Actividad

A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
N
O
P

Predecesor

T. optimista

----------A
A, B
A, B, C, D
E
D, E, H
G, H
G
G
F, L
K
J, K, I

(a)
6
4
5
9
8
1
6.5
3
4
1
2
4
2
0.5
1
2.5

VARIANZA =
DESV. EST. =
b)
c)

P (z <= x)

T. ms
probable
(m)
7.5
4.5
6.5
10
9
2
7
3.5
5.5
1.5
2.5
5
3
1
1.5
3

T. pesimista

2.69444444
1.6414763

(x-24)/1,6414 = 1,645
x-24 = 2,7
P (z <= 25,7)
(25,7-24)/1,6414 = 1,035
De tablas para 1,035 aprox = 0,35 ==> 0,85

(b)
12
8
11
17
10
3
7.5
7
10
5
6
6
10
1.5
5
3.5

tp
8
5
7
11
9
2
7
4
6
2
3
5
4
1
2
3

2.700103 1.03570123

varianza
1
0.44444444
1
1.77777778
0.11111111
0.11111111
0.02777778
0.44444444
1
0.44444444
0.44444444
0.11111111
1.77777778
0.02777778
0.44444444
0.02777778

8
2
11
8
A-8

G-7

3
11

B-5
0
1

11
C-7

4
11

0
D11

11
E-9

5
11

9
6
15

20
1
0
23

F-2
L-5
15

N-1

M-4

18
18
4

H-7

8
18

21

18
9

K-3

18

21

18
11
19
I-6

RUTA CRITICA: D-H-K-P

DURACION: 24 DIAS

12

J-2

24
O-2

14
24
P-3

21
13
21