REGRESI DENGAN VARIABEL MEDIATOR ATAU INTERVAL

ANALISIS JALUR (PATH ANALYSIS)

Untuk Memenuhi Tugas Presentasi

Matakuliah Analisis Multivariate
Yang Dibina Oleh Dr. H. Cipto Wardoyo S.E., M.Pd., M.Si., Ak, CA.

Disusun Oleh:
Kurnia Riesty Utami

160421800892

Satriyo Wicaksono

160421800345

UNIVERSITAS NEGERI MALANG

PASCASARJANA
PROGRAM STUDI AKUNTANSI
OKTOBER 2016

REGRESI DENGAN VARIABEL MEDIATOR ATAU INTERVENIN,

ANALISIS JALUR (PATH ANALYSIS)

A. Analisis Jalur (Path Analysis)

1. Membuka SPPS yang dimiliki baik SPPS v22 atau v23

2. Pilih menu FILE , kemudian klik Open kemudian pilih Data.

3. Kemudian mencari folder Data Multivariate kemudia klik file employee.xls

4. Ini merupakan tampilan data employee.xls

5. Dari SPSS data editor, pilih menu Analyze, kemudia pilih Regression dan
Linear.

6. Pada kotak Dependen isikan variable Beginning salary (salbegin) dan

pada kotak Independen isikan variabel

Output Persamaan Path analys langkah 1

Variables Entered/Removeda

Variables
Variables
Model
Entered
Removed
Method
1
Educational
.
Enter
Level (years)b
a. Dependent Variable: Beginning Salary
b. All requested variables entered.
Model Summary
Adjusted R
Std. Error of the
Model R
R Square Square
Estimate
a
1
.633
.401
.400
$6,098.259
a. Predictors: (Constant), Educational Level (years)

ANOVAa
Sum of
Model
Squares
df
Mean Square F
1
Regression 11747808912.
11747808912.
1
315.897
317
317
Residual
17553096053.
472
37188762.824
137
Total
29300904965.
473
454
a. Dependent Variable: Beginning Salary
b. Predictors: (Constant), Educational Level (years)
Coefficientsa
Unstandardized
Standardized
Coefficients
Coefficients
B
Std. Error Beta
t
-6290.967 1340.920
-4.692

Model
1
(Constant)
Educational
1727.528 97.197
Level (years)
a. Dependent Variable: Beginning Salary

B. Lakukan Regresi Persamaan

.633

17.773

Sig.
.000b

Sig.
.000
.000

Hasil output SPPS Persamaan ke 2

Variables Entered/Removeda
Variables
Variables
Model Entered
Removed
Method
1
Beginning
Salary,
.
Enter
Educational
Level (years)b
a. Dependent Variable: Current Salary
b. All requested variables entered.

Model Summary
Std. Error of the
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square Estimate
a
1
.890
.792
.792
$7,796.524
a. Predictors: (Constant), Beginning Salary, Educational Level (years)
ANOVAa
Sum of
Model
Squares
df
Mean Square F
Sig.
1
Regression 10928638929
54643194648
2
898.947 .000b
7.344
.672
Residual
28630106138
60785787.98
471
.996
1
Total
13791649543
473
6.340
a. Dependent Variable: Current Salary
b. Predictors: (Constant), Beginning Salary, Educational Level (years)

Model

Coefficientsa
Unstandardized
Standardized t
Coefficients
Coefficients

Sig.

B
-7808.714

Std. Error
1753.860

(Constant)
Educational
Level
1020.390
160.550
(years)
Beginning
1.673
.059
Salary
a. Dependent Variable: Current Salary

Beta
-4.452

.000

.172

6.356

.000

.771

28.423

.000

B. Sobel Test dan Bootsrapping

1. Buku pada menu File kemudian klik Open -> Data, buka file
employee.xls

2. Dari menu utama SPSS pilih menu Open kemudian Script, buka Script yaitu
Sobel_spss.sbs

3. Klik Open, akan tampak

tampilan script di bawah ini

4. Pilih Macro lalu Run. Akan

tampilan seperti di bawah ini

5. Pada kotak idependen variable (X) isikan Educ, pada kotak Proposed

mediator (M) isikan Salbegin, Pada kotak Sobel test Standart Eror
isikan Second order, dan pada Bootstrap sampel isikan 1000 kemudia klik
Ok
6. Hasil output Sobel test dan Bootstrap
Run MATRIX procedure:
Error # 34 in column 20. Text: bootstrp.sav
SPSS Statistics cannot access a file with the given file
specification. The

file specification is either syntactically invalid,

specifies an invalid
drive, specifies a protected directory, specifies a
protected file, or
specifies a non-sharable file.
Execution of this command stops.
************************************************************
*************
Preacher And Hayes (2004) SPSS Script For Simple Mediation
Written by Andrew F. Hayes, The Ohio State University
http://www.comm.ohio-state.edu/ahayes/
VARIABLES
Y
X
M

IN SIMPLE MEDIATION MODEL

salary
educ
salbegin

DESCRIPTIVES STATISTICS AND PEARSON CORRELATIONS

Mean
SD
salary
educ
salary
34419.568 17075.661
1.0000
.6606
educ
13.4916
2.8848
.6606
1.0000
salbegin 17016.086 7870.6382
.8801
.6332

salbegin
.8801
.6332
1.0000

SAMPLE SIZE
474
DIRECT And TOTAL EFFECTS
Coeff
s.e.
b(YX)
3909.9067 204.5470
b(MX)
1727.5283
97.1969
b(YM.X)
1.6726
.0588
b(YX.M) 1020.3901 160.5504

t
19.1150
17.7735
28.4234
6.3556

Sig(two)
.0000
.0000
.0000
.0000

INDIRECT EFFECT And SIGNIFICANCE USING NORMAL DISTRIBUTION

Value
s.e. LL 95 CI UL 95 CI
Z
Sig(two)
Effect 2889.5166 191.8279 2513.5340 3265.4992
15.0631
.0000
BOOTSTRAP RESULTS For INDIRECT EFFECT
Data
Mean
s.e. LL 95 CI UL 95 CI
99 CI UL 99 CI
Effect 2889.5166 2899.6490 227.2368 2459.2807 3363.8716
2338.6893 3502.4100
NUMBER OF BOOTSTRAP RESAMPLES
1000
FAIRCHILD ET AL. (2009) VARIANCE IN Y ACCOUNTED FOR BY
INDIRECT EFFECT:
.4185
********************************* NOTES
**********************************

LL

------ END MATRIX -----

C. Contoh Analisis Jalur Lebih Komplek

1. Buka File Jobsurvey.xls

2. Dari SPSS data editor, pilih menu Analyze, kemudia pilih Regression dan
Linear

3. Pada kotak Dependen isikan variable autonom dan pada kotak

Independen isikan variable age . Kemudian klik Ok

4. Tampilan ouput SPSS persamaan regresi (1)

Model Summaryb

Model
1

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

R Square

.268a

.072

.058

2.697

a. Predictors: (Constant), age

b. Dependent Variable: autonom

ANOVAa
Model
1

Sum of Squares
Regression

df

Mean Square

38.259

38.259

Residual

494.726

68

7.275

Total

532.986

69

a. Dependent Variable: autonom

b. Predictors: (Constant), age

F
5.259

Sig.
.025b

Coefficientsa
Residuals Statisticsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized
t
Minimum
Maximum
Mean
Std. Deviation
N
Coefficients
Predicted Value
7.22
10.80
9.41
.745
B
Std. Error
Beta
Residual
-4.298
5.768
.000
2.678
1
(Constant)
7.218
1.011
7.141
Std. Predicted Value
-2.950
1.861
.000
1.000
age
.057
.025
.268
2.293
Std. Residual
-1.593
2.139
.000
.993
a. Dependent Variable: autonom
a. Dependent Variable: autonom

Sig.
70
70
70
70

.000
.025

5. Lakukan regresi persamaan (2) dengan mengganti pada kontak Dependen

isikan variable satis dan pada kotak Independen isikan variable autonom
dan income

6. Hasil output SPSS persamaan (2)

Model Summaryb

Model
1

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

R Square

.110a

.012

-.017

2.075

a. Predictors: (Constant), income, autonom

b. Dependent Variable: satis

ANOVAa
Model
1

Sum of Squares
Regression

df

Mean Square

3.523

1.762

Residual

288.419

67

4.305

Total

291.943

69

a. Dependent Variable: satis

b. Predictors: (Constant), income, autonom

Sig.
.409

.666b

Coefficientsa
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients
Model

(Constant)

Coefficients

Std. Error

Beta

12.467

1.297

autonom

.045

.094

income

.000

.000

Sig.

9.614

.000

.060

.475

.636

-.111

-.875

.385

a. Dependent Variable: satis

Residuals Statisticsa
Minimum
Predicted Value

Maximum

Mean

Std. Deviation

11.43

12.96

11.83

.226

70

Residual

-6.762

5.187

.000

2.045

70

Std. Predicted Value

-1.751

5.001

.000

1.000

70

Std. Residual

-3.259

2.500

.000

.985

70

a.

Dependent Variable: satis

7. Lakukan regresi persamaan (3) dengan mengganti pada kontak Dependen

isikan variable Income dan pada kotak Indepeden isikan variable age dan
autonomy.

8. Hasil Output persamaan 3

Model Summaryb

Model

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

R Square

.483a

Adjusted R

.233

.210

1457.189

a. Predictors: (Constant), autonom, age

b. Dependent Variable: income

ANOVAa
Model
1

Sum of Squares
Regression

df

Mean Square

43240934.989

21620467.494

Residual

142267779.297

67

2123399.691

Total

185508714.286

69

Sig.
.000b

10.182

a. Dependent Variable: income

b. Predictors: (Constant), autonom, age

Coefficientsa
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients
Model
1

B
(Constant)

Std. Error

4634.531

722.320

49.877

13.906

109.888

65.514

age
autonom

Coefficients
Beta

Sig.

6.416

.000

.398

3.587

.001

.186

1.677

.098

a. Dependent Variable: income

Residuals Statisticsa
Minimum
Predicted Value

Maximum

Mean

Std. Deviation

5513.63

9036.20

7595.71

791.631

70

-7987.998

2282.394

.000

1435.915

70

Std. Predicted Value

-2.630

1.820

.000

1.000

70

Std. Residual

-5.482

1.566

.000

.985

70

Residual

a. Dependent Variable: income

D. Regresi dengan Multiple Mediator

1. `Buka File Crossec.xls

2.

3.

4.
Run MATRIX procedure:
Dependent, Independent, and Proposed Mediator Variables:
DV =
INCOME
IV =
EARNS
MEDS = WEALTH
SAVING
Statistical Controls:
CONTROL= SIZE
AGE
Sample size
100
IV to Mediators (a paths)
Coeff
se
WEALTH
1.9910
.2371
SAVING
.3885
.0769

t
8.3975
5.0516

p
.0000
.0000

Direct Effects of Mediators on DV (b paths)

Coeff
se
t

WEALTH
SAVING

.0335
.0159

.0198
.0611

1.6900
.2597

Total Effect of IV on DV (c path)

Coeff
se
t
EARNS
.9528
.0460
20.7299

.0943
.7957
p
.0000

Direct Effect of IV on DV (c-prime path)

Coeff
se
t
p
EARNS
.8800
.0664
13.2438
.0000
Partial Effect of Control Variables on DV
Coeff
se
t
p
SIZE
-.2147
.1616
-1.3289
.1871
AGE
.1194
.0353
3.3788
.0011
Model Summary for DV Model
R-sq Adj R-sq
F
.8345
.8257
94.7929

df1
5.0000

df2
94.0000

p
.0000

Error # 34 in column 21. Text: indirect.sav

SPSS Statistics cannot access a file with the given file
specification. The
file specification is either syntactically invalid,
specifies an invalid
drive, specifies a protected directory, specifies a
protected file, or
specifies a non-sharable file.
Execution of this command stops.
************************************************************
*****
BOOTSTRAP RESULTS FOR INDIRECT EFFECTS
Indirect Effects of IV on DV through Proposed Mediators (ab
paths)
Data
boot
Bias
SE
TOTAL
.0728
.0762
.0033
.0567
WEALTH
.0667
.0699
.0033
.0614
SAVING
.0062
.0062
.0000
.0267
C1
.0605
.0637
.0032
.0758
Bias Corrected and Accelerated Confidence Intervals
Lower
Upper
TOTAL
-.0078
.2208
WEALTH
-.0086
.2760
SAVING
-.0584
.0555
C1
-.0311
.2999
************************************************************
*****

Level of Confidence for Confidence Intervals:

95

Number of Bootstrap Resamples:

1000
************************************************************
*****
INDIRECT EFFECT contrast DEFINITIONS: Ind_Eff1 MINUS
Ind_Eff2
contrast
C1

IndEff_1
WEALTH

IndEff_2
SAVING

------ END MATRIX -----