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Project Performance

Earned value is used in performance reviews to measure project


performance against the scope, schedule, and cost baselines.
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Project Performance
5

Earned Value Management:


1. Budget at completion (BAC):
Its the total budget that you have for your projecthow much you
plan to spend on your project.

2. Planned % complete:
If the schedule says that your team should have done 300 hours of
work so far, and they will work a total of 1,000 hours on the project,
then your planned % complete is 30%.

BAC

Planned %
Complete

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Planned
Value (PV)
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Earned Value Management:


3. Actual % complete:
Say the schedule says that your team should have done 300 hours of
work so far, out of a total of 1,000. But you talk to your team and find
out they actually completed 35% of the work. That means the actual
% complete is 35%.

BAC

Actual %
Complete

Earned
Value (EV)

4. Actual Cost (AC):


Its actual cost you already spend on a project till now.
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Earned Value Management:


5. Schedule performance index (SPI):
If you want to know whether youre ahead of or behind schedule, use
SPIs.

SPI

Earned
Planned
/
Value (EV)
Value (PV)

If SPI is greater than one, that means EV is bigger than PV,


so youre ahead of schedule!
If SPI is less than one, that means EV is smaller than PV,
so youre behind of schedule!
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9

Earned Value Management:


6. Schedule Variance (SV):
If you want to know how much ahead or behind schedule you are,
just subtract PV from EV.
SV

Earned
Planned
Value (EV)
Value (PV)

If the variance is positive, it tells you exactly how many dollars youre
ahead. If its negative, it tells you how many dollars youre behind.

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11

Earned Value Management:


7. Cost performance index (CPI):
If you want to know whether youre over of or under budget, use
CPIs.
CPI

Earned
/
Value (EV)

Actual
Cost (AC)

If CPI is greater than one, that means EV is bigger than AC,


so youre Under budget!
If CPI is less than one, that means EV is smaller than AC,
so youre Over budget!
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Project Performance
12

Earned Value Management:


8. Cost Variance (CV):
If you want to know how much over or under budget you are, just
subtract AC from EV.

CV

Earned
Value (EV)

Actual
Cost (AC)

If the variance is positive, it tells you exactly how many dollars youre
under. If its negative, it tells you how many dollars youre over.

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Earned Value Management:

SPI is greater than or equal to 1


and SV is positive.
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SPI is less than 1


and SV is negative.
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Earned Value Management:

CPI is greater than or equal to 1


and CV is positive.
Project Management Professional 5th Edition Cost Management

CPI is less than 1 and


CV is negative.
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Earned Value Management:

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Earned Value Management: Exercise#1


Your project has a total budget of $300,000. You check your records and find that
youve spent $175,000 so far. The team has completed 40% of the project work,
but when you check the schedule it says that they should have completed 50% of
the work. Calculate the following:
BAC = $300,000
AC =

SPI =

$175,000

PV = $300,000
EV = $300,000

50%
40%

= $150,000
= $120,000

SV = $120,000 -

$150,000

= $-30,000

CV = $120,000 -

$175,000

=$-55,000

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CPI =

$120,000
$150,000

= 0.8

$120,000

= 0.68

$175,000

Schedule

Budget
Within

Ahead
Behind

Over

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Earned Value Management: Exercise#2


Youre managing a highway construction project. Your total budget is $650,000, and there
is a total of 7,500 hours of work scheduled on the project. You check with your accounting
department, and they tell you that youve spent a total of $400,000. According to the
schedule, your crew should have worked 4,500 hours, but your foreman says that the crew
was allowed to work some overtime, and theyve actually put in 5,100 hours of work.
Calculate these earned value numbers:
$442,000
SPI =
= 1.13
BAC = $650,000
$390,000
AC = $400,000
$442,000
CPI =
= 1.11
$400,000
PV = $650,000
= $390,000
60%
EV = $650,000

68%

= $442,000

SV = $442,000 -

$390,000

= $52,000

CV = $442,000 -

$400,000

=$42,000

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Schedule
Ahead
Behind

Budget
Within
Over
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19

Forecasting:
You can use CPI to predict what your project will actually cost when its
complete by calculating Estimate at completion or EAC.

EAC = BAC / CPI


Exercise: If you have a CPI of 0.7 and a total budget of $20,000, then
you can forecast you final costs by:
EAC = BAC / CPI
EAC = $20,000 / 0.7 = $28,571.4
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Forecasting:
The three parameters of PV, EV, and AC can be monitored and reported
on both a period-by-period basis and on a cumulative basis.
S-curves

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21

Forecasting:
The project managers bottom-up EAC method builds upon the
actual costs and experience incurred for the work completed, and
requires a new estimate to complete the remaining project work.
EAC = AC + Bottom-Up ETC

The most common EAC forecasting approach is a manual,


bottom-up summation by the project manager.
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Forecasting:
Only three of the more common methods to calculate EAC are described as follows:

1. EAC forecast for ETC work performed at the budgeted rate:


Predicts that all future ETC work will be accomplished at the budgeted rate.

EAC = AC + (BAC - EV)


2. EAC forecast for ETC work performed at the present CPI:
This method assumes what the project has experienced to date can be
expected to continue in the future.

EAC = BAC

CPI

3. EAC forecast for ETC work considering both SPI and CPI factors:
The ETC that considers both the cost and schedule performance indices.

EAC = AC + [(BAC EV) / (CPI SPI)]


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Forecasting:
1. Estimate To Complete (ETC):
2. Variance At Completion (VAC):

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ETC = EAT

AC

VAC = BAC -

EAC

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To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI) :


It is a measure of the cost performance that is required to be
achieved with the remaining resources in order to meet a specified
management goal.
BAC Based
(BAC - EV)
TCPI =
(BAC - AC)
It is for when youre
trying to get your
project within your
original budget
Project Management Professional 5th Edition Cost Management

EAC Based
(BAC - EV)
TCPI =
(EAC - AC)
It is for when you are
trying to get your project
done within the EAC
youve determined from
earned value calculations.
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To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI) :

The number is greater than


one.

The number is lower than


one.

TCPI is opposite higher = loser.


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