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B.C.

ELECTION DEBATE POLL


Methodology About Mainstreet
Mainstreet surveyed a stratied random sample of With 20 years of political experience at all three
1,074 British Columbians on April 26, 2017 through levels of government, President and CEO Quito
Chimera IVR. Respondents were screened to Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
conrm voting eligibility. Landline and Cell lines public aairs.
were included. Responses were weighed using
demographic information to targets based on the Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet
2011 Census for the entirety of the poll - these are Research has provided accurate snapshots of
the results of the debate watchers only. public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP
government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
The margin of error for survey results is 2.99 government in British Columbia and a majority
percentage points, 19 times out of 20. Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by
elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet Research was
the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal
majority government in the 2015 federal election.

Contact Information
In Ottawa: Quito Maggi, President
quito@mainstreetresearch.ca

In Montreal: David Valentin, Executive Vice


President. david@mainstreetresearch.ca

In Toronto: Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President


joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca

Find us online at:


www.mainstreetresearch.ca
twitter.com/MainStResearch
facebook.com/mainstreetresearch
BRITISH COLUMBIANS SAY HORGAN WON DEBATE; GREEN MADE BEST IMPRESSION

April 27, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll nds voters who watched the B.C. Leaders
Debate say John Horgan narrowly won - though Andrew Weaver walked away with the highest favourables.

Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research made the following remarks:

British Columbians like "Doctor Weaver", as he was referred to repeatedly by Christy Clark in the debate
last night, they just don't think he has much of a chance to win.

Andrew Weaver has a PHD in Applied Mathematics and as such carries the "Dr" honoric. This approach of
using titles to refer to a political opponent has been used in the past with some success. By referring to an
opponent by their title instead of their given name or a more generic title like "Mr.", it can create the
impression that the individual is out of touch. This strategy may pay o eventually but results of the post
debate poll say most B.C. residents have a favourable view of Weaver, for now.

The debate featured another solid performance by Christy Clark, who has a solid track record of good
performances in debates and more generally as a strong campaigner. Clark started the debate strongly
with hard hitting questions for the other party leaders in a debate format that uniquely allowed each
candidate to pose questions of the other participants. As the debate wore on though, and the focus shifted
to some heated exchanges between NDP leader John Horgan and Green leader Andrew Weaver, Clark
seemed to loose steam.

The highlight of the debate can be attributed to Green leader Weaver who said "Well better than the worst
is still really bad" to NDP leader Horgan. He later repeated this by saying, Better than really bad is still just
bad, B.C. deserves the best" in the next exchange with Horgan.

29% of B.C. debate watchers believe than Weaver won the debate and 50% have a favourable view of him
compared to just 26% who have an unfavourable view. When compared to John Horgan of the BC NDP or
Christy Clark of the BC Liberals, the favourability score of BC Green leader Weaver is by far the best.
Horgan scored just 37% favourable vs 42% unfavourable and Christy Clark fared even worse with 34%
favourable vs 54% unfavourable.

When asked about who would win the election however, the opinions shift quite dramatically with just 6%
saying the Greens will win. 40% said the BC Liberals would win and 35% said the BC NDP. This gap between
voter preferences and perceptions of chances may point to the achilles heal of the BC Greens who have
polled signicantly higher than any previous election.

Despite the highlight going to Weaver, it does not appear that any signicant knock out blow took place in
the televised debate. With less than two weeks remaining to election day, the battle between the governing
BC Liberals and the opposition BC NDP continues.

We expect to see the full impact of the debate and the leader performances in the days ahead. As people
digest the debate and discuss it with friends and family, opinions will shift and solidify. The debate eect
may take almost a week to be fully reected in voter intentions.

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For additional information or to arrange an interview, contact:

Quito Maggi, President, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca


David Valentin, Executive Vice-President, (514) 913-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca

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