11-4-Pennsylvania (Harper Polling)

Pennsylvania Statewide Poll Crosstabs
November 2-3,
Q: Would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they gotten off on the
wrong track?
Direction of Country * Voter Enthusiasm Crosstabulation
% within Voter Enthusiasm
Voter Enthusiasm
Somewhat
enthusiastic
Not enthusiastic Not sure
Very enthusiastic
Direction of Country Right Direction
36.63%
22.62%
22.92%
18.18%
Wrong Track
56.11%
64.29%
62.50%
54.55%
Not sure
7.26%
13.10%
14.58%
27.27%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Direction of Country * Presidential Ballot Crosstabulation

% within Presidential Ballot
Presidential Ballot
Clinton
Total
121 State Street

Harrisburg, PA 17101
Trump
Johnson
Stein
Undecided
59.11%
4.82%
0.00%
28.57%
26.32%
Wrong Track
23.56%
92.98%
91.67%
71.43%
47.37%
Not sure
17.33%
2.19%
8.33%
0.00%
26.32%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
HarperPolling.com
info@HarperPolling.com
Direction of Country * Presidential Winner Crosstabulation

% within Presidential Winner
Presidential Winner
Clinton
Trump
Not sure
53.14%
4.89%
20.31%
Wrong Track
28.87%
92.93%
75.00%
Not sure
17.99%
2.17%
4.69%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Direction of Country * Senate Ballot Crosstabulation

% within Senate Ballot
Senate Ballot
McGinty Toomey
Clifford Undecided
58.85%
6.19%
12.90%
16.67%
Wrong Track
25.84%
91.43%
74.19%
50.00%
Not sure
15.31%
2.38%
12.90%
33.33%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Direction of Country * End of Election Crosstabulation

% within End of Election
End of Election
Most exciting
Complete torture Train wreck election in years Not sure
35.48%
33.55%
17.44%
27.78%
Wrong Track
58.71%
52.90%
79.07%
48.15%
Not sure
5.81%
13.55%
3.49%
24.07%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Direction of Country * Region Crosstabulation

% within Region
Region
Philadelphia/Sout Pittsburgh/South Scranton/Lehigh
heast
west
Valley
Northern Tier
South Central
Total
24.59%
40.33%
25.00%
31.67%
24.69%
Wrong Track
68.85%
46.41%
67.24%
60.00%
65.43%
Not sure
6.56%
13.26%
7.76%
8.33%
9.88%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Direction of Country * Vote History Crosstabulation

% within Vote History
Vote History
0
31.48%
29.69%
21.33%
35.23%
33.49%
Wrong Track
55.56%
56.25%
70.67%
55.68%
57.34%
Not sure
12.96%
14.06%
8.00%
9.09%
9.17%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Direction of Country * DMA Crosstabulation

% within DMA
DMA
HARRISBURG- JOHNSTOWNLNCSTR-LEB- ALTOONA-ST
YORK
COLGE
BUFFALO
ELMIRA
(CORNING)
ERIE
16.67%
0.00%
23.53%
21.43%
22.73%
0.00%
Wrong Track
83.33%
100.00%
70.59%
67.86%
72.73%
0.00%
Not sure
0.00%
0.00%
5.88%
10.71%
4.55%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total

% within DMA
DMA
WASHINGTON,
DC
NEW YORK PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH (HAGRSTWN)
Wrong Track
Not sure
Total
0.00%
39.55%
25.20%
50.00%
30.43%
0.00%
47.27%
67.48%
50.00%
63.04%
100.00%
13.18%
7.32%
0.00%
6.52%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%

% within DMA
DMA
WILKES
BARRESCRANTONHZTN
YOUNGSTOWN
30.43%
20.00%
Wrong Track
63.04%
80.00%
Not sure
6.52%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Direction of Country * Voter Likelihood Crosstabulation

% within Voter Likelihood
Voter Likelihood
Extremely likely Very likely Somewhat likely
32.12%
18.75%
0.00%
Wrong Track
58.46%
68.75%
42.86%
Not sure
9.42%
12.50%
57.14%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Direction of Country * Gender Crosstabulation

% within Gender
Gender
Female
Male
33.72%
28.57%
Wrong Track
55.94%
61.76%
Not sure
10.34%
9.66%
Total
100.00% 100.00%
Direction of Country * Party Registration Crosstabulation

% within Party Registration
Party Registration
Independent or
Republican Democrat any other party
Total
10.50%
49.79%
25.00%
Wrong Track
84.00%
35.80%
67.86%
Not sure
5.50%
14.40%
7.14%
100.00% 100.00%
100.00%
Direction of Country * Age Crosstabulation

% within Age
Age
18 to 39 40 to 54 55 to 64 65 to 74 75 or older
27.94%
23.97%
36.52%
29.52%
38.89%
Wrong Track
69.12%
67.77%
55.65%
60.95%
40.00%
Not sure
2.94%
8.26%
7.83%
9.52%
21.11%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Direction of Country * Race Crosstabulation

% within Race
Race
White African-American
Any other race or

ethnicity
27.94%
51.56%
30.00%
Wrong Track
63.24%
32.81%
50.00%
Not sure
8.82%
15.63%
20.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Direction of Country * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology

Wrong Track
Not sure
Total
Very
Conservative
Somewhat
Conservative
14.81%
9.35%
32.70%
66.00%
73.53%
50.00%
79.01%
87.85%
50.94%
22.00%
20.59%
50.00%
6.17%
2.80%
16.35%
12.00%
5.88%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Direction of Country * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology
Not sure
Total
Moderate Somewhat LiberalVery Liberal
50.00%
Wrong Track
50.00%
Not sure
0.00%
100.00%
Direction of Country * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education
Technical or
vocational school
High school
graduate
graduate
College graduate
High school or
below
39.47%
26.92%
26.79%
26.23%
38.10%
Wrong Track
50.00%
59.62%
62.50%
65.57%
54.29%
Not sure
10.53%
13.46%
10.71%
8.20%
7.62%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Direction of Country * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education
Post graduate
degree
Not sure
38.10%
50.00%
Wrong Track
54.29%
50.00%
Not sure
7.62%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Q: And how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in the November elections?
Voter Enthusiasm * Presidential Ballot Crosstabulation
Presidential Ballot
Clinton
Trump
Johnson
Stein
Undecided
66.22%
63.72%
8.33%
14.29%
35.00%
Somewhat enthusiastic 16.00%
17.26%
41.67%
0.00%
15.00%
Not enthusiastic
14.67%
18.14%
50.00%
85.71%
40.00%
Not sure
3.11%
0.88%
0.00%
0.00%
10.00%
Voter Enthusiasm Very enthusiastic
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Voter Enthusiasm * Presidential Winner Crosstabulation

Presidential Winner
Clinton
Trump
Not sure
63.07%
69.23%
31.25%
14.29%
25.00%
Not enthusiastic
17.84%
15.38%
37.50%
Not sure
2.07%
1.10%
6.25%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Voter Enthusiasm * Senate Ballot Crosstabulation

Senate Ballot
McGinty Toomey
Clifford Undecided
66.03%
62.98%
32.26%
37.50%
18.27%
22.58%
16.67%
Not enthusiastic
15.79%
16.35%
45.16%
41.67%
Not sure
2.39%
2.40%
0.00%
4.17%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Voter Enthusiasm * End of Election Crosstabulation

End of Election
Most exciting
51.63%
58.44%
90.80%
48.15%
Somewhat enthusiastic
17.65%
20.13%
6.90%
29.63%
Not enthusiastic
28.10%
19.48%
2.30%
16.67%
Not sure
Total
2.61%
1.95%
0.00%
5.56%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Voter Enthusiasm * Region Crosstabulation

% within Region
Region
heast
west
Valley
Northern Tier
55.74%
66.11%
60.34%
50.00%
65.43%
22.95%
14.44%
17.24%
23.33%
12.35%
Not enthusiastic
21.31%
18.33%
18.97%
21.67%
19.75%
Not sure
0.00%
1.11%
3.45%
5.00%
2.47%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Voter Enthusiasm * Region Crosstabulation

% within Region
Region
South Central
65.43%
12.35%
Not enthusiastic
19.75%
Not sure
Total
2.47%
100.00%
Voter Enthusiasm * Vote History Crosstabulation

Vote History
0
62.26%
64.06%
59.46%
55.17%
63.64%
12.50%
17.57%
26.44%
14.09%
Not enthusiastic
18.87%
18.75%
20.27%
18.39%
20.00%
1.89%
4.69%
2.70%
0.00%
2.27%
Not sure
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Voter Enthusiasm * DMA Crosstabulation

% within DMA
DMA
YORK
COLGE
BUFFALO
ELMIRA
(CORNING)
ERIE
50.00%
0.00%
64.71%
66.07%
63.64%
0.00%
0.00%
100.00%
23.53%
10.71%
13.64%
100.00%
Not enthusiastic
50.00%
0.00%
11.76%
19.64%
22.73%
0.00%
Not sure
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
3.57%
0.00%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total

% within DMA
DMA
WASHINGTON,
DC
63.47%
60.98%
0.00%
52.17%
15.53%
17.07%
50.00%
26.09%
Not enthusiastic
0.00%
19.18%
18.70%
50.00%
19.57%
Not sure
0.00%
1.83%
3.25%
0.00%
2.17%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
0.00%

% within DMA
DMA
WILKES
BARRESCRANTONHZTN
YOUNGSTOWN
Total
52.17%
60.00%
26.09%
20.00%
Not enthusiastic
19.57%
20.00%
Not sure
2.17%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Voter Enthusiasm * Voter Likelihood Crosstabulation

Voter Likelihood
63.60%
13.33%
16.92%
26.67%
0.00%
Not enthusiastic
17.77%
53.33%
71.43%
Not sure
1.71%
6.67%
14.29%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
14.29%
Voter Enthusiasm * Gender Crosstabulation

% within Gender
Gender
Female
Male
56.87%
66.53%
13.56%
Not enthusiastic
19.85%
19.07%
Not sure
3.44%
0.85%
Total
100.00% 100.00%
Voter Enthusiasm * Party Registration Crosstabulation

Party Registration
Independent or
60.61%
65.98%
44.64%
15.98%
16.07%
Not enthusiastic
19.19%
15.98%
35.71%
2.02%
2.05%
Not sure
Total
100.00% 100.00%
10
3.57%
100.00%
Voter Enthusiasm * Age Crosstabulation

% within Age
Age
57.97%
66.94%
60.18%
62.26%
57.30%
14.88%
15.93%
18.87%
16.85%
Not enthusiastic
21.74%
17.36%
23.01%
16.04%
20.22%
Not sure
1.45%
0.83%
0.88%
2.83%
5.62%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Voter Enthusiasm * Race Crosstabulation

% within Race
Race
Any other race or

ethnicity
61.23%
64.06%
57.14%
21.88%
19.05%
Not enthusiastic
7.81%
23.81%
Not sure
Total
20.99%
1.73%
6.25%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Voter Enthusiasm * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology
Total
Very
Conservative
Somewhat
Conservative
63.75%
56.19%
52.20%
78.43%
76.47%
57.14%
21.25%
20.00%
17.61%
11.76%
11.76%
28.57%
Not enthusiastic
10.00%
21.90%
27.67%
9.80%
11.76%
14.29%
Not sure
5.00%
1.90%
2.52%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
11
Voter Enthusiasm * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology
Not sure
57.14%

Not enthusiastic
14.29%
Not sure
0.00%
Total
100.00%
Voter Enthusiasm * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education
Technical or
vocational school
High school
graduate
graduate
College graduate
High school or
below
70.27%
53.85%
58.93%
61.79%
62.14%
10.81%
17.31%
16.07%
21.95%
19.42%
Not enthusiastic
13.51%
25.96%
25.00%
14.63%
16.50%
Not sure
5.41%
2.88%
0.00%
1.63%
1.94%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Voter Enthusiasm * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education
Total
Post graduate
degree
Not sure
62.14%
100.00%
19.42%
0.00%
Not enthusiastic
16.50%
0.00%
Not sure
1.94%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
12
Q: If the election for President were held today, who would you vote for: Democrat Hillary
Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson OR Green Party candidate Jill Stein?
Presidential Ballot * Voter Enthusiasm Crosstabulation
Very enthusiastic
Voter Enthusiasm
Somewhat
enthusiastic
Presidential Ballot Clinton
49.34%
43.37%
35.11%
63.64%
Trump
47.68%
46.99%
43.62%
18.18%
Johnson
0.33%
6.02%
6.38%
0.00%
Stein
0.33%
0.00%
6.38%
0.00%
Undecided
2.32%
3.61%
8.51%
18.18%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Presidential Ballot * Presidential Winner Crosstabulation

Presidential Winner
Clinton
Trump
Not sure
86.83%
1.09%
18.75%
Trump
7.82%
94.54%
54.69%
Johnson
1.65%
2.73%
4.69%
Stein
1.23%
0.55%
4.69%
Undecided
2.47%
1.09%
17.19%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Presidential Ballot * Senate Ballot Crosstabulation

Senate Ballot
McGinty Toomey
Clifford Undecided
90.09%
6.19%
25.81%
39.13%
Trump
5.66%
90.00%
45.16%
17.39%
Johnson
0.94%
1.43%
19.35%
4.35%
Stein
1.42%
0.00%
6.45%
4.35%
Undecided
1.89%
2.38%
3.23%
34.78%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
13
Presidential Ballot * End of Election Crosstabulation

End of Election
Most exciting
49.35%
57.96%
22.99%
46.30%
Trump
42.21%
37.58%
71.26%
38.89%
Johnson
5.19%
0.64%
1.15%
3.70%
Stein
1.30%
1.27%
1.15%
0.00%
Undecided
1.95%
2.55%
3.45%
11.11%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Presidential Ballot * Region Crosstabulation

% within Region
Region
heast
west
Valley
Northern Tier
South Central
31.03%
62.30%
42.61%
42.37%
28.40%
Trump
65.52%
29.51%
48.70%
50.85%
61.73%
Johnson
3.45%
1.64%
3.48%
0.00%
3.70%
Stein
0.00%
2.73%
1.74%
0.00%
0.00%
Undecided
0.00%
3.83%
3.48%
6.78%
6.17%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Presidential Ballot * Vote History Crosstabulation

Vote History
0
48.08%
45.31%
36.99%
51.72%
46.82%
Trump
44.23%
46.88%
52.05%
36.78%
47.73%
Johnson
0.00%
1.56%
5.48%
4.60%
1.36%
Stein
0.00%
1.56%
1.37%
2.30%
1.36%
Undecided
7.69%
4.69%
4.11%
4.60%
2.73%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
14
Presidential Ballot * DMA Crosstabulation

% within DMA
DMA
YORK
COLGE
BUFFALO
ELMIRA
(CORNING)
ERIE
20.00%
0.00%
47.06%
30.36%
19.05%
100.00%
Trump
80.00%
100.00%
52.94%
60.71%
61.90%
0.00%
Johnson
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
3.57%
9.52%
0.00%
Stein
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Undecided
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
5.36%
9.52%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total

% within DMA
DMA
WASHINGTON,
DC
100.00%
59.01%
41.80%
0.00%
34.09%
20.00%
Trump
0.00%
32.43%
49.18%
100.00%
65.91%
80.00%
Johnson
0.00%
1.35%
4.10%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Stein
0.00%
2.25%
1.64%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Undecided
0.00%
4.95%
3.28%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total

% within DMA
DMA
YOUNGSTOWN
20.00%
Trump
80.00%
Johnson
0.00%
Stein
0.00%
Undecided
Total
WILKES
BARRESCRANTONHZTN
0.00%
100.00%
15
Presidential Ballot * Voter Likelihood Crosstabulation

Voter Likelihood
45.59%
50.00%
50.00%
Trump
46.88%
37.50%
16.67%
Johnson
2.15%
6.25%
16.67%
Stein
1.29%
6.25%
0.00%
Undecided
4.09%
0.00%
16.67%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Presidential Ballot * Gender Crosstabulation

% within Gender
Gender
Female
Male
49.04%
42.98%
Trump
43.68%
48.51%
Johnson
1.15%
3.83%
Stein
1.53%
1.28%
Undecided
4.60%
3.40%
Total
100.00% 100.00%
Presidential Ballot * Party Registration Crosstabulation

Party Registration
Independent or
12.63%
77.87%
25.93%
Trump
81.82%
16.80%
46.30%
Johnson
1.52%
0.82%
12.96%
Stein
0.00%
1.64%
5.56%
Undecided
4.04%
2.87%
9.26%
Total
100.00% 100.00%
100.00%
16
Presidential Ballot * Age Crosstabulation

% within Age
Age
43.48%
34.17%
46.09%
52.88%
56.82%
Trump
50.72%
58.33%
44.35%
40.38%
34.09%
Johnson
2.90%
3.33%
3.48%
0.96%
1.14%
Stein
2.90%
0.00%
2.61%
1.92%
0.00%
Undecided
0.00%
4.17%
3.48%
3.85%
7.95%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Presidential Ballot * Race Crosstabulation

% within Race
Race
Any other race or

ethnicity
40.29%
73.85%
66.67%
Trump
51.60%
18.46%
28.57%
Johnson
2.70%
1.54%
0.00%
Stein
1.47%
1.54%
0.00%
Undecided
3.93%
4.62%
4.76%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Presidential Ballot * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology
Very
Conservative
Somewhat
Conservative
17.28%
16.67%
56.96%
92.16%
91.18%
85.71%
Trump
80.25%
76.85%
31.01%
5.88%
2.94%
0.00%
Johnson
0.00%
1.85%
5.70%
0.00%
0.00%
14.29%
Stein
0.00%
0.00%
2.53%
0.00%
2.94%
0.00%
Undecided
2.47%
4.63%
3.80%
1.96%
2.94%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
17
Presidential Ballot * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology
Not sure
85.71%
Trump
0.00%
Johnson
14.29%
Stein
0.00%
Undecided
0.00%
Total
100.00%
Presidential Ballot * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education
Technical or
vocational school
High school
graduate
graduate
College graduate
High school or
below
55.26%
45.19%
48.21%
39.02%
54.72%
Trump
42.11%
47.12%
42.86%
54.47%
38.68%
Johnson
2.63%
3.85%
3.57%
0.81%
3.77%
Stein
0.00%
0.00%
1.79%
1.63%
0.00%
Undecided
Total
0.00%
3.85%
3.57%
4.07%
2.83%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Presidential Ballot * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education
Post graduate
degree
Not sure
54.72%
50.00%
Trump
38.68%
50.00%
Johnson
3.77%
0.00%
Stein
0.00%
0.00%
Undecided
2.83%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
18
Q: Despite your preference for President, which candidate do you believe is most likely to win?
Presidential Winner * Presidential Ballot Crosstabulation
Presidential Ballot
Clinton
Trump
Johnson
Stein
Undecided
Presidential Winner Clinton
93.78%
8.37%
33.33%
42.86%
31.58%
Trump
0.89%
76.21%
41.67%
14.29%
10.53%
5.33%
15.42%
25.00%
42.86%
57.89%
Not sure
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Presidential Winner * Voter Enthusiasm Crosstabulation

Very enthusiastic
Voter Enthusiasm
Somewhat
enthusiastic
51.01%
49.40%
45.26%
45.45%
Trump
42.28%
31.33%
29.47%
18.18%
Not sure
6.71%
19.28%
25.26%
36.36%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Presidential Winner * Senate Ballot Crosstabulation

Senate Ballot
McGinty Toomey
Clifford Undecided
91.04%
10.48%
45.16%
34.78%
Trump
4.25%
72.86%
35.48%
17.39%
4.72%
16.67%
19.35%
47.83%
Not sure
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
19
Presidential Winner * End of Election Crosstabulation

End of Election
Most exciting
52.26%
61.15%
26.44%
47.17%
Trump
34.19%
27.39%
65.52%
35.85%
Not sure
Total
13.55%
11.46%
8.05%
16.98%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Presidential Winner * Region Crosstabulation

% within Region
Region
heast
west
Valley
Northern Tier
South Central
41.38%
66.85%
42.11%
46.67%
29.11%
Trump
39.66%
23.76%
44.74%
38.33%
55.70%
Not sure
18.97%
9.39%
13.16%
15.00%
15.19%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Presidential Winner * Vote History Crosstabulation

Vote History
0
52.94%
50.00%
41.43%
52.27%
50.23%
Trump
37.25%
34.38%
48.57%
27.27%
38.81%
9.80%
15.63%
10.00%
20.45%
10.96%
Not sure
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Presidential Winner * DMA Crosstabulation

% within DMA
DMA
YORK
COLGE
BUFFALO
ELMIRA
(CORNING)
ERIE
40.00%
0.00%
47.06%
29.63%
19.05%
Trump
40.00%
0.00%
23.53%
57.41%
66.67%
0.00%
Not sure
20.00%
100.00%
29.41%
12.96%
14.29%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
20
0.00%

% within DMA
DMA
WASHINGTON,
DC
Trump
Not sure
Total
0.00%
63.35%
42.15%
0.00%
50.00%
20.00%
0.00%
26.24%
45.45%
50.00%
34.09%
80.00%
100.00%
10.41%
12.40%
50.00%
15.91%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%

% within DMA
DMA
YOUNGSTOWN
20.00%
Trump
80.00%
Not sure
0.00%
Total
100.00%
Presidential Winner * Voter Likelihood Crosstabulation

Voter Likelihood
48.92%
53.33%
66.67%
Trump
38.53%
13.33%
16.67%
Not sure
12.55%
33.33%
16.67%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Presidential Winner * Gender Crosstabulation

% within Gender
Gender
Female
Male
50.58%
48.50%
Trump
33.59%
41.63%
15.83%
9.87%
Not sure
Total
WILKES
BARRESCRANTONHZTN
100.00% 100.00%
21
Presidential Winner * Party Registration Crosstabulation

Party Registration
Independent or
16.33%
79.34%
37.04%
Trump
64.80%
14.46%
40.74%
18.88%
6.20%
Not sure
Total
22.22%
100.00% 100.00%
100.00%
Presidential Winner * Age Crosstabulation

% within Age
Age
41.43%
41.53%
54.87%
52.94%
56.18%
Trump
42.86%
47.46%
32.74%
34.31%
29.21%
Not sure
15.71%
11.02%
12.39%
12.75%
14.61%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Presidential Winner * Race Crosstabulation

% within Race
Race
Any other race or

ethnicity
43.92%
73.85%
76.19%
Trump
42.43%
12.31%
23.81%
Not sure
Total
13.65%
13.85%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Presidential Winner * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology
Very
Conservative
Somewhat
Conservative
18.52%
22.22%
60.76%
92.16%
94.12%
85.71%
Trump
61.73%
61.11%
28.48%
5.88%
0.00%
14.29%
Not sure
19.75%
16.67%
10.76%
1.96%
5.88%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
22
Presidential Winner * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology
Not sure
85.71%
Trump
14.29%
Not sure
Total
0.00%
100.00%
Presidential Winner * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education
Technical or
vocational school
High school
graduate
graduate
College graduate
High school or
below
52.63%
46.15%
48.21%
43.09%
61.32%
Trump
39.47%
34.62%
42.86%
46.34%
29.25%
Not sure
Total
7.89%
19.23%
8.93%
10.57%
9.43%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Presidential Winner * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education
Post graduate
degree
Not sure
61.32%
50.00%
Trump
29.25%
50.00%
Not sure
Total
9.43%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
23
Q: Generally, when talking to your friends and co-workers , how willing are you to express your
opinions on the Presidential race?
Presidential Opinion * Voter Enthusiasm Crosstabulation
Voter Enthusiasm
Somewhat
enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Presidential Opinion Very willing
72.07%
32.93%
35.48%
18.18%
Somewhat willing
16.90%
50.00%
31.18%
45.45%
Not willing
7.93%
8.54%
23.66%
27.27%
Not sure
Total
3.10%
8.54%
9.68%
9.09%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Presidential Opinion * Presidential Ballot Crosstabulation

Presidential Ballot
Clinton
Trump
Johnson
Stein
Undecided
57.92%
57.27%
75.00%
57.14%
26.32%
Somewhat willing 26.24%
26.36%
25.00%
28.57%
21.05%
Not willing
9.50%
11.82%
0.00%
14.29%
42.11%
Not sure
6.33%
4.55%
0.00%
0.00%
10.53%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Presidential Opinion * Presidential Winner Crosstabulation

Presidential Winner
Clinton
Trump
Not sure
57.14%
67.98%
25.40%
20.79%
47.62%
Not willing
12.61%
7.30%
19.05%
Not sure
5.88%
3.93%
7.94%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
24
Presidential Opinion * Senate Ballot Crosstabulation

Senate Ballot
McGinty Toomey
Clifford Undecided
61.14%
56.94%
53.33%
20.83%
29.19%
20.00%
25.00%
Not willing
9.00%
10.53%
23.33%
29.17%
Not sure
5.69%
3.35%
3.33%
25.00%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Presidential Opinion * End of Election Crosstabulation

End of Election
Most exciting
58.44%
50.64%
78.16%
40.74%
Somewhat willing
24.03%
32.05%
9.20%
37.04%
Not willing
14.29%
12.18%
8.05%
9.26%
Not sure
Total
3.25%
5.13%
4.60%
12.96%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Presidential Opinion * Region Crosstabulation

% within Region
Region
heast
west
Valley
Northern Tier
South Central
Total
57.89%
61.24%
55.45%
37.29%
63.16%
Somewhat willing
22.81%
21.35%
31.82%
35.59%
23.68%
Not willing
14.04%
10.67%
8.18%
22.03%
9.21%
Not sure
5.26%
6.74%
4.55%
5.08%
3.95%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
25
Presidential Opinion * Vote History Crosstabulation

Vote History
0
53.06%
53.23%
55.88%
51.72%
61.21%
27.42%
26.47%
25.29%
24.30%
Not willing
10.20%
16.13%
10.29%
12.64%
10.75%
Not sure
4.08%
3.23%
7.35%
10.34%
3.74%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Presidential Opinion * DMA Crosstabulation

% within DMA
DMA
YORK
COLGE
BUFFALO
ELMIRA
(CORNING)
ERIE
80.00%
0.00%
58.82%
61.54%
66.67%
100.00%
Somewhat willing
20.00%
100.00%
23.53%
32.69%
4.76%
0.00%
Not willing
0.00%
0.00%
11.76%
3.85%
19.05%
0.00%
Not sure
0.00%
0.00%
5.88%
1.92%
9.52%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total

% within DMA
DMA
WASHINGTON,
DC
Total
WILKES
BARRESCRANTONHZTN
100.00%
55.76%
56.41%
50.00%
46.51%
100.00%
Somewhat willing
0.00%
25.35%
29.91%
0.00%
25.58%
0.00%
Not willing
0.00%
12.90%
8.55%
0.00%
23.26%
0.00%
Not sure
0.00%
5.99%
5.13%
50.00%
4.65%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
26

% within DMA
DMA
YOUNGSTOWN
100.00%
Somewhat willing
0.00%
Not willing
0.00%
Not sure
0.00%
Total
100.00%
Presidential Opinion * Voter Likelihood Crosstabulation

Voter Likelihood
58.44%
20.00%
33.33%
Somewhat willing
25.33%
60.00%
16.67%
Not willing
11.78%
6.67%
16.67%
Not sure
4.44%
13.33%
33.33%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Presidential Opinion * Gender Crosstabulation

% within Gender
Gender
Female
Male
51.57%
62.83%
23.89%
Not willing
14.17%
8.85%
6.30%
4.42%
Not sure
Total
100.00% 100.00%
27
Presidential Opinion * Party Registration Crosstabulation

Party Registration
Independent or
57.98%
58.16%
47.17%
Somewhat willing
27.13%
24.27%
30.19%
Not willing
9.04%
11.72%
20.75%
Not sure
5.85%
5.86%
1.89%
Total
100.00% 100.00%
100.00%
Presidential Opinion * Age Crosstabulation

% within Age
Age
47.06%
63.25%
59.26%
60.00%
49.43%
24.79%
25.93%
24.00%
22.99%
Not willing
14.71%
8.55%
13.89%
6.00%
17.24%
2.94%
3.42%
0.93%
10.00%
10.34%
Not sure
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Presidential Opinion * Race Crosstabulation

% within Race
Race
Total
Any other race or

ethnicity
55.84%
58.06%
66.67%
20.97%
19.05%
Not willing
11.93%
9.68%
14.29%
Not sure
4.82%
11.29%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
28
Presidential Opinion * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology
Very
Conservative
Somewhat
Conservative
61.25%
52.78%
52.23%
58.82%
79.41%
71.43%
Somewhat willing
23.75%
30.56%
28.66%
25.49%
8.82%
14.29%
Not willing
12.50%
11.11%
14.01%
9.80%
8.82%
0.00%
Not sure
2.50%
5.56%
5.10%
5.88%
2.94%
14.29%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Presidential Opinion * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology
Not sure
71.43%

Not willing
Not sure
Total
0.00%
14.29%
100.00%
Presidential Opinion * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
High school or
below
Total
Education
Technical or
vocational school
High school
graduate
graduate
College graduate
67.57%
49.04%
69.64%
59.68%
52.88%
Somewhat willing
16.22%
34.62%
16.07%
25.81%
25.96%
Not willing
8.11%
8.65%
10.71%
10.48%
18.27%
Not sure
8.11%
7.69%
3.57%
4.03%
2.88%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
29
Presidential Opinion * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education
Post graduate
degree
Not sure
52.88%
100.00%
Somewhat willing
25.96%
0.00%
Not willing
18.27%
0.00%
Not sure
2.88%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Q: If the election for United States Senate were held today, who would you vote for: Democrat Katie
McGinty, Republican Pat Toomey, or Libertarian Edward Clifford?
Senate Ballot * Presidential Winner Crosstabulation
Presidential Winner
Senate Ballot
Clinton
Trump
Not sure
McGinty
81.43%
5.08%
16.13%
Toomey
9.28%
86.44%
56.45%
Clifford
5.91%
6.21%
9.68%
Undecided
3.38%
2.26%
17.74%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Senate Ballot * Presidential Ballot Crosstabulation

Presidential Ballot
Senate Ballot
Clinton
Trump
Johnson
Stein
Undecided
McGinty
86.43%
5.48%
16.67%
50.00%
22.22%
Toomey
5.88%
86.30%
25.00%
0.00%
27.78%
Clifford
3.62%
6.39%
50.00%
33.33%
5.56%
4.07%
1.83%
8.33%
16.67%
44.44%
Undecided
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
30
Senate Ballot * Voter Enthusiasm Crosstabulation

Very enthusiastic
Senate Ballot
Voter Enthusiasm
Somewhat
enthusiastic
McGinty
47.92%
40.24%
36.26%
45.45%
Toomey
45.49%
46.34%
37.36%
45.45%
Clifford
3.47%
8.54%
15.38%
0.00%
Undecided
3.13%
4.88%
10.99%
9.09%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Senate Ballot * End of Election Crosstabulation

End of Election
Most exciting
Senate Ballot
McGinty
46.45%
51.59%
28.74%
40.74%
Toomey
41.29%
36.94%
65.52%
42.59%
Clifford
7.74%
8.28%
3.45%
3.70%
Undecided
4.52%
3.18%
2.30%
12.96%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Senate Ballot * Region Crosstabulation
% within Region
Region
heast
west
Valley
Northern Tier
South Central
Senate Ballot
Total
McGinty
35.09%
61.58%
36.11%
43.10%
24.68%
Toomey
52.63%
27.12%
50.93%
46.55%
64.94%
Clifford
7.02%
6.78%
7.41%
3.45%
6.49%
Undecided
5.26%
4.52%
5.56%
6.90%
3.90%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
31
Senate Ballot * Vote History Crosstabulation

Vote History
Senate Ballot
McGinty
48.00%
38.33%
36.23%
45.35%
47.64%
Toomey
40.00%
48.33%
50.72%
37.21%
44.34%
Clifford
8.00%
3.33%
5.80%
9.30%
6.13%
Undecided
4.00%
10.00%
7.25%
8.14%
1.89%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Senate Ballot * DMA Crosstabulation

% within DMA
DMA
Senate Ballot

YORK
COLGE
BUFFALO
ELMIRA
(CORNING)
ERIE
McGinty
20.00%
0.00%
47.06%
26.42%
14.29%
0.00%
Toomey
60.00%
100.00%
41.18%
66.04%
71.43%
0.00%
Clifford
0.00%
0.00%
5.88%
3.77%
9.52%
0.00%
Undecided
20.00%
0.00%
5.88%
3.77%
4.76%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
% within DMA
DMA
WASHINGTON,
DC
Senate Ballot
McGinty
0.00%
58.60%
36.52%
0.00%
39.53%
25.00%
Toomey
0.00%
29.30%
50.43%
100.00%
53.49%
75.00%
Clifford
Undecided
Total
WILKES
BARRESCRANTONHZTN
0.00%
6.51%
7.83%
0.00%
6.98%
0.00%
100.00%
5.58%
5.22%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
32

% within DMA
DMA
YOUNGSTOWN
Senate Ballot
McGinty
25.00%
Toomey
75.00%
Clifford
0.00%
Undecided
0.00%
Total
100.00%
Senate Ballot * Voter Likelihood Crosstabulation

Voter Likelihood
Senate Ballot
McGinty
45.41%
26.67%
16.67%
Toomey
44.52%
20.00%
50.00%
Clifford
5.82%
33.33%
0.00%
Undecided
4.25%
20.00%
33.33%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Senate Ballot * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Senate Ballot
Female
Male
McGinty
47.01%
41.59%
Toomey
41.43%
46.90%
Clifford
5.58%
7.52%
5.98%
3.98%
Undecided
Total
100.00% 100.00%
33
Senate Ballot * Party Registration Crosstabulation

Party Registration
Independent or
Senate Ballot
McGinty
11.70%
75.42%
22.64%
Toomey
77.66%
14.83%
54.72%
Clifford
5.85%
4.66%
16.98%
Undecided
4.79%
5.08%
5.66%
Total
100.00% 100.00%
100.00%
Senate Ballot * Age Crosstabulation

% within Age
Age
Senate Ballot
McGinty
36.36%
34.48%
45.79%
53.47%
51.72%
Toomey
46.97%
56.03%
42.06%
37.62%
35.63%
Clifford
10.61%
6.90%
7.48%
5.94%
2.30%
6.06%
2.59%
4.67%
2.97%
10.34%
Undecided
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Senate Ballot * Race Crosstabulation

% within Race
Race
Senate Ballot
Total
Any other race or

ethnicity
McGinty
39.85%
72.13%
45.00%
Toomey
49.49%
14.75%
30.00%
Clifford
6.09%
4.92%
20.00%
Undecided
4.57%
8.20%
5.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
34
Senate Ballot * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology
Senate Ballot
Very
Conservative
Somewhat
Conservative
McGinty
16.05%
18.52%
51.57%
88.24%
91.18%
85.71%
Toomey
79.01%
72.22%
30.82%
5.88%
0.00%
0.00%
Clifford
2.47%
5.56%
10.06%
5.88%
5.88%
14.29%
Undecided
2.47%
3.70%
7.55%
0.00%
2.94%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Senate Ballot * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology
Not sure
Senate Ballot
McGinty
85.71%
Toomey
0.00%
Clifford
14.29%
Undecided
Total
0.00%
100.00%
Senate Ballot * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
High school or
below
Senate Ballot
Total
Education
Technical or
vocational school
High school
graduate
graduate
College graduate
McGinty
55.26%
45.19%
42.86%
37.10%
49.06%
Toomey
36.84%
43.27%
42.86%
50.81%
42.45%
Clifford
5.26%
6.73%
10.71%
5.65%
6.60%
Undecided
2.63%
4.81%
3.57%
6.45%
1.89%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
35
Senate Ballot * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education
Senate Ballot
Post graduate
degree
Not sure
McGinty
49.06%
50.00%
Toomey
42.45%
50.00%
Clifford
6.60%
0.00%
Undecided
1.89%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Q: And would you say you are definitely or probably going to vote for Katie McGinty?
McGinty Intensity * Voter Enthusiasm Crosstabulation
Voter Enthusiasm
Somewhat
enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
McGinty Intensity Definitely
Probably
Total
93.38%
87.88%
66.67%
40.00%
6.62%
12.12%
33.33%
60.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
McGinty Intensity * Presidential Ballot Crosstabulation

Presidential Ballot
Clinton
Probably
Total
Trump
Johnson
89.95%
50.00% 100.00% 33.33%
10.05%
50.00%
0.00%
66.67%
Undecided
100.00%
0.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
McGinty Intensity * Presidential Winner Crosstabulation

Presidential Winner
Probably
Total
Stein
Clinton
Trump
Not sure
89.01%
66.67%
70.00%
10.99%
33.33%
30.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
36
McGinty Intensity * End of Election Crosstabulation

End of Election
Most exciting
Probably
Total
84.72%
92.50%
84.00%
90.91%
15.28%
7.50%
16.00%
9.09%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
McGinty Intensity * Region Crosstabulation

% within Region
Region
heast
west
Valley
Northern Tier
South Central
Probably
Total
80.00%
85.19%
89.47%
88.00%
100.00%
20.00%
14.81%
10.53%
12.00%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
McGinty Intensity * Vote History Crosstabulation

Vote History
Probably
Total
79.17%
81.82%
80.00%
94.87%
89.00%
20.83%
18.18%
20.00%
5.13%
11.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
McGinty Intensity * DMA Crosstabulation

% within DMA

Probably
Total
BUFFALO
ERIE
100.00%
100.00%
DMA
HARRIS
BURGLNCSTR JOHNSTOWN-LEB- ALTOONA-ST
YORK
COLGE
PHILADELPHIA
100.00%
100.00%
85.60%
87.80%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
14.40%
12.20%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
37
McGinty Intensity * DMA Crosstabulation

% within DMA
DMA

Probably
Total
PITTSBUR
GH
WILKES
BARRESCRANTONHZTN
YOUNGSTO
WN
87.80%
76.47%
100.00%
12.20%
23.53%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
McGinty Intensity * Voter Likelihood Crosstabulation

Voter Likelihood
Probably
Total
89.05%
25.00%
0.00%
10.95%
75.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
McGinty Intensity * Gender Crosstabulation

% within Gender
Gender
Probably
Total
Female
Male
84.62%
90.32%
15.38%
9.68%
100.00% 100.00%
McGinty Intensity * Party Registration Crosstabulation

Party Registration
Independent or
Probably
Total
72.73%
90.34%
66.67%
27.27%
9.66%
33.33%
100.00% 100.00%
100.00%
38
McGinty Intensity * Age Crosstabulation

% within Age
Age
Probably
Total
83.33%
82.05%
87.76%
90.74%
88.64%
16.67%
17.95%
12.24%
9.26%
11.36%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
McGinty Intensity * Race Crosstabulation

% within Race
Race
Probably
Total
86.62%
Any other race or

ethnicity
88.10%
88.89%
13.38%
11.90%
11.11%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
McGinty Intensity * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology

Probably
Total
Very
Conservative
Somewhat
Conservative
76.92%
75.00%
86.42%
95.56%
96.77%
83.33%
23.08%
25.00%
13.58%
4.44%
3.23%
16.67%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
McGinty Intensity * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology
Not sure
Probably
Total
83.33%
16.67%
100.00%
39
McGinty Intensity * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education
Technical or
vocational school
High school
graduate
graduate
College graduate
High school or
below
Probably
Total
95.24%
82.98%
86.96%
91.30%
90.38%
4.76%
17.02%
13.04%
8.70%
9.62%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
McGinty Intensity * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education

Probably
Total
Post graduate
degree
Not sure
90.38%
100.00%
9.62%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Q: And would you say you are definitely or probably going to vote for Pat Toomey?
Toomey Intensity * Voter Enthusiasm Crosstabulation
Very enthusiastic
Toomey Intensity Definitely
Probably
Total
94.57%
Voter Enthusiasm
Somewhat
enthusiastic
83.78%
87.50%
5.43%
16.22%
12.50%
25.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Toomey Intensity * Presidential Ballot Crosstabulation

Presidential Ballot
Clinton
Probably
Total
75.00%
Trump
Johnson Undecided
41.67%
94.05% 100.00% 100.00%
58.33%
5.95%
0.00%
0.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
40
Toomey Intensity * Presidential Winner Crosstabulation

Presidential Winner
Probably
Total
Clinton
Trump
Not sure
71.43%
94.04%
90.63%
28.57%
5.96%
9.38%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Toomey Intensity * End of Election Crosstabulation

End of Election
Most exciting
Probably
Total
90.48%
87.93%
98.21%
81.82%
9.52%
12.07%
1.79%
18.18%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Toomey Intensity * Region Crosstabulation

% within Region
Region
heast
west
Valley
Northern Tier
South Central
Probably
Total
96.67%
86.96%
92.45%
85.19%
93.75%
3.33%
13.04%
7.55%
14.81%
6.25%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Toomey Intensity * Vote History Crosstabulation

Vote History
Probably
Total
94.74%
85.71%
88.24%
86.67%
94.62%
5.26%
14.29%
11.76%
13.33%
5.38%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
41
Toomey Intensity * DMA Crosstabulation

% within DMA
DMA

Probably
Total
BUFFALO
ELMIRA
(CORNING)
ERIE
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%

YORK
COLGE
93.94%
86.67%
88.52%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
6.06%
13.33%
11.48%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Toomey Intensity * DMA Crosstabulation

% within DMA
DMA
WASHINGTO
N, DC
PHILADEL
PHIA
PITTSBURGH (HAGRSTWN)
Probably
Total
92.86%
100.00%
86.96%
100.00%
11.48%
7.14%
0.00%
13.04%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%

Voter Likelihood
Probably
Total
92.27%
50.00%
100.00%
7.73%
50.00%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Toomey Intensity * Gender Crosstabulation

% within Gender
Gender
Probably
Total
YOUNGSTOWN
88.52%
Toomey Intensity * Voter Likelihood Crosstabulation
WILKES
BARRESCRANTONHZTN
Female
Male
91.18%
91.18%
8.82%
8.82%
100.00% 100.00%
42
Toomey Intensity * Party Registration Crosstabulation

Party Registration
Independent or
Probably
Total
92.96%
84.85%
89.66%
7.04%
15.15%
10.34%
100.00% 100.00%
100.00%
Toomey Intensity * Age Crosstabulation

% within Age
Age
Probably
Total
83.87%
95.24%
93.33%
89.19%
89.29%
16.13%
4.76%
6.67%
10.81%
10.71%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Toomey Intensity * Race Crosstabulation

% within Race
Race
Probably
Total
Any other race or

ethnicity
91.01%
88.89%
100.00%
8.99%
11.11%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Toomey Intensity * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Very
Conservative
Probably
Total
Ideology
Somewhat
Conservative Moderate Somewhat Liberal
95.31%
93.42%
80.85%
100.00%
4.69%
6.58%
19.15%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
43
Toomey Intensity * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education
Technical or
vocational school
High school
graduate
graduate
College graduate
High school or
below
Probably
Total
100.00%
90.91%
83.33%
92.06%
90.91%
0.00%
9.09%
16.67%
7.94%
9.09%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Toomey Intensity * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education

Probably
Total
Post graduate
degree
Not sure
90.91%
100.00%
9.09%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Q: Which of the following statements comes closest to your opinion about the remaining few days of
the election?
End of Election * Senate Ballot Crosstabulation
Senate Ballot
End of Election
Total
McGinty Toomey
Clifford Undecided
Complete torture
36.00%
31.68%
40.00%
33.33%
Train wreck
40.50%
28.71%
43.33%
23.81%
Most exciting election in years 12.50%
28.22%
10.00%
9.52%
Not sure
11.39%
6.67%
33.33%
11.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
44
End of Election * Presidential Winner Crosstabulation

Presidential Winner
End of Election
Clinton
Trump
Not sure
Complete torture
36.00%
30.81%
38.18%
Train wreck
42.67%
25.00%
32.73%
33.14%
12.73%
Not sure
11.05%
16.36%
Total
11.11%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
End of Election * Presidential Ballot Crosstabulation

Presidential Ballot
End of Election
Clinton
Trump
Johnson
Stein
Undecided
Complete torture
35.85%
31.40%
66.67%
40.00%
18.75%
Train wreck
42.92%
28.50%
8.33%
40.00%
25.00%
29.95%
8.33%
20.00%
18.75%
Not sure
10.14%
16.67%
0.00%
37.50%
Total
11.79%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
End of Election * Voter Enthusiasm Crosstabulation

Very enthusiastic
End of Election
Complete torture
28.83%
33.75%
51.19%
40.00%
Train wreck
32.85%
38.75%
35.71%
30.00%
Most exciting election in years
28.83%
7.50%
2.38%
0.00%
Not sure
Total
Voter Enthusiasm
Somewhat
enthusiastic
9.49%
20.00%
10.71%
30.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
45
End of Election * Region Crosstabulation

% within Region
Region
heast
west
Valley
Northern Tier
End of Election
Complete torture
30.19%
36.47%
35.64%
32.14%
31.51%
Train wreck
32.08%
33.53%
31.68%
39.29%
39.73%
20.75%
19.41%
21.78%
17.86%
15.07%
Not sure
16.98%
10.59%
10.89%
10.71%
13.70%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
End of Election * Region Crosstabulation
% within Region
Region
South Central
End of Election
Complete torture
31.51%
Train wreck
39.73%
15.07%
Not sure
Total
13.70%
100.00%
End of Election * Vote History Crosstabulation

Vote History
End of Election
Total
Complete torture
31.91%
37.74%
33.82%
32.10%
34.80%
Train wreck
31.91%
35.85%
33.82%
33.33%
35.78%
15.09%
22.06%
17.28%
17.65%
Not sure
11.32%
10.29%
17.28%
11.76%
6.38%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
46
End of Election * DMA Crosstabulation

% within DMA
DMA
End of Election
BUFFALO
ELMIRA
(CORNING)
ERIE
HARRISBURGLNCSTR-LEBYORK
Complete torture
33.33%
0.00%
17.65%
28.00%
33.33%
Train wreck
33.33%
100.00%
41.18%
40.00%
33.33%
0.00%
17.65%
16.00%
23.81%
Not sure
0.00%
0.00%
23.53%
16.00%
9.52%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
% within DMA
DMA
JOHNSTOWNALTOONA-ST
COLGE
NEW YORK PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH
End of Election
Complete torture
33.33%
100.00%
35.44%
35.19%
0.00%
Train wreck
33.33%
0.00%
35.92%
31.48%
0.00%
23.81%
0.00%
17.96%
21.30%
0.00%
Not sure
9.52%
0.00%
10.68%
12.04%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
% within DMA
End of Election
WASHINGTON,
DC
(HAGRSTWN)
DMA
WILKES
BARRESCRANTONHZTN
YOUNGSTOWN
Complete torture
0.00%
41.46%
25.00%
Train wreck
0.00%
29.27%
25.00%

Not sure
Total
0.00%
19.51%
50.00%
100.00%
9.76%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
47
End of Election * Voter Likelihood Crosstabulation

Voter Likelihood
End of Election
Complete torture
34.04%
30.77%
40.00%
Train wreck
34.98%
46.15%
20.00%
19.48%
7.69%
20.00%
Not sure
11.50%
15.38%
20.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
End of Election * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
End of Election
Female
Male
Complete torture
33.47%
35.07%
Train wreck
36.36%
32.70%
19.91%
Not sure
12.32%
Total
11.57%
100.00% 100.00%
End of Election * Party Registration Crosstabulation

Party Registration
Independent or
End of Election
Total
Complete torture
29.05%
36.89%
40.82%
Train wreck
32.96%
38.22%
24.49%
13.78%
18.37%
Not sure
11.11%
16.33%
100.00% 100.00%
100.00%
11.73%
48
End of Election * Age Crosstabulation

% within Age
Age
End of Election
Complete torture
30.65%
36.70%
34.95%
37.11%
29.27%
Train wreck
37.10%
23.85%
44.66%
29.90%
40.24%
28.44%
14.56%
21.65%
7.32%
Not sure
11.01%
5.83%
11.34%
23.17%
Total
9.68%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
End of Election * Race Crosstabulation

% within Race
Race
End of Election
Any other race or

ethnicity
Complete torture
35.75%
28.81%
20.00%
Train wreck
35.22%
28.81%
40.00%
16.95%
30.00%
Not sure
Total
9.95%
25.42%
10.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
End of Election * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Very
Conservative
End of Election
Total
Ideology
Somewhat
Conservative Moderate Somewhat Liberal
Complete torture
25.93%
34.26%
38.06%
45.10%
29.41%
Train wreck
30.86%
31.48%
33.55%
39.22%
50.00%
24.69%
27.78%
15.48%
11.76%
14.71%
Not sure
18.52%
6.48%
12.90%
3.92%
5.88%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
49
End of Election * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology
Very Liberal Not sure
End of Election
Complete torture
29.41%
14.29%
Train wreck
50.00%
28.57%
14.29%
Not sure
5.88%
42.86%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
End of Election * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
Education
Technical or
vocational school
High school
graduate
graduate
College graduate
High school or
below
End of Election
Complete torture
34.21%
36.27%
46.43%
33.06%
29.81%
Train wreck
26.32%
32.35%
25.00%
33.87%
47.12%
18.42%
18.63%
16.07%
20.97%
19.23%
Not sure
21.05%
12.75%
12.50%
12.10%
3.85%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
End of Election * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
Education
Post graduate
degree
End of Election
Total
Not sure
Complete torture
29.81%
0.00%
Train wreck
47.12%
50.00%
19.23%
50.00%
Not sure
3.85%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
50
Q: Who do you believe is running a more negative campaign for Senate: Katie McGinty or Pat Toomey?
Negative Senate Campaign * Voter Enthusiasm Crosstabulation
Voter Enthusiasm
Somewhat
enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Negative Senate CampaignMcGinty
40.74%
39.74%
30.23%
60.00%
Toomey
42.96%
26.92%
44.19%
10.00%
Not sure
16.30%
33.33%
25.58%
30.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Negative Senate Campaign * Presidential Ballot Crosstabulation

Presidential Ballot
Clinton
Trump
Johnson
9.13%
69.08%
Toomey
68.27%
12.56%
Not sure
22.60%
18.36%
Total
Stein
Undecided
50.00%
0.00%
37.50%
33.33%
60.00%
12.50%
16.67%
40.00%
50.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Negative Senate Campaign * Presidential Winner Crosstabulation

Presidential Winner
Clinton
Trump
Not sure
11.71%
73.37%
42.11%
Toomey
66.22%
13.61%
14.04%
22.07%
13.02%
43.86%
Not sure
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
51
Negative Senate Campaign * Senate Ballot Crosstabulation

Senate Ballot
McGinty Toomey
Clifford Undecided
8.59%
68.50%
46.67%
28.57%
Toomey
71.72%
10.00%
26.67%
38.10%
Not sure
19.70%
21.50%
26.67%
33.33%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Negative Senate Campaign * End of Election Crosstabulation

End of Election
Most exciting
33.12%
31.61%
60.47%
42.00%
Toomey
46.10%
45.81%
25.58%
24.00%
Not sure
20.78%
22.58%
13.95%
34.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Negative Senate Campaign * Region Crosstabulation

% within Region
Region
heast
west
Valley
Northern Tier
46.30%
24.40%
50.50%
32.73%
54.93%
Toomey
29.63%
51.79%
33.66%
41.82%
25.35%
Not sure
Total
24.07%
23.81%
15.84%
25.45%
19.72%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Negative Senate Campaign * Region Crosstabulation

% within Region
Region
South Central
54.93%
Toomey
25.35%
Not sure
19.72%
Total
100.00%
52
Negative Senate Campaign * Vote History Crosstabulation

Vote History
0
28.57%
42.31%
45.59%
32.10%
40.70%
Toomey
42.86%
36.54%
36.76%
39.51%
40.70%
Not sure
28.57%
21.15%
17.65%
28.40%
18.59%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Negative Senate Campaign * DMA Crosstabulation

% within DMA
DMA
YORK
COLGE
BUFFALO
ELMIRA
(CORNING)
33.33%
0.00%
41.18%
52.08%
71.43%
0.00%
Toomey
33.33%
0.00%
41.18%
31.25%
9.52%
0.00%
Not sure
33.33%
100.00%
17.65%
16.67%
19.05%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
ERIE

% within DMA
DMA
WASHINGTON,
DC
0.00%
27.09%
49.07%
100.00%
35.71%
Toomey
0.00%
49.26%
34.26%
0.00%
38.10%
Not sure
100.00%
23.65%
16.67%
0.00%
26.19%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
53

% within DMA
DMA
WILKES
BARRESCRANTONHZTN
YOUNGSTOWN
35.71%
Toomey
38.10%
0.00%
Not sure
26.19%
50.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
50.00%
Negative Senate Campaign * Voter Likelihood Crosstabulation

Voter Likelihood
39.57%
15.38%
20.00%
Toomey
39.81%
61.54%
20.00%
Not sure
20.62%
23.08%
60.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Negative Senate Campaign * Gender Crosstabulation

% within Gender
Gender
Female
Male
36.93%
40.87%
Toomey
40.66%
38.46%
Not sure
22.41%
20.67%
Total
100.00% 100.00%
Negative Senate Campaign * Party Registration Crosstabulation

Party Registration
Independent or
63.28%
18.83%
40.82%
Toomey
17.51%
61.43%
20.41%
Not sure
19.21%
19.73%
38.78%
100.00% 100.00%
100.00%
Total
54
Negative Senate Campaign * Age Crosstabulation

% within Age
Age
45.00%
47.22%
33.98%
36.36%
31.65%
Toomey
40.00%
29.63%
44.66%
48.48%
35.44%
Not sure
15.00%
23.15%
21.36%
15.15%
32.91%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Negative Senate Campaign * Race Crosstabulation

% within Race
Race
Any other race or

ethnicity
41.51%
28.57%
20.00%
Toomey
38.01%
42.86%
55.00%
Not sure
20.49%
28.57%
25.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Negative Senate Campaign * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology
Very
Conservative
Somewhat
Conservative
68.75%
60.19%
28.66%
7.84%
2.94%
14.29%
Toomey
8.75%
23.15%
44.59%
80.39%
79.41%
42.86%
Not sure
Total
22.50%
16.67%
26.75%
11.76%
17.65%
42.86%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Negative Senate Campaign * Ideology Crosstabulation

% within Ideology
Ideology
Not sure
14.29%
Toomey
42.86%
Not sure
42.86%
Total
100.00%
55
Negative Senate Campaign * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education
Technical or
vocational school
High school
graduate
graduate
College graduate
High school or
below
40.54%
40.78%
37.50%
39.52%
39.05%
Toomey
37.84%
34.95%
41.07%
38.71%
42.86%
Not sure
21.62%
24.27%
21.43%
21.77%
18.10%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
Negative Senate Campaign * Education Crosstabulation

% within Education
Education
Post graduate
degree
Not sure
39.05%
50.00%
Toomey
42.86%
50.00%
Not sure
18.10%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
Total
56

11-4-Pennsylvania (Harper Polling)

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11-4-Pennsylvania (Harper Polling)

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Pennsylvania Statewide Poll Crosstabs

Direction of Country * Presidential Ballot Crosstabulation

121 State Street

100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Direction of Country * Presidential Winner Crosstabulation

Direction of Country Right Direction

100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Direction of Country * Senate Ballot Crosstabulation

Direction of Country Right Direction

100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Direction of Country * End of Election Crosstabulation

Direction of Country * Region Crosstabulation

Direction of Country * Vote History Crosstabulation

Direction of Country Right Direction

100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Direction of Country * DMA Crosstabulation

Direction of Country Right Direction

Direction of Country * DMA Crosstabulation

Direction of Country * DMA Crosstabulation

Direction of Country * Voter Likelihood Crosstabulation

Direction of Country * Gender Crosstabulation

Direction of Country Right Direction

Direction of Country * Party Registration Crosstabulation

Direction of Country * Age Crosstabulation

100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Direction of Country * Race Crosstabulation

Any other race or

Direction of Country * Ideology Crosstabulation

Direction of Country Right Direction

Direction of Country * Ideology Crosstabulation

Moderate Somewhat LiberalVery Liberal

Direction of Country * Education Crosstabulation

Direction of Country * Education Crosstabulation

Direction of Country Right Direction

Somewhat enthusiastic 16.00%

Voter Enthusiasm Very enthusiastic

100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Voter Enthusiasm * Presidential Winner Crosstabulation

Somewhat enthusiastic 17.01%

Voter Enthusiasm Very enthusiastic

100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Voter Enthusiasm * Senate Ballot Crosstabulation

Somewhat enthusiastic 15.79%

Voter Enthusiasm Very enthusiastic

100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Voter Enthusiasm * End of Election Crosstabulation

Voter Enthusiasm * Region Crosstabulation

Voter Enthusiasm * Region Crosstabulation

Voter Enthusiasm * Vote History Crosstabulation

Somewhat enthusiastic 16.98%

Voter Enthusiasm Very enthusiastic

100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Voter Enthusiasm * DMA Crosstabulation

Voter Enthusiasm Very enthusiastic

Voter Enthusiasm * DMA Crosstabulation

Somewhat enthusiastic 100.00%

Voter Enthusiasm * DMA Crosstabulation

Voter Enthusiasm * Voter Likelihood Crosstabulation

Voter Enthusiasm * Gender Crosstabulation

Somewhat enthusiastic 19.85%

Voter Enthusiasm Very enthusiastic

Voter Enthusiasm * Party Registration Crosstabulation

Somewhat enthusiastic 18.18%