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PUT-CALL
PPUT-CALL ARITY
(PCP)
PARITY (PCP) Put
Utility
Values
and
State
Prices
Prepaid
Forward
&
Forward
L < p < (q )
f : Utility
value
per
dollar
in
the
up
state
",$ = ",$ '
*($,")
p L < p L
G : Utility
value
per
dollar
in
the
down
state
Dividend
Structure
'
",$ ()
European:
p L < p L
f = f = ,*x
No
"
' Ou ,' Ot ' O ,'(Ou )
< v
G = 1 G = 1 ,*x
Discrete
" PV(Divs)
Ou ,Ot Ov ,Ou
,*x = f + G
= f f 5x + G G 5x
Continuous
" ,5($,")
= f f + G G
BINOMIAL
MODEL
BINOMIAL MODEL f
Dividend
Structure
",$ ()
=
Replicating
Portfolio
f + G
No
" *($,")
An
option
can
be
replicated
by
buying
shares
, , s , 'f"
Discrete
" *($,") AV(Divs)
'f" s
of
the
underlying
stock
and
lending
at
the
Continuous
" (*,5)($,")
risk-free
rate.
PCP
for
Stock
f G G f
= ",$ '
,*($,")
= ,5x
= ,*x
LOGNORMAL
LOGNORMALMODEL
MODEL
PCP
for
Exchange
Option
= +
Lognormal
Model
for
Stock
Prices
,
,
~ , p = ~ , p
receive
, give
up
give
up
, receive
Call
Put
= c}C.
u
' '
(, ) (, ) = ",$ ",$
+
u
= p 1
, = ,
+
$
PCP
for
Currency
Exchange
Risk-neutral
Probability
Pricing
For
> , ln ~ , p
"
C C
G
I
*,5 x
=
= 0.5 p
C , C , = C ,*J $ ,*K $
p = p
L L
G C , = C I ,
where
C
is
in
/
= ,*x f + 1 G
$ |" = " ({,5)($,")
MN O
C *,5 x = f + 1 G
$ |" = $ |" p 1
u
PCP
for
Bonds
= " ",$ ,*($,")
Realistic
Probability
Pricing
u
$ = " {,5,C.~ $," }~ $,"
, ~(0,1)
" = Bond
price
at
time
{,5 x u
=
Median = " {,5,C.~ $,"
= ,|x
f + 1 G
Covariance
$
C {,5 x = f + 1 G
" , $ = " C
COMPARING
COMPARING
OPTIONS
OPTIONS {x *x "
Bounds
for
Option
Prices
|x = +
Probability
Call
and
Put
Standard
Binomial
Tree
(Forward
Tree)
Pr $ < = p
Pr $ > = +p
bcd* ef* max 0, ' ,*$
= *,5 x}~ x
= *,5 x,~ x
ln " + ( 0.5 p )( )
bcd* ef* max 0, ,*$ '
p =
*,5 x 1
European
vs.
American
Call
= =
1 + ~ x Prediction
Interval
(Confidence
Interval)
' ef* max 0, ' ,*$
bcd* max
(0, )
Cox-Ross-Rubinstein
Tree
The
(1 )
prediction
interval
is
given
by
$
and
European
vs.
American
Put
= ~ x
=
,~ x
$
such
that
Pr $ < $ < $ = 1 .
Lognormal
Tree
(Jarrow-Rudd
Tree)
u
,*$ ef* max 0, ,*$ '
$ = " {,5,C.~ $," }~ $,"
u u
bcd* max
(0, )
= *,5,C.~ x}~ x
= *,5,C.~ x,~ x
$ = " {,5,C.~ u $," }~ $,"
Early
Exercise
of
American
Option
No-Arbitrage
Condition
Pr < = = ,L
American
Call
Arbitrage
is
possible
if
the
following
inequality
is
2 2
Nondividend-paying
stock
not
satisfied:
= = ,L
< *,5 x <
2
o Early
exercise
is
never
optimal.
Conditional
and
Partial
Expectation
o bcd* = ef*
Option
on
Currencies
$ $ <
Dividend-paying
stock
C C
G
I
$ $ < =
o Early
exercise
is
not
optimal
if
Pr $ <
= *K ,*J x}~ x
= *K ,*J x,~ x
" {,5 $,"
L
Dividends <
=
*K ,*J x
Interest
on
the
strike + Implicit
Put
=
p
American
Put
$ $ >
Early
exercise
is
not
optimal
if
Option
on
Futures
Contracts
$ $ > =
Pr $ >
Interest
on
the
strike <
",$ = " (*,5)($ ,")
{,5 $,"
" +L
Dividends + Implicit
Call
= Expiration
date
of
the
option
=
= Expiration
date
of
the
futures
contract
+p
Different
Strike
Prices
For
L < p < q :
ln " + + 0.5 p
" ",$
L =
Call
1 f G
L > p > q
=
=
p = L
L p < p L
European:
L p < p L
= ,*x
f + 1 G
Expected
Option
Payoffs
s Ot ,s Ou s O ,s Ov Call
Payoff = " {,5 $," L p
> u
{,5 $,"
Ou ,Ot Ov ,Ou Put
Payoff = p " L
Return
on
Asset
2
= p + p p
= ,
= + p 2 ,
C
Total
return
on
the
portfolio
= L L + L L + p p + p p
Delta-Gamma-Theta
Approximation
is
minimized
when:
1
, The
coefficient
of
= L L L + p p p
+ , (, ) = + p +
L
= =
Risk-free
The
coefficient
of
= 0
2
L
p
= + ()
p p p L L L
L =
p =
p
When
is
set
to
minimize
:
L L p p =
= p
=
= 1 , p
Risk-neutral
Pricing
Antithetic
Variate
Method
= +
()
For
every
,
also
simulate
using
1 .
For
every
,
also
simulate
using
.
= +
()
Stratified
Sampling
= +
= +
Break
the
sampling
space
into
equal
size
spaces.
True
Measure
Risk-neutral
Measure
Then,
scale
the
uniform
numbers
into
the
equal
size
spaces.
~ 0,
~ 0,
~ ,
~ ,