Chart Title

600

500

400

300

200

100

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

DEMANDA Ft
 Chart Title
600

500

400

300

200

100

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

DEMANDA Ft FDt
 0.25 0.15

PERIODO DEMANDA Ft MAD FDt

1 150 120.0 80
2 180 127.5 52.5 87.13
3 80 140.6 60.6 95.15
4 210 125.5 84.5 99.70
5 130 146.6 16.6 106.73
6 250 142.5 107.5 112.09
7 160 169.3 9.3 120.68
8 250 167.0 83.0 127.63
9 350 187.8 162.2 136.65
10 220 228.3 8.3 150.40
11 430 226.2 203.8 161.77
12 300 277.2 22.8 179.08
13 510 282.9 227.1 194.65
14 440 339.7 100.3 216.40
15 364.7 87.6 238.66
 TALLER

MAD

92.88
15.15
110.30
23.27
137.91
39.32
122.37
213.35
69.60
268.23
120.92
315.35
223.60
134.79
 PUNTO 3. REGRESIN

PERIODO DEMANDA XY X^2 RL

1 150 150 1
2 180 360 4
3 80 240 9
4 210 840 16
5 130 650 25
6 250 1500 36
7 160 1120 49
8 250 2000 64
9 350 3150 81
10 220 2200 100
11 430 4730 121
12 300 3600 144
13 510 6630 169
14 440 6160 196
15 455.27
16 481.12
17 506.97
105 3660 33330 1015
PROMEDIO 7.5 261.43

B 25.85
A 67.58
MES DEMANDA PM(2) BIAS MAD
1 100
2 120
3 90 110 20 20
4 110 105 -5 5
5 130 100 -30 30
6 100 120 20 20
7 115 115 0 0
8 95 107.5 12.5 12.5
9 125 105 -20 20
10 110 110 0 0
11 105 117.5 12.5 12.5
12 100 107.5 7.5 7.5
13 125 102.5 -22.5 22.5
14 115 112.5 -2.5 2.5
15 110 120 -0.625 12.71
PM(3) BIAS MAD

105 5 5
108.3 -6.7 6.7
111.7 16.7 16.7
114.2 -10.8 10.8
109.2 -0.8 0.8
107.5 2.5 2.5
110.8 10.8 10.8
111.7 -13.3 13.3
109.2 -5.8 5.8
107.5 -0.3 8.1