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Strategic Management Journal

Strat. Mgmt. J., 32: 15171523 (2011)


Published online EarlyView in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/smj.963
Received 22 February 2010; Final revision received 18 March 2011

A BEHAVIORAL APPROACH TO
STRATEGYWHATS THE ALTERNATIVE?
DANIEL A. LEVINTHAL*
Wharton School of Business, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania,
U.S.A.

The strategy field has generally been viewed as somewhat fragmented with the primary fault line
stemming from the divide between economic and behavioral approaches. It is argued here that
this is a false divide as any but the most trivial problems require a behavioral act of representation
prior to invoking a deductive, rational approach. In this sense, all approaches are behavioral.
Once we recognize rationality as a process, then the pragmatic question becomes which among
the imperfect mechanisms to guide choice and behavior may be more or less preferred. Such a
viewpoint not only serves to help span the chasm of behavioral and economic approaches, but
it may also connect the applied normative frameworks and approaches within the field to more
theoretically grounded approaches. Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

INTRODUCTION can be carried out, the playing field between so-


called rational choice characterizations of behav-
A number of scholars have noted the fragmented ior and behavioral accounts becomes considerably
nature of the strategy field (Mintzberg, 1987; Far- more level.1 This false divide has been unhelpful
journ, 2002; Gavetti and Levinthal, 2004). The to the development of the field and has, arguably,
fundamental divide in this fragmentation is the restricted the fields value to practice.
assumption scholars make regarding the choice
process of strategic actors and, in particular,
whether these choice processes are rational and SMALL WORLD REPRESENTATIONS
adhere to the axioms of expected utility theory
or whether choice processes are characterized by Most problems of interest to strategists do not lend
some behavioral mechanisms. I argue that, in themselves to well-posed problems for which an
general, this is a false dichotomy. Once one rec- optimum solution exists. Alternative actions are
ognizes that a rational choice process requires an typically not well specified and often need to be
a priori act of problem framing and representation discovered. Uncertainty over possible future states
before the execution of a rational choice calculus may be difficult to express as explicit probabilities.
Further, the interdependencies among choices at a
Keywords: cognition; rational choice; behavioral theories
of the firm
1
Correspondence to: Daniel A. Levinthal, Reginald H. Jones Gavetti (forthcoming) offers a different line of argument linking
Professor of Corporate Strategy, University of Pennsylvania, the economic and behavioral foundations of strategy, arguing
Wharton School of Business, 3209 SH-DH, 3620 Locust Walk, that strategic advantage ultimately stems from some market
Philadelphia, PA 19104, U.S.A. failures and that these market failures, at their root, derive from
E-mail: dlev@wharton.upenn.edu the limited rationality of strategic actors.

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.


1518 D. A. Levinthal

point in time or across time (spatial and tempo- emerging technologies should the firm invest, or
ral interdependence) may make the specification what constitutes a preferred incentive structure
of an optimum infeasible. Indeed, while in the do not lend themselves to a well-specified opti-
management literature, the behavioralist tradition mum. If that is the case, then what is meant by
is rooted in Simons (1955) observations regard- a contrast between a rational and a behavioral
ing the capacity of human cognition relative to the approach?
demands of the problem environments in which The schemata provided in Figure 1 can help
decision makers find themselves, the literature on frame an answer. There exists a problem space for
computation within engineering and computer sci- which there are well-specified alternatives, well-
ence recognizes an analogous constraint and notes defined probability measures on the link between
that a wide class of problems may exceed the actions and outcomes, and sufficiently modest lev-
capacity of any computation device based on the els of interdependence among the decision and
principles of a Turing machine (Casti, 1992). state variables that an optimum solution can be
Computational problems are termed NP com- derived.2 Such problems will be near the origin in
plete if the difficulty of finding a solution increases the alternative, uncertainty plane, as suggested
at a rate faster than a polynomial expression of by the interior rectangle. Interestingly, much of
the number of variables being considered. It is the discussion of behavioralism, particularly in
important to note that such problems are, in many the vast literature on judgment and decision mak-
respects, simpler than a typical strategy problem, ing, is located in this subspace. Allais paradox
in that the set of alternative actions and the links and Tverksy and Kahnemans classic work on
between actions and payoffs are well specified. A choice under uncertainty all reside in this space.
classical example of such a problem is the trav- We know the rational choice solution to these
eling salesman problem of minimizing the dis- problems (that is choices, that are mutually con-
tance traveled if a salesman were to visit each sistent and obey the axioms of expected utility
member of a set of cities without revisiting any theory) and can readily contrast those choices
city. The particular engineering solutions to NP with actual behavior. This has been and contin-
complete problems vary, ranging from branch ues to be a terribly important and vibrant line of
and bound techniques (Garfinkel and Nernhauser, inquiry.
1972) to algorithms of gradient search, but all
reflect some method of search over a set of pos-
sible solutions and, in that respect, some resem-
blance to satisficing (constraint satisfaction) and
processes of heuristic search central in discussions
of behavioral perspectives on the firm. Indeed,
Garey and Johnson (1979: 122), in writing on com-
putational approaches, note that the most widely
applied technique is that of neighborhood search,
in which a preselected set of local operations is
used to repeatedly improve an initial solution, con-
tinuing until no further local improvement can be
made and a locally optimum solution has been
obtained.
If an optimum solution cannot be defined for
a wide scope of problems, from relatively trivial
decision contexts such as chess, with well-posed
actions and payoffs but with complex temporal
interdependence across moves and countermoves, Figure 1. Space of representations and problems
or the traveling salesman problem, again a well-
specified problem but with a substantial degree
of spatial interdependence, than surely more com- 2
To preserve this schemata in the set of representations that can
plex and less well posed problems such as how be visually rendered (i.e., not more than three dimensions), the
a firm should enter a new market, in which new dimension of interdependency is not incorporated.

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 32: 15171523 (2011)
DOI: 10.1002/smj
Commentary 1519

Rationality as a process decision makers. To some degree, the recent finan-


cial collapse can be attributed to profit-seeking
But what does rationality mean when we can- individuals exploiting regulatory gaps, incomplete
not characterize an optimum solution to the prob- information, and the divergent interests of vari-
lem setting? As March (1994) suggests, it may ous parties. But such an account can be usefully
be useful to view rationality as a process. From supplemented by a recognition that analysts misun-
that perspective rationality is a particular way to derstood the loose coupling between the valuation
approach action in a complex, untractable prob- algorithms of their models and the actual financial
lem space. What operationally (behaviorally) does environment. For instance, as MacKenzie (2006)
rationality as a process mean in such circum- notes, the Black-Scholes options model is not an
stances? I argue that a central, though largely account of the fundamental physics of the financial
under-recognized aspect, is the mapping of the universe. Indeed, MacKenzie (2006) shows that
true underlying decision problem to a simple rep- the quality of the fit of the model improved over
resentation that is, in turn, amendable to deductive time with its adoption. Thus, there is an important
reasoning. While under the spell of the beauty and element of social constructionanalysts adopted
power of this mechanism of deduction, we often a particular valuation technique and, through that
neglect the fact that the starting point for this pro- process of adoption, the descriptive power of the
cess was an act of cognitive representation. valuation technique improved. Similarly, analysts
This relative neglect has a number of poten- can choose to value bundles of mortgages as if the
tially problematic implications. First, of course, default risk of the individual underlying mortgages
we deprive ourselves of the opportunity to think are largely independent events. That, indeed, may
creatively about the space of alternative representa- be a convenient modeling representation for many
tions, as there is an implicit notion that the chosen purposes and for many times periods. However,
representation is, in fact, a characterization of the the actual problem environment clearly provides
true problem setting and not simply one, possibly for some measure of interdependent and correlated
focal, option out of a vast sea of possible options. risk, a property that may, in some circumstances,
Second, there is the risk of reifying the solution reveal itself.
that emerges out of the process of deduction. As This recognition that the constraints of bounded
Einhorn and Horgath (1981) note, analytical efforts rationality are a function of the nature of the task
to identify an optimal solution to a decision prob- environment has a deep irony for the field of neo-
lem result in an optimum with reference to a model classical economics. Neoclassical accounts have
of the underlying situation but need not corre- a clear and deep commitment to rational theo-
spond to desired behavior in the actual decision ries of choice. However, there is also a pervasive
context. From the perspective of Figure 1, hav- and highly subordinated commitment to the nature
ing solved a rational representation (the expression of the task environment in which choice takes
of the actual problem in a sufficiently parsimo- place. To be able to provide a simple character-
nious manner such that an optimum solution can ization of the optimizing behavior of an agent, the
be derived with respect to this representation), it assumption that the second-order condition holds
remains an open question as to the value of the is typically made early on in a typical neoclassical
payoff to this solution in the actual problem envi- analysis. That is, the agent is viewed as maxi-
ronment (the issue posed by the dashed curve in mizing an objective function and to ensure, as a
the figure). For instance, the allocation of inputs modeling convenience, that this optimization prob-
to a feedlot suggested by the solution of a linear lem has a well-specified unique solution that can be
program of the feedlot problem may, in fact, be characterized by setting the first derivative of the
suggestive of desired behavior in the actual con- payoff function with respect to each of the decision
text of running a cattle ranch, but its superiority variables to zero, a payoff function is specified,
over other possible solutions should not be taken or in some cases its properties simply assumed,
for granted or viewed as an axiomatic truth. such that the payoff is concave. What this prop-
A failure to recognize the inherent loose cou- erty entails for a single choice variable is that, at
pling between our models of the world and the some point, decreasing returns set in; more subtly,
actual environment in which we act likely leads for settings of more than one choice variable, there
to a dangerous degree of hubris on the part of is the implied requirement that there is sufficiently
Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 32: 15171523 (2011)
DOI: 10.1002/smj
1520 D. A. Levinthal

little interdependence among the choice variables.3 and Sunder (1993) show that the emergence of
Oftentimes this assumption is relegated to an early the competitive equilibrium price need not provide
footnote. In other cases, sufficient assumptions are reassurance as to the microeconomics acumen of
applied to the underling payoff functions of the the experiments participants. They demonstrate in
individual actors such that the desired property of a simulation experiment that even simulated zero-
concavity is obtained. intelligence traders who offer up random bids and
This seemingly innocuous technical property has asks, only constrained by their reservation utility
exceedingly strong implications for the associated levels, also results in behavior corresponding to the
task environment. The concavity of the payoff competitive equilibrium after multiple rounds. The
function implies that there is a single local peak reason is that the basic double auction generates
in the payoff landscape. However, if the payoff is, a single-peaked performance landscape (Levinthal
in fact, single peaked, essentially any choice pro- and Warglien, 1999).
cess will ultimately lead to the optimum (Levinthal
and Warglien, 1999). Indeed, there is an important Small worlds and strategy frameworks
tradition, running from Beckers (1962) account of
the robustness of the property downward slopping To act in a deductive, intentionally rational manner
demand curves to assumptions about consumer in a complex world inevitably requires the explicit
choice to Winters (1971) analysis that even simple or implicit creation of a small world representation
adaptive behavior on the part of individual firms (Gavetti and Levinthal, 2000).5 This perspective
will reach a competitive equilibrium, that illus- suggests that the simple low dimensional repre-
trates the robustness of classical economic proper- sentations put forth by strategy frameworks (typi-
ties to the assumptions about individual behavior. cally 2x2), whether they be the BCG Growth/Share
Goode and Sundar (1993) offer one of the most Matrix or Porters Differentiation/Cost and
striking accounts of this sort. The double auction Focused/Mass market typology, may not be the
game4 is one of the early hallmarks of experimen- embarrassing contrivances of the MBA classroom,
tal economics (Smith, 1962; Plott, 1982). Gener- but might better be viewed as inevitable efforts
ations of undergraduate economics students have at simplification that are a prerequisite for efforts
gone through this experiment, and they and their at deductive reasoning. The issue from the per-
instructors have observed the reassuring outcome spective of a normative effort is not whether one
that after many rounds of bids and asks, the auc- engages in a gross simplification of the strategic
tion price settles in and around the price suggested context, but what gross simplification will prove
by the competitive equilibrium. However, Goode more or less useful. In the context of Figure 1,
the suggestion is that strategy frameworks offer an
abstraction from the actual problem, an abstrac-
3
There are three technical issues regarding whether the first- tion that is inevitably a fairly coarse-grained artic-
order conditions will characterize an optimum: (1) does an
interior optimum exist?; (2) if it exists, is it unique?; and ulation of the actual problem, but one that may
(3) are the first-order conditions characterizing a maximum or a preserve, to a fair degree, the sense of ambiguity
minimum point? The onset of diminishing returns ensures a finite regarding action-outcome linkages and what con-
value of the optimum. The restriction on interdependence ensures
that any interior optimum will be unique. Nonunique optimum or stitutes the set of possible actions.
local, nonglobal, peaks (Levinthal, 1997) may arise when there The preservation of this ambiguity in this coarse-
are strong complementarities among the choice variables. grained representation need not be useful, but
Milgrom and Roberts (1990) develop an analytical approach
of lattices (Topkis, 1978) that allows for substantial interdepen-
dencies among an actors decision variables and does not require 5
The term small world is used here in the manner introduced
the satisfaction of second-order conditions. However, in order by Savage (1954) in his development of axiomatic-based theory
to characterize the comparative statics in this setting, the rather of rational choice and not in the sense of network ties per Watts
strong condition of supermodularity is required, which holds that (1999). Savage (1954: 85) noted that the states of the world
if a policy choice is a complement of another choice for one set- denoted in his analytical apparatus were small worlds and that
ting of the n parameters, it must be a complement for all other they may form a partition of the grand world. That is, the idea
possible settings of these parameters as well. that the outcome states he was characterizing in his analytical
4
A double auction is a market mechanism whereby potential structure were informative, but incomplete, representations of a
buyers submit their bids and potential sellers simultaneously more complex reality that stood outside the modelthe grand
submit their asking prices to an auctioneer. The auctioneer then world. In the context of the schema suggested by Figure 1,
identifies a price p that clears the market: all the sellers who this can be understood as the loose coupling between the actual
asked for p or less and all buyers who bid p or more then buy problem and the representation of the problem underlying a
at this price p. rational approach.

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 32: 15171523 (2011)
DOI: 10.1002/smj
Commentary 1521

at the same time we cannot say a priori that of goals. The simplified goal structure leads to
a solution suggested by the strategy-framework a clarity of action and opportunities for adap-
representation is inferior to that suggested by tive learning that the full goal structure inhibits.
the representation of the actual problem con- Thus, there is a complementarity between con-
text underlying a rational approach. Thus, rather ceptions of the actors choice process and the
than putting scholars who provide characteriza- desired goal structure. If actors are capable of mak-
tions of actors representations in one camp (cf., ing compensatory tradeoffs among all outcomes,
Porac, Thomas, Baden-Fuller, 1989; Huff, 1990) then providing them with the full goal struc-
and Porter (1996) and Brandenburger and Stuart ture would enhance performance. Alternatively, in
(1996), who offer frameworks grounded in eco- the absence of such a capacity, a simplified and
nomic theory, in another, it may be more useful to less accurate goal structure may lead to superior
recognize the deep relationship between the two performance.
sets of efforts.
As part of that nexus of a behavioral considera-
tion of representations and normative suggestions
CONCLUSION
regarding more or less preferred representations, a
grossly underexploited research opportunity lies in
examining how these normative frameworks play The strategy field is arguably neglecting some of
out in practice. Consider the basic issue of organi- the most important questions of an intentionally
zational goals. A substantial cottage industry has rational approach to the problems of strategic man-
developed around the idea of a balanced scorecard agement. Rather, one camp of scholars acts as if
(Kaplan and Norton, 1996), the idea that managers its normative claims are axiomatic, and behav-
should be given a wide array of operating mea- ioral scholars are often dismissive of the nor-
sures from current sales, to rates of new product mative approach as being unrealistic. We would
development, and customer satisfaction levels to be better served if the wisdom of an economic
guide their action. From a decision theoretic point approach was not presumed, but was taken seri-
of view, it is hard to argue against the introduction ously. A small world solution may be a useful
of additional measures; each additional measure guide to action in the grand world, but we need
should provide an incremental signal regarding the to explore the boundary conditions around such
state of the system (i.e., firm). However, such an claims. While there is a high level of awareness
approach implicitly assumes that actors can make of the limitations and biases of decision heuris-
compensatory tradeoffs among outcomes, such as tics (cf., Tversky and Kahneman, 1986; Zajac and
balancing some increase/decrease in current sales Bazerman, 1991; Kahneman and Lovallo, 1993),
with a decreased/increased rate of new product a related but distinct literature has emerged that
development effort. Yet, a long line of behav- explores the efficacy of frugal (from a calcula-
ioral research suggests that individuals tend to tive standpoint) heuristics in empirical contexts
treat objectives as independent constraints (Simon, (Payne, Bettman, and Johnson, 1993; Gigerenzer,
1955; Tversky, 1972) and find it quite difficult to 2000).
make compensatory tradeoffs even when all out- The choice is not between whether we should act
comes are monetary ones (Thaler, 1985, 1999). As in a God-like manner or like mortals. We are mor-
Jensen (2001: 1112) notes, if distinct outcome tals. Given this second-best setting, the question is
dimensions are not monotonic transformations of how to act with intelligence and efficacy in strate-
one another, then telling a manager to maxi- gic contexts. Business strategy is not a tic-tac-toe
mize current profits, market share, future growth environment in which explicit optimum of the real
in profits, and anything else one pleases will leave strategic context can be derived. Further, one can
that manager with no way to make a reasoned act with intelligence even in the absence of deliber-
decision. ative reasoning. Adaptive learning, selection mech-
Ethiraj and Levinthal (2009) show that provid- anisms and imitative processes are all alternative
ing less accurate and more limited goal structures bases of intelligence. Nonetheless, deliberative rea-
to actors who are boundedly rational and adap- soning and analysis is an important mechanism.
tive learners leads to superior performance, even But, such processes do not live wholly apart from
when evaluated on the basis of the true, full set behavior mechanisms. As March (1994) notes, we
Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 32: 15171523 (2011)
DOI: 10.1002/smj
1522 D. A. Levinthal

should view rationality as a process, not as an out- ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS


come. Doing so is respectful of both the power
and inherent limitations of such approaches. Fur- This paper benefited from the thoughtful comments
ther, such a perspective acknowledges that there is of Special Issue Editor Thomas Powell and two
not a behavioral, rational choice divide in consid- anonymous reviewers.
ering questions of business strategy. Rather, there
are merely different behavioral approaches and
mechanisms. REFERENCES
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Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 32: 15171523 (2011)
DOI: 10.1002/smj

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