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H.O.D.
Dr. A.P. Shukla
Head Of Department, B.Com (CA)
A.P.S. University, Rewa
SUBMITTED TO :- SUBMITTED BY:-
Dr. Priyanka Shukla Saurav Kumar
Department of B.com (CA) Pandey
Govt. TRS (Darbaar) College Rewa B.Com.(CA) VIth Sem
Roll No. 1418127
A team of trustees to oversee the operations and to provide checks for the
efficient, profitable and transparent operations of the fund and
In this category, the funds differ with one another with respect to the
types of securities which comprise the portfolio. Different fiinds are designed
to cater to the risk and returns profile of different types of investors. Thus
objectives of the funds differed significantly giving rise to following types.
^ Growth Funds
^ Income Funds
^ Bonds Funds
^ GUt Funds
Fund aims to generate returns commensurate with the index it tracks. This is
done by investing in all the stocks comprising the index in approximately the
weightage that they represent in the specific index.
^ Sector Funds
The Gold Exchange Traded Funds are a special type of exchange traded
fijnd that tracks the price of gold. Gold exchange traded funds are traded on all
the major stock exchanges including BSE and NSE.
^ Miscellaneous Funds
^ Open-Ended Funds
The genesis of Mutual Funds in India can be traced to the year when the Indian
Parliament enacted the Unit Trust of India (UTI) Act. The significance of the
establishment of UTI Act which reads as : An Act to provide for the
establishment of a Corporation with a view to encouraging saving and
investment and participation in the
A new trend in the Mutual Fund Industry began with the entry of private sector
funds and foreign asset management companies. The asset under management
of Mutual Fund companies in different sectors from 2000-2008 is shown in
According to above Table, UTI mobilised Rs. 76547 crores in the year of 2000
and it decreased to Rs. 13516 crores in 2003. The reason for the decreasing
trend was that UTI was bifurcated into two separate entities. In the case of
bank sponsored Mutual Funds, the AUM was increased from Rs. 7842 crores
to 81229 crores during the period of 2000 to2008. It is to be noted that bank
sponsored Mutual Funds increased more than ten times during the period.
Institution sponsored Mutual Fund Companies earned Rs. 14337 crores in the
year of 2008. It is nearly three times higher than that of 2005. It is understood
that the Private Sector Mutual Funds played the dominant role in the Mutual
Fund Industry. While their total AUM was nearly 90% of total AUM of Mutual
Fund Industry in the year of 2008, it is to be noted that the total AUM of
Mutual Fund Companies increased nearly five times from 2000 to 2008.
Table 1.6 reveals the Asset Under Management of different Mutual Fund
Schemes from 2000 to 2008. It is clear from the above Table that the Mutual
Funds Schemes have been broadly classified into eight different types. The
Table indicates that Income Funds acquired higher assets than all other fiinds.
The Income Funds have nearly 50 percent of AUM from the total AUM in the
year 2008. The GroAvth Funds' AUM increased from Rs. 30611 crores in the
year of 2000 to Rs. 156722 crores in the year 2008. The Liquid/ Money Market
Mutual Fund Schemes' AUM also increased year by year. It indicates that the
investors belong to the low risk category and they increased year by year.
Diversification
Easy Administration
Easy Liquidity
Transparency
FlexibiUty
Affordability, and
The above discussion has provided a conceptual framework for Mutual Ftmds.
Different types of Mutual Funds Schemes are presented here. It has discussed
the phases of development of Mutual Funds since the inception to the present
scenario. In doing so, the growth of Asset Under Management of Mutual Funds
Industry was also observed from 2000 to 2008.
This chapter presents the review of previous research studies made in the
area of Mutual Funds. Articles published in national / international journals,
websites and books were used to compile the review of this study. Mohinder N.
Kaura and Jayadev.M (1995), in their paper entitled,
The study found that there was a general shift in the investment strategy of
holding a diversified portfolio and in optimizing the risk-returns of investments
to invest in
Maria Doceu Cortez and Florinda Silva (2002), in their study on Conditioning
Information on Portfolio Performance Evaluation: A Re-examination of
Performance Persistence in the Portuguese Mutual Fund Market, analyzed
the performance of sample of Portuguese stock funds using both unconditional
and conditional measures. They found that the incorporation of public
information variables were an important contribution to the process of
evaluating fund performance. The authors concluded that time varying betas
might allow for a better assessment of performance. However, they emphasized
that further research was needed on Q
^^ Nicolas P.B. BoUen and Jeffrey A. Busse (2004), in their article entitled,
"Short-Term Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance", examined the
issue of determination in mutual fund performance emphasing short
measurement period. The authors have suggested that misspecification of the
14 Submitted By: Saurav Kumar
Pandey
performance model was not driving the results. The results found no evidence
of ability using the concatenated returns and isolated a negative long-term
The Mutual Funds Industry is one of the fast growing sectors in hidia smce the
initiation of economic reforms in 1991. However, growth of Mutual Funds
haveposed difficulties to investors in making a selection of suitable schemes
since there are more than 600 schemes, as on December 2007. The issues
related to the choice of schemes among the public and private sector fiinds on
the one hand and high risk associated schemes such as equity funds on the
other, have become highly important for every investor. It is relevant that even
a single wrong decision of Fund Manager may put the investors in financial
crisis, some times leading to their bankruptcy. Therefore a proper performance
evaluation measure is required as it will remove confusion and help the small
investors in selecting suitable Mutual Funds Schemes for investment. The
performance evaluation of Mutual Funds and the identification of successfixl
Fund Managers are of great interest to investors, general public and
academicians. A number of studies have been conducted across the world,
including India, to find out the performance of Mutual Funds by using different
performance measures. The researchers have used different tools like Treynor,
Sharpe, Fama and Jenson Models and Treynor and Mazuy (TM) and
Henriksson and Merton (HM) under both conditional and unconditional
Models. The earlier studies analysed the market timing and stock selection
abilities of Fund Managers by using only variables like Forex Reserves,
Interest Rate and Market Dividend Yield. But there was no comprehensive
study conducted by considering variables like GOI Bonds Indices having
different maturity periods. Hence the present study has been made to fill this
16 Submitted By: Saurav Kumar
Pandey
research gap and analyze the performance of Open Ended Equity Mutual Fund
Schemes and analyse the market timing and stock selection ability. Against this
background, the present study entitled, "Analysis of Market Timing and Stock
ability and stock selection ability of Managers of Equity Mutual Fund Schemes
by
Generally Equity Mutual Funds experience more risk than other funds.
Besides, only Equity Funds are more relevant to the concepts of market timing
and security selection rather than Debt Fund. Hence the present study aims at
analysing the performance of Open Ended Equity Funds during the period of
2002 to 2007. It is lso proposed to examine the stock selection abilities and
market timing abilities of Fund Managers by using six variaTjles like 91 days
Treasury Bills Returns, GOI Bonds of 1 to 3 years maturity period returns, 3 to
8 years maturity period returns,
3. To compare the sample Mutual Funds Returns with their respective market
returns,
benchmark through the relation to their systematic risk and total variability,
Sample Selection
Equity Funds in India during the period of 1^' January 2002 to 31^* December
2007. For
sample was selected from the Mutual Fund Companies whose schemes with
daily NAV
The present study on the performance of sample Equity Mutual Funds schemes
covered a period of six years from January 1, 2002 to December 31, 2007. For
the purpose of analysis, benchmark portfolio and other macro economic factors
were collected for the same period.
In the last chapter, an attempt was made to review the relevant literature and
appropriate research design. The present chapter presents an analysis of the
performance of selected sample Mutual Fund Schemes. The prime objective of
ll Mutual Funds is to ensure adequate profitability for small investors on their
hardearned money deposited with Mutual Funds. Hence Fund Managers have
to exercise at most caution while choosing an investment portfolio. The
investors assume risk in the hope of generating extra returns on their portfolios.
Generally in India, the fiinds of Equity Mutual Funds Schemes are invested
mostly in equity. It is important to note that Equity Mutual Funds Schemes do
have a higher risk and so investors expect higher returns than under other
schemes. Thus the choice of a risk measure would depend on the risk of the
managed portfolio and it is diversified at the level of the Portfolio Manager.
risk. The sample Mutual Funds that provide the highest returns per unit of risk
would be considered as the best performer. Thus, there are two such measures
that were commonly used for performance evaluation. There are Treynor
reward to volatility ratio and Sharpe reward to variability ratio. Hence the
present study uses these two ratios to measure the performance of Mutual
Funds. For the purpose of this study, this chapter is classified into two sections.
To study the risk and returns relationship, the year wise and option wise
analysis are made in the present section as given below.
It may be concluded that alpha and beta values of all schemes were not
ignificantly related. It indicates that there is no significant relationship between
risk and returns of sample schemes and the market in 2002.
As a whole, the analysis of the risk and returns relationship indicates that
majority of sample (equity) schemes' performances were not significantly
related to their market movements during the study period. It is evidenced from
the results of tbeta values that the statistical hypothesis - 1 "There is No
Significant Relation between Rislcs and Returns of the Sample Equity
Mutual Fund during the Study Period" is proved because very few sample
schemes showed significant t - values. The overall conclusion from the above
analysis indicates that according to talpha values, majority of sample schemes'
returns were not significantly different from their market returns. However,
very few number of sample schemes' returns were significantly different from
their market returns during the study period. Therefore, the hypothesis - 2
"There is No Significant Difference Between the Market Returns and the
Sample Equity Mutual Funds Returns during the Study Period" is
partially accepted.
SECTION - B
An attempt has been made in this section to study the volatility ratio and
ariability ratio (the year wise and option wise analysis).
The results of Treynor and Sharpe ratios of sample Equity Mutual Fund
Fund - Dividend was ranked first under Treynor as well as Sharpe Ratios. In
terms of Sharpe Ratio, the top five performers were ICICI Prudential FMCG
Fund Dividend (0.2837), Biria Sun Life Buy India Fund - Plan A (Dividend)
(0.1846), HDFC Equity Fund - Dividend (0.1644), Principal Child Benefit
Fund (Super Saver) Dividend Option (0.1554) and HDFC Top 200 Fund -
Dividend (0.1518). The overall observations of the above Table show that
selected sample schemes exhibited conflicting performance under Treynor and
Sharpe Ratios. The reason is that sample schemes did not take the same amount
of total risk and market risk. The results of Treynor and Sharpe Ratios of
sample Equity Mutual Fund Schemes (Dividend Option) in the year of 2006
are shown in. It is understood that only fourteen schemes out of thirty five
schemes outperformed their benchmark ratios under Treynor Ratio. The top
five out performing schemes were Biria India Opportunities Fund - Dividend
(0.1824), DSP Merrill Lynch Equity Fund - Regular Plan - Dividend (0.0403),
Principal Growth Fund - Dividend (0.0401), Biria MNC Fund - Dividend
(0.0285) and Biria Sun Life Equity Fund - Plan A Dividend)(0.0277). It is to
be noted from the Table that out of thirty five sample schemes, only ten
schemes out performed under Sharpe Ratio. Schemes like Principal Child
Benefit Fund (Super Saver) - Dividend (0.1179), DSP Merrill Lynch Equity
Fund Regular Plan - Dividend (0.0877), Biria Advantage Fund - Plan A
(Dividend) (0.0755), Biria India Opportunities Fund - Dividend (0.0715) and
LICMF Growth Fund Dividend Option (0.0563) were the best five
performers under Sharpe Ratio.
It is to be noted from the Table that the top five schemes under Sharpe Ratios
ere Principal Child Benefit Fund (Super Saver) - Dividend (0.1286), ICICI
Prudential FMCG Fund - Dividend (0.0845), Birla Sun Life Buy hidia Fund -
Plan A (Dividend) (0.0754) and LICMF Growth Fund - Dividend Option
(0.0723) and Birla Sun Life Equity Fund - Plan A (Dividend) (0.0705). From
the overall analysis of the above Table, it is clear that more than 50 percent of
sample schemes (under Dividend Option) performed better than their
respective benchmarks during the study period.
The previous chapter discussed the market timing ability of Mutual Fund
Managers. But an attempt has been made in this chapter to appraise the stock
selection abilities of Mutual Fund Managers by using unconditional and
conditional models. The stock selection skills involve micro forecasting of the
price movements of the individual stock relative to the market and
identification of the individual stocks that are under or over valued relative to
the equities in general. There are a number of models and studies available to
find out the stock selection ability of Fund Managers according to micro
forecasting of market movements. The present study used four models to test
whether Fund Managers generated superior performance through their stock
selection abilities or not. These models are Unconditional and Conditional
Treynor and Mazuy Model and Unconditional and Conditional Henriksson and
Merton Model. The unconditional models check the stock selection ability of
Fund Managers by using stock market movement of bull and bear market
conditions at micro level. The conditional models check the information
efQciency of Fund Managers for selecting the stocks at macro level. For the
purpose of this study, 91 days Treasury Bills Returns, Index Returns for GOI
Bonds with maturity 1 to 3 years, GOI Bonds with maturity 3 to 8 years, GOI
Bonds with greater than 8 years. Dividend Yield of the Market Index and
Global Market Index - S&P GLOBAL 1200 Returns were used to test
informational efficiency of Fund Managers under conditional models.
Section - A
Section - A
In order to test stock selection ability of Equity Fund Managers, the sample
Mutual Fund schemes were grouped into two different options, Dividend and
Growth. Hence their stock selection ability in terms of option has been
analyzed. Table - 5.1 demonstrates the stock selection ability of sample Equity
Mutual Fund Schemes' Managers (Dividend) under unconditional TM and HM
Models in the year 2002. It is understood from the Table that out of thirty five
sample schemes under Dividend Option, nineteen sample schemes registered
positive alpha value while sixteen sample schemes recorded negative alpha
value. Reliance Growth Fund Dividend proved their superior performance of
stock selection skills under unconditional TM (a = 0.0018, t-a = 3.2024) and
HM (a = 0.0017, t-a = 2.1978) Models. According to unconditional TM Model,
four sample schemes showed better positive and significant stock selection
ability of Fund Managers at 1% and 5% level. Three sample schemes proved
their better selection skills positively under unconditional HM Models at 1%
and 5% level of significance. Franklin India Prima Fund - Dividend suffered
31 Submitted By: Saurav Kumar
Pandey
under negative stock selection ability under both unconditional TM Model (a =
-0.0022, t-a = -1.9951) and HM Model (a = -0.0041, t-a -2.7211). It may be
concluded that only four Fund Managers of sample schemes under
unconditional TM Model and three sample schemes under unconditional HM
Model enjoyed better stock selection abilities in relation to up and down
market movements.
Table - 5.3 illustrates the stock selection ability of sample Equity Schemes' Managers (Dividend)
under unconditional TM and HM Models in the year 2004. The stock selection ability of ICICI
Prudential FMCG Fund - Dividend and Principal Child Benefit Fund (Super Saver) - Dividend
realised better earning stocks during up and down market conditions under unconditional TM and
HM Models. It is noted from the Table that the stock selection of HDFC Equity Fund - Dividend (a =
0.0049, t-a = 2.7844) and HDFC Growth - Dividend (a = 0.0052, t-a - 3.1361) reflected superior
stock picking ability under unconditional HM Models only. The overall analysis indicates that stock
selection ability of Fund Managers of different schemes was not good in the year 2004. However,
ICICI Prudential FMCG Fund - Dividend, Principal Child Benefit Fund (Super Saver) - Dividend,
HDFC Equity Fund - Dividend and HDFC Growth - Dividend had acquired better stock in bull and
bear market conditions under unconditional TM and HM Models
1. hidian Mutual Funds Industry is relatively new but it has grown at a rapid
speed influencing various sectors of financial markets and the national
economy.
3. The UTI began its operations in July 1964 by launching its first scheme
namely, US-64 (an Open-Ended Scheme). Later, it launched several innovative
and widely accepted schemes as Children's Gift Growth Fund Unit Scheme in
1986 and Master Share in October 1986, which was the first Closed-Ended
Scheme in India.
4. The net resource mobilization of UTI started with Rs. 1.27 crores in 1965-66
and the amount increased to Rs. 1345.34 crores at the end of the first phase
(1986-87).
5. It is found that during the period 1987-1992, eight new Mutual Funds
Companies, which include six Public Sector Banks and two the Insurance
Corporations, were incorporated.
9. According to risk and returns analysis of this study, only two sample
schemes, namely, Principal Child Benefit Fund (Super Saver) - Dividend and
ING Vysya Select Stock Fund - Dividend under Dividend Option were
significantly related to their market risk and returns during the study period.
10. It is to be noted fi-om the analysis that there was no significant relationship
between selected sample schemes under Growth Option and the market in
terms of risk and returns relationships during the period 2002 to 2007.
11. The t-alpha values calculated for this study indicate that the majority of the
sample schemes' excess returns were not significantly different from their
market returns.
12. It is clear that more than 50 percent of sample schemes under Dividend
Option performed better than their respective benchmarks during the study
period. At the same time, more than two thirds of sample schemes under
Growth Options outperformed their benchmark but not significantly.
13. From the ranking orders of sample schemes, it was found that schemes
were not equal under both Treynor and Sharpe Ratios. The reason for such
conflict was due to the fact that Sharpe Ratio considered the total risk whereas
the Treynor Ratio considered only the systematic risk.
36 Submitted By: Saurav Kumar
Pandey
SUGGESTIONS TO THE INVESTORS-
1. Investors should first set their investment goal. After that they have to select
the schemes and option according to their goals and returns earning needs.
2. As the Equity Mutual Fund Schemes do assume more risk than other Income
and Balanced Schemes, investors, with appetite for risk, are advised to select
Equity Mutual Funds Schemes for investment.
3. The study found that no one sample fimd performed better under all
measures during the study period. Hence investors must investigate the fiind
performance before they invest their money.
4. The year wise analysis of the present study shows that no one sample
scheme earned either positive or negative value continuously during the entire
study period. Hence investors are advised to select the schemes for investing
based on the long term performance.
6. Mutual Funds operations utilized the public money of investors. Hence Fund
Managers have to use this public money in a proper way and distribute
reasonable returns to investors.
7. Fund Managers must find the portfolio allocation under risk and returns
proposition. After that they have to select the stocks for fund allocation.
1. The study with similar objectives could be made fi-om time to time.
2. The study with similar objectives could be made with reference to other type
of Mutual Fund Schemes like hicome Mutual Fund Schemes, Different Sector
Mutual Fund Schemes and Debt Mutual Fund Schemes.
5. The study may cover more economic factors like inflation rate, currency
exchange rate and GDP for analysis. 6. Similar type of study may be attempted
with increasing the study period with similar objectives.
7. The study may analyze the entry and exit load of Mutual Funds Schemes.
CONCLUSION
WEBSITE
1. www. amfiindia. com
2. www.bse-india.com
3. www.businessline.com
4. www.cmie.com
5. www.google.com
6. www.investopedia.com
Saurav Kumar
Pandey
B.Com (CA) VI Semester
T.R.S. Darbaar College Rewa
(M.P.)
Certificate
Declaration
Acknowledgement