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INDIA RESEARCH
Sharda Cropchem c
SEBI Registration Nos.: INB23 12914 37, INF23 12914 37, INB01 12914 33, INF01 12914 33.
Sharda Cropchem
EU business to cross Rs7bn (46% of total revenues) by FY17E Snapshot of Shardas EU business
A steady scale-up seen in earnings in the coming years Return ratios on an uptrend
(Rs m) PAT (%) RoE (LHS) RoCE (LHS) RoIC (RHS) (%)
2,200 28.0 33.0
0 18.0 15.0
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
Tradingat
Trading atattractive
attractivevaluations
valuationsof
of11.2x
11.2xFY17E
FY17EEPS
EPSand
and7x
7xEV/
EV/EBITDA
EBITDA
INVESTMENT ARGUMENT
Given its presence in some of the largest global agrochemicals markets, a
relatively minuscule share in these regions and aggressive investments in
growth, Sharda makes a compelling growth story
The managements long track record of dealing with global agrochemicals
players and their deep involvement in the business has aided its success
Investing US $10m-12m p.a. to create a pipeline of new registrations across
the EU/ US and working on increasing sales infrastructure in key markets
Significant growth opportunities through entry in new markets, launch of
new molecules and label extension for new crops across geographies
Strong growth potential with 25%/ 24% revenue/ earnings CAGR over FY14-
17E and ~32% RoIC in FY17E; we initiate coverage on the stock with
Outperformer and a price target of 358
Sharda emphasizes on Incorporated in 2004, Sharda is a global crop protection chemicals company with
identifying and registering operations in more than 60 countries across Europe, NAFTA and LATAM. Sharda
molecules in high demand; offers a wide product portfolio spanning fungicides, herbicides, insecticides and
unlike peers which focus on
manufacturing biocides. Unlike peers that focus on manufacturing, Sharda operates with an asset-
light model with emphasis on identification and registration of potential molecules
having strong demand.
Sharda primarily operates in highly regulated markets like the European Union and
NAFTA, where high regulatory barriers give it a competitive edge. Sharda has an
established marketing and distribution network across geographies. It has proven
sourcing capabilities with access to a broad spectrum of cost-competitive
manufacturers in China and India another competitive advantage. The agro-
chemicals business contributed ~83% to Shardas consolidated revenues in FY14.
Exhibit 1: Shardas business model has limited overlaps with most Indian agrochem peers
A
differentiated
Proven capability
Cost-efficient model business
in securing
EBITDA margins model registrations in
comparable to peers regulated markets
despite outsourced 600+ registrations
manufacturing in EU / US
Experienced
management team and
staff
Promoters have >15 years
of experience in global
Agrochem industry
75
RoW India
9% 4%
Nafta
50
16% Europe
50%
Latam
25
21%
0
Sharda UPL PI Inds Rallis Dhanuka
Cropchem
Capital spend focused on An asset-light model, combined with availability of sufficient manufacturing
managing regulatory capacities in China, has enabled Sharda to invest capital and time on the most
challenges and garnering
product registrations
challenging part of the global agrochemical value chain managing the regulatory
environment and securing registrations for products in regulated markets. Its asset-
light model has also provided Sharda flexibility to respond to changes in demand
across geographies.
Exhibit 3: An asset light model with no in-house active ingredient / formulation manufacturing
In -house active ing redient In -house formulation
manufacturing manufacturing
UPL 9 9
PI Industries 9 9
Rallis 9 9
Dhanuka 8 9
Sharda Cropchem 8 8
Source: Company, IDFC Securities Research
Exhibit 4: Typical process involved in securing agrochemical product registrations in global markets
Registration is a vital competent of the agrochemical value chan A two step process
Tests
Tests purity & profile of the impurities
Tests are conducted by GLP certified
5 Batch Analysis contract laboratories in compliance with
standards laid dow n by EPA, OECD, DG
SANCO
Sharda is one of the few players from India to have demonstrated the capability to
secure agrochemical registrations in global markets. Shardas core competencies in
the area are: 1) identifying opportunities in generic molecules and corresponding
formulations and generic active ingredients, 2) preparing dossiers, and 3) seeking
registrations in some of the most complex markets like the EU and the US.
975 975
650 650
325 325
0 0
Approved Pending Approved Pending
Sharda has been investing Sharda has been investing $10-12m per annum in registrations with a large
$10-12m p.a. for proportion in the EU market. Going forward, registration spend is likely to steadily
registrations, mostly in EU increase. The company has about 30 employees dedicated to securing registrations
across various markets. Half of the team members are focused on the EU markets.
Exhibit 6: Despite lower gross margins, an optimized operating cost structure enables Sharda to generate competitive margins
62.5 22.5
55.0 15.0
47.5 7.5
40.0 0.0
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY12 FY13 FY14
36.0
15.0
27.0
10.0
18.0
5.0
9.0
0.0 0.0
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY12 FY13 FY14
We expect revenue
CAGR of 20%+ over Approval/ launch of new molecules
FY14-17E
Besides UPL, Sharda is the only Indian company to have secured registrations in the
EU and the US and to have acquired critical mass in these markets (EU/ US account
for 50%/ 10% respectively of Shardas FY14 agrochemical revenues with cumulative
sales of Rs 4.31bn (US $71m).
acting as a strong entry Shardas EU revenues have registered 44% CAGR over FY12-14 to Rs3.24bn. EU
barrier a key advantage would remain the primary growth driver for the company given tough entry
for players like Sharda barriers, highest profitability levels and Shardas strong presence in the market. We
expect the EU business to cross US$117m (Rs7bn) by FY17 from $54m in FY14. There
could be positive surprises if the company secures some key approvals in the larger
markets of Germany, France and Spain.
2,000
0
FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
The management is also pursuing opportunities for application label extension for
new crops for its approved molecules (~20) and sees it as a significant growth
opportunity. Each crop label extension approval takes around four years and costs
Euro50,000-70,000 per crop.
The US is currently Shardas primary market in the NAFTA region. Sharda has 12
molecule registrations in the country with a focus on cereals and soybean. The
company is currently focusing on the Mid-West region and is not looking to enter
California or the West Coast in the near term.
Sharda targeting small local While the registration process is easier in the US than in EU, penetrating an
distributors to overcome extremely consolidated distribution channel poses a big challenge. To tackle this, the
fragmented nature of
distribution in the US
company has been targeting smaller local distributors with encouraging results. In
contrast to its strategy of pursuing higher profitability (like in the EU), Sharda is
now looking to prioritize volume growth over profitability in the US. Given its
strategic focus on volume growth and success in penetrating the distribution
channels, the company is quite optimistic on growth outlook of the US market.
Given lower competitive intensity and its ability to spot interesting product
opportunities, Sharda also sees good growth prospects in the Canadian and
Mexican markets. As of Sep-2014, Sharda has 80+ registration applications in
NAFTA region. We expect Shardas sales in NAFTA market to cross US$40m by
FY17 from US$18m currently.
1,400
700
0
FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
Sharda has filed ~40 Colombia is Shardas key market in the region and has ~20 sales people (including third
formulation applications in party contractors). The other fast growing markets are Ecuador, Peru and Argentina. In
Brazil; approvals to Brazil, Sharda does not have any approved formulations though it has nine API
accelerate LATAM sales
approvals. Sharda has filed ~40 formulation applications in the country. Approvals could
be a significant game-changer for the companys Brazil and LATAM business.
As of Sep-2014, Sharda had 140+ registration applications pending approval across the
region. We expect LATAM sales to cross US$47m (Rs2.8bn) by FY17 from US$22m now.
Among other markets, Shardas target geographies include Tunisia, Kenya, Egypt
and South Africa. The company is also evaluating strategies to enter the Japanese
market, which has high entry barriers.
Sales have been flat over RoW revenues include the trading business, which does not have a consistent
FY12-14; Sharda targeting growth trajectory. Revenues from RoW markets have remained flat over FY12-14, at
markets like Japan, Tunisia,
Kenya, Egypt and S. Africa Rs838m (US $14m). Some of Shardas key generic molecules in RoW are
Chlorpyriphos, Imidacloprid, Hexaconazole, Azoxystrobin and Glufosinate
Ammonium.
900
600
300
0
FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
Over H1FY15, gross margins have expanded marginally by 20bp yoy the stronger
gross margin contribution from Canada was partially offset by higher discounts in
the US. The company has been stepping up investments in growth, visible in an 83%
increase in employee cost and 47% growth in other expenses.
Adjusted for forex losses and other non-recurring items, EBITDA grew 47% yoy to
Rs1.04bn while operating profit margin was 50bp lower at 19.4%. For H1FY15,
Sharda reported a PAT of Rs696m (up 25% yoy). PAT growth was hit by Rs94m of
forex loss and Rs 22.5m of one-time intangible write-off.
In line with its geographical mix, Shardas business has significant seasonality with
Q4 and Q1 being the strongest quarters in terms of revenue / profitability and Q3
being the leanest. The company typically books 35-40% of annual revenues in Q4.
Along with the agrochemicals business, Sharda has a small trading business
involving export of conveyor belts, rubber belts/ sheets, dyes and dye intermediates
and other products. This business is managed by Manish Bubna, who is a member
of the promoter family. This business has registered a CAGR of 14% over FY09-14,
which we expect will sustain over the next few years. This is a relatively low-margin
business, but has limited capital requirements and is free cash positive.
12
0
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
2,400 20
1,600 19
800 18
0 17
FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
1,650
1,100
550
0
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
25.5 28.5
23.0 24.0
20.5 19.5
18.0 15.0
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15E FY16E FY17E
Strong free cash flows to Sharda will continue to generate free cash despite increasing investments in R&D
help elevate RoIC to ~32% and we estimate ~Rs2.7bn of cash on books as of Mar-2017 (Rs1.9bn as of Mar-2014).
over FY16-17E
Consequently, return on invested capital (ROIC) will be even higher at ~32% for
FY16/17.
Recent IPO
In Sep-2014, Sharda successfully concluded its Initial Public Offering (IPO)
involving an offer for sale (no fresh issuance of shares) of 25% of the companys
equity. While the existing PE investor, HEP Mauritius (which invested in 2008),
offered its equity stake amounting of 15.87% of the companys equity, the promoters
offered the remaining 9.13% in the IPO.
We initiate coverage on the Return ratios should steadily expand with improvement in operating cash flows
stock with Outperformer and working capital management. With a net cash balance sheet, RoIC of ~32% and
and price target of Rs358
strong medium-term revenue growth visibility, Sharda deserves to trade at a
premium to peers which, given their high dependence on the domestic market, are
entirely linked to the vagaries of Indian monsoons and/ or operate at significantly
lower return ratios. At CMP of Rs251, Sharda trades at attractive valuations of 11.2x
FY17E EPS and 7x EV/EBITDA. We initiate coverage on the stock with
Outperformer and a 12-month price target of Rs358.
Key Risks
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Explanation of Ratings:
1. Outperformer : More than 5% to Index
2. Neutral : Within 0-5% (upside or downside) to Index
3. Underperformer : Less than 5% to Index
Annexure
Sr.
Name of Company Category Nature of business
No.
2. IDFC Capital (USA) INC. Subsidiary Broker Dealer registered with FINRA
www.idfc.com