and the
need for flexible and desirable/achievable alternatives.

Maintaining the transatlantic relation and the coherence of the Western narrative and societal identity

The emerging challenges of a post globalization economic model

US elections, Brexit the left behind and the populist extreme: priorities for a new US administration

Defending liberal order, the rise of nationalism and populism

Making deals: trade relations in the era of populism

NATO and EU as the backbone of a new Western global engagement agenda

Preliminary Agenda

October 5

20:00

Bucharest Forum Welcome Dinner (Salon A, Grand Ballroom) (by invitations only)
Mediterranean and Black Seas A Nexus of Security Threats and Economic Opportunities
Calin Ungur, State Councilor to the Prime Minister of Romania (TBC)
H.E. Sorin Ducaru, Assistant Secretary General Emerging Security Challenges, NATO (TBC)
Khalid Chaouki, Member of the Italian Chamber of Deputies, Chair of the Culture Committee,
Parliamentary Assembly of the Union for the Mediterranean (TBC)
H.E. Paul Brummell, Ambassador of the United Kingdom to Romania (TBC)
Moderator: Andrei Tarnea, Executive Director, Aspen Institute Romania

October 6

10:00 10:15

Opening addresses and kickoff (Constanta Ballroom)


Mircea Geoana, President, Aspen Institute Romania
Alina Inayeh, Director of Bucharest Office, German Marshall Fund of the United States

10:15 10:30

Keynote Speech:
Dacian Ciolos, Prime Minister of Romania (TBC)

10:20 11:40

Session 1. Plenary session: Western Liberal Order under Siege? (Constanta Ballroom)
Constantin Ionescu, State Counsellor, National Security Department, Romanian Presidential
Administration
Jan Techau, Director of the Richard C. Holbrooke Forum, American Academy in Berlin
Andrew Moravcsik, Professor of Politics and International Affairs, Director, European Union
Program, Princeton University
Sorana Baciu, Secretary of State, Ministry of Economy, Commerce and the Business Environment
Kadri Liik, Senior Policy Fellow, European Council on Foreign Relations
Arkady Moshes, Programme Director of the EU's Eastern Neighbourhood and Russia Research
Programme, The Finnish Institute of International Affairs
Moderator: Ivan Vejvoda, Senior Vice President, Programs, German Marshall Fund of the United
States

11:40 12:00

Coffee Break

12:00 12:30

Plenary session (Constanta Ballroom): A Conversation with: Volkan Bozkir, Former Minister for
European Union Affairs of Turkey
Moderator: Sanda Nicola, News Anchor, Digi24 (TBC)

12:30 13:45

Session 2. Plenary Session: From Reassurance to Deterrence on the Eastern Flank (Constanta Ballroom)
Keynote addresses (12:30 12:50):
Mihnea Motoc, Minister of National Defence of Romania
Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert, Minister of Defence of the Netherlands

Panelists:
H.E. Sorin Ducaru, Assistant Secretary General for Emerging Security Challenges, NATO (TBC)
Ihor Dolhov, Deputy Minister of Defence of Ukraine for European Integration
Nicolas Tenzer, Chairman, Center for Studies and Research on Political Decision
Rolandas Kainskas, Political Director, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Lithuania
Moderator: Max Hofmann, European Correspondent, Brussels Bureau Chief, Deutsche Welle
13:45 14:30

Lunch Break (Salon B, Grand Ballroom)

14:30 15:30

Session 3. Plenary Session: East-West Corridor Unlocking Economic Potential via Trade,
Technology and Investment. Romania Gateway Project (Constanta Ballroom)
Keynote address: Costin Borc, Minister of Economy, Trade and Relations with the Business
Environment of Romania (TBC)
Manuel Costescu, Secretary of State, Department for Foreign Investments and Public-Private
Partnership, Government of Romania (TBC)
Adrian Curaj, High Representative of the Prime Minister for Development of the Ecosystem Based
on Science, Innovation and Entrepreneurship Associated to the ELI-NP pan-European Infrastructure
Frances Burwell, Vice President, European Union and Special Initiatives, Atlantic Council
Paulo Correa, Practice Manager, Trade and Competitiveness Global Practice, Europe and Central
Asia Region West, The World Bank
Chinese MFA Rep. (TBA)
Moderator: Vasile Iuga, Senior Advisor, PwC Romania

14:30 15:30

Parallel Sessions:
A. Stability and Resilience in the Region through Engagement, Enlargement and Dialog
(Timisoara Meeting Room)
Levente Benk, Deputy State Secretary for Security Policy, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade
Hungary
David Kramer, Senior Director for Human Rights and Democracy, The McCain Institute for
International Leadership
Andrei Kolesnikov, Senior Associate and Chair of the Russian Domestic Politics and Political
Institutions Program, Carnegie Moscow
zgr nlhisarcikli, Director Ankara Office, German Marshall Fund of the United States
Mihnea Constantinescu, Ambassador-at-Large, Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Moderator: Tim Judah, Balkans Correspondent, The Economist
B. Maritime Security in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Black Sea (Galati Meeting Room)
Sebastian Huluban, State Councilor, National Security Department, Romanian Presidential
Administration (TBC)
RADM Alexandru Mirsu, Chief of Staff, Romanian Naval Forces
Pavel Felgenhauer, Analyst, Novaya Gazeta
Mustafa Aydin, Rector, Kadir Has University
Mihai Carp, Deputy Head of Section, Operations Division of the International Staff, NATO
Moderator: Dimitar Bechev, Visiting Scholar, Center for European Studies, Harvard University

15:30 15:45

Coffee Break

15:45 16:15

Plenary Session: A conversation on: Aspen European Strategy Group and Perspectives for the
Transatlantic Link (Constanta Ballroom)
Marta Dass, Senior Director, European Affairs, The Aspen Institute, Editor-in-Chief of Aspen
Institute Italias journal, Aspenia
Elliot Gerson, Executive Vice President of Policy and Public Programs, International Partners, The
Aspen Institute
Rdiger Lentz, Executive Director, Aspen Institute Germany
Mircea Geoana, President, Aspen Institute Romania
Moderator: Alina Inayeh, Director of Bucharest Office, German Marshall Fund of the United States

16:15 16:30

Coffee Break

16:30 18:00

Session 4. Plenary Session: Opportunity for Realignment in the Middle East? (Constanta Ballroom)
Daniela Gitman, Secretary of State for Global Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs (TBC)
Christina Lin, Visiting Academic Fellow, Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
Barbaros Biniciolu, Istanbul's representative, Ankara Policy Center
H.E. Tamar Samash, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the State of Israel in
Romania (TBC)
Koert Debeuf, Visiting Research Fellow, Centre for the Resolution of Intractable Conflict, Oxford
University (TBC)
Moderator: Andrei Tarnea, Executive Director, Aspen institute Romania

20:00 21:30

Bucharest Forum Power Dinner: A Shared Western Vision of the World? (by invitations only)
Carlo Strenger, Professor of Philosophy and Psychology, Tel Aviv University
Cathryn Cluver, Executive Director, The Future of Diplomacy Project, Belfer Center for Science and
International Affairs, Harvard University
Moderator: Alina Inayeh, Director of Bucharest Office, German Marshall Fund of the United States

21:30

Night-owl Sessions (off the record parallel sessions, closed to press by invitation only)
A.

Unity in the New Europe? (Timisoara Meeting Room)


Zsuzsanna Szelnyi, Member of the Hungarian Parliament
Matei Paun, Managing Partner, BAC Investments
Frank Furedi, Sociologist and Social commentator
Anton Pacuretu, Political Director, Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (TBC)
Moderator: Antonia Colibasanu, Senior Analyst, Geopolitical Futures (TBC)

B.

East Side Story (Galati Meeting Room)


Andrei Kolesnikov, Senior Associate and Chair of the Russian Domestic Politics and Political
Institutions Program, Carnegie Moscow Center
Mehmet t, Chairman, Global Resources Partnership, UK

Iulian Fota, Military and and Foreign Policy Analyst


Moderator: Dimitrios Triantaphyllou, Director of the Center for International and European
Studies, Kadir Has University, Turkey
C.

Moldova A Lesson Learned? (Brasov Meeting Room)


Vadim Pistrinciuc, Member of the Parliament of Moldova
Vladimir Socor, Political Analyst of East European Affairs, Jamestown Foundation
Hanna Shelest, Editor-in-Chief, UA: Ukraine Analytica
Dan Dungaciu, Director, Institute of Political Sciences and International Relations of the
Romanian Academy (IRRA)
Moderator: Ovidiu Nahoi, Editor-in-Chief, RFI Romania (TBC)

D.

Southern Surroundings Opportunity of a Pivotal Change in the Middle East (Oradea


Meeting Room)
Marc Franco, Senior Associate Fellow, Egmont Royal Institute for International Relations
Mustafa Aydin, Rector, Kadir Has University
Mohammed Nosseir, Managing Director at Global Marketing Consultancy, Writer on liberal
and reform issues, Former Member of the Political Bureau of the Free Egyptian Party
Moderator: Daniela Schwarzer, Director of Research Institute, German Council on Foreign
Relations

October 7

08:30 - 09:45

Working Breakfast: Nothing New on the Eastern Front? (limited capacity, by prior registration only,
Timisoara Meeting Room)
Orysia Lutsevych, Manager, Ukraine Forum, Chatham House
Hanna Shelest, Editor-in-Chief, Ukraine Analytica
Iulian Groza, Executive Director, Institute for European Policies and Reforms
Andrei Popov, Former Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs and European Integration of Moldova
Moderator: Tim Judah, Balkans Correspondent, The Economist

10:00 10:45

Plenary Session: A conversation on: A New European Strategic Vision (Constanta Ballroom)
Federica Mogherini, High Representative of the European Union for Foreign Affairs and Security
Policy and Vice-President of the European Commission
Lazar Comanescu, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Romania
Moderators: Cristina Cileacu, Journalist, Digi24 and Radu Tudor, Political and Military Analyst
(TBC)

10:45 11:00

Coffee Break

11:00 12:20

Session 5. Plenary Session: A Strong Europe Where Strategy Meets Reality (Constanta Ballroom)
Dragos Tudorache, Minister of Interior of Romania (TBC)

Marta Dassu, Senior Director, European Affairs, The Aspen Institute, Editor-in-Chief of Aspen
Institute Italias journal, Aspenia
Aleksandar Andrija Pejovi, State Secretary for European Integration, Chief Negotiator for
Montenegros Accession to EU, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and European Integration of Montenegro
Frances Burwell, Vice President, European Union and Special Initiatives, Atlantic Council
Daniela Schwarzer, Director of Research Institute, German Council on Foreign Relations
Moderator: Ivan Vejvoda, Senior Vice President, Programs, German Marshall Fund of the United
States
12:20 12:30

Coffee Break

12:30 14:00

Session 6. Plenary Session: Getting Back in Shape Financing the Non Eurozone Economies in an
Era of Uncertainties (Constanta Ballroom)
Mugur Isarescu, Governor, National Bank of Romania (TBC)
Enache Jiru, Secretary of State, Ministry of Public Finance (TBC)
Paul Gheorghiu, Head of Prime Ministers Chancellery (TBC)
Jacek Rostowski, Chairman of the Board, Foundation for Contemporary Liberalism, former Minister
of Finance and Deputy Prime Minister of Poland
Daniel Badea, Managing Partner, Clifford Chance Badea
Steven Van Groningen, President and CEO of Raiffeisen Bank Romania, President of The Council of
Bankers Employers in Romania
Raluca Tintoiu, CEO of NN Pension Fund, President of the Association for Privately Administered
Pensions in Romania (APAPR)
Cezar Scarlat, Head of Abris Romania (TBC)
Moderator: Alexandra Gatej, CEO, Maldon&Wat (TBC)

14:00 14:40

Lunch Break (Grand Ballroom Foyer)

14:40 16:00

Session 7. Plenary Roundtable Session: Give Energy a Chance: Energy Union and Regional
Transformations (Salon D, Grand Ballroom)
Victor Grigorescu, Minister of Energy of Romania
David Monsma, Executive Director, Energy and Environment Program, The Aspen Institute
Azamat Zhangulov, Senior Vice President, KMG International
Mariana Gheorghe, CEO, OMV Petrom (TBC)
Haris Boko, Chief Adviser, Energy Institute Hrvoje Pozar, Croatia
Exxon Rep (TBC)
Moderator: Corina Murafa, Independent Energy Expert (TBC)

16:00 16:15

Closing Remarks