Solucion - Cochrane y Orcutt

Primera Ronda:
Salarios Productividad
Y X
1959 58.5 47.2
1960 59.9 48
1961 61.7 49.8
1962 63.9 52.1
1963 65.3 54.1
1964 67.8 56.6
1965 69.3 58.6
1966 71.8 61
1967 73.7 62.3
1968 76.5 64.5
1969 77.6 64.8
1970 79 66.2
1971 80.5 68.8
1972 82.9 71
1973 84.7 73.1
1974 83.7 72.2
1975 84.5 74.8
1976 87 77.2
1977 88.1 78.4
1978 89.7 79.5
1979 90 79.7
1980 89.7 79.8
1981 89.8 81.4
1982 91.1 81.2
1983 91.2 84
1984 91.5 86.4
1985 92.8 88.1
1986 95.9 90.7
1987 96.3 91.3
1988 97.3 92.4
1989 95.8 93.3
1990 96.4 94.5
1991 97.4 95.9
1992 100 100
1993 99.9 100.1
1994 99.7 101.4
1995 99.1 102.2
1996 99.6 105.2
1997 101.1 107.5
1998 105.1 110.5
Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de 0.9790043346
R^2 ajustado 0.9573560526
Error tpico 2.6755325327
Observaciones 40
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
Regresin 1 6274.75698 6274.75698
Residuos 38 272.022025 7.15847433
Total 39 6546.779
Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Intercepcin 29.5192547856 1.94234687 15.1977256
Variable X 1 0.7136594216 0.02410476 29.6065784
Anlisis de los residuales
Observacin Pronstico para Y Residuos Residuos(-1)

1 63.2039794867 -4.70397949
2 63.774907024 -3.87490702 -4.70397949
3 65.059493983 -3.35949398 -3.87490702
4 66.7009106527 -2.80091065 -3.35949398
5 68.128229496 -2.8282295 -2.80091065
6 69.9123780501 -2.11237805 -2.8282295
7 71.3396968933 -2.03969689 -2.11237805
8 73.0524795053 -1.25247951 -2.03969689
9 73.9802367534 -0.28023675 -1.25247951
10 75.550287481 0.94971252 -0.28023675
11 75.7643853075 1.83561469 0.94971252
12 76.7635084978 2.2364915 1.83561469
13 78.619022994 1.88097701 2.2364915
14 80.1890737216 2.71092628 1.88097701
15 81.687758507 3.01224149 2.71092628
16 81.0454650276 2.65453497 3.01224149
17 82.9009795238 1.59902048 2.65453497
18 84.6137621357 2.38623786 1.59902048
19 85.4701534417 2.62984656 2.38623786
20 86.2551788055 3.44482119 2.62984656
21 86.3979106898 3.60208931 3.44482119
22 86.469276632 3.23072337 3.60208931
23 87.6111317066 2.18886829 3.23072337
24 87.4683998223 3.63160018 2.18886829
25 89.4666462028 1.7333538 3.63160018
26 91.1794288148 0.32057119 1.7333538
27 92.3926498315 0.40735017 0.32057119
28 94.2481643278 1.65183567 0.40735017
29 94.6763599808 1.62364002 1.65183567
30 95.4613853446 1.83861466 1.62364002
31 96.103678824 -0.30367882 1.83861466
32 96.96007013 -0.56007013 -0.30367882
33 97.9591933203 -0.55919332 -0.56007013
34 100.885196949 -0.88519695 -0.55919332
35 100.9565628912 -1.05656289 -0.88519695
36 101.8843201393 -2.18432014 -1.05656289
37 102.4552476766 -3.35524768 -2.18432014
38 104.5962259415 -4.99622594 -3.35524768
39 106.2376426112 -5.13764261 -4.99622594
40 108.3786208761 -3.27862088 -5.13764261
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.847585685
Observaciones 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 218.383261 218.383261
Residuos 38 31.5113408 0.82924581
Total 39 249.894602

Intercepcin 0 #N/A #N/A
Variable X 1 0.9142451849 0.05633712 16.2281133
Segunda Ronda:
Y X Y(-1)
1959 58.5 47.2
1960 59.9 48 58.5
1961 61.7 49.8 59.9
1962 63.9 52.1 61.7
1963 65.3 54.1 63.9
1964 67.8 56.6 65.3
1965 69.3 58.6 67.8
1966 71.8 61 69.3
1967 73.7 62.3 71.8
1968 76.5 64.5 73.7
1969 77.6 64.8 76.5
1970 79 66.2 77.6
1971 80.5 68.8 79
1972 82.9 71 80.5
1973 84.7 73.1 82.9
1974 83.7 72.2 84.7
1975 84.5 74.8 83.7
1976 87 77.2 84.5
1977 88.1 78.4 87
1978 89.7 79.5 88.1
1979 90 79.7 89.7
1980 89.7 79.8 90
1981 89.8 81.4 89.7
1982 91.1 81.2 89.8
1983 91.2 84 91.1
1984 91.5 86.4 91.2
1985 92.8 88.1 91.5
1986 95.9 90.7 92.8
1987 96.3 91.3 95.9
1988 97.3 92.4 96.3
1989 95.8 93.3 97.3
1990 96.4 94.5 95.8
1991 97.4 95.9 96.4
1992 100 100 97.4
1993 99.9 100.1 100
1994 99.7 101.4 99.9
1995 99.1 102.2 99.7
1996 99.6 105.2 99.1
1997 101.1 107.5 99.6
1998 105.1 110.5 101.1
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.5458073116
Observaciones 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 34.3598483 34.3598483
Residuos 37 27.2434643 0.73630985
Total 38 61.6033126

Intercepcin 4.1082023183 0.6569327 6.25361219
Variable X 1 0.5288954636 0.07742381 6.83117348
1-p= 0.0857548151
B1= 47.9063748433
B2= 0.5288954636
Y X Yest
1959 58.5 47.2 72.8702407
1960 59.9 48 73.2933571
1961 61.7 49.8 74.2453689
1962 63.9 52.1 75.4618285
1963 65.3 54.1 76.5196194
1964 67.8 56.6 77.8418581
1965 69.3 58.6 78.899649
1966 71.8 61 80.1689981
1967 73.7 62.3 80.8565622
1968 76.5 64.5 82.0201322
1969 77.6 64.8 82.1788009
1970 79 66.2 82.9192545
1971 80.5 68.8 84.2943827
1972 82.9 71 85.4579528
1973 84.7 73.1 86.5686332
1974 83.7 72.2 86.0926273
1975 84.5 74.8 87.4677555
1976 87 77.2 88.7371046
1977 88.1 78.4 89.3717792
1978 89.7 79.5 89.9535642
1979 90 79.7 90.0593433
1980 89.7 79.8 90.1122328
1981 89.8 81.4 90.9584656
1982 91.1 81.2 90.8526865
1983 91.2 84 92.3335938
1984 91.5 86.4 93.6029429
1985 92.8 88.1 94.5020652
1986 95.9 90.7 95.8771934
1987 96.3 91.3 96.1945307
1988 97.3 92.4 96.7763157
1989 95.8 93.3 97.2523216
1990 96.4 94.5 97.8869962
1991 97.4 95.9 98.6274498
1992 100 100 100.795921
1993 99.9 100.1 100.848811
1994 99.7 101.4 101.536375
1995 99.1 102.2 101.959491
1996 99.6 105.2 103.546178
1997 101.1 107.5 104.762637
1998 105.1 110.5 106.349324
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.9485769445
Observaciones 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 1053.81911 1053.81911
Residuos 38 27.1399262 0.71420858
Total 39 1080.95904

Variable X 1 0.9052720076 0.02356723 38.4123169
0.0089731773
Tercera Ronda:
Y X Y(-1)
1959 58.5 47.2
1960 59.9 48 58.5
1961 61.7 49.8 59.9
1962 63.9 52.1 61.7
1963 65.3 54.1 63.9
1964 67.8 56.6 65.3
1965 69.3 58.6 67.8
1966 71.8 61 69.3
1967 73.7 62.3 71.8
1968 76.5 64.5 73.7
1969 77.6 64.8 76.5
1970 79 66.2 77.6
1971 80.5 68.8 79
1972 82.9 71 80.5
1973 84.7 73.1 82.9
1974 83.7 72.2 84.7
1975 84.5 74.8 83.7
1976 87 77.2 84.5
1977 88.1 78.4 87
1978 89.7 79.5 88.1
1979 90 79.7 89.7
1980 89.7 79.8 90
1981 89.8 81.4 89.7
1982 91.1 81.2 89.8
1983 91.2 84 91.1
1984 91.5 86.4 91.2
1985 92.8 88.1 91.5
1986 95.9 90.7 92.8
1987 96.3 91.3 95.9
1988 97.3 92.4 96.3
1989 95.8 93.3 97.3
1990 96.4 94.5 95.8
1991 97.4 95.9 96.4
1992 100 100 97.4
1993 99.9 100.1 100
1994 99.7 101.4 99.9
1995 99.1 102.2 99.7
1996 99.6 105.2 99.1
1997 101.1 107.5 99.6
1998 105.1 110.5 101.1
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.5898364663
Observaciones 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 40.7285338 40.7285338
Residuos 37 27.0811282 0.73192238
Total 38 67.809662

Intercepcin 4.4253628813 0.6625059 6.67973353
Variable X 1 0.5375117125 0.07205615 7.4596229
1-p= 0.0947279924
B1= 46.7165276884
B2= 0.5375117125
Y X Yest
1959 58.5 47.2 72.0870805
1960 59.9 48 72.5170899
1961 61.7 49.8 73.484611
1962 63.9 52.1 74.7208879
1963 65.3 54.1 75.7959113
1964 67.8 56.6 77.1396906
1965 69.3 58.6 78.214714
1966 71.8 61 79.5047421
1967 73.7 62.3 80.2035074
1968 76.5 64.5 81.3860331
1969 77.6 64.8 81.5472867
1970 79 66.2 82.2998031
1971 80.5 68.8 83.6973335
1972 82.9 71 84.8798593
1973 84.7 73.1 86.0086339
1974 83.7 72.2 85.5248733
1975 84.5 74.8 86.9224038
1976 87 77.2 88.2124319
1977 88.1 78.4 88.8574459
1978 89.7 79.5 89.4487088
1979 90 79.7 89.5562112
1980 89.7 79.8 89.6099623
1981 89.8 81.4 90.4699811
1982 91.1 81.2 90.3624787
1983 91.2 84 91.8675115
1984 91.5 86.4 93.1575396
1985 92.8 88.1 94.0713096
1986 95.9 90.7 95.46884
1987 96.3 91.3 95.791347
1988 97.3 92.4 96.3826099
1989 95.8 93.3 96.8663705
1990 96.4 94.5 97.5113845
1991 97.4 95.9 98.2639009
1992 100 100 100.467699
1993 99.9 100.1 100.52145
1994 99.7 101.4 101.220215
1995 99.1 102.2 101.650225
1996 99.6 105.2 103.26276
1997 101.1 107.5 104.499037
1998 105.1 110.5 106.111572
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.9441960156
Observaciones 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 889.970989 889.970989
Residuos 38 27.0410291 0.71160603
Total 39 917.012018

Variable X 1 0.8992359572 0.02542761 35.3645483
0.0060360503
Cuarta Ronda:
Y X Y(-1)
1959 58.5 47.2
1960 59.9 48 58.5
1961 61.7 49.8 59.9
1962 63.9 52.1 61.7
1963 65.3 54.1 63.9
1964 67.8 56.6 65.3
1965 69.3 58.6 67.8
1966 71.8 61 69.3
1967 73.7 62.3 71.8
1968 76.5 64.5 73.7
1969 77.6 64.8 76.5
1970 79 66.2 77.6
1971 80.5 68.8 79
1972 82.9 71 80.5
1973 84.7 73.1 82.9
1974 83.7 72.2 84.7
1975 84.5 74.8 83.7
1976 87 77.2 84.5
1977 88.1 78.4 87
1978 89.7 79.5 88.1
1979 90 79.7 89.7
1980 89.7 79.8 90
1981 89.8 81.4 89.7
1982 91.1 81.2 89.8
1983 91.2 84 91.1
1984 91.5 86.4 91.2
1985 92.8 88.1 91.5
1986 95.9 90.7 92.8
1987 96.3 91.3 95.9
1988 97.3 92.4 96.3
1989 95.8 93.3 97.3
1990 96.4 94.5 95.8
1991 97.4 95.9 96.4
1992 100 100 97.4
1993 99.9 100.1 100
1994 99.7 101.4 99.9
1995 99.1 102.2 99.7
1996 99.6 105.2 99.1
1997 101.1 107.5 99.6
1998 105.1 110.5 101.1
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.617471783
Observaciones 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 45.5231831 45.5231831
Residuos 37 27.0192928 0.73025116
Total 38 72.5424759

Intercepcin 4.6314509651 0.66561186 6.95818577
Variable X 1 0.5433592272 0.06881876 7.89550993
1-p= 0.1007640428
B1= 45.9633301553
b2= 0.5433592272
Y X Yest
1959 58.5 47.2 71.6098857
1960 59.9 48 72.0445731
1961 61.7 49.8 73.0226197
1962 63.9 52.1 74.2723459
1963 65.3 54.1 75.3590643
1964 67.8 56.6 76.7174624
1965 69.3 58.6 77.8041809
1966 71.8 61 79.108243
1967 73.7 62.3 79.81461
1968 76.5 64.5 81.0100003
1969 77.6 64.8 81.1730081
1970 79 66.2 81.933711
1971 80.5 68.8 83.346445
1972 82.9 71 84.5418353
1973 84.7 73.1 85.6828897
1974 83.7 72.2 85.1938664
1975 84.5 74.8 86.6066004
1976 87 77.2 87.9106625
1977 88.1 78.4 88.5626936
1978 89.7 79.5 89.1603887
1979 90 79.7 89.2690606
1980 89.7 79.8 89.3233965
1981 89.8 81.4 90.1927713
1982 91.1 81.2 90.0840994
1983 91.2 84 91.6055052
1984 91.5 86.4 92.9095674
1985 92.8 88.1 93.8332781
1986 95.9 90.7 95.2460121
1987 96.3 91.3 95.5720276
1988 97.3 92.4 96.1697227
1989 95.8 93.3 96.6587461
1990 96.4 94.5 97.3107771
1991 97.4 95.9 98.07148
1992 100 100 100.299253
1993 99.9 100.1 100.353589
1994 99.7 101.4 101.059956
1995 99.1 102.2 101.494643
1996 99.6 105.2 103.124721
1997 101.1 107.5 104.374447
1998 105.1 110.5 106.004525
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.9411374399
Observaciones 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 802.75613 802.75613
Residuos 38 27.0060803 0.71068632
Total 39 829.76221

Variable X 1 0.8956025351 0.02664787 33.6087868
0.0036334221
Quinta Ronda:
Y X Y(-1)
1959 58.5 47.2
1960 59.9 48 58.5
1961 61.7 49.8 59.9
1962 63.9 52.1 61.7
1963 65.3 54.1 63.9
1964 67.8 56.6 65.3
1965 69.3 58.6 67.8
1966 71.8 61 69.3
1967 73.7 62.3 71.8
1968 76.5 64.5 73.7
1969 77.6 64.8 76.5
1970 79 66.2 77.6
1971 80.5 68.8 79
1972 82.9 71 80.5
1973 84.7 73.1 82.9
1974 83.7 72.2 84.7
1975 84.5 74.8 83.7
1976 87 77.2 84.5
1977 88.1 78.4 87
1978 89.7 79.5 88.1
1979 90 79.7 89.7
1980 89.7 79.8 90
1981 89.8 81.4 89.7
1982 91.1 81.2 89.8
1983 91.2 84 91.1
1984 91.5 86.4 91.2
1985 92.8 88.1 91.5
1986 95.9 90.7 92.8
1987 96.3 91.3 95.9
1988 97.3 92.4 96.3
1989 95.8 93.3 97.3
1990 96.4 94.5 95.8
1991 97.4 95.9 96.4
1992 100 100 97.4
1993 99.9 100.1 100
1994 99.7 101.4 99.9
1995 99.1 102.2 99.7
1996 99.6 105.2 99.1
1997 101.1 107.5 99.6
1998 105.1 110.5 101.1
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.6332541622
Observaciones 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 48.6086484 48.6086484
Residuos 37 26.9991328 0.72970629
Total 38 75.6077812

Intercepcin 4.753139391 0.66731171 7.12281731
Variable X 1 0.5468502395 0.06700168 8.16173947
1-p= 0.1043974649
B1= 45.5292606606
B2= 0.5468502395
Y X Yest
1959 58.5 47.2 71.340592
1960 59.9 48 71.7780722
1961 61.7 49.8 72.7624026
1962 63.9 52.1 74.0201581
1963 65.3 54.1 75.1138586
1964 67.8 56.6 76.4809842
1965 69.3 58.6 77.5746847
1966 71.8 61 78.8871253
1967 73.7 62.3 79.5980306
1968 76.5 64.5 80.8011011
1969 77.6 64.8 80.9651562
1970 79 66.2 81.7307465
1971 80.5 68.8 83.1525571
1972 82.9 71 84.3556277
1973 84.7 73.1 85.5040132
1974 83.7 72.2 85.011848
1975 84.5 74.8 86.4336586
1976 87 77.2 87.7460992
1977 88.1 78.4 88.4023194
1978 89.7 79.5 89.0038547
1979 90 79.7 89.1132248
1980 89.7 79.8 89.1679098
1981 89.8 81.4 90.0428702
1982 91.1 81.2 89.9335001
1983 91.2 84 91.4646808
1984 91.5 86.4 92.7771214
1985 92.8 88.1 93.7067668
1986 95.9 90.7 95.1285774
1987 96.3 91.3 95.4566875
1988 97.3 92.4 96.0582228
1989 95.8 93.3 96.550388
1990 96.4 94.5 97.2066083
1991 97.4 95.9 97.9721986
1992 100 100 100.214285
1993 99.9 100.1 100.26897
1994 99.7 101.4 100.979875
1995 99.1 102.2 101.417355
1996 99.6 105.2 103.057906
1997 101.1 107.5 104.315661
1998 105.1 110.5 105.956212
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.9392662842
Observaciones 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 757.341145 757.341145
Residuos 38 26.9952316 0.71040083
Total 39 784.336377

Variable X 1 0.893574472 0.0273676 32.6508164
0.0020280631
Sexta Ronda:
Y X Y(-1)
1959 58.5 47.2
1960 59.9 48 58.5
1961 61.7 49.8 59.9
1962 63.9 52.1 61.7
1963 65.3 54.1 63.9
1964 67.8 56.6 65.3
1965 69.3 58.6 67.8
1966 71.8 61 69.3
1967 73.7 62.3 71.8
1968 76.5 64.5 73.7
1969 77.6 64.8 76.5
1970 79 66.2 77.6
1971 80.5 68.8 79
1972 82.9 71 80.5
1973 84.7 73.1 82.9
1974 83.7 72.2 84.7
1975 84.5 74.8 83.7
1976 87 77.2 84.5
1977 88.1 78.4 87
1978 89.7 79.5 88.1
1979 90 79.7 89.7
1980 89.7 79.8 90
1981 89.8 81.4 89.7
1982 91.1 81.2 89.8
1983 91.2 84 91.1
1984 91.5 86.4 91.2
1985 92.8 88.1 91.5
1986 95.9 90.7 92.8
1987 96.3 91.3 95.9
1988 97.3 92.4 96.3
1989 95.8 93.3 97.3
1990 96.4 94.5 95.8
1991 97.4 95.9 96.4
1992 100 100 97.4
1993 99.9 100.1 100
1994 99.7 101.4 99.9
1995 99.1 102.2 99.7
1996 99.6 105.2 99.1
1997 101.1 107.5 99.6
1998 105.1 110.5 101.1
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.6417759358
Observaciones 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 50.3962338 50.3962338
Residuos 37 26.9932173 0.72954641
Total 38 77.389451

Intercepcin 4.8203685293 0.66821816 7.21376461
Variable X 1 0.5487821539 0.06602789 8.31136926
1-p= 0.106425528
B1= 45.2933485055
B2= 0.5487821539
Y X Yest
1959 58.5 47.2 71.1958662
1960 59.9 48 71.6348919
1961 61.7 49.8 72.6226998
1962 63.9 52.1 73.8848987
1963 65.3 54.1 74.982463
1964 67.8 56.6 76.3544184
1965 69.3 58.6 77.4519827
1966 71.8 61 78.7690599
1967 73.7 62.3 79.4824767
1968 76.5 64.5 80.6897974
1969 77.6 64.8 80.8544321
1970 79 66.2 81.6227271
1971 80.5 68.8 83.0495607
1972 82.9 71 84.2568814
1973 84.7 73.1 85.409324
1974 83.7 72.2 84.91542
1975 84.5 74.8 86.3422536
1976 87 77.2 87.6593308
1977 88.1 78.4 88.3178694
1978 89.7 79.5 88.9215297
1979 90 79.7 89.0312862
1980 89.7 79.8 89.0861644
1981 89.8 81.4 89.9642158
1982 91.1 81.2 89.8544594
1983 91.2 84 91.3910494
1984 91.5 86.4 92.7081266
1985 92.8 88.1 93.6410563
1986 95.9 90.7 95.0678899
1987 96.3 91.3 95.3971592
1988 97.3 92.4 96.0008195
1989 95.8 93.3 96.4947235
1990 96.4 94.5 97.153262
1991 97.4 95.9 97.9215571
1992 100 100 100.171564
1993 99.9 100.1 100.226442
1994 99.7 101.4 100.939859
1995 99.1 102.2 101.378885
1996 99.6 105.2 103.025231
1997 101.1 107.5 104.28743
1998 105.1 110.5 105.933777
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.9382146976
Observaciones 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 734.003355 734.003355
Residuos 38 26.9921395 0.71031946
Total 39 760.995494

Variable X 1 0.8924929822 0.02776404 32.1456466
0.0010814898
Sptima Ronda:
Y X Y(-1)
1959 58.5 47.2
1960 59.9 48 58.5
1961 61.7 49.8 59.9
1962 63.9 52.1 61.7
1963 65.3 54.1 63.9
1964 67.8 56.6 65.3
1965 69.3 58.6 67.8
1966 71.8 61 69.3
1967 73.7 62.3 71.8
1968 76.5 64.5 73.7
1969 77.6 64.8 76.5
1970 79 66.2 77.6
1971 80.5 68.8 79
1972 82.9 71 80.5
1973 84.7 73.1 82.9
1974 83.7 72.2 84.7
1975 84.5 74.8 83.7
1976 87 77.2 84.5
1977 88.1 78.4 87
1978 89.7 79.5 88.1
1979 90 79.7 89.7
1980 89.7 79.8 90
1981 89.8 81.4 89.7
1982 91.1 81.2 89.8
1983 91.2 84 91.1
1984 91.5 86.4 91.2
1985 92.8 88.1 91.5
1986 95.9 90.7 92.8
1987 96.3 91.3 95.9
1988 97.3 92.4 96.3
1989 95.8 93.3 97.3
1990 96.4 94.5 95.8
1991 97.4 95.9 96.4
1992 100 100 97.4
1993 99.9 100.1 100
1994 99.7 101.4 99.9
1995 99.1 102.2 99.7
1996 99.6 105.2 99.1
1997 101.1 107.5 99.6
1998 105.1 110.5 101.1
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.6462353346
Observaciones 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 51.3686709 51.3686709
Residuos 37 26.9915886 0.72950239
Total 38 78.3602595

Intercepcin 4.856028532 0.66869108 7.26199091
Variable X 1 0.5498065097 0.06552003 8.39142667
1-p= 0.1075070178
B1= 45.1694097094
B2= 0.5498065097
Y X Yest
1959 58.5 47.2 71.120277
1960 59.9 48 71.5601222
1961 61.7 49.8 72.5497739
1962 63.9 52.1 73.8143289
1963 65.3 54.1 74.9139419
1964 67.8 56.6 76.2884582
1965 69.3 58.6 77.3880712
1966 71.8 61 78.7076068
1967 73.7 62.3 79.4223553
1968 76.5 64.5 80.6319296
1969 77.6 64.8 80.7968715
1970 79 66.2 81.5666007
1971 80.5 68.8 82.9960976
1972 82.9 71 84.2056719
1973 84.7 73.1 85.3602656
1974 83.7 72.2 84.8654397
1975 84.5 74.8 86.2949366
1976 87 77.2 87.6144723
1977 88.1 78.4 88.2742401
1978 89.7 79.5 88.8790272
1979 90 79.7 88.9889885
1980 89.7 79.8 89.0439692
1981 89.8 81.4 89.9236596
1982 91.1 81.2 89.8136983
1983 91.2 84 91.3531565
1984 91.5 86.4 92.6726921
1985 92.8 88.1 93.6073632
1986 95.9 90.7 95.0368601
1987 96.3 91.3 95.366744
1988 97.3 92.4 95.9715312
1989 95.8 93.3 96.4663571
1990 96.4 94.5 97.1261249
1991 97.4 95.9 97.895854
1992 100 100 100.150061
1993 99.9 100.1 100.205041
1994 99.7 101.4 100.91979
1995 99.1 102.2 101.359635
1996 99.6 105.2 103.009055
1997 101.1 107.5 104.27361
1998 105.1 110.5 105.923029
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.9376522625
Observaciones 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 722.102299 722.102299
Residuos 38 26.9913017 0.71029741
Total 39 749.093601

Variable X 1 0.8919307957 0.02797383 31.8844733
0.0005621866
F Valor crtico de F
876.549483 7.4283E-028
Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

9.8171E-018 25.5871791 33.4513305 25.5871791 33.4513305
7.4283E-028 0.66486189 0.76245695 0.66486189 0.76245695
F Valor crtico de F
263.35166 2.0772E-018

#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
1.1230E-018 0.80019665 1.02829372 0.80019665 1.02829372
X(-1) Y* X*
47.2 6.41665669 4.84762727

48 6.93671343 5.91623113
49.8 7.49107209 6.57058979
52.1 6.87973269 6.46782587
54.1 8.09978943 7.1393355
56.6 7.31417647 6.85372254
58.6 8.44280869 7.42523217
61 8.05719573 6.53104372
62.3 9.12012988 7.54252498
64.5 7.66024336 5.83118558
64.8 8.05457365 6.95691202
66.2 8.2746304 8.27696876
68.8 9.30326262 8.09993128
71 8.90907417 8.18859187
73.1 6.26343284 5.36867699
72.2 7.97767803 8.79149765
74.8 9.74628188 8.81446017
77.2 8.56066892 7.82027173
78.4 9.15499921 7.82317751
79.5 7.99220692 7.0175078
79.7 7.41793336 6.93465877
79.8 7.79220692 8.44323425
81.4 9.0007824 6.78044195
81.2 7.91226366 9.76329099
84 8.12083914 9.60340447
86.4 9.14656558 9.10921603
88.1 11.0580468 10.1549992
90.7 8.62388677 8.37796173
91.3 9.2581887 8.92941462
92.4 6.84394351 8.82374492
93.3 8.81531129 9.20092425
94.5 9.26676418 9.50383003
95.9 10.952519 12.3238868
100 8.47548151 8.67548151
100.1 8.36690603 9.88405699
101.4 7.94975507 9.49553825
102.2 8.99830218 11.7641421
105.2 10.0411796 11.3214066
107.5 12.6698118 12.2186426
F Valor crtico de F
46.6649311 4.7634E-008

2.8497E-007 2.77713024 5.4392744 2.77713024 5.4392744
4.7634E-008 0.37201993 0.685771 0.37201993 0.685771
Residuos Residuos (-1)

-14.3702407
-13.3933571 -14.3702407
-12.5453689 -13.3933571
-11.5618285 -12.5453689
-11.2196194 -11.5618285
-10.0418581 -11.2196194
-9.59964901 -10.0418581
-8.36899812 -9.59964901
-7.15656222 -8.36899812
-5.52013224 -7.15656222
-4.57880088 -5.52013224
-3.91925453 -4.57880088
-3.79438274 -3.91925453
-2.55795276 -3.79438274
-1.86863323 -2.55795276
-2.39262731 -1.86863323
-2.96775552 -2.39262731
-1.73710463 -2.96775552
-1.27177919 -1.73710463
-0.2535642 -1.27177919
-0.05934329 -0.2535642
-0.41223284 -0.05934329
-1.15846558 -0.41223284
0.24731352 -1.15846558
-1.13359378 0.24731352
-2.1029429 -1.13359378
-1.70206518 -2.1029429
0.02280661 -1.70206518
0.10546933 0.02280661
0.52368432 0.10546933
-1.45232159 0.52368432
-1.48699615 -1.45232159
-1.2274498 -1.48699615
-0.7959212 -1.2274498
-0.94881075 -0.7959212
-1.83637485 -0.94881075
-2.85949122 -1.83637485
-3.94617761 -2.85949122
-3.66263718 -3.94617761
-1.24932357 -3.66263718
F Valor crtico de F
1475.50609 2.0293E-031

5.1360E-032 0.85756264 0.95298138 0.85756264 0.95298138
X(-1) Y* X*
47.2 6.94158756 5.27116124

48 7.47420675 6.34694364
49.8 8.04471713 7.01745402
52.1 7.45311872 6.93532841
54.1 8.68573791 7.62478439
56.6 7.92255789 7.36160437
58.6 9.06464988 7.95106036
61 8.70146986 7.07840754
62.3 9.78145304 8.10155393
64.5 8.34669142 6.40995551
64.8 8.75089221 7.53837391
66.2 8.9835114 8.8709931
68.8 10.0256034 8.71728588
71 9.65295057 8.82568746
73.1 7.02346096 6.02461625
72.2 8.72873297 9.43936105
74.8 10.5045154 9.48565383
77.2 9.34133534 8.51300102
78.4 9.94553613 8.52667461
79.5 8.79710092 7.7308754
79.7 8.22551932 7.649821
79.8 8.59710092 9.1592938
81.4 9.80657372 7.51085858
81.2 8.72972011 10.491913
84 8.93919291 10.3571514
86.4 9.96761131 9.88449855
88.1 11.8907577 10.9455361
90.7 9.48441447 9.19182891
91.3 10.1223057 9.74866571
92.4 7.71703366 9.6528665
93.3 9.67494167 10.0381217
94.5 10.1317785 10.3517953
95.9 11.8265065 13.1844145
100 9.37279924 9.57279924
100.1 9.26332644 10.782272
101.4 8.84438085 10.4054184
102.2 9.88754405 12.6812008
105.2 10.934908 12.2653848
107.5 13.577 13.1832592
F Valor crtico de F
55.6459738 6.9810E-009

7.6005E-008 3.08299842 5.76772735 3.08299842 5.76772735
6.9810E-009 0.39151208 0.68351134 0.39151208 0.68351134

-13.5870805
-12.6170899 -13.5870805
-11.784611 -12.6170899
-10.8208879 -11.784611
-10.4959113 -10.8208879
-9.33969061 -10.4959113
-8.91471404 -9.33969061
-7.70474215 -8.91471404
-6.50350737 -7.70474215
-4.88603314 -6.50350737
-3.94728666 -4.88603314
-3.29980305 -3.94728666
-3.19733351 -3.29980305
-1.97985927 -3.19733351
-1.30863387 -1.97985927
-1.82487333 -1.30863387
-2.42240378 -1.82487333
-1.21243189 -2.42240378
-0.75744594 -1.21243189
0.25129117 -0.75744594
0.44378883 0.25129117
0.09003766 0.44378883
-0.66998108 0.09003766
0.73752126 -0.66998108
-0.66751153 0.73752126
-1.65753964 -0.66751153
-1.27130956 -1.65753964
0.43115999 -1.27130956
0.50865296 0.43115999
0.91739008 0.50865296
-1.06637046 0.91739008
-1.11138452 -1.06637046
-0.86390091 -1.11138452
-0.46769893 -0.86390091
-0.6214501 -0.46769893
-1.52021533 -0.6214501
-2.5502247 -1.52021533
-3.66275984 -2.5502247
-3.39903678 -3.66275984
-1.01157191 -3.39903678
F Valor crtico de F
1250.65128 3.9937E-030

1.0931E-030 0.84776045 0.95071146 0.84776045 0.95071146
X(-1) Y* X*
47.2 7.2946965 5.55606282

48 7.83576616 6.63667405
49.8 8.41714144 7.31804933
52.1 7.83882233 7.24980663
54.1 9.07989199 7.95133471
56.6 8.3318021 7.70324482
58.6 9.48294816 8.30477291
61 9.13485827 7.44660661
62.3 10.22631 8.47759986
64.5 8.80844927 6.79928076
64.8 9.21928972 7.92950997
66.2 9.46035938 9.27057963
68.8 10.5115054 9.13256614
71 10.1533391 9.25424704
73.1 7.53471442 6.46585153
72.2 9.23395038 9.87516389
74.8 11.0145616 9.9371504
77.2 9.86647172 8.9789841
78.4 10.4773122 8.99990095
79.5 9.33853464 8.2107414
79.7 8.76876385 8.13089421
79.8 9.13853464 9.64097061
81.4 10.348611 8.00219308
81.2 9.2796043 10.9820403
84 9.4896807 10.8641796
86.4 10.5199099 10.4060133
88.1 12.4509032 11.4773122
90.7 10.0632717 9.73929868
91.3 10.7035773 10.2997571
92.4 8.30434136 10.2105976
93.3 10.2531953 10.6012852
94.5 10.7136537 10.922202
95.9 12.4144178 13.7632717
100 9.97640428 10.1764043
100.1 9.86632787 11.3864807
101.4 9.44617506 11.0174739
102.2 10.4857166 13.2980852
105.2 11.5360987 12.9003773
107.5 14.1872447 13.8321346
F Valor crtico de F
62.339077 1.8824E-009

3.2230E-008 3.28279323 5.9801087 3.28279323 5.9801087
1.8824E-009 0.40391917 0.68279929 0.40391917 0.68279929

-13.1098857
-12.1445731 -13.1098857
-11.3226197 -12.1445731
-10.3723459 -11.3226197
-10.0590643 -10.3723459
-8.91746242 -10.0590643
-8.50418087 -8.91746242
-7.30824302 -8.50418087
-6.11461001 -7.30824302
-4.51000031 -6.11461001
-3.57300808 -4.51000031
-2.933711 -3.57300808
-2.84644499 -2.933711
-1.64183529 -2.84644499
-0.98288966 -1.64183529
-1.49386636 -0.98288966
-2.10660035 -1.49386636
-0.9106625 -2.10660035
-0.46269357 -0.9106625
0.53961128 -0.46269357
0.73093944 0.53961128
0.37660351 0.73093944
-0.39277125 0.37660351
1.0159006 -0.39277125
-0.40550524 1.0159006
-1.40956739 -0.40550524
-1.03327807 -1.40956739
0.65398794 -1.03327807
0.7279724 0.65398794
1.13027725 0.7279724
-0.85874605 1.13027725
-0.91077713 -0.85874605
-0.67148004 -0.91077713
-0.29925288 -0.67148004
-0.4535888 -0.29925288
-1.35995579 -0.4535888
-2.39464318 -1.35995579
-3.52472086 -2.39464318
-3.27444708 -3.52472086
-0.90452476 -3.27444708
F Valor crtico de F
1129.55055 2.4863E-029

7.1394E-030 0.84165675 0.94954832 0.84165675 0.94954832
X(-1) Y* X*
47.2 7.5072517 5.72756034

48 8.05340815 6.81107831
49.8 8.64132358 7.49899375
52.1 8.07099801 7.43910792
54.1 9.31715446 8.14790285
56.6 8.57814812 7.90889651
58.6 9.73474432 8.51769144
61 9.39573798 7.66824536
62.3 10.4940932 8.70396206
64.5 9.08640606 7.03363648
64.8 9.50124327 8.16495572
66.2 9.74739973 9.51111218
68.8 10.8039959 9.38254558
71 10.4545498 9.51222001
73.1 7.84246528 6.73145468
72.2 9.53806781 10.137497
74.8 11.3215858 10.2089304
77.2 10.1825794 9.25948429
78.4 10.7974167 9.28476125
79.5 9.6644526 8.49959846
79.7 9.09577184 8.42047795
79.8 9.4644526 9.9309177
81.4 10.6748923 8.29795364
81.2 9.61060905 11.2770741
84 9.8210488 11.1693871
86.4 10.852368 10.719941
88.1 12.7880847 11.7974167
90.7 10.4117169 10.0688501
91.3 11.0534759 10.6314885
92.4 8.65787333 10.5463258
93.3 10.6012771 10.9402835
94.5 11.0639156 11.2655604
95.9 12.7683131 14.1117169
100 10.3397465 10.5397465
100.1 10.2293067 11.7501862
101.4 9.80842725 11.3859029
102.2 10.8457888 13.6694209
105.2 11.8979875 13.2826133
107.5 14.5545837 14.2227275
F Valor crtico de F
66.6139912 8.5375E-010

1.9459E-008 3.40103744 6.10524135 3.40103744 6.10524135
8.5375E-010 0.41109194 0.68260853 0.41109194 0.68260853

-12.840592
-11.8780722 -12.840592
-11.0624026 -11.8780722
-10.1201581 -11.0624026
-9.81385862 -10.1201581
-8.68098422 -9.81385862
-8.2746847 -8.68098422
-7.08712527 -8.2746847
-5.89803058 -7.08712527
-4.30110111 -5.89803058
-3.36515618 -4.30110111
-2.73074652 -3.36515618
-2.65255714 -2.73074652
-1.45562767 -2.65255714
-0.80401317 -1.45562767
-1.31184796 -0.80401317
-1.93365858 -1.31184796
-0.74609915 -1.93365858
-0.30231944 -0.74609915
0.6961453 -0.30231944
0.88677525 0.6961453
0.53209022 0.88677525
-0.24287016 0.53209022
1.16649989 -0.24287016
-0.26468078 1.16649989
-1.27712136 -0.26468078
-0.90676676 -1.27712136
0.77142261 -0.90676676
0.84331247 0.77142261
1.24177721 0.84331247
-0.75038801 1.24177721
-0.8066083 -0.75038801
-0.57219863 -0.8066083
-0.21428462 -0.57219863
-0.36896964 -0.21428462
-1.27987495 -0.36896964
-2.31735514 -1.27987495
-3.45790586 -2.31735514
-3.21566141 -3.45790586
-0.85621213 -3.21566141
F Valor crtico de F
1066.07581 7.0058E-029

2.0669E-029 0.83817166 0.94897728 0.83817166 0.94897728
X(-1) Y* X*
47.2 7.62589339 5.82328492

48 8.17488913 6.90842534
49.8 8.76645508 7.59999129
52.1 8.20059124 7.54477001
54.1 9.44958698 8.25762106
56.6 8.7156508 8.02368488
58.6 9.87528909 8.63653594
61 9.54135291 7.79195721
62.3 10.6435614 8.83031039
64.5 9.24155289 7.16444656
64.8 9.65862097 8.29637421
66.2 9.90761671 9.64536995
68.8 10.967255 9.52207633
71 10.6226763 9.65621249
73.1 8.01424222 6.8797061
72.2 9.70781669 10.2839231
74.8 11.4929571 10.3606295
77.2 10.3590209 9.41605076
78.4 10.976089 9.44376139
79.5 9.84636986 8.66082948
79.7 9.27829752 8.58211458
79.8 9.64636986 10.0927571
81.4 10.8570124 8.46303798
81.2 9.7953656 11.4417529
84 10.0060082 11.3397444
86.4 11.0379358 10.8951656
88.1 12.976289 11.976089
90.7 10.6062081 10.2527954
91.3 11.2487783 10.8166507
92.4 8.85520387 10.7337188
93.3 10.7955656 11.1295018
94.5 11.2594209 11.4572124
95.9 12.9658464 14.3062081
100 10.5425528 10.7425528
100.1 10.4319102 11.9531954
101.4 10.0106251 11.5915485
102.2 11.0467698 13.876689
105.2 12.0999826 13.4959655
107.5 14.7596209 14.4407443
F Valor crtico de F
69.078859 5.4937E-010

1.4739E-008 3.46642993 6.17430713 3.46642993 6.17430713
5.4937E-010 0.41499695 0.68256736 0.41499695 0.68256736

-12.6958662
-11.7348919 -12.6958662
-10.9226998 -11.7348919
-9.98489872 -10.9226998
-9.68246303 -9.98489872
-8.55441841 -9.68246303
-8.15198272 -8.55441841
-6.96905989 -8.15198272
-5.78247669 -6.96905989
-4.18979743 -5.78247669
-3.25443208 -4.18979743
-2.62272709 -3.25443208
-2.54956069 -2.62272709
-1.35688143 -2.54956069
-0.70932395 -1.35688143
-1.21542001 -0.70932395
-1.84225361 -1.21542001
-0.65933078 -1.84225361
-0.21786937 -0.65933078
0.77847026 -0.21786937
0.96871383 0.77847026
0.61383562 0.96871383
-0.16421583 0.61383562
1.2455406 -0.16421583
-0.19104943 1.2455406
-1.2081266 -0.19104943
-0.84105626 -1.2081266
0.83211014 -0.84105626
0.90284085 0.83211014
1.29918048 0.90284085
-0.69472346 1.29918048
-0.75326204 -0.69472346
-0.52155706 -0.75326204
-0.17156389 -0.52155706
-0.32644211 -0.17156389
-1.23985891 -0.32644211
-2.27888463 -1.23985891
-3.42523109 -2.27888463
-3.18743004 -3.42523109
-0.83377651 -3.18743004
F Valor crtico de F
1033.3426 1.2238E-028

3.6634E-029 0.83628762 0.94869834 0.83628762 0.94869834
X(-1) Y* X*
47.2 7.68916054 5.87433124

48 8.23967036 6.96033685
49.8 8.833183 7.65384948
52.1 8.26969844 7.60111563
54.1 9.52020826 8.31612966
56.6 8.7889758 8.08489721
58.6 9.95023633 8.69991124
61 9.61900388 7.85792808
62.3 10.7232672 8.89768721
64.5 9.32428686 7.23420265
64.8 9.74254458 8.36645475
66.2 9.9930544 9.71696458
68.8 11.0543149 9.59648282
71 10.7123318 9.73299826
73.1 8.1058444 6.958763
72.2 9.79833739 10.3620067
74.8 11.584343 10.4415249
77.2 10.4531105 9.49954177
78.4 11.0713683 9.52855019
79.5 9.94337949 8.74680791
79.7 9.3756316 8.66830932
79.8 9.74337949 10.17906
81.4 10.9541302 8.55107125
81.2 9.89388932 11.5295698
84 10.10464 11.4305895
86.4 11.1368921 10.9886063
88.1 13.0766512 12.0713683
90.7 10.709923 10.3508865
91.3 11.3529258 10.9153907
92.4 8.96043283 10.8336484
93.3 10.8991723 11.2304048
94.5 11.3636765 11.5594132
95.9 13.0711835 14.409923
100 10.6507018 10.8507018
100.1 10.5399511 12.0614525
101.4 10.1184497 11.7012116
102.2 11.1539455 13.9872172
105.2 12.207699 13.6097383
107.5 14.8689595 14.5570044
F Valor crtico de F
70.4160416 4.3439E-010

1.2724E-008 3.50113171 6.21092535 3.50113171 6.21092535
4.3439E-010 0.41705032 0.6825627 0.41705032 0.6825627
-12.620277
-11.6601222 -12.620277
-10.8497739 -11.6601222
-9.91432887 -10.8497739
-9.61394189 -9.91432887
-8.48845816 -9.61394189
-8.08807118 -8.48845816
-6.9076068 -8.08807118
-5.72235526 -6.9076068
-4.13192959 -5.72235526
-3.19687154 -4.13192959
-2.56660065 -3.19687154
-2.49609758 -2.56660065
-1.3056719 -2.49609758
-0.66026557 -1.3056719
-1.16543971 -0.66026557
-1.79493664 -1.16543971
-0.61447226 -1.79493664
-0.17424007 -0.61447226
0.82097277 -0.17424007
1.01101147 0.82097277
0.65603082 1.01101147
-0.1236596 0.65603082
1.2863017 -0.1236596
-0.15315653 1.2863017
-1.17269215 -0.15315653
-0.80736322 -1.17269215
0.86313986 -0.80736322
0.93325595 0.86313986
1.32846879 0.93325595
-0.66635707 1.32846879
-0.72612488 -0.66635707
-0.49585399 -0.72612488
-0.15006068 -0.49585399
-0.30504133 -0.15006068
-1.21978979 -0.30504133
-2.259635 -1.21978979
-3.40905453 -2.259635
-3.1736095 -3.40905453
-0.82302903 -3.1736095 111.234548
F Valor crtico de F
1016.61964 1.6381E-028

4.9411E-029 0.83530074 0.94856085 0.83530074 0.94856085
Primera Ronda:
Y X
1959 58.5 47.2
1960 59.9 48
1961 61.7 49.8
1962 63.9 52.1
1963 65.3 54.1
1964 67.8 56.6
1965 69.3 58.6
1966 71.8 61
1967 73.7 62.3
1968 76.5 64.5
1969 77.6 64.8
1970 79 66.2
1971 80.5 68.8
1972 82.9 71
1973 84.7 73.1
1974 83.7 72.2
1975 84.5 74.8
1976 87 77.2
1977 88.1 78.4
1978 89.7 79.5
1979 90 79.7
1980 89.7 79.8
1981 89.8 81.4
1982 91.1 81.2
1983 91.2 84
1984 91.5 86.4
1985 92.8 88.1
1986 95.9 90.7
1987 96.3 91.3
1988 97.3 92.4
1989 95.8 93.3
1990 96.4 94.5
1991 97.4 95.9
1992 100 100
1993 99.9 100.1
1994 99.7 101.4
1995 99.1 102.2
1996 99.6 105.2
1997 101.1 107.5
1998 105.1 110.5
Resumen
Coeficiente d 0.958449487
R^2 ajustado 0.957356053
Observacione 40
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crtico de F
Regresin 1 6274.75698 6274.75698 876.549483 7.4283E-028
Residuos 38 272.022025 7.15847433
Total 39 6546.779
Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Intercepcin 29.51925479 1.94234687 15.1977256 9.8171E-018 25.5871791
Variable X 1 0.713659422 0.02410476 29.6065784 7.4283E-028 0.66486189
Anlisis de los residuales
ObservacinPronstico para Y Residuos residuos (-1)

1 63.20397949 -4.70397949
2 63.77490702 -3.87490702 -4.70397949
3 65.05949398 -3.35949398 -3.87490702
4 66.70091065 -2.80091065 -3.35949398
5 68.1282295 -2.8282295 -2.80091065
6 69.91237805 -2.11237805 -2.8282295
7 71.33969689 -2.03969689 -2.11237805
8 73.05247951 -1.25247951 -2.03969689
9 73.98023675 -0.28023675 -1.25247951
10 75.55028748 0.94971252 -0.28023675
11 75.76438531 1.83561469 0.94971252
12 76.7635085 2.2364915 1.83561469
13 78.61902299 1.88097701 2.2364915
14 80.18907372 2.71092628 1.88097701
15 81.68775851 3.01224149 2.71092628
16 81.04546503 2.65453497 3.01224149
17 82.90097952 1.59902048 2.65453497
18 84.61376214 2.38623786 1.59902048
19 85.47015344 2.62984656 2.38623786
20 86.25517881 3.44482119 2.62984656
21 86.39791069 3.60208931 3.44482119
22 86.46927663 3.23072337 3.60208931
23 87.61113171 2.18886829 3.23072337
24 87.46839982 3.63160018 2.18886829
25 89.4666462 1.7333538 3.63160018
26 91.17942881 0.32057119 1.7333538
27 92.39264983 0.40735017 0.32057119
28 94.24816433 1.65183567 0.40735017
29 94.67635998 1.62364002 1.65183567
30 95.46138534 1.83861466 1.62364002
31 96.10367882 -0.30367882 1.83861466
32 96.96007013 -0.56007013 -0.30367882
33 97.95919332 -0.55919332 -0.56007013
34 100.8851969 -0.88519695 -0.55919332
35 100.9565629 -1.05656289 -0.88519695
36 101.8843201 -2.18432014 -1.05656289
37 102.4552477 -3.35524768 -2.18432014
38 104.5962259 -4.99622594 -3.35524768
39 106.2376426 -5.13764261 -4.99622594
40 108.3786209 -3.27862088 -5.13764261
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.847585685
Observacione 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 218.383261 218.383261 263.35166 2.0772E-018
Residuos 38 31.5113408 0.82924581
Total 39 249.894602

Intercepcin 0 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Variable X 1 0.914245185 0.05633712 16.2281133 1.1230E-018 0.80019665
segunada ronda
Y X Y(-1) X(-1) Y*
1959 58.5 47.2
1960 59.9 48 58.5 47.2 6.41665669
1961 61.7 49.8 59.9 48 6.93671343
1962 63.9 52.1 61.7 49.8 7.49107209
1963 65.3 54.1 63.9 52.1 6.87973269
1964 67.8 56.6 65.3 54.1 8.09978943
1965 69.3 58.6 67.8 56.6 7.31417647
1966 71.8 61 69.3 58.6 8.44280869
1967 73.7 62.3 71.8 61 8.05719573
1968 76.5 64.5 73.7 62.3 9.12012988
1969 77.6 64.8 76.5 64.5 7.66024336
1970 79 66.2 77.6 64.8 8.05457365
1971 80.5 68.8 79 66.2 8.2746304
1972 82.9 71 80.5 68.8 9.30326262
1973 84.7 73.1 82.9 71 8.90907417
1974 83.7 72.2 84.7 73.1 6.26343284
1975 84.5 74.8 83.7 72.2 7.97767803
1976 87 77.2 84.5 74.8 9.74628188
1977 88.1 78.4 87 77.2 8.56066892
1978 89.7 79.5 88.1 78.4 9.15499921
1979 90 79.7 89.7 79.5 7.99220692
1980 89.7 79.8 90 79.7 7.41793336
1981 89.8 81.4 89.7 79.8 7.79220692
1982 91.1 81.2 89.8 81.4 9.0007824
1983 91.2 84 91.1 81.2 7.91226366
1984 91.5 86.4 91.2 84 8.12083914
1985 92.8 88.1 91.5 86.4 9.14656558
1986 95.9 90.7 92.8 88.1 11.0580468
1987 96.3 91.3 95.9 90.7 8.62388677
1988 97.3 92.4 96.3 91.3 9.2581887
1989 95.8 93.3 97.3 92.4 6.84394351
1990 96.4 94.5 95.8 93.3 8.81531129
1991 97.4 95.9 96.4 94.5 9.26676418
1992 100 100 97.4 95.9 10.952519
1993 99.9 100.1 100 100 8.47548151
1994 99.7 101.4 99.9 100.1 8.36690603
1995 99.1 102.2 99.7 101.4 7.94975507
1996 99.6 105.2 99.1 102.2 8.99830218
1997 101.1 107.5 99.6 105.2 10.0411796
1998 105.1 110.5 101.1 107.5 12.6698118
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.545807312
Observacione 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 34.3598483 34.3598483 46.6649311 4.7634E-008
Residuos 37 27.2434643 0.73630985
Total 38 61.6033126

Intercepcin 4.108202318 0.6569327 6.25361219 2.8497E-007 2.77713024
Variable X 1 0.528895464 0.07742381 6.83117348 4.7634E-008 0.37201993
1-p= 0.08575482
B1= 47.9063748
B2= 0.52889546
Y X Yes residuos residuos(-1)
1959 58.5 47.2 72.8702407 -14.3702407
1960 59.9 48 73.2933571 -13.3933571 -14.3702407
1961 61.7 49.8 74.2453689 -12.5453689 -13.3933571
1962 63.9 52.1 75.4618285 -11.5618285 -12.5453689
1963 65.3 54.1 76.5196194 -11.2196194 -11.5618285
1964 67.8 56.6 77.8418581 -10.0418581 -11.2196194
1965 69.3 58.6 78.899649 -9.59964901 -10.0418581
1966 71.8 61 80.1689981 -8.36899812 -9.59964901
1967 73.7 62.3 80.8565622 -7.15656222 -8.36899812
1968 76.5 64.5 82.0201322 -5.52013224 -7.15656222
1969 77.6 64.8 82.1788009 -4.57880088 -5.52013224
1970 79 66.2 82.9192545 -3.91925453 -4.57880088
1971 80.5 68.8 84.2943827 -3.79438274 -3.91925453
1972 82.9 71 85.4579528 -2.55795276 -3.79438274
1973 84.7 73.1 86.5686332 -1.86863323 -2.55795276
1974 83.7 72.2 86.0926273 -2.39262731 -1.86863323
1975 84.5 74.8 87.4677555 -2.96775552 -2.39262731
1976 87 77.2 88.7371046 -1.73710463 -2.96775552
1977 88.1 78.4 89.3717792 -1.27177919 -1.73710463
1978 89.7 79.5 89.9535642 -0.2535642 -1.27177919
1979 90 79.7 90.0593433 -0.05934329 -0.2535642
1980 89.7 79.8 90.1122328 -0.41223284 -0.05934329
1981 89.8 81.4 90.9584656 -1.15846558 -0.41223284
1982 91.1 81.2 90.8526865 0.24731352 -1.15846558
1983 91.2 84 92.3335938 -1.13359378 0.24731352
1984 91.5 86.4 93.6029429 -2.1029429 -1.13359378
1985 92.8 88.1 94.5020652 -1.70206518 -2.1029429
1986 95.9 90.7 95.8771934 0.02280661 -1.70206518
1987 96.3 91.3 96.1945307 0.10546933 0.02280661
1988 97.3 92.4 96.7763157 0.52368432 0.10546933
1989 95.8 93.3 97.2523216 -1.45232159 0.52368432
1990 96.4 94.5 97.8869962 -1.48699615 -1.45232159
1991 97.4 95.9 98.6274498 -1.2274498 -1.48699615
1992 100 100 100.795921 -0.7959212 -1.2274498
1993 99.9 100.1 100.848811 -0.94881075 -0.7959212
1994 99.7 101.4 101.536375 -1.83637485 -0.94881075
1995 99.1 102.2 101.959491 -2.85949122 -1.83637485
1996 99.6 105.2 103.546178 -3.94617761 -2.85949122
1997 101.1 107.5 104.762637 -3.66263718 -3.94617761
1998 105.1 110.5 106.349324 -1.24932357 -3.66263718
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.948576944
Observacione 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 1053.81911 1053.81911 1475.50609 2.0293E-031
Residuos 38 27.1399262 0.71420858
Total 39 1080.95904

Variable X 1 0.905272008 0.02356723 38.4123169 5.1360E-032 0.85756264
0.008973177
tercera ronda
Y X Y(-1) X(-1) Y*
1959 58.5 47.2
1960 59.9 48 58.5 47.2 6.94158756
1961 61.7 49.8 59.9 48 7.47420675
1962 63.9 52.1 61.7 49.8 8.04471713
1963 65.3 54.1 63.9 52.1 7.45311872
1964 67.8 56.6 65.3 54.1 8.68573791
1965 69.3 58.6 67.8 56.6 7.92255789
1966 71.8 61 69.3 58.6 9.06464988
1967 73.7 62.3 71.8 61 8.70146986
1968 76.5 64.5 73.7 62.3 9.78145304
1969 77.6 64.8 76.5 64.5 8.34669142
1970 79 66.2 77.6 64.8 8.75089221
1971 80.5 68.8 79 66.2 8.9835114
1972 82.9 71 80.5 68.8 10.0256034
1973 84.7 73.1 82.9 71 9.65295057
1974 83.7 72.2 84.7 73.1 7.02346096
1975 84.5 74.8 83.7 72.2 8.72873297
1976 87 77.2 84.5 74.8 10.5045154
1977 88.1 78.4 87 77.2 9.34133534
1978 89.7 79.5 88.1 78.4 9.94553613
1979 90 79.7 89.7 79.5 8.79710092
1980 89.7 79.8 90 79.7 8.22551932
1981 89.8 81.4 89.7 79.8 8.59710092
1982 91.1 81.2 89.8 81.4 9.80657372
1983 91.2 84 91.1 81.2 8.72972011
1984 91.5 86.4 91.2 84 8.93919291
1985 92.8 88.1 91.5 86.4 9.96761131
1986 95.9 90.7 92.8 88.1 11.8907577
1987 96.3 91.3 95.9 90.7 9.48441447
1988 97.3 92.4 96.3 91.3 10.1223057
1989 95.8 93.3 97.3 92.4 7.71703366
1990 96.4 94.5 95.8 93.3 9.67494167
1991 97.4 95.9 96.4 94.5 10.1317785
1992 100 100 97.4 95.9 11.8265065
1993 99.9 100.1 100 100 9.37279924
1994 99.7 101.4 99.9 100.1 9.26332644
1995 99.1 102.2 99.7 101.4 8.84438085
1996 99.6 105.2 99.1 102.2 9.88754405
1997 101.1 107.5 99.6 105.2 10.934908
1998 105.1 110.5 101.1 107.5 13.577
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.589836466
Observacione 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 40.7285338 40.7285338 55.6459738 6.9810E-009
Residuos 37 27.0811282 0.73192238
Total 38 67.809662

Intercepcin 4.425362881 0.6625059 6.67973353 7.6005E-008 3.08299842
Variable X 1 0.537511712 0.07205615 7.4596229 6.9810E-009 0.39151208
1-p= 0.094727992
B1= 46.71652769
B2= 0.537511712
Y X Yest resid resid(-1)
1959 58.5 47.2 72.0870805 -13.5870805
1960 59.9 48 72.5170899 -12.6170899 -13.5870805
1961 61.7 49.8 73.484611 -11.784611 -12.6170899
1962 63.9 52.1 74.7208879 -10.8208879 -11.784611
1963 65.3 54.1 75.7959113 -10.4959113 -10.8208879
1964 67.8 56.6 77.1396906 -9.33969061 -10.4959113
1965 69.3 58.6 78.214714 -8.91471404 -9.33969061
1966 71.8 61 79.5047421 -7.70474215 -8.91471404
1967 73.7 62.3 80.2035074 -6.50350737 -7.70474215
1968 76.5 64.5 81.3860331 -4.88603314 -6.50350737
1969 77.6 64.8 81.5472867 -3.94728666 -4.88603314
1970 79 66.2 82.2998031 -3.29980305 -3.94728666
1971 80.5 68.8 83.6973335 -3.19733351 -3.29980305
1972 82.9 71 84.8798593 -1.97985927 -3.19733351
1973 84.7 73.1 86.0086339 -1.30863387 -1.97985927
1974 83.7 72.2 85.5248733 -1.82487333 -1.30863387
1975 84.5 74.8 86.9224038 -2.42240378 -1.82487333
1976 87 77.2 88.2124319 -1.21243189 -2.42240378
1977 88.1 78.4 88.8574459 -0.75744594 -1.21243189
1978 89.7 79.5 89.4487088 0.25129117 -0.75744594
1979 90 79.7 89.5562112 0.44378883 0.25129117
1980 89.7 79.8 89.6099623 0.09003766 0.44378883
1981 89.8 81.4 90.4699811 -0.66998108 0.09003766
1982 91.1 81.2 90.3624787 0.73752126 -0.66998108
1983 91.2 84 91.8675115 -0.66751153 0.73752126
1984 91.5 86.4 93.1575396 -1.65753964 -0.66751153
1985 92.8 88.1 94.0713096 -1.27130956 -1.65753964
1986 95.9 90.7 95.46884 0.43115999 -1.27130956
1987 96.3 91.3 95.791347 0.50865296 0.43115999
1988 97.3 92.4 96.3826099 0.91739008 0.50865296
1989 95.8 93.3 96.8663705 -1.06637046 0.91739008
1990 96.4 94.5 97.5113845 -1.11138452 -1.06637046
1991 97.4 95.9 98.2639009 -0.86390091 -1.11138452
1992 100 100 100.467699 -0.46769893 -0.86390091
1993 99.9 100.1 100.52145 -0.6214501 -0.46769893
1994 99.7 101.4 101.220215 -1.52021533 -0.6214501
1995 99.1 102.2 101.650225 -2.5502247 -1.52021533
1996 99.6 105.2 103.26276 -3.66275984 -2.5502247
1997 101.1 107.5 104.499037 -3.39903678 -3.66275984
1998 105.1 110.5 106.111572 -1.01157191 -3.39903678
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.944196016
Observacione 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 889.970989 889.970989 1250.65128 3.9937E-030
Residuos 38 27.0410291 0.71160603
Total 39 917.012018

Variable X 1 0.899235957 0.02542761 35.3645483 1.0931E-030 0.84776045
0.00603605
cuarta ronda
Y X Y(-1) X(-1) Y*
1959 58.5 47.2
1960 59.9 48 58.5 47.2 7.2946965
1961 61.7 49.8 59.9 48 7.83576616
1962 63.9 52.1 61.7 49.8 8.41714144
1963 65.3 54.1 63.9 52.1 7.83882233
1964 67.8 56.6 65.3 54.1 9.07989199
1965 69.3 58.6 67.8 56.6 8.3318021
1966 71.8 61 69.3 58.6 9.48294816
1967 73.7 62.3 71.8 61 9.13485827
1968 76.5 64.5 73.7 62.3 10.22631
1969 77.6 64.8 76.5 64.5 8.80844927
1970 79 66.2 77.6 64.8 9.21928972
1971 80.5 68.8 79 66.2 9.46035938
1972 82.9 71 80.5 68.8 10.5115054
1973 84.7 73.1 82.9 71 10.1533391
1974 83.7 72.2 84.7 73.1 7.53471442
1975 84.5 74.8 83.7 72.2 9.23395038
1976 87 77.2 84.5 74.8 11.0145616
1977 88.1 78.4 87 77.2 9.86647172
1978 89.7 79.5 88.1 78.4 10.4773122
1979 90 79.7 89.7 79.5 9.33853464
1980 89.7 79.8 90 79.7 8.76876385
1981 89.8 81.4 89.7 79.8 9.13853464
1982 91.1 81.2 89.8 81.4 10.348611
1983 91.2 84 91.1 81.2 9.2796043
1984 91.5 86.4 91.2 84 9.4896807
1985 92.8 88.1 91.5 86.4 10.5199099
1986 95.9 90.7 92.8 88.1 12.4509032
1987 96.3 91.3 95.9 90.7 10.0632717
1988 97.3 92.4 96.3 91.3 10.7035773
1989 95.8 93.3 97.3 92.4 8.30434136
1990 96.4 94.5 95.8 93.3 10.2531953
1991 97.4 95.9 96.4 94.5 10.7136537
1992 100 100 97.4 95.9 12.4144178
1993 99.9 100.1 100 100 9.97640428
1994 99.7 101.4 99.9 100.1 9.86632787
1995 99.1 102.2 99.7 101.4 9.44617506
1996 99.6 105.2 99.1 102.2 10.4857166
1997 101.1 107.5 99.6 105.2 11.5360987
1998 105.1 110.5 101.1 107.5 14.1872447
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.617471783
Observacione 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 45.5231831 45.5231831 62.339077 1.8824E-009
Residuos 37 27.0192928 0.73025116
Total 38 72.5424759

Intercepcin 4.631450965 0.66561186 6.95818577 3.2230E-008 3.28279323
Variable X 1 0.543359227 0.06881876 7.89550993 1.8824E-009 0.40391917
1-p= 0.100764043
B1= 45.96333016
b2= 0.543359227
Y X Yest resd resid(-1)

1959 58.5 47.2 71.6098857 -13.1098857
1960 59.9 48 72.0445731 -12.1445731 -13.1098857
1961 61.7 49.8 73.0226197 -11.3226197 -12.1445731
1962 63.9 52.1 74.2723459 -10.3723459 -11.3226197
1963 65.3 54.1 75.3590643 -10.0590643 -10.3723459
1964 67.8 56.6 76.7174624 -8.91746242 -10.0590643
1965 69.3 58.6 77.8041809 -8.50418087 -8.91746242
1966 71.8 61 79.108243 -7.30824302 -8.50418087
1967 73.7 62.3 79.81461 -6.11461001 -7.30824302
1968 76.5 64.5 81.0100003 -4.51000031 -6.11461001
1969 77.6 64.8 81.1730081 -3.57300808 -4.51000031
1970 79 66.2 81.933711 -2.933711 -3.57300808
1971 80.5 68.8 83.346445 -2.84644499 -2.933711
1972 82.9 71 84.5418353 -1.64183529 -2.84644499
1973 84.7 73.1 85.6828897 -0.98288966 -1.64183529
1974 83.7 72.2 85.1938664 -1.49386636 -0.98288966
1975 84.5 74.8 86.6066004 -2.10660035 -1.49386636
1976 87 77.2 87.9106625 -0.9106625 -2.10660035
1977 88.1 78.4 88.5626936 -0.46269357 -0.9106625
1978 89.7 79.5 89.1603887 0.53961128 -0.46269357
1979 90 79.7 89.2690606 0.73093944 0.53961128
1980 89.7 79.8 89.3233965 0.37660351 0.73093944
1981 89.8 81.4 90.1927713 -0.39277125 0.37660351
1982 91.1 81.2 90.0840994 1.0159006 -0.39277125
1983 91.2 84 91.6055052 -0.40550524 1.0159006
1984 91.5 86.4 92.9095674 -1.40956739 -0.40550524
1985 92.8 88.1 93.8332781 -1.03327807 -1.40956739
1986 95.9 90.7 95.2460121 0.65398794 -1.03327807
1987 96.3 91.3 95.5720276 0.7279724 0.65398794
1988 97.3 92.4 96.1697227 1.13027725 0.7279724
1989 95.8 93.3 96.6587461 -0.85874605 1.13027725
1990 96.4 94.5 97.3107771 -0.91077713 -0.85874605
1991 97.4 95.9 98.07148 -0.67148004 -0.91077713
1992 100 100 100.299253 -0.29925288 -0.67148004
1993 99.9 100.1 100.353589 -0.4535888 -0.29925288
1994 99.7 101.4 101.059956 -1.35995579 -0.4535888
1995 99.1 102.2 101.494643 -2.39464318 -1.35995579
1996 99.6 105.2 103.124721 -3.52472086 -2.39464318
1997 101.1 107.5 104.374447 -3.27444708 -3.52472086
1998 105.1 110.5 106.004525 -0.90452476 -3.27444708
Resumen
R^2 ajustado 0.94113744
Observacione 39
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Regresin 1 802.75613 802.75613 1129.55055 2.4863E-029
Residuos 38 27.0060803 0.71068632
Total 39 829.76221

Variable X 1 0.895602535 0.02664787 33.6087868 7.1394E-030 0.84165675
0.003633422
crtico de F
Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

33.4513305 25.5871791 33.4513305
0.76245695 0.66486189 0.76245695
crtico de F

#N/A #N/A #N/A
1.02829372 0.80019665 1.02829372
X*
4.84762727
5.91623113
6.57058979
6.46782587
7.1393355
6.85372254
7.42523217
6.53104372
7.54252498
5.83118558
6.95691202
8.27696876
8.09993128
8.18859187
5.36867699
8.79149765
8.81446017
7.82027173
7.82317751
7.0175078
6.93465877
8.44323425
6.78044195
9.76329099
9.60340447
9.10921603
10.1549992
8.37796173
8.92941462
8.82374492
9.20092425
9.50383003
12.3238868
8.67548151
9.88405699
9.49553825
11.7641421
11.3214066
12.2186426
crtico de F

5.4392744 2.77713024 5.4392744
0.685771 0.37201993 0.685771
crtico de F

#N/A #N/A #N/A
0.95298138 0.85756264 0.95298138
X*
5.27116124
6.34694364
7.01745402
6.93532841
7.62478439
7.36160437
7.95106036
7.07840754
8.10155393
6.40995551
7.53837391
8.8709931
8.71728588
8.82568746
6.02461625
9.43936105
9.48565383
8.51300102
8.52667461
7.7308754
7.649821
9.1592938
7.51085858
10.491913
10.3571514
9.88449855
10.9455361
9.19182891
9.74866571
9.6528665
10.0381217
10.3517953
13.1844145
9.57279924
10.782272
10.4054184
12.6812008
12.2653848
13.1832592
crtico de F
5.76772735 3.08299842 5.76772735
0.68351134 0.39151208 0.68351134
crtico de F

#N/A #N/A #N/A
0.95071146 0.84776045 0.95071146
X*
5.55606282
6.63667405
7.31804933
7.24980663
7.95133471
7.70324482
8.30477291
7.44660661
8.47759986
6.79928076
7.92950997
9.27057963
9.13256614
9.25424704
6.46585153
9.87516389
9.9371504
8.9789841
8.99990095
8.2107414
8.13089421
9.64097061
8.00219308
10.9820403
10.8641796
10.4060133
11.4773122
9.73929868
10.2997571
10.2105976
10.6012852
10.922202
13.7632717
10.1764043
11.3864807
11.0174739
13.2980852
12.9003773
13.8321346
crtico de F

5.9801087 3.28279323 5.9801087
0.68279929 0.40391917 0.68279929
crtico de F

#N/A #N/A #N/A
0.94954832 0.84165675 0.94954832

Solucion - Cochrane y Orcutt

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Solucion - Cochrane y Orcutt

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Primera Ronda:

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin Pronstico para Y Residuos Residuos(-1)

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

47.2 6.41665669 4.84762727

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

Residuos Residuos (-1)

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

47.2 6.94158756 5.27116124

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

Residuos Residuos (-1)

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

47.2 7.2946965 5.55606282

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

Residuos Residuos (-1)

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

47.2 7.5072517 5.72756034

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

Residuos Residuos (-1)

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

47.2 7.62589339 5.82328492

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

Residuos Residuos (-1)

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

47.2 7.68916054 5.87433124

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Anlisis de los residuales

ObservacinPronstico para Y Residuos residuos (-1)

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Y X Yest resd resid(-1)

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

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