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Q.1 A project consists of 8 activities, lettered A through H. below. For each activity, the
preceding activity is given, and a probabilistic estimate of the time required to complete it.
Times are in days.
Preceding Optimistic Most Likely Pessimistic
Activity Activity Time Time Time
A -- 2 days 4 days 6 days
B A 3 6 9
C A 2 5 11
D -- 2 10 12
E C, 4 8 15
F B,E 2 4 12
G D 3 4 11
H F,G 1 1 1
1.1. Draw an AOA network for the project.
1.2. What is the critical path?
1.3. Draw an AON network for the project. [4 x 3 =12]
Q.2 For the project in Q.1, Activity D was delayed three days by an earthquake in the area.
After the earthquake, management faced the problem of how to make up the lost time, and
how much it would cost. Estimates of crash times and costs for each activity are given
below.
Q.3 Refer to the project in Q1 and the original critical path before the earthquake.
3.1. What is the probability of finishing the project within 22 days?
3.2. What is the probability that the project will take longer than 28 days? [6 x 2 = 12]
Q.4 You are required to deliver a one hour lecture to the newly appointed trainees in
the Projects Deptt. of your company on Market Forecasting Techniques.
Prepare a comprehensive lecture giving a number of suitable examples. [12]
Q.5 A project consists of 11 activities, lettered A through K, below. For each activity, the
preceding activity is given, and a deterministic estimate of the length of time required to
complete it in weeks.
Preceding Preceding
Activity Time Activity Activity Time Activity
A 1 week - G 4 weeks E
B 3 A H 6 F
C 2 A I 2 G
D 4 C J 1 H,I
E 2 - K 1 B,D,J
F 3 E
Use the time estimates and the network for solving this problem. Today is Monday, May
1, and work on the project is just beginning. The project is scheduled to be finished on
Friday, August 11. Use this information to calculate the ES, EF, LS, and LF. Calculate
the slack for each activity. [12]
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