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RISK MANAGEMENT WORKSHOP

RISK MANAGEMENT WORKSHOP


1.0 Familiarize yourself with terminology
2.0 Conduct the process as a group following the steps given in
this ppt (Process desc starts from Slide 43)
3.0 Must be done during class time
4.0 I would call on some students at random and assess apart
from your submission
Submission: Q 1 to 3 of handout, except Q4 instead of which
you will do a Stakeholder analysis for this project
5. Also list what you did not understand and what did you do
about it?

RISK MANAGEMENT WORKSHOP

The theory

A BIT OF THEORY AND JARGON

RISK

SCHEDULE RISK

Critical Path
Scheduling
Milestones

COST RISK

Resources
Procurement

SCHEDULE RISK

Customer Reqmt
Trade off
Triangle
Stakeholders

PORTFOLIO RISK

Financial

RISK MANAGEMENT

RISK MANAGEMENT

Portfolio Risk
Scope Risk
Schedule Risk
Cost Risk

RISK MANAGEMENT

RISK MANAGEMENT

Risk Event
Prevention Plan
Contingency Plan

PROGRESSIVE ELABORATION

RISK MANAGEMENT

RISK

RISK

Event --- Uncertain

Affecting Project Objectives

RISK

RISK IDENTIFICATION

RISK CATEGORIES

RISK CATEGORIES
FOUR CLASSES
Accounting/
Tax Law changes
Fx and interest rate
Fluctuations

Customer demand fall off


Non Traditional Competitors

Asset Valuations
Commodity risk

Financial Risk Strategic Risk


Operational
Hazard Risk Risk

Reputation Risk
Political Risk

Terrorism/Sabotage
Weather
Business Interruption

Pricing

Regulation/
Intervention

Supply chain issues


3rd Party
supply failure

RISK IDENTIFICATION TECHNIQUES

RISK IDENTIFICATION TECHNIQUES

Check lists Registers


WBS
Project Network
Cause and Effect Diagram
Analogy
Brainstorming
Monte Carlo Simulation
No risk evaluation allowed when risk identification is on

RISK MANAGEMENT

RISK CONSEQUENCE

RISK CONSEQUENCE

RISK PRIORITY

RISK PRIORITY

RISK MITIGATION

RISK MITIGATION

Risk Event
Prevention Plan
Contingency Plan

RISK MITIGATION

RISK MITIGATION

RISK MANAGEMENT

TRIGGER AND CONTINGENCY

34

TRIGGER AND CONTINGENCY


Detectability

35

RISK MANAGEMENT

RISK TERMINOLOGY

RISK TERMINOLOGY

Project
Progressive Elaboration
Risk
Risk Identification
Risk Consequence (Impact)
Risk Priority
Risk Mitigation
Trigger and Contingency

PRACTICE

RISK MANAGEMENT

SIX FUNDAMENTAL QUESTIONS

RISK MANAGEMENT PROCESS

RISK MANAGEMENT WORKSHOP

The Workshop Steps

RISK WORKSHOP

RISK WORKSHOP

Understand Project
And
Process

1.0 IDENTIFY RISKS

1.0 IDENTIFY RISKS

Inputs
Risk Register (Appendix 2)
Method
Crawford Slip Method

Risks, Issues and Opportunities


Technical

THEORY

Technology
Engineerin
g
Integration
Manufacturi
ng etc.

What can go
wrong?

Risk
Management

Programmatic Business
Schedule
Staffing
Communicati
on
Contract Str.
Estimates
etc.

What has gone


wrong?

Issue
Management

Laws
Dependenc
ies
Customer
Resources
etc.

What can be
improved?

Opportunities
Management

ConsequencesonCost,ScheduleandPerformance

RISK REGISTER-SAMPLE

CharacteRISKtics

SAMPLE

International

Transmission Line

Political & Geopolitical

Right of Way & Statutory


Clearances
SIR
Head loading/
undulation
Delay in free issue items
EHV Substations

Suitable Subcontractors
Localization
Choice of vendors
Visa restrictions
Logistics

Solar

Line of
Business

Performance
Guarantees
Layout/ Profile
variations
Creditworthiness of
customers
O&M related

Land plot handover


Upstream &
Downstream readiness
Qty. estimation
Remote End Works
UPD Projects

E&I Projects
Common

Clearances
Linkages
Interfacing
Qty. finalization
delays
Eqpt. Warranty
mismatch

Price Variation
Forex Exposure
Commodity
Exposure
Customer
Credentials
Customer
Approvals
Payment Delays

Statutory
Variation
Schedule/ LD
Access
Eqpt.
Damages
Local issues

Geographical spread
Scope/ CV reduction
Timely shutdown
Low tech supply chain
reliability
Surplus Material

RISK REGISTER- THIS WORKSHOP

For this project use the Risk Register


as in
Appendix 2

USE THE CRAWFORD SLIP METHOD

CRAWFORD SLIP: STEP 1


INDIVIDUALLY WRITE OUT RISKS

CRAWFORD SLIP: STEP 1


INDIVIDUALLY WRITE OUT RISKS

CRAWFORD SLIP METHOD: STEP 2


ONE MEMBER LAYS OUT ALL HIS SHEETS ON THE TABLE

CRAWFORD SLIP METHOD: STEP 2


ONE MEMBER LAYS OUT ALL THE SHEETS ON THE TABLE

Safety

Idea 4

Idea 2

Idea 3

Idea 5

CRAWFORD SLIP METHOD: STEP 3


ALL OTHER MEMBERS PLACE THEIR IDEAS IN THE GROUPS CLOSEST TO THEIRS

CRAWFORD SLIP METHOD: STEP 3


ALL OTHER MEMBERS PLACE THEIR IDEAS IN THE GROUPS CLOSEST TO THEIRS

Safety
Safety
Safety
Safety
Member 4

Weather
Weather
Member
Weather
4
Member
Weather
4
Member
Weather
4
Member 4
Member 7

CRAWFORD SLIP METHOD: STEP 4


AGREE ON THE GROUPS

CRAWFORD SLIP METHOD: STEP 4


AGREE ON THE GROUPS

Safety
Safety
Safety
Safety
Member 4

Weather
Weather
Member
Weather
4
Member
Weather
4
Member
Weather
4
Member 4
Member 7

RISK REGISTER- THIS WORKSHOP

Complete Appendix 3
List of all identified Risks

RISK REGISTER- THIS WORKSHOP

Choose one each of


Project Feasibility Risk and
Project Execution Risk

RISK REGISTER- THIS WORKSHOP

For the chosen risk


Write a Risk Statement using
guidelines on next slide

2.0 WRITE RISK STATEMENTS

2.0 WRITE RISK STATEMENTS

Appendix 4 (SAMPLE Bad Risk


Statement)
Refer Handout
Writing Good Risk Statements

3.0 COMPLETE UP APPENDIX 5A and 5B


(Sample in Appendix 4)

For the two chosen risks

3.0 COMPLETE UP APPENDIX 5A and 5B


(Sample in Appendix 4)

One Risk Statement at a time


First Individually and then consensus
Filling in two parts
The form is to be filled in two parts

3.0A COMPLETE UP APPENDIX 5: Part 1


(Individually)

1
2

3.0A COMPLETE UP APPENDIX 4 Part 1


(Individually)

1
2

Risk Statement
Causes
Consequences
External Environment
Current Controls/ Effectiveness
Consequence, Likelihood, Risk
Risk Change
Trigger
Contingency Plan

3.0B COMPLETE UP APPENDIX 4: Part 1


Group

3.0B COMPLETE UP APPENDIX 4: Part 1


Group

1
2

Risk Statement
Causes
Consequences
External Environment
Current Controls/ Effectiveness
Consequence, Likelihood, Risk
Risk Change
Trigger
Contingency Plan

3.0C COMPLETE UP APPENDIX 4: Part 2


Individually

3.0C COMPLETE UP APPENDIX 4: Part 2


Individually

1
2

Risk Statement
Causes
Consequences
External Environment
Current Controls/ Effectiveness
Consequence, Likelihood, Risk
Risk Change
Trigger
Contingency Plan

3.0D COMPLETE UP APPENDIX 4: Part 2


Group

1
2

Risk Statement
Causes
Consequences
External Environment
Current Controls/ Effectiveness
Consequence, Likelihood, Risk
Risk Change
Trigger
Contingency Plan

RISK MANAGEMENT WORKSHOP

1.0 Submit to CR at end of class


Submission (as in HAndout):
Q1 Referering to Appendix 2
Q2 Prioritize ..
Q3 Fill up Risk Register Form ..
Q4 Stakeholder analysis for this project
Q5. Also list what you did not understand and what did you do
about it?

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