expected number of requests. Manufacturers will produce the goods according to data forecasting demand. However, demand forecasting likely not appropriate due to consumer demand for a product is always changing. The uncertainty of consumer demand is also difficult for manufacturers to determine the amount of production. As a result of the demand that is always changing cause demand distortion of any supply chain. These distortions cause an effect for any supply chain is called the bullwhip effect.
The research began with determining which products will
be calculated the value of the bullwhip effect using abc analysis. ABC analysis obtained from 7 products in the category A, 11 products in category B, and 38 products in the category C. The products used to calculate the value of the bullwhip effect that product categories A and B, which amounted to a total of 18 products. The calculation of the value of the bullwhip effect done in 2 ways ie measurements for each product in each echelon and measurements for every echelon. After calculating the bullwhip effect, determined the cause of the bullwhip effect by spreading to the four respondents in PT Panay Farmalab.
Based on the data processing that has been done, the
result calculation of the bullwhip effect. The results obtained in the calculation of the bullwhip effect on the measurement of each product on the PT Panay Farmalab are 4 products experienced a bullwhip that Alcohol 70% (100 ml), Salaf Ichtiol, Alcohol 70% (200 ml), and the OBH. The results obtained in the calculation of the bullwhip effect by measuring the PT Panay Farmalab echelon is not experiencing the bullwhip effect. Based on the results of the questionnaire processing using fuzzy AHP didapatkan 3 categories with the highest weight value to be used in the reduction of the bullwhip effect on PT Nusantara Beta Farma ie information provided should be accurate, the stability of the product cycle, and product prices are likely to stabilize.