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EXAMINATION
30 April 2015 (am)
Enter all the candidate and examination details as requested on the front of your answer
booklet.
2.
You have 15 minutes before the start of the examination in which to read the
questions. You are strongly encouraged to use this time for reading only, but notes
may be made. You then have three hours to complete the paper.
3.
You must not start writing your answers in the booklet until instructed to do so by the
supervisor.
4.
5.
Attempt all three questions, beginning your answer to each question on a new page.
6.
Hand in BOTH your answer booklet, with any additional sheets firmly attached, and this
question paper.
In addition to this paper you should have available the 2002 edition of the Formulae
and Tables and your own electronic calculator from the approved list.
SA6 A2015
(i)
[5]
(ii)
[6]
(i)
(ii)
[5]
(a)
(b)
Set out the points the industry bodys actuary should include in his report.
[14]
SA6 A20152
a centralised procurement process for all existing and new manager appointments
setting up a common investment fund for each asset class
The investment actuary has been asked to describe each approach and comment on
the extent to which it achieves the governments objectives relative to the original
proposal.
(iv)
SA6 A20153
Set out the points the governments investment actuary might include in her
report.
[10]
[Total 34]
Discuss the factors which the actuary should consider in order to comment on
the performance statistics of the hedge fund.
[11]
The trustee board has appointed a new chair who has raised concerns about the
suitability of the hedge fund for the savings scheme.
(ii)
Discuss the factors to consider for the purposes of assessing the hedge funds
suitability for an investment by a DC savings scheme. In your answer you
should consider the following:
END OF PAPER
SA6 A20154
EXAMINERS REPORT
April 2015 examinations
SA6 Investment
Specialist Applications
Introduction
The Examiners Report is written by the Principal Examiner with the aim of helping
candidates, both those who are sitting the examination for the first time and using past papers
as a revision aid and also those who have previously failed the subject.
The Examiners are charged by Council with examining the published syllabus. The
Examiners have access to the Core Reading, which is designed to interpret the syllabus, and
will generally base questions around it but are not required to examine the content of Core
Reading specifically or exclusively.
For numerical questions the Examiners preferred approach to the solution is reproduced in
this report; other valid approaches are given appropriate credit. For essay-style questions,
particularly the open-ended questions in the later subjects, the report may contain more points
than the Examiners will expect from a solution that scores full marks.
The report is written based on the legislative and regulatory context at the date the
examination was set. Candidates should take into account the possibility that circumstances
may have changed if using these reports for revision.
F Layton
Chairman of the Board of Examiners
July 2015
Page 2
(i)
(ii)
Any direct increases in the money supply should put upward pressure on
prices generally
This can be explained using the Quantity Theory of Money
M*V=P*Q
M = the amount of money in an economy
V = the velocity of money the number of times money circulates around the
economy over a specified period
P = the average price level of goods, services and assets
Q = the volume of goods, services and assets produced/transacted
If M increases unless there is an increase in economic activity, there should
be upward pressure on prices.
The main way that QE typically increases the money supply is indirectly
through the fractional reserve system whereby bank assets are bought from
the banks by the central bank in exchange for money which then, due to the
fractional reserve system / money multiplier, results in an increase the money
supply.
The impact of this is typically greatest initially in the asset markets where the
increase in the money supply is experienced both directly and indirectly,
through an increase in the expectations of future money supply increases (as
the QE results in an increase in the money supply over time through the
fractional reserves system).
(iii)
Bond Market
QE typically involves intervention in bond markets by the central bank
increasing bond prices and consequently lowering bond yields. A reduction in
QE is likely to see relatively lower demand for bonds, relatively lower prices
and relatively higher yields.
Page 3
Page 4
Economic Growth
Higher short-term interest rates and bond yields discourage investment
spending by firms and dampen consumer spending. However, there is usually
a lag between increases in interest rates and bond yields and any fall-off in
growth.
Any reduction in capital investment spending by firms reduces employment
levels and therefore incomes. However there is a lag between any reduction in
the planning and building of new production facilities and the full impact on
economic output.
For consumer spending to fall, one or more of the following is needed:
Page 5
This was the best answered question on the paper. The first part was relatively well
answered but few candidates achieved close to full marks despite the question being
knowledge based. Candidates tackled the third part reasonably well but only a minority
scored significantly over half marks, which was disappointing.
(i)
Page 6
All investors will have some constraints but the following are examples of
investors with significant assets in excess of their ongoing requirements.
wealthy individuals some individuals have sufficient surplus cash that the
liabilities of financing their future life are small in relation to their personal
assets.
sovereign wealth funds examples include excess funds from natural
resource extraction (e.g. oil) that governments have chosen to save in order to
enhance the quality of living of future generations.
company cash reserves some companies have accrued exceptional profits,
beyond what can reasonably be either invested in the business or used for
acquisition, or returned to investors without tax implications.
(iii)
Market efficiency
Active managers overweight their allocation to investments they consider to
be undervalued, and underweight allocations to investments they consider to
be overvalued. Therefore they contribute to efficient market pricing by
ensuring that market prices of financial assets do not deviate excessively from
fundamental values. Conversely passive managers will maintain allocations
very close to index weights. When some parts of the market are overvalued
(eg a bubble within a sector), passive managers will continue to make
allocations in line with market capitalisation weights.
Liquidity
Active managers improve liquidity as they have higher asset turnover levels
than passive managers. They can further improve liquidity by
opportunistically trading in the opposite direction to large flows, unlike a
passive manager.
Research coverage
Active managers buy significant amounts of research from independent
research organisations and brokers, resulting in a larger supply of such
research.
Active managers also carry out their own fundamental research into
companies and securities.
The above allows a wider range of corporate issuers to be covered by
investment analysts than would otherwise be the case improving primary and
secondary market liquidity due to improved market efficiency. [1] Passive
managers are not significant users of investment research. Corporate
governance
Active managers have regular discussions with company managers to
represent their investors interests. This allows investors to engage with
Page 7
(iv)
Page 8
This question was reasonably well answered. Candidates struggled with the third part and in
particular a number of candidates failed to construct appropriate arguments to support the
industry bodys point of view. Some candidates failed to score as well as they could have in
the final part due to careless reading of the question, which led to them proposing alternative
solutions rather than commenting on the proposals they were asked to discuss.
(i)
Quantitative assessment
Are the returns gross or net of fees? What was the impact of any performance
related fees? Is there sufficient information to allow a transparent assessment
of the fees paid versus returns achieved?
What level of breakdown of the overall return is given? Are performance
figures given by asset category or by individual asset holding?
Are the performance figures outlined in an appropriate and suitable manner to
enable an assessment of relative performance?
Do the performance figures allow an assessment of the level of risk taken?
What measures of investment risk are used? Are they appropriate for the fund?
Is any risk adjusted performance statistics included in the report? Are they
appropriate (appropriate use of beta or standard deviation as the risk
measure)?
Page 9
Page 10
Page 11
Page 12
This was the least well answered question. Many candidates failed to notice that the fund
was a savings plan, rather than a pension plan, which led to the second part of the question
being poorly answered as they misunderstood the investors objectives.
Page 13
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3
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5
EXAMINATION
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Enter all the candidate and examination details as requested on the front of your answer
booklet.
2.
You have 15 minutes before the start of the examination in which to read the
questions. You are strongly encouraged to use this time for reading only, but notes
may be made. You then have three hours to complete the paper.
3.
You must not start writing your answers in the booklet until instructed to do so by the
supervisor.
23
4.
24
5.
Attempt all three questions, beginning your answer to each question on a new page.
25
6.
17
18
19
20
21
22
26
AT THE END OF THE EXAMINATION
27
28
29
30
31
Hand in BOTH your answer booklet, with any additional sheets firmly attached, and this
question paper.
In addition to this paper you should have available the 2002 edition of the Formulae
and Tables and your own electronic calculator from the approved list.
32
33
34
35
SA6 S2015
Describe the points that an investment actuary should make in the first article,
under the following headings:
(a)
(b)
(c)
(ii)
Set out the points that an investment actuary should make in the second article
to describe the following:
(a)
the different asset classes that pension funds could hold to invest in
infrastructure projects
[4]
(b)
A large property developer has gone bankrupt after completing the development of a
large residential building in the capital city of a small developed country. The
building consists of a number of residential units and these are to be sold at auction.
Bids will be taken for individual units and/or for blocks of multiple units.
An overseas sovereign wealth fund has been built up from excess revenues generated
from natural resource extraction. Its investment mandate is that the funds are to be
reinvested with the aim of enhancing the quality of life for future generations of its
citizens. The funds investment management are considering using some of the
funds assets to purchase some of the units at the auction.
(i)
An individual investor is also considering making a bid for one or more units at the
auction. He is not a member of a pension scheme and is looking to make a personal
investment for his own retirement planning (whereby he will use the unit(s) to
generate a rental income).
(ii)
SA6 S20152
Outline reasons why this investment may or may not be suitable for the
individual investor.
[6]
[Total 20]
(ii)
(b)
(c)
investment strategy
END OF PAPER
SA6 S20153
[11]
[9]
[Total 42]
EXAMINERS REPORT
September 2015
A.
B.
C.
Comparative pass rates for the past 3 years for this diet of examination
Year
September 2015
April 2015
September 2014
April 2014
September 2013
April 2013
%
46
62
23
28
25
28
Reasons for any significant change in pass rates in current diet to those in the
past:
It should be noted that the number of candidates sitting this exam is very low and so a
reasonably stable pass rate should not be expected.
Page 2
Solutions
Q1
(i)
(a)
(b)
(a)
Page 4
(b)
Approaches to investing
Listed securities or funds these are listed equities or funds that offer
secondary market liquidity with relatively low costs. These will be
managed in accordance with a published prospectus.
Direct (in-house/segregated account) this is a portfolio of directly
held investments, either public or private. The manager can have
varying levels of discretion, depending on the investors needs and
capabilities.
Unlisted funds many asset managers offer pooled funds that invest
in a diversified portfolio of infrastructure assets. These can be closedended or open-ended. Divestments and investments may be subject to
liquidity restrictions in open ended funds. Funds of funds are also
available. The manager will be responsible for investment decisions,
governance matters, and charge a fee.
Shared platform/club whilst these can be structured as segregated
or pooled accounts, they offer delegation and pooling of governance
but also greater control and lower fees than would apply for a fund.
Challenges
General issues whilst there is increased demand for institutional
funds due to falling bank appetite for holding these assets, institutional
investors often struggle to achieve sufficient scale to build diversified
portfolios. Investors may also struggle with governance issues and
exerting influence on boards. Asset manager fee scales may be
prohibitively high, particularly for infrastructure debt. The long time
horizon means that regulatory risk is potentially greater e.g. due to a
change in tax treatment.
Listed equities or funds issues include the following:
Page 5
Question 1 was generally well answered. The first part was well answered
but few candidates achieved close to full marks despite the question being
knowledge based. The second part was less well answered with only a
minority scoring over half marks, which was disappointing.
Q2
(i)
Page 6
need or want to dispose of the asset. During times of market distress both
liquidity and marketability might become an issue.
Expertise required the wealth fund will need resources/expertise to manage
the properties e.g. collecting rent, handling problems with the tenant and
organising and carrying out repairs etc. Does the fund have any similar
existing resources or expertise? Or would it need to acquire such expertise?
How many apartments will be purchased? Does the wealth fund have
resources and/or expertise to manage them? Will the number of apartments be
enough to justify hiring any resource necessary to manage them?
Taxes should also be considered, as the sovereign wealth fund is an overseas
investor and may be subject to withholding taxes or be unable to offset taxes
under dual taxation treaties.
Specific characteristics of the properties:
Location of the properties. This will be a key influence on its liquidity and
exposure to voids. Prime properties are typically more liquid and less likely to
experience voids
Residential properties are generally NOT considered to be a good investment
for institutional investors, as the law in most countries is normally considered
to be on the side of the tenant. Additionally the costs of maintain the
investment are considered to be high. The exception is luxury or high-end
residential properties where the tenants are likely to be professionals. If the
apartments are in a prime location it might be more attractive from this
perspective.
Diversification how much diversification do the properties provide? There
is likely to be a concentration risk given that they are all in the same location
and same building. This is less of an issue if the wealth fund is very large and
if it has a very large property portfolio. Does the fund have existing property
assets would this investment add to the diversification among the schemes
assets? Or would it add to concentration risk.
(ii)
Page 7
If the individual does not have any other form of pension provision or any
other assets, then he/she will be exposed to significant concentration risk.
From a diversification perspective it would be better to own units in different
buildings and locations.
If the property becomes void, which would be more likely if it was not
prime, then the individual might experience detrimental shortfalls income
during retirement
The illiquidity of property may become an inconvenience at a future date if the
investors needs change.
Pooled property investments e.g. REITS/UT may be more suitable.
Question 2 was the best answered question on the paper, with both parts of
the question generally well answered.
Q3
(i)
Currency markets
The introduction of a new currency (W$) will create a meaningful number of
foreign exchange transactions, given the size of Woodland and the
interconnectedness of the two economies.
A forward market in W$ is likely to develop in the run-up to independence,
although it may be volatile and/or one-sided since activity is likely to be
dominated by investment funds or hedging activity.
If the initial exchange rate is set at too high or too low a level then this will
create further volatility.
This volatility should subside once there are two-way trade flows in the
economy and a clearing rate for W$ is achieved.
Equity and debt markets
A fundamental factor is the extent to which obligations under existing
Grassland government bonds are to be assumed by the Woodland government,
and also whether they will be redenominated into W$.
Few existing G$ securities by other issuers are likely to be redenominated into
W$, since only a minority of investors will be Woodland based. However
without a vibrant government debt market it will take time for the Woodland
debt market to achieve critical mass.
Given the relatively small size of Woodland, most issuers are likely to
continue to issue new debt and equity securities in the Grassland markets to
maximise access to liquidity.
Page 8
Some debt issuers will want to issue new debt in the Woodland markets, either
to localise Woodland revenues and issuance, or because they want to diversify
their funding base.
Some equity issuers may seek a secondary listing on the Woodland stock
exchange but few large companies are likely to move their primary listing.
If Woodland is slow in developing its own institutions then W$ denominated
debt securities may begin to be issued in the Grassland markets. This could
also happen if it is more tax efficient to issue W$ debt in Grassland rather than
Woodland.
Equities with significant Woodland exposure could be volatile due to investor
uncertainty. There may also be increased volatility in the Grassland equity
markets generally, relative to other major markets.
Interest rates in both Grassland and Woodland could be volatile in the
immediate period after independence. It will take time for a liquid market to
develop in longer dated (over 10 years) W$ interest rates due to lack of
issuance and uncertain investor demand.
Property
Given the physical nature of property, property transactions will need to be
denominated in the currency applying to the location.
This may result in illiquid markets in Woodland around the time of
independence due to uncertainty around the exchange rate.
(ii)
(a)
At the independence date few existing assets in the portfolio are likely
to be automatically converted from G$ to W$. Assets that might be
converted could include some money market instruments and bonds
(most likely Woodland government bonds).
At the independence date the insurers existing liabilities will be
unchanged if no Woodland policyholders choose to convert their
policies.
In practice this is an unlikely scenario given the tax changes. The
conversion rate is likely to depend on both the extent of the tax
differential and policyholders confidence that W$ will not depreciate
following independence.
It is likely that most new Woodland business would be W$
denominated post-independence, as Woodland policyholders would
want to pay W$ denominated premiums and receive W$ benefits.
Where policyholders choose to convert their policies, this will create a
practical difficulty for the insurer since the insurer will be unable to
hedge the future currency mismatch or convert the backing assets into
Page 9
(c)
Page 10
Page 11