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Journal of Public Economics 94 (2010) 344353

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Journal of Public Economics


j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w. e l s e v i e r. c o m / l o c a t e / j p u b e

Can gender quotas break down negative stereotypes? Evidence from changes in
electoral rules
Maria De Paola , Vincenzo Scoppa, Rosetta Lombardo
Department of Economics and Statistics, University of Calabria, Arcavacata di Rende, Italy

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: In this paper, we analyze the effect of gender quotas on women's involvement in political activity by using a
Received 21 May 2009 rich data set providing information on all Italian local administrators who were elected from 1985 to 2007.
Received in revised form 18 December 2009 Gender quotas were introduced by law in Italy in 1993 and were in force until 1995. Because of the short
Accepted 9 February 2010
period covered by the reform, some municipalities never voted under the gender quota regime. This allows
Available online 13 February 2010
us to identify a treatment and a control group and to estimate the effects of gender quotas by using a
difference-in-differences estimation strategy. Our estimates show that women's representation in politics
JEL classication:
D72
after the reform increased signicantly more in municipalities that were affected by the reform than in
D78 municipalities that were not affected. This result also holds true if we exclude from our analysis elections
J71 which took place during the period in which the reform was in force. Moreover, the higher women's
J16 representation in gender quota municipalities is not related to the advantages that women who were
elected during the reform have obtained from incumbency and does not seem to be driven by differences in
Keywords: temporal trends between Southern and Northern regions. These ndings suggest that afrmative actions can
Afrmative actions be of use in breaking down stereotypes against women.
Gender quotas
2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Discrimination
Stereotypes
Politicians
Natural experiment

1. Introduction easier for elected ofcials (prevailingly males for historical reasons) to
be re-elected in successive contests. On the other hand, women may
In nearly every country both developed and less developed face cultural barriers which hinder their participation in politics, since
women are still underrepresented in national parliaments and in other this violates traditional gender roles. In addition, male-dominated
representative institutions. On average, in 2006, fewer than 17% of parties may oppose female candidacies, both because of the fear of
parliament seats were assigned to women1 and the gender imbalance losing rent-positions, typically reserved for men and because female
appears to be diminishing only very slowly (see UNICEF, 2007). candidates may be thought of as less able to attract voters. In fact,
These gures seem to be the result of a number of factors which voters may dislike female participation in politics, as there is still a
continue to hamper the involvement of women in politics. On the one strong division of gender roles in many cultures, or voters may believe
hand, women may be less inclined to participate in politics due to that women are less competent as policy makers.
limited interest in this type of profession, leading them to devote fewer In order to enhance female participation in policymaking, many
resources to the pursuit of political careers, or because of higher entry countries have introduced norms reserving political positions for
costs, in part relating to the strength of incumbency, which makes it women (political reservations or gender quotas). As reported by Duo
(2005), quotas for women in parliaments were in force in more than
30 countries in 2001. Institutional changes are considered a useful
Even though the paper is the result of joint work by the authors, Maria De Paola and method of increasing female participation in politics, since cultural
Vincenzo Scoppa are jointly responsible for Sections 3, 4, 5 and 6 and Rosetta Lombardo
and social norms, which seem to have hindered women's political
for Section 2. Section 1 is joint responsibility of the three authors.
Corresponding author. empowerment, tend to change very slowly.
E-mail addresses: m.depaola@unical.it (M. De Paola), v.scoppa@unical.it (V. Scoppa), The rationale for increasing women's representation is that female
r.lombardo@unical.it (R. Lombardo). legislators tend to raise distinctive issues and priorities within the
1
Even though in some countries women have reached almost equal representation
public agenda and give particular attention to women's interests
(e.g., 47.3% of elected representatives in the Swedish parliament in 2006), women are still
far behind in most countries: 17.3% in the 2006 Italian Parliamentary elections; 18.5% in the
(Pande, 2003; Chattopadhyay and Duo, 2004a,b; Chen, 2009). As a
2007 French Parliamentary elections; 19.9% in the 2005 United Kingdom elections and consequence, correcting the imbalances in political representation
31.8% in the 2005 German elections (IDEA at http://www.quotaproject.org). helps to correct the imbalances in other spheres as well (Sen, 1999).

0047-2727/$ see front matter 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.jpubeco.2010.02.004
M. De Paola et al. / Journal of Public Economics 94 (2010) 344353 345

Yet another argument for increasing women's participation in with those which were not affected. From our estimates, it emerges
politics is the belief that they are less corrupt than men. Several that there was a common sharp increase in female political
studies have shown a correlation between rates of women in involvement in the treatment and the control group after 1993, but
government and lower levels of corruption at both national (Dollar female representation increased signicantly more in those munic-
et al., 2001) and local levels (Kudva, 2001). ipalities directly affected by the reform.
An interesting issue is whether afrmative actions (such as gender By excluding the outcomes of the elections which took place
quotas) are able to break down negative stereotypes about the between 1993 and 1995 from our sample, we show that the effects of
capabilities of women in politics. From a theoretical point of view, the gender quotas have continued since the reform was abolished,
effects of such action may be either positive or negative. On the one supporting the idea that afrmative action may play an important
hand, exposure to female politicians may contribute to a change in role in overcoming negative stereotypes. In addition, it does not seem
citizens' attitudes with regards to appropriate roles for women that the effects have declined over time.
(Dasgupta and Asgari, 2004). In addition, when anti-female prejudices To check the robustness of our results we rst apply our model to a
are based on the idea that women are poor policy makers, being different sample, which only includes in the treatment group those
exposed to greater female involvement in politics may help voters to municipalities that neighbor on at least one of those included in the
modify these beliefs. On the other hand, if elected women have less control group. Our main results remain substantially unchanged.
experience and, as a consequence, their performance is not as good as Secondly, in order to show that our ndings are not driven by
that of their male colleagues, gender quotas may produce, at least in different temporal trends among Southern and Northern regions, we
the short term, negative effects on women's representation. In fact, interact our variables of interest with a dummy variable for the South.
voters may not take differences in experience into account in their Once again, municipalities affected by the reform show a higher
evaluations and may conclude that female politicians are simply not female representation regardless of their geographical location.
as good as male politicians. Furthermore, a gender quota may result in We also investigate whether the observed greater participation of
even stronger bias against women if female politicians are perceived women in politics is due to the continuing presence in the political
as violating appropriate gender roles (Rudman and Fairchild, 2004). arena of those women who were elected under the quota system or
Analyses trying to investigate empirically the effects of gender whether other women have been elected subsequently. The advan-
quotas on stereotypes about women encounter a number of problems tages of incumbency and the opportunity to gain personal credibility
due to the fact that it is hard to disentangle the effects of the might favor the persistence in politics of those women elected under
intervention from other confounding factors related to temporal the gender quota system, without implying that electors have
trends. More importantly, when the reservation of places becomes a changed their beliefs regarding the political capabilities of women
permanent institutional feature, it is difcult to distinguish the effects as a group. Our estimates show that, in those municipalities affected
directly related to the application of these rules from the impact that by gender quotas, a larger proportion of new female candidates is
they may have in eliminating prejudices and in changing cultural elected than in municipalities which never voted under the gender
attitudes regarding gender roles and, therefore, the electorate's quota system.
perceptions regarding women's capabilities in politics. Finally, some suggestive evidence, using data on candidatures for
In this paper, we are able to overcome both of these problems mayoral elections, shows that voter bias favoring men is weaker in
thanks to a natural experiment produced by the introduction in Italy, municipalities directly affected by gender quotas.
for a short period of time, of statutory quotas establishing a minimum The paper is organized as follows. Section 2 discusses the related
number of candidacies by gender. literature. In Section 3, the Italian institutional framework and the data
Gender quotas, reserving a percentage of the places in the party are presented. In Section 4, we present difference-in-differences es-
lists for Municipal Council elections for female candidates, were timate results. In Section 5, we offer a set of robustness checks. Section 6
introduced in Italy in 1993 and repealed in 1995 by the Constitutional concludes.
Court. Given the short time this law was in force, and the scheduling of
local election races, not all Italian municipalities voted under the 2. Related literature
gender quotas system. In fact, only municipalities that had an election
in the period between April 1993 and September 1995 were affected Despite the widespread agreement that gender inequalities have
by the reform. As a consequence, thanks to casual factors that led not been eradicated, there is less agreement on the extent to which
municipalities to vote or not in the reform period, we are able to those inequalities might be reduced by policy interventions. This issue
identify a treatment and a control group. By comparing women's has recently received renewed attention within the study of
representation in politics in the two groups of municipalities, we stereotypes.
disentangle the effects of the introduction of quotas from temporal Gender and minority problems were rst analyzed, in economic
trends relating to other factors. In addition, by exploiting the theory, in relation to the functioning of labor markets. The empirical
temporary adoption of gender quotas, we can test whether their literature on discrimination, following the contribution of Becker
effects have persisted over time since their abolition: this analysis (1957), has mainly focused on disparities in earnings between males
allows us to verify whether the institutional change produced and females.
permanent effects regarding the electorate's attitudes towards Afrmative action, involving active steps to help disadvantaged
women and the propensity of political parties to include more groups, has often been implemented in order to eliminate inequalities
women among their candidates. among groups. The advocates of quotas point out that preferential
To analyze these aspects, we use a rich administrative data set policies tend to break down negative views about disadvantaged
providing information regarding the gender, age, education and individuals by allowing them to demonstrate their capabilities (Coate
occupation of all the members of about 8100 Italian Municipal and Loury, 1993).
Councils elected between 1985 and 2007. Moreover, we have Similar arguments are used when discussing the efcacy of
analogous information about the Mayors and the components of the afrmative action in politics: women's participation in politics should
Executive Committees heading municipal governments. help overcome negative stereotypes held by voters and parties that
We use a difference-in-differences estimator to compare the oppose the presence of women in politics.
changes in women's representation rates (measured as the percent- Gender quota systems can be classied into two main categories:
age of females on the Municipal Council or on the Executive (1) the reservation of seats system, ensuring that a given number of
Committee Council) for municipalities affected by the 1993 reform women will be elected; and (2) the reservation of candidates system,
346 M. De Paola et al. / Journal of Public Economics 94 (2010) 344353

ensuring a given minimum number of female candidates. These which have been reserved for women once, twice or never. Random
systems can be imposed by the constitution or electoral laws or be allocation of reservations implies that a difference in voters' attitudes
adopted by parties on a voluntary basis. across reserved and unreserved villages will capture the causal effect
Extensive literature on the formation of public opinion suggests of having seen a woman as a policy-maker. The authors found that
that low voter awareness can cause stereotypes to play an important exposure to a female leader weakens stereotypes about gender roles
role in shaping voter preferences (Beaman et al., 2008). Social and eliminates the negative bias in how a female leaders' effectiveness
norms which associate leadership with men causing voters to is perceived by male villagers, although it does not alter the villagers'
favor and elect male candidates are widely discussed and con- preferences for male leaders. Using data from Mumbai, Bhavnani
sidered to be a reason which explains why the entry of women into (2009) nds that reservations largely work by introducing a group of
politics may be hampered by group stereotypes (Akerlof and Kranton, female candidates into politics who are able to run for and win
2000). elections, even after the reservations lapse, and by allowing parties to
Some studies in psychology indicate that gender inequalities may learn that women can win elections.
be eliminated by the provision of information able to disprove Based on the idea that afrmative action may play an important role
stereotypes (Geis, 1993). In this vein, the introduction of gender in changing cultural attitudes, we try to contribute to this literature
quotas into electoral legislation, might, by exposing voters to women by analyzing the impact that the introduction of gender quotas in Italy
politicians, render their information more precise regarding the has produced on female involvement in local government.
expected effectiveness of future female leaders and, therefore, reduce
discrimination. However, this process may also bring about negative
effects of gender quotas because, for example, female politicians may 3. The Italian institutional framework and the data
perform worse than their male colleagues due to their relative
inexperience and voters might, therefore, conclude that females are Municipal administrations are responsible for a number of public
indeed less competent as policy makers. services in Italy, such as the management of public utilities (local
Previous works on gender quotas have focused primarily on their roads, water, sewage, garbage collection, etc.) and the provision of
effectiveness in replacing some male ofce-holders with female ones public housing and transportation, nursery schools, and assistance to
and have tried to explain variations in quota effectiveness by pointing elderly people.
to factors such as institutional context, policy design and political will The Municipal Council (Consiglio Comunale) is endowed with
(Matland, 2006). A number of works show that quotas are more legislative powers, while the executive authority is assigned to a
effective in proportional representation electoral systems (Jones and Mayor (Sindaco) who heads an Executive Committee (Giunta
Navia, 1999; Schmidt and Saunders, 2004), while others analyze how Comunale). Given that municipal governments are responsible for a
the effectiveness of gender quotas is shaped by socioeconomic factors number of very important services which have a great impact on
(Norris, 2006). citizens' daily lives, voters are generally highly interested in their
Emerging economic literature on women in politics is mostly composition and performance.
concerned with identifying gender differences in the way local policy Law no. 81 of March 25, 1993, brought in some important changes
is conducted. A number of studies have found that women tend to be in the Italian electoral system. It introduced the direct election of the
more liberal than men and more likely to support and promote mayor, with some differences according to the size of the city.3 More
women's issues. Chattopadhyay and Duo (2004a) analyzed the importantly for our paper, this law also established that neither sex
consequences, in terms of policy outcomes, of the practice of reserving could represent more than two-thirds of a party's list of candidates for
head positions on Village Councils for women, as was introduced in a Municipal Council election.4 In municipalities with up to fteen
some Indian states in 1993. One third of these Village Councils was thousand inhabitants, the maximum quota for either sex was set at
randomly reserved for a woman leader. The authors exploit the three quarters. The reservation of candidacies introduced in Italy by
random variation in imposed exposure to female leaders across this law ensured a given minimum number of female candidates, but,
villages to compare the type of public goods provided by reserved and unlike quota systems based on reservation of seats, did not ensure
unreserved Village Councils and show that reservation affects policy that a minimum number of females would be elected.
decisions in ways that seem to better reect women's preferences.2 On September 12, 1995 (Sentence no. 422), the Constitutional
These results are consistent with those emerging from studies Court repealed the reservation quotas declaring that norms establish-
analyzing the effects of reservations for other disadvantaged groups. ing that neither sex could constitute more than two-thirds of
For example, Pande (2003) shows that in India reservations for some candidates were unconstitutional. According to the Court Sentence,
disadvantaged groups have led to an increase in nancial transfers the fundamental right of equal access to elective ofces, as established
toward members of these groups. Similar results emerge from Besley by Art. 3 and Art. 51 of the Constitution, cannot be subject to special
et al. (2004, 2007), Bardhan et al. (2005) and from Chattopadhyay and treatment on the basis of sex. As a consequence of this sentence, only
Duo (2004b). those elections which took place between April 1993 and September
Another interesting eld of research, closely related to our paper, is 1995 were affected by the gender quota reform. To be precise, 7716
concerned with the effects that gender quotas produce on anti-female municipalities voted during the reform period (treatment group),
prejudices. While a number of works show that discrimination against while 389 municipalities never voted under this regime (control
women is pervasive, very little work has been devoted to analyzing
the effect that afrmative actions produce on this type of bias. One of
3
the few research projects which have tried to examine this issue from Seats in the Municipal Council are allocated using an individual-ballot system and
an empirical point of view is Beaman et al. (2008). By exploiting the plurality rules. This system was introduced in 1993, replacing a party ballot system.
For cities with a population of fewer than 15,000 inhabitants, elections are held with a
natural experiment in Indian villages with regards the reserving of
single ballot and the winning candidate is awarded a majority premium of at least
head positions for women, these authors compare villager attitudes two-thirds of the seats in the council; for municipalities with a population above
toward hypothetical, and actual, women leaders across councils 15,000, elections are held using a dual ballot (where the second is held only if none of
the candidates obtains an absolute majority of votes in the rst ballot), and the
winning candidate is awarded a majority premium of at least 60% of the seats in the
2
According to some authors, reservations may result in token appointments where council.
4
women are appointed by elites and are poorly educated and aged. However, Ban and These procedures were also established for Provincial Councils and for the
Rao (2008) and Chattopadhyay and Duo (2004a) do not nd evidence in favor of this Chamber of Deputies. In February 1995 (Law no. 43), the same rules were applied to
hypothesis. the election of Regional Councils.
M. De Paola et al. / Journal of Public Economics 94 (2010) 344353 347

group).5 Of the municipalities in the control group, 179 are located in Table 1
the Center-North of Italy and 210 in the South. Female representation in Italian municipal governments.

Municipal elections in Italy are held every 5 years6 and Municipal Percentage of Gender quota municipalities Non-gender quota
governments cannot choose the election schedule. In certain females in municipalities
circumstances, the legislature may not survive until the end of its 19851992 19931995 19962007 19851992 19962007
legislative term, e.g. because of a mayor's early resignation.7 In these
Municipal Council 0.076 0.184 0.162 0.062 0.136
cases, elections are held before the natural schedule, and, as a (0.073) (0.099) (0.129) (0.075) (0.113)
consequence, all subsequent elections will be held at different times Executive Committee 0.064 0.130 0.143 0.055 0.120
from other municipalities that have completed the foreseen legislative Council (0.105) (0.174) (0.173) (0.102) (0.158)
term. Given this situation, we are very condent that municipalities Mayor 0.029 0.063 0.083 0.045 0.071
(0.169) (0.243) (0.275) (0.208) (0.257)
were not able to decide upon the scheduling of their elections in
relation to the gender quota system. Notes: Standard deviations are in parentheses. For Non-gender quota municipalities,
no elections took place during the period 19931995.
To examine the effects produced by the reform, we use an
administrative data set containing information on gender, age,
education and occupation of all the members of Italian Municipal affected by the reform. A similar increase can also be observed with
Councils elected from 1985 to 2007. The data contains information on regards female mayors and female members of Executive Committees.
about 8100 municipalities which on average voted 5 times.8 The Despite the increase in women's representation during this period,
number of seats on Municipal Councils and on Executive Committees female politicians have continued to have higher levels of education
depends on the population size: seats on Municipal Councils range than their male colleagues.
from 12 to 60 (the median number is 15), while seats on Executive Descriptive statistics show that female involvement in politics over
Committees range from 4 to 16 (the median is 5). the years 19962007, i.e. after the reform was abolished, continued at
We also use the 1991 and 2001 Italian Census of Population to about the same levels reached during the reform period. However,
obtain data, at the municipality level, regarding the size of the female political involvement seems to be signicantly higher in those
resident population, the number of employed individuals and the municipalities that were directly affected by the reform.
average educational attainment of the population. It is worthwhile noting that, in spite of this positive trend, female
The average population size of Italian municipalities is 7018. Only representation in Italian municipalities remains very low, even in
8% of municipalities have a population which is greater than 15,000 municipalities affected by the reform.
inhabitants. The population's number of years in education is, on The increase in female representation observed during the period
average, 6.93 and the ratio between the number of employed in which gender quotas were in force suggests that the introduction of
individuals and the total number of inhabitants is 24.5%. gender quotas has helped reduce voters' or parties' anti-female bias. It
In Table 1, the average number of female members of Municipal may also be true that gender quota have weakened the opposition of
Councils, of Executive Committees and as Mayors are reported male-dominated parties to female candidacies or that gender quotas
(respectively for municipalities affected and not affected by the have reduced female reluctance to take part into political activity by
reform), for the periods before, during and after the gender quotas changing what is perceived to be an appropriate role for women.
regime. Before 1993, Municipal Councils were dominated by men, Nevertheless, the observed rise in female representation could be
with, respectively, only 6.2% and 7.6% of female members in the simply related to changes in cultural attitudes occurring over time
control and the treated groups. Female representation on Executive which would have taken place anyway, even in the absence of any
Committees and as Mayors was even lower. For instance, only 3% of intervention. In the next section, we attempt to identify the causal
mayors were women; this percentage was higher, 4.6%, for munic- effect of gender quotas on women's representation by carrying out an
ipalities not affected by the reform and lower, 2.9%, for those affected. econometric analysis.
In general, female politicians are more educated than males: on
average female members of Municipal Councils have 13.2 years of
education compared to an average number of 11.8 years for males. 4. Gender quotas and female political representation: an
Similarly, with regards to members of executive committees, females econometric analysis
have 14.1 years of education as opposed to the 12.5 years of males.
Finally, female mayors have, on average, 14.8 years of education, In order to analyze the effects of gender quotas on women's
while males have 13.8 years of education. These differences are all involvement in politics, we exploit Law no. 81, introduced in Italy in
statistically signicant at the 1% level. The fact that female politicians 1993 and abolished in 1995, which stated that a given percentage of
in our sample are, on average, more educated than the men is places on party lists of candidates for election to Municipal Councils
consistent with the existence of a bias in favor of male candidates. should be reserved for women.
For the period during which gender quotas were in force, We run municipal-level regressions and use a difference-in-
approximately 19931995, it is possible to observe a considerable differences estimator to compare the changes in women's participa-
increase in women's representation: the share of female seats on tion rates in politics before 1993 and after 1995, considering as a
Municipal Councils increased from 7.6% to 18.3% in the municipalities treatment group those municipalities in which a local election took
place in the period in which the gender quota reform was in force
(Gender quota municipalities), whereas we insert in the control
5
Since legal gender quotas were repealed, some political parties have adopted, on a group those municipalities that did not vote during that period (Non-
voluntary basis, rules setting out a certain percentage of women to be presented as gender quota municipalities). Our key identication assumption is
candidates.
6 that, without the policy intervention, the differences in female
With the exception of the years between 1993 and 1999, when the electoral
mandate had a duration of 4 years. political involvement between treatment and control groups would
7
In greater detail, early termination of the legislature may occur for one of the have remained constant over time.
following reasons: the resignation of the mayor, the resignation of the majority of the In order to take into account the fact that Non-gender quota
council or a vote of no-condence in the council, the death of the mayor, ex-post municipalities might differ from those included in the treatment
incompatibilities or the mayor being charged with a crime. In these cases it is not
possible to form a new governing coalition and anticipated elections are called.
group, we control for a number of municipal characteristics and for
8
The individual-level data were provided by the Statistical Ofce of the Italian provincial dummies. In addition, we also experiment by including
Ministry of Internal Affairs, http://amministratori.interno.it/AmmIndex6.htm. municipal xed effects.
348 M. De Paola et al. / Journal of Public Economics 94 (2010) 344353

We estimate several specications of the following model: The estimated effect of the gender quotas might mainly be due to
the impact that the reform had in the years in which it was
Fit = 1 Quota Municipality + 2 Post Quota implemented. This direct effect has also been detected in a number
+ 3 PostQuota QuotaMunicipality + 4 Xit + r + it of studies showing that statutory gender quotas have produced a rise
in women's participation in politics in many of the countries that have
where Fit is a variable measuring the percentage of women on introduced them (see Norris, 2006).
Municipal Council i (or on Executive Committee) in election year t; A, perhaps, more interesting and less investigated question is
Quota Municipality is a dummy variable for municipalities affected by whether the greater political involvement of females can be expected
gender quotas; Post Quota is a dummy which takes a value of 1 for to continue without gender quotas becoming a permanent institu-
elections taking place after the reform was introduced (from March tional factor. Since the gender quota reform was abolished in 1995, we
1993 to December 2007); Post Quota Quota Municipality is the can analyze this issue by focusing on subsequent elections and
interaction term, whose coefcient 3 measures the treatment effect excluding elections taking place in the period 19931995 from our
of our interest, i.e. the difference in the temporal variations of female sample. As it is possible to see in column (2) of Table 2, considering
political representation between the municipalities voting and not the percentage of females in the Municipal Council as a dependent
voting under the gender quota system; Xit is a vector of municipal variable, the interaction term still has a positive and highly signicant
characteristics, such as the population size, average years of education coefcient, implying that, even after the reform was abolished, those
and the fraction of the employed population, r is a vector of municipalities affected by the reform continued to have a higher
provincial or municipal dummies, and it is an error term. female political representation. The proportion of women in politics
Results of our OLS estimates are reported in Table 2. In all increased by 7 percentage points after 1995, but it increased by 1.4
specications, standard errors are clustered at the municipal level and points more in municipalities directly affected by the reform
are robust to heteroskedacity. (statistically signicant at the 1% level). This effect is only slightly
In column (1), the dependent variable is represented by the smaller than that estimated in column (1).
percentage of women elected to the Municipal Council and the sample In column (3), we analyze the effect of gender quotas on the
used also includes elections taking place in the period 19931995 fraction of female members on Executive Committees. Again, even
when the reform was in force. when excluding elections taking place in the period 19931995 from
From our estimates, it emerges that there were no relevant our sample, gender quota municipalities show a signicantly higher
differences in female representation between municipalities belonging increase in female political representation.
to the treatment and the control groups before 1993: the dummy In column (4), we consider the probability of observing a female
variable Quota Municipality is not statistically signicant. This is mayor as a dependent variable. In this case too, we observe a positive and
consistent with the assumption that the inclusion in one or the other long lasting effect of gender quotas on female involvement in politics.
of the two groups was due exclusively to casual factors that led Our estimation results show that the gender quota reform has increased
municipalities to vote or not during the reform period. Results show, in the probability of electing a female mayor by 3.1 percentage points.
addition, an increase in female political involvement of about 8.1 The magnitude of the estimated effects of gender quotas is not
percentage points in municipalities not affected by gender quotas after high, but appears considerable if one takes into account the initially
1993. On the other hand, the coefcient on the interaction term is very low level of female political involvement. Nonetheless, the
positive and highly statistically signicant (p-value= 0.000) implying gender imbalance in political representation remains marked.
that the fraction of women elected as members of Municipal Councils in In all the specications in Table 2, we control for municipal
municipalities directly affected by the reform increased by 2 percentage population size and its square, education and employment levels.
points more than in those municipalities not affected by the reform. From columns (2), (3) and (4), it emerges that population size increases

Table 2
Difference-in-differences estimates of the inuence of the gender quota on women's participation in politics.

Percentage of females

Municipal Council Municipal Council Executive Committee Mayor Municipal Council Executive Committee Mayor

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)

Post Quota 0.081*** 0.070*** 0.061*** 0.022* 0.063*** 0.056*** 0.019*


(0.005) (0.005) (0.007) (0.012) (0.004) (0.006) (0.012)
Quota Municipality 0.003 0.004 0.007 0.030***
(0.003) (0.003) (0.004) (0.009)
(Quota Municipality) 0.020*** 0.014*** 0.014** 0.031** 0.015*** 0.017*** 0.031***
(Post Quota) (0.005) (0.005) (0.007) (0.012) (0.004) (0.006) (0.011)
Population 0.000*** 0.000*** -0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.003
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.001) (0.001) (0.002)
Population squared 0.000*** 0.000*** 0.000** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Employment/population 0.008 0.015** 0.002 0.011 0.043*** 0.038* 0.021
(0.006) (0.007) (0.009) (0.015) (0.014) (0.020) (0.032)
Education 0.001 0.005*** 0.006*** 0.003 0.010*** 0.008*** 0.004
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.002) (0.001) (0.002) (0.002)
Provincial Fixed Effects Yes Yes Yes Yes No No No
Municipal Fixed Effects No No No No Yes Yes Yes
Sample 19931995 19931995 19931995 19931995 19931995 19931995 19931995
included excluded excluded excluded excluded excluded excluded
Observations 39,358 31,988 31,985 31,961 31,988 31,985 31,961
R-squared 0.221 0.217 0.106 0.024 0.229 0.106 0.018
Number of municipalities 8080 8080 8080

Notes: Standard errors, corrected for heteroskedasticity and adjusted for potential clustering at the municipal level, are reported in parentheses. The symbols ***, **, * indicate that
coefcients are statistically signicant, respectively, at the 1, 5, and 10% level.
M. De Paola et al. / Journal of Public Economics 94 (2010) 344353 349

Table 3
Difference-in-differences estimates among neighboring municipalities.

Percentage of females

Municipal Council Executive Committee Mayor Municipal Council Executive Committee Mayor

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

Post Quota 0.073*** 0.062*** 0.014 0.068*** 0.060*** 0.017


(0.005) (0.007) (0.013) (0.005) (0.007) (0.013)
Quota Municipality 0.003 0.007 0.034***
(0.003) (0.005) (0.009)
(Quota Municipality) (Post Quota) 0.009* 0.013* 0.029** 0.012** 0.017** 0.029**
(0.005) (0.007) (0.013) (0.005) (0.007) (0.012)
Provincial Fixed Effects Yes Yes Yes No No No
Municipal Fixed Effects No No No Yes Yes Yes
Sample 19931995 excluded 19931995 excluded 19931995 excluded 19931995 excluded 19931995 excluded 19931995 excluded
Observations 8635 8634 8629 8635 8634 8629
R-squared 0.241 0.138 0.044 0.215 0.105 0.018
Number of municipalities 2103 2103 2103

Notes: In all regressions we include controls for municipal population, population squared, education and employment. Standard errors, corrected for heteroskedasticity and
adjusted for potential clustering at the municipal level, are reported in parentheses. The symbols ***, **, * indicate that coefcients are statistically signicant, respectively, at the 1, 5,
and 10% level.

women's representation in politics (starting from municipalities with a municipalities. In addition, we estimate our model with some
population larger than 1053); municipalities with a higher level of interaction terms in order to verify that our ndings are not driven by
education tend to elect more female politicians; the employment rate different temporal trends among Southern and Northern municipalities.
does not seem to play a particularly relevant role in dening women's Thirdly, we exclude from our sample all the members of Municipal
representation in politics. Coefcients on provincial dummies (not Councils elected during the gender quota period to neutralize possible
reported) show that women's representation in politics is particularly advantages due to incumbency. Finally, we conduct an analysis
low in Southern Italian Provinces. providing suggestive evidence on the effect of gender quotas on voter
In columns (5), (6) and (7), we present results from an alternative bias against women.
estimation strategy, which controls for municipal xed effects.
Analogously to previous results, we nd that the coefcient on the
interaction term we are interested in is positive and statistically 5.1. Treatment and control groups among neighboring municipalities
signicant in all specications and that the effect is very close to that
estimated in the previous specications. The proportion of women In this section, instead of considering all the municipalities affected
elected to Municipal Councils and Executive Committees have increased, by the reform to be in the treatment group, we restrict our attention to
respectively, by 1.5 and 1.7 percentage points, while the probability of those municipalities that neighbor on at least one of the municipalities
electing a female mayor has increased by 3.1 percentage points. included in the control group. In this way, we select 1714 treated
Even though we have no reason to think of selection problems municipalities (to add to the 389 municipalities in the control group),
driving our results, xed effect estimates ensure that the effect of gender ending up with a nal sample including 2103 local governments.9 We
quotas on female representation is not due to unobservable municipal carry out the main specications of our model on this sample. In Table 3,
characteristics which, for some reason, is related both to inclusion in the we present results regarding the proportion of the Municipal Councils
treatment group and to greater female involvement in political activity. (columns (1) and (4)), the Executive Committees (columns (2) and (5))
Moreover, our results showing that female involvement in politics has and Mayors (columns (3) and (6)) that are female. Our main results
remained at relatively higher levels since the gender quotas were remain substantially unchanged, both when we control for provincial
repealed suggest that reservation policies help to overcome stereotypes and for municipal xed effects. The impact of the gender quotas is
against women which hinder their involvement in the political sphere. signicant and the size of the effect is slightly smaller compared to that
In order to deal with the fact that our dependent variables are which was estimated when considering the full sample of treated
proportions (with regards the percentage of females in municipal municipalities.10 Therefore, our results were not driven by comparing
councils and executive committees), we have used a beta regression groups of municipalities that are too heterogeneous.
model (see Ferrari and Cribari-Neto, 2004). Parameter estimations, Furthermore, since it is well known that the South of Italy has a
performed by maximum likelihood, are consistent with those emerging lower level of economic and social development than the North (see,
from OLS and the interaction term of interest is positive and statistically for example, Guiso et al., 2004), which may cause a different temporal
signicant. Furthermore, we have experimented by formulating the trend in female representation in politics, we undertake an additional
dependent variable as a log-odds ratio ln[Fit / (1 Fit)]. In this case too, robustness check in order to show that our results are not driven by
results are consistent with OLS estimates (results are not reported and different trends in female political involvement between geographical
are available upon request). In the same vein, we have estimated a Probit regions. We interact our three variables of interest (Post Quota, Quota
model and a Fixed Effects Logit model to take into account the fact that Municipality, (Quota Municipality) (Post Quota)) with a dummy
the dependent variable in regressions (4) and (7) is binary. Results variable South which takes a value of 1 for municipalities located in
emerging from these estimates are similar to OLS estimates. Southern regions and zero otherwise.

5. Robustness checks

9
In this section, we undertake a set of robustness checks of our Data on neighboring municipalities are from Wikipedia: http://it.wikipedia.org/
ndings. First of all, in order to control for other factors that might wiki/Progetto:Amministrazioni/Comuni_italiani/Comuni_limitro.
10
We have also experimented with keeping in the treatment group just those
confound the impact of the gender quota reform, we focus on more municipalities that are located in the same Local Labor System (Sistema Locale del
homogeneous treatment and control groups by comparing the Lavoro) as one of those municipalities included in the control group. Our results (not
municipalities included in the control group with just their neighboring reported) remain substantially unchanged.
350 M. De Paola et al. / Journal of Public Economics 94 (2010) 344353

Table 4
Difference-in-differences estimates among neighboring municipalities with interaction NorthSouth.

Percentage of females in

Municipal Council Executive Committee Mayor Municipal Council Executive Committee Mayor

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

Post Quota 0.084*** 0.074*** 0.019 0.078*** 0.072*** 0.025


(0.007) (0.010) (0.020) (0.007) (0.010) (0.020)
(Post Quota) South 0.021** 0.022* 0.009 0.019** 0.023* 0.015
(0.008) (0.012) (0.022) (0.008) (0.012) (0.023)
Quota Municipality 0.000 0.004 0.047***
(0.005) (0.006) (0.015)
(Quota Municipality) South 0.003 0.002 0.030*
(0.006) (0.008) (0.017)
(Quota Municipality) (Post Quota) 0.012* 0.018* 0.042** 0.014** 0.019* 0.037*
(0.008) (0.011) (0.021) (0.007) (0.011) (0.021)
(Quota Municipality) 0.009 0.015 0.029 0.008 0.010 0.020
(Post Quota) South (0.010) (0.013) (0.024) (0.010) (0.014) (0.025)
Provincial Fixed Effects Yes Yes Yes No No No
Municipal Fixed Effects No No No Yes Yes Yes
Sample 19931995 excluded 19931995 excluded 19931995 excluded 19931995 excluded 19931995 excluded 19931995 excluded
Observations 8635 8634 8629 8635 8634 8629
R-squared 0.245 0.142 0.045 0.220 0.109 0.020
Number of municipalities 2103 2103 2103

Notes: In all regression we include controls for municipal population, population squared, education and employment. Standard errors, corrected for heteroskedasticity and adjusted
for potential clustering at the municipal level, are reported in parentheses. The symbols ***, **, * indicate that coefcients are statistically signicant, respectively, at the 1, 5, and 10%
level.

In Table 4, we replicate the main specications presented in regime and that this has helped them continue their political careers
Table 3. It emerges that in the period since gender quotas were thanks to an incumbency advantage.
abolished (after 1995), female representation on Municipal Councils In this sub-section, in order to examine this issue, we exclude all
and Executive Committees has increased less in the South (6.3% as the members (both males and females) of Municipal Councils and
opposed to 8.4% in the Center-North, see column (1)).11 More Executive Committees elected during the gender quota period from
importantly, Center-Northern municipalities directly affected by the our sample. Therefore, the women elected under the quota regime
gender quota reform have signicantly increased female representa- who were re-elected after the reform was abolished are not included
tion in politics with respect to the control group. In this respect, in our analysis. By focusing on new entrants, we aim to analyze
Southern gender quota municipalities are not statistically and whether gender quotas have helped to modify negative stereotypes
signicantly different from those located in the North. In fact, the against women while neutralizing the effects of incumbency.
coefcient on the interaction (Quota Municipality) (Post Quota) As it is possible to see from columns (1) to (2) in Table 5 regarding,
South does not appear statistically signicant, implying that the respectively, the fraction of women on Municipal Councils and on
reform has led to increased female participation in politics both in Executive Committees, the interaction term (Quota Municipality)
Northern and Southern municipalities. These results hold true both (Post Quota) has a positive and highly signicant coefcient even
when we control for provincial (columns (1), (2) and (3)) and for after we exclude the 19931995 incumbents from our sample. This
municipal xed effects (columns (4), (5) and (6)). implies that, in those municipalities that were directly affected by
Results shown in Tables 3 and 4 are robust to the use of alternative gender quotas, a larger proportion of successful rst experience
estimation strategies taking into account the fact that the dependent candidates have been women since the repeal of the reservation
variables are proportions (columns (1), (2), (4) and (5)) or are binary system.
(columns (3) and (6)). Beta regression and Probit estimates conrm As shown in columns (3) and (4) of Table 5, the same results hold
that the gender quota system has increased female participation in true when we control for municipal xed effects.12
politics. The effect on the election of female candidates as a consequence of
the adoption of the gender quota system turns out to be larger (almost
double) that emerging from estimates considering the full sample.
5.2. Do gender quotas help to eliminate negative stereotypes or give This larger effect is probably due to the fact that we are now
elected women incumbency advantages? comparing male and female entrants. Given that incumbents are
mainly males and that incumbency typically gives a great advantage
According to our ndings, the benecial effects of gender quotas in elections, when we consider the effect of the gender quota regime
on women's representation in politics have continued over time, even on the full sample of local administrators, the increase in female
without reservations becoming a xture of the institutional system. participation appears to be smaller because females have to compete
A possible explanation for this is that afrmative action policies with strong male counterparts. On the other hand, when male and
play a positive role in changing voter cultural attitudes and political female incumbents are dropped from our sample, females are
parties' strategies which hinder women's participation in politics. compared with male entrants who are more similar to them in
However, in principle, the observed greater participation of terms of voter support.
women in politics could be due to the presence in the political Even though gender quotas seem to have produced relevant
arena of those women who were elected under the gender quota changes in women's representation in politics, these effects may tend
to disappear over time. To analyze this aspect, in columns (5) and (6)
11
Northern municipalities show an initially higher female participation than Center of Table 5, we have estimated two specications of our model in
and Southern municipalities (from provincial dummies). The coefcients on Quota
Municipality and Quota Municipality * South are not statistically signicant, showing
12
that there were no relevant differences between the treated and the control group Similarly, if we use the sample of neighboring municipalities and exclude
both in the North and in the South. incumbents, we obtain similar results.
M. De Paola et al. / Journal of Public Economics 94 (2010) 344353 351

Table 5
Difference-in-differences estimates of the inuence of gender quota on negative stereotypes against women. Incumbents elected between 1993 and 1995 are excluded.

Percentage of females

Municipal Council Executive Committee Municipal Council Executive Committee Municipal Council Executive Committee

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

Post Quota 0.071*** 0.063*** 0.063*** 0.054***


(0.005) (0.007) (0.005) (0.007)
Quota Municipality 0.001 0.005 0.012*** 0.015***
(0.003) (0.004) (0.004) (0.005)
(Quota Municipality) (Post Quota) 0.031*** 0.039*** 0.033*** 0.043***
(0.005) (0.007) (0.004) (0.007)
Years 19962000 0.055*** 0.040***
(0.006) (0.008)
Years 20012007 0.061*** 0.058***
(0.006) (0.008)
(Years 19962000) 0.028*** 0.026***
(Quota Municipality) (0.006) (0.008)
(Years 20012007) 0.023*** 0.022***
(Quota Municipality) (0.006) (0.008)
Provincial Fixed Effects Yes Yes No No Yes Yes
Municipal Fixed Effects No No Yes Yes No No
Sample 19931995 excluded 19931995 excluded 19931995 excluded 19931995 excluded 19931995 excluded 19931995 excluded
Observations 31,485 29,808 31,485 29,808 31,990 31,987
R-squared 0.234 0.095 0.234 0.092 0.234 0.120
Number of municipalities 8080 8075

Notes: In all regressions we include controls for municipal population, population squared, education and employment. Standard errors, corrected for heteroskedasticity and
adjusted for potential clustering at the municipal level, are reported in brackets. The symbols ***, **, * indicate that coefcients are statistically signicant, respectively, at the 1, 5, and
10% level.

which we include two dummy variables, one for the period 1996 To make the interpretation of results easier, we restrict our
2000, immediately after the reform was abolished, and one for the analysis to just those elections in which two candidates compete.
period 20012007, and we interact these two dummies with Quota Following Frechette et al. (2008), we have built a variable, Male
Municipality.13 Results show that in both periods municipalities Advantage, which takes a value of +1 if a male has a female opponent,
affected by gender quotas achieved a larger female political zero if the two candidates are of the same gender, and 1 if a female
representation (23 percentage points more). Even though the has a male opponent.
coefcient on the interaction with the period 19962000 is slightly We have regressed, in turn, the probability of being elected as a
higher than the 20012007 coefcient, we are not able to reject the mayor and the percentage of votes obtained by each candidate on
null hypothesis of equality of the two coefcients (p-value = 0.39 and Male Advantage, controlling for age and education differences between
p-value = 0.70 for coefcients, respectively, in columns (5) and (6)).14 opponents, for whether a candidate is an incumbent, for municipal
characteristics and provincial dummies.
Estimations are reported in Table 6. We nd a marked and
5.3. Some evidence on the existence of a voter bias against women statistically signicant Male Advantage. Ceteris paribus, the probabil-
ity of being elected as mayor is 7.6 percentage points higher if a
It would be interesting to understand whether gender quotas have candidate is a male and his opponent is a female (column (1)), while
increased women's involvement in the Italian political arena by the percentage of votes is 2.1 points higher (column (2)). It is worth
changing female reluctance with regards to taking part in political noting that this effect is not due to differences between male and
activity (e.g. by modifying what is perceived as being an appropriate female candidates in observable characteristics, such as incumbency,
role for women), by weakening the opposition of male-dominated education or age, which we control for.15
parties to female candidacies or by reducing voters' anti-female bias. In columns (3) and (4) we analyze whether the magnitude of Male
To investigate these aspects, it would be necessary to have data on Advantage is different between municipalities affected and those not
candidatures, which would allow us, for example, to analyze the effect affected by gender quotas. With this aim, we have interacted the
of the gender quota on the proportion of female candidates who were dummy Quota Municipality with Male Advantage. Results show that
elected. Unfortunately, there are no data in Italy providing informa- the Male Advantage is much lower in gender quota municipalities,
tion on candidates who stand for seats on Municipal Councils. nearly 10 percentage points less with regards the probability of
From the Italian Ministry of Internal Affairs, it has only been becoming mayor and about 5 percentage points less in terms of votes
possible to gather data on candidates for mayor, and only for the received.
period 19932006. These data have been used to verify how in- This is an interesting result, but only suggestive, since, unfortunately,
dividual characteristics of candidates affect their probability of being we have no information on candidatures in elections before the
elected as mayor. In particular, we examine the existence of a voter introduction of gender quotas. As a consequence, we are not able to
bias against women, i.e. whether a male advantage exists in mayor compare treatment and control groups before and after treatment and
elections and how it has been affected by gender quotas. so we cannot be sure that gender quotas have reduced voters' bias
against women (for example, the result could be driven by predeter-
mined unobservable features).
13
In this analysis, we cannot use year dummies since, in many years, only a small
number of municipalities voted.
14
As a further robustness check, we have estimated a number of placebo regressions
15
using data for periods prior to the reform. The coefcient on the interaction term is As expected, being incumbent or having higher levels of education greatly increase
never statistically signicant. the probability of being elected and the percentage of votes obtained.
352 M. De Paola et al. / Journal of Public Economics 94 (2010) 344353

Table 6 In addition, since the adoption of statutory gender quotas in Italy


The existence of a Male Advantage in Mayoral elections. OLS regressions. was only temporary, we are able to analyze whether their effects
(1) (2) (3) (4) persist over time. The results of our estimates show that even after
gender quotas were abolished, the municipalities affected by the
Mayor Percentage of Mayor Percentage of
votes votes reform continued to return a signicantly higher female political
representation than municipalities in the control group.
Male Advantage 0.076*** 0.021*** 0.179*** 0.069***
(0.014) (0.004) (0.061) (0.019) These ndings are robust to different denitions of the treatment
Male Advantage 0.108* 0.051*** group, including just neighboring municipalities, and are not driven
(Quota Municipality) (0.063) (0.019) by different temporal trends in women's involvement between
Quota Municipality 0.011 0.002 0.012 0.002 Southern and Northern Italian municipalities.
(0.008) (0.002) (0.008) (0.002)
Incumbent 0.298*** 0.104*** 0.298*** 0.104***
The claim that gender quotas help in eliminating negative
(0.007) (0.002) (0.007) (0.002) stereotypes is also supported by the fact that, since the repeal of the
Education (years) 0.005*** 0.002*** 0.004*** 0.002*** reservation system, gender quota municipalities have continued to
(0.001) (0.000) (0.001) (0.000) elect a larger proportion of women from among entrant candidates. In
Age 0.002*** 0.000*** 0.002*** 0.000***
fact, the observed greater participation of women in politics does not
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Opponent's education 0.007*** 0.002*** 0.007*** 0.002*** seem to be related to the presence in the political arena of those
(0.001) (0.000) (0.001) (0.000) women who were elected under the gender quotas, but to a higher
Opponent's age 0.000* 0.000 0.000* 0.000 propensity of parties to present female candidates and to a higher
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) propensity of voters to support them.
Opponent's incumbency 0.268*** 0.094*** 0.268*** 0.094***
(0.007) (0.002) (0.007) (0.002)
Our ndings are in line with those which emerge from Beaman et al.
Constant 0.522*** 0.475*** 0.524*** 0.475*** (2008) and Bhavnani (2009) showing that exposure to female leaders
(0.040) (0.012) (0.040) (0.012) weakens negative stereotypes regarding women.
Observations 15,419 15,419 15,419 15,419 Unfortunately, from the data at hand, we are not able to identify what
R-squared 0.196 0.246 0.196 0.247
type of discrimination has been overcome as a result of gender quotas.
Notes: In all regressions we include controls for municipal population, population It may be that gender quotas have increased female representation
squared, education, employment and provincial dummies. Standard errors, corrected in that they have contributed to reducing voters' bias against women,
for heteroskedasticity and adjusted for potential clustering at municipal level, are
reported in brackets. The symbols ***, **, * indicate that coefcients are statistically
that they have helped overcome traditional ideas of gender roles and
signicant, respectively, at the 1, 5, and 10% level. encouraged women to stand as candidates or that political parties,
having seen female success with voters, have become more inclined to
include them in their lists.
6. Concluding remarks As an attempt to understand this aspect better, we have used data
regarding candidatures for mayor in the period 19932006. From our
The number of women actively involved in politics is quite small in analysis, it emerges that mayoral elections show a voter bias against
most countries and is growing slowly over time. In Italy, female women, but that this bias was lower in gender quota municipalities.
representation in national and local political institutions has always However, these results, due to a lack of suitable pre and post
been well below the level reached by most other European countries. treatment data, are only suggestive and we are not able to disentangle
In recent years, a large number of countries have introduced gender a causal relationship. A better understanding of the role played by
quotas into electoral rules with the aim of overcoming barriers such different types of stereotypes in hampering female participation in
as the existence of male-dominated political parties which oppose the politics and how they may be changed through afrmative action is
presence of female candidates in their lists or the existence of an anti- crucial for appropriate policy interventions and is a task for future
female bias among voters which hinder the entrance of women into research.
the political arena. It is also worth noting that our results pertain to the success of
However, little is known about the effective impact that these women in municipal-level elections and may not hold true for national
policies have on women's participation and success in politics and, in elections. On the other hand, it is a fact that the career of many poli-
particular, on whether gender quotas help in eliminating anti-female ticians starts at the local level.
bias among political parties and voters. The main difculty in the
empirical analysis lies in disentangling the effects of the intervention Acknowledgement
from other confounding factors which relate to temporal trends.
Moreover, if gender quotas are permanently adopted by a country, it We would like to thank two anonymous referees, Giorgio Brunello,
will be hard to understand whether changes are directly due to the Andrea Ichino, Laura Pagani, Alessandro Petretto, Michela Ponzo,
enforcement of the electoral rules or to a change in social and cultural Valeria Pupo, Luca Stanca, Carmine Trecroci and seminar participants
attitudes. at the University of Brescia, the Universit Cattolica (Milan), the 2009
In this paper, we have been able to overcome these thorny SIE Conference, the EALE Conference and the Brucchi Luchino
empirical problems and to identify gender quota effects thanks to a Conference for useful comments and suggestions. The usual dis-
natural experiment which occurred in the form of the introduction, in claimers apply.
Italy in 1993, of a law establishing statutory gender quotas for
elections to Municipal Councils which required a minimum number of
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