Intervalle de

temps
0 100
100 200
200 300
300 400

Nombre de
dfaillants
12
10
5
4

400 500

%
8
7.2
3.9
5.6
4.3

Machine N__
TBF

N de panne

24
35
38
39
42
57

1
2
3
4
5
6

62

F(ti)

ln(ti)
y
r(ti)
9% 3.17805383 -2.30888013
23% 3.55534806 -1.3431819
36% 3.63758616 -0.78983983
50% 3.66356165 -0.36651292
64% 3.73766962 0.00819456
77% 4.04305127 0.38584165
91% 4.12713439 0.85787951

91%
77%
64%
50%
36%
23%
9%

taux
0.0041
0.0075
0.0119
0.0178
0.0240
0.0258
0.0380

taux
0.0400
0.0350
0.0300
0.0250
0.0200
0.0150
0.0100
0.0050
0.0000
TBF

24

35

38
taux

39

42

57

39

42

57

TBF
77
158
244
335
432
535
646
766
897
1040
1198
1374
1574
1806
2079
2414
2846
3454
4494

N de panne
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

27743
MTBF

1387.15

F(ti)

TBF
5%
10%
14%
19%
24%
29%
33%
38%
43%
48%
52%
62%
67%
71%
76%
81%
86%
90%
95%

3.21
6.58
10.17
13.96
18.00
22.29
26.92
31.92
37.38
43.33
49.92
57.25
65.58
75.25
86.63
100.58
118.58
143.92
187.25

x
4.34380542
5.06259503
5.49716823
5.81413053
6.06842559
6.28226675
6.4707995
6.64118217
6.79905586
6.94697599
7.08840878
7.22548147
7.36137543
7.49886973
7.63964229
7.7890404
7.95366978
8.14728826
8.41049845

y
-3.02022654
-2.30175086 beta
1.02944343
eta
-1.86982471 betaln(eta)
7.53396886
-1.55443332
y
-1.30219694
-1.08923964
1.5
-0.90272046
1
f(x) = 1.0294434293x - 7.5339688625
-0.73485899
0.5
-0.58050482
0
4
4.5
5
5.5
6
6.5
-0.4359854
-0.5
-0.29849048
-1
-0.03554335
-1.5
0.09404783
-2
0.22535149
-2.5
0.36122375
-3
0.50574961
-3.5
0.66572981
0.85500037
1.11334405

1507.9215

7.5

8.5

7.5

8.5

nombre cycle

rang

1.3
2.7
4
5.2
6.6
9.8

x
y
R(t)
11% 11.7752897 -2.15561601
27% 12.5061772 -1.17527042
42% 12.8992198 -0.60154355
58% 13.1615841 -0.14728704
73% 13.3999951 0.2819178
89% 13.7953079 0.79433683

1
2
3
4
5
6

beta
eta

89%
73%
58%
42%
27%
11%

1.48
606000

f(t)
0.0000014
0.0000012
0.000001
0.0000008
0.0000006
0.0000004
0.0000002
0

10

12

lamda(t)
0.0000035
0.000003
0.0000025
0.000002
0.0000015
0.000001
0.0000005
0

10

12

f(t)
lamda(t)
1.03894E-006 1.16653E-006
1.21668E-006 1.65675E-006
1.15668E-006 2.00074E-006
9.57343E-007 2.26926E-006
6.75853E-007 2.54439E-006
3.36441E-007 0.000003076

y
1
f(x) = 1.4861497196x - 19.7059843354

0.5
0
11.5

12

12.5

13

-0.5
-1
-1.5
-2
-2.5

F
100%
90%
80%
70%
10

60%

12

50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0

R(t)
100%
90%
80%
70%
10

12

60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0

10

50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0

10

96x - 19.7059843354

12.5

13

13.5

14

10

(t)

10

12

12

10

12