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[DAILY PETROSPECTIVE] June 8, 2010
Early Evening Market Review for Tuesday
Tuesday was one of the least interesting trading days in many months.
Sometimes, these days are preferable to the days with huge advances or
declines, but it often makes it difficult to take something profound or
revealing from that particular day. And this clearly was a day without any
guiding light, any revelation or profound meaning in it.
Oil prices finished reasonably close to home on Tuesday. Crude oil prices
posted minor gains and refined products showed minor losses. Traders seem
to have been waiting for this week’s reports to shed some fresh light on the
markets or on the supply and demand of crude oil or products in these
markets. The API report came out after trading ended.
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CAMERON HANOVER
[DAILY PETROSPECTIVE] June 8, 2010
This week’s American Petroleum Institute (API) statistical survey showed a steep drawdown in crude oil
stocks of 4.544 million barrels. That was much more than expected and was supportive. Distillate stocks
increased by 3.002 million barrels, while gasoline stocks
were up 1.481 million barrels. Both of these builds were
API Report more than expected. Distillate demand came in at 4.074
Crude Stocks dn 4.544 mln bbls million bpd. Gasoline demand came in at a disappointing
Distillate up 3.002 8.817 million bpd. Crude oil imports increased by 728,000
Gasoline up 1.481 bpd and refinery utilization was up by 0.2% to 86.8%.
Utilization up 0.2% to 86.8%
Crude Imports up 0.728 mln to 9.430 mln
This week’s MasterCard SpendingPulse report showed
b d gasoline demand for the latest week down 5.8% to 9.146
million bpd. This suggests that resellers had bought more
than was needed for the Memorial Day weekend. Demand
fell 563,000 bpd, which put it at its lowest level since the week ended February 12th. This latest demand figure
was 1.7% lower than the figure released a year ago. Four‐week average demand is now 9.410 million bpd, up
1.5% against a year ago for the same
aggregate period. Year‐to‐date DOE Expectations
demand is up 1.1%. Category Dow Jones Bloomberg Reuters
Tuesday’s bottom line was that Crude Oil dn 0.700 dn 0.900 dn 0.900 mln bbls
this market is still waiting for a major Distillate up 0.300 up 0.500 up 0.400
event or change. The weekly supply Gasoline dn 0.400 dn 0.500 dn 0.300
and demand statistics (that came out Utilization unchanged unchanged unchanged
after the market had finished) were
more bearish than bullish, but they will not have much time to work on traders before the more definitive DOE
figures come out on Wednesday morning.
Nonetheless, the figures above do tell us something; demand has improved recently, except not in
gasoline. Gasoline is the measure of how many workers are driving – in addition to being a measure of
recreation or free time usage. The fact that gasoline demand is lagging behind the rest of the complex
reinforces the slow progress of employment in this recovery.
Crude Oil Daily Technical Chart
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