Introduction to Statistical Modeling I (STAT 2507G/BIT2000, Winter 2017)

Instructor: Zahra Montazeri(HP 4220, Phone: 520-2600, ext. 4225, Email: zahra@math.carleton.ca)
Office Hours: 10:00- 11:00am and 7:30-8:30pm on Thursday or by appointment
Lectures: 8:35am -9:55am (Tuesday and Thursday) in Azrieli Theatre 102.

Textbook: Introduction to Probability & Statistics (3rd Canadian Edition by Mendenhall, Beaver, Beaver
and Ahmed). Student Solutions Manual for use with the textbook is also recommended for self-studying.
Prerequisite and Preclusion: Ontario Grade 12 university preparation Mathematics or equivalent is
prerequisite for this course. No additional credits can be expected from taking BIT 2000, BIT 2100, ECON
2200, ECON 2201, GEOG 2006, STAT 2606, or STAT 3502.
Statistical Software: Minitab will be used in the Lab
Lab Hours: One-hour computer lab per week. Switching labs will not be allowed.
Labs will start on Jan. 23, 2017. Lab schedules are as follows:
STAT2507 G1: 9:35am - 10:25am (Fri) in HP 4385
STAT2507 G2: 10:35am - 11:25am (Mon) in HP 4385
STAT2507 G4: 2:35pm - 3:25pm (Fri) in HP 4385
STAT2507 G6: 12:35pm - 13:25pm (Fri) in HP 4385
STAT2507 G7: 11:35am - 12:25pm (Tue) in HP 4385
STAT2507 G8: 2:35pm - 3:25pm (Wed) in HP 4385
BIT2000 C1: 10:35am - 11:25am (Tue) in HP 4385
BIT2000 C2: 11:35am - 12:25pm (Tue) in HP 4385
BIT2000 C3: 10:35am - 11:25pm (Thu) in HP 4385
Assignments: There will be 4 assignments with specific due dates. All of them will be counted towards
the term mark. Late assignments will not be accepted.
Test & Exam: There will be a 90-minute closed-book midterm exam will be held on Feb. 14, 2017 (in
class). The Final exam is also a closed-book exam and will be given for 3 hours and will be scheduled during
the official exam period (April.10-25) at the end of the term. It will be based upon all of the material covered
during the course.
Calculators: Only non-programmable calculators are allowed for exams.
Grades: The final grade will be based on Assignments (20%), Midterm Exam (25%), and Final Exam
(55%). Students wishing to see their examination papers must make an appointment within three weeks
of the examination. Your grade will not be changed according to your special needs (such as scholarship etc).

TENTATIVE COURSE OUTLINE:

Week 1: Chapter 1 (and 0): What is Statistics? Population and sample. Examples of statistical problems.
Describing data sets by graphs, histograms, stem-and-leaf plots.
Week 2: Chapters 2 and 3: Mean, median, mode. Standard deviation, variance. Tchebyshes theorem
and empirical rule. Percentiles, quartiles, z-scores. Box plots. Bivariate data.
Week 3: Chapter 4: Events, sample space, combination of events, probability of an event. Addition rule,
multiplicative rule. Conditional probability and independence.
Week 4: Chapter 4 : Bayes rule. Probability distribution of a discrete random variable. Expectation and
variance of a discrete random variable.
Week 5: Chapter 5: Binomial, Poisson, and Hypergeometric distributions.
Week 6: Chapter 6: Continuous distributions, normal distribution. Normal approximation to the binomial
distribution.
Week 7: Chapter 7: Random sampling. Sampling distributions. Central Limit Theorem. Sample mean
and sample proportion. Sum and dierence of independent random variables.
Week 8: Chapter 8 : Estimation. Large sample. Population mean. Large-sample confidence intervals for
the population mean. Large-sample confidence intervals for the binomial proportion.
Week 9: Chapter 8: Dierence between means. Large-sample confidence intervals for dierence between
means. Large-sample confidence intervals for dierence between two binomial proportions. Choosing sample
size.
Week 10: Chapter 9: Test of hypothesis; Type-I and Type-II errors. Large-sample tests. P-values.
Week 11: Chapters 9 and 10: Large-sample tests for dierence between two means; dierence between two
proportions. The t-distribution and small-sample confidence intervals. Small-sample inference for dierence
between two means.
Important Notes:
If you miss the midterm test you will receive a zero unless you provide your instructor with a proper
documented reason (e.g., medical), in which case the weight of the midterm test will be shifted to the
final exam. The same rule applies to each assignment.
Selected exercises, mainly from the text, will be assigned for your practice. These exercises are not to
be handed in and will not be graded. However, to succeed in the course it is absolutely essential that
you do the exercises on a regular basis.

Students who miss the final exam may be eligible for a deferred exam. Application for a deferral exam
must be made, with appropriate documentation, to the Registrars Office.
Academic Accommodations: You may need special arrangements to meet your academic obligations
during the term. For an accommodation request the processes are as follows:

Pregnancy obligation: write to me with any requests for academic accommodation during the first two weeks
of class, or as soon as possible after the need for accommodation is known to exist. For more details visit
the Equity Services website http://www2.carleton.ca/equity/accommodation/

Religious obligation: write to me with any requests for academic accommodation during the first two weeks
of class, or as soon as possible after the need for accommodation is known to exist. For more details visit
the Equity Services website http://www2.carleton.ca/equity/accommodation/

Students with Disabilities: The Paul Menton Centre for Students with Disabilities (PMC) provides ser-
vices to students with Learning Disabilities (LD), psychiatric/mental health disabilities, Attention Deficit
Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD), Autism Spectrum Disorders (ASD), chronic medical conditions, and im-
pairments in mobility, hearing, and vision. If you have a disability requiring academic accommodations in
this course, please contact PMC at 613-520-6608 or pmc@carleton.ca for a formal evaluation. If you are
already registered with the PMC, contact your PMC coordinator to send me your Letter of Accommodation
at the beginning of the term, and no later than two weeks before the first in-class scheduled test or exam
requiring accommodation (if applicable). After requesting accommodation from PMC, meet with me to
ensure accommodation arrangements are made. Please consult the PMC website for the deadline to request
accommodations for the formally-scheduled exam (if applicable).