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Monthly Update

October 17, 2016

Health Check

Sector View
Positive

India, EMs to support Q2FY17 besides US

Index Performance as on October 14, 2016


Return (%)
Return (%)

1M

3M

YTD

1Y

CNX 500

1.3

8.8

11.4

12.7

Nifty

1.3

6.8

10.5

10.0

NSE Pharma

1.2

10.4

-1.9

-7.7

Stocks Performance
Mcap

Return (%)
Company

1M

3M

YTD

1Y

14-Oct

Sun Pharma.Inds.

-0.6

5.8

-5.0

Lupin

-1.9

6.6

-15.9

-17.8

69689

-13.5 187445

Dr Reddy's Labs

4.7

3.4

1.4

-20.3

52244

Cipla

8.0

24.4

-7.4

-7.4

48323

Aurobindo Pharma

5.6

12.0

-7.8

13.5

47261

Cadila Health.

4.9

24.1

19.5

-1.6

40069

Divi's Lab.

2.3

19.0

15.1

19.0

35287

Torrent Pharma.

4.2

21.6

12.7

13.8

27360

Glenmark Pharma.

4.0

18.1

-2.4

-12.0

25394

Glaxosmit Pharma

-10.0

-20.0

-15.2

-16.1

23806

Biocon

11.6

30.5

82.5

114.9

18911

Apollo Hospitals

-5.8

0.4

-10.5

-3.8

18251

Ajanta Pharma

-0.2

34.1

47.6

35.8

17298

Alembic Pharma

1.1

20.3

-6.2

-5.8

12310

Natco Pharma

-0.8

26.9

10.0

41.2

11094

Jubilant Life

24.1

84.3

52.7

81.3

10007

Wockhardt

11.8

-1.0

-41.7

-35.4

9851

Syngene Int.

13.8

17.9

15.7

49.7

9641

Strides Arcolab

4.6

-5.2

-20.0

-14.1

9211

Pfizer

4.7

5.9

-15.3

-22.4

9140

Ipca Labs.

20.2

-20.3

-22.2

7457

8.1

25.7

1.2

1.1

3051

Unichem Labs.

-2.7

1.1

-1.6

-3.6

Market cap in | crore

Price movement

Oct-15

12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
Jan-16

Apr-16

CNX Pharma

Jul-16

On the regulatory front, Cipla has received an establishment inspection


report (EIR) from the USFDA for its Indore facility indicating formal closure
of the USFDA inspection conducted in July/September, 2015. However, it
has also received four observations from the USFDA for the Goa plant.
Alembic Pharma has also received EIR for its Panelav formulation plant at
Gujarat regarding inspection carried out in March 2016.

On the approvals front, Jubilant Life Sciences received USFDA 505 (b)(2)
approval (new drug application) for nuclear medicine Ruby-Fill (Rubidium
2389 M 82). The product is expected to be launched in Q3FY17. As per
management estimates, the current US market size is US$76 million and has
the potential to grow up to US$250 million annually in the next five years.

15.2

Indoco Remedies

15000
14000
13000
12000
11000
10000
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000

In Q2FY17, the I-direct healthcare universe revenues are expected to grow


~9% YoY to | 38020 crore led by growth in the US and India. Similarly, the
normalised currency impact in most emerging markets (EMs) along with
price hikes in Brazil and launches of new products across EMs are likely to
support overall growth. Venezuela issues, however, would continue to
impact Dr Reddys (DRL) and Glenmark. US sales from the select pack are
expected to grow ~12% to | 10119 crore on the back of 1) rupee
depreciation vis--vis US$ (~3% YoY), 2) exclusivity sales (gGleevec by
Sun, gGlumetza by Lupin) 3) consolidation of acquisitions and 4)
incremental product launches & price hikes (gFortamet by Lupin). However,
increased competition in existing products especially in gAbilify, gNexium
and price erosions elsewhere may partly offset overall US growth. On the
domestic formulations front, despite continued NLEM/FDC issues, growth is
likely to be 10% YoY to | 8244 crore (selected pack) on the back of a
favourable seasonality benefit over and above the volume growth and new
launches. We expect the EBITDA of the I-direct healthcare universe to grow
~9% YoY to | 9772 crore on a higher base. EBITDA margins are likely to
remain strong at ~26% YoY due to a better product mix. Net profit of the Idirect healthcare coverage is expected to grow 11.9% YoY to | 6085 crore.
Higher net profit growth vis--vis EBITDA was on account of lower interest
expenses and taxation.

Oct-16

Nifty (RHS)

Research Analyst
Siddhant Khandekar
siddhant.khandekar@icicisecurities.com
Mitesh Shah
mitesh.sha@icicisecurities.com

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Finally, on the domestic front, the Indian pharmaceutical market (IPM) grew
12.8% in Q2FY17. The growth was mainly driven by volume increase
6.7% followed by new product launches 3.3% and price hikes - 2.8%. On
a MAT basis, IPM growth was at 10.9% YoY to | 103820 crore.
Earnings likely to stabilise; regulatory worries waning
Despite pricing pressure and client consolidation in the US, most players
(barring a few) may manage to maintain growth mainly due to accelerated
new product approvals and market share gains in existing products thereby
neutralising these headwinds. Regarding USFDA issues, Indian players have
moved on and seem better prepared than 12-18 months ago as reflected in
the growing number of EIRs by the USFDA for Indian facilities. Indian
formulations are also likely to do well despite NLEM/FDC issues. Overall, in
the long run, we expect earnings momentum to continue on the back of
incremental product launches in the US and likely positive outcome from
the USFDA re-inspections besides normalising of Indian formulations
growth. We expect healthcare universe revenues, EBITDA and PAT to grow
at a CAGR of 12%, 13% and 16%, respectively, in FY16-18E. The growth is
expected to be steered by US (~13% CAGR over FY16-18E) and Indian
formulations (~14% CAGR over FY16-18E).

Regulatory approvals
Exhibit 1: Summary of USFDA approvals for Sep, 2016
[5

Company
Cipla
Taro Pharma
Glenmark Pharma
Ajanta Pharma
Glenmark Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Cipla (Invagen)
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Sun Pharma
Lupin

Drug Name
Darifenacin ER
Naftifine HCL
Lidocaine
Aripiprazole
Diclofenac Sodium
Eszopiclone tablets
Amlodipine Besylate; Valsartan
Darifenacin ER
Ayuna (Ethinyl Estradiol; Levonorgestrel)
Incassia (Norethindrone)
Zoledronic Acid
Memantine Hydrochloride
Memantine Hydrochloride

Company
Lupin
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma

Drug Name
SILODOSIN
DOLUTEGRAVIR
Abacavir Sulfate;Lamivudine tablets
Tadalafil

Final Approvals
Therapeutic Area
Urinary
Anti-Infective
Dermatology
CNS
Anti-inflammatory
Insomnia
CVS
Urinary
OC
OC
hypercalcemia
CNS
CNS
Tentative Approvals
Therapeutic Area
Urinary
Antiviral
HIV
CVS

Innovator company
APIL
MERZ PHARMS
Astrazeneca
Otsuka
Fougera Pharma
Sepracor
Novartis
APIL
NA
NA
Novartis
Forest Labs
Forest Labs

Generic Version of
ENABLEX ER
NAFTIN
Xylocaine
Abilify
Solaraze
Lunesta
Exforge
ENABLEX ER
NA
NA
Zometa
Namenda
Namenda

Market Size
US$ 85 million
NA
US$ 373 million
NA
US$ 298 million
NA
US$ 123 million
US$ 85 million
NA
NA
NA
US$ 1.22 billion
US$ 1.22 billion

Innovator company
Allergan
ViiV Healthcare
ViiV Healthcare
Eli Lilly

Generic Version of
RAPAFLO
Tivicay
Epzicom
Adcirca

Market Size
NA
NA
NA
NA

CNS: Central Nervous System; CVS: Cardiovascular, GI: Gastro Intestinal, NA: Not available;
Source: USFDA, ICICIdirect.com Research

M&As, demergers, tie-ups and JVs

Syngene purchases assets from Strand Life Sciences


Syngene has purchased the assets of Strand Life Sciences related to
systems biology, Heptox and pharma bioinformatics services. This includes
the target dossier business and rights to NGS data analytics and Sarchitect
platforms, supported by a strong scientific team. Financial details of the deal
were not disclosed.
Sun Pharma signs deal with ICGEB in India to develop dengue vaccine
Sun Pharma has signed a deal with the Delhi unit of the International Centre
for Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology (ICGEB) to develop a dengue
vaccine. This would be the first time a vaccine has been developed entirely
in India for a vector-borne disease.
Cadila goes for collaboration for anti-malaria drug
Cadila and Medicines for Malaria Venture (MMV) have announced a
collaboration to develop the investigational anti-malarial compound,
MMV674253. Cadila will lead the development of the novel compound and
MMV will provide support, including scientific expertise and access to tools
in malaria drug development and delivery.
Lupin, MonoSol Rx announce licensing agreement
Lupin Pharma and MonoSol Rx have entered into a strategic licensing
agreement wherein Lupin would develop multiple paediatric products
utilising MonoSol Rxs proprietary PharmFilm drug delivery technology.
MonoSol Rxs PharmFilm technology is a drug delivery platform that
provides precision dosing in the form of a quick-dissolving, taste-masked
and easy-to-administer dissolvable film.
Price cuts, new launches, recalls, approvals

~100 Medicines removed from NPPA list


~100 medicines, including alzheimer's, diabetes and hypertension have
been removed from the national list of essential medicines (NLEM).
Overruling a previous order by the drug price regulator, the Centre has
allowed firms to hike prices of medicines no longer part of the NLEM.
Lupin recall drugs in the US

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 2

Lupin Pharma is recalling 3,192 bottles (319,200 tablets) of Escitalopram


(antidepressant) from the US due to incorrect or missing lot and/or expiry
date. As per reports, the recalls fall under a class III category. The drug was
manufactured at Lupins Goa plant.
Sun Pharma recalls drugs in US
Sun Pharma is recalling 31762 bottles of bupropion hydrochloride extended
- release tablets used for treatment of major depressive disorder in the US
due to failed dissolution specifications. This recalls is considered under
class III recall category
Jubilant receives USFDA approval for Ruby-Fill
Through one of its units Jubilant DraxImage Inc. Montreal Canada, Jubilant
Life has received USFDA 505 (b)(2) approval (new drug application) for
Ruby-Fill. Ruby-Fill is used for Positron Emission Tomography (PET)
imaging of the myocardium under rest or pharmacologic stress conditions
to evaluate regional myocardial perfusion in adult patients with suspected
or existing coronary artery disease. The product is expected to be launched
in Q3FY17. The current estimated US market size is US$76 million.
Jubilant receives Australian approval for lyophilised kit
Through one of its units Jubilant DraxImage Inc. Montreal Canada (JDI),
Jubilant Life has received approval from TGA, Australia for lyophilised kit for
the preparation of Technetium 99m Macro-Aggregated Albumin (MAA)
Injection (nuclear medicine). MAA provides accurate scans to assess lung
perfusion and rule out pulmonary embolism with low radiation exposure.
Unichem recalls 368 bottle bottles of Lamotrigine tablets in US
Unichem is recalling 368 bottles of Lamotrigine tablets, used for treating
epilepsy and bipolar disorder in the US due to incorrect imprint debossed
on tablets. This recall has been considered under class III recall category.
Cadila to launch immunosuppressant drug in India
Cadila Healthcare has partnered with Neovii (Switzerland) to launch
Grafalon in India. Grafalon is use to reduce the strength of the bodys
immune system. The drug is extensively used in solid organ transplants and
stem cell transplant. As per the company, the market for transplant-immuno
therapies is estimated at | 483 crore.
Lawsuits, court rulings, settlements, regulatory issues

Cipla gets four observations from USFDA for three plants in Goa
Cipla has got four observations from USFDA for three of its manufacturing
facilities in Goa. As per the management, these observations were
procedural in nature. The company has already responded to the USFDA
Alembic receives EIR for Panelav facility
Alembic Pharma has received an establishment inspection report (EIR) from
USFDA for its Panelav formulation plant at Gujarat for the inspection carried
out in March 2016.
NPPA slashes prices of over 30 essential medicines
The National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA) has slashed prices of
over 30 essential medicines in a move would make several cancer
medicines and antibiotics cheaper. According to the body, prices of some
medicines have been slashed by as much as 55%.
Cipla receives EIR from USFDA for three Indore plants
Cipla has received an EIR from the USFDA for its Indore facility indicating
formal closure of the USFDA inspection conducted in July/September,
2015. US was 15% of total sales in FY16. A majority of the companys US
filings from India are from this facility. Although the financial impact may
not be material, this bodes well for approval continuum in the future.

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 3

Others

Apollo, Italy's KOS group launch medical rehabilitation hospital


Apollo Hospitals and KOS Group of Italy on Thursday announced the
opening of an exclusive rehabilitation centre for post-operation care to
patients.
Jubilant Life Sciences raises US$300 million via bond
Jubilant has raised US$300 million through issuance of five-year bonds.
Jubilant has successfully completed the pricing of its rated unsecured high
yield bonds (notes) at a yield of 4.875% issued at par for US$300 million
maturing in September 2021. The net proceeds of the notes will be used to
prepay the existing debt of Jubilant Pharma and its subsidiaries, for
upstreaming up to US$50 million to Jubilant Life Sciences for prepayment
of its existing debts and general corporate purposes.
Dr Reddy's forays into Colombian market
Dr Reddy's has announced its entry into the Colombian market with its
portfolio of cancer drugs.
Aurobindo Pharma promoter sells stake to KKR for personal reason
As per media sources, the founders of Aurobindo Pharma have sold 3-4%
stake to the KKR for their personal fund requirement.
Bombay HC orders Sun Pharma to cough up pending wages
The Bombay High Court has rejected a writ petition filed by Sun Pharma
against an order of the Maharashtra Industrial Court asking the company to
pay pending wages of 86 sales representatives. The Federation of Medical
and Sales Representatives Associations of India had filed a lawsuit against
Sun Pharma in June, alleging that the company was engaging in unfair
labour practices after it withheld salary and expenses of the sales
representatives since May.

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 4

Exhibit 2: Patent litigations (12 months)


[5

Month
Oct-15
Oct-15
Oct-15
Oct-15
Oct-15
Oct-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Dec-15
Dec-15
Dec-15
Dec-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Jan-16
Feb-16
Feb-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jun-16
Jun-16
Jun-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Jul-16
Jul-16
Jul-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16
Sep-16

Innovator

ANDA Filer

Merck
Lupin
Salix Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Taro Pharma
Takeda Pharma
Aurobindo
Janssen Pharma
Aurobindo
Novartis Pharma
Natco Pharma
Otsuka Pharma
Zydus Pharma
AstraZeneca
Alembic Pharma
AstraZeneca
InvaGen Pharma
Novartis Pharma
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Allergan
Aurobindo Pharma
Shire Pharma
Lupin
Dexcel Pharma
Sun Pharma
Dexcel Pharma
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Cephalon Inc.
Aurobindo Pharma
Cosmo Techs
Lupin
Pfizer
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Vanda Pharma
Lupin
Forest Labs
InvaGen Pharma
Jazz Pharma
Sun Pharma
Otsuka Pharma
Alkem Labs
Symed Labs
Glenmark Pharma
UCB Inc.
InvaGen Pharma
Unimed Pharma
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Helsinn Healthcare
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Sanofi-Aventis
Glenmark Pharma
Otsuka Pharma
Ajanta Pharma
Merz Pharma
Taro Pharma
Dow Pharma
Taro Pharma
Cubist Pharma
Dr. Reddy's Labs
Bayer Pharma
InvaGen Pharma
Bristol Myers Squibb
Cipla
Janssen Products LP
Lupin
Shire Canada
Lupin
Daiichi Sankyo
Torrent Pharma
Daiichi Sankyo
Alembic Pharma
Daiichi Sankyo
Aurobindo Pharma
Apicore
Aurobindo Pharma
UCB, Inc.
Aurobindo Pharma
Gilead
Aurobindo Pharma
Janssen Biotech
Glenmark Pharma
Sanofi-Aventis
Cadila Healthcare
Sanofi-Aventis
Cadila Healthcare
Roche
Cadila
AstraZeneca AB
Aurobindo
Hyperion Therapeutics
Lupin
Gilead Sciences, Inc.
Aurobindo
Lupin
InvaGen Pharma
Gilead Sciences Inc
Hetero
Shire LLC
Alkem Lab
AbbVie Inc.
Amgen Inc.
Galderma Laboratories, LP
SEEGPharm
Reckitt Benckiser Inc.
Sun Pharma
Takeda Pharma
Dexcel Pharma
Dexcel
Aurobindo
Shionogi Inc
Hi-Tech Pharmacal
Nestle Skin Health
Perrigo Co.
Pfizer
Aurobindo
Arena Pharma
Lupin
Brigham and Women's Hospital InSun Pharma
Brigham and Women's Hospital InStrides Inc.
Brigham and Women's Hospital InCipla
Eli Lilly and Co., ICOS Corp.
Cipla
Brigham and Women's Hospital InAurobindo
Eli Lilly and Co., ICOS Corp.
Alembic Pharma

Brand Name
Beyaz
Moviprep
Prevacid
Xarelto
Gleevec
Abilify
Brilinta
Brilinta
Exelon Patch
Acular LS
Lialda
Omeprazole
Omeprazole
Nuvigili
Uceris
Toviaz
Fanapt
Viibryd
Xyrem
Abilify
Zyvox
Zyrtec-D
Androgel
Aloxi
Multaq
Abilify
Naftin
Onexton
Cubicin
Xarelto
Reyataz
Prezista
Daliresp
Benicar
Benicar
Benicar
LYMPHAZURIN
VIMPAT
EMTRIVA
ZYTIGA
MOZOBIL
MOZOBIL
Aloxi
Nexium 24HR
RAVICTI
Truvada
Antara
Complera
Fosrenol
Humira
Metrogel
Mucinex
Prevacid
Prilosec
Ulesfia
MIRVASO
Toviaz
Belviq
Sensipar
Sensipar
Sensipar
CIALIS
Sensipar
CIALIS

API
Used for
Drospirenone
Birth control
Polyethylene glycol electrolyte soln
Gastro Intestinal
lansoprazole
Stomach ulcers
Rivaroxaban
Blood Thinner
Matinib Mesylate
Anti-cancer
Aripiprazole
Schizophrenia
Ticagrelor
CVS
Ticagrelor
CVS
Rivastigmine
Dementia
Ketorolactromethamine
Ocular Pain
Mesalamine
Ulcerative Colitis
Omeprazole
GI
Omeprazole
GI
Modafinil
CNS
Budesonide
GI
Fesoterodine
Urotherapy
Iloperidone
Schizophrenia
Vilazodone
Anti-depressant
Gamma-hydroxybutyric acid
CNS
Aripiprazole
Schizophrenia
Linezolid
Anti-Infective
Cetirizine
Respiratory
Testosterone
Low Testosterone
Palanosetron
Nausea
Dronedarone
Atrial Fibrillation
Aripiprazole
Schizophrenia
Naftifine Hydrochloride
Fungal Infection
Cindamycin Phosphate and Benzoyl Peroxide Acne
Daptomycin
Antibiotic
Rivaroxaban
Blood Thinner
Atazanavir
HIV
Darunavir
HIV
Roflumilast
Respiratory
Olmesartan
Anti-depressant
Olmesartan
Anti-depressant
Olmesartan
Anti-depressant
isosulfan blue
lymphatic imaging agent
lacosamide
partial-onset seizures
emtricitabine
HIV
abiraterone
Oncology
plerixafor
non-Hodgkin's lymphoma
plerixafor
non-Hodgkin's lymphoma
palonosetron hydrochloride
prevention of acute nausea
esomeprazole magnesium
treatment of acid reflux
Glycerol Phenylbutyrate
urea cycle disorders
emtricitabine / tenofovir disoproxil fumarate HIV
fenofibrate
hypercholesterolemia; dyslipidem
Emtricitabine; Rilpivirine Hydrochloride; TenofoHIV
lanthanum carbonate
end stage renal disease
adalimumab
immunosuppressant
metronidazole
rosacea
guaifenesin / pseudoephedrine hydrochloride bronchial congestion
lansoprazole
stomach ulcers
Omeprazole
Heartburn
benzyl alcohol
anti-parasite
brimonidine
Dermatology
fesoterodine fumarate
overactive bladder
lorcaserin
weight loss
cinacalcet hydrochloride
hyper parathyroidism; hyper calc
cinacalcet hydrochloride
hyper parathyroidism; hyper calc
cinacalcet hydrochloride
hyper parathyroidism; hyper calc
tadalafil
erectile dysfunction
cinacalcet hydrochloride
hyper parathyroidism; hyper calc
tadalafil
erectile dysfunction

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 5

Therapy wise performance (| crore)


Therapy
Sep' 16 Sep' 15 YoY (%) Aug' 16 MoM (%)
Anti-Infectives
1558
1460
6.7
1564
-0.4
Cardiac
1127
1007
11.9
1122
0.4
GI
1117
1007
10.9
1136
-1.6
Vitamins
862
764
12.8
852
1.2
Anti Diabetic
810
675
20.0
816
-0.7
Respiratory
779
667
16.8
773
0.9
Pain
711
625
13.7
696
2.1
Neuro
570
509
11.9
553
3.1
Derma
562
508
10.8
555
1.3
Gynaecological
478
439
8.7
475
0.6
Ophthal
167
153
9.5
163
2.9
Vaccines
168
163
2.9
163
2.9
Hormones
169
148
14.2
159
6.4
Anti-Neoplastics
185
127
45.8
149
24.1
Blood Related
108
103
4.8
111
-2.4
Others
140
91
53.3
115
21.6
Urology
106
92
14.6
105
1.2
Anti Malarials
81
79
2.7
78
5.0
Sex Stimulants
50
42
18.1
48
5.2
Stomatologicals
44
38
14.4
43
2.9
Source: AIOCD data base

The Indian pharmaceutical market (IPM) grew 12.6% YoY to | 9792


crore in September. The growth was mainly driven by volumes increase
6.5% followed by new product launches 3.4% and price hikes- 2.7%
The fixed dosage combination (FDCs) related market de-grew 23.5%,
impacting overall growth by ~1%
Drugs under NLEM list declined 1.0% to | 1105 crore while non-NLEM
drugs posted growth of 15.0% to | 8287 crore. Volume growth in NLEM
and non-NLEM was 7.6% and 5.4%, respectively
Among companies under I-direct coverage, Dr Reddys, Unichem,
Lupin, Indoco and Sun registered robust growth of 22.2%, 21.5%,
19.6%, 18.1% and 17.0%, respectively. Ajanta, Alembic, Torrent and
Ipca registered slower than industry growth. Cipla registered muted
growth despite strong growth in domestic respiratory segment
Therapy wise, 10 therapies outpaced IPM growth. Notable among them
with growth rates- anti-diabetic 20.0%, respiratory16.8% and
pain/analgesics 13.7%
In all, 270 new brands were launched in September 2016
On a MAT basis, IPM growth was at 10.9% YoY to | 103820 crore
Domestic companies have grown 13.3% while MNC companies have
grown 10.0% in September 2016

Exhibit 3: Domestic formulations - growth trend

Top brands in Indian pharma market

12.6

10.2
7.0

4.9

7.3

20

15.6

Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Feb-16
12.8

Apr-16

Jan-16
10.4

Mar-16

Dec-15
13.3

10

10.4

15

5
0
-5

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

25

13.8

(%)

10.2 11.2

12.0

Unichem

Torrent

17.0

8.3

9.9

Sun Pharma

Pfizer

Lupin

Novartis

21.5

19.6

18.1

15
10

Ipca Labs

22.2

20

Source: AIOCD data base ; As per AIOCD MAT Sep 2016

Indoco

GSK Pharma

Glenmark

DRL

Cipla

Cadila

Biocon

Exhibit 4: Companies growth in domestic market in September, 2016


Alembic

SubChronic,
20912,
20.1%

Ajanta

Acute,
50238,
48.4%

Nov-15

20

Industry acute to chronic therapy ratio percentage


Chronic,
32670,
31.5%

10.0

25

23.1Oct-15

Sep-15

Sep' 15 Gr. (%)


259.2
22.9
270.3
15.8
244.0
27.4
222.0
35.8
327.4 -10.6
222.8
15.5
202.5
19.6
253.9 -13.2
163.2
28.5
182.6
14.5

(%)

Brand
Company Therapy
Sep' 16
318.5
Spasmo Prox Wockhardt GI
Corex
Pfizer
Respiratory
312.8
Lantus
Sanofi
Anti Diabetic
310.7
Galvus Met Novartis
Anti Diabetic
301.4
Anti-Infectives 292.8
Augmentin GSK
Clavam
Alkem
Anti-Infectives 257.3
Volini
Ranbaxy
Pain
242.1
Becosules Sun Pharma Vitamins
220.3
Voveran
Novartis
Pain
209.8
Pan
Alkem
GI
209.0
Source: AIOCD data base

IPM grows 12.6% in September

9.3
3.7
2.4

0.4

0
-5

-2.9

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 6

Therapy wise performance (| crore)

The Indian pharmaceutical market (IPM) grew 12.8% YoY to | 28641


crore in Q2FY17. The growth was mainly driven by volumes increase
6.7% followed by new product launches 3.3% and price hikes- 2.8%
The fixed dosage combination (FDCs) related market de-grew 16.0% to
| 586 crore
Drugs under the NLEM list increased 2.3% to | 3279 crore while nonNLEM drugs posted growth of 14.7% to | 24169 crore. Volume growth
in NLEM was 11.4% while it declined 6.5% in non-NLEM
Among companies under I-direct coverage, Indoco, Unichem, Ipca,
Alembic, Sun, Lupin, Dr Reddys and Glenmark have outperformed IPM
growth
Therapy wise, nine therapies have outpaced IPM growth. Notable
among them with growth rates - anti diabetic 17.8%, respiratory
25.2%, anti-malaria 20.2% and anti-infective 13.6%.
Domestic companies have grown 14.0% while MNCs have grown 8.3%

Exhibit 5: Domestic formulations - quarterly growth trend


19.0
17.0
15.0
13.0
11.0
9.0
7.0
5.0
3.0
1.0
-1.0
-3.0

(%)

Therapy
Q2FY17 Q2FY16 YoY (%) Q1FY17 QoQ (%)
Anti-Infectives
4532
3988
13.6
3510
29.1
Cardiac
3336
3030
10.1
3262
2.3
GI
3384
3048
11.0
3204
5.6
Vitamins
2541
2313
9.8
2395
6.1
Anti Diabetic
2395
2032
17.8
2280
5.0
Respiratory
2238
1788
25.2
1640
36.5
Pain
2058
1822
12.9
1760
17.0
Neuro
1649
1519
8.6
1600
3.1
Derma
1645
1505
9.3
1544
6.5
Gynaecological
1427
1304
9.5
1378
3.6
Ophthal
485
456
6.3
505
-4.1
Vaccines
503
484
3.9
428
17.7
Hormones
476
423
12.7
418
13.9
Anti-Neoplastics
479
418
14.5
399
20.0
Blood Related
326
308
5.8
301
8.4
Others
361
262
38.1
293
23.1
Urology
312
276
13.1
302
3.3
Anti Malarials
219
182
20.2
100 118.7
Sex Stimulants
145
127
14.5
139
4.4
Stomatologicals
129
115
12.1
124
4.3
Source: AIOCD data base

IPM grows 12.8% in Q2FY17

16.8
13.6
1.5

14.8

3.3
5.2

3.3

8.4

6.6

Q2FY15 Q3FY15

Volumes

2QFY16

Price Increases

2.9

6.4

2.8

3.1
6.7

4.2

Q4FY15 1QFY16

3.3

9.3
5.0

4.6

2.5

12.8

3.0

3.0

4.8

5.1

7.5

11.9

3.3

10.9

4.6

14.7

5.0
1.4

3QFY16 4QFY16

6.7

4.4

-1.0
1QFY17 2QFY17

New Products
[

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

30.0

20.6

20.0

17.7

16.4

14.8

(%)

15.0

5.0

Cadila

26.4

25.0

10.0

Unichem

Torrent

Sun Pharma

Sanofi

Pfizer

Novartis

Lupin

Ipca

Indoco

Glenmark

GSK Pharma

Dr Reddy's

Cipla

Biocon

Alembic

Ajanta

Exhibit 6: Company wise growth trends in Q2FY17

9.1

7.4

13.7

14.6 14.8

14.5

8.6
5.8
1.7

1.4

8.7

4.1

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 7

Sun Pharmaceuticals

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

150
130
110
90
70
50

Chronic,
4123, 45.5%

Oct-15

SubChronic,
1238, 13.7%

Acute,
3691, 40.8%

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-16

CNX Pharma

Aug-16

Oct-16

Sun Pharma

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

21 to 30

31 to 50

Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16
10.2

12.6
17.0

15.6
20.3

Indian Pharma Market

11 to 20

3.3

7.6

7.0

9.0
4.9
5.2

4.5
0

Top 10

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

20.3
12.8

10.4

7.3
12.3

7%
9%

8.2

13.3

18.1

10

9.9

57%

10.0

9%

10.4
12.5

(%)

15

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

20

18%

5.2

25

Nov-15

Sep-15

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

23.1Oct-15

Exhibit 7: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth


Source: AIOCD data base

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries

Others

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 8: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 9: Top 10 brands performance

9.6
9.0

Therapy

Volini

Pain

(| crore)

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)


23.5

18.2

29.1

22.1

6.0
-3.0

Rosuvas

Cardiac

16.5

12.8

28.1

17.0

Istamet

Anti Diabetic

17.4

12.5

39.3

16.6

4.7

7.8

Gemer

Anti Diabetic

17.5

12.6

38.4

17.4

0.3

7.2

Levipil

Neuro

15.3

12.3

24.7

14.3

6.6

6.6

Susten

Gynaecological

12.3

11.7

5.1

12.8

-4.1

Pantocid

Gastro Intestinal

13.1

11.6

13.3

13.5

-2.7

Revital H

Vitamins

15.2

9.4

63.0

14.3

6.3

Pantocid Dsr

Gastro Intestinal

11.4

10.0

14.1

11.1

2.7

Storvas

Cardiac

8.4

9.1

-7.3

8.7

-2.6

8.4
(%)

Brand

8.3 8.3

8.9 8.8 9.0 8.8 8.9 8.8 8.7


8.7 8.6

8.6 8.6

Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

6.0

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research * Included Ranbaxys sales

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 10: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Exhibit 11: Therapy wise performance

Anti-Infectives
18%

Derma
7%

Gastro
Intestinal
19%

Cardiac
29%

Therapy

Sep' 16

Sep' 15

YoY (%)

Aug' 16

MoM (%)

Cardiac

153.6

122.8

25.1

153.6

0.0

Neuro

144.8

121.8

18.9

141.4

2.4

98.1

89.1

10.2

102.2

-4.0

Gastro Intestinal

Neuro
27%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

(| crore)

Anti-Infectives

92.7

97.7

-5.1

96.5

-3.9

Derma

42.8

34.9

22.5

76.3

-43.9

Anti Diabetic

77.0

62.6

22.9

59.6

29.3

Vitamins

36.4

28.2

29.3

41.0

-11.2

Pain

63.0

50.6

24.4

35.4

78.2

Respiratory

35.0

25.4

37.4

29.9

16.9

Gynaecological

29.1

29.2

-0.1

33.8

-13.9

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 8

Cipla

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Chronic,
2011,
Acute, 39.9%
2390,
47.5%

Stock Performance
140
120
100
80
60

SubChronic,
634, 12.6%

Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-16

CNX Pharma

Cipla

31 to 50

5.4
5.2

5.2

5.1

5.1

5.2

5.1
4.9

4.9

(%)

4.7 4.7

4.6

4.6

4.4

4.5

4.4

4.2
Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

4.0
Sep-15

Sep-16

Aug-16

12.6

15.6

Jul-16
10.2

8.6

8.9

Exhibit 14: Top 10 brands performance


Brand

4.9

Cipla

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 13: Market share in Indian formulations market

4.8

7.0
8.8

9.0
6.1

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16
4.9

7.3

Others

0.4

21 to 30

3.5

11 to 20

2.0

Mar-16

Feb-16
12.8
11.5

10.0

10.4

Jan-16

Dec-15
13.3
16.6

10.0
15.9

(%)

8%

4.6

12%

10

10.4

15

12%

21.0

20

44%

Nov-15

Sep-15
25

24%

23.1Oct-15

Exhibit 12: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

5.0

Oct-16

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Top 10

Aug-16

Cipla

Therapy

(| crore)

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)

Foracort

Respiratory

16.5

15.9

3.8

16.5

-0.3

Budecort

Respiratory

12.6

13.4

-5.3

12.0

5.4

Asthalin

Respiratory

12.1

10.9

11.0

11.4

6.6

Duolin

Respiratory

13.1

10.2

28.8

12.4

6.1

Seroflo

Respiratory

11.6

11.2

3.1

11.4

1.3

Aerocort

Respiratory

7.9

8.2

-3.9

8.0

-1.7

Azee

Anti-Infectives

7.7

9.4

-18.4

7.6

0.8

Montair Lc

Respiratory

8.1

6.7

20.0

8.0

0.3

Novamox

Anti-Infectives

6.3

7.1

-11.6

5.6

12.3

Advent

Anti-Infectives

7.5

6.6

12.8

7.3

2.4

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 15: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Exhibit 16: Therapy wise performance

Other
18%

Respiratory
30%

Urology
5%
Gastro
Intestinal
8%
Cardiac
12%

Anti-Infectives
27%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Therapy
Respiratory
Anti-Infectives

(| crore)

Sep' 16
135.1

Sep' 15
124.3

YoY (%)
8.7

Aug' 16
132.3

MoM (% )
2.2

110.7

121.6

- 8.9

113.4

- 2.4

Cardiac

50.1

48.0

4.6

51.1

- 1.9

Gastro Intestinal

34.0

33.2

2.5

37.5

- 9.2

Urology
Neuro

20.9
13.4

20.2
15.3

3.5
-1 2.2

20.1
13.6

4.0
- 1.1

Ophthal

13.6

14.4

- 5.6

13.4

1.3

Pain

15.5

15.4

0.8

15.8

- 2.0

Derma
V itamins

12.3
7.5

11.5
7.6

6.8
- 1.4

12.0
7.9

2.6
- 5.5

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 9

Dr. Reddys Labs

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Stock Performance) Stock Performance


Chronic,
727, 29.3%

140
120
100
80
60

SubChronic,
520, 21.0%

Acute,
1235,
49.8%

Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-16

CNX Pharma

Aug-16

Oct-16

Dr. Reddys

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Sep-15

Oct-15

Exhibit 17: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Top 10

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

Others

Source: AIOCD data base

2.8
2.7

2.7
2.6

2.4

2.4
2.6

2.3

2.3

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

2.2

2.3
2.2

2.2

2.1
Sep-15

2.3

Sep-16

2.5

2.5

Aug-16

2.6
(%)

12.6
22.2

17.3

10.2
4.8

7.0
1.5

Exhibit 19: Top 10 brands performance


Brand

2.2

Dr. Reddys Laboratories

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 18: Market share in Indian formulations market

2.2

9.0
4.1

4.9

7.3

-10
Indian Pharma Market

2.3

15.6

31.7
12.8

26.5

-1.4

6.7

10%

10.0
23.6

10

16%

7.5

12%

10.4

(%)

20

10.4

30

29%

23.1
30.7

33%

13.3
27.4

40

Dr. Reddys Laboratories

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Gastro
Intestinal
21%

Cardiac
14%
Anti-Infectives
8%
Respiratory
9%

(| crore)

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)

Omez

Gastro Intestinal

9.4

10.8

-12.6

8.9

6.2

Omez D

Gastro Intestinal

10.2

8.4

21.1

9.1

11.9

Econorm

Gastro Intestinal

4.6

5.7

-20.1

5.5

-16.1

Grafeel

Anti-Neoplastics

5.0

5.7

-12.4

6.3

-21.6

Stamlo

Cardiac

4.9

5.6

-12.4

4.7

4.7

Nise

Pain

6.1

5.9

3.2

5.8

5.3

Razo D

Gastro Intestinal

5.4

4.6

17.0

5.2

3.5

Atarax

Respiratory

6.3

4.0

56.6

5.6

12.9

Mintop

Derma

2.8

3.8

-24.6

2.9

-2.4

Razo

Gastro Intestinal

5.2

4.0

29.8

5.1

2.6

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 20: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)


Other
36%

Therapy

AntiNeoplastics
12%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 21: Therapy wise performance


Therapy

(| crore)

Sep' 16

Sep' 15

YoY (%)

Aug' 16

Gastro Intestinal

45.4

43.5

4.3

44.5

MoM (%)
2.0

Cardiac

29.5

30.0

-1.7

27.7

6.5

Anti-Neoplastics

42.4

17.1

148.4

35.6

19.2

Respiratory

22.1

17.2

28.2

21.5

3.0

Anti-Infectives

22.9

16.9

35.5

21.1

8.2

Pain

14.9

14.0

6.3

14.5

2.8

Derma

11.7

11.7

0.0

11.4

2.6

Anti Diabetic

13.9

13.2

5.8

13.5

3.4

Urology

8.9

7.7

16.1

8.7

3.1

Neuro

7.6

7.0

8.2

7.3

4.3

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 10

Lupin

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Stock Performance
Chronic,
1706,
49.1%

140
120
100
80
60

SubChronic,
658, 18.9%

Acute,
1113,
32.0%

Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-16

CNX Pharma

Aug-16

Oct-16

Lupin

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Aug-16
13.5

11.1
4.7

6.7

7.0

15.8

14.9

Jul-16

May-16
8.8
11.7

Jun-16

Apr-16

Mar-16
20.5

Feb-16
12.6
18.4

10.1
12.9

14.5

13.1

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15
9.8

4.7
9.9

9%

12

7.2

13%

(%)

11%

21.8

20

10.6

20%

12.1

47%

13.7
20.9

28

23.0 Oct-15

Aug-15

Sep-15

Exhibit 22: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

-4
Top 10

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

Others

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Exhibit 23: Market share in Indian formulations market


3.5

3.4 3.4

Exhibit 24: Top 10 brands performance

3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3

Brand

Therapy

(| crore)

Aug' 16 Aug' 15 Var. (%) July' 16 Var. (%)

Gluconorm-G

Anti Diabetic

15.0

11.4

30.8

14.6

2.2

Budamate

Respiratory

8.4

6.1

39.0

7.6

11.4

Tonact

Cardiac

7.7

8.4

-8.1

7.5

3.6

Rablet-D

Gastro Intestinal

5.2

4.7

12.1

5.4

-3.5

2.7

Rablet

Gastro Intestinal

4.5

4.5

1.1

4.5

1.4

2.5

Tazar

Anti-Infectives

4.2

3.5

20.2

3.8

10.0

2.3

Esiflo

Respiratory

4.0

4.4

-7.5

3.6

11.4

3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3

3.3
3.1

3.2 3.2 3.2

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

2.9

Aug-15

(%)

Lupin

Lupin

Telekast-L

Respiratory

4.0

3.4

18.9

4.2

-4.4

Cetil

Anti-Infectives

3.9

3.4

14.2

4.2

-6.4

Ramistar

Cardiac

3.7

4.3

-15.2

3.5

3.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 25: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Exhibit 26: Therapy wise performance

Cardiac
24%

Other
22%
Gastro
Intestinal
8%

Anti Diabetic
12%

Anti-Infectives
21%
Respiratory
13%

Aug' 16

Aug' 15

YoY (%)

July' 16

MoM (%)

Cardiac

71.9

70.0

2.8

68.5

5.0

Anti-Infectives

63.9

62.1

2.9

60.8

5.0

Respiratory

38.0

30.8

23.4

34.4

10.6

Anti Diabetic

38.2

29.5

29.4

36.9

3.5

Gastro Intestinal

25.4

23.0

10.2

25.1

1.3

Vitamins

15.8

16.8

-5.9

15.6

1.3

Neuro

14.4

14.0

2.9

13.8

4.4

Pain

13.2

12.8

3.3

12.7

3.4

Gynaecological

11.4

9.8

16.7

10.7

6.8

2.0

1.8

12.6

2.0

0.9

Ophthal

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

(| crore)

Therapy

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 11

Cadila Healthcare

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Stock Performance
Chronic,
1706,
49.1%

140
120
100
80
60

SubChronic,
658, 18.9%

Acute,
1113,
32.0%

Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

CNX Pharma

Jun-16

Aug-16

Oct-16

Cadila Healthcare

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Sep-15

Oct-15

Exhibit 27: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

12.6

15.6

13.8

7.0

9.0

5.0

7.4

7.7

4.9

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

10.2

12.8

10.4

13.4

7.3
8.9

Others

8.3

(%)

31 to 50

2.9

21 to 30

5.0

11 to 20

10

6.1

Top 10

15

10.4
12.4

13%

9%

13.3

20
11%

12.5

25

20%

10.0

47%

23.1
24.6

30

Cadila Healthcare

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

4.1

3.8

3.9 3.9 3.9

4.0

3.9

3.8

3.8

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

3.7

3.7

Sep-16

3.9

Exhibit 29: Top 10 brands performance

4.0

May-16

4.2
4.1
4.0
3.9
3.8
3.7
3.6
3.5
3.4
Sep-15

(%)

Exhibit 28: Market share in Indian formulations market

Cadila Healthcare

Therapy

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)

Skinlite

Derma

14.7

14.0

5.2

13.9

5.9

Atorva

Cardiac

9.1

10.4

-12.3

9.0

0.8

Mifegest Kit

Gynaecological

5.2

8.8

-40.9

9.4

-44.4

Deriphyllin

Respiratory

9.8

8.5

15.0

9.2

6.6

Pantodac

Gastro Intestinal

9.2

8.0

15.1

9.1

0.7

Zyrop

Blood Related

7.0

4.8

45.3

6.5

8.1

Aten

Cardiac

5.4

5.4

-0.3

5.1

5.7

Falcigo

Anti Malarials

8.9

8.3

7.4

6.5

37.1

Amlodac

Cardiac

5.2

6.1

-15.2

4.8

6.7

Formonide

Respiratory

5.2

5.1

1.7

5.2

1.2

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 30: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)


Cardiac
16%
Other
39%

Gastro
Intestinal
13%

Pain
10%

(| crore)

Brand

Gynaecological
11%

Respiratory
11%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 31: Therapy wise performance

(| crore)

Therapy

Sep' 16

Sep' 15

YoY (%)

Aug' 16

MoM (%)

Cardiac

55.2

53.1

4.0

54.6

1.1

Gastro Intestinal

47.9

44.4

7.8

47.7

0.4

Respiratory

39.8

35.8

10.9

38.5

3.3

Gynaecological

31.2

33.2

-6.2

33.8

-7.7

Pain

37.2

32.2

15.2

36.1

2.9

Derma

28.0

25.3

10.6

26.9

3.9

Anti-Infectives

33.5

26.5

26.5

30.9

8.3
38.1

Anti-Neoplastics

31.7

18.3

73.2

23.0

Vitamins

17.8

13.8

28.4

17.5

1.7

Hormones

8.2

7.9

4.2

7.2

13.4

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 12

GlaxoSmithKline

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Stock Performance
Chronic,
417, 12.8%

Acute,
2130,
65.6%

140
120
100
80
60

SubChronic,
701, 21.6%

Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-16

CNX Pharma

Oct-16

GSK Pharma

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

21 to 30

31 to 50

Sep-16

Aug-16

12.6

15.6

Jul-16

Jun-16

4.0

7.0

10.2

-2.9

4.5

0.3
-9.5

-7.2

-6.7

4.9

7.3

9.0

12.8

-5
-10

11 to 20

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

2.2

13.3

Dec-15

Nov-15
10.0

10.4
4.7

16%

6.9

(%)

4.5

10

52%

9%

1.1

15

10%

10.4

20

21.2

Sep-15
25

13%

23.1
Oct-15

Exhibit 32: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Top 10

Aug-16

-15

Others

Indian Pharma Market

Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals

Source: AIOCD data base


Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 33: Market share in Indian formulations market


3.6

3.5

3.4

3.4 3.4

3.4

3.3
3.1 3.1

3.0

3.0 3.0

3.0
2.9

2.8

3.0 2.9

Brand

Therapy

Augmentin

Anti-Infectives

(| crore)

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)


25.2

27.9

-9.6

25.7

-2.0
-8.4

Synflorix

Vaccines

16.8

16.3

2.8

18.3

Calpol

Pain

23.7

19.6

21.2

23.5

0.8

Zinetac

Gastro Intestinal

13.5

12.1

11.9

13.1

3.4

10.7

14.9

11.6

5.7

Ceftum

Anti-Infectives

12.8

11.7

10.1

12.2

5.3

Rotarix

Vaccines

7.5

16.5

-54.5

8.0

-6.1

Betnesol

Hormones

9.7

10.6

-8.7

8.6

12.2

Sep-16

12.2

Aug-16

Hormones

Jun-16

12.7

Eltroxin

May-16

2.4
Apr-16

14.0

8.6

Mar-16

10.1

-16.0

Feb-16

-9.9

11.6

Jan-16

12.8

9.7

Dec-15

11.5

Derma

Nov-15

Derma

Betnovate N
Oct-15

Betnovate C
Sep-15

2.6
Jul-16

(%)

3.2

Exhibit 34: Top 10 brands performance

Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 35: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)


Other
26%

Anti-Infectives
23%

Respiratory
8%
Derma
18%
Pain
10%

Vaccines
15%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 36: Therapy wise performance


Therapy

(| crore)

Sep' 16

Sep' 15

YoY (%)

Aug' 16

MoM (%)

Anti-Infectives

65.9

68.7

-4.1

66.7

-1.2

Derma

43.7

54.0

-19.2

45.4

-3.8

Vaccines

40.1

43.1

-7.0

43.2

-7.1

Pain

35.5

30.6

16.0

34.5

2.8

Respiratory

24.0

24.0

0.0

23.0

4.3

Hormones

22.7

22.3

1.4

20.9

8.2

Vitamins

24.7

22.5

9.6

23.4

5.5

Gastro Intestinal

15.4

14.4

7.2

14.9

3.7

Cardiac

4.7

6.2

-23.6

4.5

5.6

Gynaecological

2.1

3.1

-31.7

2.2

-5.0

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 13

Wockhardt

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Stock Performance
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0

Chronic,
279,
20.5%

Acute,
931,
68.4%

SubChronic
151,
11.1%

Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-16

CNX Pharma

Aug-16

Oct-16

Wockhardt

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Sep-15

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Oct-15

Exhibit 37: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

60

14%

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

Indian Pharma Market

3.9

12.6

15.6
10.2

10.2
1.8

7.0

9.0
9.0

1.3

2.4

5.4

Others

4.9
4.5

7.3

12.8

38.2

13.3
29.6

10.4
9.8

10

10.4

(%)

20

15%

Top 10

23.1

30

10.0

55%

50.3

40

8%

42.5

50

8%

Wockhardt

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 39: Top 10 brands performance


Brand

1.8
1.7
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.1
1.0

Therapy

31.1

31.9

-2.4

27.5

13.1

Vitamins

7.4

5.6

31.9

7.6

-2.5

Tryptomer

Neuro

5.6

5.2

7.7

5.7

-3.0

Bro Zedex

Respiratory

4.4

4.4

0.5

4.8

-7.6

Methycobal

Vitamins

4.2

3.9

9.1

4.5

-5.4

Biovac V

Vaccines

2.6

5.3

-51.4

3.4

-24.9

Zedex

Respiratory

3.3

3.0

12.2

3.4

-2.2

Biovac A

Vaccines

3.9

5.1

-23.4

4.1

-6.7

Ace Proxyvon

Pain

2.2

3.1

-29.8

2.0

7.1

Wosulin

Anti Diabetic

2.5

2.1

18.9

2.7

-7.9

Practin
1.28
1.28

Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

1.27 1.25
1.27
1.21

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

1.36 1.37 1.33


1.33

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

1.39 1.41 1.38

Wockhardt

(| crore)

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)

Spasmo Proxyvon PluGastro Intestinal

Sep-15

(%)

Exhibit 38: Market share in Indian formulations market

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 40: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Exhibit 41: Therapy wise performance

Gastro
Intestinal
25%

Other
32%

Vitamins
15%
Anti Diabetic
7%

Neuro
8%

Respiratory
13%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Therapy

(| crore)

Sep' 16

Sep' 15

YoY (%)

Aug' 16

MoM (%)

Gastro Intestinal

33.0

33.1

-0.3

29.4

12.3

Vitamins

18.1

16.0

13.2

18.9

-4.2

Respiratory

0.7

15.9

13.4

18.4

15.7

Neuro

9.8

8.6

14.4

9.7

1.3

Anti Diabetic

7.7

6.5

17.9

8.0

-4.0

Anti-Infectives

9.5

10.0

-5.5

8.6

9.9

Derma

8.7

8.0

7.9

8.3

5.0

Pain

6.1

7.8

-21.0

6.3

-1.8

Vaccines

6.9

10.4

-33.4

7.7

-10.1

Hormones

2.9

2.5

13.7

2.5

12.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 14

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Stock Performance
Chronic,
904, 36.2%

200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60

SubChronic,
580, 23.2%

Acute,
1014,
40.6%

Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-16

CNX Pharma

Oct-16

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

43.5

12.6
12.0

15.6
20.9

10.2
8.5

7.0

9.0

7.3
14.7

12.8
19.5

10.4
16.2

13.3
18.5

23.1

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

7.1

Others

8.8

31 to 50

4.9
8.6

21 to 30

10.0

12%

10%

11.4

14%

11 to 20

Sep-15
(%)

34%

10.4
13.0

30%

50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0

Oct-15

Exhibit 42: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Top 10

Aug-16

Glenmark

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 43: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 44: Top 10 brands performance


Therapy

Telma

Cardiac

12.7

14.5

Telma H

Cardiac

12.5

Ascoril Plus

Respiratory

11.6

Candid

Derma

2.1

Candid-B

1.9

2.7
2.5
2.4

2.5 2.4

2.6

2.5

2.4 2.4

2.3

2.4

2.4

2.3 2.3

2.4

Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

2.2

Sep-15

(%)

(| crore)

Brand

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals

Exhibit 45: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)


Other
12%

Derma
29%

Anti-Infectives
13%
Respiratory
16%

-12.7

13.6

-6.9

11.6

7.6

12.9

-3.4

9.0

28.4

11.4

2.0

8.8

7.7

14.0

9.1

-3.1

Derma

9.3

8.1

15.0

8.6

8.4

Telma Am

Cardiac

6.6

6.3

4.1

6.9

-4.5

Ascoril Ls

Respiratory

6.0

4.1

45.1

5.5

8.1

Onabet

Derma

4.8

3.4

39.8

4.9

-2.0

Ascoril D

Respiratory

3.2

3.0

6.9

3.5

-8.8

Zita Plus

Anti Diabetic

2.7

2.4

9.5

3.0

-9.6

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Anti Diabetic
8%

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)

Cardiac
22%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 46: Therapy wise performance


Therapy

(| crore)

Sep' 16

Sep' 15

YoY (%)

Aug' 16

Derma

64.1

58.4

9.8

63.6

MoM (%)
0.8

Cardiac

45.0

44.5

1.1

47.4

-5.1

Respiratory

40.4

31.2

29.5

40.4

0.0

Anti-Infectives

36.0

30.7

17.1

36.9

-2.5

Anti Diabetic

-8.5

13.4

20.6

-34.9

14.7

Gastro Intestinal

8.9

5.1

74.3

8.2

8.6

Vitamins

5.1

5.7

-10.8

5.2

-3.2

Gynaecological

5.8

4.5

27.6

5.9

-1.8

Pain

4.2

4.3

-2.8

4.2

-0.9

Ophthal

4.6

3.6

27.7

4.4

3.8

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 15

Torrent Pharmaceuticals

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Stock Performance
Chronic,
1182,
51.0%

200
160
120
80
40

SubChronic,
583, 25.1%

Oct-15

Acute, 553,
23.8%

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-16

CNX Pharma

Oct-16

Torrent Pharma

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Others

Sep-16

Aug-16

9.3

12.7

12.6

15.6

Jul-16
10.2
4.1

7.0

9.0
1.4

4.9

7.3
2.4

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16
12.8
10.2

10.4

-5

-2.4

31 to 50

-3.0

21 to 30

Jan-16

Dec-15
13.3

0
11 to 20

7.4

9%

5.4

12%

10.4
16.0

10

14%

10.0

(%)

15

3.8

20

33%

19.9

32%

Nov-15

Sep-15

25

23.1Oct-15

Exhibit 47: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Top 10

Aug-16

Torrent Pharmaceuticals

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 48: Market share in Indian formulations market


2.4

2.33

2.3
2.3
(%)

2.32

2.28
2.22

2.2

2.19

Exhibit 49: Top 10 brands performance

2.29

2.25

2.22

2.23

2.21

2.18

2.16

2.2

2.16

2.1
Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

2.1

Torrent Pharmaceuticals

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Cardiac
29%

Pain
8%

Gastro
Intestinal
15%

Vitamins
16%

Therapy

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)

Shelcal

Vitamins

17.9

16.6

7.9

17.5

2.3

Chymoral Forte

Pain

10.8

8.8

23.7

11.2

-3.6

Nikoran

Cardiac

8.1

7.3

10.2

7.6

5.8

Dilzem

Cardiac

5.7

5.3

7.6

5.4

4.5

Nebicard

Cardiac

5.8

4.9

17.4

5.7

1.6

Azulix-Mf

Anti Diabetic

5.9

4.7

25.4

6.1

-4.2

Nexpro Rd

Gastro Intestinal

5.9

4.4

36.1

5.3

11.6

Nexpro

Gastro Intestinal

5.0

4.2

18.8

4.7

6.9

Shelcal Ct

Vitamins

4.7

3.4

36.9

4.5

5.1

Alprax

Neuro

3.5

3.3

6.4

3.4

1.4

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 50: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)


Other
16%

(| crore)

Brand

Neuro
16%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 51: Therapy wise performance


Therapy

Sep' 16

(| crore)

Sep' 15

YoY (%)

Aug' 16

MoM (%)

Cardiac

59.3

55.6

6.7

58.6

1.2

Neuro

33.3

30.8

8.1

33.9

-1.7

Vitamins

34.9

30.4

14.7

33.8

3.1

Gastro Intestinal

31.8

29.0

9.6

31.9

-0.2

Pain

17.5

14.5

20.7

17.8

-1.4

Anti Diabetic

13.5

11.5

16.7

13.8

-2.3

Anti-Infectives

8.3

9.4

-12.3

8.7

-4.6

Derma

6.0

5.0

20.4

5.9

2.3

Gynaecological

3.0

3.5

-13.0

3.0

-0.2

Urology

1.1

0.8

31.0

1.0

7.0

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 16

Ipca Laboratories

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Stock Performance
Acute, 890,
66.7%

150
125
100
75
50

Chronic,
359, 26.9%
SubChronic, 84,
6.3%

Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-16

CNX Pharma

Aug-16

Oct-16

Ipca

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Sep-15

Oct-15

Exhibit 52: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

21 to 30

31 to 50

1.5

1.4

Sep-16

1.4

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2


1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2

Oct-15

28.0
8.3

12.6

15.6

Exhibit 54: Top 10 brands performance

1.5 1.4

Sep-15

(%)

10.2
18.1
4.1

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 53: Market share in Indian formulations market


2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6

Ipca Laboratories

3.3

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

7.0

4.9

7.3

9.0

12.8
11.5

9.1

10.4

13.3

1.5

3.7

Others

3.7

11 to 20

11.8

10

16%

10.0

(%)

11%

15

10.4

20

12%

6.4

25

38%

Top 10

23.1
25.9

30

23%

Ipca Laboratories

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Pain
25%

Anti-Infectives
6%

Gastro
Intestinal
8%

Cardiac
17%

Brand

Therapy

Zerodol Sp

Pain

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)


8.2

7.9

4.1

8.5

-4.0

Zerodol P

Pain

7.4

8.8

-15.0

9.6

-22.2

Hcqs

Anti Malarials

5.4

5.3

0.6

5.1

5.7

Larinate

Anti Malarials

8.9

7.8

14.5

8.2

9.0

Rapither-Ab

Anti Malarials

7.3

5.0

45.5

9.2

-20.2

Lariago

Anti Malarials

6.1

5.6

8.7

7.5

-18.1

Glycinorm M

Anti Diabetic

3.4

3.1

9.4

3.3

0.2

Folitrax

Anti-Neoplastics

2.7

2.7

1.8

3.1

-10.7

Lumerax

Anti Malarials

4.9

4.4

10.7

4.6

6.5

Zerodol

Pain

2.2

2.6

-15.0

2.3

-2.1

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 55: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)


Other
24%

(| crore)

Anti Malarials
20%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 56: Therapy wise performance


Therapy

(| crore)

Sep' 16

Sep' 15

YoY (%)

Aug' 16

Pain

31.9

31.8

0.3

34.7

MoM (%)
-7.9

Anti Malarials

36.9

33.4

10.4

39.4

-6.4

Cardiac

18.2

18.0

1.0

19.2

-5.2
-1.3

Gastro Intestinal

9.3

9.5

-2.1

9.4

Anti-Infectives

8.4

7.4

13.5

8.6

-1.6

Anti Diabetic

6.0

5.6

6.7

6.1

-2.3

Respiratory

5.4

4.8

11.6

5.7

-5.4

Anti-Neoplastics

5.4

4.3

24.7

5.0

8.4

Neuro

5.3

3.5

52.3

5.0

6.0

Derma

4.2

3.3

27.0

4.1

2.9

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 17

Biocon

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Stock Performance
Chronic,
245, 70.5%

140
120
100
80

SubChronic, 30,
8.6%

Acute, 73,
20.9%

60
Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Jun-16

Aug-16

Oct-16

Biocon

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

31 to 50

-11.2

2%
21 to 30

-10

Others

Sep-16

Aug-16

9.9

11.4

10.2
7.0
3.5

9.0
9.4

4.9
7.7

12.6

15.6

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16
7.3

12.8
11.3

Feb-16

Jan-16
10.4
5.3

5.2

10.0

14.5

1.2

0
-5

-0.8

(%)

5%

10.0

10

5%

11 to 20

10.4

15

10%

13.3

20
78%

Dec-15

Nov-15

Sep-15
25

23.1
Oct-15

Exhibit 57: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Top 10

Apr-16

CNX Pharma

-15

Source: AIOCD data base

Indian Pharma Market

Biocon

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 58: Market share in Indian formulations market


0.39

Brand

0.38

0.37

0.36

0.35
0.33

0.33

0.34 0.34 0.35

0.34

0.34

Therapy

(| crore)

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)

Insugen

Anti Diabetic

6.9

7.3

-6.0

7.7

-10.3

Basalog

Anti Diabetic

5.0

4.6

8.3

5.6

-10.8

Erypro

Blood Related

4.0

1.4

188.8

2.4

68.3

Canmab

Anti-Neoplastics

2.2

1.0

113.8

1.8

19.0

0.29

Abraxane

Anti-Neoplastics

0.6

1.4

-57.6

1.7

-64.8

0.27

Insugen R

Anti Diabetic

1.5

1.4

2.6

1.5

-4.4

Blisto Mf

Anti Diabetic

1.3

1.5

-13.4

1.3

-1.7

Biomab Egfr

Anti-Neoplastics

0.3

0.8

-64.6

1.9

-84.9

Psorid

Anti-Neoplastics

0.8

0.6

35.7

0.6

24.8

Insugen N

Anti Diabetic

0.6

0.7

-24.5

0.6

-12.8

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

0.31

0.32

0.30

Sep-16

0.32

Dec-15

Oct-15

Nov-15

0.31

0.31

Sep-15

(%)

Exhibit 59: Top 10 brands performance

Biocon

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 60: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)


Cardiac
5%
Blood Related
7%

Derma
3%

AntiNeoplastics
23%

Other
4%

Exhibit 61: Therapy wise performance


Therapy
Anti Diabetic
Anti-Neoplastics

Anti Diabetic
58%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

(| crore)

Sep' 16

Sep' 15

YoY (%)

Aug' 16

MoM (%)

16.3

16.8

-2.7

17.9

-9.0

5.8

5.4

7.7

7.4

-21.8

Blood Related

4.1

1.4

193.8

2.4

68.7

Cardiac

1.4

1.5

-6.7

1.3

10.0

Derma

0.8

0.7

18.0

0.7

12.7

Anti-Infectives

0.7

0.6

20.9

0.5

32.7

Others

0.2

0.2

30.4

0.2

5.6

Gastro Intestinal

0.3

0.4

-23.7

0.1

223.4

Vitamins

0.1

0.2

-49.0

0.1

-11.2

Pain

0.1

0.0

189.6

0.0

197.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 18

Pfizer

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
461, 15.7%
Acute,
1908,
65.0%

200
160
120
80
40

SubChronic,
566, 19.3%

Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-16

CNX Pharma

Pfizer

21 to 30

31 to 50

Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

12.6

15.6
3.0

6.8

2.4

10.2

7.0

7.2

4.9
2.7

7.3
3.4

9.0

12.8
5.1

-1.0

-5
11 to 20

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

10.4

10.0

-3.5

1.6

19%

3.3

(%)

10

8.9

15

50%

10%

10.4

20

13.3

23.1
25.0

25

10%

Nov-15

Sep-15
30

11%

Oct-15

Exhibit 62: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

-10

Others

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

Pfizer

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 63: Market share in Indian formulations market


3.0
2.93

2.90

2.93

2.8

Exhibit 64: Top 10 brands performance

2.95

2.90 2.91 2.92


2.83

2.88

2.84

(%)

2.73

2.79
2.72

2.6

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

2.4
Aug-15

Oct-16

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Top 10

Aug-16

Pfizer

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Therapy

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)

Corex

Respiratory

24.9

27.7

-10.1

24.4

2.1

Becosules

Vitamins

21.3

20.5

4.0

20.8

2.7

Dolonex

Pain

12.7

11.0

15.3

12.1

5.1

Gelusil Mps

Gastro Intestinal

11.5

11.7

-1.5

12.3

-6.3

Magnex

Anti-Infectives

10.8

12.9

-16.6

12.7

-15.2

Minipress Xl

Cardiac

9.9

11.3

-12.5

13.1

-24.4

Mucaine

Gastro Intestinal

10.3

8.8

17.9

10.5

-1.2

Wysolone

Hormones

11.0

10.7

3.0

10.4

6.2

Folvite

Blood Related

6.3

7.1

-11.8

6.0

5.1

Dalacin C

Anti-Infectives

6.8

6.5

5.2

6.6

2.6

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 65: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)


Anti-Infectives
15%
Other
41%

Respiratory
14%

Gastro
Intestinal
11%
Hormones
9%

(| crore)

Brand

Vitamins
10%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 66: Therapy wise performance


Therapy

(| crore)

Sep' 16

Sep' 15

YoY (%)

Aug' 16

MoM (%)

Anti-Infectives

35.9

42.7

-15.9

37.7

-4.9

Respiratory

34.3

33.6

2.3

33.5

2.6

Gastro Intestinal

26.5

25.2

5.2

27.6

-3.8

Vitamins

27.2

26.5

2.8

27.3

-0.2

Hormones

25.7

24.5

4.9

23.7

8.6

Gynaecological

21.6

19.5

11.0

21.1

2.2

Neuro

15.7

17.5

-10.1

16.4

-3.9

Cardiac

15.9

16.6

-4.6

19.1

-16.9

Pain

17.4

15.6

11.4

17.3

0.6

Vaccines

13.9

6.6

110.9

12.3

13.1

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 19

Novartis

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Stock Performance
Chronic,
505, 43.4%

190
140
90

SubChronic,
160, 13.7%

Acute, 501,
43.0%

40
Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-16

CNX Pharma

Aug-16

Novartis India

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

-5
11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

Indian Pharma Market

Sep-16

Novartis India

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 68: Market share in Indian formulations market

Exhibit 69: Top 10 brands performance

1.3
1.21

1.2

1.16 1.17 1.16 1.15

1.15 1.16

1.19 1.19

1.1

1.10 1.10
1.06
1.02

1.1

Brand

Therapy

Galvus Met

Anti Diabetic

(| crore)

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)


28.8

22.5

28.1

27.0

6.9

Voveran

Pain

21.2

15.9

33.0

19.7

7.7

Galvus

Anti Diabetic

10.0

10.1

-0.2

10.1

-0.5

Rabipur (Novartis)

Vaccines

5.4

6.6

-18.5

8.2

-34.3
2.8

Tegrital

Neuro

4.5

4.1

10.4

4.4

1.0

Voveran

Pain

3.6

3.2

12.7

3.5

1.1

0.9

Regestrone

Gynaecological

3.1

3.6

-14.8

2.5

22.7

Methergin

Gynaecological

2.5

2.8

-10.5

2.4

6.1

Syntocinon

Gynaecological

2.7

2.3

17.7

2.4

13.5

Macalvit

Vitamins

1.8

1.9

-1.1

1.7

11.9

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

Aug-15

1.0

Aug-16

(%)

12.6

-10

Others

Source: AIOCD data base

1.2

3.7

6.0
-5.2

80%

Aug-16

10.2

7.0

10.2

3.9

9.0

18.7

15.6

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16
7.3

21.6

12.8
25.1

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

10.4
14.9

4.9

13.3
17.3

10

11.9

(%)

15

10.4

20

Nov-15

25

10.0
20.4

Sep-15
30

2%
11% 3%4%

23.1 Oct-15
27.4

Exhibit 67: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Top 10

Oct-16

Novartis India

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 70: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Exhibit 71: Therapy wise performance


Therapy

Other
14%
Gynaecological
8%

Anti Diabetic
36%

Vaccines
9%
Vitamins
10%

Pain
23%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

(| crore)

Sep' 16

Sep' 15

YoY (%)

Aug' 16

MoM (%)

Anti Diabetic

39.5

33.3

18.6

37.6

4.9

Pain

26.2

20.8

26.0

24.6

6.5

Vitamins

8.8

9.7

-10.0

8.8

-0.5

Vaccines

5.5

6.7

-18.6

8.3

-34.1
13.6

Gynaecological

8.4

9.0

-7.1

7.4

Neuro

4.5

5.0

-9.1

4.4

2.8

Anti-Infectives

2.9

4.7

-38.4

5.4

-46.7
10.3

Respiratory

2.1

2.5

-12.6

1.9

Cardiac

0.7

1.2

-43.5

0.7

-6.0

Anti-Neoplastics

0.8

3.4

-78.1

0.5

40.0

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 20

Unichem Laboratories

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Stock Performance

Chronic,
544,
58.2%

160
130
100
70
Oct-15

Acute,
335,
35.8%

SubChronic,
57, 6.1%

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-16

CNX Pharma

Aug-16

Oct-16

Unichem Labs

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

21 to 30

31 to 50

Others

Exhibit 73: Market share in Indian formulations market


1.10
1.00
0.94
0.90

0.89

0.94
0.89 0.90 0.90

0.95

0.92
0.92

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

0.84 0.85
Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

0.84 0.82
Aug-15

12.6

15.6
10.2
14.1

7.0
4.0

2.3

0.6

4.9

7.3

9.0

12.8

Unichem Laboratories

Exhibit 74: Top 10 brands performance


Brand

(%)

10.0

10.4
9.9

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

0.80

3.1

0
2.7

11 to 20

3.8

9%
Top 10

13.3

14%

12%

11.3

10

10.0

(%)

15

10.4

20

33%

21.5

26.4

23.1
28.3

30
25

32%

Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Sep-15

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Oct-15

Exhibit 72: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth


Source: AIOCD data base

Unichem Laboratories

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Other
12%
Cardiac
41%

Gastro
Intestinal
12%

Neuro
14%

(| crore)

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)

Losar H

Cardiac

8.7

6.2

39.7

8.4

3.2

Ampoxin

Anti-Infectives

6.6

7.2

-8.5

7.4

-11.3

Losar

Cardiac

6.0

5.2

17.0

5.9

2.5

Unienzyme

Gastro Intestinal

4.9

4.6

7.4

5.5

-9.4

Vizylac

Gastro Intestinal

3.8

2.7

38.8

3.5

7.5

Trika

Neuro

2.2

2.1

6.0

1.9

16.3

Serta

Neuro

1.9

1.6

13.8

2.0

-7.6

Unistar (Unichem)

Cardiac

1.7

1.4

23.3

1.7

-0.1

Arkamin

Cardiac

1.6

1.1

51.7

2.1

-23.7

Telsar

Cardiac

1.4

1.3

5.7

1.3

5.6

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 75: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Pain
4%

Therapy

Anti-Infectives
17%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Exhibit 76: Therapy wise performance

(| crore)

Therapy

Sep' 16

Sep' 15

YoY (%)

Aug' 16

Cardiac

34.9

28.4

22.7

34.8

MoM (%)
0.4

Anti-Infectives

15.4

14.7

4.7

16.3

-5.6

Neuro

11.7

9.1

29.3

11.9

-1.6

Gastro Intestinal

10.3

8.7

18.9

10.7

-4.1

Pain

4.1

2.9

42.6

4.0

3.5

Anti Diabetic

3.9

2.2

79.1

3.8

3.1

Respiratory

2.2

1.9

15.7

2.2

0.3

Vitamins

2.1

1.7

23.0

2.1

1.2

Derma

2.1

1.6

32.1

2.0

0.9

Gynaecological

0.3

0.4

-18.7

0.4

-10.3

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 21

Indoco Remedies

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Stock Performance
140
120
100
80
60

Chronic,
41, 5.5%

Acute,
619,
83.0%

Oct-15

SubChronic
85, 11.4

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-16

CNX Pharma

Aug-16

Oct-16

Indoco

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Top 10

11 to 20

21 to 30

31 to 50

Others

Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

33.7

0.8 0.8

0.8
0.8

0.7 0.7
0.7 0.7

0.7 0.7 0.7

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.6

0.7

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

0.6
Sep-15

12.6
18.1

15.6

10.2
27.8

7.0
11.5

9.0

-0.9

0.7

5.2

4.9

7.3

12.8
5.4

10.4

13.3
11.0

Exhibit 79: Top 10 brands performance

0.9

Aug-15

Indoco Remedies

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 78: Market share in Indian formulations market

(%)

10.0

23.1

Indian Pharma Market

Source: AIOCD data base

0.7

5.6

15%

10.3

9%

Nov-15

Sep-15
(%)

49%

16.2

10%

10.4

17%

40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10

-6.4

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Oct-15

Exhibit 77: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Source: AIOCD data base

Indoco Remedies

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Brand

Therapy

Febrex Plus

Respiratory

(| crore)

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)


9.1

6.2

46.3

10.8

-15.6

Oxipod

Anti-Infectives

5.5

3.9

40.7

6.3

-13.4

Cyclopam

Gastro Intestinal

3.7

3.6

2.7

4.6

-20.0

Sensodent-K

Stomatologicals

3.4

2.6

29.7

3.2

6.4

Cital

Urology

3.0

2.7

11.8

2.9

5.7

Atm

Anti-Infectives

3.5

2.8

24.3

3.7

-3.9

Karvol Plus

Respiratory

2.4

1.8

33.9

2.2

11.6

Cloben G

Derma

2.1

1.9

11.5

2.3

-7.8

Sensodent-Kf

Stomatologicals

1.6

1.7

-1.3

1.8

-11.0

Cyclopam

Gastro Intestinal

1.7

1.5

14.6

2.5

-30.8

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 80: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)


Other
25%

Vitamins
7%

Respiratory
19%

Therapy

Stomatological
s
16%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

(| crore)

Sep' 16

Sep' 15

YoY (%)

Aug' 16

MoM (%)

15.3

11.7

30.8

17.4

-11.8

Anti-Infectives

15.2

12.6

20.5

16.7

-8.8

Stomatologicals

10.6

8.9

19.0

10.5

0.5

Gastro Intestinal

8.2

7.9

4.4

10.5

-21.9

Vitamins

5.5

4.3

27.2

5.5

-0.2

Urology

3.5

3.1

12.2

3.3

3.2

Ophthal

3.5

2.8

23.5

3.5

-1.0

Pain

2.9

2.6

13.9

3.0

-1.4

Derma

2.8

2.6

8.5

3.1

-7.4

Anti Diabetic

2.1

1.8

16.9

2.2

-3.9

Respiratory

Anti-Infectives
19%
Gastro
Intestinal
14%

Exhibit 81: Therapy wise performance

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 22

Ajanta Pharmaceuticals

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Stock Performance
290
240
190
140
90
40

Chronic,
247, 49.5%
SubChronic, 57,
11.4%

Acute, 195,
39.1%

Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

Jun-16

CNX Pharma

Ajanta

21 to 30

31 to 50

Others

Indian Pharma Market

15.6

Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16
7.1

10.0

10.2

11.4

Ajanta Pharma

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 83: Market share in Indian formulations market


0.5

0.51

0.5

0.51

0.5

Exhibit 84: Top 10 brands performance

0.51 0.50

0.50
0.49

0.48

0.48 0.48
0.460.46

0.46
0.45

0.4
0.4

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

Sep-15

0.4
Aug-15

7.0

13.1
4.9
7.6

7.3
7.6

9.0

12.8
10.5

6.9

Source: AIOCD data base

(%)

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16
10.4

14.3

6.5

5
11 to 20

10.0

10

12%

9.9

(%)

10.4
12.6

15

13%
10%

Dec-15
13.3

20

43%

12.6
10.2

22%

Nov-15

Sep-15
25

23.1Oct-15

Exhibit 82: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

0.5

Oct-16

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Top 10

Aug-16

Ajanta Pharma

(| crore)

Brand

Therapy

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)

Met Xl

Cardiac

4.2

4.0

7.0

4.4

-3.8

Melacare

Derma

3.1

2.8

10.4

3.2

-1.7

Atorfit Cv

Cardiac

3.6

2.8

25.8

3.1

13.7

Soft Drops

Ophthal

1.4

1.4

-4.2

1.3

5.1

Rosufit Cv

Cardiac

1.4

1.1

24.4

1.6

-11.1

Feburic

Pain

1.3

1.1

17.9

1.4

-6.1

Met Xl Am

Cardiac

1.1

0.9

19.8

1.2

-10.3

Rosutor Gold

Cardiac

1.0

0.7

45.0

0.9

3.4

Cinod

Cardiac

1.0

0.7

41.1

1.0

-0.6

Olopat

Ophthal

0.7

0.7

10.1

0.7

8.6

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 85: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Exhibit 86: Therapy wise performance

Pain
5%

Others
9%

Vitamins
5%

Derma
21%

Cardiac
36%

Ophthal
24%

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

(| crore)

Therapy

Sep' 16

Sep' 15

YoY (%)

Aug' 16

MoM (%)

Cardiac

15.9

13.4

18.7

16.2

-1.5

Ophthal

10.7

9.8

8.9

10.2

5.4

Derma

8.3

8.4

-1.0

8.9

-7.0

Vitamins

2.1

2.6

-20.6

2.2

-6.0

Pain

2.0

2.1

-1.6

2.2

-5.6

Gastro Intestinal

1.1

1.1

0.2

1.0

11.7

Neuro

1.0

0.9

16.4

1.0

8.7

Anti-Infectives

1.1

0.7

47.5

1.0

10.8

Anti Diabetic

0.8

0.2

380.7

0.8

3.4

Respiratory

0.3

0.3

-8.2

0.3

-2.3

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Page 23

Alembic Pharmaceuticals

Acute : Chronic contribution (| cr; MAT Sep16)

Stock Performance
Chronic
231.46,
18.8%
Acute,
860,
58.8%

200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40

SubChronic
214.35,
17.4%

Oct-15

Dec-15

Feb-16

Apr-16

CNX Pharma

Jun-16

Aug-16

Oct-16

Alembic Pharma

Source: NSE, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base

Sep-16

Aug-16

Jul-16

Jun-16

May-16

Apr-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Brands contribution to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)

Oct-15

Sep-15

Exhibit 87: Company growth vis--vis Indian pharma market growth

35

21 to 30

31 to 50

Others

12.6
11.2

15.6

18.0
10.2

11.4
7.0

9.0
11.3
4.9

7.3
8.1

12.8
13.7

10.4

13.3

5.6

5
11 to 20

6.0

10

12%

10.4

(%)

15

10%

10.0
19.0

20

13%

20.5

23.3
24.1

25

43%

Top 10

23.1
31.5

30

22%

Indian Pharma Market

Alembic Pharma

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 89: Top 10 brands performance

1.49 1.49 1.48


1.43

1.42

Jul-16

Jun-16

Apr-16

1.41

1.31 1.30 1.32

May-16

Mar-16

Feb-16

Jan-16

Dec-15

Nov-15

Oct-15

1.36

Aug-16

1.43 1.44

1.47

Sep-16

1.6
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.2
1.2

Sep-15

(%)

Exhibit 88: Market share in Indian formulations market

Alembic Pharma

Exhibit 90: Contribution of therapies to domestic sales (MAT Sep16)


Anti-Infectives
23%

Gynaecological
11%

Respiratory
13%

Gastro
Intestinal
14%

Brand

Therapy

Azithral

Anti-Infectives

Sep' 16 Sep' 15 Var. (%) Aug' 16 Var. (%)


13.8

12.6

Althrocin

Anti-Infectives

9.5

Roxid

Anti-Infectives

4.9

Gestofit

Gynaecological

Wikoryl

Respiratory

Ulgel

10.0

14.3

-3.6

9.0

5.2

8.9

6.7

5.8

-15.2

5.7

-14.7

4.8

4.2

11.9

5.1

-7.7

5.1

3.3

54.4

5.1

0.7

Gastro Intestinal

3.3

3.6

-7.6

3.4

-2.0

Rekool D

Gastro Intestinal

2.7

3.0

-9.0

2.9

-7.8

Richar

Gynaecological

2.4

1.9

26.9

2.7

-11.6

Glisen Mf

Anti Diabetic

2.3

2.1

8.3

2.3

1.9

Rekool

Gastro Intestinal

2.0

2.1

-4.0

2.1

-1.7

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Other
25%

(| crore)

Cardiac
14%

Exhibit 91: Therapy wise performance


Therapy
Anti-Infectives
Cardiac
Gastro Intestinal
Respiratory
Gynaecological
Vitamins
Anti Diabetic
Pain
Urology
Derma

Sep' 16
33.7
18.4
17.8
19.1
14.2
11.0
9.1
4.7
2.9
1.9

Sep' 15
32.9
15.7
17.9
16.1
12.2
8.4
6.9
4.7
2.3
2.8

(| crore)
YoY (%)
2.5
17.2
-0.4
18.8
16.8
30.1
31.0
1.1
25.4
-33.7

Aug' 16
34.5
18.8
18.7
19.4
14.9
11.0
9.0
5.1
3.1
2.3

MoM (%)
-2.4
-1.9
-4.7
-1.5
-4.7
-0.3
0.6
-7.7
-3.7
-17.8

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 24

ICICIdirect.com coverage universe (Healthcare)


CMP
(|)

TP
(|)

Ajanta Pharma

AJAPHA 1942 1,780 Hold

17086.2

45.4

52.8

63.6

42.7

36.8

30.5

29.9

25.0

21.2

42.9

37.1

35.0

34.2

30.2

Apollo Hospitals

APOHOS 1332 1,440 Hold

18533.6

22.2

18.5

28.7

60.0

72.0

46.5

27.8

27.9

22.5

8.2

7.3

9.6

8.9

7.0

9.9

Aurobindo Pharma

AURPHA

Buy

48209.2

33.9

41.3

48.0

24.3

19.9

17.2

25.0

20.5

17.7

23.3

24.6

25.5

28.1

26.0

23.5

Alembic Pharma

ALEMPHA 681

Hold

12830.3

38.2

20.4

28.1

17.8

33.4

24.2

12.4

23.1

17.5

51.5

23.2

26.2

44.9

20.5

23.5

620

M Cap
(| Cr)

PE(x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
RoCE (%)
RoE (%)
FY17E FY18E FY16 FY17E FY18E FY16 FY17E FY18E FY16 FY17E FY18E

I-Direct
Code

824 1,055

Rating

EPS (|)
FY16 FY17E FY18E FY16

Company

28.2

Biocon

BIOCON

950 1,030

Buy

18996.0

22.5

33.3

38.4

42.2

28.5

24.7

11.5

8.7

7.0

9.1

13.1

14.8

11.1

14.7

15.0

Cadila Healthcare
Cipla

CADHEA
CIPLA

392
587

Buy
Hold

40135.8
47171.0

15.0
18.5

15.8
17.6

20.3
25.4

26.2
31.7

24.9
33.3

19.3
23.1

17.1
20.3

17.5
18.5

13.8
13.7

26.7
12.0

22.9
11.1

26.8
15.2

28.6
12.5

24.7
10.8

25.6
13.8

Divi's Laboratories

DIVLAB

1235 1,415

Buy

32785.4

41.8

45.1

54.5

29.5

27.4

22.7

24.7

21.8

18.1

30.7

29.2

29.8

25.9

23.3

23.4

Dr Reddy's Labs

DRREDD 2974 2,875 Hold

51736.0

142.1

86.5

143.5

20.9

34.4

20.7

13.2

17.6

11.8

17.3

10.9

17.8

20.7

11.4

16.3

Glenmark Pharma

GLEPHA

858 1,000

Buy

26025.8

32.2

41.4

49.8

26.7

20.7

17.2

17.8

14.9

12.1

16.2

18.7

20.6

21.2

21.7

20.9

Indoco Remedies

INDREM

313

Buy

2881.1

9.0

13.6

19.4

34.7

23.0

16.1

17.9

13.5

10.4

12.5

17.3

23.4

14.2

18.3

21.7

Ipca Laboratories
Jubilant Life Sciences
Lupin

405
510

365

IPCLAB

620

605

Buy

7821.3

10.0

21.9

30.2

61.9

28.4

20.5

23.0

14.5

11.5

5.7

11.5

14.4

5.5

11.0

13.5

VAMORG

648

635

Buy

10324.2

26.0

41.4

52.7

24.9

15.6

12.3

10.6

8.7

7.2

12.0

15.1

17.0

14.2

18.8

19.6
20.2

1464 1,890

Buy

66060.4

50.4

64.6

75.5

29.1

22.7

19.4

20.2

15.4

12.7

18.6

20.6

22.1

20.7

21.7

Natco Pharma

NATPHA

LUPIN

612

700

Buy

10663.8

8.9

11.6

13.8

68.8

52.8

44.4

41.7

36.0

30.2

16.0

17.3

18.0

11.9

13.7

14.3

Sun Pharma

SUNPHA

746

890

Buy

179459.6

23.4

29.9

35.5

31.8

25.0

21.0

20.9

16.8

14.2

18.6

20.7

21.2

18.0

19.3

19.2

550

Syngene International

SYNINT

504

Buy

10076.0

11.1

15.8

18.7

42.7

29.9

25.3

26.1

20.8

16.7

13.2

17.4

19.3

21.0

23.6

22.3

Torrent Pharma

TORPHA

1636 1,650

Buy

27678.5

107.8

68.0

74.9

15.2

24.1

21.8

10.5

16.6

15.6

46.7

28.5

27.5

53.8

27.0

24.3

Unichem Laboratories

UNILAB

290

Buy

2632.5

12.3

15.3

21.1

23.5

19.0

13.7

14.9

12.0

8.6

13.8

15.7

18.9

11.7

12.9

15.5

340

Exhibit 92: One year forward P/E of CNX Pharma vs. Sensex
45
40
35
30
25
x

20
15
10
5

CNX Pharma

Oct-16

Apr-16

Oct-15

Apr-15

Oct-14

Oct-13

Apr-14

Apr-13

Oct-12

Apr-12

Oct-11

Apr-11

Oct-10

Apr-10

Oct-09

Apr-09

Oct-08

Apr-08

Oct-07

Apr-07

Oct-06

Sensex

Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 25

RATING RATIONALE

ICICIdirect.com endeavours to provide objective opinions and recommendations. ICICIdirect.com assigns


ratings to its stocks according to their notional target price vs. current market price and then categorises them
as Strong Buy, Buy, Add, Reduce and Sell. The performance horizon is two years unless specified and the
notional target price is defined as the analysts' valuation for a stock.
Sector view:
Over weight compared to index
Equal weight compared to index
Under weight compared to index
Index here refers to BSE 500

Pankaj Pandey

Head Research

pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com

ICICIdirect.com Research Desk,


ICICI Securities Limited,
1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No. 7, MIDC,
Andheri (East)
Mumbai 400 093
research@icicidirect.com

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

Page 26

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accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or
view(s) in this report.

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described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and
to observe such restriction.

ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research

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