Brief on Speed Rating Algorithm

formula to calculate follows:

Speed Rating [Speed Timing / 100]

[Previous race with Present Race]
Fixed seconds : 0.17 Seconds.
[Convert all into [length loss / Weight
Difference / False Rails [Narrowed
into Zero with that particular Horse
of that Day, If it is Not Required
where ever it is applicable.]

[Now a days, the technology

improved, we can able to get actual
horse timing of that race such that,
there is NO NEED to calculate length
loss, but have to calculated weight
loss / Adjustment of Distance.]
Still giving full details, such that, it
will be useful to understand and also
can create a EXCEL sheet with the
above formula mentioned. [0.17
Seconds for 1 Length / 1kg where
ever it is applicable.]

All Calculation Should be GOOD

GOING Race Day.

Convert all timing into Seconds:

I will calculate latest running of that
horse or take best timing of that
distance of that horse..

Example: If a horse timing says

1.15.30 seconds for 1200M, while
calculating it should be: " 75.30"
Seconds.
Adjust lengths with actual timing
clocked by winner of that race into
seconds.

[if a horse finished 4 length behind

to the winner]
Speed= {0.17xLenght loss Add
75.30]
[0.17x 4] 0.68
Speed =[0.68+75.30] 75.98

[If a horse weight of previous weight

and present weight after taking
consideration of overweight and
allowance][Say 2 kg up - ADD] if it
down - MINUS]
Speed weight =[0,17x difference of
weight]
SW =[0.17 x 2] 0.34 seconds

Speed timing [Speed + Speed

Weight]
ST [75.98+ 0.34] 76.32

[If a horse has NOT ran 1200M but is

running now "than have to do this
method, to covert that horse, into
1200M timing]

[Horse clocked 1400M "84.30" with

3 lengths behind from winner] [Now
a days we are getting actual timing
of that horse clocked but some race
books the timing wonot mentioned
that have to calculate this method]
Speed=[0.17xLenght loss Add 84.30
seconds
[0.17x3] 0.51seconds
Speed=[0.51+ 84.30] 84.81

[Adjust to 1200M from 1400M]

Speed Adjust = [84.81 / 14] 6.05
Seconds [100 Meters]
[6.05 x 2 ] = 12.10 Seconds

Speed= [84.81 - 12.10] = 72.71

[72.71 Seconds that is 1.12.71 [We
have converted 1400M timing horse
to 1200M ]

[Previous Distance Minus or ADD

with Present Distance]
PS. [you have to do it for 1600M
same wise but have to divivide with
16 and multiple with 4] [ [1600 -
1200 ] = 4

We can able to Judge with 5 or 6

horses of that race and have to look
other parameters which have be
discussed in detail down, and short
list the horses but
keep it mind, that the First rating
horse will be handy even "NOT
PERFORMED" well in that race, due
to some reason, and to kept it in
SOFT MODE [Second outing forward
Timing] and have consider when it
RAN Again.
My Points discussed here, do not
form part of gambling angle but in
sporting angle.

Methodology:

1] How to read a race card for the

day?

2] How to identify the equipment

change and his effective / ineffective
of that particular horse?

3] How to identify the horses which

have a setback?

4] How to read the track work and

his effective / ineffective?
5] How to read the previous running
style of horses?

6] How to read the Handicap of

horses and his effective / ineffective?

7] How to analyze the jockey change

which will have effective or
ineffective in horses?

8] How to identify Doosara or

theesara of a particular race?

9] How to Implement all this in

Racing
10] How to Mange Money
Management in racing?

Process:

1] How to view a race card [and

mark any of that horses] for the day?

This area is extremely important to

understand how the race card going
to be for the day and also gets first
hand information regarding factors
such as trainers, jockeys,
equipment's, time between runs and
prize money, sponsors and interlinks
of connections horses.
A] We should consider how various
handicap / Trophy rated classes for
the day has been framed and also
the division of races including terms
of race.

B] We should have glimpsed with

trainers engagement for the day.
[Can be adroit at race time for any
chances for double, if there have
won earlier in the day.]

C] We should have glimpsed with the

jockeys engagement of the Day and
also which trainer or connection.
[This will provide us with an idea
whether there are trustworthy riding
to them or not. ] [if any change, has
to analyze what purpose. ]
D] We should also mark connections
horse who is giving sponsors for the
day. [It doesn't mean their horses
have to win or placed but we have to
study carefully merit or demerit of
that horse]

E] We should mark the drawn

numbers which coincide with Horse
No. [If that card is a little bit
confusing or tough especially in
lower class or big Trophy Races, this
point can come in handy, such that,
we have to study these horses
carefully]

F] We should mark the Positive or

Negative Shoe and also equipment
changes. ]
G] We should be the horses who're --
trainers and connection have placed
more than ONE of that particular
race.

H] We should have glimpsed at

Racing Incidents and marks the
horses if any.

I] We should have glimpsed at the

allowance Jockey list and mark that
Jockey who is nearer to the target.
[This will also help to study that
contender for the day how it stands]

J] We should mark Handicap

allowance weight and also over
weight of that jockey, side of that
horse.[This will help [adding or
subtract] of previous weight with
present weight]

K] We should mark any horses which

are running the first time after
gelded. [This will be utilized to
because if it is betting in range it will
run cool, but if it is at longer odds
especially moral intention of track
work like gate practice and mock
race will be in fighting line. ]

L] We should mark "SIRES or bred"

which are informed and also suitable
distance.[Especially useful for 2
years old and 3 years old terms race]

M] We should mark all the horses

which are having track works.
N] We should study all the horses in
that race with previous 2 or 3 runs
and Mark [ if it is positive trend]
including Jockey change / Distance /
Handicap weight [+ or -] including
rated. [Example: Running in Same
class or promotion or Demote]

O] We should round of [younger

horses are] of that race. If 3 years
preceding is running, it will be
worthwhile to study that animal
before going ahead of older horses.
[It will or may not] be gainful for
lower class or any center. Still we will
be inclined of that card in the fitness
of younger horses. ] [If 2 or 3-year-
old animals [running the first time
without any track work] and won the
race or by fighting line.]

2] How to identify the equipment

change and his effective and
ineffective of that particular horse?

[This pattern is also very important

to delete or add in our list of
selections of that card]

Shoes: Before bestowing explanation

regarding change of shoes always
wants to clear that positive or
harmful doesn't mean Aluminum or
Steel. Here we look with the horses
of previous runs how it is running
with that Shoe. There are plenty of
horses which have run extremely
well with a steel shoe and also other
horses have not run well with Steel
Shoe, seem like opposites. Some
horses have run well aluminum shoe
but have not run with Steel Shoe.
There are horses which have won or
in fighting line with both the shoes.
[We have to check previous runs how
it ran the change shoes]

Here, we should find, if there gets no

change in Shoe of that respective
horse which we have marked on our
card how it has run in previous
races. If it is noteworthy tendency
TICK, IT or CROSSED it. [Nowadays
technology has vastly improved with
one mouse click, we will get the
details] [we can shortlist of horses in
this race]
.Might be the object of Steel shoe
how it is running. [We should be a
little bit cagey, but, they have not
given the track work after that run
but change to steel shoe can be
omitted. ]

Equipment's:

[This pattern is also very important

to delete or add in our list of
selections of that card]

I just want to clear that positive or

Negative doesn't mean any
equipment ON or OFF.

Here I look with the horses of

previous runs how it is running with
that, said equipment. There are
plenty of horse which has ran
extremely good with that equipment
and also other horses have NOT Ran
well said ON equipment., same like
opposite. Some horses have ran fine
with said equipment ON but have
NOT Run with side equipment off.

There are horses which have won or

in fighting line with both the said
equipment ON or OFF.

[We have to check previous runs,

how it has perform with change
equipment]

We have observe lots of equipment

changes irrespective of horses
running well or not namely [Blinkers
on or off] [HD on or off] [CNB on or
off] [VSR on or off] [TS on or off]
[XNB on or off] like this.

[This will give a clear picture once

we check how it has Ran previous
races with this kind of Equipment's]
[If any horse which has won with
these blinkers and change off Next
outing we should be careful of
selecting this kind of horses, but
after few Runs again there will
change the equipment but it will Run
good Race.

Irrespective of equipment ON or OFF

but how it fits for that horse is the
most important thing. ]
If it is a noteworthy tendency TICK IT
otherwise CROSSED IT.

We can shortlist of horses, In this

Method.

3] How to identify the horses which

have a setback?

In Racing Incidents we will get all the

horses which has been observed
Example blood vessel / lame / slowly
off / cut injury or miscellaneous
injury / did not raise a fluent gallop
trainer was informed to show it mock
race / erratic course / bruised the
false rails / if the horse has won but
there was inquiry trainer was
informed to ensure a better
performance in future like visa and
other incidents.

[These remarks have to mark the

said Horse as discuss in How to read
a race card. ]

Blood Vessel [If there is BV it will be

difficult to perform better in at-least
3 races. The track work indication
will bestow a clear picture still first
outing after BV will run an unofficial
race. ] [If it is a progressive tendency
TICK IT or CROSSED IT] [We can
shortlist of horses in this race. ]

Lame [I think there should be at-

least 2 gate practices and
soundtrack work to accept on our
short list of horses in this race. ]

If the horse has won and there was

an inquiry [I consider normally this
contender will be in fighting line in
Top 3 bases on intention of that card.
]

Additional miscellaneous injury [If

there is NO track work after that Run
we can cross it this type of base on
the tendency of the card. ]

4] How to read the track work and

his effective and ineffective?

Is this pattern, there will have a

matchless method to check the track
work of horses. Some will go with the
best timing of track work and
different methods. ]

I prefer horses which will be

bestowed track by Rider Boy (RB),
Trainer OR Same Jockey who will be
astride. Nonetheless, some horses
will be bestowed the track by some
other jockeys, such cases, in my
workout I will keep it has defaulted
contender. "Depends upon the
moment of the odds or the double of
that particular owner etc. It will be
borne in mind.

Rider Boy: The cause of bestowing to

RB is that first preference weight of
rider boy will be around 60kg. If that
particular horse had a Impressive or
Good track work with RB The horse
should find themselves in the
fighting line, if Run on Merit.

Same Jockey. The reason for

preferring the same jockey is that,
any co-ordination is required and
both can be nauseating and it will be
very empathetic at the Spur of the
Moment.

(I have list of Track work Style based

on that it will be taken into
consideration)

Effective:

a) Impressed
b) Easily held

c) Urged or Slightly urged [Mumbai

and Pune]

d) Stared 5 lengths behind the

finished level or ahead

e) Good Gate Practice

f) Easy [at Mumbai and Pune] [Not in

any other center]

g] Good [-]

h] Worked Impressively
I] Worked attractive or attractive
display

j] Note

k] well in hand [-]

l] Excellent Display

m] worked well

n] Superior or better [at Mumbai and

Pune]

o] Moved Well [-]

p] Moved Fluently
q] noteworthy pair

r] Handy [at Mumbai and Pune]

s] Excellent [ - ]

t] Strode out well

u] Hard Held [ - ]

v] Ridden out

w] Caught the eye

x] Pleased
y] Retain form

z] Eased up

The rest will be substandard to my

understanding.

5] How to read the previous running

style of horses?

I will give preference to the

contenders for having a superb
forward Run in previous runs and
also observe on spare horses that
race how they have performed after
that race. [If positive jockey astride
and also advantage in handicap
weight base on previous race. It will
be taken into consideration]

Base on distance suitable of that

horse - preference will be bestowed
less than the aforementioned
distance.

A] Weakened [TS ON added or

already installed will give more
preference]

B] Fell back / Went Back

C] Gave up
D] Dropped Back [TS ON added or
already installed will give more
preference. ]

E] Improved [Preference will be given

to same distance or Added Distance]

F] Covered Good Distance [Depends

on the track work and also Added
Distance]

G] Improved Slightly [Same distance

or Added Distance]

H] Start to Finish / Set Pace [Less

Distance]
I] Receded [After forward Run with
same distance or Added and less
Distance]

J] Moved along the fence

K] Finished or Ran or Ended

[Depends on the track and also
Added Distance or Same Distance]

L] No Show [If it is Demote and level

matches]

M] Failed to quicken [Depends on

trend]

N] Rearhorses
O] Warmed up [added distance or
Pedigree sutable]

[Once we mark the contender of that

race with these words, check the
video of that particular race out
there and check what exactly
happen and plan accordingly to TICK
IT or CROSSED IT. ]

6] How to read the Handicap of

horses and his effective and
ineffective?

A handicap is an unbounded subject,

but there is no need to break our
head. A simple calculation is
[Previous weight - Present weight is
Handicap weight [Preference is - if it
is Reduced or same weight and if it
has increased of previous weight can
be ignored but have to check
previous races how said horse has
performed with the Present weight.

Now a days 3 years older horses

which have won has also won in
penalty of weight but have to check
the tendency of the card.

Demote horses have had to see the

difference of handicap level out
there and check the horses from
preceding races how it has
performed with that weight and
distance. If some horses have Not
Run in demoting class that level
needs to be adjusted with 6 kg of
preceding races and see the weight
depends on class even analogous
applies to terms horse to Handicap
Race. ]

We have seen some horse after won

or placed in terms of race has
directly gone to 40 to 65 or higher
classes. Nonetheless, it will be
scheming for these horses be on
fighting line but sporadic cases may
be shining. Base on the tendency of
the card can be crossed it or take it.

We have further seen double

promotions horses, here also, if the
level is not matched it cannot be
taken into consideration.

7] How to analyze the jockey change

which will have effective or
ineffective in horses?
This pattern is, the most noteworthy
area where much concentration and
intelligent has to be taken care and
find out whether the jockey riding in
this trainer or connection is a regular
one.

Once we see the analysis of the

horse and the jockey, we can get an
idea along with the track work's
intention if the same jockey is
working in a track work.

While checking the video which was

examined in 5, we will get an idea
that jockey change is Right
Perspective or ineffective.
[We cannot make much, if there is a
thorough going preceding change in
jockey riding whether top jockey or
unreliable jockey astride owing to
abundant reasons. ]

8] How to identify Doosara or

theesara of a particular race?

One simple answer to this is, if the

same connection with same trainer
has more than 1 and less than 3
then the betting range horse has to
analyse and also another 2 horses
and check the racing incident of the
betting range horse whether any
ineffective notice and give more
attention to other 2 runners and find
out the jockey riding skill and the
track work's intention.
Definitely one runner will be omitted
by default and another one has to
check with your liking post what
kind of analysis they are on that
horse.

It will be considerably complicated if

there are more that 5 or 6 runners in
a race with Same Trainer and
connection and also connection
placed with another trainer. Race
time indication also will be confused,
but the study of that horse was cool
regular jockey of that stable who has
won before at longer odds and check
it out the intention of that horse.

9] How to apply all this in racing.

Check in Implementation section [3]

10] How to Manage, Money

Management in racing?

This pattern is the Multi Dollar

Question and also it is a very
gigantic subject not only in racing
but also in our day to day activities
and also Business Line. [As long as]
we are controlled by the guidelines
not only in racing but also in day to
day activities, it will go smoothly?

Once we cross our limit then the

situation goes awkward.

Discipline and determination are

more important "NO ONE IS ABOVE
RACING" and EVERY DAY IS NOT
SUNDAY and RACING is not a matter
ot a DAY. IT IS FOR SEASON."

3.Implementation:

Once all the process done, we can

dilute at-least 4 or 5 contenders in
that race. See selected horses with
your racing books from fleeting
glance where you get an idea what
kind of glance, that is mentioned to
that selected horse if any. If it is a
noteworthy tick ok. Otherwise Wait
or cross it.

Once you have 3 horses in your short

list of that particular race, check
again with your favorite post and
selected horses matching. Figure out
what kind of analysis given to your
selected horse.

If our selected horse is in the Right

Perspective Tote indication may be in
a positive trend. Rest depends on
luck.

This is my view and any feedback

will be helpful all viewers and also
can be changed accordingly.

Best wishes and warm regards.

Additional Information.
1 Furlong = 1/8th mile (660 feet, 220
yards, or 201.17 meters)

Workouts Lengths
2 Furlongs = 1/4 mile
4 Furlongs = 1/2 mile
6 Furlongs = 3/4mile
8 Furlongs = 1 mile

Race Lengths
5 Furlongs = 5/8 mile
{1000Meters}
5.5 Furlongs = 11/16 mile {1100
Meters}
6 Furlongs = 3/4 mile. {1200
Meters}
6.5 Furlongs = 13/16 mile
7 Furlongs = 7/8 mile. {1400
Meters}
7.5 Furlongs = 15/16 mile
8 Furlongs = 1 mile. {1600
Meters}
8.5 Furlongs = 1 1/16 miles
9 Furlongs = 1 1/8 miles. {1800
Meters}
9.5 Furlongs = 1 3/16 miles
10 Furlongs = 1 1/4 miles. {2000
Meters}
10.5 Furlongs = 1 5/16 miles
11 Furlongs = 1 3/8 miles {2200
Meters}
11.5 Furlongs = 1 7/16 miles
12 Furlongs = 1 1/2 miles {2400
Merers}
How Are Topspeed Ratings
Calculated?
Patrick Lynch December 9, 2015
Betting Knowledge, Horse Racing
3,690 Views

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Anyone who has ever attempted to
analyse horse racing will know its all
too easy to get buried beneath a
cavalcade of statistical data; and not
all of it is useful! Serious punters
always look to have an edge on the
bookie by creating various systems
based on dozens of different racing
criteria.

As well as the Timeform Ratings,

Racing Post Ratings, Bayer Speed
Figures and other commonly sought
after figures, there are lesser known
and some would say little
understood ratings that warrant
further investigation. Today, we look
at the Racing Post Topspeed ratings
which appear as TS on a Racing Post
racecard.

What Are Topspeed Ratings?

In simple terms, Topspeed Ratings
are figures designed to show insight
into the ability, potential and
preferred conditions of a horse. As is
the case with the Racing Post
Ratings (RPR), TS ratings are
measured in pounds and attempt to
eliminate the impact of different
track and weather conditions on race
times.
In other words, TS ratings should
theoretically enable you to avoid
quite a bit of research as they can
provide you with analysis of the
rating achieved by each runner in
conditions relevant to the event it is
set to compete in.

How Does The Racing Post Calculate

Its Topspeed Ratings?
The official line from the Racing Post
is that a mature horse carrying 9
stone with a rating of 100 has the
ability to meet Racing Post Standard
Time in a race that is truly run on
good going. All distances are
proportioned back to 5 furlongs and
the ratings are calculated on the
basis that 1 second at 5 furlongs =
22 pounds.

For National Hunt races, the scenario

changes to a mature horse carrying
12 stone with a rating of 135. In this
case, 1 second at 2 miles = 6
pounds. Lets make this a bit clearer
with an example using data taken
directly from the Racing Post for a
Flat race (Im making up a name of a
horse here):

Gentle Ben is a 3 year-old running in

a 7 furlong race at Lingfields All-
Weather track. His weight is 9st 7
pounds and he finishes second 2.5
lengths behind the winner who
clocked a winning time of 1 minute
25.99 seconds (85.99 seconds). The
Racing Post Standard time for this
particular race is 1m 24.20 (84.20
seconds) so the winner was 1.79
seconds slower than standard time.

In this instance, the RP makes a

Going Correction of 0.24 seconds
per furlong. Using the above
information, the Racing Post comes
up with a Topspeed rating of 59 for
Gentle Ben which is achieved with
the following set of data:

Race Distance (D): 7 furlongs which

is 1,540 yards (1 furlong is 220
yards; 7 x 220 = 1540).
Time of Winner (T): 99 seconds.
Beaten Distance (B): 5. One length is
defined as being 3 yards; as Gentle
Ben was defeated by 2.5 lengths, he
was beaten by 7.5 yards in total (2.5
x 3 = 7.5).
Total Distance Covered (D2)[For
Gentle Ben]: 5 yards. This is because
he was beaten by 7.5 yards so he
covered 1532.5 yards in 85.99
seconds.
Speed (S): 82 seconds. This is
calculated by dividing the Distance
Covered and Time (1532.5/85.99).
Time Behind Winner (T2): 0.42
seconds. This is calculated by
dividing the Beaten Distance and the
Speed (7.5/17.82).
Comparison to Standard Time [C]:
+2.21 seconds. This is calculated by
adding the Time Behind Winner to
the amount of time the winner was
outside the RP Standard time
mentioned above (0.42 + 1.79).
Adjusted Comparison (A): +1.58
seconds. Remember, Topspeed
ratings are adjusted to 5 furlongs or
1,100 yards. This means we multiply
1,100 by the Comparison to
Standard Time and divide it by the
actual Race Distance of 7 furlongs or
1,540 yards so (1,100 x 2.21 =
2,431/1,540 = 1.58 when rounded
up).
Going Correction (G): 24 seconds per
furlong as mentioned above.
G2: +2.78 seconds. This is the Going
Correction adjusted for 5 furlongs
which means 5 x Going Correction +
the Adjusted Comparison (5 x 0.24 =
1.2 + 1.58 = 2.78).
Pounds Equivalent of G2 (P): 16.
Again, remember that in Flat races,
distances get proportioned back to 5
furlongs and 1 second at 5f equals
22 pounds. Therefore, this figure is
achieved by multiplying 22 by the
G2 figure of 2.78 so it is (22 x 2.78 =
61.16).
Weight Adjustment (W): -7. We
simply subtract Gentle Bens race
weight (9 stone 7) from the standard
9 stone figure used by the Racing
Post so (126-133 = -7).
Rating [R]: The formula used by the
Racing Post here is (100-W-P + 13
wfa). Wfa stands for Weight for
Allowance and is normally less
generous to immature horses than
the official scale. The 100 figure is of
course the stock rating used by the
RP for Topspeed so 100-W-P = (100
+ 7 61.16 (because of the double
negative) = 45.84 + 13 = 58.84; this
is then rounded up to 59 which is
Gentle Bens Topspeed rating.
Formula For Flat Races: 100-W + wfa
22(1100C/D + 5G)

Formula For National Hunt Races:

135-W 6(3520C/D + 16G). Note
that there is no Weight For Allowance
for jump race calculations.

How Useful Are Topspeed Ratings?

Topspeed and speed ratings in
general tend to be put to better use
on American tracks rather than UK
ones. This is because courses in the
U.S. often have similar
configurations whereas every UK
course is unique in its own way. As it
turns out, there are a few things to
consider:

Distance

In an ideal world, punters would be

able to compare the times of races
on different tracks but this is very
hard when it comes to UK racing. For
instance, a 5 furlong race at
Newbury is actually 5f 34 yards
(such as the Weatherbys Super
Sprint) while at Beverley a 5 furlong
race is 5f exactly.

The distance issue gets even more

complicated on turf courses if
running rails get reconfigured in
order to provide fresh turf. If this
change happens around a bend, the
distance ran by horses can decrease
if a running rail is removed or
increase if the rail gets brought out
at the bends. You wont see any
evidence of these changes in official
records so this muddies the waters a
bit.

Tactics

In UK sprint races, horses tend to be

reined in at the start and are only
unleashed for a furious finish in the
final couple of furlongs. You would
expect the Topspeed rating to be
quite different if the horses followed
the U.S sprint race model of going all
out from the start (and struggling to
maintain speed at the finish).
Going Corrections

It seems as if the Going Corrections

included in the Topspeed calculations
cannot be taken as Gospel. There are
plenty of occasions when the Going
Corrections published for past
meetings are the same for races
taking place over round and straight
tracks. Clearly, there will be
differences in wind speed and
ground conditions for example.

Conclusion

Trying to create a system using

Topspeed ratings is certainly
complex and you need to have a
head of numbers. These ratings
could prove handy when used in
conjunction with other data such as
Official Ratings but they should not
be relied upon on their own merits as
there are too many variables
preventing you from achieving an
accurate figure.

The potential issues covered above

only scratch the surface which
suggests that Topspeed ratings,
while a useful tool, contain enough
flaws to treat them with caution.
-----______________