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PBR Implementation
EPIRA Section 2:
Declaration of Policy of the State
a) xxx
b) To ensure the quality, reliability, security and affordability of the supply of
electric power;
c) To ensure transparent and reasonable prices of electricity in a regime of
free and fair competition and full public accountability to achieve greater
operational and economic efficiency and enhance the competitiveness of
Philippine products in the global market;
d) xxx
e) xxx
f) To protect the public interest as it is affected by the rates and service of
electric utilities and other providers of electric power.
g) xxx
h) Xxx
i) Xxx
j) To establish a strong and purely independent regulatory body and system
to ensure consumer protection and enhance the competitive operation of
the electricity market; and
k) xxx
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ERC Mandate
Sec. 38 of EPIRA
There is hereby created an
independent, quasi-judicial regulatory
body to be named the Energy Regulatory
Commission (ERC).
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Promote competition
Encourage market
development
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Ensure customer
choice
$$$
ELECTRIC POWER
PLANTS THEN
GENERATE
ELECTRICITY
ELECTRICITY IS THEN
CARRIED OVER LONG
DISTANCES BY
TRANSMISSION CABLES
THAT IS TAPPED INTO
BY LOCAL DISTRIBUTION
COMPANIES
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TRANSMISSION
CHARGE
(10%)
DISTRIBUTION, SUPPLY.
& METERING CHARGES
(25%)
Unbundled
Electric Bill
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Transmission
Previously, Return on Rate Base Methodology
Currently, Performance-Based Regulation
Distribution
Private Distribution Utilities
Previously, Return on Rate Base Methodology
Currently Performance-Based Regulation
Electric Cooperatives
Previously Cash Flow Methodology
Currently Benchmarking Methodology
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RETURN ON
INVESTMENT
12 % of rate base
value of used and useful assets + working capital
RETURN OF
INVESTMENT
depreciation
PAYROLL
OPERATING
EXPENSES
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Advantages
Long standing practice
Fairly constant, substantial returns despite fluctuations in the economy or
firm composure
Provides earnings stability by guarding against excessive or unduly meager
earnings
As practiced, allows reflection of current prices through adjustment
mechanisms
Timing of regulatory reviews when utility under-earns
Disadvantages
Limited incentive for exceptional performance
Encourages cost-padding
Averch-Johnson effect on capital costs:
If allowed return > capital costs = incentive to over-invest
If allowed return < capital costs = incentive to under-invest
Consumers, rather than the regulated firm, bears much of the market risk
Possible price shocks to consumer
*Averch, Harvey; Johnson, Leland L. (1962). "Behavior of the Firm Under Regulatory Constraint".
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Adoption of PBR
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12
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set to zero
RETURN ON
INVESTMENT
RETURN OF
INVESTMENT
depreciation
TAXES
OPERATING
EXPENSES
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Regulatory
asset base
Working
capital
WACC
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Regulatory
asset base
Working
capital
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INCOME TAX
INCOME TAX
INCOME TAX
RETURN ON
INVESTMENT
RETURN ON
INVESTMENT
RETURN ON
INVESTMENT
RETURN ON
INVESTMENT
RETURN OF
INVESTMENT
RETURN OF
INVESTMENT
RETURN OF
INVESTMENT
RETURN OF
INVESTMENT
TAXES
TAXES
TAXES
TAXES
OPERATING
EXPENSES
OPERATING
EXPENSES
OPERATING
EXPENSES
OPERATING
EXPENSES
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=
ARR applied with (CPI-X)
(1 + Infl2010 X )(1 + Infl2011 X ) FQ2011
(1 + Infl2010 X ) FQ2010
+
+
2
(1 + WACC )
(1 + WACC )
( MAP2009 P0 )
Calculate the present value of the allowed ARR resulting from the
MAP that a regulated entity is permitted to charge.
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2. Annual Verification
to ensure that Utility earns only within the
approved constraints;
to adjust for the actual increase/decrease in
price of commodities (inflation);
to adjust for the actual increase/decrease in
sales;
to review the service performance (incentive
or penalty)
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This years
price per unit of
electricity
Previous
years price per
unit of
electricity
Correction for
revenue over
or underrecovery in
previous year
Index of change
in Consumer
Prices
Correction for
tax over or
underrecovery in
previous year
Efficiency factor
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PBR Process
Regulatory Reset Process
Regulatory Year
YEAR
-1
YEAR
1
YEAR
2
YEAR
3
YEAR
4
Regulatory Period
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Reset Process
LEGEND
Issues Paper
ERC Responsibilities
Public Consultation
DUE PROCESS
Position Paper
UTILITY Responsibilities
Public Hearings
Rate Decision
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Regulatory Period
July 01, 2011- June 30,
2015
April 01, 2009 - March
30, 2013
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Issues Raised
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Next
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Building Blocks
Valuation
WACC
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