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Contents
Page
18
D. Role of the center Matching organization and processes with portfolio logic
36
49
A. OUR APPROACH
A structured concept based on four building blocks
Roland_Berger_Diversification_out_of_box_20090907.PPTX
FOCUSED COMPANIES
2 Portfolio management
> Derive portfolio logic
> Conduct valuation and identify
divestment candidates
> Search for growth options (organic,
inorganic)
> Get
G t agreementt ffrom shareh
andd
stakeholders
Source: Roland Berger
4 Implementation
B. PORTFOLIO TRANSPARENCY
B i i existing
Bringing
i ti bbusinesses
i
tto ttargett performance
f
Roland_Berger_Diversification_out_of_box_20090907.PPTX
4 Implementation
segmentation
1.2 Achieve portfolio transparency
1.3 Define core businesses
1.4 Review portfolio elements "target
performance" and derive initiatives
(profitability/growth measures)
2 Portfolio management
> Derive portfolio logic
> Conduct valuation and identify
divestment candidates
> Search for growth options (organic,
inorganic)
> Get
G t agreementt ffrom shareh
andd
stakeholders
Source: Roland Berger
Garage
Door openers
> Shouldn't
garage doors
openers
managed
together with
garage doors?
UtilityCo
Power
generation
Power
transmission &
distribution
HighTechCo
Power retail
Touring quality
microphones &
speakers
> Is it possible to
sell electricity
without own
generation
capacities?
1.1
Cost
Sharing
Related, but
separate
portfolio
elements
(might be
bundled)
Customer Sharing
g
One portfolio
element
(products might
substitute each
other)
In addition
REGIONAL
SCOPE OF
BUSINESS to
be analyzed
High
1.1
EXAMPLES
STRATEGIC CONSEQUENCES OF
INCORRECT PORTFOLIO SEGMENTATION
STRATEGIC
> Should we buy or sell the attractive business?
> Should we expand into new geographies?
> Are we vulnerable to low cost countries?
> Should we vertically integrate into growing
downstream/upstream?
> Can we exit a business without weakening the core
business?
> Do we have to grow through M&A to be successful in
the future?
CUSTOMERS
> Neglect profitable customer segments or over-invest
in unprofitable customers
> Give away opportunities to capture synergies
> Misjudge relevant trends
> Overlook relevant geographies
OPERATIONAL
> Should we drop this product line?
> Should we merge our salesforce?
> How should we plan our manufacturing footprint?
> Should we centralize our activities to achieve higher
scale? (e.g. distribution centers; salesforce)
COSTS
> Induce unnecessary costs
> Give away opportunities to capture synergies
> Do not transfer experience
> Under invest in important R&D initiatives
COMPETITORS
> Overlook threats from competition
> Miscalculate "real market share" (as proxy for scale and
achievable pprofits))
> Set inappropriate targets
> Overlook relevant capacity changes in the industry
> Misjudge true cost position
10
1.1
BACKUP
TOO BROAD
D
TOO NA
ARROW
COMPANY
OUTCOME
1.2
EXAMPLE
STRATEGIC IMPERATIVES
MTS
Sistema-Hals
4
Binnofarm
MBRD
MTT
Comstar OTC/MGTS
Medsi/Medsi-2
Detskiy Mir/DM Center
Sky Link
Russian World Studios
Intourist
Dalcombank
Sitronics
TS-Retail
1
0
0
Top position
Borderliner
Weak position
Competitive position
> Relative market share
> Relative performance (e.g. ROCE/ROS vs. competitors)
> Performance vs. key purchasing factors
12
1.3
EXAMPLE
D
100%C 60%13%
B A D 8%B 10%
100%
10%
5%8%
13%5%
100%
C
100% 60%
13%
50%
10%
80%
D8%
5%
10%
13%
60%
100%
80%
80%
100%
CORE DEFINITION
Related
Businesses
D
5%
10%
13%D
50%
%
100%
10% 80%
80%
50% 100%
80%
100%
"Unrelated
Businesses"
Packaging
Processing
ocess g
Consumer
C
Business
Project
Business
Core
Businesses
Prof
fessional
i
l
MRO
Automotive
Electronics
ILLUSTRATIVE
1.4
Target performance
Market
attractiveness
Market
attractiveness
1
1
Competitive position
Core revenues
Source: Roland Berger
52
Competitive position
Non-core revenues
14
1.4
ILLUSTRATIVE
Options
Strategic
> Portfolio implications
> Market position?
"Focus on regional
expansion"
p
Financially
> Revenues
> EBIT
> Investment needs
"Focus on winning
businesses"
businesses
Investors' storyline
> Shareholders
> Analysts, Press, etc.
"Other strategic
options"
options
1.4
Operational
Organizational
Financial
16
ILLUSTRATIVE
1.4
Cost of capital
ClientCo businesses
with sustainable
relative market share
(local, regional)?
Subscale
(below strategic
target
performance)
Low
Restructuring case
(below target performance)
Low
ClientCo businesses
at operational target
performance?
High
17
Roland_Berger_Diversification_out_of_box_20090907.PPTX
18
2 Portfolio management
2.1 Derive portfolio logic
C d t valuation
l ti andd identify
id tif
2.2 Conduct
divestment candidates
2.3 Search for growth options (organic,
inorganic)
> Get
G t agreementt ffrom shareh
andd
stakeholders
Source: Roland Berger
4 Implementation
19
2.1
EXAMPLE
Focused vs.
vs diversified
Synergy
V l chain
Value
h i
Production vs
vs. services
Products
Lif
Lifecycle
l
M t vs. emerging
Mature
i industries
i d ti
Regions
Other
Potential for
f the holding to contribute value
1) Related business to achieve synergies between portfolio elements due to high customer, cost, capability sharing
Source: Roland Berger
20
2.1
BACKUP
"Contrary to what was hoped for and what was proclaimed, Vivendi
has no significant synergies between its components.
components []
[ ] If
Jean-Marie Messier had remained chief executive, Vivendi Universal
would have declared itself insolvent within 10 days."
Jean-Rene Fourtou, CEO, Vivendi Universal, May 2003
"You
You need to look at (Vivendi Universal) as the General Electric of
entertainment then it is a beautiful company. If, on top of that,
you create the convergence, then it is even more beautiful. But
even if we fail, you still have GE."
Dennis Olivennes, Deputy of Canal Plus, April 2001
" there never was a business model of the future hidden among
Vivendi's disparate holdings. The assets assembled by Mr. Messier
were a grab-bag, nothing more."
Manager's Journal, Wall Street Journal, May 2003
SBF: 81
SBF: 151
VIV: 21
21
2.1
PROJECT APPROACH
22
2.2
ILLUSTRATIVE
EBIT
Increased value
ROCE > WACC > 0
"Pearls"
Pearls
Deviation vs.
risk adjusted
market
profitability
"Underperformers"
Profitability of
capital
ROCE
Capital
Employed
Spread
ROCE - WACC
Decreased value
ROCE < WACC < 0
Risk adjustment
CE
23
2.2
ILLUSTRATIVE
Hold
H
ld without
i h further
f h investments
i
(Divest if good deal)
BU 7
Deviation vs.
risk adjusted
market
profitability
"Pearls"
Pearls
Restructure or exit
e.g.: What are (additional)
initiatives) to reach operational
target performance
BU 2
BU 6
Low
BU 1
Divest
BU 4
BU 3
Fi
Finance
ffutrher
h growth
h
"Underperformer"
Underperformer
BU 5
High
24
2.2
EXAMPLE
Value creation
opportunities within
business
(bring businesses to
"target performance")
DRESSING UP &
PREPARE
FOR SALE
MANAGE FOR
MAXIMUM VALUE
(RESTRUCTURE)
DISINVEST RAPIDLY
PREPARE
FOR SALE
Low
Low
Fit to
t portfolio
tf li llogic
i
High
25
2.3
UNRELATED DIVERSIFICATION
Identification of potential growth areas
New products/
services
First
Selection
New
businesses
New geographies
Current
core
New
distribution
channels
New
customer
segments
Industry
funnel
Segment
g
analysis
New parts
of value chain
> Brainstorming
> Idea tree
> Horizontal/ vertical
integration
pp
in the
> Opportunities
market
>
>
>
>
"Success stories"
Activities of stakeholders
Trend-Analyses
etc
Prioritization of industries
> Coherence with
diversification goals
> Profitability
> Synergies (tbd)
> "Fit"
> M
Market
k t bbarriers
i
> Cost of market entry
> etc
26
P t ti l targets
Potential
t
t
2.3
RELATED DIVERSIFICATION
Prioritize
opportunities
> Determine which
opportunities are
most attractive to
pursue
Evaluate odds of
success (relatedness to core
business ability
business,
to differentiate)
Assess
attractiveness
Develop entry
strategy
> Within target
g
businesses,
determine best
growth themes,
potential
acquisition targets,
and organic
opportunities
> Organize for
success
27
27
2.3
RELATED DIVERSIFICATION
Storage
Technology
Retortable
Chilled
Materials
Aseptic
Plastic
SBM
Plastic
Closures Preforms Bottle
Premium
Family
Tetra
Classic
Value
Family
Value Added
Dairy
Juice
Other Still
F d&
Food
Beer Beverages
Carbonated
Drinks
Other Line
Equipment
Value
Portion
PaperPackaging
Milk
Board Cream
Processing
Sweden
Milk
Premium
Portion
Tetra
Brik
Preserved
& Stable
Product
Contents
Customer
Segments
Tetra
Many
Inert
Ingredients
Plastic
Film
Package
yp
Types
Northern
N
th
Europe
Southern
Europe
Early Asia
Cheese
Processing
Value Chain
Factory
Management
Latin
America
USA
China
Geography
28
2.3
RELATED DIVERSIFICATION
Shared
costs
Shared
channels
Shared
Shared
competitors capabilities/
technology
Odds of ssuccess
Core
1 step
t
diversification
2 step
diversification
3 step
diversification
Unrelated
"stand alone"
PRIMARY
DIMENSIONS
Full share
Source: Roland Berger
Partial share
No share
29
2.3
RELATED DIVERSIFICATION
Customer
sharing
DEFINITION
> Percentage of
> Percentage of the
incremental
new cost base that
revenue generated
lends itself to
from existing
sharing with the
customer base
existing business
CRITERIA
WEIGHTING
Source: Roland Berger
Cost
sharing
0-20%
0-5%
21-40%
5-15%
41-60%
16-25%
61-80%
26-35%
81-100%
1.00
Capability
sharing
Channel
sharing (tbd)
No technology or
b i
business
model
d l
overlap
Competitor
sharing
> Percentage of
incremental new
market made up of
existing competitors (excluding
share held by
entrant)
0-20%
0-20%
21-40%
21-40%
41-60%
41-60%
61-80%
61-80%
>36%
Same technology
and businesses
models
81-100%
81-100%
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.75
30
2.3
RELATED DIVERSIFICATION
Medical/wound care
Market
attractiveness
> Size
> Growth
> Profitability
Internal
medical
3
Specialty
bandages
External medical
Composites
Industrial tapes (specialty)
EUR 500 m
market size
Recommended focus
of further analysis
Source: Roland Berger
Odds of success
> Relatedness to core business
> Competitive dynamics (e.g. share of Top 3 players)
> Ability to differentiate (vs. competitors)
31
2.3
RELATED DIVERSIFICATION
Disregarded capabilities
> N
Non-core capabilities
biliti in
i th
the
businesses with high value to
customers (today, future)
32
2.3
RELATED DIVERSIFICATION
Disregarded capabilities
> U
Unusuall success despite
d it
low attention
> Hi
Historic,
t i but
b t "forgotten"
"f
tt "
customer segments
33
2.3
BACKUP
34
2.3
UNRELATED DIVERSIFICATION
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
35
35
Roland_Berger_Diversification_out_of_box_20090907.PPTX
36
UNRELATED DIVERSIFICATION
> Actively invest- and divest (if zenith
of value creation exceeded)
> Raise/ provide capital for business
units based on transparent mechanics
(internal capital market, access to
p market))
external capital
> Drive better strategies and provide
management resources
> Introduce management techniques
and best practices
> Launch KPIs and set ambitious
targets
37
Related
businesses
Less related
businesses
Unrelated
businesses
"OPERATOR"
"STRATEGIC
CONTROLLER"
"STRATEGIC
ARCHITECT"
"PORTFOLIO
INVESTOR"
38
high
Relatedness
of the
business in
th portfolio
the
tf li
OPPORTUNITIES
OF WASTED
SYNERGIES
Emerson
ICI
Canon
Unilever
Hutchison
KKR
Swire
3M
Hanson
Low
Portfolio investor
Low
Singapore
Airlines
Shell
Strategic architect
DESTRUCTION
OF VALUE
High
39
CORE
> Resource
allocation
> Vision and
targets
DIS
SCRETIONA
ARY
Strategy/ res.
allocation
> Strategic
analysis
l i
> Strategic
planning
Synergy and
skills transfer
PROCESS-RELATED ROLES
Business
development
> Identifying/
execution
i on
acquisition or
disposal
> Integrating
acquisition
i iti
> Evaluating
spin-off/exit
opportunities
> Building contacts network
Monitor/
control
Service
provision
Corporate
functions
> Capital
investment
analysis
> Defining
policies
> Investor
relations
> Secretarial
> Legal
> Tax
> Financial
planning
l i andd
control systems
> Management
d l
development
Hiring and
firing
> Training and
d l
development
t
> Purchasing,
property, IT
credit, etc.
40
Strategic controller
Strategic architect
Portfolio investor
STRATEGY/
RESOURCE
ALLOCATION
SYNERGY AND
SKILLS
TRANSFER
BUSINESS
DEVELOPMENT/
EXPANSION
MONITORING
AND CONTROL
SERVICE
PROVISION
CORPORATE
FUNCTIONS
41
Portfolio investor
RESOURCES
PROCESSES
AND INTERFACES
CULTURE
> Maximum
operative
ffi i
efficiency
> ROIC
> Basic performance alignments
ClientCo?
Source: Roland Berger
42
BACKUP
OPERATOR MODEL
Employees/H Q staff:
Revenue/HQ staff:
Employees/H Q staff:
Revenue/HQ staff:
Employees/H Q staff:
Revenue/HQ staff:
4,850
USD 720 m
130
USD 18 m
33
USD 12 m
43
Strategic controller
Strategic architect
Portfolio investor
> C
Central
t l management of all critical
decisions
> CEO as "general
general
manager"
> Direct involvement in
business
> Add value by running
the business well
> C
Central
t l managementt
of key functions,
especially technical
> Centralization to
capture full value of
sale benefits
> Beyond these
functions, business
units maintain full
accountability
> C
Central
t l control
t l in
i a
few key functions
such as Finance,
HR,, etc.
> Add value by
Driving better
strategies
Setting more
ambitious targets
Developing stronger management
Central
t l capital
it l
> C
allocation
> Add value by
Structuring cheap
finance
Buying businesses
cheap, selling
expensive
Appointing the best
people to run the
businesses in
between
> Newell
> Ford
> KKR
> Berkshire Hathaway
ClientCo?
Source: Roland Berger
44
ILLUSTRATIVE
Issue based
B tt
d
decentralized
t li d
2 Bottoms-up,
T ddown, centralized
Top
t li d
3 BU/function driven
Cross-BU/function driven
Periodic structured
4 Periodic,
5 Standardized, templated
Tailored, distributed
6 Tight plan/budget
Loose plan/budget
7 Data intensive
Judgment intensive
8 Forecasting/trends
Scenarios
10 Formal communication
Informal communication
Option 1
Option 2
Option 3
45
EXAMPLE
500
Source: Thomson financial, Wesfarmers annual report, Press research, Roland Berger
Bouygues
400
300
200
SBF
29.08.2008
31.08.2007
31.08.2006
31.08.2005
31.08.2004
29.08.2003
30.08.2002
31.08.2001
31.08.2000
31.08.1999
31.08.1998
100
46
EXAMPLE
700
Source: Thomson financial, Wesfarmers annual report, Press research, Roland Berger
600
W f
Wesfarmers
500
00
400
300
ASX
200
29.08.2008
31.08.2007
31.08.2006
31.08.2005
31.08.2004
29.08.2003
30.08.2002
31.08.2001
31.08.2000
31.08.1999
31.08.1998
100
47
MANAGEMENT PROCESSES
> Future business unit organization
Business unit segmentation
Strategic business units
> Value-based controlling
Strategic and mid-term planning
KPIs and corporate measures
Accounting standards
Investment and capital allocation measures
> Target setting processes
> Value-based salaries (incentive systems)
48
Roland_Berger_Diversification_out_of_box_20090907.PPTX
49
INDUSTRY
COMPETENCE CENTER
Automotive >
Energy & Chemicals >
Consumer Goods & Retail >
Engineered Products & High Tech >
Financial Services >
InfoCom >
Pharma & Healthcare >
Public Services >
Transportation >
FUNCTIONAL
COMPETENCE CENTER
< Corporate Development
< Information Management
< Marketing & Sales
< Operations Strategy
< Restructuring & Corporate Finance
Joint teams
Joint problem solutions
50
Marketingg
Operations,
information
management
Finance,
restructuring
9%
26%
Corporate
development
51
Topics
> Portfolio transparency and core definition
(customers, channels, countries)
> Identification of strategic and operational full
potential incl. measures to achieve performance
improvements
> Definition of growth segments and candidates
for acquisition
> Identification of exit/ divestiture candidates
> Re-definition of corporate center and its role and
functions
52
Our experts
Hauke Moje
Partner
Florian Berndt
Project Manager
53
We deliver results
54