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Consumer
of the Future
What are customers looking for from their
telecom operators, and how will that impact
the industry going forward?
A year ago, in The Future of Telecom Operators, we looked at a landscape for telecom operators
(including mobile, fixed-line, and convergent players) fraught with uncertainty as revenues and
profits sink and threats from inside (competitors) and outside (over-the-top players as well as
regulations) the industry increase. The industry is evolving, and our research made it clear
that operators cannot afford to be mere passive observers in a world of changethey must
work actively to forge their own future.
In embarking on this same study this year, we adjusted the point of view a little bitfrom
operators to customers. As conditions change from a supply standpoint, how is demand
changing? What do consumers want in the future when buying digital and communications
services? How much have consumers embraced mobile commerce? What are their product
preferences in terms of pricing, networks, handsets, apps, and entertainment? How do they
prefer to interact with operators with respect to sales and service? What do consumers
believe are the important factors in making a purchase, and which factors make different
operators stand out?
despite the impressions that U.S. consumers are ahead of the pack (see figure 1). But how they
use their phones is quite different. Europeans seem to be more focused on saving moneyusing
apps for calls (57 percent say they have used them in the past three months, compared with
46 percent in the U.S.) and buying physical goods such as electronics, books, and clothes online
(41 percent this year vs. 35 percent in the U.S.). Apps for calls are most popular in countries such
as Serbia (86 percent) and Italy (72 percent), where penetration of flat rates is low. Consumers
in Russia, Ukraine, and Italy (all at around 50 percent) are particularly keen on physical purchases
using their phones. On the other side Americans are spending more time on the Internet and
using apps (36 percent of total usage of the phone vs. 25 percent in Europe) and use more
digital purchasing options (53 percent have downloaded digital content such as music and
games in the past three months, compared with 44 percent of Europeans).
Interestingly, the wide differences among countries do not follow the typical lines of developed
versus developing regions, as one might expect. Some developed markets such as Belgium,
Denmark, and Norway show low mobile digital usage and m-commerce spend, mostly the result of
low numbers for digital downloads, physical m-commerce, and app-based calls; generally mobile
Internet use in these countries is rather high. On the other side, less developed countries such
as Russia, Serbia, and Ukraine have higher digital usageclose to U.S. levelseven as digital
spending is lower. The high usage is mostly driven by high numbers of digital downloads, physical
shopping, and, in particular, enormous use of app-based calls, a way to save money versus traditional voice calls. Pure Internet usage, while not very low, is slightly below the European average.
Still, overall, the average European spends about 30 per month in m-commerce (both for
digital and physical items), more than 10 behind the average in the United States. It begs the
questionhave operators truly capitalized on the digital consumer? As consumers connect
constantly on apps, and considering how some countries see m-commerce spending close
to U.S. levels, are operators missing an opportunity to tap into their spending as well?
Figure 1
Mobile digital usage vs. m-commerce spending
60
No Frills
Share of
consumers
engaging in:
Trailblazer
50
Spain
Ukraine
45
Serbia
35
United States
Switzerland
Poland
Norway
Czech Republic
30
Denmark
France
Austria
Belgium
25
20
Sweden
Netherlands
United Kingdom
Slovakia
40
Italy
California
Germany
Russia
55
10
Physical purchase
via phone
20
25
30
35
40
Preferring to buy
connectivity online
Prospects
European average
15
Digital purchase
via phone
Laggard
0
45
50
55
60
65
70
Figure 2
Global app stores dominate the app market
Are you planning to buy apps in the future?
Yes
No
Europe
United States
57%
43%
52%
48%
25%
15%
19%
15%
Instant payment
53%
47%
73%
No preference
21%
12%
61%
No preference
34%
24%
Europe
United States
TV options (for example, quad-play bundles have been successful in Spain and France). Flat
billing rates are preferred over metered options and bucket pricing. Few respondents in any
market had much interest in buying access bundled with content. Although that concept has
been in discussion for a few yearsand applied for instance in the Amazon Kindleconsumers
have not embraced that idea yet (or do not fully understand the advantages), which is good news
for operators as they seek to protect their current business.
In terms of payment, post-paid plans are the preference in most countries, with hybrid
models iTunes-like system where products and services can be bought on an ad-hoc basis
are on the rise and may even be accelerating if operators can get hot billing fully working.
(U.S. consumers show even more preference for these.) Italy, Russia, and Ukraine remain the
major prepaid-dominated countries in Europe, but even there people say they are open to
alternative offerings.
who say they have no preference indicate a growth opportunity, and many operators are
considering going into content production to tap into this (see figure 3). However, operators
have little time to waste in capitalizing. In some markets, the preference for global offerings
(Germany: 37 percent; Denmark: 34 percent) are already close to the numbers in the United
States (42 percent) and California (47 percent).
Brand matters with handsetsbut not when it comes to the operators handsets. When
it comes to purchasing handsets, customers indicate that the big brandsnamely Apple and
Samsunghold the greatest sway. When acquiring handsets, our respondents say the brand
is the most important attribute, although many say their goal is to acquire the handset with
the best functionality. Few say they are just looking for the cheapest handset, and even fewer
have interest in operator-branded handsetswhich, in any case, are typically positioned on
the lower end of the handset portfolio.
In sales, operator-owned physical stores and online shopping are popularbut operators
are not yet capitalizing on the opportunity. Operators have a big opportunity to meet the
desires of their customers both offline and online, and to stave off threats from indirect retailers
and unaffiliated online sellers.
Figure 3
Operators have an opportunity in the pay-TV and video-on-demand market
Are you planning to buy mobile pay-TV or video-on-demand?
Yes
Europe
No
21%
United States
27%
52%
37%
21%
42%
From whom?
Local operator
24%
11%
Global provider
(Netflix, Amazon,
iTunes)
California: 47%
19%
42%
Local cable or
pay-TV provider
23%
19%
No preference
34%
28%
Europe
United States
The survey results bear out the size of the opportunity. Online sales of telecom services account
for only one-fifth of all sales, yet 39 percent of consumers say they prefer to shop online rather
than in stores. In some countries, including Germany (56 percent) and Norway (53 percent), the
majority of respondents prefer to make their telecom purchases online. Although brick-andmortar selling is still preferred, it is clear that more consumers want to go online and operators
havent quite capitalized on that, as either an opportunity for better service and convenience, or
for significant cost savings. Remarkably, some operators show that consumer preferences for
buying online can even pushed higher by a consequent and early-on focus on digital sales
such as the 79 percent who buy online with Telmore in Denmark, the 78 percent with
TeliaSonera in Norway, and the 73 percent with 3 in the United Kingdom.
The data also shows other opportunities to focus on additional buying factors that could be put
together in one holistic consumer offering. Security ranks fourth overallimportant in light of
the discussions of both cybersecurity and government snooping that have captured headlines
in recent years. Sales and service are also important, but handsets are becoming less of a
differentiator, a remarkable turnaround from the situation just a few years ago, when the best
handset portfolio was often the number one factor in choosing an operator.
Figure 4
Digital navigator customers offer many opportunities for operators
Digital navigator index: digital navigator customer preferences,
as a % of data utility customer levels
Digital usage
Is willing to pay
for quad play
278%
Values network
speed
133%
Prefers operator
SIM bundle
135%
Connectivity spending
( per month)
132%
114%
Smartphone and
phablet penetration
Plans to
buy apps
140%
Plans to
buy pay TV
182%
Prefers operators
own shops
115%
Likes all-in
service
115%
Values network
quality over price
131%
Data
utility
Digital
navigator
104%
231%
145%
18
+71%
30
2
4
Data
utility
10
+28%
Digital
navigator
12
data utility consumers, they say they value network speed by 33 percent more, they plan to buy
apps by 40 percent more and TV by 82 percent, and they prefer their own shops and all-in
customer service by 15 percent more each. More importantly, digital navigator consumers also
spend more71 percent for connectivity and 28 percent on digital m-commerce.
Figure 5
Many operators lag in being true digital navigators
Incumbents
Classical operator with
fixed line and mobile
Mobile leader
Either market leader
or close No. 2
Challenger
Larger distance
to market leader
Average
Example country 1
Example country 2
1
32
33
34
Low
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
High
Operator attitudes are just one aspect of this discussion, however. What do customers want?
The study points to some interesting insights. First of all, when presented with the scenarios,
respondents overwhelmingly choose the data utility, with premium player and digital navigator
next, and network company well behind those (see figure 6 on page 9). This is striking, since
in todays markets incumbents and mobile leaders normally capture half of the market at
minimum. Forecasting our data to the future indicates that there might be a massive shift
of customers to what are todays challengers, and that the leaders of today may be laggards
within three to five years.
Figure 6
Consumer data indicates that data utility is the most popular model among consumers
Network
company
9%
11
Preference
weighted
by revenue
13
Data
utility
48%
53
Premium
player
22%
44
20
Digital
navigator
Europe
United States
21%
26
17
17
To fight that trend operators have two primary choices for success:
Become true data utilities. In this option, operators would accept consumer preferences and
become true data utilities, maintaining that B2C connection but moving away from doing
more than offering good-value network access. The focus would be on low-budget consumers
and digital natives seeking good value for their money. Network quality and simple pricing
plans would be critical, but bundling, handsets, and app stores would not be needed. In terms
of customer interaction, sales would ideally be digitally focused, and self- and peer-to-peer
service would be pursued, with call centers (perhaps with a fee) an alternate option. The most
important element of the data utility approach would be strong and radical focus on operational
excellenceremoving about half of todays cost positions.
Authors
Florian Dickgreber, partner, Dsseldorf
florian.dickgreber@atkearney.com
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