WINNIPEG NOVEMBER 2016

EMBARGOED UNTIL: 5 AM MST, NOVEMBER 7, 2016

PRINT EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETWORK
Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 703 Winnipeg residents by Chimera IVR on November 4-5, 2016. A mixture of landlines
and cell phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 3.7%, 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed based on the 2011 Canadian
Census.

A2

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected

by copyright. The information and/or data may only
be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper
credit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.

BOWMAN WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AT MIDTERM POINT

November 7, 2016 (Ottawa, ON) A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll conducted for the Winnipeg Sun nds
55% of Winnipegers approve of Brian Bowman - and facing a divided eld he would be easily re-elected.
The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.7%, 19 times out of 20.
Halfway through his term Mayor Bowman would receive a signicant amount of support from voters said
Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. When we tested a hypothetical eld of challengers none
o them got close - though its tough to say what would happen if there were a narrower eld. Regardless,
with 44% of decided voters supporting him if an election were held today, Mayor Bowman would almost
certainly be re-elected.
Among the challengers who perform the best are Kevin Chief (20%) and Teresa Oswald (16%) followed by
Councillor Russ Wyatt (13%).
We also asked Winnipegers about the current conict at the University of Manitoba. Almost 4 in 10
Winnipegers (37%) take the side of the faculty in the current labour conict compared to those supporting
the University (11%). The poll was taken as the faculty strike was underway . Even with many classes
cancelled there seems to be strong support for the union at the moment, though a signicant portion (21%)
would not support either the faculty or the university. Labour conicts are particularly tricky to navigate
and how Premier Pallisters involvement will be perceived still remains to be seen.
46% of Winnipegers also told us they support adding more electric buses to Winnipegs Transits eet.
With only 26% opposed, that support could grow as more Winnipegers learn about the issue, nished
Maggi.
About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With years of political experience at all three levels of
government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public
opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British
Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling rm
in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only
polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.
-30Available from Ottawa: Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
For More Information: David Valentin, david@mainstreetresearch.ca, 514-913-5524

A3

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Brian

Bowman is handling his job as mayor?

A4

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Brian

Bowman is handling his job as mayor?

A5

Whose side do you support in the labour strife

at the University of Manitoba: the school, or the
faculty?

A6

Whose side do you support in the labour strife

at the University of Manitoba: the school, or the
faculty?

A7

Should Winnipeg Transit add more electric

buses to its eet?

A8

Should Winnipeg Transit add more electric

buses to its eet?

A9

If an election for Mayor of Winnipeg were held

today, who would you support if the following
candidates ran?

A10

If an election for Mayor of Winnipeg were held

today, who would you support if the following
candidates ran?

A19

SCRIPT

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Brian Bowman is handling his job as mayor?
Strongly Approve
Somewhat Approve
Somewhat Disapprove
Strongly Disapprove
Ehose side do you support in the labour strife at the University of Manitoba: the school, or the
faculty?
The School
The Faculty
Neither
Not Sure
Should Winnipeg Transit add more electric buses to its eet?
Yes
No
Not Sure
If an election for Mayor of Winnipeg were held today, who would you support if the following
candidates ran?
Brian Bowman
Scott Gillingham
Theresa Oswald
Kevin Chief
Russ Wyatt
Undecided

CALGARY GREENWAY

WHITBY

Most Accurate Pollster of the Calgary

Greenway by election.

Most Accurate Pollster of the

Whitby by election.

SASKATCHEWAN

MANITOBA

Most Active Pollster of Saskatchewans

general election, top results within MoE.

Most Active Pollster of Manitobas general

election, top results within MoE.

ONLY WE
CALLED
THE
LIBERAL
MAJORITY.

I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because its an interview
with a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Public
Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such condence, a week
before we voted.
Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 2013,
in deance of the majority of the polls.
His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanation
for how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running a
political campaign. - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015
Mainstreet Research | 1322255B Queen Street East
| Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada

Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority
government in the 2015 federal election.

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