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ABSTRACT
In this report, we will be discussing about GST and its impacts. Starting with
introducing GST and discussing its features, we will proceed towards its
impacts on the various sectors of the society. GST will be a game changing
reform for the Indian economy by creating a common Indian market and
reducing the cascading effect of tax on the cost of goods and services. It will
impact the tax structure, tax incidence, tax computation, tax payment,
compliance, credit utilization and reporting, leading to a complete overhaul
of the current indirect tax system. GST will have a far-reaching impact on
almost all the aspects of the business operations in the country, for instance,
pricing of products and services, supply chain optimization, IT, accounting,
and tax compliance systems. Despite having these vast impacts, we will be
discussing the most important of the impacts of GST. We will be discussing
the impact of GST on taxes, how it affects the business sector, stock market
and the one thing that we can all relate to, how it affects the daily public.
Then we also state the possible negative impacts it can have. In the end we
will be concluding with the fact that GST is a long term strategy and we cant
really state the true results since it hasnt been implemented yet. Although a
rough estimation has been made regarding the change in the economy that
will be caused, however the actual results can be discussed only after GST
gets implemented.
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Table of Contents
3 5
Difference between current taxation system
and GST
4 8
Taxes Clubbed under GST
5 9
Salient features of GST
6 Who all are exempted from GST? 10
7 Why are startups and SMEs so excited about 10
GST?
Introduction
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The reference of GST was first made in the Indian Budget in 2006-07 by the
then Finance Minister Mr. P. Chidambaram as a single centralized Indirect tax.
The GST Constitution (One Hundred and Twenty Second Amendment) Bill,
2014 was introduced on December 19, 2014 and passed on May 6, 2015 in
the Lok Sabha and yet to be passed in the Rajya Sabha.
The Bill seeks to amend the Constitution to introduce Goods and Services tax
vide proposed new article 246A. This article gives power to legislature of
every state and Parliament to make laws with respect to goods and services
tax where the supplies of goods or of services take place. Recently, Union
Minister Mr. Arun Jaitley said that GST could be implemented as early as
January 1, 2016.
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Imperative functions of GST
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on raw material/inputs (Rs 10). Therefore, the effective GST incidence on the
manufacturer is only Rs 3 (13 10).
Stage 2
The next stage is that of the good passing from the manufacturer to the
wholesaler. The wholesaler purchases it for Rs 130, and adds on value (which
is basically his margin) of, say, Rs 20. The gross value of the good he sells
would then be Rs 130 + 20 or a total of Rs 150.
A 10% tax on this amount will be Rs 15. But again, under GST, he can set off
the tax on his output (Rs 15) against the tax on his purchased good from the
manufacturer (Rs 13). Thus, the effective GST incidence on the wholesaler is
only Rs 2 (15 13).
Stage 3
In the final stage, a retailer buys the shirt from the wholesaler. To his
purchase price of Rs 150, he adds value, or margin, of, say, Rs 10. The gross
value of what he sells, therefore, goes up to Rs 150 + 10, or Rs 160. The tax
on this, at 10%, will be Rs 16. But by setting off this tax (Rs 16) against the
tax on his purchase from the wholesaler (Rs 15), the retailer brings down the
effective GST incidence on himself to Re 1 (16 15).
Thus, the total GST on the entire value chain from the raw material/input
suppliers (who can claim no tax credit since they havent purchased anything
themselves) through the manufacturer, wholesaler and retailer is, Rs 10 + 3
+2 + 1, or Rs 16.
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Thus, if we consider the same example as above, the manufacturer buys raw
materials/inputs at Rs 100 after paying tax of Rs 10. The gross value of the
shirt (good) he manufacturers would be Rs 130, on which he pays a tax of Rs
13. But since there is no set-off against the Rs 10 he has already paid as tax
on raw materials/inputs, the good is sold to the wholesaler at Rs 143 (130 +
13).
With the wholesaler adding value of Rs 20, the gross value of the good sold
by him is, then, Rs 163. On this, the tax of Rs 16.30 (at 10%) takes the sale
value of the good to Rs 179.30. The wholesaler, again, cannot set off the tax
on the sale of his good against the tax paid on his purchase from the
manufacturer.
The retailer, thus, buys the good at Rs 179.30, and sells it at a gross value of
Rs 208.23, which includes his value addition of Rs 10 and a tax of Rs 18.93
(at 10% of Rs 179.30). Again, there is no mechanism for setting off the tax
on the retailers sale against the tax paid on his previous purchase.
The total tax on the chain from the raw material/input suppliers to the final
retailer in this full no-GST regime will, thus, work out to Rs 10 + 13 + 16.30
+ 18.93 = Rs 58.23. For the final consumer, the price of the good would then
be Rs 150 + 58.23 = Rs 208.23.
Currently, we have Value-Added Tax (VAT) systems both at the central and
state levels. But the central VAT or CENVAT mechanism extends tax set-offs
only against central excise duty and service tax paid up to the level of
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production. CENVAT does not extend to value addition by the distributive
trade below the stage of manufacturing; even manufacturers cannot claim
set-off against other central taxes such as additional excise duty and
surcharge.
Likewise, state VATs cover only sales. Sellers can claim credit only against
VAT paid on previous purchases. The VAT also does not subsume a host of
other taxes imposed within the states such as luxury and entertainment tax,
octroi etc.
Once GST comes into effect, all central- and state-level taxes and levies on
all goods and services will be subsumed within an integrated tax having two
components: a central GST and a state GST.
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SALIENT FEATURES OF GST
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The GST shall have two mechanisms: one levied by the Centre
(hereinafter referred to as Central GST), and the other levied by the
States (hereinafter denoted to as State GST). Rates for Central GST and
State GST would be set appropriately, reflecting revenue
considerations and acceptability. This twofold GST model would be
implemented through manifold statutes (one for CGST and SGST
statute for every State).
The Central GST and the State GST would be applicable to all
transactions of goods and services made for a consideration except the
exempted goods and services, goods which are outside the purview of
GST and the dealings which are below the prescribed threshold limits.
The Central GST and State GST are to be paid to the accounts of the
Centre and the States independently. It must be ensured that account-
heads for all services and goods would have indication whether it
relates to Central GST or State GST.
Since the Central GST and State GST are to be treated distinctly, taxes
paid against the Central GST shall be permitted to be taken as input
tax credit (ITC) for the Central GST and could be utilized only against
the payment of Central GST.
Cross utilization of ITC between the Central GST and the State GST
would not be permitted except in the case of inter-State supply of
goods and services under the IGST model.
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In order to make it practical, uniform procedure for collection of both
Central GST and State GST is recommended in the respective
legislation for Central GST and State GST.
The supervision of the Central GST to the Centre and for State GST to
the States would be given. This would infer that the Centre and the
States would have parallel jurisdiction for the entire value chain and for
all taxpayers on the basis of thresholds for goods and services
prescribed for the States and the Centre.
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linked system in line with the predominant PAN-based system for
Income tax, facilitating data exchange and taxpayer compliance.
It will increase tax collections due to the wide coverage of Goods &
Services.
Goods and Service tax will reduce the tax burden on the assessees
since it will avoid the cascading effect.
In GST tax, there is no scope to levy for resale tax, special tax,
additional tax, turnover tax, etc.
The credit of CGST paid on inputs may be used only for paying CGST
on the output.
The credit of SGST paid on inputs may be used only for paying For
Departmental Officers only SGST.
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The GST Council shall however revisit whether the exemption is to be
extended to the following:
But all good things come to an end. With startups benefitting from GST, there
are also downsides of the tax regime.
Startups in the manufacturing sector will bear the brunt. Going by the
existing laws, a manufacturing business that has a turnover less than Rs 1.50
crore is exempted from paying duty. However, with the implementation of
GST, the turnover limit will be pulled down to Rs 25 lakh and making it tough
for many startups.
E-commerce companies will have to file quarterly and monthly returns and
pay tax on sales on their portals once GST comes into force.
Despite the few drawbacks, GST remains to be the friendliest tax reform in
India. With GST, will come transparency, efficiency and more growth.
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The implementation of GST is expected to reduce the cost of logistics. This
includes costs of transportation as Octroi tax will not be levied separately.
The implementation of the GST is expected to simplify the tax structure and
make the supply chain more efficient. This would narrow the cost differentials
between organized and unorganized sector. The organized sector would be in
a better position to compete with the unorganized sector on prices.
Now the question arises, how does GST affect the stock market precisely?
If GST Bill passed, it will be good for stock market, as it will send a positive
message to Foreign investors as it shows countries policy-maker are more
serious about India economic reform., which will lead Foreign investors to
invest in Indian Stock Market.
GST will act as a catalyst for market uptrend but it can get capped on the
sentiments of hike in federal interest rate in coming months.
Here is a sector-wise snapshot on how the GST bill is likely to impact various
sectors and stocks.
AUTOMOBILES
Largely positive for demand, as it will lead to a 10-17 per cent fall in prices,
assuming an 18 per cent GST rate. Margin benefits to accrue for tractors, as
these can claim set-off against taxes paid on input. Organised battery and
other spares would become more cost competitive and gain market share.
Stock impact: Positive for Maruti Suzuki, Hero MotoCorp, Exide, Amara Raja,
Eicher Motor, Mahindra & Mahindra, Bajaj Auto. Negative for Ashok Leyland
FMCG
GST will be positive for household and personal care space, as the effective
tax rate reduces by 200-500 basis points (bps), apart from reducing
warehousing and logistical requirements. However, working capital for
retailers, and additional tax rates for jewellery and cigarette manufacturers
are negatives.
LOGISTICS
Passage of GST will lead to elimination of central sales tax and inter-state
value-added tax arbitrage possibilities. This will lead to consolidation of
warehouses and increased efficiencies in the logistics chain.
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Stock impact: Positive for Container Corporation of India, Adani SEZ,
Gujarat Pipav Port (longer term)
INFRASTRUCTURE
Clarity on works contract taxation is the key benefit for the sector. This could
reduce litigation, as it eliminates the difference between sales and services.
CONSUMER DURABLES
Consumer durables will benefit from improved logistics. Direct benefits up to
200-300 bps in cost savings may accrue. A significant portion of direct
benefits will be passed on to end consumers because of a highly competitive
market.
Stock impact: Neutral. Do not foresee any meaningful change on oil & gas
companies
CEMENT
Overall tax incidence on the sector could decline. The sector will also benefit
from expected decline in logistic costs. Firms can be expected to pass on the
benefits, given that demand and plant utilisation levels are picking up.
WIND POWER
GST will be negative for wind, turbine generator manufactures like Suzlon
and InoxWind, as pressure on developer margins and internal rates of return
could eventually force reduction in prices and realisations, up to 10-13 per
cent. However, if components are included in the exemption list, the impact
of GST will be nullified.
UTILITIES
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Exclusion of sale of electricity from GST could potentially raise the cost of
coal-fired and renewable energy for Discoms. Profitability of independent
power producers selling via medium/long-term PPAs is unlikely to be dented
as cost escalation would likely be passed on.
PHARMACEUTICALS
GST rollout could be negative for the sector, as it is likely to increase indirect
tax. Analysts say indirect taxes paid by pharma companies could increase by
60 per cent and MRP by four per cent.
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Impact of GST on Common Man
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Negative Impact of GST on the Common man or
Disadvantages of GST:
Service tax rate @ 15% is presently charged on the services. So, if GST
is introduced at a higher rate which is likely to be seen in the near
future, the cost of services will rise. In simple words, all the services
like telecom, banking, airline etc. will become more expensive.
Increased cost of services means, an add on to the monthly expenses.
We will have to reschedule our budgets to bear the additional services
cost.
An increase in inflation might be seen initially.
Being a new tax, it will take some time for the people to understand
it completely. Its actual implications can be seen only when the rate of
tax is determined.
It is easier said than done. There are always some
complications attached. It is a consumption based tax, so in case of
services the place where service is provided needs to be determined.
If actual benefit is not passed to the consumer and the seller increases
his profit margin, the prices of goods can also see a rising trend.
A strict check on profiteering activities will have to be done, so that the
final consumer can enjoy the real benefits of GST.
Although, a large number of officers are being trained and a systematic
IT software is being developed for the successful implementation of
GST. But, it will take some time for the people including the
manufacturers, the wholesalers, the retailers or the final consumers to
understand the whole process and apply it correctly.
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Overall Advantage of GST
o The tax structure will be lean and simple.
o It's implementation has long term benefit. The lower tax burden could
translate into lower prices on goods for customers.
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o More business persons will come under the tax system thus
broadening the tax base. This may lead to better and more tax
revenue collections.
o Companies which are under unorganized sector will come under tax
area.
It is assessed that since GST substitutes many flowing taxes, the common
man may get benefit after implementation. But it depends on rate fixed on
the GST. With the execution of GST, a consumer will pay less tax.
GST is also advantageous for companies. GST will cut the number of taxes
under the current system like VAT, excise duty, service tax, sale tax,
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entertainment tax, luxury tax. Single tax will be applied on both Goods and
Services. This will save the managerial cost for companies.
The current indirect system is so burdensome that the trucks have to stop at
check posts and toll plazas for weeks to get the clearance to enter the state
which considerably lessen their average distance travelled per day. With the
application of the GST, the trucks need not to stop on check posts. Therefore,
it will reduce the buffer stock. In this way, it will increase the operating
proficiency of the companies.
Other economic evaluators inferred that GST will eliminate flowing effect of
taxes rooted in cost of production of goods and services and will provide
seamless credit throughout value chain. This will considerably decrease cost
of home-grown goods and will encourage Make in India. The sectors which
have long value chain from basic goods to final consumption stage with
operation spread in multiple states such as FMCG, pharma, consumer
durables, automobiles and engineering goods will be the major recipients of
GST system. It is supposed that GST will simplify business operations in
India. Integration of existing multiple taxes into single GST will considerably
lessen cost of tax compliance and transaction cost
To sum up facts, the GST is an indirect tax which entails that the tax is
approved till the last stage where it is the purchaser of the goods and
services who bears the tax. The GST will substitute most other indirect taxes
and synchronize the differential tax rates on mass-produced goods and
services. The government of India claims that GST will enhance Indian GDP
by 2%. With the enactment of GST, customers will have funds to spend
because of lower tax rates. It can be said that it will completely change the
indirect tax system in India.
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Conclusion
So far this report has described the origin of GST and the way it would
function from April 1, 2017. India will follow a Dual GST Model which has a
separate working at Centre and State levels (CGST and SGST). Its striking
difference between with the current taxation system shall definitely have
many consequences and will induce changes in the economy noticeably. We
have seen the impact of GST on various sections of the market such as
stocks, business etc.
Although the true results would come out only after the actual launch of the
GST but from our study of GST, some conclusions can surely be made. First
of all, this thing should be kept in mind that GST is a long term strategy, it
would lead to a higher output, more employment opportunities, and
economic inclusion. Initially however, it is likely to cause high inflation rates,
administrative costs, and face stiff oppositions from states due to loss of
autonomy. Its additional advantage over current VAT to include both goods
and services is of great value.
It is estimated that India will gain $15 billion a year by implementing goods
and services tax as it would promote exports, raise employment and boost
growth.
The roadmap for GST to accomplish its goals is full of potholes and obstacles.
But the platform is ready enough to suffice for it. Hopefully, the BJP
government would successfully run the economy with this upcoming tax
reform.
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