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How do supermarkets make money?
Posted April 11th 2012 at 11:02 pm by Ben
‘As I walked home from Whole Foods this week I wondered just how different John Mackey’s stores are from the rest of the food
retailing industry, On the surface they seem very different - Whole Foods is richly appointed relative to the other supermarkets T
frequent. How can they afford to do this?
To answer this question, I decided to take a look at a few financial operating metrics for Whole Foods and a set of publicly traded
‘competitors, Since I’m interested in operating difference, I chose to start by examining each firm’s return on assets (ROA)! Data
is readily available for:
+ CosiCa ~Membership retailer focused on low costs. Groceries area significant portion of volume.
+ The Fresh Market ~ Supermarket with similar appearance to Whole Foods. Footprint primarily on the east coast.
+ Delhaize ~ Global supermarket operator with several grocery brands in the castern US. Brands include Food Lion,
Hannaford and Sweetbay.
+ Publix ~ Employee owned supermarket chain inthe southeastern US
+ Safeway ~ National operator of large supermarkets
+ Kroger — National operator of large supermarkets under multiple brands
Unfortunately, itis difficult to disaggregate Wal-Mart's grocery performance from the rest of their business. Given that Wal-Mart is
the top food retailer in the US by sales volume, excluding it will admittedly leave out one of the most important players. On we
must go...
Returnon Assets (ROA)
20%
155
ea
—pathaize
oe att
—steusy
on ithe Fre Marit
—toser
sm hte Foods
SELL LES LESS
Source: Company flings
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‘As you can see, Whole Foods (in green) is among the best performers inthis set of supermarket competitors. Performance slipped
during 2006-2008 as Whole Foods struggled to raise the performance of over 100 recently acquired Wild Oats stores. While this
begins to tell the story, we can dig a bit deeper to gain a better understanding of what has driven the difference in performance
‘between these companies. Specifically, the net income margin and asset turnover can shed light on how profitable each
supermarket is, and how well each utilizes its assets?
Net Income / Sales
es
«
ve
ms
—Pehae
a Publix
ox er
. ees
see
os t=
oe 3 55
SESELLIFI SSE SS
Source: Company ings
Asset Turnover
“
35
30
ve
2s —Pehae
se rie
Se sitiy
1 se The Fresh Market
zai ees
see
os
oo
SHEE EES EL SS
Source: Company filings
Competition among supermarkets is fierce - most mass-market players have net income margins between I and 2% of sales, Only
Whole Foods and Publix have consistently achieved greater margins. Its interesting to note that the Wild Oats acquisition more
than halved Whole Foods net income margin from 3.5% to 1.5%,
‘Whole Foods performs near the bottom of its peers in asset turnover, however. CostCo achieves relatively high turnover with its
concrete floors, metal shelving and huge pack-sizes. Kroger has improved significantly over this time frame, although on the
surface the drivers of this improvement are unclear. Bither Kroger has become much more efficient, or they have allowed theit
assets to depreciate with low reinvestment or maintenance expenditure,
Margin performance can be further disaggregated? into
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COGS / Sales
20%
—
85%
eon conco
—bathsne
sae tl
—siteney
70% The Fresh Markae
—woeer
6 le Fos
oo
SEES IESE IPSS
Source: Company filings
SG&A / Sales
8%
ee
23% costco
—pathaize
20%
_—
158% —sifewsy
the roch Markt
—
10% es
a wrote Foods
"SP PPPSSP ESS
Here we start to see the true differences between Whole Foods and other supermarkets. Whole Foods has the lowest cost of goods
sold (COGS) among its competitors, which is synonymous with a greater markup above what Whole Foods pays for its products. In
addition, Whole Foods has the greatest selling, general and administrative (SG&A) costs as a percentage of sales. This money is
likely spent on additional staf in each store to provide & high level of service. Alternatively, CostCo has by far the greatest COGS
and therefore the lowest markups. In addition, CostCo spends very little on SG&A. These financial metrics align perfectly with
«each company’s strategy. Whole Foods provides high quality products at a higher price point delivered with a high level of service,
hile CostCo focuses solely on delivering products atthe lowest possible price. In fact, CostCo derives most if not all of its profit
from membership fees. Products are priced to simply cover operating expenses.
Asset tumover can similarly be disaggregated:
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