Topic: Datamining with the changes in prices of vegetables of the Cordillera

Administrative Region (CAR) in relation to the changes in temperature

Introduction
Research Background
Each and every sector in the digital world has undergone or is undergoing a
dramatic change due to the influence of the Information Technology field. The
agricultural sector needs more support for its development in the Philippines. Price
prediction helps the farmers and also the government to make effective decision.
Having a good based on the complexity of vegetable price prediction method could
help them make use of better strategies.
Price elasticity of demand
The determinant of prices to change is the principle of supply and demand. When,
at the price ruling, demand exceeds supply, the price tends to rise. Conversely
when supply exceeds demand the price tends to fall. A rise in price tends, sooner or
later, to decrease demand and to increase supply. Conversely a fall in price tends,
sooner or later, to increase demand and to decrease supply. Price tends to the level
at which demand is equal to supply (Hubert D. Henderson, 1922).
According to Smriti Chand (2016) A change in price does not always lead to the
same proportionate change in demand. The elasticity of demand is different for
different goods. When a commodity is a necessity like food grains, vegetables,
medicines, etc., its demand is generally inelastic as it is required for human survival
and its demand does not fluctuate much with change in price.
Vegetables in CAR
The main agricultural activity in the province is vegetable production. Currently,
some 31,300 hectares are cultivated, producing over 471,200 tons per annum.
While potato is the most widely cultivated crop (8,120 hectares), cabbage, Chinese
cabbage, carrots, chayote, beans, lettuce and broccoli are the other major
vegetable crops produced. Farmers usually harvest and sell their produce to
assembler-wholesalers who transport the produce to the La Trinidad Vegetable
Trading Post and Baguio City Market. The La Trinidad Vegetable Trading Post was
established to thwart the practice of middlemen intercepting cargoes and directing
them to non-consignees who offered higher prices. As envisaged, the trading post
has reduced the number of middlemen and increased the prices of the
commodities, thus increasing the income of farmers. It is believed that some 8,840
farmers deliver their produce to the La Trinidad Vegetable Trading Post and
5,580farmers deliver produce to the Baguio City Market. Other farmers deliver their
produce to nearby barangays, municipalities and to adjacent provinces such as LA
Union, Pangasinan and Nueva Vizcaya during scheduled market days. The majority
of fresh vegetables go directly to the metro Manila markets (Concepcion, Dagupen,
Lizada, Murray-PriorCurtin 2007).
Temperature in CAR

The mean temperature in the Philippines is 27C. January is the coolest month, with
a mean temperature of 25C, while the warmest month is May, with a mean
temperature of 28C. Baguio, with an elevation of more than 1500 m, has amen
annual temperature of 18C. Typhoons are frequent from July to November. On
average about 20 typhoons occur every year. Conditions are often made worse by
monsoon rains which cause flooding in low-lying areas. With roughly half of the total
land area devoted to agricultural crops, the Philippines is a largely agricultural
economy (Concepcion, Dagupen, Lizada, Murray-PriorCurtin 2007).
Data mining
Big data is one of the most discussed topics in recent economic and business
sectors with explosive applications of information and communication technologies
(ICT). Literally, it requires a tremendous capacity to restore and process data
gathered from various on- and off-line sources such as social network service (SNS),
commercial websites, meteorological satellites, global positioning system (GPS), and
so on. Efforts to apply Big Data to industry are made in every field.
Statement of the Problem
This study is conducted to determine the possible projection of prices of
vegetables in the Cordillera Administrative Region given a corresponding weather
condition as temperature changes.
Specifically, the researcher would like to find answers to the following
questions:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.

What are the weather conditions in the CAR;

How can the weather conditions in CAR affect the prices of vegetables;
What are the trends of prices in CAR;
What are the changes in prices of vegetables as the weather condition changes;
What are the projections that can be made out of the changes in prices;
What are the recommendations that can be given to the stakeholders?

References
Hubert D. Henderson (1922). Supply and Demand.Retrieved November 20,2016
from http://www.gutenberg.org/files/10612/10612-h/10612-h.htm#Chapter_II.

Smriti Chand (2016). 9 Major factors Which Affects the Elasticity of Demand of a
Commodity | Economics. Retrieved November 20, 2016 from
http://www.yourarticlelibrary.com/economics/9-major-factors-which-affects-theelasticity-of-demand-of-a-commodity-economics/8946/
Concepcion, Dagupen, Lizada, Murray-PriorCurtin (2007). The Vegetable Industry in
the Philippines. Professor Sylvia Concepcion, Dr Klondy Dagupen, Professor Ma
Connie Lizada, Dr Roy Murray-PriorCurtin. Retrieved December 1, 2016 from
https://www.scribd.com/doc/33536846/Phil-Vegetable-Industry