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Translation 2008 M.E. Sharpe, Inc., adapted from the Japanese original, Tatsuhiko Nariu, Waga kuni no oroshiuri kouzou no fukuzatsusei nichi-bei hikaku, in
Ryutsu no keizai riron: jouhou, keiretsu, senryaku (Nagoya: Nagoya daigaku shuppankai, 1994), pp. 245256; also published as David Flath and Tatsuhiko Nariu, The
Complexity of Wholesale Distribution Channels in Japan, in The Japanese Distribution System: Opportunities and Obstacles, Structure and Practices, ed. Michael R.
Czinkota and Masaaki Kotabe (Chicago: Probus, 1992), pp. 8398.
Tatsuhiko Nariu is a professor at the Graduate School of Economics, Kyoto
University; e-mail: nariu@econ.kyoto-u.ac.jp.
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SUMMER 2008 69
P
PN P1 P2
P
= . .. N = j +1 .
P0 P0 P1
PN 1 Pj
(1)
Thus from estimates of the total markup in the chain and the
average markup one can recover an estimate of the number of
steps. Now the average wholesale markup is approximately
the reciprocal of one minus the gross profit margin rate of
wholesalers:
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Pj
Pj1
(2)
where
( PN P0 )q
N
Pq
i 1
1
N
P
i 1
(3)
( PN PN 1 ) PN
( P P ) P Pj Pj 1
++ 1 0 1 =
.
PN
P1
Pj
The total markup in the chain can be inferred from the gross
profit margin rate and the percentage of wholesalers sales that are
not to other wholesalers:
PN q
N
PN
=
PN q
P0
Pq
i =1
Pq
i
N
i =1
( PN Po )q
N
Pq
i =1
Fraction of
wholessale sales
not to other
wholesalers
Fraction of
Gross
wholesalee sales profit
not to other
wholesalers
(4)
margin
rate
The variable NS, which is our proxy for the number of wholesale steps, is the natural logarithm of the total markup calculated
as detailed above, divided by the natural logarithm of the average
markup:
NS =
ln ( PN / P0 )
ln ( Pj / Pj 1 )
(5)
Table 1
Number of Wholesale Steps in Japan, the United States, and West
Germany
Japan
United States
West Germany
Year
Gross
margin rate
1985
1985
1986
0.112
0.194
0.126
Fraction of
wholesale
sales not
to other
wholesalers
0.581
0.752
0.838
Total
markup
Estimated
average
number of
wholesale
steps
1.239
1.348
1.171
1.80
1.38
1.22
Sources: Gross margin rate and fraction of wholesale sales not to other wholesalers
from Takatoshi Ito and Masayoshi Maruyama, Is the Japanese Distribution System
Really Inefficient? in The United States and Japan: Trade and Investment, ed. Paul
Krugman (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, NBER, 1991), tables 2-4 and 3-4.
Total markup and estimated average number of steps computed from the other items
as described in the text.
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Durables
Motor vehicles
Automotive parts and supplies
Furniture
China, glassware, and crockery
Linens, domestics, curtains, and
draperies
Floor coverings and other home
furnishings
Lumber, plywood, and millwork
Brick, stone, sand, tile, and cement
Flat glass, and other construction
materials
Construction materials n.e.c.
50
5012
5013
5021
50231
50232
5031
50391
50392
Kind of business
SIC
United States
1.48
1.68
1.68
1.58
1.68
1.32
1.10
1.48
1.11
1.26
1.24
1.14
1.14
1.51
1.29
1.41
NS
1.27
1.87
1.59
1.61
1.04
NS
Sheet glass
Miscellaneous building materials
Motor vehicles
Motor vehicle parts and accessories
Furniture and fixtures
Chinaware and glassware
Kind of business
Japan
5053
5059
5159
5051
5052
5154
5042
5043
5151
5155
SIC
Estimated Number of Wholesale Steps in Japan and the United States by Kind of Wholesale BusinessDurables
Table 2a
50931
50932
50993
5088
5072
508 except 50863
and 5088
50863
5064
50511
50512
50521
5063 and 5065
5043
1.21
1.24
1.08
1.16
1.06
1.21
1.15
1.56
1.51
1.25
1.14
1.15
1.48
1.27
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
1.36
1.16
1.16
1.36
1.25
1.72
1.51
1.51
1.25
1.33
n.a.
Surgical goods
Hardware
General machinery and equipment
5062
5063
5193
5044
5142
5192
5041
5046
5035
5036
5031
5047
5045
5195
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5136
5137
5139
5143
5133
5134
Nondurables
Paper and paper products
General line drugs
Specialty line pharmaceuticals,
cosmetics, and toiletries
Piece goods
Notions and other dry goods
Kind of business
51
511
51221
51222
SIC
United States
1.31
1.81
1.12
1.17
1.92
1.38
1.49
1.20
1.04
1.19
NS
1.14
1.67
1.22
1.31
1.60
1.50
1.47
1.16
1.34
NS
Shoes
Miscellaneous food and beverages including dairy products
Kind of business
Japan
5115
5139
5111
5112
5014
5119
5191
5141
5143
SIC
Estimated Number of Wholesale Steps in Japan and the United States by Kind of Wholesale BusinessNondurables
Table 2b
516
517
518
5191
5194
5198
1.74
1.24
1.47
1.10
1.19
1.19
1.57
1.51
2.27
1.73
1.35
1.18
1.42
1.53
1.36
n.a.
n.a.
1.37
1.45
1.68
1.45
2.56
1.86
1.67
1.76
1.45
5125
5136
5126
5123 and 5124
5138
5135
5129
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rather than merely logistical as in the post office example. Speculative inventories are any that are not yet promised to final customers
and are therefore of uncertain market value. Merchant wholesalers
are specialists at economizing on the risk and uncertainty attached
to the holding of speculative inventories.
Bucklin convincingly argues that wholesale steps proliferate where speculative inventories are valued. If customers have
relatively high storage costs, they will pay more for the added
convenience of next-door shopping, because it enables them to
replenish stocks frequently and keep their own inventories low.
But to provide this service, marketers must maintain speculative
inventories close to the customers. Fresh fish and fresh produce are
costly to store and must be dispatched quickly to avert spoilage.
The large number of wholesale steps for these in both Japan and
the United States reflect the necessity of maintaining speculative
inventories if customers are to be supplied on demand.
As Bucklin further points out, distribution through exclusive
outlets or closely coordinated channels enables a manufacturer to
more perfectly anticipate customers desires and reduce or avoid
speculative inventories. These channels will therefore have fewer
wholesale steps. Here one thinks of motor vehicles, which have
few wholesale steps in both Japan and the United States.
Factors Specific to Japan
The ubiquity of retail stores in Japan is often identified as one
reason why the number of wholesale steps is greater in Japan than
elsewhere. If we follow Bucklins reasoning as sketched in the previous section, it may be more correct to say that Japans ubiquity of
stores and multiplicity of wholesale steps have a common basis
economies of household storage. Both are ways of assuring that
speculative inventories are maintained in close proximity to final
demanders and enabling the demanders to restock frequently.
In a previous paper, Flath (1990) argues that Japans ubiquity
of retail outlets rests upon final demanders high costs of storage
relative to the distribution sectors costs of storage and upon the
short geographic distance between point of production and point of
1.36
(0.28)
3.74
(1.54)
0.253
(0.122)
0.156
(0.115)
0.497
(0.248)
R2
Number of observations
Constant
Mean (s.d.)
Variable
24
0.571
0.093
(3.268)
0.589
(4.109)
0.285
(1.221)
24
0.622
0.094
(0.154)
0.536
(1.350)
0.068
(1.674)
0.658
(3.867)
0.401
(0.915)
(1) Consumer
products only
15
0.347
1.143
(1.415)
0.455
(0.630)
0.349
(1.056)
1.288
(2.803)
(2) Industrial
products only
40
0.192
0.713
(1.537)
0.319
(0.610)
0.002
(0.007)
0.470
(2.306)
1.180
(3.814)
(3) All
products
OLS Regression Estimates. Dependent Variable = Estimated Number of Wholesale Steps by Kind of Business,
Japan, 1986
Table 3
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References
Bucklin, L. P. 1966. A Theory of Distribution Channel Structure. Berkeley:
University of California Press.
Ejiri, Hiroshi. 1980. Waga kuni no ryutsu keiro wa honto ni nagai ka [Are
Distribution Channels Really Longer in Japan?]. Shouhi to ryutsu 4, no. 3:
6070, and 4, no. 4: 7279.
Flath, David. 1990. Why Are There so Many Retail Stores in Japan? Japan
and the World Economy 2: 36586.
Ito, Takatoshi, and Masayoshi Maruyama. 1991. Is the Japanese Distribution
System Really Inefficient? In The United States and Japan: Trade and Investment, ed. Paul Krugman. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, NBER.
Keizai kikakucho bukka kyoku bukka seisaku ka [Economic Planning Agency,
Price Level Division]. 1986. Yumyuhin no ryutsu oyobi shoukankou
[Commercial Practices and the Marketing of Imports]. Tokyo.
Maruyama, Masayoshi; Kyohei Sakai; Yoko Togawa; Nobuo Sakamoto;
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