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SMALL BUSINESS
CREDIT SURVEY
F E D E R A L R E S E RV E B A N K S o f
Atlanta Boston Chicago Cleveland Dallas Kansas City Minneapolis
New York Philadelphia Richmond St. Louis San Francisco
TABLE OF CONTENTS
i ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
1 DEMOGRAPHICS
4 PERFORMANCE
5 GROWTH EXPECTATIONS
6 FINANCIAL CHALLENGES
10 NONAPPLICANTS
11 CREDITWORTHINESS
12 FINANCING RECEIVED
13 APPLICATIONS
17 LENDER SATISFACTION
18 FINANCING SHORTFALLS
19 METHODOLOGY
23 PARTNER ORGANIZATIONS
The Small Business Credit Survey (SBCS) is made possible through collaboration with more than 400 business organizations in communities
across the United States. The Federal Reserve Banks thank the national, regional, and community partners who share valuable insights about
small business financing needs and collaborate with us to promote and distribute the survey.1 We also thank the National Opinion Research
Center (NORC) at the University of Chicago for assistance with weighting the survey data to be statistically representative of the nations small
business population.2
Special thanks to colleagues within the Federal Reserve System, especially the Community Affairs Officers,3 and representatives from the U.S.
Department of the Treasury, U.S. Small Business Administration, the Association for Enterprise Opportunity (AEO), and The Aspen Institute for
their incisive feedback and support for this project.
Daniel Davis, Community Development Officer, Federal Reserve Bank Chad Moutray, Chief Economist, National Association
of St. Louis of Manufacturers
Menna Demessie, Vice President, Policy Analysis & Research, Robin Prager, Senior Adviser, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Congressional Black Caucus Foundation Alicia Robb, Chief Executive Officer, Next Wave Ventures
Annie Donovan, Director, CDFI Fund, U.S. Department of the Treasury Lauren Rosenbaum, Communications Manager, U.S. Network, Accion
Ingrid Gorman, Research and Insights Director, Association Lauren Stebbins, Vice President, Small Business Initiatives,
for Enterprise Opportunity Opportunity Finance Network
Tammy Halevy, Senior Vice President, New Initiatives, Association Jeffrey Stout, Director, State Small Business Credit Initiative,
for Enterprise Opportunity U.S. Department of the Treasury
Kausar Hamdani, Senior Vice President, Federal Reserve Storm Taliaferrow, Manager of Membership & Impact Assessment,
Bank of New York National Association for Latino Community Asset Builders (NALCAB)
Gina Harman, Chief Executive Officer, Accion USA Richard Todd, Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Brian Headd, Chief Economic Advisor, U.S. Small Business Holly Wade, Director of Research and Policy Analysis, National
Administration Federation of Independent Business
Joyce Klein, Director, FIELD, The Aspen Institute
Eric Weaver, Chief Executive Officer, Opportunity Fund
Karen Leone de Nie, Assistant Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank
Kristin Westmoreland, Vice President, Center for Capital Markets
of Atlanta
Competitiveness, U.S. Chamber of Commerce
Joy Lutes, Vice President of External Affairs, National Association
Allison Kroeger Zeller, Director of Research, National Retail
of Women Business Owners
Federation
John Moon, District Manager, Community Development,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
This report is the result of the collaborative effort, input, and analysis of the following teams:
We thank all of the above for their contributions to this successful national effort.
The Small Business Credit Survey (SBCS), a A common connection between personal PERSONAL FINANCES UNDERPIN
national collaboration of the Community De- finances and business financing, even for BUSINESS FINANCINGEVEN FOR
velopment Offices of the 12 Federal Reserve larger-revenue firms (annual revenues LARGER FIRMS
Banks, is designed to provide timely informa- greater than $1M). The majority of small
Forty-two percent of small businesses
tion on small business financing needs, businesses report using personal credit
rely exclusively on their owners personal
decisions, and outcomes to policy makers, scores when applying for business capital.
credit scores to secure debt; another 45%
researchers, and service providers. Intel-
More detailed findings include: use both the owners personal scores and
ligence on small firms financing needs and
business credit scores. Among larger-
gaps is fundamental to understanding and
STEADY PERFORMANCE, BUT SIGNS revenue firms, 25% rely exclusively on
bolstering the sectors health and growth.
OF SLOWING REVENUE GROWTH the owners personal credit scores and
The survey findings are complementary to
another 53% use a personal credit score in
national data on aggregate lending volumes In 2016, a majority of firms reported that
combination with a business credit score.
and lender perceptions.1 they were profitable and had growing
revenues, similar to 2015. The net share Personal guarantees are the most com-
The 2016 SBCS, which was fielded in Q3 and reporting revenue growth, however, mon means of securing debt across
Q4 2016, yielded 10,303 responses from declined from 2015.3 smaller- and larger-revenue firms.
employer firms in 50 states and the District
Sixty-one percent of employer firms faced
of Columbia.2 The report findings provide an ABOUT HALF OF NONAPPLICANTS
financial challenges in the last year.4
in-depth look at small business performance HAVE ENOUGH FUNDING; A QUARTER
and debt at the end of 2016. The most common way firms cope with ARE AVOIDING DEBT
challenges is by self-funding76% of
Heading into 2017, small businesses business owners used personal funds to Among nonapplicants, 47% indicated they
expressed continued optimism while also fill the gap. Firms also reported taking have sufficient financing.
reporting trouble making ends meet and on additional debt (44%), making a late Debt aversion is fairly common27%
accessing credit. Overall, the survey finds: payment (44%), or downsizing (43%). of nonapplicants said they didnt want
More firms applied for funding to cover to take on debt.
Steady performance, but signs of
slowing revenue growth and strains operating expenses in 2016 than did in Seventeen percent of nonapplicants
on operating funds. 2015 (45%, up from 37%).3 reported being discouraged, meaning they
did not apply for financing because they
Persistent credit gaps for smaller-revenue
CONTINUED OPTIMISM, BUT MODEST believed they would be turned down.
firms (annual revenues of $1M or less),
DEBT EXPECTATIONS
stemming in part from weak credit scores
and insufficient credit histories. Most firms are optimistic about the future,
expressing expectations for 2017 similar
Higher approvals for smaller-revenue
to those they held for 2016;3 a net 61%
firms at community development financial
expect revenues to grow and a net 39%
institutions (CDFIs), small banks, and
anticipate job growth in 2017.
online lenders than at large banks.
Borrower satisfaction among all applicant At the same time, debt expectations are
firms is highest at small banks, credit modest: 19% of firms expect to increase
unions, and CDFIs. their debt level in 2017. Thirty-four
percent of firms increased their debt
level in 2016.
1 See, for example, the SBA Office of Advocacys Quarterly Lending Bulletin; the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Councils (FFIEC) Consolidated Reports of
Condition and Income (Call Reports); and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Systems Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices.
2 A total of 15,991 firms responded to the survey; 10,303 were employer firms.
3 In order to make time-series comparisons, data from prior years' surveys have been re-weighted to represent the nation as a whole. Therefore, the values and
observation counts here may differ slightly from past reports. Please see p. 19 for more detail.
4 Financial challenges include: credit availability or securing funds for expansion, paying operating expenses, making payment on debt, and purchasing inventory
or supplies to fulfill contracts.
FINANCING APPLICATIONS ARE applicants obtaining less than the amount ABOUT THE SURVEY
STEADY; WIDESPREAD DEMAND sought, compared to 45% of larger firms
FOR SMALL LOANS (annual revenues greater than $1M). Given the breadth of the 2016 survey data,
the SBCS can be used to shed light on
Demand for financing was steady, with Smaller-revenue firms are much more
segments of the small business popula-
45% of firms applying for funding, similar likely than larger firms to attribute
tion, including startups and growing firms,
to 46% in 2015. their financing shortfalls to insufficient
microbusinesses, minority-owned firms,
credit histories and low credit scores.
Most firms (55%) were seeking $100K women-owned firms, and the self-employed
or less in financing; three quarters sought Still, within credit risk categories, (nonemployer firms). Future reports will
$250K or less.5 smaller-revenue firms are less likely focus on the financing needs and experi-
than larger firms to receive at least ences of specific segments.
On average, applicants reported a higher
some of the financing they requested.
incidence of credit risk factors than The Small Business Credit Survey (SBCS) is
nonapplicants: fewer were profitable,
SMALLER FIRMS REPORT HIGHEST an annual survey of firms with 500 or fewer
more reported low credit scores, and
APPROVALS AT CDFIS, SMALL BANKS, employees. These types of firms represent
more reported financial challenges
AND ONLINE LENDERS; APPLICANT 99.7% of all employer establishments in
in the prior year.
SATISFACTION OVERALL HIGHEST the United States.6 Respondents are asked
Loans and lines of credit are the dominant AT CDFIS, CREDIT UNIONS, AND to report information about their business
financing products. Eighty-six percent SMALL BANKS performance, financing needs and choices,
of credit applicants sought a loan or line and borrowing experiences. Responses
of credit for their business; 31% applied Smaller firms (annual revenues of $1M or to the SBCS provide insight into the dynam-
for a credit card. less) apply most frequently to traditional ics behind lending trends and shed light
lenders: large banks (49%) and small on noteworthy segments of small busi-
Firms most frequently sought financing banks (42%). They are also noticeably nesses. The SBCS is not a random sample;
at large banks (50%), small banks (46%), more likely than larger firms to apply results should be analyzed with awareness
and online lenders (21%). to online lenders: 26% vs. 12%. of potential biases that are associated
However, smaller firms are also notably with convenience samples. For detailed
LOAN AND LINE OF CREDIT APPROV-
less successful at obtaining financing information about the survey design and
ALS ARE SIMILAR TO 2015; FINANCING
from large banks (45% success) than they weighting methodology, please consult
GAPS PERSIST FOR SMALLER FIRMS
are at obtaining financing from smaller the Methodology section.
Loan and line of credit outcomes banks (60% success) or from online
were consistent with 2015; 53% lenders (59% success).
of applicants were approved for all
Successful applicants report greater
of the financing sought.5
satisfaction with credit unions (75%
Financing shortfalls were notably more net satisfaction) and small banks (75%
common among smaller firms (annual net satisfaction) than with large banks
revenues of $1M or less), with 67% of (46% net satisfaction) or online lenders
(27% net satisfaction).
5 In order to make time-series comparisons, the 2015 and 2016 Survey data have been re-weighted to represent the nation as a whole.
Therefore, the values and observation counts here may differ slightly from past reports. Please see p. 19 for more detail.
6 U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 County Business Patterns, Table CB1400A13.
14%
East North
Central
14% 5%
16% Middle
Atlantic
New
England
Pacific
7%
8% West North
Central
Mountain
20%
South
11% Atlantic
West South
Central
5%
East South
Central
Professional services
19%
and real estate
Nonmanufacturing goods
18%
production and associated services
Business support and
15%
consumer services
Retail 14%
Manufacturing 4%
1 SBCS responses throughout the report are weighted using Census data to represent the US small business population on the following dimensions: firm age, size,
industry, and geography. For details on weighting, see p. 19.
2 Firm industry is classified based on the description of what the business does, as provided by the survey participant. See Appendix for definitions of each industry.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 1
DEMOGRAPHICS (CONTINUED)
23%
20% 20%
14%
13% 83% 17%
9% Urban Rural
49% 55%
26%
21%
19%
4% 13% 5%
9%
$100K $100K$1M $1M$10M > $10M 14 59 1019 2049 50499
Annual revenue Employees
* Categories have been simplified for readability. Actual categories are:
$100K, $100,001$1M, $1,000,001$10M, >$10M.
Median number of
42% of employer firms contract workers
use contract workers. per employer firm: 3
N=10,289 N=4,595
1 SBCS responses throughout the report are weighted using Census data to represent the US small business population on the following dimensions: firm age, size,
industry, and geography. For details on weighting, see p. 19.
2 Percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding.
3 Urban and rural definitions come from Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. See Appendix for more detail.
4 Employer firms are those that reported having at least one full- or part-time employee. Does not include self-employed or firms where the owner is the only employee.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 2
DEMOGRAPHICS (CONTINUED)
65%
Under 36 8%
3645 19%
4655 31%
27%
5665 30%
8%
Over 65 13%
Low credit risk Medium credit risk High credit risk
65%
Male owned
83% 17%
Nonminority Minority
20%
Female owned
15%
Equal ownership
1 Self-reported business credit score or personal credit score, depending on which is used to obtain financing for their business. If the firm uses both, the highest risk
rating is used. Low credit risk is a 80-100 business credit score or 720+ personal credit score. Medium credit risk is a 5079 business credit score or a 620719
personal credit score. High credit risk is a 149 business credit score or a <620 personal credit score.
2 Percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding.
3 A firm is classified as minority-owned if at least half of the business is owned and controlled by minority group members.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 3
PERFORMANCE
30 29
27
21
19 18 17
10 11
2014 Survey3 (N4= 1,3691,372) 2015 Survey3 (N4=3,5783,611) 2016 Survey (N4=9,92910,128)
1 For revenue and employment growth, the index is the share reporting positive growth minus the share reporting negative growth.
For profitability, it is the share profitable minus the share not profitable.
2 Approximately the second half of the prior year through the second half of the surveyed year.
3 In order to make time series comparisons, the 2014 and 2015 Survey data have been re-weighted to represent the nation a whole.
Therefore, the values and observation counts here will differ slightly from past reports. Please see p. 19 for more detail.
4 Questions were asked separately, thus the number of observations may differ slightly between questions.
5 Percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 4
GROWTH EXPECTATIONS
N=10,017
63 61
59
39 38 39
Revenues Employment
1 Expected change in approximately the second half of the surveyed year through the second half of the following year.
2 Prior 12 months. Approximately the second half of 2015 through the second half of 2016.
3 The index is the share reporting expected positive growth minus the share reporting expected negative growth.
4 In order to make time-series comparisons, the 2014 and 2015 Survey data have been re-weighted to represent the nation as a whole.
Therefore, the values and observation counts here will differ slightly from past reports. Please see p. 19 for more detail.
5 Questions were asked separately, thus the number of observations may differ slightly between questions.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 5
FINANCIAL CHALLENGES
SHARE OF FIRMS WITH FINANCIAL CHALLENGES BY REVENUE SIZE OF FIRM, Prior 12 Months1
(% of employer firms)
61%
67%
61%
47%
of employer firms faced financial
challenges in the prior 12 months.1,2
All firms $1M > $1M
N=10,129 N=4,880 N=4,9173
Purchasing inventory or
17%
supplies to fulfill contracts
Experienced none of
these challenges 39%
43%
76%
of firms with financial
challenges used
Negotiated terms with lender 21%
personal funds to
Did not paydebt went address the problem.
8%
to collections
1 Approximately the second half of 2015 through the second half of 2016.
2 Financial challenges are listed in Types of Financial Challenges chart below.
3 Some firms chose not to answer the revenue question; therefore, the revenue breakouts may not sum to the total for all firms.
4 Respondents could select multiple options.
5 Response options unsure and other not shown in chart. See Appendix for more detail.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 6
FUNDING BUSINESS OPERATIONS
All firms
N=10,151
64% 21% 15%
$1M
63% 25% 12%
N=4,856
> $1M
69% 11% 20%
N=4,977
32%
23%
18% 19%
8%
$25K $25K$100K $100K$250K $250K$1M > $1M
* Categories have been simplified for readability. Actual categories are: $25K, $25,001$100K, $100,001$250K, $250,001$1M, >$1M.
1 Some firms chose not to answer the revenue question; therefore, the revenue breakouts may not sum to the total for all firms.
2 Approximately the second half of 2015 through the second half of 2016.
3 Expected change in approximately the second half of 2016 through the second half of 2017.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 7
RELIANCE ON PERSONAL FINANCES
USE OF PERSONAL AND BUSINESS CREDIT SCORES BY REVENUE SIZE OF FIRM 1 (% of employer firms)
All firms
N=7,523
13% 42% 45%
$1M
9% 48% 43%
N=3,715
> $1M
22% 25% 53%
N=3,627
COLLATERAL 2 USED TO SECURE OUTSTANDING DEBT BY REVENUE SIZE OF FIRM 1 (% of employer firms with debt)
55%
42%
$1M
N=3,443
37%
9%
14%
67%
65%
> $1M
N=3,698
37%
9%
7%
1 Some firms chose not to answer the revenue question; therefore, the revenue breakouts may not sum to the total for all firms.
2 Respondents could select multiple options. Response options unsure and other not shown in chart. See Appendix for more detail.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 8
DEMAND FOR FINANCING
24% Refinance
8% Other3
42%
35%
31%
28%
25%
22%
20% 19% 18% 18%
16%
12% 3% 3%
8%
1 Approximately the second half of 2015 through the second half of 2016.
2 Respondents could select multiple options.
3 Respondents who selected other were asked to explain their reason for applying. They often indicated that they were looking to start a business
or to obtain a credit line in case they needed it.
4 Some firms chose not to answer the revenue question; therefore, the revenue breakouts may not sum to the total for all firms. Percentages may not
sum to 100 due to rounding.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 9
NONAPPLICANTS
DEMAND FOR FINANCING N = 10,303 TOP REASON 2 FOR NOT APPLYING N=5,081
(% of employer firms) (% of nonapplicants)
17% Discouraged3
Credit cost high/
search too difficult
8%
NONAPPLICANT USE OF FINANCING AND CREDIT 4 Products used on a regular basis N=5,226
(% of nonapplicants)
Leasing 11%
Trade 11%
Equity investment 5%
Factoring 2%
1 Approximately the second half of 2015 through the second half of 2016.
2 Response option other not shown. See Appendix for more detail.
3 Discouraged firms are those that did not apply for financing because they believed they would be turned down.
4 Respondents could select multiple options. Response options unsure and other not shown in chart. See Appendix for more detail.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 10
CREDITWORTHINESS
73%
56% 57%
50% 52%
34%
25% 24%
All firms
N=3,451
57% 33% 10%
$1M
47% 39% 13%
N=1,616
> $1M
75% 22% 3%
N=1,765
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 11
FINANCING RECEIVED
All firms
N=4,739
40% 36% 24%
$1M
33% 38% 29%
N=2,117
> $1M
55% 31% 14%
N=2,496
SHARE RECEIVING AT LEAST SOME FINANCING BY CREDIT RISK 2 AND REVENUE SIZE OF FIRM
(% of applicants)
90%
85%
80%
70%
67% 65% 67%
49% 48%
1 Share of financing received across all types of financing. Response option unsure excluded from chart. Prior to the 2016 survey, the question was How much of the
TOTAL financing dollars your business applied for in the prior 12 months was approved? In the 2016 survey, the question was How much of the TOTAL financing dol-
lars that your business sought in the prior 12 months did you obtain?
2 Self-reported business credit score or personal credit score, depending on which is used to obtain financing for their business. If the firm uses both, the higher risk
rating is used. Low credit risk is a 80-100 business credit score or 720+ personal credit score. Medium credit risk is a 5079 business credit score or a 620719
personal credit score. High credit risk is a 149 business credit score or a < 620 personal credit score.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 12
APPLICATIONS
Equity investment
Trade credit
10%
10%
86% of applicants
applied for a loan or line of credit.
Leasing 9%
Factoring 7%
APPLICATION RATES FOR LOAN AND LINE OF CREDIT PRODUCTS 1 BY REVENUE SIZE OF FIRM
(% of loan/line of credit applicants)
41%
Line of credit 36%
51%
23%
SBA loan/
25%
line of credit
18%
15%
Auto or equipment
14%
loan
18%
14%
Personal loan 18%
8%
9%
Cash advance 11%
5%
7%
Mortgage 6%
8%
1 Respondents could select multiple options. Response option other not shown in chart. See Appendix for more detail.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 13
LOAN/LINE OF CREDIT SOURCES
Banks are the most common source of credit. Smaller firms also
frequently turn to online lenders and other sources.
52% 53%
50% 49%
46%
42%
26%
22%
21% 20%
16%
12% 13%
11% 4% 3%
6% 7%
Large bank3 Small bank Online lender4 Other5 Credit union CDFI6
1 Response options include ease of application process, speed of decision, flexibility of product offerings, referral, and other' not shown in table. See Appendix for
more detail. Respondents could select multiple options.
2 Respondents could select multiple options.
3 Respondents were provided a list of large banks (those with at least $10B in total deposits) operating in their state.
4 Online lenders are defined as nonbank alternative and marketplace lenders, including Lending Club, OnDeck, CAN Capital, and PayPal Working Capital.
5 Respondents who selected other were asked to describe the source. They most frequently cited auto/equipment dealers, farm-lending institutions, friends/family/
owner, nonprofit organizations, and private investors.
6 Community development financial institutions (CDFIs) are financial institutions that provide credit and financial services to underserved markets and populations.
CDFIs are certified by the CDFI Fund at the U.S. Department of the Treasury.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 14
LOAN/LINE OF CREDIT APPROVAL
Approval rates for loans and lines of credit were mostly unchanged from 2015.
SHARE APPROVED: LOAN AND LINE OF CREDIT APPLICANTS (% of loan/line of credit applicants)
Mortgage 68%
N=273
1 Percent of loan/line of credit applications for each product type that were approved for at least some credit.
2 Response option other not shown in chart. See Appendix for more detail.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 15
LOAN/LINE OF CREDIT APPROVAL (CONTINUED)
ALL FIRMS
77%
67%
62%
54%
46%
Large bank5
45% N=1,890
72%
Credit union
43% N=280
63%
1 Community development financial institutions (CDFIs) are financial institutions that provide credit and financial services to underserved markets and populations.
CDFIs are certified by the CDFI Fund at the U.S. Department of the Treasury.
2 Percent of loan/line of credit applications at each source that were approved for at least some credit.
3 Response option other not shown in chart. See Appendix for more detail.
4 Online lenders are defined as nonbank alternative and marketplace lenders, including Lending Club, OnDeck, CAN Capital, and PayPal Working Capital.
5 Respondents were provided a list of large banks (those with at least $10B in total deposits) operating in their state.
6 The observation count varies by the source of credit.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 16
LENDER SATISFACTION
Successful applicants were most satisfied with small banks and credit unions.
Large bank3
N=1,118
61% 24% 15%
REASONS 1,5 FOR DISSATISFACTION, Select Lenders6 (% of employer firms dissatisfied with lender)
6%, 6%
3%, 3%
High interest rate
33%
Unfavorable repayment terms
44% 45%
19% Long wait for credit decision
17% Difficult application process
44% 42% Lack of transparency
26%
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 17
FINANCING SHORTFALLS
All firms
N=4,739
60%
$1M
67%
N=2,117
> $1M
45%
N=2,496
REASONS 1 FOR CREDIT DENIAL BY REVENUE SIZE OF FIRM (% of applicants with a financing shortfall)
1 Respondents could select multiple options. Response options other and unfair lending practices not shown. See Appendix for more detail.
2016 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | REPORT ON EMPLOYER FIRMS Source: Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks 18
METHODOLOGY
DATA COLLECTION the weighted distribution of firms in the SBCS Moreover, geographic coverage and weighting
matches the distribution of the small (1 to strategies varied from year to year. In the
The Small Business Credit Survey (SBCS)
499 employees) firm population in the United employer/nonemployer combined report
uses a convenience sample of establish-
States by number of employees, age, industry, using 2014 survey data, geographic coverage
ments. Businesses are contacted by email
and geographic location (census division and includes only 10 states and data are weighted
through a diverse set of organizations that
urban or rural location). We collaborate with by firm age, nonemployer/employer, number
serve the small business community.1 Prior
the National Opinion Research Center (NORC) of employees (if employer firm), state, and
SBCS participants and small businesses
in order to calculate these weights. The data industry. The employer report using 2015
on publicly available email lists2 are also
used for weighting come from data collected survey data covers 26 states and is weighted
contacted directly by one of the Federal
by the U.S. Census Bureau.3 While weighting by firm age, number of employees, and indus-
Reserve Banks. The survey instrument is
the data makes the sample considerably try. The employer report using 2016 survey
an online questionnaire that typically takes
more representative of the small firm popula- data includes respondents from all 50 states
6 to 12 minutes to complete, depending upon
tion, the SBCS is still potentially affected by and the District of Columbia. The data are
the intensity of a firms search for financing.
nonresponse bias, something that should weighted by firm age, number of employees,
The questionnaire uses question branching
be taken into consideration when interpreting industry, and geographic location (census di-
and flows based upon responses to survey
the results. vision and urban or rural location). In addition
questions. For example, financing applicants
to being weighted by different firm charac-
receive a different line of questioning than
teristics over time, the categories used within
nonapplicants. Therefore, the number COMPARISONS TO PAST REPORTS
each characteristic have also differed across
of observations for each question varies
Because previous SBCS reports have varied survey years (there were three employee size
according to how many firms receive and
in terms of the population scope, geographic categories in 2015, and five employee size
complete a particular question.
coverage, and weighting methodology, the categories in 2016). Further, respondents are
survey reports are not directly comparable weighted according to the composition of
WEIGHTING across time. firms in the geographic area of coverage.
A sample for the SBCS is not selected For example, both employer and nonem- In addition to population scope, geographic
randomly; thus, the SBCS may be subject ployer firm results from the 2014 survey are coverage, and weighting differences, some
to biases not present with surveys that do combined into one report (published in of the survey questions have also changed
select firms randomly. For example, there 2015) while employers and nonemployers slightly from year to year, making some ques-
are likely small employer firms not on one are divided into separate reports for the tion comparisons impossible even when
of our contact lists and this may lead to a 2015 and 2016 surveys (published in 2016 using a time-consistent weighting approach.
noncoverage bias. We control for potential and 2017,4 respectively).
biases by weighting the sample data so that
COMPARISONS OVER TIME five employee size categories, one of six age
categories, one of eight industry categories,
Throughout this report we compare 2016 sur-
and one of two location categories (urban
vey data to past surveys. To do this, we apply
or rural).5 The 2016 survey results are also
a time-consistent weighting approach to each
stratified by census division. Last, using
years data, which is described below. Not
a statistical technique known as raking,
all questions across 2014, 2015, and 2016
we compare the share of businesses in each
survey years can be compared. The table
category of each stratum (e.g., within the
below summarizes which key statistics can be
industry stratum, the share of firms in the
compared over time. For the 2015 and 2016
sample that are manufacturers) to the share
surveys, most of the data can be compared.
of small businesses in the nation in that
In order to compare the survey data over time, category. As a result, we up-weight underrep-
we employ the following consistent weighting resented firms and down-weight overrepre-
methodology. We start by limiting the sample sented ones. We iterate this process several
in each year to only employer firms. We then times for each stratum in order to derive the
post-stratify respondents by their firm char- sample weight for each respondent.
acteristics. We place respondents into one of
2014
2015
2016
Note: Yellow indicates the survey question in that year cannot be compared with other survey years.
5 Employee size strata are: 14 employees, 59 employees, 1019 employees, 2049 employees, and 50-500 employees. Age size strata are 02 years, 35 years,
610 years, 1115 years, and 16+ years. Industry strata are non-manufacturing goods production and associated services, manufacturing, retail, leisure and
hospitality, finance and insurance, healthcare and education, professional services and real estate, business support and consumer services. See Appendix for
industry definitions, urban and rural definitions, and census divisions.
ROBUSTNESS CHECKS
Chart 1: Key Statistics from the 2016 Survey, by Weighting Methodology
We perform two consistency checks on our
methodology for generating time-consistent
Percent that applied 45%
data. The first is a test on whether the 45%
sub-national data in 2014 and 2015 can be 71%
Percent with outstanding debt 71%
weighted to appropriately represent busi-
nesses nationwide. In order to test this, we Profitability index1
25%
27%
use the 2016 data and restrict the survey
respondent data to only the 26 states that we 22%
Revenue growth index1 21%
surveyed in 2015. We then weight the results
16%
of the respondents in those 26 states to be Employment growth index1 17%
representative of the nations distribution of Loan/line of credit 77%
employer firms (along industry, employee size, approval rate2 76%
age, and urban versus rural). Comparisons Seeking financing to cover 44%
operating expenses3 45%
of many of our key statistics are shown in
Chart 1. Seeking financing to expand/ 64%
pursue new opportunity3 64%
Chart notes:
1 For revenue and employment growth, the index is the share reporting positive growth minus the share
reporting negative growth. For profitability, it is the share profitable minus the share not profitable during
the 12 months prior to the survey.
2 The share of loan and line of credit applicants that were approved for at least some financing.
3 Percent of applicants.
4 Discouraged firms are those that did not apply for financing because they believed they would be turned down.
5 There are slightly more observations using the time-consistent method because we do not drop not-for-profit
organizations or observations in states that have a total of less than 25 responses.
CREDIBILITY INTERVALS
Table 2: Credibility Intervals for Key Statistics in the 2016 Employer Report
The analysis in this report is aided by the
Credibility Interval
use of credibility intervals. Where there are
large differences in estimates between types Percent that applied 45.3% +/-1.3%
of businesses or survey years, we perform Percent with outstanding debt 70.7% +/-1.3%
additional checks on the data to determine Profitability index1 26.5% +/-2.1%
whether the difference appears significant.
Revenue growth index1 21.3% +/-2.1%
The results of these tests help guide our
analysis and help us decide what ultimately Employment growth index1 16.8% +/-2.2%
is included in the report. In order to determine Loan/line of credit approval rate2 76.3% +/-2.0%
whether a difference is significant, we develop Seeking financing to cover operating expenses3 44.6% +/-1.9%
credibility intervals using a balanced half-
Seeking financing to expand/ pursue new opportunity3 63.6% +/-1.9%
sample approach.6 Because the SBCS does
not come from a probability-based sample, Percent of nonapplicants that are discouraged4 17.2% +/-1.5%
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO National Development CouncilGreater Salt Lake Area
Accion San Diego Nevada Small Business Development Center
California Small Business Association Northern Nevada SCORE
Chamber of Commerce Hawaii Orange County / Inland Empire Regional SBDC
College of the Canyons Small Business Development Center Orange County SBDC
Clearinghouse CDFI
Pacific Asian Consortium in Employment (PACE)
Council for Native Hawaiian Advancement
Patsy T. Mink Center for Business & Leadership
Enterprise Honolulu (Oahu Economic Development Board)
SBA, Hawaii District Office
Fresno SBA Office
State of Hawaii Department of Commerce and Consumer
Hawaii Alliance for Community Based Economic Development Affairs Business Action Center
Hawaii Green Infrastructure Authority State of Hawaii, Department of Business, Economic
Hawaii Small Business Development Center Development & Tourism