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Aspirin as a Promising Agent for Decreasing Incidence of Cerebral Aneurysm

Rupture
David M. Hasan, Kelly B. Mahaney, Robert D. Brown, Jr, Irene Meissner, David G.
Piepgras, John Huston, Ana W. Capuano, James C. Torner and for the International
Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms Investigators

Stroke 2011, 42:3156-3162: originally published online October 6, 2011


doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.111.619411
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Aspirin as a Promising Agent for Decreasing Incidence of
Cerebral Aneurysm Rupture
David M. Hasan, MD; Kelly B. Mahaney, MD; Robert D. Brown, Jr, MD, MPH; Irene Meissner, MD;
David G. Piepgras, MD; John Huston, MD; Ana W. Capuano, MPS, MS; James C. Torner, PhD; for
the International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms Investigators

Background and PurposeChronic inflammation is postulated as an important phenomenon in intracranial aneurysm wall
pathophysiology. This study was conducted to determine if aspirin use impacts the occurrence of intracranial aneurysm
rupture.
MethodsSubjects enrolled in the International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms (ISUIA) were selected from
the prospective untreated cohort (n1691) in a nested case control study. Cases were subjects who subsequently had
a proven aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage during a 5-year follow-up period. Four control subjects were matched
to each case by site and size of aneurysm (58 cases, 213 control subjects). Frequency of aspirin use was determined at
baseline interview. Aspirin frequency groups were analyzed for risk of aneurysmal hemorrhage. Bivariable and
multivariable analyses were performed using conditional logistic regression.
ResultsA trend of a protective effect for risk of unruptured intracranial aneurysm rupture was observed. Patients who
used aspirin 3 weekly to daily had an OR for hemorrhage of 0.40 (95% CI, 0.18 0.87); reference group, no use of
aspirin), patients in the once a month group had an OR of 0.80 (95% CI, 0.312.05), and patients in the once
a month to 2/week group had an OR of 0.87 (95% CI, 0.272.81; P0.025). In multivariable risk factor analyses,
patients who used aspirin 3 times weekly to daily had a significantly lower odds of hemorrhage (adjusted OR, 0.27; 95%
CI, 0.11 0.67; P0.03) compared with those who never take aspirin.
ConclusionsFrequent aspirin use may confer a protective effect for risk of intracranial aneurysm rupture. Future
investigation in animal models and clinical studies is needed. (Stroke. 2011;42:3156-3162.)
Key Words: aspirin hemorrhage inflammation rupture unruptured aneurysm

T he etiology of the development of a saccular intracranial


artery aneurysm (IA) remains poorly defined. Recent
studies on IAs have contributed to the concept that chronic
Current procedural options to prevent the rupture or rerupture
of an IA are clipping and endovascular therapy. Although these
treatments are effective in preventing hemorrhage from an
inflammation plays a role in IA wall degeneration and unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA), they are invasive and
potentially increases subsequent risk of rupture. Approxi- not without significant associated risks.6 There is currently no
mately 30 000 cases of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) are medical treatment that has been shown effective in preventing
diagnosed in the United States every year. According to a rupture of an UIA. The efficiency of the option of systemic
meta-analysis of studies published between 1955 and 1996, pharmaceutical treatment targeting the inflammatory process
2.3% of the population have been estimated to have IAs.1 In implicated in IA formation and rupture is very appealing.
population-based studies in Western countries, SAH caused To address the hypothesis of a potentially protective effect
by IA rupture comprises 0.8% to 7.0% of all strokes.2 of aspirin on risk of UIA rupture, we reviewed data collected
Approximately 12% of patients die before receiving med- for the prospective cohort aspect of the International Study
ical attention3; 1-month case-fatality rates for hospitalized of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms (ISUIA).7 We as-
patients range from 15% to 30%4,5 and more than one third sessed whether aspirin use and frequency of use were
of those who survive have major neurological deficits.4 associated with occurrence of UIA rupture and whether
Furthermore, persistent cognitive deficits are present in history of smoking or hypertension had any interaction
many survivors. with such an effect.

Received March 2, 2011; final revision received April 5, 2011; accepted April 8, 2011.
From the Department of Neurosurgery (D.M.H., K.B.M.), Carver College of Medicine, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; the Departments of
Neurology (R.D.B., I.M.), Neurosurgery (D.G.P.), and Radiology (J.H.), Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN; and the Department of Epidemiology (A.W.C.,
J.C.T.), College of Public Health, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA.
The findings of this study were presented at the International Stroke Conference in February 2011.
Correspondence to James C. Torner, PhD, Department of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, University of Iowa, C21P-1 GH, 200 Hawkins
Drive, Iowa City, IA 52245. E-mail james-torner@uiowa.edu
2011 American Heart Association, Inc.
Stroke is available at http://stroke.ahajournals.org DOI: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.111.619411

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Hasan et al Aspirin to Decrease Cerebral Aneurysm Rupture 3157

Methods and Materials Table 1. Matched CaseControl Group Composition (N271)


ISUIA is an epidemiological cohort study that involved the long- Control
term follow-up of 2 prospective cohorts: (1) untreated; and (2)
Total Cases Subjects
treated. Prospective case ascertainment was from 1991 to 1998
(Phases I and II). Prospective follow-up of the prospective cohort Characteristic No. Percent No. Percent No. Percent
(Phase III) was conducted from 2004 to 2007. One thousand six
hundred ninety-one patients were managed conservatively, 1917 Aneurysm
patients underwent surgery, and 451 patients underwent endovascu- maximum
lar intervention. The 1691 initially untreated patients are analyzed in diameter
this article. Five hundred forty-five patients who were initially 7 mm 71 26.2 13 22.4 58 27.2
enrolled in the conservative management group ultimately under-
went a surgical or endovascular procedure to secure an aneurysm 710 mm 51 18.8 10 17.3 41 19.2
during the overall follow-up period. Patients included 2 groups of 1124 mm 114 42.1 25 43.1 89 41.8
patients with UIA. Group 1 patients have no history of SAH and 25 mm 35 12.9 10 17.2 25 11.7
have a UIA; Group 2 patients have had an SAH with at least 1 other
UIA in which the etiology of the SAH was definitively treated. Aneurysm site
Patients were enrolled in 61 medical centers in the United States, Anterior 124 45.8 25 43.1 99 46.5
Canada, and Europe. Details of aneurysm and patient characteristics Posterior 147 454.2 33 56.9 114 53.5
in the treated and untreated cohorts are detailed in the ISUIA
publication in Lancet in 2003.7
To be eligible for the study, patients must satisfy the following cardiac arrhythmias, congestive heart failure, myocardial infarction,
clinical and radiological inclusion and exclusion criteria: patients family history of intracranial aneurysm hemorrhage, smoking, alco-
must have at least 1 UIA, which may or may not be symptomatic. hol consumption, use of anticoagulants, history of aneurysms,
Patients who have had a ruptured aneurysm at another location that interaction smoking and hypertension, and use of aspirin (ordinally
was isolated, trapped, clipped, or treated through endovascular scored or in categorical groups). The final model was determined by
obliteration must be able to care for themselves after the aneurysmal stepwise and backward elimination of the initial saturated model.
treatment (Rankin Grade 1 or 2) according to a follow-up evaluation
For verification of the association in the entire untreated cohort,
at 30 days post-treatment. Patients may or may not undergo surgical
the same cases and all of the unruptured patients were included in a
clipping or endovascular intervention for the UIA at the investiga-
Cox regression multivariate model. A total of 1678 participants of
tors discretion. Patients with fusiform, traumatic, or mycotic aneu-
the prospective untreated cohort who had information regarding age,
rysms are not eligible for the study. Also, patients with saccular
region, smoking status, and aneurysm location and size and were
aneurysms 2 mm maximum diameter are excluded.
used to verify results yielded from the nested case control analyses.
Hemorrhagic events were classified by diagnostic certainty and
location of aneurysmal rupture. Classification of certainty of hem- The model included the variables selected for the final model. UIA
orrhage events was based on uniform criteria. The adjudicated size and location were entered in a proportional hazards model that
hemorrhage events were defined as a primary hemorrhage if either: included the entire prospective untreated cohort.
(1) a definite or highly probable SAH of aneurysmal or unknown
etiology; or (2) a definite or highly probable intracranial hemorrhage Results
was determined to be of aneurysmal etiology. Suspected hemorrhage A total of 271 nested case control patients with untreated
included all hemorrhages of aneurysmal or uncertain etiology re- intracranial aneurysm were studied. The case control popu-
gardless of certainty.
Subjects were selected from the prospective untreated cohort
lation comprises 74% women; 52% are from Europe, 17%
(n1691) for a nested case control study. Cases were subjects who from Canada, and 30% from the United States. The mean age
subsequently had a primary aneurysmal hemorrhage over a 5-year was 57 years. Within the nested case control population,
period after UIA diagnosis. Four control subjects were matched to there were no significant differences in demographic and
each case where possible by site (anterior or posterior) and size behavioral characteristics (Table 1), reasons for performing
(2 mm) of the UIA (58 cases, 213 control subjects). Frequency of
aspirin use was based on the question How often is the patient cerebral angiography at the time of UIA diagnosis (Table 2),
taking aspirin and was comprised originally of 9 categories: or clinical characteristics (Table 3) by history of aspirin use.
never, less than once a month, once a month, less than once The initial analysis is presented in Table 4. A trend of
a week and more than once a month, 1 to 2 times a week, 3 to protective effect for risk of UIA rupture was observed
4 times a week, 5 to 6 times a week, daily, and unknown.
Because of limited numbers of subjects at certain aspirin use levels, according to frequency of aspirin use. Patients who used
frequency was grouped as never, once a month, once a aspirin 3 times weekly to daily had OR for hemorrhage 0.40
month to 2 times a week, and 3 times weekly to daily for the (95% CI, 0.18 0.87, reference group: no aspirin use),
categorical analyses. Aspirin frequency groups were then analyzed whereas patients in the once a month group had OR for
for risk of aneurysmal hemorrhage. Use of aspirin was also scored
hemorrhage 0.80 (95% CI, 0.312.05) and patients in the
assuming a linear equally spaced system to avoid overfitting. The
system consisted of a scoring from 1 to the number of category levels once a month to 2 times a week group had OR for
being analyzed with increments of 1. For example, for the multivar- hemorrhage 0.87 (95% CI, 0.272.81; probability value for
iate analyses, the ordinal score represented the following levels of linear association 0.025).
aspirin use: 1never, 2less than once a month, 3once a month, Table 5 shows the risk factor analyses with conditional
4less than once a week and more than once a month, 51 to 2
times a week, 63 to 4 times a week, 75 to 6 times a week, and logistic regression. Model 1 included aspirin as an equally
8daily. spaced interval score that represents the increasing use of
Bivariable and multivariable analyses were performed on the aspirin. There was a significant decreasing OR for hemor-
nested case control population using conditional logistic regression. rhage with the increasing use of aspirin (adjusted OR, 0.82;
The initial saturated model included age (continuous and grouped),
sex, UIA enrollment group, participating center location (by region),
95% CI, 0.71 0.94; P0.0051). Model 2 included aspirin use
multiple aneurysm, largest aneurysm size (maximal diameter), hy- grouped into the categories: never, once a month,
pertension, cardiac valvular disease, atrial fibrillationflutter, other once a month to 2 times a week, and 3 times a week to
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3158 Stroke November 2011

Table 2. Nested CaseControl Population Demographic and Behavioral Characteristics by History of Aspirin Use
No History of Aspirin Use History of Aspirin Use

Control Subjects Cases Control Subjects Cases

Characteristic No. Percent No. Percent P* No. Percent No. Percent P*


Age group, y 0.721 0.656
50 36 33 9 23.1 31 29.8 3 15.8
5069 55 50.5 21 53.8 53 51 9 47.4
70 18 16.5 9 23.1 20 19.2 7 36.8
Sex 0.359 0.320
Male 24 22.0 13 33.3 28 26.9 4 21.1
Female 85 78.0 26 66.7 76 73.1 15 78.9
Enrollment group 0.708 0.236
No SAH 79 72.5 31 79.5 90 86.5 15 78.9
SAH 30 27.5 8 20.5 14 13.5 4 21.1
Region 0.104 0.256
US 20 18.3 11 28.2 43 41.3 8 42.1
Canada 27 24.8 3 7.7 16 15.4 1 5.3
Europe 62 56.9 25 64.1 45 43.3 10 52.6
Smoking 0.561 0.075
Missing 0 0.0 0 0.0 1 1 0 0.0
No 26 23.9 12 30.8 23 22.1 9 47.4
Former 52 47.7 17 43.6 41 39.4 8 42.1
Current 31 28.4 10 25.6 39 37.5 2 10.5
SAH indicates subarachnoid hemorrhage.
*Using conditional Wald 2. No and unknown combined for analyses.

daily. Participants who take aspirin 3 a week to daily A validation analysis was done using the entire prospective
presented significantly lower odds of hemorrhage (adjusted untreated cohort. By definition the hemorrhage cases re-
OR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.11 0.67; P0.03). Current smoking mained the same. Using a proportional hazards regression,
status presented a weak negative association with hemorrhage there was also a significant decreasing hazard of aneurysm
in the presence of aspirin use history (Tables 2 and 6). The rupture with increasing use of aspirin (adjusted hazard ratio,
interaction of aspirin use and smoking was explored in the 0.89; 95% CI, 0.79 0.99; P0.03). A second model included
multivariable analyses but did not remain as a significant aspirin use grouped into the categories: never, once a
association. month, once a month to 2 times a week, and 3 times

Table 3. Reasons for Performing Cerebral Angiography Among Nested CaseControl Population by History of Aspirin Use
No History of Aspirin Use History of Aspirin Use

Control Subjects Cases Control Subjects Cases

Characteristic No. Percent No. Percent P* No. Percent No. Percent P*


Subarachnoid hemorrhage 0.548 0.650
No 83 76.1 34 87.2 91 87.5 16 84.2
Yes 26 23.9 5 12.8 13 12.5 3 15.8
Cerebral Infarction 0.809 0.598
No 108 99.1 38 97.4 88 84.6 12 63.2
Yes 1 0.9 1 2.6 16 15.4 7 36.8
Headaches 0.994 0.145
No 75 68.8 28 71.8 80 76.9 11 57.9
Yes 34 31.2 11 28.2 24 23.1 8 42.1
Transient ischemic attack 0.343 0.981
No 107 98.2 37 94.9 87 83.7 14 73.7
Yes 2 1.8 2 5.1 17 16.3 5 26.3
*Using conditional Wald 2.

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Hasan et al Aspirin to Decrease Cerebral Aneurysm Rupture 3159

Table 4. Nested CaseControl Population Clinical History Information by History of Aspirin Use
No History of Aspirin Use History of Aspirin Use

Control Subjects Cases Control Subjects Cases

Characteristic No. Percent No. Percent P* No. Percent No. Percent P*


History of hypertension 0.946 0.993
No 67 61.5 21 53.8 49 47.1 8 42.1
Yes 42 38.5 17 43.6 54 51.9 11 57.9
Unknown 0 0.0 1 2.6 1 1.0 0 0.0
Cardiac valvular disease 0.994
(excluding MVP)
No 105 96.3 39 100 97 93.3 19 100
Yes 2 1.8 0 0.0 2 1.9 0 0.0
Unknown 2 1.8 0 0.0 5 4.8 0 0.0
Atrial fibrillationflutter 0.288 0.995
No 103 94.5 37 94.9 95 91.3 18 94.7
Yes 3 2.8 2 5.1 3 2.9 1 5.3
Unknown 3 2.8 0 0.0 6 5.8 0 0.0
Myocardial infarction 0.302 0.995
No 101 92.7 38 97.4 91 87.5 15 78.9
Yes 6 5.5 1 2.6 9 8.7 4 21.1
Unknown 2 1.8 0 0.0 4 3.8 0 0.0
Any relative with positive 0.837 0.896
history of aneurysms
No 81 74.3 34 87.2 78 75.0 17 89.5
Yes 16 14.7 4 10.3 17 16.3 1 5.3
Unknown 12 11 1 2.6 9 8.7 1 5.3
MVP indicates mitral valve prolapse.
*Using conditional Wald 2. No and unknown combined for analyses.
Exact conditional test: conditional distribution is degenerated.

a week to daily. Participants who take aspirin 3 a week to tebrobasilar circulation at increased risk.7 The design of this
daily had a significantly lower hazard of hemorrhage (ad- study was to control for these risk factors to examine
justed hazard ratio, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.22 0.92; P0.03). behavioral factors such as smoking and aspirin use. The
epidemiological evidence demonstrates an association of a
Discussion protective effect of aspirin use against hemorrhage, compar-
The results of this study suggest that aspirin could conceiv- ing individuals reporting aspirin use with those reporting that
ably play a role in reducing the risk of cerebral aneurysm they never used aspirin (adjusted OR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.71
progression to rupture. ISUIA has previously demonstrated 0.94; P0.0051). However, there also appears to be a
the effect of size and aneurysm location as the key predictors dose-dependent relationship trend associating frequency of
for aneurysmal hemorrhage with larger aneurysms and those aspirin use with risk of hemorrhage (patients who used
in the posterior communicating artery location and the ver- aspirin 3/week to daily have crude conditional OR for

Table 5. Nested CaseControl: Hemorrhages and Control Subjects (Matched by Site and Size)Frequency
of Aspirin Use
Control Subjects Cases
P for Linear Association
No. Percent No. Percent OR Conditional Odds*
Use of aspirin (grouped) 0.025
Never 109 73.6 39 26.4 1
Less than or equal to once a mo 23 79.3 6 20.7 0.80
More than once a mo to 2 times a wk 14 77.8 4 22.2 0.86
Three times a wk to daily 67 88.2 9 11.8 0.40
P0.14 for these grouping. P value of never versus ever0.0529. Tested using conditional logistic regression.
*Considering an equally spaced scoring of 4 levels using the conditional logistic model.

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3160 Stroke November 2011

Table 6. Risk Factor Analyses With Conditional Logistic Regression


Model I Model II

Unadjusted OR Adjusted OR Adjusted OR


Characteristic No. (95% CI) No. (95% CI) No. (95% CI)
Age (continuous) 271 1.02 (11.04) 270 1.03 (1.011.06) 270 1.03 (1.011.06)
Age group, y ... ...
50 80 Reference ... ...
5069 139 1.43 (0.693) ... ... ... ...
70 54 2.1 (0.894.96) ... ... ... ...
Region Reference Reference
US 82 Reference 82 82
Canada 47 0.33 (0.111.02) 47 0.24 (0.070.81) 47 0.24 (0.070.82)
Europe 142 1.1 (0.62) 141 0.90 (0.461.76) 141 0.93 (0.471.80)
Smoking
Missing 1
No 70 Reference 70 Reference 70 Reference
Former 118 0.58 (0.291.15) 118 0.75 (0.361.57) 118 0.78 (0.371.64)
Current 82 0.44 (0.20.97) 82 0.44 (0.191.00) 82 0.44 (0.191.00)
Any relative with positive history of aneurysms ... ...
No/unknown 233 Reference ... ...
Yes 38 0.55 (0.211.46) ... ... ... ...
Use of aspirin (grouped)
Never 148 Reference ... ... 148 Reference
Less than or equal to once a mo 29 0.8 (0.312.04) ... ... 29 0.64 (0.241.74)
More than once a mo to 2 times a wk 18 0.86 (0.272.81) ... ... 18 0.78 (0.222.82)
Three times a wk to daily 76 0.4 (0.180.87) ... ... 75 0.27 (0.110.67)
Score of aspirin use 271 0.86 (0.770.97) 270 0.82 (0.710.94) ... ...
OR indicates odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.

hemorrhage of 0.40 [95% CI, 0.18 0.87] and adjusted The role of inflammation in cerebral aneurysm formation
conditional OR for hemorrhage of 0.19 [95% CI, 0.07 has also been supported with evidence from animal models of
0.54] compared with never). This serves to strengthen cerebral aneurysms. Tears in the internal elastic lamina and
the association of aspirin use and decreased risk of associated vascular wall remodeling have been thought to
hemorrhage of an UIA. precede IA formation, because the IA wall lacks the internal
Several studies of human aneurysm tissue have implicated elastic lamina, which normally provides structural strength
a role of inflammatory mediators in the development and for cerebral artery walls.13 This process is thought to initiate
rupture of IAs. Chyatte found histological evidence of mac- formation of cerebral aneurysms. Subsequent hemodynamic
rophages, T-cells, immunoglobulin, and complement in an- stress on the endothelium leads to molecular signaling of
eurysm wall tissue specimens collected at the time of micro- proinflammatory and proliferative pathways.14 Aoki et al
surgical repair.8 Frosen demonstrated similar findings of recently showed several lines of evidence that PGE2EP2
macrophage and T-cell infiltration in surgical specimens from receptor signaling links hemodynamic stress to cerebral
unruptured and ruptured aneurysms9 and also found histolog- aneurysm formation in rodents through activation of nuclear
ical evidence of increased expression of several inflammatory factor B.15 Activation of transcription factor nuclear
receptors (vascular endothelial growth factor, transforming factor B16 and resultant increased expression of monocyte
growth factor-, and basic fibroblast growth factor) associ- chemotactic protein-117 is highly chemotactic to inflam-
ated with aneurysm wall remodeling and rupture.10 Macro- matory cells including macrophages, T-cells, natural killer
phages secrete matrix metalloproteinases, which degrade the cells, and basophils. Hypertension-induced rodent models
extracellular matrix and increased expression of matrix of IAs have shown evidence of macrophages as the first
metalloproteinase-2 and matrix metalloproteinase-9 have population of inflammatory cells infiltrating into the cere-
been demonstrated in IAs.11 Dysregulation of the complement bral aneurysm wall after endothelial disruption.18 Further
pathway has also been implicated in IA pathophysiology, supporting this histological evidence from human tissue
because Tulamo demonstrated increased susceptibility to studies, rodent IA models have demonstrated a role of
complement activation, inflammation, and tissue damage in aneurysm progression associated with macrophage-
the IA wall in a study of 26 unruptured and 26 ruptured IA secreted extracellular matrix-degrading proteolytic en-
surgical specimens.12 zymes (matrix metalloproteinase-2 and -9).19
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Hasan et al Aspirin to Decrease Cerebral Aneurysm Rupture 3161

Aspirin has been shown to have inhibitory effects on formation and potentially predisposes to IA wall degeneration
several inflammatory mediators postulated to play a role in and rupture. The findings from the ISUIA cohort provide
cerebral aneurysm pathology. Aspirin has been shown to epidemiological evidence of an association of frequent aspi-
inhibit matrix metalloproteinase-2 and -9 expression20,21 as rin use with reduced incidence of aneurysmal SAH. Further
well as to inhibit tumor necrosis factor- release in smooth investigation is needed to confirm this effect: (1) including
muscle cell cultures.22,23 Aspirin has also been found to use of animal models of cerebral aneurysms to study the
inhibit tumor necrosis factor- stimulated monocyte chemot- mechanism of effect of aspirin on the inflammatory process
actic protein-1 and interleukin-8 expression in human umbil- implicated in aneurysm formation and rupture; (2) further
ical vein endothelial cells.24 There is also evidence that observational data from other cohorts or aspirin clinical trials
aspirin inhibits inflammatory cell adhesion in endothelial for other end points; and (3) a clinical trial assessing the effect
cells by reducing nuclear factor B activity.25,26 Given this of aspirin on cerebral aneurysms that are chosen to be
evidence of inhibitory effects of aspirin at several steps in the followed without interventional treatment.
inflammatory cascade implicated in cerebral aneurysm patho-
physiology, aspirin may have potential as a therapeutic agent Sources of Funding
to prevent cerebral aneurysm growth and rupture. The International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms, on
There are several limitations to this study. ISUIA is an which this study was based, was supported by a grant (R01-NS-
observational epidemiological study designed to evaluate risk 28492 and 1RC1-NS068092-01) from the National Institute of
factors for UIA rupture. A protective effect of aspirin against Neurological Disorders and Stroke.
UIA rupture was observed. It was not noted to be a risk factor
for hemorrhage, which would have been plausible. The Disclosures
None.
mechanism by which aspirin attenuates the risk of aneurysm
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