Debbie Hemmerich

Math 1040
Part 2
4/27/17

Explain in general the purpose and meaning of a confidence interval:

The confidence interval is to help provide boundaries within which we will be a certain
percent confident to find the point estimate.

With the first confident interval we are 99% confident that the proportion of yellow
candies lie between the intervals:

.185 ------------ .227

With the second confidence interval, we are 95% confident that the interval of the true
mean estimate lies between the intervals:

58.86 ------------------- 60.93

Explain in general the purpose and meaning of a hypothesis test:

A hypothesis test is a statistical test to discover whether there is enough evidence in a

simple random sample to imply a specific condition that is true for the population or mean of
those individuals.
Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that 20% of all Skittles candies are red. Classical Method:

Zo = .204-.20 = 0.501
.20 ( .80 )
2515

Ho: p = .20
H1: p .20
-1.96 0.501 1.96 =0.05

.501 is not in the shaded region, therefore we fail to reject Ho.

Use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that the mean number of candies in a bag of Skittles
is 55. Using classical method:

to = 59.9 55

3.32 =9.56
42

Ho: =55

-2.423 2.423 9.56 H1: 55

=0.01

9.56 is within the shaded reigon. We are rejecting the null hypothesis because evidence
supports that the mean number of candies per bag is not 55.

Reflection

When doing interval estimates and hypothesis tests you must have several different
things to keep your end conclusion organized and unbiased. Some of these things would be that
you do pre-tests by making sure it is a simple random sample, also be sure to double check that
the independence n is less or equal to 0.05N and plugging into our check equation np(1-p) is >
10.

Our personal skittles data was taken from a simple random sample and meets all the
requirements. Possible errors would be that we did not enter our numbers into the calculator
correctly, used incorrect equations for example the to instead of Zo. We could improve the
sampling method by possibly expanding and including other statistics classes around the
county of Salt Lake City that way giving us a larger proportion to work with and of course it
never hurts to perform the statistic tests multiple times because that will weed out any small
errors you may have made.