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WEBINAR REPORT--Final version

Updates have been made concerning Market Timing, Gold, and Currencies.

1. S&P 500 and the Dow Industrials

The year 1835 marked a major high in the U. S. stock market. From that high, th
e market declined dramatically into 1842 -- one of the most protracted declines
in U. S. market history. That decline was accompanied by one of the most severe
economic depressions in history. Not much has been written about the 1835 high,
but a great deal has been written about the Panic of 1837. It was easy, then,
to overlook 1835 as an important market milestone. Please note the following:
1835 + 180 years = 2015
As market timers and traders, we know that time is geometric -- and that the cir
cle is probably the most important of all geometric figures. The circumference
of a circle is 360 degrees; half of a circle's circumference is 180 degrees. Th
us, 180 years represents 180 degrees; and the market's recent sharp decline is c
lear warning to us as traders that the market indeed has recognized that we are
now 180 degrees from the major high of 1835.

The bottom of the 24-week cycle (ideally due the week ending August 21) coincide
d with the August 24 low -- and August 24 was a turning date we knew in advance.
As I mentioned in the August newsletter, the August 24 date was projected as f
ollows:

October 20, 1987 (crash low) - September 21, 2001 (major low after the 9/11 atta
cks) = 5, 085 calendar days

September 21, 2001 + 5,085 calendar days = August 24, 2015

A break of the August 24 low would be bearish.

Looking ahead, we have a turn in the 11-week cycle ideally due the week ending O
ctober 16, 2015. The 11-week cycle can come in as either a high or a low -- so w
e will want to watch price action as we move into that time frame. The 11-week c
ycle last came in as a high the week ending July 31, 2015.

October 17, a Saturday, marks a turn in the often-powerful Mars cycle. In addit
ion, Earth crosses the 23-degree location of Saturn on Monday, October 19. Satu
rn can have a depressing influence on stock prices. October 19 also is an Old Re
liable Cycle turning date. A market rising into October 19 might offer a good se
lling opportunity.

Please observe:
August 25, 1987 (major high) - September 21, 2001 (major low) = 5,141 calendar d
ays

September 21, 2001 + 5,141 calendar days = October 19, 2015

September and October could both be volatile, but October is followed by a high
in the very powerful 120-week cycle, ideally due the week ending November 13, wh
ich implies more volatility. Sometimes the 120-week high can come a week late du
e to the bottom of the 60-week cycle, also ideally due the week ending November
13. The 60-week cycle low often is muted by the 120-week cycle high. Any rally
after the 60-week cycle low should not last long and should be followed by a de
cline lasting 2- 3 months, probably taking the market to new lows. This cycle la
st made its high August 2, 2013 and was followed by a sharp decline.

Thus, we could see this correction push into the first quarter of 2016.

I will share three new timing methods during the Webinar. They are as follows:

13,091 calendar days from a past low or high;

735 calendar days from a past low or high;

5,085 calendar days from a past low or high.

The numbers 13,091 and 5,085 have been mentioned; the number 735 has not. I am
going to show during the Webinar how powerful these numbers are, why they are po
werful, and how to use these numbers. I will give examples of how accurate they
have been. I will share some future dates these numbers are projecting.

Please observe the following in the Dow Jones Industrials:

April 28, 1942 (major low) - March 1, 1978 (major low) = 13,091 calendar days (C
D)

March 1, 1978 + 13,091 calendar days (CD) = January 2, 2014 (significant high oc
curred one trading day earlier -- at the close)

The square root of 13,091 = 114.415

114.415 x Pi (3.14159) = 359.447 = 360 (the circumference of a circle)

This time span is powerful because it represents the circle.


Now that 13,091 has proved to time the market many years in advance, we can use
this number to project future dates.

Please observe the following. I took outstanding Dow Jones highs and lows that
occurred after March 1, 1978 and added 13,091 calendar days (CD) to them to proj
ect future turning dates, accurate within one trading day:

July 6, 1978 (low) + 13,091 CD = May 9, 2014 (Friday); a secondary low and also
an Old Reliable date

October 12, 1978 (high) + 13,091 CD = August 15, 2014 (Saturday); a low followe
d by a rally over the next few trading days

December 18, 1978 (low) + 13,091 CD = October 21, 2014 (Tuesday); a low occurred
the next day

April 11, 1979 (low) + 13,091 CD = February 12, 2015 (Thursday); a low occurred
the previous day

May 15, 1979 (low) + 13,091 CD = March 18, 2015 (Wednesday); a low occurred that
morning, and the market rallied substantially later that day, after the FOMC an
nouncement

July 10, 1979 (high) + 13,091 CD = May 13, 2015 (Wednesday); a low occurred the
previous day

August 16, 1979 (high) + 13,091 CD = June 19, 2015 (Friday), which was a one-day
pullback

October 5, 1979 (high) + 13,091 CD = August 8, 2015 (Saturday); low occurred the
previous day

FUTURE PROJECTIONS WITH 13,091:

November 21, 1979 (low) + 13,091 CD = September 24, 2015 (Thursday)

January 3, 1980 (low) + 13,091 CD = November 6, 2015 (Friday)

February 13, 1980 (high) + 13,091 CD = December 17, 2015 (Thursday)

March 5, 1980 (high) + 13,091 CD = January 7, 2016 (Thursday)

March 27, 1980 (low) + 13,091 CD = January 29, 2016 (Friday)


* * *

Please observe:

October 15, 2014 (major low) - August 24, 2015 (significant low) = 313 calendar
days (CD)

One-half of 313 = 156.5 = 157

April 17, 2015 (low) + 157 calendar days (CD) = September 21, 2015

September 21 also is an Old Reliable turning date; it is 85 trading days from th


e SPX May 20 all-time high

* * *

Please observe:

October 20, 1987 (crash low) - September 21, 2001 (major low) = 5,085 calendar d
ays (CD)

September 21, 2001 + 5,085 CD = August 24, 2015 (significant low)

The square root of 5,085 is 71.309

71.309 x Pi (3.14159) =224

The number 224 is a powerful harmonic in market timing. Adding 224 trading days
(TD) to past highs and lows will time a tend reversal 224 trading days later. No
w we understand why 5,085 is powerful.

Now that we have established that 5,085 CD from September 21, 2001 marked a sign
ificant market turn, we can use highs and lows occurring after September 21, 200
1 to project future market turning dates.

October 30, 2001 + 5085 CD = October 2, 2015 (Friday)

November 27, 2001 + 5085 CD = October 30, 2015 (Friday)

December 5, 2001 + 5085 CD = November 7, 2015 (Saturday)


December 14, 2001 + 5085 CD = November 16, 2015 (Monday)

January 7, 2002 + 5085 CD = December 10, 2015 (Thursday)

February 14, 2002 + 5085 CD = January 17, 2016 (Sunday)

February 20, 2002 + 5085 CD = January 23, 2016 (Saturday)

March 19, 2002 + 5085 CD = February 19, 2016 (Friday)

* * *

The number 735 is important because it represents how many times the number seve
n is mentioned in the Bible. W. D. Gann said everything he learned about the ma
rkets he learned from the scriptures. The number 735 certainly translates to ma
rket timing. Please observe:

October 4, 2011 +735 calendar days (CD) = October 9, 2013 (major low)

September 14, 2012 + 735 CD =September 19, 2014 (major high)

April 11, 2013 + 735 CD = April 16, 2015 (high before sharp decline the next day
)

June 24, 2013 + 735 CD = June 29, 2015 (low occurred the next day)

August 2, 2013 + 735 CD = August 7, 2015 ( a low)

HERE ARE SOME FUTURE PROJECTIONS:

September 19, 2013 + 735 CD = September 24, 2015

October 9, 2013 + 735 CD = October 14, 2015

October 30, 2013 + 735 CD = November 4, 2015

November 8, 2013 + 735 CD = November 13, 2015

November 29, 2013 + 735 CD = December 4, 2015

December 4, 2013 + 735 CD = December 9, 2015


December 9, 2013 + 735 CD = December 14, 2015

* * *

Now that we know that the 120-week cycle could push this correction into 2016, w
hat can we ascertain about the long-term trajectory of the market? I mentioned
th date April 27, 2015 -- and how that date gives a clue about the long term. L
et me explain. April 27, 2015 is a very strong date based on its long-term timi
ng elements. Observe the following:

April 27 was 10,186 trading days from the 1974 Dow Jones Jones low, which was tw
ice the length of the move between the 1982 - 2002 lows.

April 27 has other long-term timing elements. In a nutshell, this date was very
powerful. It had the potential to mark the high from the 2009 low.

The market made an all-time high on April 27 and turned down. However, days lat
er, the market exceeded the April 27 high.

That the market exceeded that high shows that, longer term, the market has more
underlying strength that most are recognizing. The clue I get from the price ac
tion following this date is that the market still has more upside after the curr
ent correction is over.

During the Webinar, I will show additional timing elements that indicate that fu
rther upside is ahead for the market.

2. Bonds

Bonds made a major low and interest rates made a major high in September of 1981
. Thus, the government has been addicted to the heroin of continuously declinin
g interest rates for a Fibonacci 34 years. Bonds are in the mother of all bubble
s -- and, as traders and market timers, we know that 34 is a very powerful Fibon
acci number.

The U. S. bond market made a major low -- and interest rates a major high -- in
the year 1899.
But how does the year 1899 relate to the current year?

1899 + 116 years = 2015

What is the significance of 116 years? 116 = 58 x 2

What is the significance of the number 58? It is not a Fibonaccci number. In t


he 1992 book, The Spiral Calendar, author Christoper Carolan shows how he discov
ered the significance of the number 58 from a Fibonacci perspective. And no, we
're not referring to 58 = 5 + 8 =13!

Carolan set out to discover how one could have foreseen the 1987 market crash fr
om a timing perspective. He saw clearly that the 1929 market high was separated
from the 1987 market high by 58 years. He decided to look for a Fibonacci conn
ection.

I am sure you are familiar with the Fibonacci sequence, but we need to examine i
t closer to understand why the number 58 is important. Here is the sequence:

1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55,89,144,233,377,610,987,1597,2584,4181,6765,10946,
17711,28657,46368,75025,121394,196418,317811,514229,832040,1346269, etc.

Carolan derived the square root of each number in the sequence. When he got to
the 29th number in the sequence, which is the number 514229, he found that the s
quare root was 717. The number 717 amazingly represented the number of moons in
58 years! A "moon" refers to the period of time from a new moon to the next ne
w moon.

Thus, market highs were connected by the square root of a Fibonacci number of mo
ons. 717 moons, to be exact.

Here are some examples of major tops and bottoms separated by 717 moons -- or 58
years:

1799 panic + 58 years = 1857 panic

1884 panic low + 58 years = 1942 panic low

1929 major high + 58 years = 1987 high

1932 major low + 58 years = 1990 low

1942 panic low + 58 years = 2000 major high

And please observe the following:

1835 high + 58 years = 1893 high + 58 years = 1951 low + 58 years = 2009 low

The year 2009 represented a major low in the market following the 2008 crash. T
hus, we can see by the above 58-year sequence that it is connected to the high i
n 1835, an indication that 1835 is a very important year.

I will discuss the 58-year timing elements further in the Webinar. However, I w
ant to point out that the year 1899 -- a major high in interest rates, is connec
ted to 2015 as we are making a major low in interest rates in the current time f
rame.

1899 + 58 = 1957 + 58 = 2015. This is the timing element that made me put down m
y calculator and go for a very long walk. It was quite apparent that something m
ajor is happening in the bond market -- something that will have long-term reper
cussions in every aspect of the economy. I think we see something about bonds an
d interest rates that not many have seen. I think 2015 will mark the beginning o
f a major high in bonds and a subsequent crash.

The fact that bonds appear to be making a major high (and interest rates a major
low) 116 years from the pivotal year of 1899 is the overall fundamental reason
that stocks are down sharply. Money has to come out of stocks to make this histo
ric high in bonds. Everyone is focused on stocks as bonds make a major high that
should be followed by a devastating crash. Fund managers are fleeing the volati
lity of stocks for the perceived safety of bonds -- and, in the process -- are s
etting themselves up for slaughter.

The situation with the bond market is beyond serious, as pension money is heavil
y invested in Treasuries as well as state and municipal bonds.

3. Gold

Gold is the metal everyone loves to hate since the 2011 high. The public has lo
st its shirt in gold. But gold is going to be a great longer-term investment onc
e the final low is in. I want to see gold get below $ 1,000 per ounce -- and we
may have to wait until next year to see the $ 1,000 level breached. Meanwhile,
I want to point out that I am observing two gold stocks:

ABX (Barrick Gold), which has declined from a 2011 high around $ 56 per share to
its current level around $ 6 per share.

HMY (Harmony Gold), which has declined from a 2011 high around $ 16 per shar to
its current level below $ 1 per share.

Just like the major low in 1999, the coming low in gold will reward patient inve
stors.

4. Currencies

What many do not understand is that most of the dollars around the world are in
the form of debt. We are on top of a major debt bubble, the likes which have not
been seen since the time of the Roman Republic. We will discuss this debt bubbl
e and its repercussions for the dollar and the other major currencies.

The future of the American dollar and the future of the stock market are tied to
gether.
The U. S. dollar has nowhere to go but up in relation to other currencies. The
rising dollar will be deflationary, but it will act as a magnet to bring foreign
money into U. S. equities once the current correction is over.

================================
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