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Tech Mahindra
BSE Sensex
25,320
S&P CNX
7,701
CMP: INR520
Neutral
TECHM IN
956.3
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USD b)
497.3/7.4
750/459
1/0/-9
1,721
63.3
41.5
44.2
55.4
Adj. PAT
26.3
29.4
35.8
29.6
33.1
40.3
3.0
12.0
21.4
RoE (%)
24.5
22.1
22.8
RoCE (%)
27.1
23.0
26.2
Payout (%)
20.5
22.6
21.7
P/E (x)
17.6
15.7
12.9
EV/EBITDA (x)
10.2
9.6
7.4
EPS Gr.(%)
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Tech Mahindra
15 December 2015
The acquisition gives TECHM not only an iconic brand, but also best-in-class
design and styling capabilitieswhich are imperative in the Digital world. 60% of
the revenues for Pininfarina came from early-stage engineering services, and
40% from pure design. The engineering services work does not overlap with that
at TECHMtotal overlap is only ~5%.
Europe accounts for 65% of Pininfarinas revenue. Expanding reach to Americas
and APAC was high on the companys agenda; TECHMs reach will enable
2
Tech Mahindra
While acquisition of Design capability is not perplexing in the Digital world which
has seen Wipro buy DesignIt, Eclerx buy CLX and IBM buy Weather company;
M&Ms 40% stake in the transaction remains confounding.
Our FY17E revenue is up 2.2% on account of the integration of the acquisition.
Given the lower operating margin and onsite presence of Pininfarina, the impact
on TECHMs operating margin would be -30bp. The acquisition is likely to be EPS
dilutive to the extent of 0.7%.
15 December 2015
Earlier
FY16E
FY17E
Change
FY16E
FY17E
INR/USD
65.3
67.0
65.3
67.0
0.0%
0.0%
USD Revenue - m
4,110
4,785
4,110
4,682
0.0%
2.2%
12.2
16.4
12.2
13.9
0bp
250bp
16.5
17.3
16.5
17.6
0bp
-33bp
13.6
14.7
13.6
15.0
0bp
-30bp
EPS- INR
33.1
40.3
33.1
40.5
0.0%
-0.7%
Source: Company, MOSL
Tech Mahindra
100
Peak(x)
Min(x)
80
Peak(x)
Min(x)
Avg(x)
17.6
15.0
78.8
60
PB (x)
Median(x)
20.0
10.0
15 December 2015
Dec-15
Jan-15
2.9
Feb-14
Jun-09
Jul-08
Aug-07
Aug-06
Dec-15
Jan-15
Feb-14
Feb-13
Mar-12
3.0
1.2
0.0
Apr-11
Jun-09
Jul-08
Aug-07
Aug-06
May-10
3.8
4.2
5.0
Feb-13
14.0
Mar-12
12.1
Apr-11
16.6
20
May-10
40
Tech Mahindra
Story in charts
Exhibit 4: Telecom prowess reflected in vertical mix
Revenue (USD m)
Others, 6.0
Telecom,
52.0
Manufactur
ing, 18.4
8.9
8.8
977
1,063
1,156
FY10
FY11
FY12
5.4
(0.9)
985
FY09
17.7
18.2
2,633
3,098
3,664
FY13
FY14
FY15
BFSI
400
220
190
270
250
270
300
220
5.8
6.4
5.7
3.8
67.3
125
-0.9
87.3
82
23.3 23.2
21.2
20.5 21.1
-1.9
-1.1
2QFY15
1QFY15
4QFY14
3QFY14
2QFY14
1QFY14
2QFY16
1QFY16
4QFY15
3QFY15
2QFY15
1QFY15
4QFY14
3QFY14
2QFY14
-3.6
1QFY14
10.4
9.9
2QFY16
500
Growth (QoQ %)
3QFY15
1QFY16
Tech,
Media, Ent,
7.8
4QFY15
Retail,
Travel,
Logistics,
6.2
BFSI, 9.6
79
20.2 20.3
18.3
76
15.3 15.0
16.6
73
15 December 2015
2QFY16
1QFY16
4QFY15
3QFY15
2QFY15
1QFY15
4QFY14
3QFY14
2QFY14
1QFY14
4QFY13
3QFY13
2QFY13
1QFY13
2QFY16
1QFY16
4QFY15
3QFY15
2QFY15
1QFY15
4QFY14
3QFY14
2QFY14
1QFY14
4QFY13
3QFY13
2QFY13
1QFY13
70
Tech Mahindra
Exhibit 10: Operating metrics
Operating metrics
Revenue by geography (%)
Americas
Europe
Rest of World
1QFY14 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 3QFY15 4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16
45.1
32.4
22.5
44.2
33
22.8
47.1
30.9
22
44.9
30.6
24.4
46.8
31.1
22.1
49.1
31.2
19.8
48.8
31.4
19.8
45.4
29.8
24.8
47.7
29.4
22.9
48.9
29.3
21.9
49.2
19.2
10.5
9.3
6
5.8
48.3
18.6
10.5
9.4
7.1
6.1
48.8
19
9.1
9.9
6.9
6.3
50.8
18.5
8.6
10.1
6.4
5.6
50.7
17.8
8.9
10.3
6.3
6
52
17.7
8.3
9.7
6.2
6.1
50.9
19.7
7.3
9.8
6.4
5.9
55.3
16.5
7
9.1
6.2
5.9
52.7
17.1
7.3
10
6. 5
6.5
52.9
16.7
8.2
9.6
6.0
6.6
50.9
49.1
51.0
49.0
52.3
47.7
52.7
47.3
53.7
46.3
55.2
44.8
55.3
44.7
61.1
38.9
61.0
39.0
61.7
38.3
Client metrics
No. of active clients
% of repeat business
567
97
576
95
605
92
629
88
632
99
649
97
674
95
767
82
770
99
788
97
215
74
46
25
10
223
77
48
26
10
239
75
47
25
11
239
75
52
27
11
242
80
51
29
11
245
86
50
30
12
254
88
51
32
13
291
96
56
35
13
296
101
60
36
13
298
102
62
36
14
12
37
12
11
36
12
13
37
12
12
38
13
12
37
13
12
40
11
12
37
12
12
33
12
12
33
11
13
32
11
13
53,337
23,269
6,457
83,063
55,432
23,225
6,577
85,234
57,601
23,213
6,585
87,399
60,997
21,830
6,614
89,441
64,095
21,936
6,698
92,729
66,175
22,433
6,701
95,309
14
76
78
14
75
77
15
75
77
15
74
78
16
72
75
18
73
76
19
74
78
97
125.7
615.4
41.2
102
53.5
522.7
23.8
100
55.3
559.7
21.2
96
60.6
600.6
44.6
102
14.3
609.7
43.6
102
10.2
556
38.5
100
10.2
668.4
53.5
15 December 2015
19
74
75
20
77
79
108
104
113
130.2
112
125.7
532.5
514
526.3
40.0
30.9
41.4
Source: Company, MOSL
Tech Mahindra
Exhibit 11: Operating metrics
Operating metrics
Rupee USD Rate
Period closing rate
Period average Rate
1QFY14 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14 1QFY15 2QFY15 3QFY15 4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16
59.39
56.57
62.61
62.91
61.81
61.92
59.92
61.46
60.18
59.87
61.5
60.94
63.04
62.15
62.5
62.07
63.64
63.63
65.58
65.40
50.1
19.2
8.5
7.4
14.8
48.1
19.7
8.7
6.8
16.5
48.8
17.5
9.2
7.1
17.4
48.6
16.4
9.9
7.7
17.4
49.8
16.2
10.2
6.7
17.1
51.5
16.1
10.3
6.4
15.6
51.1
14.9
11.9
5.8
16.4
51.1
12.9
12.6
4.6
18.9
51.1
13.2
11.7
5
18.9
52.4
12.7
11.8
4.5
18.5
267.9
91.58
1081.6
58.22
244.2
92.4
899.3
58.9
211
94.2
771
59.5
170.5
95.3
783.9
60.6
144.3
97.1
1046.8
61.6
123.3
99.9
1224.2
63
108
103.7
1582.5
65.2
187.3
102.1
1370.2
66
Verticals (QoQ)
Telecom
Manufacturing
Tech | Media | Entertainment
BFSI
Retail | Transport | Logistics
Others
Total
6.3
4.8
-9.3
-3.6
3.7
20.3
3.7
2.8
1.4
4.7
5.8
23.9
10.1
4.7
5.4
6.6
-9.6
9.9
1.4
7.8
4.4
8.6
1.6
-1.4
6.4
-3.3
-7.3
4.3
3.5
-0.3
7.3
5.7
2.0
11.1
3.7
7.9
4.6
-1.9
-0.9
3.6
7.0
5.2
0.5
14.3
-9.7
3.8
6.0
-0.7
2.7
15.7
-10.8
2.1
-1.1
3.1
6.5
6.5
-4.2
4.2
4.8
10.4
4.6
9.9
0.5
2.6
-0.2
14.8
-1.9
-4.9
4.6
2.2
11.4
1.8
-6.7
3.7
2.6
6.6
6.1
4.7
11.2
-2.3
0.7
4.4
-0.6
3.3
15.7
4.2
8.0
5.4
-6.1
3.8
10.4
5.6
-5.7
5.3
2.1
3.4
2.7
2.6
-0.9
1.0
33.4
6.5
5.6
-0.8
-7.2
0.5
4.8
1.9
-2.2
2.3
-4.3
3.7
-4.3
1.9
4.7
23.7
7.3
4.4
-3.7
7.1
13.0
4.3
0.9
3.7
3.7
13.8
-11.0
5.2
-5.0
12.0
2.7
-5.0
6.5
6.5
0.5
-7.9
8.9
-0.9
2.2
2.2
1,211
-1,430
173
-46
2,095
-44
120
2,171
2,169
-12
8
2,165
3,396
-1,383
29
2,042
3,098
106
84
3,288
2,080
497
3
2,580
1,417
1,133
150
2,700
Net additions
Software professionals
BPO
Sales and Support
Total
15 December 2015
185 166.8
103 105.8
1459.3 1504.5
68.5
66.6
-340
5,360
-955
-873
1,701 2,119
-217
785
-354
5,272
392 1,562
Source: Company, MOSL
Tech Mahindra
Income Statement
Y/E March
Sales
Change (%)
Total Expenses
EBITDA
% of Net Sales
Depreciation
Interest
Other Income
PBT
Tax
Rate (%)
PAT
Minority Interest & EO items
PAT before EO
Change (%)
Effect of restructuring fees
PAT after RF before EO
Change (%)
Balance Sheet
Y/E March
Share Capital
Reserves
Net Worth
Minority Interest
Loans
Amount pending invest.
Capital Employed
Assets
Investments
Long term loans and adv
Deferred Tax Assets
Other non-current assets
Curr. Assets
Debtors
Cash & Bank Balance
Loans & Advances
Current Investments
Other Current Assets
Current Liab. & Prov
Net Current Assets
Application of Funds
E: MOSL Estimates
15 December 2015
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
876
45.5
2,194
47.5
2,463
74,116
54.4
2,633
83,109
8,993
31,678
73.1
90.5
60.8
3,098
89,441
6,332
34,638
73.1
90.3
61.4
3,664
103,281
13,840
35,471
69.9
91.7
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
46,254
3.6
34,929
11,325
24.5
1,338
2,184
754
8,557
1,440
16.8
7,118
113
8,265
-18.5
-1,663
6,601
-34.9
48,413
4.7
38,518
9,895
20.4
1,435
999
1,174
8,635
1,315
15.2
7,320
653
8,787
6.3
-1,695
7,092
7.4
54,897
13.4
45,703
9,194
16.7
1,614
1,413
1,368
7,535
1,438
19.1
6,097
714
10,918
24.2
-1,618
9,299
31.1
143,320
161.1
112,689
30,631
21.4
3,896
922
2,121
26,334
6,479
24.6
19,855
301
19,554
79.1
-1,340
18,214
95.9
188,313
31.4
146,477
41,836
22.2
5,221
673
1,129
37,071
9,790
26.4
27,281
336
26,945
37.8
-1,117
25,828
41.8
224,779
19.4
183,635
41,144
18.3
6,079
297
1,006
35,774
9,472
26.5
26,302
310
25,992
-3.5
0
25,992
0.6
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
1,223
25,268
26,491
139
13,672
1,260
32,254
33,514
159
12,227
1,275
42,032
43,307
0
11,266
40,302
6,043
30,145
51,737
6,170
29,080
54,573
6,868
35,876
276
638
998
19,346
10,420
2,187
6,725
23,455
12,468
2,666
8,315
20,437
13,172
2,418
4,845
14
16,342
3,004
42,676
6
8,711
14,744
51,737
2
11,235
9,202
54,573
2,316
66,214
68,530
1,349
14,702
12,304
96,885
22,318
12,429
7,433
3,477
219
89,634
33,688
34,629
12,925
1,745
6,647
41,220
48,414
96,885
2,335
89,469
91,804
1,453
8,420
12,304
113,981
28,606
12,194
9,137
3,830
157
105,472
43,486
33,202
14,544
2,525
11,715
45,415
60,057
113,981
4,804
117,682
122,486
1,604
11,287
12,304
147,681
40,329
12,987
12,755
3,901
306
122,526
52,059
24,049
18,728
8,041
19,649
50,800
71,726
147,680
2016E
65.3
4,110
114,416
11,135
35,923
75.2
92.4
2017E
67.0
4,785
130,474
16,058
36,676
77.4
92.4
(INR Million)
2016E
2017E
268,357
19.4
224,195
44,162
16.5
7,710
750
3,780
39,482
9,827
24.9
29,655
210
29,445
13.3
0
29,445
13.3
320,612
19.5
265,186
55,426
17.3
8,263
716
1,977
48,424
12,348
25.5
36,076
320
35,756
21.4
0
35,756
21.4
(INR Million)
2016E
2017E
4,812
139,166
143,977
1,703
10,935
12,304
168,919
42,155
13,216
12,361
4,775
517
136,810
58,447
23,092
18,584
13,244
23,442
47,638
89,172
168,919
4,812
165,008
169,820
1,703
7,700
12,304
191,527
43,892
16,716
12,361
4,775
517
160,992
69,257
32,192
18,584
13,244
27,715
54,449
106,543
191,527
Tech Mahindra
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016E
2017E
13.5
12.6
15.2
54.1
0.9
6.9
14.1
13.6
16.3
66.5
1.0
7.4
18.2
17.6
20.7
84.9
1.0
5.7
22.5
22.0
28.2
81.4
5.0
23.1
31.6
30.7
36.9
112.3
5.0
16.3
30.2
29.3
36.1
142.2
6.0
20.5
34.0
33.1
41.8
166.4
7.5
22.6
41.3
40.3
49.6
196.2
8.8
21.7
17.0
14.1
9.3
2.1
4.6
1.0
17.8
14.4
10.2
1.9
3.7
1.2
15.7
12.4
9.6
1.6
3.1
1.4
12.9
10.5
7.4
1.3
2.7
1.7
30.7
30.8
25.7
18.4
26.0
14.3
32.6
35.3
36.4
34.7
24.5
26.8
22.1
23.0
22.8
26.2
77
4.5
86
4.0
85
3.9
60
5.8
75
7.0
78
6.0
75
5.7
73
6.4
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
CF from Operations
9,549
15,717
3,692
14,259
33,935
32,040
34,139
42,758
2,283
-11,261
7,778
-7,608
-12,302
-8,874
-13,590
-11,414
21,634
23,167
20,550
31,344
Other adjustments
Net Operating CF
Net Purchase of FA
(INR Million)
2016E
2017E
37,353
11,832
4,455
11,470
6,651
-4,069
541
-2,836
-3,099
-7,854
-21,365
-16,773
-11,044
-29,868
1,606
-9,632
-5,039
-16,393
-30,415
-12,132
-11,707
1,670
-3,548
-528
1,032
19
2,469
13,672
-1,445
-961
-7,036
-1,305
2,396
-885
-624
-501
-590
-597
-750
-5,381
-6,771
-8,497
-9,913
14,841
-5,582
-2,086
-6,754
-6,668
-1,905
-9,374
-10,537
-3,195
479
-248
32,211
-1,427
-9,154
-956
9,099
5,382
2,187
2,666
2,418
34,629
33,202
24,048
23,092
15 December 2015
-3,195
479
-248
32,211
-1,427
-9,154
-956
9,099
2,187
2,666
2,418
34,629
33,202
24,048
23,092
32,191
Disclosures
This document has been prepared by Motilal Oswal Securities Limited (hereinafter referred to as Most) to provide information about the company(ies) and/sector(s), if any, covered in the report and may
be distributed
by it and/or its
Tech
Mahindra
affiliated company(ies). This report is for personal information of the selected recipient/s and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice to you. This research report does not constitute an offer, invitation or
inducement to invest in securities or other investments and Motilal Oswal Securities Limited (hereinafter referred as MOSt) is not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not for public distribution and has been furnished to
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